lot of blog buzz about Iran, its rejection of the UN nuclear enrichment curtailment, attack on Romanian oil platform (?) and arabist doom’n’gloom about August 22nd being some symbolic date…
it is new moon, which is the most opportunistic time for US air strikes, should they be so inclined
only two more new moons before the Nov elections, and the Oct new moon is embarrasingly close to the election dates; and, of course, no one puts out new policies in August, everyone is on vacation
should the US decide to something silly and pre-emptive, it’d need at least three carriers in the gulf or Indian ocean. By my count, there should have been only two carrier groups there Enterprise and Kitty Hawk (?) – although one might be further east. The Iwo Jima group is in the Red Sea, and there are two carriers in the Atlantic.
But, the USS Reagan is closed due to operational commitments – is it at sea? Or still in San Diego as it was last week?
And the USS Stennis was visiting Canada last week, but I don’t know where it is now. Anyone seen it in harbour this week? US Navy web site says neither is underway.
Interesting times. For what it is worth, I don’t see the US has the assets in place to do anything drastically stupid right now, but then I’ve been wrong before.