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Watch where you point your finger. Population, resources, and CO2 emissions are not dependently correlated.

Posted on: September 14, 2008 1:34 AM, by Sam Hazen

worldmap.jpg
This map depicts the world's relative geography.

As I was researching the biodiesel crop Jatropha for this post I ran across the recent news regarding Maoist rebels that raided a biofuel plantation in the Philippines. I read on to find that it is not necessarily a specific objection to biofuels by this group but a general dislike of foreign investment into the region. I should add that as far as I know, no Maoist rebels were interviewed for the story. Nonetheless, an interesting question or dilemma persists. Where do we point the finger for the cause of anthropogenic global warming and where will we likely point it in the future?

populationmap.jpg
This map depicts the world's relative population.

Shortly before this recent time of biofuels, there was a shortage of food. Human population growth had surpassed our ability to produce food. The green revolution managed to stay off wide spread famine in India, for example. Still there has been a struggle to produce and/or distribute enough food for the world's growing population. It is only human to make every effort to feed those in need, but one solution no doubt is to have fewer mouths to feed. Now we point the finger. Places like parts of central Africa and the Middle East have very high growth rates, while the former Soviet wealthmap.jpg
This map depicts the world's relative wealth.
Union has negative growth. It is all too easy for Americans to point a finger at the teaming masses of mouths as the cause of planetary distress, but alas, we in the US consume a disproportionate amount of resources, to say the least. Now we added another major effect parameter to issues of agricultural land use, biofuel (agrofuel) production.

Recently, a report was issued by the World Bank stating that the recent increase in food prices is in part due to the use of food, namely corn and sugarcane, to make biofuel. Second generation biofuels will be derived from non-food crops, but issues of land and water use continue. If the Maoists are not such anarchic generalists, would their efforts to feed the poor by ending biofuels be misguided? CO2map.jpg
This map depicts the world's global CO2 emissions.
I think these maps make it a hard call and on top of that, energy can be a global commodity and energy is required to produce food. This would argue in favor of energy dependent food pricing as much as food based biofuels influencing food price. And for the sake of argument and putting humanity aside, how do we weigh the importance of the cost of food versus the cost of CO2 emissions?

Comments

1

It is only human to make every effort to feed those in need, but one solution no doubt is to have fewer mouths to feed. Now we point the finger. Places like parts of central Africa and the Middle East have very high growth rates, while the former Soviet Union has negative growth. It is all too easy for Americans to point a finger at the teaming masses of mouths as the cause of planetary distress, but alas, we in the US consume a disproportionate amount of resources, to say the least.

That is all well and good as long as you are fine with the poverty of those in the third world, which we in the first world are constantly trying to pull these people out of. If we were to succeed in giving these people a middle-class life-style comparable to what we have in the west, this will be a major ecological problem.

Posted by: B.B. | September 14, 2008 4:28 AM

2

This all gives more ammunition to those in the right wing who believe AGW is just a plot to take their wealth away from them and give it to the poor of the world. Right wingers will correlate the "size" of the US's wealth on the wealth map and the "size" of the US's CO2 footprint on the CO2 map and state that the "marxists" on the left want to reduce the standard of living of the US to a 3rd world nation. As some of them do. But that is really not a goal of the left in general.

Posted by: Oldfart | September 15, 2008 6:30 AM

3

There are middle-class people in Australia today who lead comfortable lives and get their electricity from solar panels on their roof, water from their own tank and ride bicycles around town. Now I'm not saying they don't have an ecological impact, but the world can manage to support 7 to 9 billion people living a comfortably in such a manner, so it should be possible for everyone to have a comfortable lifestyle without major ecological problems.

Posted by: Ronald Brak | September 15, 2008 6:47 AM

4

"... the world can manage to support 7 to 9 billion people living comfortably in such a manner, so it should be possible for everyone to have a comfortable lifestyle without major ecological problems."

Yeah? Even if that's true (and I'd have to see your evidence before accepting that), we'll pass that population level in 20 years, easily. So what happens when we get to 12 billion? 15 billion? 20 billion?

Overpopulation is the big problem, especially when I'd much rather bring everyone else up to my standard of living, rather than drop me down to theirs!

Posted by: WCG | September 15, 2008 8:36 AM

5

WCG, world population is expected to peak around or under 10 billion this by 2050.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:World_population_(UN).svg

Posted by: Ronald Brak | September 15, 2008 9:02 PM

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