Archives for August, 1996

Lott/Mustard Debate

[Originally posted to firearmsreg Aug 19 1996] Daniel Polsby writes: McDowall very freely interprets his five-county study as suggestive of causation. I tend to share the view that one should be slow to change public policy on the basis of a single study, though one might say of Lott-Mustard that it amounts to at least…

Lott/Mustard Debate

[Originally posted to firearmsreg Aug 16 1996] Daniel Polsby writes: Mr. Lambert, and for that matter most others on this list, assume that firearms are used defensively when they are brandished. All of the endless back and forth about survey research techniques of establishing how often this sort of thing happens has embedded this assumption.…

Lott/Mustard Study

[Originally posted to firearmreg on Aug 15 1996] Daniel Polsby writes: Lott’s results are highly plausible and internally consistent. Highly plausible? Lets look at Dade county: Lott reckons that the carry law caused a reduction of 8% in murders, 5% in rapes, 7% in aggravated assaults and 2% in robberies. For Dade county that translates…

Defensive Gun Woundings

Dr. Paul H. Blackman writes: Yes, I’m sure [Kleck] would dispute Annest, because he would assume injuries not treated in emergency rooms, and he’d probably stick with an estimate starting around 150,000 — unless I’ve misunderstood non-peer-reviewed conversations. So how does he reconcile this with his earlier estimate of 10,000-20,000 such woundings? That estimate was…

Defensive Gun Woundings

Dr. Paul H. Blackman writes: The Annest et al. numbers are based on seeking medical treatment in emergency rooms. And the figure for gunshot wounds is roughly 100,000 (which Phil Cook upped to 150,000 for the June JAMA by counting all gun-related wounds including pistol whippings and air/BB/etc. guns). Prior to that, estimates from (primarily…

Charles Scripter writes: BTW, I notice that your web page still seems to purport that your analysis was correct, even though your friends over in sci.stat.edu pointed out that it was not correct; That’s an interesting interpretation of the discussion. Perhaps you’d like to correct this “oversight”. No problem, here’s something from one of my…

“At-home” burglaries

Mark Gibson writes: And Waller and Okihiro (1978, p. 31) reported that 44% of burglarized Toronto residences were occupied during the burglaries, with 21% of the burglaries resulting in confrontations between victim and offender. Waller and Okihiro did not have enough money to conduct a full victim survey of Toronto, so concentrated on some high…

English homicide rates 1857-1993

Jim Zoes was kind enough to send me the data on English homicide rates that he obtained from the Home Office. I’ve typed it in and included it at the end of this message. The numbers are certainly higher than those recorded in the WHO Statistical Yearbook. I’ll try to find out why, but for…