I never watch 60 Minutes, but Sunday night I was flipping channels and came across their interview with Michael Lewis, whose new book explains the Wall Street financial collapse as a result of the subprime mortgage market collapse. I thought it was very informative, and very much in line with what I saw during my years in the mortgage business leading up to the (predictable) collapse. Here's video of the segment.
Dispatches from the Creation Wars
Thoughts From the Interface of Science, Religion, Law and Culture
Profile
Ed Brayton is a journalist, commentator and speaker. He is the co-founder and president of Michigan Citizens for Science and co-founder of The Panda's Thumb. He has written for such publications as The Bard, Skeptic and Reports of the National Center for Science Education, spoken in front of many organizations and conferences, and appeared on nationally syndicated radio shows and on C-SPAN. Ed is also a Fellow with the Center for Independent Media and the host of Declaring Independence, a one hour weekly political talk show on WPRR in Grand Rapids, Michigan.(static)
Search
Recent Comments
- Sesli Chat on America's Christian Colonies
- democommie@FuckAlanWestthatfuckingfucker.com on War Criminal Now a Republican Congressman
- democommie@FuckRonPaulthefuckingfucker.com on Ron Paul Rejects Evolution
- Stu on War Criminal Now a Republican Congressman
- democommie on Ron Paul Rejects Evolution
- Allison on Ron Paul Rejects Evolution
- DingoJack on America's Christian Colonies
- Robin on The Latest Attack on Planned Parenthood
- democommie on Closing Up Shop
- mote on Closing Up Shop
Recent Posts
- Closing Up Shop
- AIG and Wingnut on Wingnut Crime
- Behe and the Contingency of History
- Congratulations, Vic Hutchinson
- Big Bad Bob Enyart
- The Madness of Ron Wyatt
- Ellis Washington Projects About Projection
- Creationism on Dallas School Website
- Hovind Crony Blathers About Attenborough
- Not So Pyrrhic Victory in Texas
Blogroll
Science Blogs
- The Panda's Thumb
- Carl Zimmer
- The Austringer
- Evolution Blog
- De Rerum Natura
- Evolving Thoughts
- Preposterous Universe
- Butterflies and Wheels
- John Lynch
- Unscrewing the Inscrutable
- NCSE's Legal Blog
- Red State Rabble
- Thoughts From Kansas
- Appellate Blog
- Volokh Conspiracy
- Jack Balkin
- Legal Theory Blog
- ACS Blog
- Reason and Liberty
- Overlawyered
- Supreme Court Times
- Positive Liberty
- Reason's Hit and Run
- Andrew Sullivan
- Talking Points Memo
- Daily Kos
- Media Matters
- Patterico's Pontifications
- Classical Values
- Virginia Postrel
- Jim Anderson
- Strange Doctrines
- John Scalzi
- The Pryhills
- Temperantia
- Rev. Spork
- Electric Commentary
- Two Aarons
- Farkleberries
- Paul Phillips
- Henry Neufeld
- Talk.Origins
- Talk.Reason
- Antievolution.org
- National Center for Science Education
- Talk.Design
- Michigan Citizens for Science
Archives
- October 2011
- September 2011
- August 2011
- July 2011
- June 2011
- May 2011
- April 2011
- March 2011
- February 2011
- January 2011
- December 2010
- November 2010
- October 2010
- September 2010
- August 2010
- July 2010
- June 2010
- May 2010
- April 2010
- March 2010
- February 2010
- January 2010
- December 2009
- November 2009
- October 2009
- September 2009
- August 2009
- July 2009
- June 2009
- May 2009
- April 2009
- March 2009
- February 2009
- January 2009
- December 2008
- November 2008
- October 2008
- September 2008
- August 2008
- July 2008
- June 2008
- May 2008
- April 2008
- March 2008
- February 2008
- January 2008
- December 2007
- November 2007
- October 2007
- September 2007
- August 2007
- July 2007
- June 2007
- May 2007
- April 2007
- March 2007
- February 2007
- January 2007
- December 2006
- November 2006
- October 2006
- September 2006
- August 2006
- July 2006
- June 2006
- May 2006
- April 2006
- March 2006
- February 2006
- January 2006
- December 2005
- November 2005
- October 2005
- September 2005
- August 2005
- July 2005
- June 2005
- May 2005
- April 2005
- March 2005
- February 2005
- January 2005
- December 2004
- November 2004
- October 2004
- September 2004
- August 2004
- July 2004
- June 2004
- May 2004
- April 2004
- March 2004
- February 2004
- January 2004
- December 2003
- November 2003
Other Information
Ed Brayton also blogs at Positive Liberty and The Panda's Thumb
Ed Brayton is a participant in the Center for Independent Media New Journalism Program. However, all of the statements, opinions, policies, and views expressed on this site are solely Ed Brayton's. This web site is not a production of the Center, and the Center does not support or endorse any of the contents on this site.
