dgu

Category archives for dgu

What I want to know is: how many DGUs against alien abduction? IMPLICATIONS OF THE ROPER ABDUCTION POLL By Elaine Douglas 47 abductions per hour in the United States A just-released Roper Poll of adult Americans, commissioned by a Las Vegas real estate developer, estimates there are 3.7 million abductees in the United States. This…

JB: Gun-control proponents of some stature (e.g., Wolfgang and Cook) have reluctantly acknowledged the quality of Kleck’s survey methodology Sorry, but Cook does have some problems with Kleck’s methodology: “The Gun Debate’s New Mythical Number: How Many Defensive Gun Uses Per Year?” Journal of Policy Analysis and Management Spring 1997 Philip J. Cook, David Hemenway,…

Re: 4 million

The actual number is 34%, as I stated above. The survey didn’t ask how many times it had happened. An average of two for those that had been thwarted is my guess based on assuming that the distribution of the number of thwartings was Poisson (ie, each criminal was equally likely to encounter an armed…

Kleck’s DGU numbers

Steve D. Fischer writes: First of all, you exaggerate the importance of burglary. From Question B (pg 185) we find that 37,3% of the crimes occurred IN the home. and 35.9% near the home. In Question C, we find that 33,8% of the respondents thought that a burglary was in progress. So burglary accounts for…

Kleck’s DGU numbers

p 168 Kleck says “only about 3% of DGUs among NCVS Rs are reported to interviewers.” On pp 154-6 he argues that this is because Rs are worried they might get into trouble if the authorities find out about the DGU. And yet 64.2% said that the police were aware of the incident. (Table 3)…

Kleck’s DGU numbers

J. Neil Schulman writes: If you start a survey by asking “Have you ever been a crime victim?” and do not survey people who answer NO because (a) their DGU prevented them from being damaged so they don’t think of themselves as victims, therefore they are telling the truth but don’t get counted AND The…

Kleck’s DGU numbers

J. Neil Schulman writes: When a dozen surveys which are specifically attempting to quantify DGU’s finds DGU’s an order of magnitude larger than the NCVS, then you have your answer. None of those surveys other than Kleck’s were designed to quantify DGU’s and they all have problems when used for that purpose. See Kleck’s paper.…

Kleck reckons that 97% of defensive gun users lie to the census bureau about it. Are we to suppose that 97% of the people don’t believe legal guarantee of confidentiality? And yet those same people will tell a complete stranger (who may be a government agent posing as a pollster working for Kleck) about it?…

Kleck’s DGU numbers

Ray wrote: They promise confidentiality, and back it up with a law that’s at the top of every survey: “NOTICE: Your report to the Census Bureau is confidential by law (US Code 42, Sections 3789g and 3735). All identifiable information will be used only by persons engaged in and for the purposes of the survey,…

Marvin Wolfgang on Kleck’s DGU survey

J. Neil Schulman writes: So this data has been peer-reviewed by a top criminologist in this country who was prejudiced in advance against its results, and even HE found the scientific evidence overwhelmingly convincing. This is untrue. Wolfgang writes: “The usual criticisms of survey research, such as that done by Kleck and Gertz, also apply…