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Kellermann’s case-control study on gun ownership and homicide

Frank Crary said: The correlation with gun ownership is equally easy to explain. In the neighborhoods studied, a large fraction of the gun owners are either criminals (confirmed by the study's correlation previous convictions) The study found a correlation between...

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Tim Lambert Tim Lambert (deltoidblog AT gmail.com) is a computer scientist at the University of New South Wales.

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« Effects of Washington DC gun ban | Main | Correlations between gun ownership, suicide and homicide »

Kellermann’s case-control study on gun ownership and homicide

Category: Kellermann
Posted on: February 14, 1994 10:09 AM, by Tim Lambert

Frank Crary said:

The correlation with gun ownership is equally easy to explain. In the neighborhoods studied, a large fraction of the gun owners are either criminals (confirmed by the study's correlation previous convictions)

The study found a correlation between criminal record and homicide, not between criminal record and gun ownership. In any event there was a higher risk of homicide associated with gun ownership even after controlling for criminality.

or purchased a gun in reaction to threats of crime and violence.

This is unproven.

Both criminals and people threatened by criminals have a much greater chance of being murdered than the average person.

The study also controlled for a history of violence in the home. It is possible that some small number of people threatened with violence where the threats had not spilled over into actual violence may have acquired guns for self defence and the guns failed to prevent a homicide. This number is probably small, or else the data would have shown a correlation between gun ownership and non-gun homicide.

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