show little or no long-term trend of temperature change.
I emailed him to point that the satellites actually showed significant warming. He replied that this didn’t count because:
this trend is most likely produced by the single exceptionally warm 1998 El Nino year.
This year, he has written a paper where he asserts (my emphasis):
Four alternative predictions of near-future climate, based on empirical models drawn from the palaeoclimatological record, are described. Three agree that the likely trend the 21st century is one of cooling, and the fourth (based on Milankovich predictions) predicts cooling over the longer term. In keeping with the generality of these predictions, averaged global surface temperature has been falling for the last 6 years.
That is, of course, only true if you include the single exceptionally warm 1998 El Nino year.