Now on ScienceBlogs: The Lights Stay On Inside a Black Hole!

Seed Media Group

Collective Imagination

« Reading the Terrorist Mind | Main | Negative Ads and Adaptation »

The Wisdom of Gamblers

Category: Culture
Posted on: November 8, 2006 10:45 AM, by Jonah Lehrer

Here's an odd factoid:

If Virginia and Montana go Democratic, the prediction markets called every race correctly.

It's also worth noting that Tradesports currently gives George Allen a 4 percent chance of retaining his Senate seat.

Share on: Stumbleupon Reddit Email + More

Trackbacks

Trackback URL for this entry: http://scienceblogs.com/mt/pings/25395

Comments (1)

1

Well, that may be true, but similar markets predicted that republicans would hold the senate.

They're far from perfect.

Posted by: Crusty Dem | November 9, 2006 10:36 PM

Post a Comment

(Email is required for authentication purposes only. On some blogs, comments are moderated for spam, so your comment may not appear immediately.)

ScienceBlogs

Search ScienceBlogs:

Go to:

Advertisement
Enter to win a free copy of The Monty Hall Problem
Visit the Collective Imagination blog
Advertisement
Collective Imagination

© 2006-2009 Seed Media Group LLC. ScienceBlogs is a registered trademark of Seed Media Group. All rights reserved.

Sites by Seed Media Group: Seed Media Group | ScienceBlogs | SEEDMAGAZINE.COM