By popular request, here is the Jonas thread. All comments by Jonas and replies to his comments belong in this thread.
So not ALL papers will conclude there has been a change.
Or are you too dumb to count too?
Oh, work started again, Olap?
Yeah, you do engage a lot of bollocks.
All sound and fury, signifying nothing.
Where do you believe in those two papers, the core of that prominent AR4 claim is addressed? You know, the two quantified magnitudes of 1) warming and 2) certainty …
Hint: Not anywhere in any part of the paper dealing with completely different things, like monsoons etc
Lionel, It seems that you too rather address me from another thread. Maybe (and I’m speculating here, assuming the best) you were too ashamed to argue alongside with that Über-stupid Wow-character who is illeterat beyoud belief.
You can prove me wrong, and I’d correct my position.
“Where do you believe in those two papers, the core of that prominent AR4 claim is addressed?”
Wow, you really ARE dumb!
Dumber than a sack of spanners from the crazy pool.
The AR4 claim was BASED ON papers. Several of them. You have two.
Do you know the difference between data and conclusion from the data?
Or do you REALLY think that one datapoint contains the entire conclusion?
Too dumb to read, too thick to think, crazier than a psycho squirrel!
“Not anywhere in any part of the paper dealing with completely different things like monsoons”
Really? So climate isn’t the average of weather?
Thicker than a light year of lard…
“You can prove me wrong, and I’d correct my position.”
Given your irrelevancy status, why the hell should anyone care about you changing your position?
It’s just plain wrong.
Hell, it’s so wrong it’s “not even wrong”.
Wow, claims “irrelevancy” staus on Jonas.
Can it get any better? Parts of the bunch even try to win from afar, in a protected zone, instead of coming here.
“Wow, claims “irrelevancy” staus on Jonas”
No, I pointed it out.
There’s a difference.
What a riposte from the jonas-possessed punching bag. Hilarious!
You could never correct your position being only capable of behaving like Caenorhabditis elegans. i.e. you are at an evolutionary dead end.
Hopefully he is wrong!
Joan, are you afraid of finding out how to get the data you’re demanding?
Scared of a little work? Work-shy? Or just intimidated by facts?
Another idiot who doesn’t do maths. Olap dog, do you know what weather is?
Wow, you seem to be a total idiot. Sorry to have to say that. I pity real idiots. But in your case you’ve made yourself to be one! Just amazing!
Lionel. Stupid insults just don’t work (other than for the Wows of this world)
Yup, another self-professed, completely wrong and unsupported claim from joan here. “you seem to be a total idiot.”
I’d have to have to be his teacher at school. He’d be all “I don’t WANNA learn” and then, because he’s not learning anything, blaming the teacher.
Don’t you want to know how to get the information you’ve been harping on for a self-confessed 18+ months?
All this effort complaining about how SOMEONE ELSE must do all your work for you and you haven’t got the energy to ask “OK, where do I get the data I’ve been demanding?”.
Too dumb to read, too thick to change and completely hatstand.
AchutaRao, K.M., et al., 2006: Variability of ocean heat uptake: Reconciling observations and models. J. Geophys. Res., 111, C05019.
Ackerman, A.S., et al., 2000: Reduction of tropical cloudiness by soot. Science, 288, 1042–1047.
Adams, J.B., M.E. Mann, and C.M. Ammann, 2003: Proxy evidence for an El Nino-like response to volcanic forcing. Nature, 426(6964), 274–278.
Alexander, L.V., et al., 2006: Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05109, doi:10.1029/2005JD006290.
Allan, R.J., and T.J. Ansell, 2006: A new globally-complete monthly historical gridded mean sea level pressure data set (HadSLP2): 1850-2004. J. Clim., 19, 5816–5842.
Allen, M.R., 2003: Liability for climate change. Nature, 421, 891–892.
Allen, M.R., and S.F.B. Tett, 1999: Checking for model consistency in optimal fingerprinting. Clim. Dyn., 15, 419–434.
Allen, M.R., and W.J. Ingram, 2002: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle. Nature, 419, 224–232.
Allen, M.R., and D.A. Stainforth, 2002: Towards objective probabilistic climate forecasting. Nature, 419, 228–228.
Allen, M.R., and P.A. Stott, 2003: Estimating signal amplitudes in optimal fingerprinting, Part I: Theory. Clim. Dyn., 21, 477–491.
Allen, M.R., J.A. Kettleborough, and D.A. Stainforth, 2002: Model error in weather and climate forecasting. In: ECMWF Predictability of Weather and Climate Seminar [Palmer, T.N. (ed.)]. European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK, http://www.ecmwf.int/publications/library/do/references/list/209.
Allen, M.R., et al., 2000: Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change. Nature, 407, 617–620.
Ammann, C.M., G.A. Meehl, W.M. Washington, and C. Zender, 2003: A monthly and latitudinally varying volcanic forcing dataset in simulations of 20th century climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(12), 1657.
Anderson, T.L., et al., 2003: Climate forcing by aerosols: A hazy picture. Science, 300, 1103–1104.
Andronova, N.G., and M.E. Schlesinger, 2000: Causes of global temperature changes during the 19th and 20th centuries. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27(14), 2137–2140.
Andronova, N.G., and M.E. Schlesinger, 2001: Objective estimation of the probability density function for climate sensitivity. J. Geophys. Res., 106(D19), 22605–22611.
Andronova, N.G., M.E. Schlesinger, and M.E. Mann, 2004: Are reconstructed pre-instrumental hemispheric temperatures consistent with instrumental hemispheric temperatures? Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L12202, doi:10.1029/2004GL019658.
Andronova, N.G., et al., 1999: Radiative forcing by volcanic aerosols from 1850 to 1994. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 16807–16826.
Andronova, N.G., et al., 2007: The concept of climate sensitivity: History and development. In: Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Assessment [Schlesinger, M., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, in press.
Annan, J.D., and J.C. Hargreaves, 2006: Using multiple observationally-based constraints to estimate climate sensitivity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L06704, doi:10.1029/2005GL025259.
Annan, J.D., et al., 2005: Efficiently constraining climate sensitivity with paleoclimate simulations. Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere, 1, 181–184.
Arblaster, J.M., and G.A. Meehl, 2006: Contributions of external forcing to Southern Annular Mode trends. J. Clim., 19, 2896–2905.
Bader, J., and M. Latif, 2003: The impact of decadal-scale Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies on Sahelian rainfall and the North Atlantic Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(22), 2169.
Banks, H.T., et al., 2000: Are observed decadal changes in intermediate water masses a signature of anthropogenic climate change? Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 2961–2964.
Barnett, T.P., D.W. Pierce, and R. Schnur, 2001: Detection of anthropogenic climate change in the world’s oceans. Science, 292, 270–274.
Barnett, T.P., et al., 1999: Detection and attribution of recent climate change. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 80, 2631–2659.
Barnett, T.P., et al., 2005: Penetration of a warming signal in the world’s oceans: human impacts. Science, 309, 284–287.
Bauer, E., M. Claussen, V. Brovkin, and A. Huenerbein, 2003: Assessing climate forcings of the Earth system for the past millennium. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(6), 1276.
Beltrami, H., J.E. Smerdon, H.N. Pollack, and S. Huang, 2002: Continental heat gain in the global climate system. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 1167.
Bengtsson, L., K.I. Hodges, and E. Roechner, 2006: Storm tracks and climate change. J. Clim., 19, 3518–3543.
Berger, A., 1978: Long-term variations of caloric solar radiation resulting from the earth’s orbital elements. Quat. Res., 9, 139–167.
Berger, A., 1988: Milankovitch theory and climate. Rev. Geophys., 26, 624–657.
Berliner, L.M., R.A. Levine, and D.J. Shea, 2000: Bayesian climate change assessment. J. Clim., 13, 3805–3820.
Bertrand, C., M.F. Loutre, M. Crucifix, and A. Berger, 2002: Climate of the last millennium: a sensitivity study. Tellus, 54A(3), 221–244.
Betts, R.A., 2001: Biogeophysical impacts of land use on present-day climate: near surface temperature and radiative forcing. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 2, 39–51.
Bigelow, N.H., et al., 2003: Climate change and Arctic ecosystems: 1. Vegetation changes north of 55 degrees N between the last glacial maximum, mid-Holocene, and present. J. Geophys. Res., 108(D19), 8170, doi:10.1029/2002JD002558.
Bindoff, N.L., and T.J. McDougall, 2000: Decadal changes along an Indian Ocean section at 32S and their interpretation. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 30(6), 1207–1222.
Bjerknes, J., 1969: Atmospheric teleconnections from the equatorial Pacific. Mon. Weather Rev., 97, 163–172.
Boer, G.J., and B. Yu, 2003: Climate sensitivity and climate state. Clim. Dyn., 21, 167–176.
Boucher, O., and J. Haywood, 2001: On summing the components of radiative forcing of climate change. Clim. Dyn., 18, 297–302.
Boyer, T.P., et al., 2005: Linear trends in salinity for the World Ocean, 1955-1998. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L01604.
Braconnot, P., S. Joussaume, O. Marti, and N. de Noblet, 1999: Synergistic feedbacks from ocean and vegetation on the African monsoon response to mid-Holocene insolation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 2481–2484.
Braconnot, P., O. Marti, S. Joussaume, and Y. Leclainche, 2000: Ocean feedback in response to 6 kyr BP insolation. J. Clim., 13(9), 1537–1553.
Braconnot, P., et al., 2004: Evaluation of PMIP coupled ocean-atmosphere simulations of the Mid-Holocene. In: Past Climate Variability through Europe and Africa [Battarbee, R.W., F. Gasse, and C.E. Stickley (eds.)]. Springer, London, UK, pp. 515-533.
Braganza, K., et al., 2003: Simple indices of global climate variability and change: Part I – Variability and correlation structure. Clim. Dyn., 20, 491–502.
Braganza, K., et al., 2004: Simple indices of global climate variability and change: Part II – Attribution of climate change during the 20th century. Clim. Dyn., 22, 823–838.
Briffa, K.R., et al., 2001: Low-frequency temperature variations from a northern tree ring density network. J. Geophys. Res., 106(D3), 2929–2941.
Broccoli, A.J., et al., 2003: Twentieth-century temperature and precipitation trends in ensemble climate simulations including natural and anthropogenic forcing. J. Geophys. Res., 108(D24), 4798.
Brohan, P., et al., 2006: Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: a new dataset from 1850. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D12106, doi:10.1029/2005JD006548.
Bryden, H.L., E. McDonagh, and B.A. King, 2003: Changes in ocean water mass properties: oscillations of trends? Science, 300, 2086–2088.
Bryden, H.L., H.R. Longworth, and S.A. Cunningham, 2005: Slowing of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 25° N. Nature, 438, 655–657.
Burke, E.J., S.J. Brown, and N. Christidis, 2006: Modelling the recent evolution of global drought and projections for the 21st century with the Hadley Centre climate model. J. Hydrometeorol., 7, 1113–1125.
Caesar, J., L. Alexander, and R. Vose, 2006: Large-scale changes in observed daily maximum and minimum temperatures, 1946-2000. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05101, doi:10.1029/2005JD006280.
Cai, W., P.H. Whetton, and D.J. Karoly, 2003: The response of the Antarctic Oscillation to increasing and stabilized atmospheric CO2. J. Clim., 16, 1525–1538.
Cane, M., et al., 2006: Progress in paleoclimate modeling. J. Clim., 19, 5031–5057.
Carril, A.F., C.G. Menéndez, and A. Navarra, 2005: Climate response associated with the Southern Annular Mode in the surroundings of Antarctic Peninsula: A multimodel ensemble analysis. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L16713, doi:10.1029/2005GL023581.
Chan, J.C.L., 2006: Comment on “Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment”. Science, 311, 1713.
Chan, J.C.L., and K.S. Liu, 2004: Global warming and western North Pacific typhoon activity from an observational perspective. J. Clim., 17, 4590–4602.
Chase, T.N., J.A. Knaff, R.A. Pielke, and E. Kalnay, 2003: Changes in global monsoon circulations since 1950. Natural Hazards, 29, 229–254.
Chen, J., B.E. Carlson, and A.D. Del Genio, 2002: Evidence for strengthening of the tropical general circulation in the 1990s. Science, 295, 838–841.
Christidis, N., et al., 2005: Detection of changes in temperature extremes during the second half of the 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L20716, doi:10.1029/2005GL023885.
Christy, J.R., R.W. Spencer, and W.D. Braswell, 2000: MSU tropospheric temperatures: Dataset construction and radiosonde comparison. J. Atmos. Ocean. Technol., 17, 1153–1170.
Chuang, C.C., et al., 2002: Cloud susceptibility and the first aerosol indirect forcing: Sensitivity to black carbon and aerosol concentrations. J. Geophys. Res., 107(D21), 4564, doi:10.1029/2000JD000215.
Church, J.A., N.J. White, and J.M. Arblaster, 2005: Volcanic eruptions: their impact on sea level and oceanic heat content. Nature, 438, 74–77.