Ed's Audio and Video
Declaring Independence podcast feed
YearlyKos 2007
Video of speech on Dover and the Future of the Anti-Evolution Movement
Audio of Greg Raymer Interview
E-mail Policy
Any and all emails that I receive may be reprinted, in part or in full, on this blog with attribution. If this is not acceptable to you, do not send me e-mail - especially if you're going to end up being embarrassed when it's printed publicly for all to see.
My Ecosystem Details
« Fouad al-Rabiah: Counterpoint to Lunacy | Main | Meet the New Boss: Intelligence Oversight Edition »
Explaining the Financial Collapse
Posted on: March 19, 2010 9:09 AM, by Ed Brayton


Comments
I can't watch the videos from the office, but thought you appropo of the financial collapse, there is this story from Bloomberg that suggests that the collapse of Lehman may have had more to do with fraud than anything else:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ajkomJKssN70
Posted by: Dave | March 19, 2010 9:36 AM
I highly recommend 60 Minutes. They do a lot of great science pieces and this is one of the more mediocre pieces they've done on the credit crisis. They did three segments that did a great job of explaining mortgage-backed securities, how they're hedged, the size of the market prior to the balloon and at its apex, and the ease at which we could have known about this in advance.
Scott Pelley especially distinguishes himself though its been Steve Kroft whose covered the Wall Street story, where he's done yeoman work. I like Pelley since he's very well prepared for the segment and therefore anticipates what his interview subjects may say and drills down to reveal the core issues. An increasingly rare trait. Kroft does a good job of this as well, though not great.
Lesley Stahl remains cringe-worthy yet they still give her projects way beyond her talent, e.g., the Antonin Scalia profile. However she's the exception to the rule.
I did boycott all of CBS News for a couple of decades given that they did a segment of a friend of mine in the 1970s and totally misrepresented what the story was going to be about and didn't honestly frame his behavior accurately either. However I think they've evolved way beyond those deficiencies.
The production team ultimately turned their taping into a special show broadcast in prime-time (back when that meant something regarding viewer numbers) called The Guns of Autumn. The show depicted hunting in a manner that is not totally representative but instead focused on the worst aspects of hunting, which are real and should be revealed. But my friend and his family are the good guys and they were portrayed as one of the bad guys (assuming you're pro-hunting and you eat what you kill).
My friend and his sons were great endurance runners who hunted bears with dogs. They'd run behind their dogs as their dogs chased a bear through the swamps and forests where I live. Once the bear was treed, they or someone they were guiding would shoot the bear, which is eaten. Sometimes the bear is wounded and the dogs go after him until the lead hunters can wade in and finish off the bear. The client never drove up to kill sites since this forest doesn't allow off-road vehicles though it does have dirt roads. However it's not unusual for clients to have to hike more than 1/2 mile to two or three miles from the nearest road once the bear was treed (clients communicated then with walkie-talkies to the Mummerts) or the fitter ones followed along as best they could behind the dogs and Mr. Doug Mummert or his sons.
Mr. Mummert is also famous in these parts for fighting to keep oil and gas operations out of the forest where he hunted, along with keeping out mechanized vehicles as well. A couple of court cases went to the state Supreme Court where those rulings were used as case studies for the feds and other states to develop superior environmental protections. None of this was portrayed in this show. Instead IIRC, it was mostly focused on the dogs battling a wounded bear for a few seconds.
