Matthew Bailes has another excellent entry in the “State of Science” series of public conversations on science:
Selling Science: The Lure of the Dark Side
It would be unthinkable that climate scientists would not, at least subconsciously, be using the potential catastrophic consequences of global warming to maximise their funding.
This “catastrophism == more funding” meme is a serious misreading of the problem. As a climate modeller (never mind as a human!) a big catastrophe is not what I want; it leads to despondency: why should a politician bother funding us to do anything at all if the problem is so huge?
The real challenge is getting realistic ‘everyday’ forecasts for whats going to happen over the next few decades. We know (from observations, theory and models) that we expect more extreme conditions: drier summers, heavier flooding in the North, etc. So we need more reservoirs, etc to catch the winter rains, etc. but also, when the rain does fall the individual events are likely to be more severe: we need bigger drains.
How much bigger? thats the 64 trillion dollar question and our models aren’t up to it. We need to remove the uncertainty.
Climate modelling is not going to save us from a Global Warming catastrophe, and I don’t know anyone who pretends that it will. We know what we need to do already, and its a political, not modelling, problem. The modelling is about minimising the cost of adapting to our new warmer, climate.
New comments have been temporarily disabled. Please check back soon.
Subscribe to Dynamics of Cats
In case anyone hasn’t noticed, Iceland is playing England in the Euro 2016 Cup today, round…
Summer continues, and the public lecture series on physics continues a pace at the Aspen Center…
Tabby’s Star – KIC 8462852 – remains one of the more interesting and mysterious objects in…
The Aspen Center for Physics organizes weekly public lectures durings its winter conferences and its summer…