Tropical Depression FOUR is here

And somewhat notable.

We are looking more closely than usual at hurricanes this season because this is expected to be a fairly intense year for this category of meteorological event. Tropical Depression Four is now located at about 12.6N 41.1W, otherwise known as out in the middle of the Atlantic. It is heading WNW at a speed that would put it north of Puerto Rico mid morning on Thursday.

At the moment, it looks like TD4 is going to grow, be a pain for ships in the area but not overly severe, then very possibly be mauled by upper level winds. The probably that this feature will develop in to a Category 1 hurricane over the foreseeable future is less than one in five. It will likely turn into a tropical storm very soon then dissipate next week.