I just read an interesting piece on the widely influential VOX, by David Roberts, called “A beginner’s guide to the debate over 100% renewable energy.” It is worth a read, but I have some problems with it, and felt compelled to rant. No offense intended to David Roberts, but I run into certain malconstructed arguments so often that I feel compelled to promote a more careful thinking out of them, or at least, how they are presented. Roberts’ argument is not malconstructed, but the assumptions leading up to his key points include falsehoods.

I’m not going to explicitly disagree with the various elements of the solutions part of this article (the last parts). But the run-up to that discussion, in my opinion, reifies and supports a number of falsehoods, mainly the dramatic (and untrue) dichotomy between the perfect and wonderful large-plant mostly coal and petroleum sources of energy on one hand with alternatives fraught with All The Problems on the other. Since this VOX piece is a “beginner’s guide” I would hope we can stick a little more nuance into beginner’s thinking.

I choose to Fisk. Thusly:

“Doing that — using electricity to get around, heat our buildings, and run our factories — will increase demand for power. “

It decreases the demand for power, overall. Internal combustion engines are inefficient compared to electric, to such a degree that burning huge amounts of petroleum or coal in one place to ultimately power electric vehicles in a reasonable size region is more efficient than distributing burnable material to all those vehicles to run them. Electrification is inherently more efficient and lower maintenance.

“That means the electricity grid will have to get bigger,”

Our grid, in the US and generally, in the west, is fully embiggened. Globally, maybe. That depends on if a “big grid” is the best way to deliver power everywhere. It probably isn’t.

[The grid must become] “more sophisticated, more efficient, and more reliable — while it is decarbonizing. ”

This contrasts the improvement of the grid with decarbonizing as though they were opposites, but for most of the expected improvements of the grid, improvements of the grid and decarbonizing are the same actions. They are not in opposition to each other.

“On the other side are those who say that the primary goal should be zero carbon, not 100 percent renewables. They say that, in addition to wind, solar, and the rest of the technologies beloved by climate hawks, we’re also going to need a substantial amount of nuclear power and fossil fuel power with CCS.”

This is a false dichotomy in my opinion. There is uncertainty here, of course. But let’s try this. Let’s try decarbonizing 50% of our current power without nuclear. At that point we will know whether or not to invest trillions into an unpopular solution (and nuclear is unpopular). If we need to, we’ll do it. If we don’t, we won’t. Maybe something in between. But worrying about this now, and using uncertainty to argue one way or another, is a waste of conversational energy.

“(If you shrug and say, “it’s too early to know,” you’re correct, but you’re no fun to dispute with.)”

LOL. But no. Rather, I’m thinking that it is too early to know and, in contrast, you are hiding a pro-nuclear argument in a blanket of uncertainty! Maybe you are not, but this is what such arguments almost always look like. Beware the nuclear argument wearing sheep’s clothing. A greenish tinged sheep, yes, but still a sheep.

“The sun is not always shining; the wind is not always blowing.”

Another falsehood. Technically the sun is not always shining on us, true, but as sure as the Earth is spinning, the wind is always blowing. People who say this have never been to the Dakotas.

It does vary in intensity and by region. So does nuclear, by the way. Nuclear plants have to be shut down or slowed down regularly for refueling. When severe storms threaten, nuclear plants are often shut down, and that is not on a schedule. When any big power plant suffers a catastrophe there is a long term and catastrophic break in the grid, as compared to a cloudy day, or even, a broken windmill.

The sun is up during the day, and in may places and for many times, generally everywhere, the demand for power is greater during the day.

Overall, this is a falsehood because it attributes perfection to the traditional sources, especially to Nuclear, and great imperfection to the non-Carbon and non-Nuclear alternatives. That distinction is not nearly as clear and complete as generally stated.

“The fact that they are variable means that they are not dispatchable — the folks operating the power grid cannot turn them on and off as needed.”

Another falsehood. First, you can’t turn a major traditional power plant on or off as needed. Indeed, there are already major storage technologies and variation methodologies at work. There are high demand industries that are asked to increase or decrease their use, on the fly, to meet production variation on large grids. There are pumped storage systems. Etc. The fact is that there is variation and unpredictability in the current big-plant system, it is a problem, and it is a problem that has been quietly addressed. Quietly to the extent that people making comparisons between traditional big-plant electricity and clean energy systems often don’t even know about it.

“As VRE capacity increases, grid operators increasingly have to deal with large spikes in power (say, on a sunny, windy day), sometimes well above 100 percent of demand. “

Yes indeed, and this is the challenge being addressed as we speak. Enlarging grid balancing systems, increasing storage, developing tunable high energy industries, and so on. This is the challenge, it is being met as we speak.

“They also have to deal with large dips in VRE. It happens every day when the sun sets, but variations in VRE supply can also take place over weekly, monthly, seasonal, and even decadal time frames.”

Yes indeed, and this is the challenge being addressed as we speak. Enlarging grid balancing systems, increasing storage, developing tunable high energy industries, and so on. This is the challenge, it is being met as we speak.

“And finally, grid operators have to deal with rapid ramps, i.e., VRE going from producing almost no energy to producing a ton, or vice versa, over a short period of time. That requires rapid, flexible short-term resources that can ramp up or down in response.”

Yes indeed, and this is the challenge being addressed as we speak. Enlarging grid balancing systems, increasing storage, developing tunable high energy industries, and so on. This is the challenge, it is being met as we speak.

The article mentions the economic problems. I don’t see those as difficult to solve but they are important, but I’ve got no comments on that at the moment. Read the article.

“The last 10 to 20 percent of decarbonization is the hardest”

Absolutely. And, know what? The first 25% will be the easiest. Do that now, and we’ll know a LOT more about the next 25% and maybe it won’t seem so hard after all. Maybe a major technological solution will come along before we get to that last 10%, maybe society will change enough that people will simply agree to having occasional reductions in energy availability. But certainly, the greatest difficulty and uncertainty is linked to that last 10%.

Our goal should be to have that problem soon.

“A great deal can be accomplished just by substituting natural gas combined cycle power plants for coal plants.”

Yes, if by “a great deal” you mean the release of greenhouse gasses into the atmosphere. Before extolling the virtues of methane, do check into it further. I once thought methane as a bridge was a good idea too, until I learned about what it involves, about leaking methane, etc. No, not really a good idea for the most part.

“Natural gas is cleaner than coal (by roughly half, depending on how you measure methane leakage), but it’s still a fossil fuel.”

My impression is that every time we learn something new about leakage, it is that the leakage is worse than we previously thought.

“If you build out a bunch of natural gas plants to get to 60 percent, then you’re stuck shutting them down to get past 60 percent.”

Well put.

Do read the article, but please, keep in mind that it is unfair (in the context of an argument) to attribute undue perfection to one option while emphasizing uncertain problems with the other. We need to forge ahead into that uncertainty and speed up this whole process. Everybody get to work on this please!

Comments

  1. #1 RickA
    United States
    April 7, 2017

    You say “. . . will increase demand for power. “

    I see your problem with this statement.

    I think the author meant will increase the demand for electricity.

    If a home is heated using natural gas, and is switched to heating using electricity – this creates a demand for more electricity.

    When he means the grid must become bigger – the author means the grid will have to handle a lot more electricity than it is currently handling – if we use electricity only for all cars, heating, etc – that is not currently being handled by the grid and electricity now.

  2. #2 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    “If a home is heated using natural gas, and is switched to heating using electricity – this creates a demand for more electricity.”

    If it’s switched to a heat pump, it could have more than 100% efficiency EASILY.

    If it;s insulated, it may not need any gas heating AT ALL, no need to change it to electricity. If it’s not using gas (most of the USA doesn’t), then your “if” is once more moot.

    Meanwhile, and this is one area that the hot air piece is bogus: the petrol used in the UK was converted to BtUs and that to watts to “work out” what the UK would need. Except that ICEs are less efficient, so the power use would be less when moving to electric cars.

    “the author means the grid will have to handle a lot more electricity than it is currently handling”

    Only under assumptions that we have to use more electricity.

    A claim that remains unproven.

  3. #3 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    Also, how many electrons are leaked? Now how many gas pipelines have leaked, and how much is lost?

  4. #4 Greg Laden
    April 7, 2017

    “I think the author meant will increase the demand for electricity.

    If a home is heated using natural gas, and is switched to heating using electricity – this creates a demand for more electricity.”

    I understood his point. I’m saying that switching to electricity reduces the total amount of power required, generally.

    Please refer to the reason I wrote this post. I think the leadup to the solutions part of the original article has a number of things that lead to misunderstandings, and the statement about power will tend to do that.

  5. #5 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    A major reason why renewables get tagged with “storage” is because the energy is otherwise free, really free, and it would be a waste to remove it and dissipate it to a resistor. There’s no real saving by shutting a renewable power source OFF.

    For fueled sources, they would save a shedload by shutting it down or ony running in the most efficient way, and instead do “storage” by a cold (or spinning) power plant in reserve. There’s no point for expensive gas and oil to generate power and convert it to some lossy storage, just shut it down or throttle way back and save on fuel costs.

    EXACTLY THE SAME power plant generation held in reserve would work EXACTLY THE SAME with renewables.

    “storage” is a shibboleth of nuke fluffers.

  6. #6 tadaaa
    Cambridge
    April 7, 2017

    yes, – and quite relevant to the predicament, we in the UK find ourselves with our Brexit delusion

    I have used the quote from Voltaire in a few online debates recently

    “perfect is the enemy of the good”

    a wonderful distillation of the Nirvana Fallacy otherwise known as the “perfect solution fallacy”

  7. #7 BBD
    April 7, 2017

    “Doing that — using electricity to get around, heat our buildings, and run our factories — will increase demand for power. “

    While Greg is correct about the inefficiency of thermal vs electric, electricity demand is expected to rise significantly over the coming decades of decarbonisation as new demand is created by shifting transport and heating, thermal manufacturing processes etc. from FFs to electricity.

    “That means the electricity grid will have to get bigger,”

    Our grid, in the US and generally, in the west, is fully embiggened.

