I think that with the VP choice of Alaska Governor and oil industry super-shill Sarah Palin, McCain has essentially cast his lot with the big polluters and the global warming deniers. This is one case where I strongly agree with Tom Friedman (see "And Then There Was One").
While he pretends to support renewables, like most conservatives McCain has consistently voted against clean energy (see "Why McCain hates renewables but pretends he loves them" and "Anti-wind McCain delivers climate remarks at foreign wind company"). Late last year, when no one was paying attention to his campaign, he explained his real view of the subject: "The truly clean technologies don't work."
I have previously argued at great length that McCain is not the candidate to address global warming (see "No climate for old men"). But I now think that the choice of Palin makes it simply impossible for any rational or moral person to support him.
And not just because she a super-shill for Big Oil who said in July, "I beg to disagree with any candidate who would say we can't drill our way out of our problem." That absurd claim makes of her not even an oil expert, but an oil super-shill. I guess she has missed all those ads from billionaire oilman T. Boone Pickens, who keeps saying, "I've been an oil man all my life, but this is one emergency we can't drill our way out of" (see also "The cruel offshore-drilling hoax" and "Offshore drilling raises oil prices*")
Even super-shill may be putting it mildly. Palin has said that new multibillion-dollar fossil fuel infrastructure in Alaska is "God's Will." She has said:
I can do my part in doing things like working really, really hard to get a natural gas pipeline -- about a $30 billion project that's going to create a lot of jobs for Alaskans and will have a lot of energy flowing through here -- and pray about that also. I think God's will has to be done in unifying people and companies to get that gas line built, so pray for that.If God listens to prayers for building oil infrastructure, it is safe to say I'm in the wrong religion. I guess we can add theologian to her growing list of areas of expertise. But, of course, renewable energy is not on the list:
Alternative-energy solutions are far from imminent and would require more than 10 years to develop.Uhh, no. Even Pickens thinks we can get 20% of our electricity from wind power alone in 10 years. Renewables -- and efficiency -- are ready now, unlike new coastal drilling resources (see "Efficiency, Part 3: The only cheap power left" and "Why we never need to build another polluting power plant" and "Is 450 ppm possible? Part 5: Old coal's out, can't wait for new nukes, so what do we do NOW?").
Worse than her warped views on energy is that she is global warming denier. That makes McCain/Palin simply unelectable.
1. McCain has a significant chance of dying in office.
2. Palin is a global warming denier.
3. If the the next president doesn't provide very strong climate leadership at home and abroad then we have doomed our children and countless generations after them to ever worsening suffering and misery.
In short, we now know with high scientific certainty it is simply immoral to elect a president or vice president who doesn't understand the urgent need for very strong domestic action and international leadership to mitigate man-made climate change. All those who care about the health and well-being of future generations must become single issue voters on climate.
The mere fact that McCain chose Palin makes clear he does not consider global warming a priority issue, otherwise he would never have risked putting a global warming denier a heartbeat away from the presidency. We must not ratify his dangerously flawed judgment. Note also the sharp contrast between McCain's judgment in picking Palin and Obama's in picking Biden (see "Why Biden is Such an Important Pick for the Climate").
Let's go through the three points:
1. Politico has published the actuarial analysis at "McCain and the politics of mortality":
According to these statistics, there is a roughly 1 in 3 chance that a 72-year-old man will not reach the age of 80, which is how old McCain would be at the end of a second presidential term. And that doesn't factor in individual medical history, such as McCain's battles with potentially lethal skin cancer....... for a man who has lived 72 years and 67 days (McCain's age on Election Day this year), there is between a 14.2 and 15.1 percent chance of dying before Inauguration Day 2013
In short, there is a substantial chance that Palin could end up president.
2. Newsmax has Palin's views on warming:
Q: What is your take on global warming and how is it affecting our country?A: A changing environment will affect Alaska more than any other state, because of our location. I'm not one though who would attribute it to being man-made.
This makes Palin a typical conservative. A recent poll revealed that only 27% of Republicans believe the earth is warming because of human activity, such as the burning of fossil fuels (see "The deniers are winning, especially with the GOP"). Needless to say, if humans aren't the cause of global warming, then it's a random cycle that will eventually reverse itself, so you'd be crazy to mandate sharp reductions in greenhouse gas emissions like McCain (says he) wants.
Despite all the conservative blather about family values, if you are global warming denier, then you simply don't care about the nation's or the world's children.
3. "If there's no action before 2012, that's too late. What we do in the next two to three years will determine our future. This is the defining moment," warned IPCC head Rajendra Pachauri last fall when the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released its major multi-year report synthesizing our understanding of climate science. And remember that Pachauri was handpicked by the Bush administration to replace the "alarmist" Bob Watson. It's the facts that make scientists alarmists, not their politics.