Clement, A.C., R. Seager, and M.A. Cane, 2000: Suppression of El Nino during the mid-Holocene by changes in the Earth’s orbit. Paleoceanography, 15(6), 731–737.
Clement, A.C., A. Hall, and A.J. Broccoli, 2004: The importance of precessional signals in the tropical climate. Clim. Dyn., 22, 327–341.
CLIMAP (Climate: Long-range Investigation, Mapping and Prediction), 1981: Seasonal Reconstructions of the Earth’s Surface at the Last Glacial Maximum. Map Series Technical Report MC-36, Geological Society of America, Boulder, CO.
Cobb, K.M., C.D. Charles, H. Cheng, and R.L. Edwards, 2003: El Nino/Southern Oscillation and tropical Pacific climate during the last millennium. Nature, 424(6946), 271–276.
Collins, M., 2000a: The El-Nino Southern Oscillation in the second Hadley Centre coupled model and its response to greenhouse warming. J. Clim., 13, 1299–1312.
Collins, M., 2000b: Understanding uncertainties in the response of ENSO to greenhouse warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 3509–3513.
Cook, E.R., et al., 2004: Long-term aridity changes in the western United States. Science, 306(5698), 1015–1018.
Coughlin, K., and K.K. Tung, 2004: Eleven-year solar cycle signal throughout the lower atmosphere. J. Geophys. Res., 109, D21105, doi:10.1029/2004JD004873.
Crooks, S., 2004: Solar Influence On Climate. PhD Thesis, University of Oxford.
Crooks, S.A., and L.J. Gray, 2005: Characterization of the 11-year solar signal using a multiple regression analysis of the ERA-40 dataset. J. Clim., 18(7), 996–1015.
Crowley, T.J., 2000: Causes of climate change over the past 1000 years. Science, 289(5477), 270–277.
Crowley, T.J., et al., 2003: Modeling ocean heat content changes during the last millennium. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(18), 1932.
Cubasch, U., et al., 1997: Simulation of the influence of solar radiation variations on the global climate with an ocean-atmosphere general circulation model. Clim. Dyn., 13(11), 757–767.
Cubasch, U., et al., 2001: Projections of future climate change. In: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Houghton, J.T., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 99–181.
Curry, R., B. Dickson, and I. Yashayaev, 2003: A change in the freshwater balance of the Atlantic Ocean over the past four decades. Nature, 426, 826–829.
Dai, A., K.E. Trenberth, and T.R. Karl, 1999: Effects of clouds, soil, moisture, precipitation and water vapour on diurnal temperature range. J. Clim., 12, 2451–2473.
Dai, A., et al., 2004: The recent Sahel drought is real. Int. J. Climatol., 24, 1323–1331.
D’Arrigo, R., et al., 2005: On the variability of ENSO over the past six centuries. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32(3), L03711, doi:10.1029/2004GL022055.
Delworth, T.L., and T.R. Knutson, 2000: Simulation of early 20th century global warming. Science, 287, 2246–2250.
Delworth, T.L., and M.E. Mann, 2000: Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere. Clim. Dyn., 16(9), 661–676.
Delworth, T.L., V. Ramaswamy, and G.L. Stenchikov, 2005: The impact of aerosols on simulated ocean temperature and heat content in the 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L24709, doi:10.1029/2005GL024457.
Delworth, T., et al., 2002: Review of simulations of climate variability and change with the GFDL R30 coupled climate model. Clim. Dyn., 19, 555–574.
Dickson, R.R., et al., 2002: Rapid freshening of the deep North Atlantic Ocean over the past four decades. Nature, 416, 832–837.
Douglass, D.H., and B.D. Clader, 2002: Climate sensitivity of the Earth to solar irradiance. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(16), 1786.
Douglass, D.H., and R.S. Knox, 2005: Climate forcing by volcanic eruption of Mount Pinatubo. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L05710, doi:10.1029/2004GL022119.
Douglass, D.H., B.D. Pearson, and S.F. Singer, 2004: Altitude dependence of atmospheric temperature trends: Climate models versus observation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, doi:10.1029/2004GL020103.
Douville, H., 2006: Detection-attribution of global warming at the regional scale: How to deal with precipitation variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L02701, doi:10.1029/2005GL024967.
Douville, H., et al., 2002: Sensitivity of the hydrological cycle to increasing amounts of greenhouse gases and aerosols. Clim. Dyn., 20, 45–68.
Dumas, J.A., G.M. Flato, and A.J. Weaver, 2003: The impact of varying atmospheric forcing on the thickness of Arctic multi-year sea ice. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1918.
Dyurgerov, M.B., and M.F. Meier, 2005: Glaciers and the Changing Earth System: A 2004 Snapshot. Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, 117 pp.
Easterling, D.R., et al., 2000: Climate extremes: Observations, modeling and impacts. Science, 289, 2068–2074.
Egorova, T., et al., 2004: Chemical and dynamical response to the 11-year variability of the solar irradiance simulated with a chemistry-climate model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L06119, doi:10.1029/2003GL019294.
Elsner, J.B., X. Niu, and T.H. Jagger, 2004: Detecting shifts in hurricane rates using a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach. J. Clim., 17, 2652–2666.
Elsner, J.B., A.A. Tsonis, and T.H. Jagger, 2006: High-frequency variability in hurricane power dissipation and its relationship to global temperature. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 87, 763–768.
Emanuel, K., 2005: Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature, 436, 686–688.
Emori, S., and S.J. Brown, 2005: Dynamic and thermodynamic changes in mean and extreme precipitation under changed climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L17706, doi:10.1029/2005GL023272.
Esper, J., E.R. Cook, and F.H. Schweingruber, 2002: Low-frequency signals in long tree-ring chronologies for reconstructing past temperature variability. Science, 295(5563), 2250–2253.
Fichefet, T., B. Tartinville, and H. Goosse, 2003: Antarctic sea ice variability during 1958-1999: A simulation with a global ice-ocean model. J. Geophys. Res., 108(C3), 3102–3113.
Folland, C.K., T. N. Palmer, and D. E. Parker, 1986: Sahel rainfall and worldwide sea temperatures 1901-85. Nature, 320, 602–607.
Folland, C.K., et al., 2001: Observed variability and change. In: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Houghton, J.T., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 881pp.
Fomby, T.B., and T.J. Vogelsang, 2002: The application of size-robust trend statistics to global-warming temperature series. J. Clim., 15, 117–123.
Forest, C.E., M.R. Allen, A.P. Sokolov, and P.H. Stone, 2001: Constraining climate model properties using optimal fingerprint detection methods. Clim. Dyn., 18, 277–295.
Forest, C.E., et al., 2002: Quantifying uncertainties in climate system properties with the use of recent observations. Science, 295, 113.
Forest, D.J., P.H. Stone, and A.P. Sokolov, 2006: Estimated PDFs of climate system properties including natural and anthropogenic forcings. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L01705, doi:10.1029/2005GL023977.
Forster, P.M.D.F., and J.M. Gregory, 2006: The climate sensitivity and its components diagnosed from Earth radiation budget data. J. Clim., 19, 39–52.
Foukal, P., G. North, and T. Wigley, 2004: A stellar view on solar variations and climate. Science, 306, 68–69.
Foukal, P., C. Froehlich, H. Sruit, and T.M.L. Wigley, 2006: Variations in solar luminosity and their effect on Earth’s climate. Nature, 443, 161–166, doi:10.1038/nature05072.
Frame, D.J., et al., 2005: Constraining climate forecasts: The role of prior assumptions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L09702, doi:10.1029/2004GL022241.
Free, M., and J.K. Angell, 2002: Effect of volcanoes on the vertical temperature profile in radiosonde data. J. Geophys. Res., 107, doi:10.1029/2001JD001128.
Free, M., et al., 2005: Radiosonde Atmospheric Temperature Products for Assessing Climate (RATPAC): A new dataset of large-area anomaly time series. J. Geophys. Res., 110, D22101, doi:10.1029/2005JD006169.
Frich, P., et al., 2002: Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century. Clim. Res., 19, 193–212.
Fyfe, J.C., G.J. Boer, and G.M. Flato, 1999: The Arctic and Antarctic Oscillations and their projected changes under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 1601–1604.
Ganopolski, A., et al., 1998: The influence of vegetation-atmosphere-ocean interaction on climate during the mid-Holocene. Science, 280, 1916–1919.
Gedney, N., et al., 2006: Detection of a direct carbon dioxide effect in continental river runoff records. Nature, 439, 835–838.
Gent, P.R., and G. Danabasoglu, 2004: Heat uptake and the thermohaline circulation in the Coummunity Climate System Model, Version 2. J. Clim., 17, 4058–4069.
Gerber, S., et al., 2003: Constraining temperature variations over the last millennium by comparing simulated and observed atmospheric CO2. Clim. Dyn., 20(2–3), 281–299.
Giannini, A., R. Saravanan, and P. Chang, 2003: Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall on interannual to interdecadal time scales. Science, 302, 1027–1030.
Gibson, J.K., et al., 1997: ERA Description. ECMWF Reanalysis Project Report Series Vol. 1. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK, 66 pp.
Gilgen, H., M. Wild, and A. Ohmura, 1998: Means and trends of shortwave irradiance at the surface estimated from global energy balance archive data. J. Clim., 11, 2042–2061.
Gillett, N.P., 2005: Northern Hemisphere circulation. Nature, 437, 496.
Gillett, N.P., and D.W.J. Thompson, 2003: Simulation of recent Southern Hemisphere climate change. Science, 302, 273–275.
Gillett, N.P., H.F. Graf, and T.J. Osborn, 2003a: Climate change and the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: The North Atlantic Oscillation: Climate Significance and Environmental Impact [Hurrell, Y.K.J., G. Ottersen, and M. Visbeck (eds.)]. Geophysical Monograph Vol. 134, American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, pp. 193-209.
Gillett, N.P., R.J. Allan, and T.J. Ansell, 2005: Detection of external influence on sea level pressure with a multi-model ensemble. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32(19), L19714, doi:10.1029/2005GL023640.
Gillett, N.P., G.C. Hegerl, M.R. Allen, and P.A. Stott, 2000: Implications of changes in the Northern Hemispheric circulation for the detection of anthropogenic climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 993–996.
Gillett, N.P., F.W. Zwiers, A.J. Weaver, and P.A. Stott, 2003b: Detection of human influence on sea level pressure. Nature, 422, 292–294.
Gillett, N.P., A.J. Weaver, F.W. Zwiers, and M.D. Flannigan, 2004a: Detecting the effect of climate change on Canadian forest fires. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31(18), L18211, doi:10.1029/2004GL020876.
Gillett, N.P., A.J. Weaver, F.W. Zwiers, and M.F. Wehner, 2004b: Detection of volcanic influence on global precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31(12), L12217, doi:10.1029/2004GL020044.
Gillett, N.P., M.F. Wehner, S.F.B. Tett, and A.J. Weaver, 2004c: Testing the linearity of the response to combined greenhouse gas and sulfate aerosol forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L14201, doi:10.1029/2004GL020111.
Gillett, N.P., et al., 2002a: Reconciling two approaches to the detection of anthropogenic influence on climate. J. Clim., 15, 326–329.
Gillett, N.P., et al., 2002b: How linear is the Arctic Oscillation response to greenhouse gases? J. Geophys. Res., 107, doi: 10.1029/2001JD000589.
Gillett, N.P., et al., 2002c: Detecting anthropogenic influence with a multi-model ensemble. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, doi:10.1029/2002GL015836.
Gleckler, P.J., et al., 2006: Krakatoa’s signature persists in the ocean. Nature, 439, 675.
Gleisner, H., and P. Thejll, 2003: Patterns of tropospheric response to solar variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 44–47.
Goeberle, C., and R. Gerdes, 2003: Mechanisms determining the variability of Arctic sea ice conditions and export. J. Clim., 16, 2843–2858.
Goldewijk, K.K., 2001: Estimating global land use change over the past 300 years: The HYDE Database. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 15(2), 417–433.
Goldstein, M., and J. Rougier, 2004: Probabilistic formulations for transferring inferences from mathematical models to physical systems. SIAM J. Sci. Computing, 26(2), 467–487.
Gonzalez-Rouco, F., H. von Storch, and E. Zorita, 2003: Deep soil temperature as proxy for surface air-temperature in a coupled model simulation of the last thousand years. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(21), 2116, doi:10.1029/2003GL018264.
Goosse, H., and H. Renssen, 2001: A two-phase response of the Southern Ocean to an increase in greenhouse gas concentrations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28(18), 3469–3472.
Goosse, H., and H. Renssen, 2004: Exciting natural modes of variability by solar and volcanic forcing: idealized and realistic experiments. Clim. Dyn., 23(2), 153–163.
Goosse, H., et al., 2004: A late medieval warm period in the Southern Ocean as a delayed response to external forcing? Geophys. Res. Lett., 31(6), L06203, doi:10.1029/2003GL19140.