    Possibly to misunderstand the unavoidable necessity of adding more long distance transmission capacity to get large-scale W&S to distant centres of demand.

    Another falsehood. Technically the sun is not always shining on us, true, but as sure as the Earth is spinning, the wind is always blowing. People who say this have never been to the Dakotas.

    Which is why vast wind resources in far away places must be connected to distant customers by long-distance HVDC.

    Yes indeed, and this is the challenge being addressed as we speak. Enlarging grid balancing systems, increasing storage, developing tunable high energy industries, and so on. This is the challenge, it is being met as we speak.

    “They also have to deal with large dips in VRE. It happens every day when the sun sets, but variations in VRE supply can also take place over weekly, monthly, seasonal, and even decadal time frames.”

    Yes indeed, and this is the challenge being addressed as we speak. Enlarging grid balancing systems, increasing storage, developing tunable high energy industries, and so on. This is the challenge, it is being met as we speak.

    I wish. Mainly what is happening is that W&S *capacity* is beginning to scale, but utility-scale storage and grid evolution / interconnection and all the other stuff is at a fraction of the required level and shows no sign of moving very fast in the right direction. Possibly because it is expensive and difficult or still R&D as in the case of utility-scale battery technology.

    “A great deal can be accomplished just by substituting natural gas combined cycle power plants for coal plants.”

    I agree that large-scale investment in new gas-fired plant is a bad idea – but one quite likely to happen. The whole shale gas bonanza is a disaster, really.

    (I’m fed up with arguing about nuclear because all you ever get is the anti-nuke brigade twisting it into a ‘nukes vs renewables’ pissing match when is is actually an argument about the unwisdom of throwing out a proven low-carbon technology right at the beginning of the decarbonisation process. There is a non-trivial possibility that renewables will not deliver the rapid, deep decarbonisation so urgently needed. Binning nuclear now is to bet the world on something that has never been attempted before as if it was a dead certainty. That is a troublingly cavalier attitude to risk.)

  8. #8 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    “as new demand is created by shifting transport and heating”

    But to decarbonise the power grid DOES NOT require shifting transport and heating. Moreover, it can be negated by efficiencies and changing demand.

    So your “proposal” is not “the” proposal. It is not a requirement to decarbonise the grid.

  9. #9 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    All you nuke fluffers get when you BS about nukes is so devastating to your desires that you have to complain about it being “anti-nuke” rather than pro-reality.

  10. #10 BBD
    April 7, 2017

    Wow

    But to decarbonise the power grid DOES NOT require shifting transport and heating. Moreover, it can be negated by efficiencies and changing demand.

    This is a pretty important muddle, so let’s sort it out.

    The object of the exercise is to decarbonise total primary energy (TPE) – that’s everything humanity uses.

    Electricity is just a *part* of TPE, but it is perhaps the easiest part to address.

    Decarbonising transport and heating means moving both away from FFs and onto electricity, but only if electricity generation is already decarbonised.

  11. #11 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    “The object of the exercise is to decarbonise total primary energy”

    Bullshit. the object of this exercise is to decarbonise the electricity grid. THAT is what you’re claiming that zebra’s proposal cannot do.

    THAT is the object of the exercise.

    If you wanted to whine and whinge on about removing fossil fueled heating or transport, then you should have not complained that zebra had no proposal on how to decarbonise the grid.

    Somehow, even when you’re admitting you are wrong, it’s suddenly everyone else’s fault for taking the words for what they said and not working out what insane dribbling you were entertaining in your noggin to cry and whine about how nukes had to be part of everything.

  12. #12 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    “but only if electricity generation is already decarbonised.”

    So decarbonising the grid DOES NOT require replacing total energy expenditure.

    Yet still you complain that *EVERYONE ELSE* is wrong for not accepting that your proposal to decarbonise the grid by building out much more power production was necessary and no attempt to decarbonise the grid could be considered a “plan” unless it said how to get more power in the grid.

    Because you just cannot accept you were talking bullshit, it has to be someone else’s fault.

  13. #13 BBD
    April 7, 2017

    Decarbonising the grid is part of decarbonising TPE.

    Will somebody else please confirm this for Wow?

    I’m so tired of his craziness.

  14. #14 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    “Decarbonising the grid is part of decarbonising TPE. ”

    Yeah. This does not mean decarbomising TPE is required to decarbonise the grid, BBD. Your insanity dribbling comes out with stuff your lunacy will not comprehend.

    It’s super ineffective!

  15. #15 BBD
    April 7, 2017

    Wow

    Are you suggesting that we should *not* decarbonise transport and heating?

  16. #16 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    I’m telling you that decarbonising the grid does NOT require we decarbonise transport and heating.

    Something you write out but your insanity brain will not comprehend when it does so.

  17. #17 BBD
    April 7, 2017

    I’m telling you that decarbonising the grid does NOT require we decarbonise transport and heating.

    So we just leave them as they are? Belching CO2?

    Or what?

    What do we *do*, wow?

  18. #18 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    “So we just leave them as they are? Belching CO2?”

    Where do I say we leave them?

    I’m telling you that decarbonising the grid doesn’t require replacing them.

    Have you comprehended this fact yet? Or still in deep denial

  19. #19 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    “What do we *do*, wow?”

    We decarbonise the grid.

  20. #20 BBD
    April 7, 2017

    Decarbonising transport and heating means electrifying them.

    This increases the demand for electricity and the scale of the challenge of decarbonising the grid.

    It’s all the same thing.

  21. #21 MikeN
    April 7, 2017

    If California dropped its high speed rail line that it is building, could that pay for transmission lines to the solar and wind areas?

  22. #22 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    “Decarbonising transport and heating means electrifying them.”

    Yup, your insanity is not able to comprehend what you’re saying, is it, BBD.

    AGAIN, this does not mean that decarbonising the grid requires decarbonising transport.

    They are NOT the same thing. That’s why they have different subjects to the word “decarbononise”. One has “the grid” as the thing to be decarbonised, the other has “transport” as the thing to be decarbonised.

    Or do you insanely insist that your travel to work is done via electrical conduction of your body through the national grid????

  23. #23 BBD
    April 7, 2017

    This is hopeless.

  24. #24 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    Yes, but that’s your insanity speaking, again.

    Decarbonising the grid will remove not one single internal combustion engine.

    If it were the same thing, this would be 100% absolutely by definition impossible.

    Since this is not the case (feel free to insist that decarbonising the grid would automatically replace every ICE with an electric engine if you want, but sans that you have accepted in words, but not in your head, that they’re not the same thing), they are not the same thing.

    What is hopeless is you still want to insist they ARE the same thing, but won’t actually admit to yourself you are doing this.

    Or move one inch from claims that only exist if they are the exact same thing, and that magic changes ICE to electric motors.

  25. #25 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    I can give you a plan right now to change your fossil fuel use for transport to 0% right now without a single watt added to the national grid, BBD.

  26. #26 Omega Centauri
    April 7, 2017

    BBD @10, Thanks.
    For some the goal may be decarbonizing the grid, but as you point out electricity is only a part of the puzzle, and we should be concentrating on the whole system, not just one highly visible component. Now I would say if your goal is to score political brownie points by claiming “my grid is zero carbon”, and don’t care about the overall energy system, then switching application like heating and transport to electricity makes the grid transition tougher. But, its a step we need to make, and arguably it is more important to make serious early progress on electrification than it is to reach certain percentage of renewables on the grid early. The goal is afterall a rapid and sustainable decarbonization of the whole economic system.

    A point was made that claimed the first 25% is the easy part. But that has been proven (so far) to be false. The technology of renewables is advancing rapidly, and we may easily find that the first ten percent was actually the hardest and most expensive part. Most likely going from 25-75% will turn out to be the least expensive part of the transition, -simply because the economy-of-scale and learning curves for renewables -and storage keep improving the economics.

  27. #27 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    Uhm, I can tell you how to decarbonise your travel to 0% CO2 without adding a single watt to the demand too.

    Oh, by the way, “too” is yet another admission that they’re not the same thing, else it would be irrelevant to say “too”.

    “A point was made that claimed the first 25% is the easy part. But that has been proven (so far) to be false. ”

    Where? ‘cos I’m damn certain the problem has been denial and obstruction, not the tech. See Denmark….

  28. #28 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    “and don’t care about the overall energy system,”

    Uh, the electricity system IS the overall energy system.

    Remember: turning your ICE into an electric motor isn’t necessary.

  29. #29 MikeN
    April 7, 2017

    >This is hopeless.
    How many times do you have to realize this? Just be pessimistic to begin with, and you won’t feel the need to say it.

  30. #30 Wow
    April 7, 2017

    Hopeless is “mike”‘s specialty…

  31. #31 Omega Centauri
    April 7, 2017

    Wow, about it getting easier rather than faster:

    True in some (many) places obstructionism has been a problem. But the optimization of the technology, which includes the optimization of the manufacturing techniques, and of entire industrial supply chains and the equipment needed to manufacture and install stuff covers a great deal of space. For both wind and solar the learning curve has been steep. Historically for solar panels, the cost of production has declined 21% for every doubling of net installed worldwide capacity. This means that the early stuff was very pricey. Germany’s big solar buildout occurred when the price of PV was several times higher than it is today. We will probably soon reach the point where overbuilding solar (which means you have too much capacity and must curtail some of it) will be economically feasible/optimal. The corresponding figure for wind is 14%. The first few off-shore wind farms were very expensive, but now the price has come way down. With renewables the more you’ve built, the easier it is to build the next increment.

  32. #32 RickA
    United States
    April 7, 2017

    BBD #23:

    I feel your pain.

    You are absolutely correct, that the goal is to decarbonize the grid and shift all total primary energy (TPE) to the grid.

    So heating with natural gas and using gasoline for cars would be replaced by electricity from the grid – which is decarbonized.

    That is the goal and I understand that.

    I don’t think wow does and probably never will.

  33. #33 BBD
    April 7, 2017

    Omega Centauri

    We will probably soon reach the point where overbuilding solar (which means you have too much capacity and must curtail some of it) will be economically feasible/optimal.

