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Kleck’s DGU numbers

Pim van Meurs writes: How can you claim it to be a better estimate when the same data show inflated statistics (often 10 fold) in several other areas as well ? How can you claim that at survey which restricts...

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Tim Lambert Tim Lambert (deltoidblog AT gmail.com) is a computer scientist at the University of New South Wales.

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« Kleck’s DGU numbers | Main | Kleck’s DGU numbers »

Kleck’s DGU numbers

Category: dgu
Posted on: March 27, 1996 9:09 PM, by Tim Lambert

Pim van Meurs writes:

How can you claim it to be a better estimate when the same data show inflated statistics (often 10 fold) in several other areas as well ? How can you claim that at survey which restricts definition of gun used in self defense ends up finding far more than ever found before ? Not that much was changed in the methodology to account for such a jump and certainly the study should be compared to other surveys like the NCS.

Kleck deals with the jump by "adjusting" the earlier estimates. Apparently the Hart poll now implies exactly 1,797,461 defensive. gun uses. (page 182 of Kleck's paper). Kleck seems to be impressed by how close the new, improved, Hart estimate is to the results of his latest survey. I am puzzled as to why he continues to attack the NCVS estimate. Surely it would be simpler to adjust it so that it agrees with his latest survey?

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