Here's an odd factoid:
If Virginia and Montana go Democratic, the prediction markets called every race correctly.
It's also worth noting that Tradesports currently gives George Allen a 4 percent chance of retaining his Senate seat.
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Jonah Lehrer is a contributing editor at Wired. He's also written for The New Yorker, Seed, Nature, the Boston Globe and is a contributor to Radio Lab. He's the author of Proust Was A Neuroscientist. His new book is How We Decide.
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« Reading the Terrorist Mind | Main | Negative Ads and Adaptation »
The Wisdom of Gamblers
Category: Culture
Posted on: November 8, 2006 10:45 AM, by Jonah Lehrer
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Comments (1)
Well, that may be true, but similar markets predicted that republicans would hold the senate.
They're far from perfect.
Posted by: Crusty Dem | November 9, 2006 10:36 PM