Right now, as an outcome of this Tuesday’s election, it is certain that Democrats will have 55 seats and the republicans will have 37 seats, with eight seats with a reasonable degree of uncertainty.
The most recent information from Mississippi seems to indicate that the Republican Candidate (Wicker) is going to win this race against the Democrat, Musgrove. Another state often considered a tossup in the Senate is Texax, but it is looking like Republican Cornyn will beat Democrat Noriega.
In Georgia: Republican Chambliss is consistently ahead of Democrat Martin by a mere two points in polls over the last few days.
Kentucky: Republican McConnell is an unconfortable four points ahead of Democrqat Lunsford.
Oregon: Democrat Markley hovers about one point (not statistically significant) ahead of Republican Smith.
If all five of these seats go Republican (a reasonable guess) this leaves the count 55:42.
In Minnesota, Democrat Al Franken is in most polls a tiny bit (not statistically signficnat) ahead of incumbent Republican Norm Coleman. A very recent poll using allegedly improved methodology puts Coleman WAY ahead of Franken. Of all the races across the country, this one and the North Carolina race are probably the most interesting, and the most in need of your financial support!
New Hampshire: Democrat Shaheen seems to have pulled ahead of Republican Sununu by a statistically significant margin, but the surge is recent and therefore not secure.
North Carolina: Democrat Hagan is the tiniest bit ahead of Dole, not statistically significnat in most polls over the last several days.
It is by no means certain that all three of these states will place a Republican in the Senate in this race. But if they do, the Democrats are still two seats short of a filibusterer proof majority.