Iraq

Tag archives for Iraq

With US combat troops withdrawing from Iraq’s cities it is time to compare the 4639 coalition casualties with the predictions made by warbloggers before the war: John Hawkins: “Probably 300 or less” Charles Johnson:”Very few” Henry Hanks: “Less than 200″ Laurence Simon: “A Few hundred” Rachael Lucas: “Less than three thousand” Scott Ott: “Dozens” Glenn…

This post contains some more notes on a reply to the badly flawed “Main Street Bias” paper. In my previous post I showed that the MSB papers was wrong to claim that it was plausible that the unsampled regions was 10 times as large as the sampled region. In this post I look at their…

The Johns Hopkins press release states: Data Collection An examination was conducted of all the original data collection forms, numbering over 1,800 forms, which included review by a translator. The original forms have the appearance of authenticity in variation of handwriting, language and manner of completion. The information contained on the forms was validated against…

Unfortunately, the Journal of Peace Research has published the badly flawed “Main Street Bias” paper. My earlier criticisms still apply, so I’m reposting them. Consider this the first draft of a reply to their paper. The authors argue that main street bias could reasonably produce a factor of 3 difference. How did they get such…

Reaction to the AAPOR press release

I asked Mary Losch (chair of AAPOR’s Standards Committee) to comment on my previous post I have read your entry and would note that the links you provided did not supply the questionnaire items but rather a simple template (as noted in the heading). The Johns Hopkins report provides only superficial information about methods and…

The American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) has put out a press release alleging that Gilbert Burnham (who is not a member of the AAPOR) violated the AAPOR’s code of ethics. What did he do? Their press release states: Mary E. Losch, chair of AAPOR’s Standards Committee, noted that AAPOR’s investigation of Burnham began…