Category: Bolt
Andrew Bolt has written a post where he pretends that comments made by Andrew Lacis about the first order draft of the summary of chapter 9 of AR4 WG1 are actually aboout the published report.
Andrew Revkin asked Lacis what he thought about the published report:
"The revised chapter was much improved," he said. "That's different than saying everything in there is nailed down, but I think it's a big improvement."
Overall, he said, "I commend the authors for doing as good a job as they did. That's the way the science process ought to work. You get inputs from everybody, find any bugs, crank through and the science moves forward."
And from Gabriele Hegerl, one of the lead authors:
We felt Andrew Lacis' comment reflected that he couldn't clearly see where statements came from, which is why we strengthened the pointers from the technical sections to the executive summary.
The heading 'Human Induced warming ..widespread' is exactly as strong as we felt the finding summarized under it reflects: 'Anthropogenic warming of the climate system can be detected in temperature observations taken at the surface, in the troposphere and in the oceans.' We felt that the term 'widespread' well reflected the fact that we have detection and attribution results that show that recent warming is inconsistent with internal climate variability and other external influences alone in surface temperature (see Section 9.4.2), tropospheric temperature (see section 9.4.4.), and in ocean temperature data (see section 9.5.1).
Posted by Tim Lambert at 8:31 PM • 9 Comments
Category: The War on Science
As well as Monckton Media Watch also looked at the way Jamie Walker passed off his opinioin piece about the Great Barrier Reef as a straight news story. John Bruno dissects Walker's response.
Posted by Tim Lambert at 8:17 PM • 1 Comments
Category: Monckton
Media Watch has examined some more of Monckton's outlandish claims.
It turns out that the graph he claimed came from the "Barrier Reef Authority" actually came from John McLean.
And if you actually look at the McLean graph, rather than showing no change it shows warming. You can see it here at Marohasy's. The very first comment is from Louis Hissink:
Eyeballing the above graph, (based on professional experience) suggests a slight increase in SST over the time period.
And the trends over a longer period can be seen here, showing plenty of warming on the GReat Barrier Reef.
Also on Media Watch we discover that by "under formal criminal investigation" Monckton means that he made a complaint.
Posted by Tim Lambert at 12:18 PM • 6 Comments
Category: Monckton
At my suggestion the organisers of the debate have changed the format of the debate slightly. Instead of the moderator asking questions, we'll ask each other four questions, two on notice, two without. So you can suggest your questions for Monckton here. Monckton's slides can be seen here.
Posted by Tim Lambert at 11:15 AM • 74 Comments
Category: Open Thread
Time for a new open thread
Posted by Tim Lambert at 6:39 AM • 25 Comments
Category: Monckton
I will be debating Christopher Monckton this Friday.
John Smeed emails:
The Grand Ballroom at the Sydney Hilton Hotel is booked for 12.30pm to 2.30pm on Friday 12 February 2010 where it was planned that Alan Jones would MC a Lord Monckton lecture.
I have now rearranged this function to become a 'Presidential Style' debate (like the format used in the USA Presidential elections) on DOES ANTHROPOGENIC GLOBAL WARMING ENDANGER MANKIND ? with Alan Jones as the Moderator.
Each speaker will present a 10-15 minute Synopsis of his argument
The Moderator, Alan Jones, will ask a sequence of say four (4) relevant questions with the order of speaking being reversed each question.
Questions will be received from the floor, again with the order of speaking being reversed each question.
Each speaker will be given a five (5) minute summary time at the end of the question time
Moderator will close the debate
Posted by Tim Lambert at 11:40 PM • 309 Comments
Category: Bolt
Andrew Bolt claims:
In fact, the seas have not risen for nearly four years
Posted by Tim Lambert at 10:06 PM • 87 Comments
Category: Monckton
Gareth Renowden has uncovered the true story of Monckton's visit to Australia. (Note to Tim Blair: I'm using "true story" ironically.)
Tim Blair, who used to call fellow journalist Margo Kingston "the Margoyle", has gone all politically correct on us. He's outraged, outraged I tell you that the Age published a photo that emphasised Monckton's protruding eyes, a symptom of Graves' disease. How dare they mock his appearance? Why can't they treat him like the SMH treated Adam Hills and crop the evidence of his complaint out of the photo? I hope my photo of Monckton will be to Blair's satisfaction.
I expect Blair will also be outraged by the cartoon accompanying this Mike Carlton column, which emphasises Monckton's extremely long nose, a symptom of Pinocchio's disease. Carlton's column is worth a read, since he points out that Monckton has adopted the Larouchites nutty notions about a world government and DDT.
Posted by Tim Lambert at 12:17 AM • 64 Comments
Category: Global Warming
Bidisha Banerjee and George Collins have written the definitive account of the error in the WG2 report about Himalayan glaciers:
Dozens of articles and analyses of this situation, whether dashed-off blog posts or New York Times coverage, exhibit a curious consistency. Not a single article or analysis appears to include all relevant issues without introducing at least one substantial error. It's as though the original documents contained a curse which has spread to infect every commentator and reporter. The curse seems to stem from not reading sources carefully (or at all), which, ironically, was the IPCC Working Group II's central failing, and also a major issue in the documents that were the basis of the defective paragraph.
Posted by Tim Lambert at 6:24 AM • 4 Comments
Category: Global Warming
There have been new developments in Leakegate, the scandal swirling about reporter Jonathan Leake, who deliberately concealed facts that contradicted the story he wanted to spin. Deltoid can reveal that Leake was up to the same tricks in his story that claims that the IPCC "wrongly linked global warming to natural disasters". Bryan Walker has the detailed dissection, but the short version is that Leake took one part of the discussion of one paper in the IPCC WG2 report and pretended that this was all it said, entirely ignoring the WG1 report and the discussion of other papers in the WG2 report. Leake writes:
Pielke has also told the IPCC that citing one section of Muir-Wood's paper in preference to the rest of his work, and all the other peer-reviewed literature, was wrong.
and
Muir-Wood was, however, careful to point out that almost all this increase could be accounted for by the exceptionally strong hurricane seasons in 2004 and 2005. There were also other more technical factors that could cause bias, such as exchange rates which meant that disasters hitting the US would appear to cost proportionately more in insurance payouts.
Read on »
Posted by Tim Lambert at 1:16 PM • 24 Comments
Tim Lambert (deltoidblog AT gmail.com) is a computer scientist at the University of New South Wales.