    Overbuild of solar is pretty much mandatory unless you are close to the equator. The seasonal issue with solar at mid or higher latitudes can only be addressed by overbuild or alternative sources, which, looking ahead, would be wind.

    So once you get out of the extratropical latitudes, it is necessary to overbuild the wind resource to compensate for seasonal diminution of the solar resource.

  34. #34 MikeNu
    April 7, 2017

    Water heaters is one thing, but electric vs gas stove is a considerable difference.

  35. #35 Greg Laden
    April 7, 2017

    I just switched. It is very different, but an electric stove is fine. I thought it would be harder to switch than it was.

    For the oven, doesn’t matter. The electric broiler is way better than the gas broiler, or at least, mine is better than the old one (which was itself modern and well functioning.)

  36. #36 MobiusKlein
    April 7, 2017

    For those who don’t know, Wow is a bit of a hothead.
    Has a week timeout on co-blog http://scienceblogs.com/startswithabang/2017/04/02/comments-of-the-week-155-from-pure-energy-to-earths-twin/

  37. #37 MikeN
    April 7, 2017

    We got it from context.

  38. #38 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    Nope I’m out.

    Ethan is only concerned about his best mate being safe, and doesn’t give a shit about the blog. I didn’t even know it was “a week” as soon as it was apparent he was being a twat and banned me I stopped even going.

  39. #39 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    “Overbuild of solar is pretty much mandatory”

    And EVERY POSSIBLE POWER SOUCE is over built. Because the fucking things stop working at times.

    Your idiocy is the blinkered and idiotic insistence that these problems exist only for renewables, becuse you’re a nuke fluffer who has no fucking clue what they’re talking about, only having the headlines from more authoritative nuke fluffers to go on.

  40. #40 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    “Wow, about it getting easier rather than faster:”

    Go ahead if you want. I didn’t. I was talking about it being easier to do the first 25%.

    “But the optimization of the technology, which includes the optimization of the manufacturing techniques,”

    Uhm, whut? It’s pretty damn optimal right now.What is it? 65c per watt now?

    ” For both wind and solar the learning curve has been steep. ”
    Nope.

    Again, even if mangling this to be nearly acceptable you merely get to the fact that this is 100% identical to what every other industry has. Including coal power.

    So this is yet another empty phrase.

    It’s not a proof that the first 25% is hard not easy like greg says. It’s orthogonal.

    “The first few off-shore wind farms were very expensive”

    Still more profitable than coal power build would have been. And you’ll find it wasn’t covering 25% of our power generation either.

    Excavation of coal is harder. Oil much harder. Has fuck all to do with how easy or hard it is to make 70% of our power production from it, though.

    “How hard” is about how hard considered it has to be.

    Remember the claims that renewble penetration would be OK up until they’re 20% of the mix, after that it becomes harder?

    It wasn’t based on how hard it was to make production lines.

    Was it.

  41. #41 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    “or alternative sources, which, looking ahead, would be wind. ”

    So overbuild is not mandatory.

    What about efficiencies? Is it impossible to change usage when rolling out solar???

  42. #42 Omega Centauri
    April 8, 2017

    Wow, you think $.65/watt panels are optimal, with the best utility scale farms coming in around a dollar per watt. But we will probably see $.25/watt panels in the near future, and that cost change can be revolutionary, especially if one is considering the possibility of significantly overbuilding.

    Wind is similar, its not improving quite as fast as solar, but the newer turbines can get a better capacity factor (fraction of peak capability as a sustained average), and that improves both economics and grid integration issues. Don’t underestimate the power of incremental improvement, changes in cost effectiveness can make a huge difference.

  43. #43 BBD
    April 8, 2017

    So overbuild is not mandatory.

    Well, you have to overbuild something. It can be all solar, all wind or you can split it between the two, depending on the wind resource. But you have to overbuild to compensate for seasonality in solar unless you are close to the equator.

    What about efficiencies? Is it impossible to change usage when rolling out solar???

    Nibbling round the edges of the problem isn’t the same as solving it. The potential for efficiencies is marginal compared to the winter drop in solar output, especially the further north you go.

  44. #44 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    “Wow, you think $.65/watt panels are optimal,”

    Do I? I didn’t know that. How did you get that from this?

    “But the optimization of the technology, which includes the optimization of the manufacturing techniques,”

    Uhm, whut? It’s pretty damn optimal right now.What is it? 65c per watt now?

    Or did you not see “optimisation of the technology”? Which would be really ironic since that was what YOU said. Ignoring your own words, hmm?

    There’s only about 65c per watt that can be saved by making manufacture easier and cheaper.

  45. #45 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    “Well, you have to overbuild something.”

    Why?

    I mean, you have to overbuild power generation, yes, but you blather on about this like its some sort of unique property of purely solar or wind.

    When it isn’t.

    So, why do you have to overbuild?

    Because either that’s bollocks or it’s no different from what we had to do for the current energy system.

    Which is fuck all difference therefore ignorable.

  46. #46 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    “But you have to overbuild to compensate for seasonality in solar ”

    No you don’t, you have to build enough solar to satisfy what you want.

    Demand is seasonal too.

    Nukes are also seasonal.

    Building more of those is not mentioned as “overbuilding”. Hell, coal stations are seasonal, since they rely on the same cooling water methods.

    Gas too is seasonal: it costs more in winter for the UK to buy it on the market.

  47. #47 BBD
    April 8, 2017

    “Well, you have to overbuild something.”

    Why?

    I mean, you have to overbuild power generation, yes, but you blather on about this like its some sort of unique property of purely solar or wind.

    Well, the problem is solar at increasing latitude. Short day length in winter knocks output on its head. This is a problem unique to solar as it affects all plant simultaneously and is predictable.

    No you don’t, you have to build enough solar to satisfy what you want.

    Which means overbuilding solar so that *winter* output is sufficient. Unfortunately, the required overbuild is substantial and there is a near-certainty of curtailment being necessary during summer peak output, which is the sort of thing investors don’t like to hear.

    Demand is seasonal too.

    Yes, in the NH it is high in winter because of increased use of lighting and heating. Decarbonising heating will further increase winter demand.

  48. #48 zebra
    April 8, 2017

    I see everyone has run away to engage in the same repetitive debate one more time.

    Wow, at some point in the past I have in fact included space conditioning and transportation in the competitive market paradigm, perhaps in passing so you missed it.

    However, since the usual subjects have lost the battle with respect to the grid, they are trying to change the subject. I’m shocked, I tell you, shocked…

  49. #49 Omega Centauri
    April 8, 2017

    BBD, There has already been some solar curtailment in California the past couple of weeks. Sounds, bad, but I think the worst day only about 8% of the total solar energy had to be curtailed. Spring may be a more likely curtailment season than summer. The reason is output is almost as high, while hydropower is at or near peak, and air conditioning demand is low to zero. (Also is California water pumping is a huge consumer, but its a record wet year so that demand is also low). How much curtailment you can economically justify depends strongly upon the cost of adding incremental capacity, that’s why continuing the cost improvements of solar and wind is so important.

    Also solar thermal with storage is going to become important. A recent bid by Solar Reserve for wait for it “baseline solar power” came in amazingly low. Of course the Atacama desert does have the worlds best solar resource, but its looking like solar thermal with enough storage to provide overnight power is only going to be about twice the cost of daytime PV solar power.

  50. #50 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    “Well, the problem is solar at increasing latitude.”

    No, that’s not a problem. It’s not like continental drift needs to be taken into account over the scale of centuries, is it.

    “Short day length in winter ”

    Long day length in summer.

    “Which means overbuilding solar so that *winter* output is sufficient.”

    No it doesn’t, any more than it means overbuilding nuclear because in heatwaves it’s insufficient.

    “Yes, in the NH it is high in winter because of increased use of lighting and heating. ”

    Nope. We can insulate. And LED/CFL lights mean lighting is a non problem.

    Moreover, it’s windier then.

    “Decarbonising heating will further increase winter demand”

    No it won’t.

  51. #51 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    Another issue is that solar is built to take advantage of high spot prices. It’s *profit efficient*. Not production efficient.

  52. #52 BBD
    April 8, 2017

    zebra

    I see everyone has run away to engage in the same repetitive debate one more time.

    Could there be an indivisible relationship between the goal and the plan?

  53. #53 BBD
    April 8, 2017

    “Short day length in winter ”

    Long day length in summer.

    Wow, this is embarrassing. Go back and re-read the discussion you are commenting on.

  54. #54 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    Only in your head, BBD.

    Because you won’t do anything but continue to bleat on and on about it, because you want to slap that dead horse until your arms fall off, because you can’t stop from demonising renewables to make nukes look like a sane option.

    They aren’t.

  55. #55 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    “Wow, this is embarrassing. ”

    What? you didn’t know about summer days being longer? Yeah, I guess that would be embarrasing to find the brain-fart that threw away that info was done in public.

    “Go back and re-read the discussion you are commenting on.”

    I did. It’s some nuke fluffer called “BBD” trying yet again to whine on and on about how renewables are terrible and expensive because they’re not nukes.

  56. #56 Wow
    April 8, 2017

    “Go back and re-read the discussion you are commenting on.”

    And I would add that you need to read further than you quoted. you know, the entire frigging post you were commenting on.

  57. #57 zebra
    April 9, 2017

    Here’s a question for all the people yammering about overall energy utilization:

    Assume that all commuters in the US had Chevy Volts. What modification of the grid would be required so that they could be charged from wind and solar say 90% of the time? (This would eliminate enormous amounts of CO2.)

    Please respect Greg’s observation along the lines of “Nirvana Fallacy Is A Fallacy.”

  58. #58 RickA
    United States
    April 9, 2017

    zebra #57:

    First, the grid would have to be supplied by the amount of electricity used by all these new electric vehicles.

    Secondly, in order to ensure that the Volts were charged only with wind and solar, you would have to turn off the 66% of power supplied to the grid (at least in MInnesota) from coal and natural gas and turn off the 20% of power supplied to the grid from nuclear (oh I forgot to turn off the 6% from hydro).

