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"At-home" burglaries

Jim De Arras said: 60% of all house burglaries in GB occur while the house is occupied. Less than 10% here. More than 50% of homes here have firearms, less than 5% there. I've proven that the mere existence without...

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Tim Lambert Tim Lambert (deltoidblog AT gmail.com) is a computer scientist at the University of New South Wales.

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« Did Orlando gun training reduce rapes? | Main | "At-home" burglaries »

"At-home" burglaries

Category: burglary
Posted on: March 22, 1993 3:12 AM, by Tim Lambert

Jim De Arras said:

60% of all house burglaries in GB occur while the house is occupied. Less than 10% here. More than 50% of homes here have firearms, less than 5% there.

I've proven that the mere existence without use of most guns in homes in the USA makes even your gunless home safer to sleep in than homes in GB.

Let's see: Your proof goes:

(1) Gun ownership is greater in the US than in GB.
(2) "At-home" burglaries are more common in GB than in the US.
Therefore:
(3) Gun ownership deters "at-home" burglary.

We also have:
(4) Gun ownership is greater in the US than in Canada.
(5) "At-home" burglaries are more common in the US (14%, NCS data) than in Canada (10%, Canadian Urban Victimization Survey #9)
Therefore (by your reasoning)
(6) Gun ownership encourages "at-home" burglary.

I don't see how (3) and (6) can both be true. Perhaps there is something wrong with your proof technique?

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