Only a president who understands that humans are the cause of global warming can provide the aggressive leadership needed to achieve deep greenhouse gas emissions cuts in this country -- and convince the rest of the planet, including countries like China, India, and Russia, to join us. Only genuine presidential leadership on climate can avert centuries of misery, including many tens of feet of sea level rise, loss of fresh water supplies to a billion people, desertification of one third the planet, and extinction of more than two thirds of all species on land and sea (see "Is 450 ppm politically possible? Part 0: The alternative is humanity's self-destruction").
McCain's choice of global warming denier Sarah Palin as his president makes him an unacceptable choice for president.




Comments
Mr. Romm, the "no rational person...." comment is insular. How rational is it to make decisions about leadership based on a singular issue?
Most politicians are mired in the past, reactionary, and afraid to take a position on the future. When VP Gore had eight years in a position to greatly effect these issues, what did he DO?
Keep bringing your data and perspective, but please avoid the generalizations and attacks ("typical conservative," "like most conservatives," " conservative blather," etc...). I hope that Shell supports this blog as an informative site, not a personal venting.
Finally, while looking at mortality rates, you may want to consider the data on mortality of prisoners of war with three broken limbs. I learn a great deal from this site, but am beginning to question if the information is objective or political.
Posted by: Karen | September 4, 2008 11:57 AM
A vote for McCain is cruel; it's literally putting an x on his death warrant; he's cracking under the strain already - there's no way he'd survive a year as president.
Posted by: Fair Trade | September 4, 2008 12:15 PM
I have to agree with Karen's comment. I know how hard it is for me to stay calm and rational when writing or discussing a passionate topic, this election certainly qualifies. I try hard to not generalize groups or make sweeping general comments but to stick with specifics. They only turn people off, perhaps the very ones you are trying to make your point to.
I really like this blog and some of the other related ones (climateprogress comes to mind). Keep up the good work.
Posted by: darth | September 4, 2008 2:15 PM
The question of this week called for political commentary.
I think it is incredibly rational to become a single issue voter on clean energy and climate change. All it requires is a solid understanding of the current state of science and technology.
I can guarantee that within 10 to 15 years, climate change and clean energy will be the top issue for all rational voters -- and probably for most of the rest, too, once it is clear how much our dawdling has screwed the next 50 generations.
Posted by: Joseph Romm (ClimateProgress) | September 4, 2008 5:20 PM
I'm sorry but I care deeply about global warming and I suspect that McCain might be a better answer (if you leave out the extra drilling stuff) just because his support for nuclear power appears to be stronger.
How much of renewable competitiveness is due to massive subsidies? Plus there's huge costs in land usage and substantial technical problems with building an energy grid with them.
If we really want clean, plentiful, and cheap power we've had the answer for decades, nuclear. There's going to be a delay in building the new capacity, there's still not a great long term solution for waste storage in the immediate future, and it's going to be expensive initially. but it's cheaper in the long run and when you factor in reduced land requirements Nuclear is arguably more environmentally friendly than wind or solar.
It astounds me how this blog is apparently dedicated to energy and climate change but manages to talk so little about Nuclear energy when the situation is so desperate. Rather than betting everything on an expensive set of new technologies with unaddressed technical problems why not use a solution with no carbon emissions and is still be competitive with other generation methods even without AGW?
Posted by: aaron | September 4, 2008 7:35 PM
Joseph,
As much as I agree that Climate should be one of the top two or three issues on voters minds this year (the erosion of civil liberties in the US and the economy are my other two), you need to let go of the "rational" approach. As I noted in a previous post over at The Intersection, American voters are NOT rational when making voting decisions. We liberals, and especially we scientists, have hard time understanding or accepting this because we like to think that our scientific discipline, coupled with our liberal worldview puts us above this sort of thing. We're wrong. Karl Rove knew this, which is why he got Bush elected twice on emotional appeals that flew in the face of the facts. It's why the Republicans are betting that no one will notice that they are trying to be the "party of change" that will lead a change from . . . . the Republicans.
Posted by: Philip H. | September 5, 2008 8:15 AM
Aaron wrote:
"How much of renewable competitiveness is due to massive subsidies? Plus there's huge costs in land usage and substantial technical problems with building an energy grid with them."
How much of NON-renewable competitiveness is due to massive subsidies?
Last I checked, non-renewables received Per Annum an order of magnitude more subsidies and other market protections than renewables. However, non-renewables generated an order of magnitude more energy (before factoring in wastes) than Renewables (exluding conventional Hydroelectric) . So they are more or less equivocal...IF one is generous with the contexts.
Nuclear is now already receiving extensive subsidies and protections, and the open (if not Free�) Market still largely rejects new nuclear energy.
The future of energy lies not in centralized monopolized utilities e.g. nuclear and coal, but in generation which minimizes resources, primarily including, but not limited to, reducing management and engineering needs. Source:
http://www.rmi.org/images/PDFs/Energy/E08-01_AmbioNucIllusion.pdf
Posted by: Sam-Hec | September 5, 2008 12:01 PM
If all the rational and moral voters vote against McCain, that would be maybe 5% of the electorate. Rove, and Lentz are proof, that ignoring rationality, in favor of gut level instincts wins elections.
Posted by: bigTom | September 5, 2008 4:40 PM