Effect Measure

Archives for April, 2009

It would be nice to think that the 28 cases at the NY Prep School are it for the city and that the virus has been contained there. But that was always more a wish than a plausible reality:

Now that the initial rush is over, time to settle in for the long(er) haul. It’s 3 am here. Good time to clear the air and lighten up: The Daily Show With Jon Stewart M – Th 11p / 10c Snoutbreak ’09 – The Last 100 Days thedailyshow.com Daily Show Full Episodes Economic Crisis Political…

One of the things we’d like to know about the swine flu virus is its Case Fatality Ratio (CFR, commonly called a case fatality rate, although it isn’t technically a rate but a proportion). But what is a CFR? And how is it different from a mortality rate?

Swine flu: afternoon briefing

The daily CDC conference call was not particularly informative, but these daily briefings are still extremely valuable. Things are happening fairly fast but nothing we didn’t expect. There are now 40 confirmed US cases in the same 5 states (California, NY, Texas, Kansas, Ohio). The 28 new cases sere contributed by the New York prep…

Swine flu: what did you expect?

Usually “What did you expect?” is a rhetorical question, but we have a more serious point to make. Let’s start with the familiar and move on to the less familiar. Many of you are coming here to find the latest news about swine flu. It’s an imprecise term that covers two different things: what has…

Swine flu: thoughts for the day

The White House briefing today had Obama written all over it. It’s themes were Obama, it’s tone of quiet, serious confidence were Obama. The sense of total command of the situation was Obama. There was the Obama-ese call for “personal responsibility.” Government can’t do everything. There are things we each have to take personal responsibility…

The White House held a briefing this afternoon with the Secretary of Homeland Security, Acting Director of CDC and Nat’l Security adviser to the President in attendance. If you have been following this you wouldn’t have learned much, but the overall tone was one of serious concern but steady confidence. It was good security theater,…

Swine flu’s ticket to ride

If there was ever a graphic illustration of how global interconnectedness affects public health, it’s the swine flu affair. Wherever it started, the current crop of cases seems related to Mexico, either as the epicenter or via travelers. Four US states have cases. Those not on the Mexican border are related to travel to Mexico.…

[For our many new visitors, the Freethinker Sermonette is a regular Sunday feature here.] With swine flu and everything, some people might think of turning to a Higher Power for protection. Head to the UK. Because The Force is with them. In fact, it’s even on the Force. The police force:

A concise summary of some additional developments, courtesy Bloomberg: