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How many DGUs against alien abductions?

What I want to know is: how many DGUs against alien abduction? IMPLICATIONS OF THE ROPER ABDUCTION POLL By Elaine Douglas 47 abductions per hour in the United States A just-released Roper Poll of adult Americans, commissioned by a Las...

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Tim Lambert Tim Lambert (deltoidblog AT gmail.com) is a computer scientist at the University of New South Wales.

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« Gun ownership by state | Main | More problems with Kleck’s DGU estimate »

How many DGUs against alien abductions?

Category: dgu
Posted on: June 11, 1997 12:25 AM, by Tim Lambert

What I want to know is: how many DGUs against alien abduction?

IMPLICATIONS OF THE ROPER ABDUCTION POLL

By Elaine Douglas

47 abductions per hour in the United States

A just-released Roper Poll of adult Americans, commissioned by a Las Vegas real estate developer, estimates there are 3.7 million abductees in the United States. This is the number extrapolated from Roper's random sample of 6,000 respondents, 2 percent of whom answered "yes" to at least four out of five key questions developed by UFO investigators. The questions, relating to experiences typical of the abduction phenomena, were, (1) "have you ever awakened paralyzed with strange figures or presences in the room;" (2) experienced "missing time" for an hour or more; (3) experienced flying through the air; (4) seen unusual balls of light in a room; (5) had any unusual scars? The Roper figure is the first effort to quantify the abduction phenomena and estimate the extent of alien abduction activity in the United States.

The figure of 3.7 million may indicate only part of the actual activity, since many, if not most, abductees are abducted more than once. If we assume an average of 5 abductions per person, that equals 18.5 million abductions. To calculate the rate of this activity, we need a time span, say 45 years---the post-war period. These assumptions suggest the aliens have conducted:

411,111 abductions per year
7,906 per week
1,129 per day, or
47 per hour,

in the continental United States alone for the past 45 years.

It is likely abductions have been going on for longer than 45 years. If a longer time period is used, this would reduce the rate of activity. However, the poll did not count children, which aliens are known to have abducted. Thus, 47 abductions per hour may be substantially correct, if not understated.

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