    That would only leave about 5% of the power the grid normally supplies, but that should take care of your hypo.

  59. #59 zebra
    April 9, 2017

    RickA,

    I have no idea what you are talking about.

    The grid would have to be supplied with the necessary amount generated by wind and solar, of course. But why would that mean “turning off” something else?

  60. #60 RickA
    United States
    April 9, 2017

    zebra #59:

    When you plug in your Volt in your garage, in order to ensure you are using wind and solar you have to remove all non-wind and non-solar from the grid in your area.

    In Minnesota, my grid is powered 66% by fossil fuel and 20% by nuclear – so we have to turn that 86% off.

    Otherwise, your volt is getting 66% of its electricity from fossil fuel and 20% from nuclear.

    That violates your hypo.

  61. #61 BBD
    April 9, 2017

    And I would add that you need to read further than you quoted. you know, the entire frigging post you were commenting on.

    See # 7.

  62. #62 Wow
    April 9, 2017

    “When you plug in your Volt in your garage, in order to ensure you are using wind and solar you have to remove all non-wind and non-solar from the grid in your area.”

    No you don’t. No more than to ensure you’re only using nuclear you have to remove non-nuke power from the grid in your area.

    “– so we have to turn that 86% off.”

    No you don’t, you have to turn that 14% into 100.

  63. #63 Wow
    April 9, 2017

    “See # 7.”

    See? Saw. So?

  64. #64 zebra
    April 9, 2017

    RickA,

    That is the silliest thing I’ve ever heard, and demonstrates that you have no idea how electricity works. Much like BBD.

    There are no “nuclear electrons” or “solar electrons”. Sounds like you may be an “electron racist”, now that I think about it.

    If you would like to try to explain your hypothesis using correct electric circuit terminology, feel free. But it will be embarrassing for you.

  65. #65 BBD
    April 9, 2017

    zebra

    That is the silliest thing I’ve ever heard, and demonstrates that you have no idea how electricity works. Much like BBD.

    You keep saying this, but never successfully explaining *why*.

    Remember this:

    The grid has to balance regionally. Supply must equal demand. Hold this thought.

    If you have a large solar resource in the SW and a large wind resouce in the Dakotas, Iowa, Minnesota and Montana, it generates vastly more electricity than there is regional demand. It is supposed to do this because it is supposed to be powering the US – especially the high-demand regions of the East and West Coast.

    So how do you get shitloads of electricity from A to B when B is a long way away?

    You can’t just dump huge extra regional capacity into the regional grid as it exceeds regional demand and the grid breaks. Think about this. Regional balancing is set by regional demand and this prevents large-scale electricity export through the existing grid.

    Unless long-distance transmission capacity is added to connect the scaling W&S resource to its biggest customers, who are far away, it will be increasingly unable to deliver electricity to the market. If that happens, the market can’t fund it.

  66. #66 Wow
    April 9, 2017

    “You keep saying this, but never successfully explaining *why*. ”

    Maybe didn’t think it needed to be explained?

    Do YOU think it needs to be explained why the electron from a coal fired power station or nuke power station are not different from the electrons from a solar power plant?

    “Unless long-distance transmission capacity is added to connect”

    Not needed, any more than it’s needed for any other power system since the transmission capacity is right there now. It would be more efficient to use HVDC to carry long distances, but it isn’t necessary. And HVDC is useful for ANY power generation system, one reason why France has it. Not a big producer of renewable solar and wind, if you remember.

    “You can’t just dump huge extra regional capacity into the regional grid as it exceeds regional demand ”

    Then don’t. Do like current generation does when it’s unusable and dump it to ground. Job done.

    “and the grid breaks.”

    I think you need to talk to an engineer who works on these things. Unless you’re using a private and special meaning for “break”, this doesn’t happen.

    “If that happens, the market can’t fund it.”

    It funds nuke power, coal power, gas power, hydro power and so on and so forth even though it cannot be transmitted vast distances to the best market to sell, and there are brown-outs and even black-outs occurring.

    The market finds it possible to do it now. There’s no reason why this would change if we went full 100% renewable, worldwide.

    PS you did the “dakotas, sw, blah blah blah” and I pointed out once already that it was bollocks. Don’t listen, do you.

  67. #67 zebra
    April 9, 2017

    BBD,

    Now you are cutting and pasting your own nonsense. Doesn’t make it any less nonsense.

    I posed a simple question:

    We would all, I assume, like to remove that CO2 generated on the typical commute where the highways are like parking lots, and ICE are very inefficient and produce local pollution as well as CO2.

    So, we give all these commuters something like the Volt, which can cover say 50 miles on a charge, but has its own onboard generator/motor to deal with range for other trips.

    If you guys are such experts on how electricity works, tell me what changes would have to be made to the grid so the cars can mostly be charged by wind and solar.

    If you think that means building HVDC lines from Austin to Boston, explain why. Not with vague generalities and handwaving though; be specific.

  68. #68 zebra
    April 9, 2017

    Wow,

    One of the most frustrating thing about these discussions is that, as you say, we are doing all the things that I suggest right now. All the issues anyone wants to raise have established engineering solutions; the only difference is scale for various paramenters and making the rules universal.

    But these people ignore that and want to bring up vaporware like Thorium and SMR, and projects that they can’t explain how to get built in the US like government-owned HVDC lines.

    Childish fantasists, to be sure.

  69. #69 BBD
    April 9, 2017

    If you think that means building HVDC lines from Austin to Boston, explain why. Not with vague generalities and handwaving though; be specific..

    I was specific at #65.

    If you guys are such experts on how electricity works, tell me what changes would have to be made to the grid so the cars can mostly be charged by wind and solar.

    I think the underlying assumption in your position is that the US can *always* meet local demand anywhere with local W&S. But this isn’t correct.

    That’s why in order to achieve the goal of decarbonising the grid as a necessary component of decarbonising TPE, the plan requires major grid upgrades.

    It’s difficult to see how localism can ever fund the necessary increase in long-distance transmission capacity, never mind overcome the morass of legal and technical inter-state issues that must be resolved. Hence the need for government intervention to make the plan work and so achieve the goal.

  70. #70 Wow
    April 9, 2017

    Specifically, you made the baseless claim it was needed. Not why it was needed.

    “I think the underlying assumption in your position is that the US can *always* meet local demand anywhere with local W&S. But this isn’t correct. ”

    It isn’t necessary. It doesn’t do so now 100%, yet it still works.

    “the goal of decarbonising the grid as a necessary component of decarbonising TPE”

    The conversation is decarbonising the grid. Not doing that means there’s no way to do the second. Do the first first.

    “The plan requires major grid upgrades.”

    No more than it needed major grid upgrades when A/C was widespread. Or refrigeration. Or lighting.

    But there’s no need for “major grid upgrades” if there’s no extra energy use. It could be LOWER energy use.

    Your whining is based on the assertion that it MUST be more power, when that’s the pointless insistence of some mythological insistence that today is what we must have to do.

    We’re already changing what we’re using the grid for and what we’re using ON the grid.

    Moreover, the massive use of electric cars gives a massive storage system “ready built”. Yet more reason why your complaints about wind and solar are meaningless burbling.

    “It’s difficult to see how localism can ever fund the necessary increase in long-distance transmission capacity”

    Then don’t insist it is necessary to increase long distance transmission capacity.

    Job done.

    You really do not want to think, do you.

    ” Hence the need for government intervention to make the plan work and so achieve the goal.”

    So we’re back to “the plan”. No that is YOUR plan. Based on unecessary insistence that wehave to increase power use when we don’t, that we need storage when we don’t, that we have problems that are new when they already happen with any other source of power we’ve used.

    All to cry FUD and alarmism about not using nuke power…

  71. #71 BBD
    April 9, 2017

    Zebra

    Okay, how about this bridge attempt:

    You summarised your position neatly on another thread, #30:

    That’s why I propose that we have a market where the grid operator is regulated as a common carrier, prohibited from generating or even retailing.

    You buy from the generator, so that there is a level playing field for supplying the actual function (transportation, HVACR, lighting, whatever) that you are purchasing.

    I fully agree that these are necessary conditions for an energy transition to happen but disagree that they are sufficient.

  72. #72 zebra
    April 9, 2017

    BBD,

    Answer the question.

    If you can’t do the simple math for a simple problem like that, you are simply a pretentious fool, and nobody cares about your “disagreement”.

    Wow has, in his somewhat incoherent ranty way, pointed out your various failings on the basic physical facts. That should worry you.

    If you can’t articulate the issues involved in charging an EV, what business have you advising us about the entire energy paradigm of the USA?

  73. #73 BBD
    April 9, 2017

    If you can’t do the simple math for a simple problem like that, you are simply a pretentious fool, and nobody cares about your “disagreement”.

    Why not set out your answer to this simple mathematical problem?

    Then the thread would know what you are talking about.

  74. #74 BBD
    April 9, 2017

    Answer the question.

    And if I frame #71 as a question, what would be your answer?

    I fully agree that these are necessary conditions for an energy transition to happen but disagree that they are sufficient.

    Why am I mistaken?

  75. #75 Lyle
    April 9, 2017

    Note that current mini-split hvac systems (ductless) have better performance in cold climates than ducted systems. (Partly because they have inverter compressors. Work is on going on build systems that have a cop of 2.5 at 0f. I.E. produce 2.5 times the heat as the electricity coming in. So assume an electric conversion efficiency of 50% (best gas turbine combined cycle plants run up to 60% now). And a assume a 90% gas furnace. So the heat pump puts out about 1.38 times the heat at 0 F of a northern gas furnace, for an equivalent use of gas. The units seem to beat out furnaces down to about -15f or so. Work is on going to produce better performance including by the government of Canada.
    So it looks like today minisplit systems with some gas backup could work in the north country.

  76. #76 Wow
    April 10, 2017

    BBD, you have spent months dancing around and denying zebra’s position, it’s hardly surprising he wants to get closure on his position before chasing after another dog whistle from you.

