Until this post by Dispatcher Ed, I'd all but forgotten about our old friend Gribbit, a purveyor of empty threats against liberal life and limb but a very real menace to basic cognition. (Be warned -- all of the bells, whistles, icons and add-ons on his site may befrigger and stymie even the hardiest and most bad-code-resistant Web browsers).
You know you're in for a special ride when one of Gribbit's posts contains either mathematical operators or Latin words; here, he supplies both. In another dolorous shitburst concerning the various ways in which illegal immigrants have ruined things for America's most important demographic (consisting, loosely speaking, of newly converted illiterate white rednecks with anger-management issues), Gribbit asserts:
According to statistics compiled by US Congressman Steve King (R-5th CD Iowa),
- 13 Americans are killed each day by uninsured drunk driving illegals
- 12 U.S. citizens die a violent death at the hands of murderous illegal aliens each day in crimes
Do the math.
[ (12 + 13) x 365 = 9125 ]
That's more than nine thousand people killed every year in the United States by illegal aliens.
By contrast, consider the death toll for US servicemen in Iraq and Afghanistan since the beginning of the war on terror, as reported last week by the Department of Defense:
- Total U.S. troop deaths in Iraq as of last week were reported at 2,863.
- Total U.S. troop deaths in Afghanistan, Pakistan and Uzbekistan during the five years of the Afghan campaign are currently at 289.
Again, do the math.
[ (2863 + 289) divided by five years of war = 630 ]
So illegal aliens in the United States are more than fourteen times as lethal (14.48 actually) as a full scale armed conflict.
Quod erat demonstrando.
King's stout heart pumps the hick-red shade of blood-like ichor that is all too common in middle American veins, and he may well have extracted his dire but unsourced statistics from own noisy bunghole; for example, it seems unlikely that illegals are responsible for over 25% of the annual 17,000 or so U.S. drunk-driving fatalities.
But even leaving out that fact that using the number of servicepersons killed in the Iraq war as a measure of the Islamic terrorist threat is even more ridiculous than using King's stats as an assay of the threat posed by illegals (does the fact that white people drive drunk and kill people mean they should have to go, too? Say, don't intoxicated, philandering and licentious politicans cause problems at an especially high rate?), Gribbit has once again -- to spin things gently in his favor -- demonstrated stupefying and galactic analytical incompetence. Highlighting his failure to account for the fact that the war in question -- which is not a "war on terror" at all -- is not taking place in American populaton centers, as are DUI wrecks, is superfluous.
"Do the math," this ersatz prognathous canine implores us; "Quod erat demonstrando," he slobbers and gibbers with almost poignantly ill-founded confidence, this latest would-be envoy to the Holy See aglow in the sad grandeur of the self-delusional autofellatio repeatedly catalyzing his and his pals' retrograde verbal ejaculations into the diseased prostate of the blogosphere.
What Gribbit has claimed -- in effect if not in the substance of the details -- is that because more Americans die each year from complications of diabetes mellitus than in gang warfare, sugar is more lethal than gunfire. I can think of better analogies and I'm sure you can too, but I can think of no better coda than to let this thrumming joke of an "essay" speak for itself.







Comments
The number of on-the-job fatalities in 2005 were 5702. Therefore, it is far more dangerous to be at work than to fight a war. We should all stay home. Or look at this statistic. The service industry recorded 2736 on-the-job fatalities in 2005 so obviously it is much more dangerous to be in the service industry than to be a soldier in Iraq or Afghanistan. So why do they get hazard pay? Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting claimed 714 lives in '05 so perhaps we need look at a little more regulation since activities in those fields have become more dangerous than a war zone filled with roadside bombs.
Of course, there are a few other errors. His 630/year figure is off. (More explanation on my blog) If we use percentages to level the playing field, we start to see the obvious fallacies. If we assume 13 drunk driving illegal alien fatalities per day is correct, we get an average of 4745 per year. In 1999 there were 187,000,000 licensed drivers in America. Although this number is most likely much larger now and doesn't include drivers who aren't licensed, we can use it as an estimate. 4745 out of a pool of 187,000,000 leaves us with a result of about .0025% of drivers are killed by drunk driving illegal aliens each year. 12 deaths per day due to violent crime is about 4380 out of a pool of about 300,000,000 potential victims (U.S. population) gives us an estimate of about .0014% of the American population is killed in violent crime in the U.S. each year. If one uses a more accurate average of 821 deaths per year in Iraq and Afghanistan out of a potential pool of 170,000 (150,000 in Iraq; 20,000 in Afghanistan) that gives us a result of about .5% of the U.S. forces in Iraq and Afghanistan are killed each year. The risk is about 100 times greater than the risk of being killed by an illegal alien drunk driving or a violent act by an illegal alien combined.
Posted by: Southern Fried Skeptic | December 7, 2006 1:31 PM
SFS,
Cool. I was going to try a detailed analysis like yours, but as always, once I was through with my initial round of insults, my motivation to take on a card-carrying shitbrain at a useful level started flagging. You should post your comment on his site if you can load the damned thing without your system locking up.
Posted by: Kevin Beck | December 7, 2006 1:43 PM
Will do. And my reasoning for the 821 rather than 630 number is finally up on my blog. Apparently I'm the Southern Fried Slacker also.
Posted by: Southern Fried Skeptic | December 7, 2006 4:10 PM
I can't seem to post on his site. It says error: you must agree to terms and conditions to post. I have the terms and conditions checked, but it still gives the message. Oh well. He must have installed FactBlocker or some similar software.
Posted by: Southern Fried Skeptic | December 8, 2006 3:30 PM
The first error is in using Rep. King's bogus numbers. King latched on to some figure claiming that 27% of all prisoners are illegal aliens and assumed that 27% of all crimes in all categories--from stock fraud to littering--were committed by illegal aliens.
King is debunked here among other places.
http://colorado.mediamatters.org/items/200610310005
Posted by: John McKay | December 8, 2006 6:04 PM