Politics or Technology?
Which will be more important in addressing the open questions of energy security and environmental sustainability?
Who will save us from the impending meltdown towards which our most respected scientific models suggest we are headed?
Scientists or senators? Diplomats or designers? Engineers or community organizers? Us or them?
It may have to be us. All of us.
As they stand today, I think
the realms of technology and politics may affect each other in too many
multi-dimensional ways to arrive at any simple conclusion about their
ability to "save" us. More importantly perhaps, given the presumed
severity of our energy situation, our rapidly degrading natural
environment and the complexity of our current techno-socio-political
system(s), it may be reasonable to suggest that neither politics nor
technology (alone or combined) in their present forms can save us in
time.
It seems that all too often the relationship between
technology and politics is specious and highly non-linear. The
involved parties work on radically different time scales, with
variously-motivated incentives, and at least until now, many systems
have been able to derive great profit from leveraging (or dare I
suggest, creating...) market inefficiencies.
Policy, while
useful, is created by individuals, or groups of individuals who exert
control over a wider network of information than they generally have
individual ability to understand. A friend of mine, Joost Bonsen,
recently said to me in conversation, "The modern era is defined by the
division of labor." I found this to be such a great observation that I
wrote it down, and it made me later think, "why can't the next
generation also be defined by a division of management?"
Ideally,
a smart techology policy, like I saw described
by U.S. Energy Secretary Stephen Chu during MIT's Compton
Lecture last Tuesday, could create a network of new research
laboratories similar to Bell
Labs, aimed at addressing the energy issue in a rational and
predictable way. The concentration of great minds in these highly
collaborative and open research hub environments might one day lead to
a commercial distribution of clean, low-carbon power (and food and
goods) to the masses via the political and economic structures, perhaps
within the next 40-50 years. However, even Dr. Chu made a distinct
point that the challenge is great and expensive.
Addressing a
question about his plans to structure the new government research labs,
he said that the energy market will have to become more high-tech in
the future, and that to do so may require investment of 10% or more of
sales in R&D, a percentage reflecting other successful high-tech
firms' R&D investments. Given that $1-2 trillion US dollars are
spent every year on energy, that would mean an annual investment of
$100-200 billon. Yet, he said, the Obama administration has only
pledged around $2 billion.
Who will mind the gap?
That's where I think the rest of us come in.
Increasingly
we hear calls to crowdsource the answers to our problems. Why don't we
take our individual knowledge of our personal values and needs, combine
these with existing and ever-improving data about embodied energy and
use energy, and utilize that knowledge to calculate (and reduce) our
personal energy budgets, as suggested by new websites like WattzOn.com or sourcemap.org?
- Let's think about energy in terms of what we have and how we use it.
- Let's ask ourselves about our "inputs" (coal, oil, gas - also, solar, wind, geothermal, nuclear, etc) and our "outputs" (electricity, heat, information, transportation/mobility, communication, food, architecture, products, waste, etc).
- Let's consider the true costs of our resources by working together to understand what those actually are.
- Let's consider efficiency (how much goes in versus how much do we get out?) and effectiveness (how little can we put in to achieve a delightful result?).
- Let's equip ourselves with tools to do this study together, as a group.
- Let's KISS.
We
have created systems for gathering information and sharing it that are
improving at exponential rates and making it possible for us to
communicate ever more effectively about our present states and our
desired states.
If we continue to allow the formation of what
may be emerging as the new technopolitical or infopoliticalblogoweb
sphere, we may see that we have literally been sitting on the answers
all along.
After all, we have been pondering the concept of
energy
for at least two and a half millenia, when the word energy (derived
from Greek ἐνέργεια (energeia)), appeared for the first time in the
work Nicomachean
Ethics of Aristotle in
the 4th century BC.




Comments
If you want to know where the rest of us come in, try looking at something like Transition Towns, however inadequate that may be. I have no idea what you're trying to say.
Posted by: Eric the Leaf | May 20, 2009 9:28 PM
Hi Eric - Transition Towns are a great example of the type of small, local social structures that I think we will need to take on our global environmental crises. I hope to see many more of these self-reflective communities emerge around the globe with the intent of considering our situations honestly and pragmatically. Another model that seems to have been pretty successful at improving natural and social living conditions while reducing waste is ZERI (Zero Emissions Research Initiatives, http://www.zeri.org ).
Nonetheless, I read your comment on James' last post (The third option) and agree with your assessment of our species' trajectory to this point in our development.
Like you, I'm very nervous about our ability to navigate the future given the gross extent of our demand on the planet. According to the WWF Living Planet Report 2008 ( http://assets.panda.org/downloads/living_planet_report_2008.pdf ), "Humanity’s demand on the planet’s living resources, its Ecological Footprint, now exceeds the planet’s regenerative capacity by about 30 per cent."
Something has got to give, and soon.
Posted by: Grant | May 21, 2009 2:08 PM
Grant,
Thanks for the follow-up comments and links. One thing I noticed is that the Living Planet Report tackles energy primarily in terms of carbon footprint and climate change and, from my perusal, neglects to consider oil depletion scenarios and the more recent projections of coal and natural gas supplies. Since there is no more important aspect of ecology than energy flow, I suspect that we are much further into overshoot than suggested by that report.
Posted by: Eric the Leaf | May 21, 2009 11:20 PM
I really like this project. It's an environmental health clinic.
http://www.environmentalhealthclinic.net/environmental-health-clinic/
What types of small businesses do we imagine will pop up to help us manage our environmental footprint? There is a pizza shop in every town, what is the environmental equivalent? What type of service is small, open, replicable, mutable, and satisfying?
I'm also a huge fan of projects like the Tweet A Watt. How do you give users better awareness of their own information?
http://www.ladyada.net/make/tweetawatt/
If you have a piece of food in your teeth and a stranger comes up to tell you about it, chances are you might be embarassed or even angry, but if you look in a mirror you can get great satisfaction by fixing the problem yourself. What are small environmental mirrors we can build for ourselves?
Posted by: dan paluska | May 22, 2009 3:53 PM