    Zebra, #71 was a different style, it was trying to find another way around, so at least attempting to break the circle. Accept that the conversation may be able to move on, but ask that first some closure on your statements and BBD’s denial of them even existing, be made. Otherwise there’s no point to following this new thread since if it doesn’t go BBD’s way it is patently clear that it will be merely shunted into the weeds and anything against what BBD believes to be the One True Way To Think is just plain nonexistent nonsense.

  77. #77 Wow
    April 10, 2017

    “I fully agree that these are necessary conditions for an energy transition to happen but disagree that they are sufficient. ”

    Why? Wind is the cheapest production system, therefore it would win out in a free market. SPV is fairly cheap and can be rolled out down to the personal level, it’s just that there’s no point, since you can’t use it without your electricity suppliers’ consent.

    And if externalities are added in, SPV is cheaper than coal.

    So why would not making it a properly and genuinely open free market not work? It currently IS working, no new coal, coal closing down, massive buildout worldwide of new solar and wind.

    Certainly SEEMS to be working, even with the interference of lobbied government propping up the fossil fuel industries.

    So why do you claim it insufficient?

    Building HVDC won’t build any solar or wind power. Nationalising the grid won’t build any solar or wind power.

    If zebra has to say how to make solar and wind be built and all the fossil fuel power providers shut down, then you haven’t done this either, and it’s hypocrisy to whine about zebra not doing what you aren’t doing either.

  78. #78 Wow
    April 10, 2017

    “So it looks like today minisplit systems with some gas backup could work in the north country.”

    And that is with houses that aren’t designed to be properly insulated. Improve the house building so it’s built to a quality not to a price point, and how much gas backup is needed?

  79. #79 zebra
    April 10, 2017

    Wow,

    I appreciate your effort at 76, but you know BBD is not going to do any math or even admit that he can’t.

    Now, even RickA, despite his issues with electron miscegenation, has acknowledged that something equivalent to a carbon tax would be necessary to get people to buy nuclear (his favorite) rather than natural gas generated electricity.

    The only issue at hand is, as I said in my very first comment I believe, what the mix is. And you have covered most of the questions, as I said above.

    You have even (reluctantly) acknowledged that there could be nuclear in there for some reason. I would even argue that there will never be the development of SMR or any other current nuclear vaporware unless there is a competitive market.

    Anyway, I will not hold my breath waiting for technologically sound arguments from the usual suspects. I may make some other comment later with reference to Lyle’s heat pump information.

  80. #80 Wow
    April 10, 2017

    The problem with nukes isn’t “they’re nukes”, but “they’re too fucking dangerous in the hands of the people who will be running them”.

    if someone gets a tech out that makes nukes safe enough for people to build and operate one under their own arse and where their children live, then it’s going to be safe indeed.

    That isn’t the only way for them to be safe, but without any actual tech, it’s the use case scenario that will self evidently show it is safe.

    Thorium has been done for 50-80 years, and still not managed to be a better solution. Pebble bed reactors are still unwanted because of the risks and costs.

    And given we need to retire a lot of old generation, spending the time and money needed to build up nuke power when siting it for today’s climate is liable to be unusable for the climate when it’s still required to operate to be financially successful, is not merely foolish, it retards the only options we have left.

    Willing denial and political lobbying have ensured that, to safeguard the short term profits, the long term result we have today is that nukes cannot afford to be part of the solution.

    After we’ve broken the back of the problem? Maybe we’ll have time to look elsewhere (and better information on what needs to be changed in a mostly or entirely renewable power world, if indeed anything “needs” to be changed). But building a lot of nuke stations, unless they can be sited a long way from coasts and unusable as a terror threat, we have to wait until the climate and the political scene resulting from the changes settle down before we can look seriously again and rolling new nukes out, even if they’re practically safe in design by then.

  81. #81 zebra
    April 10, 2017

    Wow,

    The market will decide.

    Right now, they can’t even get a couple of pre-approved, very heavily subsidized, AP1000 they designed themselves, built without going bankrupt.

    Maybe, with a more open market, someone may leapfrog the current kluge-heavy design paradigm. It will not happen overnight to be sure– more likely as the “needs” are identified, as you say.

  82. #82 Mark
    CA
    April 10, 2017

    The California Council on Science and Technology generated a report: “California’s Energy Future: The View to 2050”- See more at: http://ccst.us/publications/2011/2011energy.php#sthash.Dv3zHG1D.dpuf……. had this to say about the amount of electricity that would be needed to run the society:

    …..”Aggressive new efficiency measures could reduce the demand for electricity by about a third, and for fuel by half. Incentives to electrify transportation and heat production would increase the requirement for electricity, but cut fuel demand by yet another third. Even with these measures, by 2050 California would need about twice as much electricity as we use today and still nearly 70 percent of the fuel consumed today…..:

    …..”The total commitment necessary to achieve this accelerated pace will require strong societal and policy backing because there are less than 40 years to make a nearly total change-over to the required technology. Essentially, in this time period, every existing building will either be retrofit to higher efficiency standards or replaced.”

  83. #83 Greg Laden
    April 10, 2017

    Mark, that is an interesting report but it is years old. Just sayin’.

  84. #84 zebra
    April 10, 2017

    More to the point, in addition to being dated, it uses the usual sleight-of-hand language to confuse and deceive.

    Over half of US commutes are under 10 miles, and only 8% are over 35.

    So, if all those California commuters were driving Chevy Volts, and they all had solar panels on their houses, it would essentially zero out that particular contribution of CO2 and pollution.

    Instead of reporting this, that part of the system is folded in to “increased electricity demand”. But obviously, there is no “firming up” problem because the vehicles can sit plugged in something like 20 hours out of 24. The gasoline that doesn’t get burned is pure “profit” in the CO2 accounting.

    If you need 24/7/365 electricity, buy it from the local nuclear plant, or the local “clean coal” plant. If there isn’t one, form a co-op with fellow industrial process businesses and build one for your own use.

    It’s just that simple. Don’t expect taxpayers to pick up the tab.

  85. #85 Mark
    April 10, 2017

    Greg and Zebra,

    It’s been a couple of years since I reread the CCST report as I read it after attending a CARB meeting discussing the proposed (at the time) 33%RES. I was a bit worried about what might happen to the PV system I put in place back in 2006. I am still not sure how the powers that be account for our system (6.12 kW). Sooner or later I will need to figure this out as I hate to think it might become a stranded asset.

    Our rate structure had to be eliminated last year as we have run into some grid integration issues out here in CA as noted here:

    1) https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=30692#tab1
    2) https://energyathaas.wordpress.com/2017/04/03/missing-money/

    3) http://www.cleanenergylawreport.com/energy-regulatory/caiso-expects-it-may-need-to-curtail-up-to-8000-mw-this-spring-and-up-to-13000-mw-by-2024-which-could-test-curtailment-risk-allocation-provisions-in-renewable-ppas/?utm

    I haven’t read the Jenkins-Thernstrom paper referenced below in detail. Their estimate of electrical power demand growth seems a tad high to me (those of us who live out in the country will be moving to biomass for our winter heating needs……I don’t know if their analysis notes this choice or not) :

    1) http://innovationreform.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/EIRP-Deep-Decarb-Lit-Review-Jenkins-Thernstrom-March-2017.pdf
    “…….The ninth study reviewed, Jacobson et al. (2014), considers a scenario where 100% of California end-use energy demand is met by electricity or hydrogen produced by electricity. In that case, electricity demand grows more than five-fold (+465%) by 2050…..”

  86. #86 BBD
    April 10, 2017

    Zebra

    I appreciate your effort at 76, but you know BBD is not going to do any math or even admit that he can’t.

    If you have a point, make it. Show the numbers. Otherwise, there is nothing to discuss.

    Stop stalling or people might think you were bluffing.

    More to the point, in addition to being dated, it uses the usual sleight-of-hand language to confuse and deceive.

    Exactly the same paranoid mindset as the deniers who see climate change as a vast liberal conspiracy.

    Don’t expect taxpayers to pick up the tab.

    And that sounds rather familiar too. Interesting.

    Instead of reporting this, that part of the system is folded in to “increased electricity demand”.

    But unless that increased demand is met 100% by zero-carbon generation, all you have done is *move* the source of CO2 and particulate emissions from cars to an increase in FF capacity. It does very little to advance the decarbonisation process. It’s PR, and it’s sales for the EV companies, but that is it.

  87. #87 BBD
    April 10, 2017

    Right, back to your mistaken notions about how the grid works. Here is a SciAm article that explains what you need to know. You will notice that the subtitle refers to a ‘plan’.

    Here are a few excerpts to give you the general flavour:

    In some places, wind power, still in its infancy, is already running up against the grid’s limits. “Most of the potential for renewable resources tends to be in places where we don’t have robust existing transmission infrastructure,” Van Wiele says. Instead, for decades electric companies have built coal, nuclear, natural gas and oil-fired generators close to customers.

    That strategy worked reasonably well until recently, when 28 state governments set “renewable portfolio standards” requiring their utilities to supply a certain portion of their electricity using renewables, such as 20 percent by 2020 or even sooner. But as Kurt E. Yeager, former president of the Electric Power Research Institute in Palo Alto, Calif., points out, such standards “aren’t worth the paper they’re written on until we have a power system, a grid, that is capable of assimilating that intermittent energy without having to build large quantities of backup power, fossil-fueled, to enable it.”

    And:

    Even before the emphasis on climate change, reasons were mounting to remake the grid. Chief among them are bottlenecks that stifle the flow of power.

    North America is actually covered by four regional grids (three of which serve the U.S.). The largest is the Eastern Interconnection, an extensive complex of transmission lines that stretches from Halifax to New Orleans, with substations that step down the high-voltage electricity to lower levels so that it can be distributed locally along smaller wires. West of the Rockies is the Western Interconnection, from British Columbia to San Diego and a small slice of Mexico. Texas, in an echo of its history as an independent republic, comprises its own grid, now called the Electric Reliability Council of Texas. And Quebec, with its separatist undercurrent, also has its own grid. The high-voltage transmission systems in the four regions comprise about 200,000 miles of power lines, divided among a staggering 500 owners, that carry current from more than 10,000 power plants run by about 6,000 investor-owned utilities, public power systems and co-ops.

