We all agree that conservation is the most common-sense, obvious, affordable and essential element of any energy-use strategy aimed at reducing fossil-fuel emissions in favor of clean power sources. But I fear that conservation also faces some of the biggest hurdles to aggressive implementation. The main problem, in the United States and to a lesser degree most other developed nations, is the inherent conflict between reducing consumption and supply-side economics.
Consider, for example, the political context in which we're debating the problems posed by soaring health care costs. No one in a position of influence is suggesting that the free market is the source of the problem. At Sunday's rally in Asheville, N.C., Barack Obama devoted most of his 45-minute speech to his plan to ensure most Americans can afford decent health insurance. But as many an expert has noted, his plan is critically flawed: it won't cover all Americans and it doesn't even come close to getting costs under control.
Most other western industrialized countries have figured out that removing the profit incentive is essential to bringing down health care costs. It is also the only way to ensure universal coverage. But Obama doesn't dare propose "socialized" health care.
It's a similar problem with the financial crises we are allegedly enduring at the moment. Few observers in the mainstream will posit that this is exactly the kind of thing the free market is guaranteed to do. The banking industry collapse is not a failure of unfettered capitalism, but a logical consequence; industry captains know governments will bail them out.
In both the health and banking sectors, consumers have an obvious incentive to cut their expenses, and it's the same with energy. But in all three cases, the producers' interests are diametrically opposed. This conflict is the reason why plans like those promoted by Duke Energy to help consumers save on their electric bills don't actually work. Unless we radically rejig the way utilities make their money, there's simply no way to encourage enough conservation to make a difference.
In health care, the solution is make it profitable for medical professionals to keep people healthy. Socialized systems, properly managed, go a fair way toward this goal. The banking industry poses more problems, of course. There, aggressive oversight and heavy penalties are required to limit the damage they can do.
For utilities, we have to make it profitable to sell less of their product. This is tricky in a free market. It is much easier when you remove the profit motive. The logical solution is to turn utilities into non-profit, government-owned operations. If we don't want to do that, then one necessary element of whatever solution we do come up with is a carbon tax of some kind, whether levied as a direct tax or through a cap and trade system, or both. And not a weak tax other. As this discussion on CBC Radio made clear, we're talking about something in the neighborhood of $200 a tonne on carbon dioxide emissions. And with that will have to come heavily regulatory oversight.
Then conservation stands a chance.




Comments
My understanding is that we have put in place a lot of electric energy conservation measures over the past 30 years or so. And that if we had not done so we would be in a huge electricity crisis. How has this been accomplished in spite of the barriers you mention?
Posted by: Jim Thomerson | October 7, 2008 12:53 AM
I can't find the specific info, but here in CA we do (at least somewhat) tie electrical utility profits to providing service instead of providing power. The idea is essentially that allowable rates are allowed to increase if consumption decreases due to increased efficiency... wish I had a link to the messy and imperfect implementation details.
Anyways, we have had significantly lower rates of increase in energy consumption than the rest of the US while our economic growth has been on par (or better in some respects) than the rest of the US.
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I used to do quite a bit of artificial-life and evolutionary computation stuff... and we had a motto "you get exactly what you select for" (so be sure you are really selecting for what you want). The trick is to make the selective pressures really for the high level goal you want to achieve and let the process find the path, while making steps along that path (incremental improvement) selectively advantageous without disadvantaging alternative paths you might not have thought of (at least too much). Not easy.
Market economics are not at all surprisingly subject to the same rule.
Posted by: travc | October 25, 2008 1:33 AM
hey i like your pic with the zebra on the motorcycle its pretty orignal
hahaha
Posted by: cialis | November 20, 2008 6:18 PM
thankss
Posted by: sesli chat | January 22, 2009 11:45 AM
Is this blog still in operation - I followed it with interest and now it's gone quiet...
Posted by: intensive driving | April 6, 2009 7:33 AM