David Rose is notorious for fabricating data to claim that global warming isn’t happening as well as for fabricating quotes, so this story in the Daily Mail comes as no surprise. Rose presents a graph of temperatures from BEST that purports to prove that global warming has stopped and then quotes Judith Curry
“As for the graph disseminated to the media, she said: ‘This is “hide the decline” stuff. Our data show the pause, just as the other sets of data do. Muller is hiding the decline.
At Skeptical Science Dana Nuccitelli presents a graph showing Rose’s cherry pick:
As well as the cherry picked start, Rose’s graph gets its appearance by including an April 2010 temperature drop to temperatures typical of the early 19th century. But the April 2010 value is not meaningful, being based on just 47 stations, all from the Antarctic. If you don’t cherry pick the start point and don’t include bogus values, you see a strong warming trend.
With regard to the Rose article. The article spun my comments in ways that I never intended.
but also concedes
In David Rose’s article, the direct quotes attributed to me are correct.
Curry also has a go at me with this rigorous refutation of one of my posts:
I am somewat incredulous that you should quote Tim Lamberts Deltoid in your attempt to discredit David Rose. Tim Lambert!
Tony, I agree with you on that one.
Now Rose has an obvious agenda, but Curry contradicts herself so often I don’t think we can accuse him of misrepresentation in this case — he just chose to report which of Curry’s statements supported the story he wanted to tell.
Tamino, meanwhile has questions for Curry, asking her to provide scientific support for her claim that:
“There has been a lag/slowdown/whatever you want to call it in the rate of temperature increase since 1998”
(Note that she’s co-author of a BEST paper that states that finds “no evidence” that “global warming has abated since the 1998 El Nino event”.)
Update And the answer from Curry is:
Note that the short time scales considered here preclude determination of a statistically significant trend at the 95% confidence level, although lack of statistical signficance does not negate the existence of a pause as defined here.
Tamino is, like me, not impressed.