    Even before the emphasis on climate change, reasons were mounting to remake the grid. Chief among them are bottlenecks that stifle the flow of power.

    North America is actually covered by four regional grids (three of which serve the U.S.). The largest is the Eastern Interconnection, an extensive complex of transmission lines that stretches from Halifax to New Orleans, with substations that step down the high-voltage electricity to lower levels so that it can be distributed locally along smaller wires. West of the Rockies is the Western Interconnection, from British Columbia to San Diego and a small slice of Mexico. Texas, in an echo of its history as an independent republic, comprises its own grid, now called the Electric Reliability Council of Texas. And Quebec, with its separatist undercurrent, also has its own grid. The high-voltage transmission systems in the four regions comprise about 200,000 miles of power lines, divided among a staggering 500 owners, that carry current from more than 10,000 power plants run by about 6,000 investor-owned utilities, public power systems and co-ops.

    And:

    Political Muscle Needed
    The concept of a national energy grid is not far-fetched. Indeed, the U.S. already has one that is highly successful in moving resources vast distances, notably from the Gulf of Mexico to New York and New England. But it is for natural gas, not electricity. And it exists because in the 1940s Congress created a system of national regulation for natural gas. Electricity was left to be regulated state by state and sometimes town by town.

    As a result, says Andrew Karsner, a former assistant secretary of energy for renewables and efficiency, the country has “Btu liquidity” but not “electron liquidity.” Scrapping feudal transmission regulations for similar national rules would require forceful leadership from Washington. The first step, Karsner notes, is making transmission reform a priority. “Stop the blah-blah” dithering among elected officials, he says.

    And so on. You will (finally) get the picture and (finally) realise why your conception of the US grid, and the notion that it balances across its entirety is simply wrong. In fact it is impossible to increase inputs in one region to meet demand in another. So your proposal is dependent on something that does not exist.

  88. #88 zebra
    April 10, 2017

    zebra:

    So, if all those California commuters were driving Chevy Volts, and they all had solar panels on their houses, it would essentially zero out that particular contribution of CO2 and pollution.

    BBD:

    But unless that increased demand is met 100% by zero-carbon generation, all you have done is *move* the source of CO2 and particulate emissions from cars to an increase in FF capacity. It does very little to advance the decarbonisation process. It’s PR, and it’s sales for the EV companies, but that is it.

    Sorry Wow, but “mad dogs and Englishmen” comes to mind. Maybe some member of the royal family will talk to him to prevent further embarrassment for your fair isle?

  89. #89 BBD
    April 10, 2017

    Zebra

    Ignoring evidence is called ‘denialism’. When it is done as you have just done it here, it is called ‘shut-eyed denialism’.

    * * *

    Now, explain why what I said at #86 about moving CO2 around is incorrect. Snark is just noise. Behave like an adult and make your point. See, eg. #87.

  90. #90 BBD
    April 10, 2017

    So, if all those California commuters were driving Chevy Volts, and they all had solar panels on their houses, it would essentially zero out that particular contribution of CO2 and pollution.

    The localism fallacy, again.

    What happens in winter when SPV output is minimal and wind is having to fill the capacity gap left by solar? What happens regionally if you get two days of consecutive low windspeed? How soon before nobody comes to work? What happens when a heavily depleted regional EV fleet tries to recharge its batteries simultaneously?

  91. #91 zebra
    April 10, 2017

    Mark #85,

    Do you have a point? If so, could you explain it, and how it relates to what I said about EV or industrial users?

    It sounds from your references that what you need out there is exactly what I suggested– more Chevy Volts, to be charged during the periods when solar production is highest. Win-win.

  92. #92 BBD
    April 10, 2017

    But sooner or later, you’re gonna need a bigger grid.

  93. #93 Wow
    April 10, 2017

    “But sooner or later, you’re gonna need a bigger grid.”

    Why?

  94. #94 Wow
    April 10, 2017

    “If you have a point, make it. Show the numbers. ”

    When did you show numbers? Lotsa bullshit and lotsa demands off you, but you don’t deem it necessary to work to your own demanding requirements yourself.

    Again, denier tactics.

  95. #95 Wow
    April 10, 2017

    “What happens in winter when SPV output is minimal and wind is having to fill the capacity gap left by solar? ”

    Um, wind is filling the gap left by solar.

    Duh.

    “What happens regionally if you get two days of consecutive low windspeed?”

    The power is replaced by solar. Duh.

    “How soon before nobody comes to work?”

    Never.

    “What happens when a heavily depleted regional EV fleet tries to recharge its batteries simultaneously?”

    They won’t be able to.Just like when every car wants to fill up with gas simultaneously. There’s only so much capacity to refill.

    Quite why you ask these dumbass questions when they’re merely the current systems’ problems written as if they were unique to solar and wind can only be laid at the feed of your nuke fluffing idiocy, BBD.

  96. #96 Wow
    April 10, 2017

    “But unless that increased demand is met 100% by zero-carbon generation,…. It does very little to advance the decarbonisation process”

    Wrong, dumbass.

    If you meet 50% of the demand for powering transport you decarbonise 50% of the demand for transport.

    Fucking idiot.

  97. #97 BBD
    April 10, 2017

    Um, wind is filling the gap left by solar.

    Duh.

    Over 48 hours of low regional windspeed? How? (Reading comp again, Wow).

    But we are saved, thanks to all those spanking new HVDC lines which only big money and big politics are likely to get constructed.

    The future’s going to be hard on the optimists who thought a panel on the roof and a battery in the garage was going to save the world, kill the monopolies and keep taxes low.

  98. #98 Wow
    April 10, 2017

    “Over 48 hours of low regional windspeed? ”

    What 48 hours of low regional windspeed? There is none.

    “thanks to all those spanking new HVDC lines”

    They’re quite old, actually, they’ve been there for years.

    “the optimists who thought a panel on the roof and a battery in the garage was going to save the world”

    That is a null set of people, BBD. A fiction of your own smug stupidity.

  99. #99 Wow
    April 10, 2017

    And you need to work on your reading comprehension, dumbass:

    “What happens in winter when SPV output is minimal and wind is having to fill the capacity gap left by solar? ”

    Um, wind is filling the gap left by solar.

    Duh.

    That was all that was written. “two days of consecutive low windspeed? ” came after. And no such two days happened.

  100. #100 Wow
    April 10, 2017

    Hey, maybe you can show up those smug fossil fuel people here, BBD.

    What do you do when you can’t get enough coal for two days to run your coal fired power stations?

    Hmmm?

    And lets stick it to the nuke people too: What do you do when a design flaw is found and the entire fleet has to be taken offline for emergency repairs?

    Oh, if only those simpletons knew that having a “dispatchable” power supply was as simple as “we have to fuel it” to be secure and constant!

  101. #101 zebra
    April 11, 2017

    While waiting to see if Mark, who might offer some hard data on his solar installation, gets back, let’s further consider his references.

    At this point, solar installations are not producing an excess physically during the midday period, although there are projections that this will eventually occur.

    What does it mean? Well, production increase for that period will be outpacing the growth in demand. This would be good news in a market functioning as I have suggested.

    In my market, electricity should go down in price during this period. Then, as demand increases towards evening, the price should increase The effect would be to encourage people to buy Chevy Volts and Tesla House Batteries.

    If you have a house battery, you can store that cheap electricity. If you need less than you have stored, you can sell it back to other users at the higher price.

    If lots and lots of houses have solar panels, and plug-in vehicles, and house batteries, guess what you have:

    Yep… Grid. Level. Storage.

    So, we eliminate the CO2 produced by ICE commuting. And, we eliminate the CO2 equivalent to what we have stored that would otherwise be burned in the evening.

    This is a very big step. It requires nothing but existing hardware and software, and creates lots of local jobs. Win-win.

    And, as I said earlier, any consumer for whom this doesn’t work is free to buy from a nuclear plant or “clean FF” plant or chip in to build their own if such is not available. Still a win-win.

  102. #102 Mark
    April 11, 2017

    Zebra,

    Sorry for the delay in responding. Our plans yesterday had to be modified due to an unexpected trip to the vet and way to many hours icing my back.

    Our PV system generates between 30 and 36 kWh a day during sunny spring, summer and early fall days. In the winter if we have a sunny day and all the snow and ice has melted off the panels we will generate between 15 and 24 kWh. This year has been a bit wet, make that a lot wet, in CA so our average output is lower than normal. When I designed the system I wanted it to generate enough power to meet 55% of our load over a calendar year. If you want any other details let me know.

    One of the geeks, experts, at CASIO (the folks who run the grid in CA) indicated that CA could end up with a higher fuel burn rate (ie more co2 released) under a couple of scenarios as we move from <20% RES to the 33% RES. Lots of efforts have been initiated to mitigate the mismatch of supply with demand over the years. Some integration challenges have delayed the use of newer forms of energy storage. The state has a lot of pumped hydro storage capacity which will be very helpful this calendar year.

    Alice (Energy Skeptic blog) discussed energy storage projects in CA last year:

    http://energyskeptic.com/2016/how-is-californias-ab2514-experiment-with-utility-scale-battery-storage-coming-along/

    The over generation challenge is tracked by CASIO these days on their web site. As expected April 9th was a bad day for the amount of power curtailed. http://www.caiso.com/outlook/SystemStatus.html

    A local public utility is implementing a plan to encourage their residential customers to purchase EV’s. They, SMUD, are offering two years of free electricity to customers who purchase an EV. The management of SMUD is likely trying to figure out how the recent announcement of the closure of the largest industrial customer (Aerojet) in their district is going to affect their operations. The can likely sell their soon to be excess capacity of hydropower to my service provider (PG&E).

  103. #103 Wow
    April 11, 2017

    So you’re just telling us what your current experience is, as a sort of example.

  104. #104 Wow
    April 11, 2017

    “indicated that CA could end up with a higher fuel burn rate (ie more co2 released) under a couple of scenarios as we move from <20% RES to the 33% RES"

    Yeah, probably wrong there.