Errata Goosse, H., et al., 2005: Modelling the climate of the last millennium: What causes the differences between simulations? Geophys. Res. Lett., 32(6), L06710, doi:10.1029/2005GL022368.
Gray, L.J., R.G. Harrison, and J.D. Haigh, 2005: The Influence of Solar Changes on the Earth’s Climate. Hadley Centre Technical Note 62, The UK Met Office.
Greene, A.M., 2005: A time constant for hemispheric glacier mass balance. J. Glaciol., 51(174), 353–362.
Gregory, J.M., and P. Huybrechts, 2006: Ice-sheet contributions to future sea-level change. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London Ser. A, 364, 1709–1731.
Gregory, J.M., J.A. Lowe, and S.F.B. Tett, 2006: Simulated global-mean sea-level changes over the last half-millennium. J. Clim., 19, 4576–4591.
Gregory, J.M., et al., 2002a: An observationally based estimate of the climate sensitivity. J. Clim., 15(22), 3117–3121.
Gregory, J.M., et al., 2002b: Recent and future changes in Arctic sea ice simulated by the HadCM3 AOGCM. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 2175.
Gregory, J.M., et al., 2004: Simulated and observed decadal variability in ocean heat content. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L15312.
Groisman, P.Y., et al., 1999: Changes in the probability of heavy precipitation: Important indicators of climatic change. Clim. Change, 42, 243–283.
Groisman, P.Y., et al., 2005: Trends in intense precipitation in the climate record. J. Clim., 18, 1326–1350.
Haarsma, R.J., F. Selten, N. Weber, and M. Kliphuis, 2005: Sahel rainfall variability and response to greenhouse warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L17702, doi:10.1029/2005GL023232.
Haigh, J.D., 2003: The effects of solar variability on the Earth’s climate. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London Ser. A, 361, 95–111.
Hansen, J.E., M. Sato, and R. Ruedy, 1995: Long-term changes of the diurnal temperature cycle: implications about mechanisms of global climate change. Atmos. Res., 37, 175–209.
Hansen, J.E., M. Sato, and R. Ruedy, 1997: Radiative forcing and climate response. J. Geophys. Res., 102, 6831–6864.
Hansen, J., et al., 1984: Climate sensitivity: Analysis of feedback mechanisms. In: Climate Processes and Climate Sensitivity [Hansen, J.E., and T. Takahashi (eds.)]. Geophysical Monographs Vol. 29, American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, pp. 130–163.
Hansen, J., et al., 2002: Climate forcings in Goddard Institute for Space Studies SI2000 simulations. J. Geophys. Res., 107(D18), 4347.
Hansen, J., et al., 2005: Earth’s energy imbalance: Confirmation and implications. Science, 308, 1431–1435.
Harrison, S., and C. Prentice, 2003: Climate and CO2 controls on global vegetation distribution at the last glacial maximum: analysis based on palaeovegetation data, biome modelling and palaeoclimate simulations. Global Change Biol., 9, 983–1004.
Harrison, S., P. Braconnot, C. Hewitt, and R.J. Stouffer, 2002: Fourth international workshop of The Palaeoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP): launching PMIP Phase II. Eos, 83, 447.
Harvey, L.D.D., 2004: Characterizing the annual-mean climatic effect of anthropogenic CO2 and aerosol emissions in eight coupled atmosphere-ocean GCMs. Clim. Dyn., 23, 569–599.
Harvey, L.D.D., and R.K. Kaufmann, 2002: Simultaneously constraining climate sensitivity and aerosol radiative forcing. J. Clim., 15 (20), 2837–2861.
Hasselmann, K., 1976: Stochastic climate models. Part 1. Theory. Tellus, 28, 473–485.
Hasselmann, K., 1979: On the signal-to-noise problem in atmospheric response studies. In: Meteorology of Tropical Oceans [Shaw, D.B. (ed.)]. Royal Meteorological Society, Bracknell, UK, pp. 251–259.
Hasselmann, K., 1997: Multi-pattern fingerprint method for detection and attribution of climate change. Climate Dyn., 13, 601–612.
Hasselmann, K., 1998: Conventional and Bayesian approach to climate-change detection and attribution. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 124, 2541–2565.
Hegerl, G.C., and M.R. Allen, 2002: Origins of model-data discrepancies in optimal fingerprinting. J. Clim., 15, 1348–1356.
Hegerl, G.C., and J.M. Wallace, 2002: Influence of patterns of climate variability on the difference between satellite and surface temperature trends. J. Clim., 15, 2412–2428.
Hegerl, G.C., P.D. Jones, and T.P. Barnett, 2001: Effect of observational sampling error on the detection and attribution of anthropogenic climate change. J. Clim., 14, 198–207.
Hegerl, G.C., F.W. Zwiers, V.V. Kharin, and P.A. Stott, 2004: Detectability of anthropogenic changes in temperature and precipitation extremes. J. Clim., 17, 3683–3700.
Hegerl, G.C., T. Crowley, W.T. Hyde, and D. Frame, 2006a: Constraints on climate sensitivity from temperature reconstructions of the past seven centuries. Nature, 440, doi:10.1038/nature04679.
Hegerl, G.C., et al., 1996: Detecting greenhouse gas induced climate change with an optimal fingerprint method. J. Clim., 9, 2281–2306.
Hegerl, G.C., et al., 1997: Multi-fingerprint detection and attribution of greenhouse-gas and aerosol-forced climate change. Clim. Dyn., 13, 613–634.
Hegerl, G.C., et al., 2000: Detection and attribution of climate change: Sensitivity of results to climate model differences. Clim. Dyn., 16, 737–754.
Hegerl, G.C., et al., 2003: Detection of volcanic, solar and greenhouse gas signals in paleo-reconstructions of Northern Hemispheric temperature. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(5), 1242.
Hegerl, G.C., et al., 2006b: Climate change detection and attribution: beyond mean temperature signals. J. Clim., 19, 5058–5077.
Hegerl, G.C., et al., 2007: Detection of human influence on a new 1500yr climate reconstruction. J. Clim., 20, 650-666.
Held, I.M., and B.J. Soden, 2006: Robust responses of the hydrological cycle to global warming. J. Clim., 19, 5686–5699.
Held, I.M., et al., 2005: Simulation of Sahel drought in the 20th and 21st centuries. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 102(50), 17891–17896.
Highwood, E.J., B.J. Hoskins, and P. Berrisford, 2000: Properties of the Arctic tropopause. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 126, 1515–1532.
Hoerling, M.P., J.W. Hurrell, J. Eischeid, and A. Phillips, 2006: Detection and attribution of twentieth-century northern and southern African rainfall change. J. Clim., 19, 3989–4008.
Hoerling, M.P., et al., 2005: Twentieth century North Atlantic climate change. Part II: Understanding the effect of Indian Ocean warming. Clim. Dyn., 23, 391–405.
Hoffert, M.I., and C. Covey, 1992: Deriving global climate sensitivity from paleoclimate reconstructions. Nature, 360, 573–576.
Holland, M.M., and M.N. Raphael, 2006: Twentieth century simulation of the southern hemisphere climate in coupled models. Part II: sea ice conditions and variability. Clim. Dyn., 26, 229–245.
Holloway, G., and T. Sou, 2002: Has Arctic sea ice rapidly thinned? J. Clim., 15, 1691–1701.
Hoyt, D.V., and K.H. Schatten, 1993: A discussion of plausible solar irradiance variations, 1700-1992. J. Geophys. Res., 98, 18895–18906.
Huang, S.P., H.N. Pollack, and P.Y. Shen, 2000: Temperature trends ever the past five centuries reconstructed from borehole temperatures. Nature, 403(6771), 756–758.
Hulme, M., T.J. Osborn, and T.C. Johns, 1998: Precipitation sensitivity to global warming: Comparison of observations with HadCM2 simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 3379–3382.
Huntingford, C., P.A. Stott, M.R. Allen, and F.H. Lambert, 2006: Incorporating model uncertainty into attribution of observed temperature change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L05710, doi:10.1029/2005GL024831.
Hurrell, J.W., 1996: Influence of variations in extratropical wintertime teleconnections on Northern Hemisphere temperature. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 665–668.
Hurrell, J.W., M.P. Hoerling, A.S. Phillips, and T. Xu, 2005: Twentieth century North Atlantic climate change. Part I: Assessing determinism. Clim. Dyn., 23, 371–389.
IDAG (International Ad Hoc Detection and Attribution Group), 2005: Detecting and attributing external influences on the climate system: A review of recent advances. J. Clim., 18, 1291–1314.
IOCI, 2002: Climate Variability And Change In South West Western Australia, September 2002. Indian Ocean Climate Initiative, Perth, Australia, 34 pp.
IOCI, 2005: Indian Ocean Climate Initiative Stage 2: Report of Phase 1 Activity. Indian Ocean Climate Initiative, Perth, Australia, 42 pp.
IPCC, 1990: Climate Change: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Scientific Assessment [Houghton, J.T., G.J. Jenkins, and J.J. Ephraums (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 365 pp.
IPCC, 1996: Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change. Contribution of the Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Houghton, J.T., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 572 pp.
IPCC, 2001: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Houghton, J.T., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 881 pp.
Ishii, M., M. Kimoto, K. Sakamoto, and S.-I. Iwasaki, 2006: Steric sea level changes estimated from historical ocean subsurface temperature and salinity analyses. J. Oceanogr., 62, 155–170.
Ito, A., and J.E. Penner, 2005: Historical emissions of carbonaceous aerosols from biomass and fossil fuel burning for the period 1870-2000. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 19(2), GB2028, doi:10.1029/2004GB002374.
Johannssen, O.M., et al., 2004: Arctic climate change: observed and modeled temperature and sea-ice variability. Tellus, 56A, 328–341.
Jones, G.S., S.F.B. Tett, and P.A. Stott, 2003: Causes of atmospheric temperature change 1960-2000: A combined attribution analysis. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1228.
Jones, G.S., et al., 2005: Sensitivity of global scale attribution results to inclusion of climatic response to black carbon. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L14701, doi:10.1029/2005GL023370.
Jones, J.M., and M. Widmann, 2004: Early peak in Antarctic Oscillation index. Nature, 432, 290–291.
Jones, P.D., and M.E. Mann, 2004: Climate over past millennia. Rev. Geophys., 42(2), RG2002, doi:10.1029/2003RG000143.
Jones, P.D., T.J. Osborn, and K.R. Briffa, 2001: The evolution of climate over the last millennium. Science, 292(5517), 662–667.
Joos, F., et al., 2004: Transient simulations of Holocene atmospheric carbon dioxide and terrestrial carbon since the Last Glacial Maximum. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 18, 1–18.
Joussaume, S., and K.E. Taylor, 1995: Status of the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project. In: Proceedings of the First International AMIP Scientific Conference, WCRP-92, Monterey, USA. WMO/TD-No. 732, Geneva, Switzerland, pp. 425–430.
Kalnay, E., et al., 1996: The NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Project. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 77, 437–471.
Kaplan, J.O., I.C. Prentice, W. Knorr, and P.J. Valdes, 2002: Modeling the dynamics of terrestrial carbon storage since the Last Glacial Maximum. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(22), 2074.
Karl, T.R., and R.W. Knight, 1998: Secular trends of precipitation amount, frequency, and intensity in the USA. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 79, 231–241.
Karl, T.R., and K.E. Trenberth, 2003: Modern global climate change. Science, 302, 1719–1723.
Karl, T.R., S.J. Hassol, C.D. Miller, and W.L. Murray (eds.), 2006: Temperature Trends in the Lower Atmosphere: Steps for Understanding and Reconciling Differences. A Report by the Climate Change Science Program and Subcommittee on Global Change Research, Washington, DC, 180pp, http://www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/sap1-1/finalreport/default.htm.
Karoly, D.J., 2003: Ozone and climate change. Science, 302, 236–237.
Karoly, D.J., and K. Braganza, 2001: Identifying global climate change using simple indices. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 2205–2208.
Karoly, D.J., and K. Braganza, 2005a: Attribution of recent temperature changes in the Australian region. J. Clim., 18, 457–464.
Karoly, D.J., and K. Braganza, 2005b: A new approach to detection of anthropogenic temperature changes in the Australian region. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 89, 57–67.
Karoly, D.J., and Q. Wu, 2005: Detection of regional surface temperature trends. J. Clim., 18, 4337–4343.
Karoly, D.J., et al., 2003: Detection of a human influence on North American climate. Science, 302, 1200–1203.
Kass, R.E., and A.E. Raftery, 1995: Bayes Factors. J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 90, 773–795.
Katz, R.W., 1999: Extreme value theory for precipitation: Sensitivity analysis for climate change. Adv. Water Resour., 23, 133–139.
Kaufmann, R.K., and D.L. Stern, 2002: Cointegration analysis of hemispheric temperature relations. J. Geophys. Res., 107, 4012.
Kennedy, M.C., and A. O’Hagan, 2001: Bayesian calibration of computer models. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Ser. B, 63(3), 425–464.
Kettleborough, J.A., B.B.B. Booth, P.A. Stott, and M.R. Allen, 2007: Estimates of uncertainty in predictions of global mean surface temperature. J. Clim., 20, 843-855.
