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Bogus numbers for international crime rates

Pim Vanmeurs wrote: I think you'll find the Netherlands does a pretty good homicide rate. Indeed 1.2/100,000 total and 0.3/100,000 firearms related compared to US 7.6/100,000 total and 4.5/100,000 firearms related Netherlands 1.9% gun ownership USA 48% gun ownership rates...

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« Kellermann’s case-control study on gun ownership and homicide | Main | In the UK is defensive gun use only lawful against gun-armed attackers? »

Bogus numbers for international crime rates

Category: international
Posted on: June 12, 1996 8:32 PM, by Tim Lambert

Pim Vanmeurs wrote:

I think you'll find the Netherlands does a pretty good homicide rate. Indeed 1.2/100,000 total and 0.3/100,000 firearms related

compared to

US 7.6/100,000 total and 4.5/100,000 firearms related

Netherlands 1.9% gun ownership USA 48% gun ownership rates

source: Martin Killias international correlations between gun ownership and rates of homicide ad suicide, Can Med Ass Journal may 15, 1993.

Kym Horsell writes:

The Economist Handbook 1994 quotes the 5-y average for Netherlands at more than 10 per 100K (did seem a bit excessive).

From "Trends in Crime and Criminal Justice", 2nd UN survey

of Crime Trends, UN, 1992 they also cite (p69):

Country 1975 1980

Netherlands 7.24 10.56 USA 9.49 10.12

I take it (without proof) all numbers are per 100K capita of crimes reported to police rather than victimisation or self-reporting surveys.

What gives?

The Economist is wrong. The UN numbers it quotes are for homicides + ATTEMPTED homicides.

Total homicide (i.e homicides + ATTEMPTED homicides) Source

Responding            Total       Total       Total       Total       Total
Country            homicide    homicide    homicide    homicide    homicide
                    s, 1986     s, 1987     s, 1988     s, 1989     s, 1990

NETHERLANDS            1903        1706        1976        2375        2206

Committed intentional homicide (i.e successful homicides only) Source

Responding         Committe    Committe    Committe    Committe    Committe
Country                   d           d           d           d           d
                   intentio    intentio    intentio    intentio    intentio
                        nal         nal         nal         nal         nal
                   homicide    homicide    homicide    homicide    homicide
                    s, 1986     s, 1987     s, 1988     s, 1989     s, 1990

NETHERLANDS             174         163         279         251         228

For comparison with the previous figures:
1986 Netherlands, rate per 100k population
Total homicide 13.0
Committed intentional homicide 1.2

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