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I used to believe Kleck’s estimate

I used to believe that Kleck's estimate of DGU's was correct, but overwhelming evidence to the contrary has convinced me otherwise. Sam A. Kersh writes: To the best of my knowledge, you have never accepted Kleck's DGU estimates. At least...

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Tim Lambert Tim Lambert (deltoidblog AT gmail.com) is a computer scientist at the University of New South Wales.

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« Kleck’s critique of the public health literature | Main | International correlation between gun ownership and homicide »

I used to believe Kleck’s estimate

Category: dgu
Posted on: July 30, 1998 2:43 AM, by Tim Lambert

I used to believe that Kleck's estimate of DGU's was correct, but overwhelming evidence to the contrary has convinced me otherwise.

Sam A. Kersh writes:

To the best of my knowledge, you have never accepted Kleck's DGU estimates. At least not in the last 5 years that you and I (and Pim) have debated guns, crime and 'Point Blank.'

Here's what I wrote about it back in 1991:

A most interesting paper! Like any good scientific paper it raises a lot of questions. The estimate of 1M defensive uses arises from about 50 (4% of 1228) yes respondants. Don't you just want to have a follow-up survey to find out the circumstances of those 50 defensive uses? Alas, the original data no longer exists. I hope someone funds a larger better survey along similar lines.

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