Kiktev, D., D. Sexton, L. Alexander, and C. Folland, 2003: Comparison of modelled and observed trends in indices of daily climate extremes. J. Clim., 16, 3560–3571.
Kim, S.J., G.M. Flato, G.J. Boer, and N.A. McFarlane, 2002: A coupled climate model simulation of the Last Glacial Maximum, part 1: Transient multi-decadal response. Clim. Dyn., 19(5–6), 515–537.
Kirchner, I., et al., 1999: Climate model simulation of winter warming and summer cooling following the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 19039–19055.
Kistler, R., et al., 2001: The NCEP-NCAR 50-year reanalysis: Monthly means CD-ROM and documentation. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 82, 247–267.
Kitoh, A., and S. Murakami, 2002: Tropical Pacific climate at the mid-Holocene and the Last Glacial Maximum simulated by a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model. Paleoceanography, 17(3), 1047, doi:10.1029/2001PA000724.
Klein Tank, A.M.G., and G.P. Können, 2003: Trends in indices of daily temperature and precipitation extremes in Europe, 1946-99. J. Clim., 16, 3665–3680.
Klein Tank, A.M.G., G.P. Können, and F.M. Selten, 2005: Signals of anthropogenic influence on European warming as seen in the trend patterns of daily temperature variance. Int. J. Climatol., 25, 1–16.
Knight, J.R., et al., 2005: A signature of persistent natural thermohaline circulation cycles in observed climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L20708, doi:10.1029/2005GL024233.
Knutson, T.R., S. Manabe, and D. Gu, 1997: Simulated ENSO in a global coupled ocean-atmosphere model: Multidecadal amplitude modulation and CO2 sensitivity. J. Clim., 10(1), 138–161.
Knutson, T.R., T.L. Delworth, K.W. Dixon, and R.J. Stouffer, 1999: Model assessment of regional surface temperature trends (1949-1997). J. Geophys. Res., 104, 30981–30996.
Knutson, T.R., et al., 2006: Assessment of twentieth-century regional surface temperature trends using the GFDL CM2 coupled models. J. Clim., 19, 1624–1651.
Knutti, R., T.F. Stocker, F. Joos, and G.-K. Plattner, 2002: Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles. Nature, 416, 719–723.
Knutti, R., T.F. Stocker, F. Joos, and G.-K. Plattner, 2003: Probabilistic climate change projections using neural networks. Clim. Dyn., 21, 257–272.
Kristjansson, J.E., 2002: Studies of the aerosol indirect effect from sulfate and black carbon aerosols. J. Geophys. Res., 107, doi: 10.1029/2001JD000887.
Kucera, M., et al., 2005: Reconstruction of sea-surface temperatures from assemblages of planktonic foraminifera: multi-technique approach based on geographically constrained calibration data sets and its application to glacial Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. Quat. Sci. Rev., 24(7–9), 951–998.
Kumar, A., F. Yang, L. Goddard, and S. Schubert, 2004: Differing trends in the tropical surface temperatures and precipitation over land and oceans. J. Clim., 17, 653–664.
Kunkel, K.E., X.-Z. Liang, J. Zhu, and Y. Lin, 2006: Can CGCMS simulate the twentieth century “warming hole” in the central United States? J. Clim., 19, 4137–4153.
Kushner, P.J., I.M. Held, and T.L. Delworth, 2001: Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation response to global warming. J. Clim., 14, 2238–3349.
Labitzke, K., 2004: On the signal of the 11-year sunspot cycle in the stratosphere and its modulation by the quasi, biennial oscillation. J. Atmos. Solar Terr. Phys., 66, 1151–1157.
Lal, M., and S.K. Singh, 2001: Global warming and monsoon climate. Mausam, 52, 245–262.
Lambert, F.H., P.A. Stott, M.R. Allen, and M.A. Palmer, 2004: Detection and attribution of changes in 20th century land precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31(10), L10203, doi:10.1029/2004GL019545.
Lambert, F.H., N.P. Gillett, D.A. Stone, and C. Huntingford, 2005: Attribution studies of observed land precipitation changes with nine coupled models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L18704, doi:10.1029/2005GL023654.
Lambert, S.J., and J.C. Fyfe, 2006: Changes in winter cyclone frequencies and strengths simulated in enhanced greenhouse warming experiments: Results from the models participating in the IPCC diagnostic exercise. Clim. Dyn., 26, 713–728.
Landsea, C.W., 2005: Hurricanes and global warming. Nature, 438, E11–E12.
Lean, J.L., J. Beer, and R. Bradley, 1995: Reconstruction of solar irradiance changes since 1610: Implications for climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 22, 3195.
Lean, J.L., Y.M. Wang, and N.R. Sheeley, 2002: The effect of increasing solar activity on the Sun’s total and open magnetic flux during multiple cycles: Implications for solar forcing of climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(24), 2224, doi:10.1029/2002GL015880.
Lee, T.C.K., F.W. Zwiers, X. Zhang, and M. Tsao, 2006: Evidence of decadal climate prediction skill resulting from changes in anthropogenic forcing. J. Clim., 19, 5305–5318.
Lee, T.C.K., et al., 2005: A Bayesian approach to climate change detection and attribution. J. Clim., 18, 2429–2440.
Leroy, S.S., 1998: Detecting climate signals: Some Bayesian aspects. J. Clim., 11, 640–651.
Levis, S., J.A. Foley, and D. Pollard, 1999: CO2, climate, and vegetation feedbacks at the Last Glacial Maximum. J. Geophys. Res., 104(D24), 31191–31198.
Levis, S., G.B. Bonan, and C. Bonfils, 2004: Soil feedback drives the mid-Holocene North African monsoon northward in fully coupled CCSM2 simulations with a dynamic vegetation model. Clim. Dyn., 23(7–8), 791–802.
Levitus, S., J. Antonov, and T. Boyer, 2005: Warming of the world ocean, 1955–2003. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L02604, doi:10.1029/2004GL021592.
Levitus, S., J. Antonov, T.P. Boyer, and C. Stephens, 2000: Warming of the world ocean. Science, 287, 2225–2229.
Levitus, S., et al., 2001: Anthropogenic warming of the Earth’s climate system. Science, 292, 267–270.
Liepert, B., 2002: Observed reductions of surface solar radiation at sites in the United States and worldwide from 1961 to 1990. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 1421.
Lindsay, R.W., and J. Zhang, 2005: The thinning of arctic sea ice, 1988-2003: Have we passed a tipping point? J. Clim., 18, 4879–4894.
Lindzen, R.S., and C. Giannitsis, 2002: Reconciling observations of global temperature change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, doi:10.1029/2001GL014074.
Liu, Z.Y., J. Kutzbach, and L.X. Wu, 2000: Modeling climate shift of El Nino variability in the Holocene. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27(15), 2265–2268.
Liu, Z.Y., et al., 2005: Atmospheric CO2 forcing on glacial thermohaline circulation and climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32(2), L02706, doi:10.1029/2004GL021929.
Lohmann, U., and G. Lesins, 2002: Stronger constraints on the anthropogenic indirect aerosol effect. Science, 298, 1012–1016.
Lohmann, U., and J. Feichter, 2005: Global indirect aerosol effects: A review. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5, 715–737.
Lorius, C., et al., 1990: The ice-core record: climate sensitivity and future greenhouse warming. Nature, 347, 139–145.
Lu, J., and T.L. Delworth, 2005: Oceanic forcing of the late 20th century Sahel drought. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L22706, doi:10.1029/2005GL023316.
Luterbacher, J., et al., 2002: Extending North Atlantic Oscillation reconstructions back to 1500. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 2(114–124).
Luterbacher, J., et al., 2004: European seasonal and annual temperature variability, trends, and extremes since 1500. Science, 303(5663), 1499–1503.
MacDonald, G.M., and R.A. Case, 2005: Variations in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation over the past millennium. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32(8), L08703, doi:10.1029/2005GL022478.
Mann, M.E., and P.D. Jones, 2003: Global surface temperature over the past two millennia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1820.
Mann, M.E., and K.A. Emanuel, 2006: Atlantic hurricane trends linked to climate change. Eos, 87, 233–241.
Mann, M.E., M.A. Cane, S.E. Zebiak, and A. Clement, 2005: Volcanic and solar forcing of the tropical Pacific over the past 1000 years. J. Clim., 18(3), 447–456.
Marshall, G.J., 2003: Trends in the Southern Annular Mode from observations and reanalyses. J. Clim., 16, 4134–4143.
Marshall, G.J., A. Orr, N.P.M. van Lipzig, and J.C. King, 2006: The impact of a changing Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode on Antarctic Peninsula summer temperatures. J. Clim., 19, 5388–5404.
Marshall, G.J., et al., 2004: Causes of exceptional atmospheric circulation changes in the Southern Hemisphere. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L14205, doi:10.1029/2004GL019952.
Masson-Delmotte, V., et al., 2006: Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints. Clim. Dyn., 26, 513–529.
Matthews, H.D., et al., 2004: Natural and anthropogenic climate change: incorporating historical land cover change, vegetation dynamics and the global carbon cycle. Clim. Dyn., 22(5), 461–479.
May, W., 2004: Potential future changes in the Indian summer monsoon due to greenhouse warming: analysis of mechanisms in a global time-slice experiment. Clim. Dyn., 22, 389–414.
Maynard, K., J.F. Royer, and F. Chauvin, 2002: Impact of greenhouse warming on the West African summer monsoon. Clim. Dyn., 19, 499–514.
McAvaney, B.J., et al., 2001: Model evaluation. In: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Houghton, J.T., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 471–525.
Mears, C.A., and F.J. Wentz, 2005: The effect of diurnal correction on satellite-derived lower tropospheric temperature. Science, 309, 1548–1551.
Mears, C.A., M.C. Schabel, and F.J. Wentz, 2003: A reanalysis of the MSU channel 2 tropospheric temperature record. J. Clim., 16, 3650–3664.
Meehl, G.A., J.M. Arblaster, and C. Tebaldi, 2005: Understanding future patterns of precipitation extremes in climate model simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L18719, doi:10.1029/2005GL023680.
Meehl, G.A., et al., 2003: Solar and greenhouse gas forcing and climate response in the 20th century. J. Clim., 16, 426–444.
Meehl, G.A., et al., 2004: Combinations of natural and anthropogenic forcings in 20th century climate. J. Clim., 17, 3721–3727.
Meier, M.F., M.B. Dyurgerov, and G.J. McCabe, 2003: The health of glaciers: Recent changes in glacier regime. Clim. Change, 59, 123–135.
Mendelssohn, R., S.J. Bograd, F.B. Schwing, and D.M. Palacios, 2005: Teaching old indices new tricks: A state-space analysis of El Niño related climate indices. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L07709, doi:10.1029/2005GL022350.
Menon, S., A.D. Del Genio, D. Koch, and G. Tselioudis, 2002a: GCM Simulations of the aerosol indirect effect: Sensitivity to cloud parameterization and aerosol burden. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 692–713.
Menon, S., J.E. Hansen, L. Nazarenko, and Y. Luo, 2002b: Climate effects of black carbon aerosols in China and India. Science, 297, 2250–2253.
Merryfield, W.J., 2006: Changes to ENSO under CO2 doubling in a multimodel ensemble. J. Clim., 19, 4009–4027.
Miller, R.L., G.A. Schmidt, and D.T. Shindell, 2006: Forced variations in the annular modes in the 20th century IPCC AR4 simulations. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D18101, doi:10.1029/2005JD006323.
Milly, P.C.D., K.A. Dunne, and A.V. Vecchia, 2005: Global patterns of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate. Nature, 438, 347–350.
Min, S.-K., and A. Hense, 2006a: A Bayesian approach to climate model evaluation and multi-model averaging with an application to global mean surface temperatures from IPCC AR4 coupled climate models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L08708, doi:10.1029/2006GL025779.
Min, S.-K., and A. Hense, 2006b: A Bayesian assessment of climate change using multi-model ensembles. Part I: Global mean surface temperature. J. Clim., 19, 3237–3256.
Min, S.-K., A. Hense, and W.-T. Kwon, 2005: Regional-scale climate change detection using a Bayesian decision method. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L03706, doi:10.1029/2004GL021028.
Min, S.-K., A. Hense, H. Paeth, and W.-T. Kwon, 2004: A Bayesian decision method for climate change signal analysis. Meteorol. Z., 13, 421–436.
Mitchell, J.F.B., C.A. Wilson, and W.M. Cunningham, 1987: On CO2 climate sensitivity and model dependence of results. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 113, 293–322.
Mitchell, J.F.B., et al., 2001: Detection of climate change and attribution of causes. In: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Houghton, J.T., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 695–738.
Mitchell, T.D., and P.D. Jones, 2005: An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climatological observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int. J. Climatol., 25, 693–712.
Moberg, A., et al., 2005: Highly variable Northern Hemisphere temperatures reconstructed from low- and high-resolution proxy data. Nature, 433, 613–617.