There was a nasty lawsuit on this as well though I forgot the results. CBS News presented the show as a bicentennial special on how hunting had changed little from 1776 to 1976, tough it aired a year or two prior to 1976. That perspective was not the featured aspect, reminds me of the Expelled producers lying to Richard Dawkins and PZ.
Here's a link to the story by Sports Illustrated: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/vault/article/magazine/MAG1090248/index.htm
I can't imagine Mr. Mummert or his sons drinking at the kill site, perhaps they also filmed different bear hunters from other areas. His sons were barely teenagers then and I never saw Mr. Mummert take a drink though I haven't seen this show since it first aired 35 years ago. In addition, all good hunters gut their large kill at the kill site, mostly to protect the meat from bacteria and since most of the organs aren't easily edible, to make for an easier trek out of the woods since you drag your kill out, again sometimes a couple of mile trek.
It should also be noted that in this area, there are a lot people who hunt for meat, not just sport. My family, including me, eat wild game year-round. It's far healthier and it gets conservative populists to help protect large plots of land through both political support and money received through hunting licenses.
Posted by: Michael Heath | March 19, 2010 9:51 AM
Ed, I agree that the subprime mess was a big part of it, but I would be hesitant to say it caused the Wall Street meltdown. Rather, the subprime mortgage business was the weakest link in a very rusty chain. So that is where the problem showed up first. If everything else had been healthy, the problem would have been contained.
Posted by: Joseph j7uy5 | March 19, 2010 10:00 AM
I respectfully disagree, Joseph. The problem would not have been contained, it would have been, at best, delayed.
Posted by: Joseph | March 19, 2010 10:14 AM
Joseph j7uy5 @ 3:
What other rusty links caused the TED spread to skyrocket? It's my understanding that when the relevant banks' assets had the value of their assets come into doubt, none of them had any confidence their reserves were adequate and therefore couldn't loan money out, where they all fell into this predicament at the same time (except BofA whose investors were screwed later in Dec.). That caused a spike in the TED spread because it dried up credit liquidity. What other factors are you referring to with your metaphor?
Posted by: Michael Heath | March 19, 2010 10:31 AM
"If everything else had been healthy, the problem would have been contained."
If everything else had been healthy, there wouldn't have been a subprime problem. Problems like that don't exist in isolation; they're symptoms of rot and corruption throughout the system. The conditions that allowed the subprime mortgage market to get so bad affected everything in the financial industry.
Posted by: Moopheus | March 19, 2010 10:41 AM
Terry Gross also did a great interview with Lewis (~40 minutes) http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=124690424
Posted by: Zippy the Pinhead | March 19, 2010 10:49 AM
Subprime allowed the bubble to inflate far beyond what was possible without it. Had mortgage standards been enforced, much less money would have gone into the sector. There would have been less or no over-building, smaller, cheaper houses instead of McMansions, and no re-financing escalator which prompted people to use their houses as ATMs to pay for increased, unsustainable consumption.
The US balance of trade was hurt too. "Drive until you qualify" increased commutes and fuel consumption. All this extra fuel comes from imports. The subprime bubble has given us problems which will take decades to unwind even if the debt was forgiven tomorrow.
Posted by: Cynical | March 19, 2010 12:49 PM
Lewis also appeared on the Daily Show this past week: http://www.thedailyshow.com/full-episodes/mon-march-15-2010-michael-lewis
Posted by: Kele | March 19, 2010 2:54 PM
The part I do not like about this is the 'subprim mortgages' makes it sound like people trying to get a home was the fault. They weren't!!! Its the banks and it should be 'subprime loans' any kind. I'm sure wall st have bigger direct loses then homes did. Because you still have the house that can be wheeled-&-dealed.
My kid tried to get a home loan, without asking any questions but one-what is the monthly income- they offered a mortgage of $5000/mo!!!! Luckily she isn't an idiot and gave the bank the riot-act for stupidity (she couldn't afford that) and settled on a mortgage she could afford. That was just pure BS incompetence on the part of the bank (I had to go thru a full financial exam for my mortgage!!). So yes mortgages were a very visible part only as the banks were being stupid on all fronts, but the rich wheeler-dealers just kept a lower profile.
Posted by: CybrgnX | March 19, 2010 8:32 PM