It is probably safe to say that Nigeria now has an outbreak, as a handful of cases contracted in country seem to have been reported, though it is too early to be sure this will stick. Hopefully it won’t.

There is also one suspected case, a death, in Saudi Arabia, of someone who would have caught it in Liberia.

The number of new cases per unit time seems to have increased, or at least, stayed high as it has been for the last several days. The following chart based on WHO data shows the cumulative number of cases and deaths, including probable, suspected, and confirmed, as per WHO reports which come out at irregular intervals but generally every few days, though today’s report (August 6th). The mortality rate continues to hover between 50 and 60% (the drop at the end of that line is probably an artifact of the rate of new cases added and does not mean a drop in mortality rate, most likely)>

Ebola_2014_Outbreak_Aug_6_update

See this post for a more detailed look at the dat up through the previous report, where there is a discussion of some of the nuances.

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More posts on Ebola:

  • There is a cure for Ebola, we have it, we just don’t let anyone use it.
  • Ebola Outbreak Continues, Probably Worsens, Perhaps Spreads
  • Ebola Perspective: Risks of spread to the US and elsewhere
  • Ebola Outbreak in West Africa: Some basic information (Updated)
  • Comments

    1. #1 Jim Bouldin
      August 7, 2014

      “The number of new cases per unit time seems to have increased, or at least, stayed high as it has been for the last several days”

      It absolutely has increased, no question about it. It’s exponential growth:
      http://ecologicallyoriented.wordpress.com/2014/08/05/ebola-rates-updated/

    2. #2 Jim Bouldin
      http://ecologicallyoriented.wordpress.com/
      August 21, 2014
    3. #3 Greg Laden
      August 21, 2014

      Thanks for updating. I’m in a remote forest region (with a good internet connection but not a phone connection) and my ebola spreadsheet is not with me; I won’t be updating until Monday.

      Yes, that looks like a very serious increase.

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