Monnin, E., et al., 2001: Atmospheric CO2 concentrations over the last glacial termination. Science, 291(5501), 112–114.
Montoya, M., H. von Storch, and T.J. Crowley, 2000: Climate simulation for 125,000 years ago with a coupled ocean-atmosphere General Circulation Model. J. Clim., 13, 1057–1070.
Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, M.P. Clark, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2005: Declining mountain snowpack in western North America. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 86, 39–49.
Moy, C.M., G.O. Seltzer, D.T. Rodbell, and D.M. Anderson, 2002: Variability of El Nino/Southern Oscillation activity at millennial timescales during the Holocene epoch. Nature, 420(6912), 162–165.
Murray, R.J., N.L. Bindoff, and C.J.C. Reason, 2007: Modelling decadal changes on the Indian Ocean Section I5 at 32°S. J. Clim., accepted.
Nagashima, T., et al., 2006: The effect of carbonaceous aerosols on surface temperature in the mid twentieth century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L04702, doi:10.1029/2005GL024887.
Neelin, J.D., et al., 2006: Tropical drying trends in global warming models and observations. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 103, 6110–6115.
Nesme-Ribes, E., et al., 1993: Solar dynamics and its impact on solar irradiance and the terrestrial climate. J. Geophys. Res., 98, 18923–18935.
New, M.G., M. Hulme, and P.D. Jones, 2000: Representing twentieth-century space-time climate variability. Part II: development of 1901-96 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate. J. Clim., 13, 2217–2238.
Nicholls, N., 2003: Continued anomalous warming in Australia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, doi:10.1029/2003GL017037.
Nicholls, N., 2005: Climate variability, climate change, and the Australian snow season. Aust. Meteorol. Mag., 54, 177–185.
Nicholls, N., P. Della-Marta, and D. Collins, 2005: 20th century changes in temperature and rainfall in New South Wales. Aust. Meteorol. Mag., 53, 263–268.
Nicholson, S.E., 2001: Climatic and environmental change in Africa during the last two centuries. Clim. Res., 17, 123–144.
North, G.R., and M. Stevens, 1998: Detecting climate signals in the surface temperature record. J. Clim., 11, 563–577.
North, G.R., K.-Y. Kim, S.S.P. Shen, and J.W. Hardin, 1995: Detection of forced climate signals. Part 1: Filter theory. J. Climate, 8, 401–408.
Novakov, T., et al., 2003: Large historical changes of fossil-fuel black carbon aerosols. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(6), 1324.
Nozawa, T., T. Nagashima, H. Shiogama, and S. Crooks, 2005: Detecting natural influence on surface air temperature in the early twentieth century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L20719, doi:10.1029/2005GL023540.
Oerlemans, J., 2005: Extracting a climate signal from 169 glacier records. Science, 308, 675–677.
O’Hagan, A., and J. Forster, 2004: Kendall’s Advanced Theory of Statistics. Volume 2b, Bayesian Inference. Arnold, London, 480 pp.
Ohmura, A., 2004: Cryosphere during the twentieth century, the state of the planet. In: The State of the Planet: Frontiers and Challenges in Geophysics [Sparks, R.S.J., and C.J. Hawkesworth (eds.)]. International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Washington, DC, pp. 239–257.
Oman, L., et al., 2005: Climatic response to high latitude volcanic eruptions. J. Geophys. Res., 110, D13103, doi:10.1029/2004JD005487.
Osborn, T.J., 2004: Simulating the winter North Atlantic Oscillation: the roles of internal variability and greenhouse gas forcing. Clim. Dyn., 22, 605–623.
Osborn, T.J., and M. Hulme, 1997: Development of a relationship between station and grid-box rainday frequencies for climate model evaluation. J. Clim., 10, 1885–1908.
Osborn, T.J., and K.R. Briffa, 2006: The spatial extent of 20th-century warmth in the context of the past 1200 years. Science, 311, 841–844.
Osborn, T.J., S. Raper, and K.R. Briffa, 2006: Simulated climate change during the last 1000 years: comparing the ECHO-G general circulation model with the MAGICC simple climate model. Clim. Dyn., 27, 185–197.
Osborn, T.J., et al., 1999: Evaluation of the North Atlantic Oscillation as simulated by a coupled climate model. Clim. Dyn., 15, 685–702.
Otto-Bliesner, B.L., 1999: El Nino La Nina and Sahel precipitation during the middle Holocene. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26(1), 87–90.
Otto-Bliesner, B.L., et al., 2003: Modeling El Nino and its tropical teleconnections during the last glacial-interglacial cycle. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(23), 2198, doi:10.1029/2003GL018553.
Paeth, H., A. Hense, R. Glowienka-Hense, and R. Voss, 1999: The North Atlantic Oscillation as an indicator for greenhouse-gas induced regional climate change. Clim. Dyn., 15, 953–960.
Palmer, M.A., L.J. Gray, M.R. Allen, and W.A. Norton, 2004: Solar forcing of climate: model results. Adv. Space Res., 34, 343–348.
Palmer, T.N., 1999: Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate. Rep. Prog. Phys., 63, 71–116.
Palmer, T.N., and J. Räisänen, 2002: Quantifying the risk of extreme seasonal precipitation events in a changing climate. Nature, 415, 512–514.
Parker, D.E., L.V. Alexander, and J. Kennedy, 2004: Global and regional climate in 2003. Weather, 59, 145–152.
Parker, D.E., et al., 1997: A new global gridded radiosonde temperature database and recent temperature trends. Geophys. Res. Lett., 24, 1499–1452.
Pasini, A., M. Lorè, and F. Ameli, 2006: Neural network modelling for the analysis of forcings/temperatures relationships at different scales in the climate system. Ecol. Model., 191, 58–67.
Peltier, W.R., 1994: Ice age paleotopography. Science, 265, 195–201.
Peltier, W.R., 2004: Global glacial isostasy and the surface of the ice-age Earth: the ICE-5G(VM2) model and GRACE. Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci., 32, 111–149.
Penner, J.E., S.Y. Zhang, and C.C. Chuang, 2003: Soot and smoke aerosol may not warm climate. J. Geophys. Res., 108(D21), 4657, doi:10.1029/2003JD003409.
Penner, J.E., et al., 1997: Anthropogenic aerosols and climate change: A method for calibrating forcing. In: Assessing Climate Change: Results from the Model Evaluation Consortium for Climate Assessment [Howe, W., and A. Henderson-Sellers (eds.)]. Gordon & Breach Science Publishers, Sydney, Australia, pp. 91–111.
Penner, J.E., et al., 2007: Effect of black carbon on mid-troposphere and surface temperature trends. In: Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Assessment [Schlesinger, M., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, in press.
Perlwitz, J., and H.-F. Graf, 2001: Troposphere-stratosphere dynamic coupling under strong and weak polar vortex conditions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 271–274.
Peterson, B.J., et al., 2002: Increasing river discharge to the Arctic Ocean. Science, 298, 2171–2173.
Pezza, A.B., and I. Simmonds, 2005: The first South Atlantic hurricane: Unprecedented blocking, low shear and climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L15712, doi:10.1029/2005GL023390.
Pielke, R.A. Jr., 2005: Are there trends in hurricane destruction? Nature, 438, E11.
Pielke, R.A. Jr., et al., 2005: Hurricanes and global warming. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 86, 1571–1575.
Pierce, D.W., et al., 2006: Anthropogenic warming of the oceans: observations and model results. J. Clim., 19, 1873–1900.
Pinker, R.T., B. Zhang, and E.G. Dutton, 2005: Do satellites detect trends in surface solar radiation? Science, 308, 850–854.
Pollack, H.N., and J.E. Smerdon, 2004: Borehole climate reconstructions: Spatial structure and hemispheric averages. J. Geophys. Res., 109, D11106, doi:10.1029/2003JD004163.
Prentice, I.C., and T. Webb, 1998: BIOME 6000: reconstructing global mid-Holocene vegetation patterns from palaeoecological records. J. Biogeogr., 25(6), 997–1005.
Prentice, I.C., and D. Jolly, 2000: Mid-Holocene and glacial-maximum vegetation geography of the northern continents and Africa. J. Biogeogr., 27(3), 507–519.
Qian, T., A. Dai, K.E. Trenberth, and K.W. Oleson, 2006: Simulation of global land surface conditions from 1948 to 2002: Part I: Forcing data and evaluations. J. Hydrometeorol., 7, 953–975.
Ramanathan, V., P.J. Crutzen, J.T. Kiehl, and D. Rosenfeld, 2001: Aerosols, climate, and the hydrological cycle. Science, 294, 2119–2124.
Ramanathan, V., et al., 2005: Atmospheric brown clouds: Impacts on South Asian climate and hydrological cycle. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 102, 5326–5333.
Ramankutty, N., and J.A. Foley, 1999: Estimating historical changes in global land cover: Croplands from 1700 to 1992. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 13(4), 997–1027.
Ramaswamy, V., et al., 2001: Radiative forcing of climate change. In: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Houghton, J.T., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 349–416.
Randel, W.J., and F. Wu, 2006: Biases in stratospheric temperature trends derived from historical radiosonde data. J. Clim., 19, 2094–2104.
Raper, S.C.B., J.M. Gregory, and R.J. Stouffer, 2002: The role of climate sensitivity and ocean heat uptake on AOGCM transient temperature response. J. Clim., 15, 124–130.
Rauthe, M., A. Hense, and H. Paeth, 2004: A model intercomparison study of climate change-signals in extratropical circulation. Int. J. Climatol., 24, 643–662.
Reader, M., and G. Boer, 1998: The modification of greenhouse gas warming by the direct effect of sulphate aerosols. Clim. Dyn., 14, 593–607.
Reichert, B.K., L. Bengtsson, and J. Oerlemans, 2002a: Recent glacier retreat exceeds internal variability. J. Clim., 15, 3069–3081.
Reichert, B.K., R. Schnur, and L. Bengtsson, 2002b: Global ocean warming tied to anthropogenic forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(11), 1525.
Rigor, I.G., J.M. Wallace, and R.L. Colony, 2002: Response of sea ice to the Arctic Oscillation. J. Clim., 15, 2648–2668.
Rind, D., J. Perlwitz, and P. Lonergan, 2005a: AO/NAO response to climate change. Part I: The respective influences of stratospheric and tropospheric climate changes. J. Geophys. Res., 110, D12107, doi:10.1029/2004JD005103.
Rind, D., J. Perlwitz, and P. Lonergan, 2005b: AO/NAO response to climate change. Part II: The relative importance of low and high latitude temperature changes. J. Geophys. Res., 110, D12108, doi:10.1029/2004JD005686.
Rind, D., et al., 2004: The relative importance of solar and anthropogenic forcing of climate change between the Maunder Minimum and the present. J. Clim., 17(5), 906–929.
Robock, A., 2000: Volcanic eruptions and climate. Rev. Geophys., 38(2), 191–219.
Robock, A., and Y. Liu, 1994: The volcanic signal in Goddard Institute for Space Studies three-dimensional model simulations. J. Clim., 7, 44–55.
Rothrock, D.A., J. Zhang, and Y. Yu, 2003: The arctic ice thickness anomaly of the 1990s: A consistent view from observations and models. J. Geophys. Res., 108(C3), 3083, doi:10.1029/2001JC001208.
Rotstayn, L.D., and J.E. Penner, 2001: Forcing, quasi-forcing and climate response. J. Clim., 14, 2960–2975.
Rotstayn, L.D., and U. Lohmann, 2002: Tropical rainfall trends and the indirect aerosol effect. J. Clim., 15, 2103–2116.
Rotstayn, L.D., and Y. Liu, 2003: Sensitivity of the first indirect aerosol effect to an increase of cloud droplet spectral dispersion with droplet number concentration. J. Clim., 16, 3476–3481.
Rowell, D.P., 1996: Reply to comments by Y.C. Sud and W.K.-M. Lau. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 122, 1007–1013.
Rowell, D.P., 2003: The Impact of Mediterranean SSTs on the Sahelian rainfall season. J. Clim., 16, 849–862.
Ruzmaikin, A., and J. Feynman, 2002: Solar influence on a major mode of atmospheric variability. J. Geophys. Res., 107(D14), doi:10.1029/2001JD001239.
Rybski, D., A. Bunde, S. Havlin, and H. von Storch, 2006: Long-term persistence in climate and the detection problem. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L06718, doi:10.1029/2005GL025591.
Santer, B.D., T.M.L. Wigley, T. Barnett, and E. Anyamba, 1996a: Detection of climate change and attribution of causes. In: Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Houghton, J.T. et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 407–444.
Santer, B.D., et al., 1996b: A search for human influences on the thermal structure of the atmosphere. Nature, 382, 39–46.
Santer, B.D., et al., 1996c: Reply to “Human effect on global climate?” Nature, 384, 522–525.
Santer, B.D., et al., 2000: Interpreting differential temperature trends at the surface and in the lower troposphere. Science, 287, 1227–1231.