    For example, pretending that outage from wind lulls or heavy cloud happen too quickly for efficient modern large scale power to be brought back online and being replaced by inefficient peaking plants.

    'cept we have weather forecasts that are pretty damn accurate to three days or more for that sort of thing.

    And probably yet again refusing to acknowledge that the calories from petrol burnt cannot be equated to the amount of kWh from electrical sources, along with heat pumps
    being much more efficient.

    And "forgetting" that LEDs are rolling out and reduce lighting, and better house design (or even for the USA not using that goddamned stupid tumble drier when the goddamned sun is out) would reduce the use for electrical heating.

    And not forgetting that with the energy being sapped by SPV, you will have lower cooling costs in summer when it's all paneled up..

    Likely the paper is just the same blowhard alarmism from nuke fluffers who want to prop their "low CO2" option up with a panic to decarbonise.

    I would also point out to you that, though the overall output of SPV is lower in full cloud, the fact that it is diffuse when it gets through means that the power curve is a lot flatter.

    And, lastly, when there's enough SPV to make it unworkable to expose the highest profits over the best match to load, some places will cant their panels to morningside to make use of higher production during morning peak, while others will choose the later period. Currently it just reduces the power produced at highest profitability times, so most places (not all) optimise to get the maximum value per kWh as opposed to making supply more consistent.

    That, again, is one method by which zebra's free market approach *may* produce correct outputs: when it's all SPV and wind, prices will increase where supply is lacking and people will change their panel alignment to maximise power at those times.

    Free markets are prone to corruption and incapable of fixing it, because there's no mechanism for a free market to avoid the benefits of monopolisation being taken advantage of, but since corruption of some sort is always going to be a problem when money and/or power is involved, you merely choose which forms of corruption you will have to work against and avoid, rather than some mythic option that is incorruptible.

  105. #105 zebra
    April 11, 2017

    Wow,

    I thought you were going to maintain the terminology discipline you have exhibited in the past, but…

    Your final paragraph uses “free market” when you should be saying “laissez faire capitalism”. Of course the regulator/government can be corrupt, but if it isn’t, anti-trust legislation will be enforced. And think about how difficult it would be to create collusion with hundreds of thousands of solar-installed houses, each an entrepreneurial enterprise.

  106. #106 zebra
    April 11, 2017

    Mark,

    Thanks; I’m just trying to get people to see some practical numbers rather than broad generalizations that distort how we understand the issues.

    So, I guess the main question I would still have is what were your zero-output time periods? Days, weeks?

    Also, nice to hear that the synergy I keep touting is happening, with electricity suppliers pushing the EV.

  107. #107 Wow
    April 11, 2017

    “Your final paragraph uses “free market” when you should be saying “laissez faire capitalism”.”

    There isn’t any difference, except the latter insists that complete anarchy is fine.

    Free markets do not handle control of the free market, it’s not even in the paradigm. Government or some other collective needs to externally deal with free markets *to keep them free*, because the free market itself has no power to do so, at least scaled beyond the local commune level, that level at which communism works just as well as free markets, because there’s a very direct link between everyone, customer and supplier alike.

    So in what the market can deal with, there’s no difference.

    Laissez faire is only the negation of accepting this and “believing” without any evidence, and usually with the ret-con idea that the “reason” why the laissez faire anarchy has never worked is because it wasn’t “laissez faire” enough. When the problem is that laissez faire is just incapable of working.

    Laissez faire is free markets, but a refusal to allow any control.

    Free market either accepts there has to be supra-market control because the free market itself cannot handle many things (including externalities), or in its laissez faire clothing, insists that it somehow magically will be no problem if it’s left completely alone.

    But the free market is still the free market in both views. And it still cannot deal with corruption, since there’s no way to correct it in a large market, since there’s no power in the free market to do so.

    The collusion won’t be between the thousands of independents, it’ll be in the attempts of middle men to insert themselves. It’ll be in the biggest suppliers trying to take over the grid and own it (see AT&T or any cable company going into internet, or indeed ISPs going into cable…).

    The hundreds of thousands of individuals selling their power won’t have the tools to make the educated choice because of corruption, and since the market won’t fix what it can’t see (remember, the scores of big players may see the problem, but they have the manpower and knowledge to avoid it, the common man won’t have either, but won’t even know it’s as big a problem as it is, since they only interact with a small section of the market), so government will still have to work to break down information barriers, break up cliques and prosecute both anti-trust and fraud.

    laissez faire doctrine would insist that government should not do any of that, and that any that turns up is automatically insisted to be BECAUSE of government interference.

    But they too operate the free market.

    They just insist for dogmatic reasons of belief and unsupported faith that government should do nothing about it.

    Of course some, most or maybe all of them know that it’s hogwash and merely want, like many libertarians, the power do be unrestricted themselves, not an uncoerced society free to act as they will.

    And they, because they use the free market are why those who accept that no free market can deal with some things and that government must involve itself in weeding out and compelling freedom in the market to keep it free are tarred with the same brush.

    My use of free market was 100% correct and accurate. Laissez faire is an add-on to control the free market, though in the nihilistic sense that there should be no control or compensation of corrupting influence.

  108. #108 BBD
    April 11, 2017

    This might be the moment for another of those periodic reminders not to confuse the domestic sector with the electricity market as a whole. Roughly speaking, domestic demand is ~30% of the total market, so it is important to keep things in perspective.

    What happens in terms of domestic efficiency and storage and rooftop SPV is all good, of course, but it doesn’t by itself lead to the necessary pace and depth of decarbonisation required to avoid severe climate impacts.

    The danger of blurring the distinction between the domestic sector and the market as a whole is complacency. One might begin to imagine that decarbonisation on the necessary scale is self-propelling and even a bit easy. This provides politicians now and in the future with a perfect opportunity to mouth platitudes and do nothing.

  109. #109 Wow
    April 11, 2017

    “Roughly speaking, domestic demand is ~30% of the total market,”

    Remember when you were saying about all the heating and lighting and transport?

    “but it doesn’t by itself lead to …”

    Nobody other than you says otherwise. But your stuff about commuter drives is 100% solved (well 99% ish if you insist) with home solar.

    “One might begin to imagine that decarbonisation on the necessary scale is self-propelling and even a bit easy”

    You might. Sane people, not so much.

    You pretend that there are these problems AS IF THEY WERE UNIQUE TO RENEWABLES.

    They are not.

    They are problems *we have today*.

    What happened when both Didcot AND Sizewell went offline for a good several months?

    I’ll tell you what didn’t happen: nobody then went shouting about how the current grid system was broken because of silly people thinking nukes and coal were the answer.

    What DID happen is the industries who fucked up blamed renewables for it, because they thought that people weren’t buying replacement nuke and coal power for these events.

    What we’re doing is making your alarmist claims and clamour properly aligned with reality, where these problems are already ones we have and ones we will have whatever solution we have, and whose answers are already there, without anyone crying about how hard it all would be to implement the current system.

    “This provides politicians now and in the future with a perfect opportunity to mouth platitudes and do nothing.”

    No, shouting about how things will be too hard if we change gives them an excuse.

    Denial the problem exists gives them an excuse.

    And corruption from market leaders gives them reason to find one.

    Pretending that these problems are unique to wind and solar gives them excuses to fund big expensive projects that will have huge companies running it who will have plenty of non-voting directorship jobs for anyone with the “wisdom” to help them make more cash. All the while pointing to the “problems” with wind and solar, and eliding the fact that they exist for all methods just as validly, to excuse them waiting until “the more inclusive moderate position” of wasting money on white elephants for the pork produces something better.

    The situation is dire enough with enough wasted time so far that we don’t have a choice, and as we build more and more renewables in different places we will find how much these problems exist, and the ways that will solve them, and the fall-back when all actions that the market will let you undertake are, because one-in-a-million chances MIGHT crop up, still possibly insufficient to the task.

    You know, like a massive fire at Didcot.

    Or Fukushima.

    They happened, and nobody was going to build a 100% replacement to keep for all that time mothballed just in case it fucked up, but they did fuck up and stop.

    What did we do?

    We dealt with it, even if badly, because it just wasn’t feasible to plan for a backup for the remote chances, and even if it’s not the best solution, life will still go on, and we’ll manage the crisis as we have to manage every other one that turns up.

    Your fearmongering merely gives yet more ammo to pause doing anything for those who would prefer to let someone else carry the can.

  110. #110 Wow
    April 11, 2017

    Also I take it that the existence of all this grid storage is invalid because it’s a homeowner car batteries, right?

    Or does solving the energy problems mean energy problems are being solved, no matter which arbitrary boundaries it falls in? Most would agree to that, but you seem to want to demarcate off certain areas for “not confusion” because of some ephemeral worry that delay will result if we stop worrying about what will go wrong and start doing something then find out what arises.

  111. #111 MikeN
    April 11, 2017

    >domestic demand is ~30% of the total market

    The discussion is focused on the US, so now domestic demand is about 5% of the global market, and the US is about 15% of global.

  112. #112 BBD
    April 11, 2017

    Remember when you were saying about all the heating and lighting and transport?

    No. Link and full quote please.

  113. #113 BBD
    April 11, 2017

    Your fearmongering

    *What* ‘fearmongering’?

    Pointing out that people confuse the domestic sector with the whole market isn’t ‘fearmongering’. Pointing out that improvements in efficiency, storage and personal generation in the domestic sector fall a very long way short of decarbonising the electricity market isn’t ‘fearmongering’.

    You are *such* a troll.

  114. #114 Wow
    April 11, 2017

    “No.”

    Ah, so you’re a moron, a dumbass, or a liar.

    Well done.

    “*What* ‘fearmongering’?”

    Yeah, more moronic denial.

    Ever wonder why some call you denier?

    Oooh, ooh, I know, what will you do if I show you your words? Will you accept the charge and fuck off forever or will you weasel out after I’ve done work, hmmm?

    Come on, give me some pay for the work done you want to be done to punish me for not obeying your exhortations and ridiculous rhetoric.

  115. #115 zebra
    April 12, 2017

    Wow,

    “car batteries”

    Tesla is selling house batteries and “grid” batteries specifically designed for time-of-day load shifting.

