Modally speaking of course. And those are utterly different modes so the title of this post is of course nonsense. But, we do have some interesting data.
This is from the Gallup Pole of weekly job approval by demographic groups. The main thing this poll shows is that Obama has high job approval ratings, and that his job approval ratings are high in relation to other presidents at this moment in their terms.
George Bush’s rankings, for his first term, dropped as all President’s ratings seem to do, in an almost identical pattern as Obama’s. Then, when Cheney/Bush allowed the attack on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon to happen, and totally botched the response, the Bush rating went through the roof, to nearly the level that many popular presidents have coming into office, with the highest numbers for Bush and Obama being about the same. Subsequently, Bush’s ratings dropped precipitously except when he would invade something.
Overall, Obama has a better showing than bush because he is maintaining high numbers without killing lots of Americans to do so.
Bill Clinton’s ratings started out lower than Obama’s and fluctuated considerably throughout his two terms, but mostly trending upwards following the Republican Revolution associated with the midterm elections.
George Bush Senior had ratings that ranged across to board, almost as a chimera of his son’s ratings and Obamas, and maintained these reasonable ratings for the first half of his term, the experienced a precipitous drop for the second half of his term.
Regan’s pattern of ratings is almost identical to Obama’s so far, but Regan’s drop was to a lower level and some of his early high rankings were owing to invading dome country or another, IIRC. (above data from here)
The most recent gallop poll breaks down Obama’s ratings at four points over his term so far into demographic categories. His overall approval rating changed from 52/3 up until early November to 49 with the onslaught of anti-heath care reform rhetoric, liberal frustration with inaction (which is largely a myth …. stupid liberals) and concerns about the war. This is beyond the margin of error which I assume is 2% for this sort of pol.
Women have always liked Obama more then man and the drop for women is 3 points in contrast with 5 points for me. Younger people like him more than older people and the age-related difference is probably the largest, however, the drop in older folks is minimal and larger with younger folks who, in my opinion, are morel likely to be influenced by anti-health care TV ads.
Obama’s ratings in the western part of the country are the same now as in the beginning of the term. the largest drop is in the eastern part of the country, and the south never liked him as much as other parts of the country. Him being an uppity black liberal guy, and all.
And i do not LIE when I say that.
Obama is extraordinarily popular among “black” then “nonwhite” and also “hispanic” with Hispanic foks increasing their amount of approval, blacks not changing, non-whites and whites dropping. I assume the most important drop here is the white-liberal-youth drop.
There is a positive and very strong correlation between education level and approval rating for Obama for those with some college or more, but High School or less is also very high. I assume the white-liberal-professional and not-white-lower SES interactions explain this kinda-U-shaped pattern.
His approval rating stands at 59 percent with the lowest income class, 49 with the next highest class, 44 with the next highest (upper middle class) and 48 with the richest.
The poll also gives data on party affiliation and ideology which are largely as expected.
Church attendance interacts with approval in an interesting way. THe most churchy people collectively score Obama at 41, semi-churchy people at 49, and those of the “Seldom/Never” group at 55.
Married people rank Obama collectively at a 42, not married at 58. This is probably also a metaphenomenon of ethnicity, class, religiosity, and region.