Santer, B.D., et al., 2001: Accounting for the effects of volcanoes and ENSO in comparisons of modeled and observed temperature trends. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 28033–28059.
Santer, B.D., et al., 2003a: Contributions of anthropogenic and natural forcing to recent tropopause height changes. Science, 301, 479–483.
Santer, B.D., et al., 2003b: Behavior of tropopause height and atmospheric temperature in models, reanalyses, and observations: Decadal changes. J. Geophys. Res., 108(D1), 4002.
Santer, B.D., et al., 2003c: Influence of satellite data uncertainties on the detection of externally-forced climate change. Science, 300, 1280–1284.
Santer, B.D., et al., 2004: Identification of anthropogenic climate change using a second-generation reanalysis. J. Geophys. Res., 109, doi:10.1029/2004JD005075.
Santer, B.D., et al., 2005: Amplification of surface temperature trends and variability in the tropical atmosphere. Science, 309, 1551–1556.
Sato, M., J.E. Hansen, M.P. McCormick, and J.B. Pollack, 1993: Stratospheric aerosol optical depths, 1850-1990. J. Geophys. Res., 98, 22987–22994.
Scaife, A.A., J.R. Knight, G.K. Vallis, and C.K. Folland, 2005: A stratospheric influence on the winter NAO and North Atlantic surface climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L18715, doi:10.1029/2005GL023226.
Schär, C., and G. Jendritzky, 2004: Hot news for summer 2003. Nature, 432, 559–560.
Schär, C., et al., 2004: The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heat waves. Nature, 427, 332–336
Scherrer, S.C., C. Appenzeller, and M. Laternser, 2004: Trends in Swiss alpine snow days – the role of local and large scale climate variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, doi:10.1029/2004GL020255.
Scherrer, S.C., C. Appenzeller, M. A. Linger and C. Schär, 2005: European temperature distribution changes in observations and climate change scenarios. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, doi:10.1029/2005GL024108.
Schlesinger, M.E., and N. Ramankutty, 1992: Implications for global warming of intercycle solar irradiance variations. Nature, 360, 330–333.
Schlesinger, M.E., and N. Ramankutty, 1994: An oscillation in the global climate system of period 65-70 years. Nature, 367, 723–726.
Schneider, T., 2004: The tropopause and the thermal stratification in the extratropics of a dry atmosphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1317–1340.
Schneider, T., and I.M. Held, 2001: Discriminants of twentieth-century changes in Earth surface temperatures. J. Clim., 14, 249–254.
Schneider von Deimling, T., H. Held, A. Ganopolski, and S. Rahmstorf, 2006: C
I leave the stupid insults to you JN, every time you ‘mouth off’ at climate scientists you are being stupidly insulting.
Here is some pleasant music to help you chill and calm down . I can recommend L’ Arte del Violino too, especially that one shown performed by Elizabeth Wallfisch and the Raglan Baroque Players.
Here are some more to continue Wows list, do you know where this comes from JustNuts?
Schnur, R., and K. Hasselmann, 2005: Optimal fi ltering for Bayesian detection of climate change. Clim. Dyn., 24, 45–55.
Schwartz, S.E., 1993: Does fossil fuel combustion lead to global warming? Energy Int. J., 18, 1229–1248.
Schwartz, S.E., 2004: Uncertainty requirements in radiative forcing of climate change. J. Air Waste Manage. Assoc., 54, 1351–1359.
Seidel, D.J., R.J. Ross, J.K. Angell, and G.C. Reid, 2001: Climatological characteristics of the tropical tropopause as revealed by radiosondes. J.
Geophys. Res., 106, 7857–7878.
Selten, F.M., G.W. Branstator, H.A. Dijkstra, and M. Kliphuis, 2004: Tropical origins for recent and future Northern Hemisphere climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L21205, doi:10.1029/2004GL020739.
Semenov, V.A., and L. Bengtsson, 2002: Secular trends in daily precipitation characteristics: Greenhouse gas simulation with a coupled AOGCM.
Clim. Dyn., 19, 123–140.
Senior, C.A., and J.F.B. Mitchell, 2000: The time dependence of climate sensitivity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 2685–2689.
Sexton, D.M.H., 2001: The effect of stratospheric ozone depletion on the phase of the Antarctic Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 3697–3700.
Sexton, D.M.H., D.P. Rowell, C.K. Folland, and D.J. Karoly, 2001: Detection of anthropogenic climate change using an atmospheric GCM.
Clim. Dyn., 17, 669–685.
Sexton, D.M.H., H. Grubb, K.P. Shine, and C.K. Folland, 2003: Design and analysis of climate model experiments for the effi cient estimation of anthropogenic signals. J. Clim., 16, 1320–1336.
Sherwood, S., J. Lanzante, and C. Meyer, 2005: Radiosonde daytime biases and late-20th century warming. Science, 309, 1156–1159.
Shin, S.I., et al., 2003: A simulation of the last glacial maximum climate using the NCAR-CCSM. Clim. Dyn., 20(2–3), 127–151.
Shindell, D.T., and G.A. Schmidt, 2004: Southern Hemisphere climate response to ozone changes and greenhouse gas increases. Geophys. Res.Lett., 31, L18209, doi:10.1029/2004GL020724.
Shindell, D.T., R.L. Miller, G.A. Schmidt, and L. Pandolfo, 1999: Simulation of recent northern winter climate trends by greenhouse-gas forcing. Nature, 399, 452–455.
Shindell, D.T., G.A. Schmidt, R.L. Miller, and D. Rind, 2001a: Northern Hemispheric climate response to greenhouse gas, ozone, solar and volcanic forcing. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 7193–7210.
Shindell, D.T., G.A. Schmidt, R.L. Miller, and M.E. Mann, 2003: Volcanic and solar forcing of climate change during the preindustrial era. J. Clim., 16(24), 4094–4107.
Shindell, D.T., et al., 2001b: Solar forcing of regional climate change during the Maunder Minimum. Science, 294(5549), 2149–2152.
Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and T. Nozawa, 2005: Anthropogenic and natural forcing impacts on ENSO-like decadal variability during the second half of the 20th century. Geophys. Res.
Lett., 32, L21714, doi:10.1029/2005GL023871.
Shiogama, H., et al., 2006: Infl uence of volcanic activity and changes in solar irradiance on surface air temperatures in the early twentieth century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L09702, doi:10.1029/2005GL025622.
Simmons, A.J., and J.K. Gibson, 2000: The ERA-40 Project Plan. ERA- 40 Project Report Series, Vol. 1, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK, 62 pp.
Smith, R.L., T.M.L. Wigley, and B.D. Santer, 2003: A bivariate time series approach to anthropogenic trend detection in hemispheric mean temperatures. J. Clim., 16, 1228–1240.
Soden, B.J., R.T. Wetherald, G.L. Stenchikov, and A. Robock, 2002: Global cooling after the eruption of Mount Pinatubo: A test of climate feedback by water vapor. Science, 296(5568), 727–730.
Soden, B.J., et al., 2005: The radiative signature of upper tropospheric moistening. Science, 310(5749), 841–844.
Solow, A.R., and L.J. Moore, 2002: Testing for trend in North Atlantic hurricane activity, 1900-98. J. Clim., 15, 3111–3114.
Spagnoli, B., et al., 2002: Detecting climate change at a regional scale: the case of France. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, doi:10.1029/2001GL014619.
Stanhill, G., and S. Cohen, 2001: Global dimming, a review of the evidence for a widespread and signifi cant reduction in global radiation with a discussion of its probable causes and possible agricultural consequences.
Agric. Forest Meteorol., 107, 255–278.
Stark, S., R.A. Wood, and H.T. Banks, 2006: Reevaluating the causes of observed changes in Indian Ocean water masses. J. Clim., 19, 4075– 4086.
Stenchikov, G.L., et al., 2002: Arctic Oscillation response to the 1991 Mount Pinatubo eruption: Effects of volcanic aerosols and ozone depletion. J. Geophys. Res., 107, 4803.
Stenchikov, G., et al., 2004: Arctic Oscillation response to the 1991 Pinatubo eruption in the SKYHI GCM with a realistic Quasi-Biennial Oscillation.
J. Geophys. Res., 109, D03112, doi:10.1029/2003JD003699.
Stenchikov, G., et al., 2006: Arctic Oscillation response to volcanic eruptions in the IPCC AR4 climate models. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D07107, doi:10.1029/2005JD006286.
Stendel, M., I.A. Mogensen, and J.H. Christensen, 2006: Infl uence of various forcings on global climate in historical times using a coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation model. Clim. Dyn., 26, 1–15.
Stern, D.I., 2005: Global sulfur emissions from 1850 to 2000. Chemosphere, 58, 163–175.
Stone, D.A., and A.J. Weaver, 2002: Daily minimum and maximum temperature trends in a climate model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, doi:10.1029/2001GL014556.
Stone, D.A., and A.J. Weaver, 2003: Factors contributing to diurnal temperature trends in twentieth and twenty-fi rst century simulations of the CCCma coupled model. Clim. Dyn., 20, 435–445.
Stone, D.A., and M.R. Allen, 2005a: The end-to-end attribution problem: From emissions to impacts. Clim. Change, 71, 303–318.
Stone, D.A., and M.R. Allen, 2005b: Attribution of global surface warming without dynamical models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L18711, doi:10.1029/2005GL023682.
You see all the scientists that your insulting, both Curry and Lindzen is in their somewhere the latter with this: ‘Reconciling observations of global temperature change.‘ and he is still trying and failing. I don’t think he has heard of ‘equilibrium climate sensitivity‘.
Sheesh, look at it.
All that whining and complaining over 18+ months and not even a “thank you” from joan.
Anyone would think they’d not wanted an answer so they could continue whining.
Stuoid beyond belief … Absolutely amazing how stupid some people can make themselves …
Yeah, we noticed. Dumb as a sack of rubber spanners you are, joan.
However, you seem unwilling to stop making an obvious idiot out of yourself.
Probably because you’re too dumb to realise.
Again Wow, you demonstrate that you have no clue. You copy a long list of referneces that everybody can find. But you haven’t read them, and you don’t know where to look or what to look after.
Same goes for Lionel. A long list which he hasn’t read. Just hopes contains something along the lines of his beliefs.
Lionel, I did not have the impression that you were quite as stupid as signature ‘Wow’ who is so clueless it defies belief. But now you too seem to argue that the contents of the publications aren’t relevant. Just their existence!?
And you too (like many others) want to imply that you speak for ‘the climate scientists’ when your not, when you post references you’ve never read or wouldn’t understand.
And pretend to be ‘insulted’ on their behalf. Jeffie tried the same thing. But it is not the smartest trick when you don’t even know what they are saying, or what is argued or questioned. And linking unread reports just gives this away …
You’re repeated linking and referring to cheap activism like Joe Romm, John Cook, Naomi Oreskes etc gives the impression you are more like a highschool kid ..
Also the reference to your posession of some books. I think you could aim at seeming a little bit more mature than that.
“cheap activism ”
Ah the big giveaway from the Cubicle Kid.
CorporateWorld don’t like activism, because it’s practiced by ‘activists’. ‘Activists’ is dirty word in CorporateWorld as it generally describes people trying to effect change, usually of a social nature.
CorporateWorld much prefers ‘lobbyists’ because they’re then getting the kind of change that they’ve paid for. Jonarse never has a bad word to say about any fellow lobbyists for obvious reasons.
Worth recalling next time the word ‘activism/activist’ is used as a derogatory by Cubicle Kid as yet another in his endless supply of avoidance mechanisms.
They don’t like activism they don’t involve themselves in.
“You copy a long list of referneces that everybody can find.”
So, joan, 18+ months whining and all for a list of stuff that you insist anyone could have found. Which you’d not managed for 18+ months despite all your insistence on getting it.
Do you realise that they will now have to recalibrate the scale of how hard you can fail?
You have broken the failometer.
“But you haven’t read them, and you don’t know where to look or what to look after. ”
1) Wrong. I know what to look for.
2) You, however, do not appear to, despite your protestations of how clever and smart and brilliant you are
3) You demanded to see the science papers. Well there they are.
Is the problem that you have spent 18+ months and you wasted all that time complaining and now you have the answer, you don’ t know what to do with it?
You know, like Steve McIntyre with his CRU data.
I use ‘activism’ as a description for those who aren’t interested in finding out about reality, but rather who further a specific goal, belief or agenda.
You seem obsessed with the ‘corperate world’, as does Jeff and Oreskes, and many more activits on your side.
I couldn’t care less.
I asked about the best arguments you believers (that’s in the most positve sense) had for believing the IPCCs most prominent AR4 claim.
You all confirmed that you really believed it, but none of you had ever seen it, nor do you know anyone who has. It’s all grapewine hearsay. Which I pointed out, since no one I’ve ever asked has seen any such science. And beleive me, I have asked a bunch of pro IPCC climate scientists as well. And promoters of IPCC-style consensus. The simply hadn’t seen any such science.
