Slashdot’s poll of the moment is just fantastic, combining psychology and reasoning in a very cool way. Here’s the question:
# How Many People Will Select The Same Option As You?
- Just CowboyNeal [this is the traditional joke Slashdot poll answer]
At first pass, you might figure that there are 6 possible responses, so if people respond randomly then about 16 percent will choose each answer, so the correct response would be 1-25 percent.
But of course, if everyone used that same logic, then many more than 25 percent of respondents would choose that answer. The next logical response would be to move on to 26-50 percent.
But once again, if everyone used that logic, the correct response would be higher still. What’s the logical result of this progression? Let’s see if we can capture it in our own version of the poll. I’ve been having trouble with online polls lately so I’m going to place this one below the fold.
So, did we do better than Slashdot readers? Discuss.
Update: See the analysis of the results here.