Now some of you almost managed to acknowledge that there really isn’t any proper science establishing those quantitative magnitudes. Just barely. Jeff at some point seemed to realize that. But couldn’t really handle the consequences of that insight.
Others, some with PhDs, refused and tried the most stupid tricks to get around this embarrassing fact of lack of proper science. That the IPCC SPM essentially just pulled that claim out of their hat. Bernard J for instance. He wanted to talk about all the other references that didn’t include said science instead. Or make stupid wagers about future arctic ice which I never even addressed. And Lionel and Wow here, the don’t even know what the question is. Wow even tries first to link to a monsoon paper, showing that observations didn’t match GHG-based models, and later on to convince himself that it the question was about the mere existence of references. Lionel chirps in with a boatload more of references he hasn’t read, like a highschool kid.
You just couldn’t make this up, chek. The funny thing though is that you all want to make this lack of substance my fault. And even some imagined corporate backing.
While in reality, things are rather simple. Show me the proper science, or implicitly admit that you have no clue. I’m certainly not gonna blame Wow for not finding any, or Lionel, or bill, ianam and all the others. But those of you who have degrees or even positions and published reports, and who made these claims but never could deliver on your assertions, you I’m going to remind of your failures.
I can’t claim to have 1st hand insight into how the activist’s brains function. But I’ve seen Jeff’s responses and handling himslef first hand for 1½ years, and several others to. And the extent of reckless reality defeating nonsense spouted to defend his boneheaded beliefs in a counterfactual world is truly astounding. I would have expected such behavior from late teenage leftist cells in the seventies. Not from grown men in their sixties.
But the observations are real. Jeff Harvey has made these comments and (afaik) no imposter has written all the crazy things he has. Same goes for you. Not quite as mad, but just some comments ago you argued both that the was such science and that I was denying any A in AGW.
I don’t know why you made such claims. But I assume that you thought this would serve your position somehow. I just don’t understand how. One is easily refuted, in this very thread, the other would be easily demonstrable if it were true. And soon six years have passed and nobody has managed ..
Where does that leave you bunch? Well I guess you have to obsess about corporate lobbyists doing som shady stuff that causes the climatealarmism to underperfrom science- and opinionwise …
And again counterfactual. Neither any monies or any campaigns are anywhere to be seen. But GreenPeace ExxonSecrets believs to have found som peanutcrumbs somwhere .. ‘linked to’ something they dislike.
Well. As always, handling numbers and magnitudes just isn’t the thing for the activist side, is it chek?
You say you “know what to look for” and link to a scepticism confirming paper about monsoon patterns.
End of story!
You just couldn’t look more stupid than that!
I never demanded the list entire of references. And you are definitely not the first faither to try that. Instead I asked specifically for those references that estalished that AR4 claim with proper science. You even wrote that your first two references (yes, you got that number right, which is about the accuracies you’ve achieved), that they did confirm that claim. And they didn’t. They even showed something that more leans towards my side regarding the the bigger picture.
So you made a fool out of yourself, and were caught with your trousers at your ankles. You then tried a much longer list of references which you had not read either. And again you look like the fool.
I have no idea why you freel make such a fool out of yourself. But I will remind you of this. And that you earlier asked: What does it matter if there is science behind that AR4 claim.
I don’t even need to add anything here. You are doing the job for me!
“You say you “know what to look for” and link to a scepticism confirming paper about monsoon patterns.”
I know this is astronomically beyond your grasp, but if you’re going to attribute AGW to climate change, you have to know how the climate has changed first.
You, on the other hand, cannot see why you need to know about monsoons.
Apparently the failometer will need ANOTHER fix.
Damn, you’re failing hard today.
“I never demanded the list entire of references.”
Yes you did.
“I asked specifically for those references that estalished that AR4 claim with proper science.”
And that is what you got.
Hey, has anyone else got a philips screwdriver so I can fix my effing failometer.
This retard is breaking the damn thing faster than I can tighten the bloody thing..!
“I use ‘activism’ as a description”
Yes, and you use that description to dimiss great scientists of the calibre of for example James Hansen, for the gang of doublle-digit IQs you hang with as your security blanket.
Watts and Montford do the same, but it only works on your unchallenged home turf. Don’t bring that shit here. You’ve got way too much reading to do before you have any valid questions regarding attribution first.
Don’t you use allot of words to say nothing.
ExxonSecrets – spider diagram of connections aside here is another side of the same coin:
International Forum on Globalization: Kochtopus “Carbon Billionaires” Create “Climate Deadlock”
But still you will rant (I could have used the words ‘flail around’ if you hadn’t been Black Knighted) at the moon about how this is all a part of some communist plot led by Al Gore. Why are you so fixated about him I guess it is because this idiot likes to use Gore as a punchbag:
Monckton Banned From UN Climate Process For Offensive Stunt.
ROTFL – at last the clown is treated like one, nice. He being someone else who’s credibility flushed down the toilet many moons ago. So keep spinning and digging.
I’ll probably not bother you again here. I only commented on another thread about an item of which you should take notice not because I was scared or anything but because at some point one should stop wrestling with a pig as the pig likes getting dirty and thus discussing anything to do with science with you is literally a waste of time but that does not mean that the pig should be allowed to wallow in ignorance as well as *****.
chek, that ‘great scientist’ Jim Hansen promised meter of sea level rise the reminder of this century, because ‘he knows things other don’t’
He ceased to be a scientist long before that.
And he is not even part of the argument here.You are just rying to escape the inevitable. Montford or Watts aren’t part of this either. But your fantasies about them are a core part of your belief system.
I have been asking for ‘the reading to do’ here since 1½ years. And you bozos have been deflecting for as long. For the most obvious reason there is … Because you don’t have anything better.
And Wow makes the most stupid claims imaginable. Even Jeffie wasn’t ever this idiotic! He is insane in many other ways, primarily his imaginations about his ‘opposition’. But he stayed away from such displays of stupidity!
“chek, that ‘great scientist’ Jim Hansen promised meter of sea level rise the reminder of this century, because ‘he knows things other don’t’”
Can you do us a favour?
Go look at the year on your calendar. Ask a grown-up for help in translating it.
“You are just rying to escape the inevitable. Montford or Watts aren’t part of this either.”
Yes they are.
“I have been asking for ‘the reading to do’ here since 1½ years.”
And apparently you insist that anyone could have found the answer in no time at all.
Anyone buy you apparently.
Too dumb to remember to breathe in.
“And Wow makes the most stupid claims imaginable.”
What claims would those be, joan?
You’re exhibiting exactly the same signs as dementia, you know.
But that isn’t the case.
You’re just too dumb to read. Too thick to think. Too lost for words.
I have seen ExxonSecrets. There is no beef there. I know of the obsesssion with the Koch brothers. There is no beef there either. Neither is there any with that two decade old Lancaster story.
Now you bring up Monckton as an argument for what? He is Al Gores counterpart, and about 100 times as knowledgable. And nothing I need to rely on.
Look Lionel, the stupidity abounds on your side. Al Gore is just one of them. Most politicians, churnolists, activists and NGOs are in there.
None of this proves the climate scare hypothesis wrong. But it seems that you heavily rely on stupid narratives as presented by Oreskes and others. While totally avoiding the relevant topics.
Look. I could number all the idiots arguing on your side and I would outnumber the cranks you can imagine (mostly wrongly) on the sceptical side by several orders of magnitudes.
But they are not an argument for why your side is wrong. They just illustrate the number of cooks lining up with your belief system hoping that it’d further their agenda.
Can’t you try to argue a bit above that sandbox level? Or is Wow really the standard here?
Monsoon patters that disagree with GHGs forcing models?
This game is getting beyond your pay grade, Jonarse. You’re making nonsensical non-sequiturs now because you’re disassociated from the meaning of what you’ve previously just said. Which is what happens to most liars and charlatans.
I’m pretty sure Jim would have felt a certain degree of schadenfreude at seeing New York’s West Side Highway under water last month.
If you had any beef here, you’d put it forward by now. Instead you talk about nonsens like ‘pay grade’ ‘corporate world’ to evade the substance.
Hansen has been spectacularly wrong. Even if you guys would like to move the goal posts. Forget him. Let him torture GISS data as best as he can get away with. He is essentially irrelvant. Why do you want to bring him up when the IPCC cannot even support its own claims? Jim Hansen if he could would probably has done his best to reinforce it …
But it’s still not in there, chek. You are almost at Wow level in your beliefs …
Deflection is all you have left, Jonarse. You sure as hell can’t deal with that list of papers or the meaning contained therein. Or the predictions of the likes of Jim Hansen.
Luckily for you, your double digit IQ gang still fall for the ‘look over there! A squirrel! ruse. For the moment.
Well, it’s got to be hard for an old doddering drooling idiot to find out that 18 or more months of hard work was all for naught and if he’d gotten off his fat arse rather than demand aid of others (what a bloody leech!), he’d have had his demand answered within days at most.
Too dumb to read, too thick to think. And angry at the world not doing what he wants. Proper princess, him.
“Let him torture GISS data as best as he can get away with.”
Another two-faced demand from the dimmest of the dim.
Apparently he’s the only one allowed to move goalposts.
Really, joan? Got any proof of that or is this one of the (literally!) countless number of unsupported that are almost entirely wrong?
I have been asking for those references since almost day one here. And nobody could provide them. The deflection attempts have been on your side!
The stupid list of papers dealing with (sometimes completely) different things are what have been attempted deflections.
Now sign Wow is so increadibly stupid, he probably doesn’t know that a skeptic publication about monsson patters does not affirm that AR4 claim anyhow. But the not quite as stupid characters here know and understand this of course. But are too activist too acknowlwge the obvious.
And Jim Hansen still is no part of this discussion. Maybe one of your ‘heroes’ but I don’t even see any need for ripping his stupidities to shreads.
Before you faithers realize that your are faithers wrt tp IPCC claims …
“Another two-faced demand from the dimmest of the dim.
Apparently he’s the only one allowed to move goalposts.
Really, joan? Got any proof of that or is this one of the (literally!) countless number of unsupported [claims of yours] that are almost entirely wrong?”
And you’ve hit the nail smack bang on the head there, Wow.
Jonarse is allowed to make wild, unsupported claims, and the accompanying clown troupe is meant to go “um yuh, that might be possible .. and probaly is true”. But put peer reviewed science from an arbitrarily assigned ‘activist’ scientist before them and they knee-jerkrejection in response.
It’s the MO used by Watts, Montford, Mcintyre and Cubicle Kid here. What are the chances they’re using it independently?
The sheer number of washed up, low-grade management retirees at Montford’s who feel enabled by the Bish to look down on for instance, tthe Head of the R.S. as some sort of moron are an indicator of the intellectual subversion being practised there and elsewhere.
For goodness sake chek, if you don’t know about and have never seen, the empirical evidence for the AR4 “attribution” claim, just say!
What’s the point of keep bringing non related issues into the discussion? Watts, Montford, McIntyre – Nothing to do with the point at hand, but OK, we get it, you don’t like them.
We know the reason you keep harping on about “them” is you just don’t understand the attribution claims and use a social ideology for detemining scientific truth -which is definitely the worst possible way of doing so.
I don’t suppose that after months of prevarication there is any chance you will at this stage reach into your back pocket and say “Oh here’s the evidence, I had it all along”, if you could you would have done that by now, wouldn’t you?
If you don’t know, just “say” I don’t know” and we can move on. Maybe some of the others will have more of a clue.
Your repeated failings are quite boring. And you still get it wrong.
I am the one asking for those published papers affirming that AR4 claim. And you are the ones not having seen them.
I have not commented upon papers I haven’t read. Thats your department. And Wow’s of course. Jeff is making other stuff up.
And what’s that thing with blind faith in authority. Nothing has to accepted blindly just because Paul Nurs says so. Insterad it is evaluated on its merits. And Nurse has said numerous pretty stupid things about climate change and science.
You still believe only beacuas you want to believe
I’ve watched this thread on-and-off for the year+ its been running, and by and large thought Jonas had done a pretty fair job of sticking to the most trivial argument I’ve ever seen. But now…
[Monckton] is Al Gores counterpart, and about 100 times as knowledgable…
I don’t think I’ve ever seen anyone fail so hard. You just made even GSW look smart, and he’s the rube who fell for John’s “ice-age denial” comedy shtick…
That was almost worth the time I’ve spent down here.
Thanks for stopping by Frank. You going to hang around to argue the point? Regulars, don’t seem to have handle on the relationship between claims and evidence, maybe you’re different?
You could just scuttle off of course.
” I have been asking for those references since almost day one here. ”
And apparently they are something that anyone (but not you) could find easily.
You had been given them before, but because that required “clicking on a link and reading”, you refused to acknowledge it.
Too dumb to read, too thick to think and ignorant of everything.
“he probably doesn’t know that a skeptic publication about monsson patters does not affirm that AR4 claim anyhow”
So you’re saying that paper wasn’t science???
And since I’d already explained this to you: you need to know what’s changed before you can assign reason for that change on AGW, it seems you are far too dumb to read.
“What’s the point of keep bringing non related issues into the discussion?”
You mean like Al Gore and completely made-up allegations against Hansen?
Yeah, what WAS the point of Joanarse doing that?
So to summarise, Jonas hasn’t read any of the research papers that AR4 Chapter 9 is synthesised from, but complains there’s no research backing up the Chapter’s conclusions. And it took him this long to get there.
That really is one for The Global Annals of Idiotic Idiocy by Idiots.
Yep. And these twits JN, GSW OP are beginning to make Curtin look rational and knowledgeable.
Cue wailings and nashings of teeth along the lines of ‘what’s that got to do with anything?
Monty Python has a treasure trove of material for a new farce from these twits. Who will be ‘The Climate Change Twit of the Year’? Curtin was in the running but now …!
You say that the fact that nobody ever seems to have seen the most prominent IPCC AR4 claim, is a trivial argument?
Well, I wouldn’t put it like that. But it is one where the crowd here at least could come up with a counterargument. Or prove me wrong. And they can’t. Instead we hear all kinds of nonsens and staming of angry little feet about … well whatever flies through their heads.
There have been better discussions and arguments, but those have been extremeley few and rare. One of the (former) regulars, at least tried and tried hard to invent totally new physics but failed of course.
But it seems that even the regulars here shun away fron using Al Gore as a source of authority. (But bring up Romm, Cook, Gelbspan and Oreskes). And many of them seem to have some obsession about Monckton. Who of course is not a primary source of any argument either.
But I stick to what I said. Monckton actually debates those on the other side. Gore is manically afraid of that. even demands that journalists be screened before allowed to his venues. Mann is equally afraid of debating anything or anyone other than sympathetic adulation interviews with softball ‘questions’.
I think you are the first defender of Al Gore here …
Wow, you are still not with the program (after 1½ years). But repetition is the key to learning something. So I’ll repeat.
The most prominent AR4 claim was presented in the SPM and stated:
“Most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations”
where this ‘very likely’ is translated to 90% certainty.
There are two quantified claims there, and I have asked for the science establishing thos claims. And nobody has seen any such science. Nobody has read and can point me to any publications even purporting to establish these numbers.
And you, chek, Bernard and more, hope to divert from this fact with the most stupid deflections and strawmen imaginable.
I wonder why that is? (Well, not really. It’s quite easy to imagine why you guys so desperately want to switch the topic. Especially, as Frank D says, since it is on the absolutely most basic and trivial level: Can you show the science behind it?)
I’m sorry to have neglected you for some comments. What was your latest point? You after all still believe that Sandy somehow can be shown to have been cause or aggravated by human emissions?
You share the beliefs of Justin Lancaster, who was Gore’s go-between in dirty politics?
You believe what Oreskes, Gelbspan and the others say?
Well, I can’t change your faith (by definition) but I have not seen any arguments from you why such faith would be supportable. You merely linked to mor individuals who share similar beliefs. Which I already knew.
And your petty attempts at insults are still pathetic and don’t bite ..
You’re flailing more than usual, joan.
“where this ‘very likely’ is translated to 90% certainty.
There are two quantified claims there, and I have asked for the science establishing thos claims.”
And that is the list of papers you’ve been given.
Since you say that repetition is key to learning, obviously you’re incapable of it.
I mean, we (and your poor teachers: say hi to your mom and pop for me!) already knew you couldn’t learn, which is why they gave up.
But in the 40-odd years since you finished “homeschooling” you may have grown up.
Apparently you’re still stuck at pre-shcool and unwilling to move forward.
I’m sorry to have neglected you for some comments. What was your latest point?
I’m sorry to have neglected you for some comments. What was your latest point?
You just cannot help yourself can you.
The fact that you are still raking over attribution of Sandy, and making up stuff about Lancaster and throwing out Gore’s name as if he was the fulcrum of climate science amply demonstrates your stubborn refusal to educate yourself.
Wow, well if it was in that list, someone would know in which reference (or references) this has been established. But nobody knows. They just, exactly like you, repeat their idiotic: ‘It’s in there somwhere’ in blind and stupid faith!
Look, guys, you claim to have the science, the scientists, and facts on your side. But still, almost six years after the release, none of you has a clue!
It’s no wonder you’re being ridiculed for how poorly you argue. Especially if you pull out a monsoon paper and hope it would be it.
Lionel, re: Sandy, you confuse general opining with actual science. I know what Lancaster said, he does not convince, but the point is moot anyway!
“Wow, well if it was in that list”
The list IS the science that confirms the claims in AR4 you are asking for.
Not one of it because, you feckless moron, that is only one data point that is used to determine the effects of AGW and the changes seen in the climate.
“Most of the warming is due to AGW” requires that you at least list the drivers of climate, ascertain the warming, and assess the contributions of each of those drivers TO that warming.
Which is why there is no one paper because no one paper is written with all of that information in.
But then again, you’re too dumb to read. You’re probably crapping yourself transparent at having to read more than one paper.
“someone would know in which reference (or references) this has been established.”
Yes, the list of those papers ARE the references used to make the statement.
Fuck you’re dumb.
“re: Sandy, you confuse general opining with actual science.”
Just because you think “science” is “anything that says AGW is fake” doesn’t mean that actual science that isn’t saying AGW is fake is not science.
You are the tweedledumbest.
Poor, poor Wow is in bad need of comfort. He does a full monty rain-dance and calims that a paper on monsoons support his case when it actually contradict his silly claims. Can it get any better?
Yet he yells “IT IS IN THE LIST”.
Like Jonas has proven over and over again in these 4000 and counting posts: Deltoid is a climate threat shaking tent full och hot air and brimstone. Nothing else, with exception for stupidity and delusions.
Thank god its deflating. The more reasonable readers of this blog have come to thier senses when reading the “Real Science thread”.
Well done Jonas!
“He does a full monty rain-dance and calims that a paper on monsoons support his case when it actually contradict his silly claims.”
Since my claim was that that paper was one science paper used to come to the conclusion of the AR4 summary claim Jonearse has been whining on about for 18+ months AND IT IS, you seem to be in la-la land.
This, seemingly, is your permanent abode.
Olap dog: proof my claim is right and your assertion wrong:
Go to the IPCC AR4 Chapter 9 document and go to the references.
That paper is listed there.
Since that is the attribution chapter and the claim is about attributing AGW to the change in climate, I win.
Maybe the slug hoard could answer questions.
(yeah, I know, ever the optimist).
Does humanity’s production of CO2 and agriculture have ZERO effect on the climate.
Yes or no.
Oh, the “list-argument” again! What a surprise!
What does the paper matter Wow, when it contains statements that make you look like first class ass?
Don’t bother to answer.
“Oh, the “list-argument” again! What a surprise!”
I guess you;re surprised when your check-out lady tells you that the total for your $1.25 bread and $2.60 margerine is $3.85 as well, huh?
“Don’t bother to answer.”
This would be because you’re too ignorant to understand, right?
Wow, how thick can one (Wow) be? I have answered Wow’s Q many times already:
“Does humanity’s production of CO2 and agriculture have ZERO effect on the climate.”
Answer: No! (Get it this time?)
My turn. Do you realy think that a paper that contradicts your beliefs strengthen your case?
““Does humanity’s production of CO2 and agriculture have ZERO effect on the climate.”
Answer: No! (Get it this time?)”
OK, so what is the effect?
I.e. out of the warming seen so far, how much is due to humanity’s activities.
Wow, I totally understand that you need to ask me what the effect is since you have no clue what the articles you referr to states.
We don’t know, especially Deltoids and other activist driven portentologists. With 100% certainty!
“We don’t know”
How would you find out, then?
E.g. how much warming has there been since 1850? Where would you find that.
How we would find out you ask me Wow. Well for starters we need to admit that we don’t know. How’s that?
Here is how the science stands and see this to discover more on the deniers lack of legs, and arms.
“Well for starters we need to admit that we don’t know. How’s that?”
You’re admitting YOU do not know how.
Do you want to know?
Come on, Olap, or is that your only step? “I don’t know”?
Come on, you have already said it’s not ZERO effect.
So you must know SOMETHING about the temperature change since 1850.
Or do you always make statements you can’t support?
Careful Wow, you’re getting dangerously close to getting Olouse to try to use his own brain to make his own thoughts, you naughty activist you.
DeSmogBlog … are you kidding me?
Wow, you (and others) have informed us that the IPCC has a list of references. You even pretended that this was a big revalation. (It wasn’t of course). The question is whether or not any of these references contains proper science establishing that famous claim.
None of you knows. But many of you do hope so. And do so in blind faith. You are one of the blind faithers. Which we more sciency types know from early on.
Unfortunately, you are worse than many of your faither-friends
“The question is whether or not any of these references contains proper science establishing that famous claim.”
No Jonarse the question is, how can you have a valid objection when you admit you haven’t read the papers?
It doesn’t get any simpler than that.
Each plays their part in the claim.
You’re sitting there looking at a car and whining “Well, which bit of metal is the car?!?!?!?”.
Sorry chek ..
But no! This is not how references are referenced. If there is a scientific claim, allegedly based on science, this publication(s)cience is/are referenced together with that claim.
One doesn’t hide the supporting science from all the whole ‘consensus-agreeing’ scientists so that they cannot find it, and that they all need to take that claim on faith!
You! Every single one of you, who believe in that (now six year old claim) have done so in blind faith!
I on the other hand, who know about science, and who’d never accept such claims on hearsay, especially not if it is claimed to be science, have asked for those specific references.
You haven’t. You wouldn’t. You try at all costs to remain ignorant. You claim it is in there. But you haven’t read, haven’t checked them, you don’t know. You just hope desperately! And the same goes for all others who cannot find and produce any such science.
Six years later (almost) and regarding ‘the most important issue of our time’, and not one single one of all your ‘the science and scientist on our side’-types can find it anywhere, neither in those references, nor anywhere on the world wide web.
What is your argument here, chek? That I sould believe you because you blindly believe it? Because everybody else who believes it is equally clueless?
Jeff here has boasted that he befriends so many scientists and even gets to ‘mingle with big guys’ and non of his friends have seen or find it either?
You guys have no clue. It really is as simple as that! And on top of it, you actively want to remain both ignorant and mislead.
“But no! This is not how references are referenced.”
Yeah, they’re reerenced like this:
Carril, A.F., C.G. Menéndez, and A. Navarra, 2005: Climate response associated with the Southern Annular Mode in the surroundings of Antarctic Peninsula: A multimodel ensemble analysis. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L16713, doi:10.1029/2005GL023581.
“One doesn’t hide the supporting science from all the whole ‘consensus-agreeing’ scientists so that they cannot find it,”
The scientists CAN find it.
You can’t but that’s not notworthy since you’re not a scientist.
“I on the other hand, … have asked for those specific references. ”
And you’ve been given them.
chek, listen to your buddy Wow ..
He has found a pile of scrap metal parts, and they are numbered. And Wow asserts: Each of these is part of the whole. Together they form a car. Not only that, a car with specified performans. Nobody can se the car, find that car, even less so establish any possible performance.
But Wow is certain. It’s in there, all parts of the car, and it’s really really powerful! ‘Trust me’ he says! And trust me on the performance too. I know nothing about any of those parts. Haven’t seen them, don’t know their function, what they are for. Just know that they are numbered. So trust me! I am looking at and can clearly the entire car!
“What is your argument here, chek? That I sould believe you because you blindly believe it?”
No Jonarse, the point has always been that if you wanted to know, you’d read the papers. But you don’t. Instead you make stupid claims about ‘faith’ and ‘hiding’, like the dumb conspiracist you are.
If you wanted to know you’d read. But instead you’d rather make political claims about ‘activism’ and your own ‘brilliance’, like the vain little tosser you are.
“Nobody can se the car”
Gosh, did you really hear that?
It’s psychosis, old man.
Mind you, if you put “Joanarse can’t see the car”, you’d be closer.
“But Wow is certain. It’s in there, all parts of the car, and it’s really really powerful! ‘Trust me’ ”
No, don’t trust me. Read for yourself.
Oh, I forgot: you’re too dumb to read.
chek, as I said, this not how science is references. The point is that neither you, nor anybody in the entire world can produce science that properly establishes those two specified and quantified levels. Not even six years later! Although everybody has heard those claims many times!
Only über-morons like Wow even claim that such science exists at all. In hos case so obviously in blind faith. But the same is true for you. If you believe that claim, you do so in blind faith. As does every single body who believes it!
Look kids, you say you have all the science and scientists on your side (which you don’t) but still a fair number. And nowhere in the entire world is any such science to be found or even its foundations or details discussed. Nowhere!
That’s why you (and many others) try to list long lists of irrelevant references to run away from the obvious …
“chek, as I said, this not how science is references.”
Can you stop pretending to be yoda.
Wow, we all know that imagining things is the preferred method for you and many more here. Now you have imagined a ‘car with outstanding performanc’ in a heap of random pieces of scrap metal parts. Jeffie thinks he can see ‘a higher truth’ by looing inwards into the big emptiness filld to the brim with fantasies ..
Notify me of followup comments via E-Mail.