    The larger ones sound like they would take care of much of the commercial load that is supposedly a “problem” in the evening. Walmart has vast amounts of surface area, on the roof and in the parking lots, that could be covered with solar panels, and to locate the battery assembly. And that’s another large chunk of CO2 that can be eliminated.

    I was wondering if you had noticed a rather strange thing about how this conversation has gone:

    I jumped in originally to chide you and BBD for having the same old nuclear v renewables debate, and offered my “let the market decide” approach.

    But now I have, multiple times, said that nuclear was an option for industrial users with 24/7 process applications. Have you noticed that not one of the nuclear advocates has jumped in to applaud that?

    Somehow, the great defenders of nuclear have stopped liking it so much when it is properly matched with a compatible load, perhaps located where there would be less controversy. Huh!

    Almost makes one think that it really isn’t what you describe as nuke-fluffing, but delay-delay-delay. Just sayin’.

  116. #116 Wow
    April 12, 2017

    No, Greg doesn’t accept nuke fluffing, so they don’t do it because of that is just as supported.

  117. #117 BBD
    April 12, 2017

    But now I have, multiple times, said that nuclear was an option for industrial users with 24/7 process applications. Have you noticed that not one of the nuclear advocates has jumped in to applaud that?

    That’s because Wow goes so absolutely batshit at the mention of the n-word that it is easier to discuss renewables-only approaches to decarbonisation.

    And you are still locked in the domestic demand bubble and ignoring the marginal effect of domestic generation and storage on total market demand.

  118. #118 BBD
    April 12, 2017

    I jumped in originally to chide you and BBD for having the same old nuclear v renewables debate, and offered my “let the market decide” approach.

    That’s wow, zebra. *He* has that argument with an imaginary version of me that exists only in his head. I have pointed this out to you before.

    I know it is very difficult to have a conversation with a lunatic in the room roaring and flinging shit, but even so, I would hope you appreciate the difference between my position (use everything) and wow’s (rabidly anti-nuclear).

  119. #119 Wow
    April 12, 2017

    “That’s because Wow goes so absolutely batshit at the mention of the n-word”

    Yeah, that’s yet more of your insanity talking, dumbass.

    “That’s wow, zebra. *He* ”

    “He”? Again, why do you say “he”?

    “has that argument with an imaginary version of me ”

    Nope, I’ve got the one with the real you. Your insanity, however, cannot visit the real world when it comes to nukes. You just cannot think at all when it comes to that. Your brain dribbles off for a hangover cure while you rabidly shout and scream about how bad it will be if we use renewables, yet ignore that your alarmism is the scenario we have to see every week with the current and previous energy systems.

    Because, sans ability to argue logic, you have to scare the shit out of people who dare think that maybe it can be 100% renewables.

    You just, for some insane reason, can’t handle the idea of a 100% renewable future.

  120. #120 Wow
    April 12, 2017

    “I know it is very difficult to have a conversation with a lunatic in the room roaring and flinging shit,”

    Yes, we have to keep ducking the crap you fling.

  121. #121 BBD
    April 12, 2017

    “He”? Again, why do you say “he”?

    Do you wish to be referred to as ‘she’ in future, Wow? I will, of course, do as you wish.

  122. #122 Wow
    April 12, 2017

    That is not an answer to the question.

    You love avoiding answering, don’t you, dumbass?

    Why did you say “He”?

    “Do you wish to be referred to as ‘she’ in future”

    Nothing to do with what I wish, only with what motivates you to assign a gender without evidence.

  123. #123 BBD
    April 12, 2017

    Wow

    Why did you say “He”?

    Because you are so aggressive.

    Do you wish to be referred to as he or she in future?

  124. #124 Wow
    April 12, 2017

    So you presume male because they’re strong or not female because they’re meek?

  125. #125 BBD
    April 12, 2017

    So you presume male because they’re strong or not female because they’re meek?

    Women are meek? Who told you that?

    The reason I assumed that you are a bloke is because you act like one. And you know it, so stop pissing around.

  126. #126 Wow
    April 12, 2017

    Still not an answer, dumbass.

    So you presume male because they’re strong or not female because they’re meek?

    Or is it that you’re taking the first option? Because you gave that as your “reason”, but this needs checking to see if you weren’t just blowing smoke again. Or lying. You do that.

  127. #127 Wow
    April 12, 2017

    “because you act like one.”

    So women aren’t agressive, then?

  128. #128 MikeN
    April 12, 2017

    I know dean claimed it was ignorance of statistics by me, when he really meant social science, but women aren’t as aggressive is another point that signifies you are male.

  129. #129 Wow
    April 13, 2017

    Hey, don’t sell yourself short, “mike”, you’re ignorant about a lot of things.

    Remember, you almost certainly have more than the average number of legs, and eyes and even fingers and toes!

    The thing about questioning why people make the presumption about gender when there’s neither need nor evidence for it is that they so very rarely have any explanation for it, indicating at the very least that even they don’t look at their own thought processes (such as they are) and actively refrain from doing so.

    I’ve used both evidence based assertions for the conclusion AND also used one of probably several “I have no evidence” claims for it, but nobody else ever seems to manage to even bring up an “I have no evidence” and an open and self-regarding assessment of what it meant by presuming the gender. It’s all been highly defensive and made as if there were some imperative to their assumption, rather than just plain assumption.

    People tend to hold to the idea that they are rational and don’t question it anywhere near enough. Meanwhile make the assumption others are IRrational.

    Much like the idea of free well. As one author put it, when they see someone else do something unexpected, they go “Frank is acting out of character”, and not “Frank is exercising his free will today!”. They assume themselves free will but want others to be automata and predictable.

  130. #130 Wow
    April 13, 2017

    Women have more legs than average.

    So if you think it likely I have more than the average number of legs, then you will conclude I’m female?

    The problem of your conversion to statistical likelyhood (completely at odds with your climate denial, by the way, which rather supports the contention that your stats ref is merely a facade behind which your misogyny hides) is that you propose “Is” from “likely”. Moreover, it’s just the same bullshit that early white assholes made the assumption that they were superior to blacks, by appealing to some statistical average that they didn’t even bother to check and brought “is” from “might be”. They looked at the average lifespan, saw they had a longer one and then assumed they were better.

    They looked at the brain case size, then looked at ALL AFRICAN HUMANS, which are far FAR more varied than out-of-africa humans genetically, and concluded that they were dumber because their brain could not be as large on average.

    They were abusing stats and not caring because they WANTED to believe their racism was scientifically sound rather than their own blind prejudice.

    You have made no statistical analysis. Not of the amount of aggression from me, not of the amount of aggression the spectrum of men have, and compared it to the results for a population of women, not made any calculation as to the likelihood, then compared that to the number of women who you have encountered.

    If it’s 5% possible and you’ve talked to more than 20 women, there’s one who is as “aggressive” as the one you proclaim me to be.

    But remember too that this assertion “aggressive” is merely a paint job on what you don’t want to accept and wish to paint to conform to what you’d like to be there.

    “No you’re talking bollocks” is refutation, not aggression, dumbasses.

  131. #131 MikeN
    April 13, 2017

    >If it’s 5% possible and you’ve talked to more than 20 women, there’s one who is as “aggressive” as the one you proclaim me to be.

    And 19 who are not…

  132. #132 MikeN
    April 13, 2017

    >So if you think it likely I have more than the average number of legs, then you will conclude I’m female?

    If there’s a big difference between men and women on that score, then sure. But of course there is no such difference, except maybe on the less than average side.

  133. #133 Wow
    April 13, 2017

    “If there’s a big difference between men and women on that score”

    If you don’t know whether there is or not, you have no evidence to back your assertion, despite it being the only claim in support of your assertion you have given.

    Since you do not know if the stats support you and asked that question, then you made your statement out of ignorance and bigotry, not evidence.

  134. #134 MikeN
    April 13, 2017

    >If you don’t know whether there is or not, you have no evidence to back your assertion,

    This is a correct statement, since ‘if A then B’ is only wrong when A is true and B is false.

    >Since you do not know if the stats support you
    Wrong.

  135. #135 Wow
    April 13, 2017

    “This is a correct statement”

    What a lame-ass way of saying “Yeah, I was wrong”.

    “>Since you do not know if the stats support you
    Wrong.”

    WRONG.

    Even you said that it was a correct statement “you have no evidence to back your assertion”

    Fucking idiot.

  136. #136 MikeN
    April 13, 2017

    No, I said your full statement was correct, and gave the reason. Learn the rules of logic.

  137. #137 zebra
    April 14, 2017

    Getting back to the topic, a brief review:

    In the competitive market paradigm, we have the opportunity to best match the energy source to the end use.

    Electrification of personal (and probably much commercial) transportation; batteries charged with low-price intermittent renewables.

    Stationary electricity (residential and commercial) provided by renewables with on-site time-of-day-shifting battery storage.

    Industrial applications requiring 24/7 electricity supplied by dedicated nuclear generation, whether large-scale or localized.

    Reduction of consumption through more efficient technology, and further storage in the form of thermal energy for space conditioning.

    These are the likely outcomes once the costs of CO2 are internalized and anti-competitive structures are eliminated.

    And again, remember Greg’s admonition– the Nirvana Fallacy is a Fallacy.

  138. #138 Mark
    April 17, 2017

    To Zebra (#106),

    “So, I guess the main question I would still have is what were your zero-output time periods? Days, weeks?”

    The worst output time block for our system was during a winter storm. We had zero output from the system for 4 days. It took 3 days for the snow and ice to melt off the panels. The variability in output for our PV system, for representative months matching the seasons, is noted below. In the winter our output can be 1, or 2, kWh/day for a few days in a row.

    January
    Average kWh/month= 483
    Standard Deviation= 113
    Coefficient of Variation=23.5%
    % demand from PV=37%
    Capacity Factor(avg)= 12.5

    April
    Average kWh/month= 867
    Standard Deviation= 69
    Coefficient of Variation= 8%
    % demand from PV= 82%
    Capacity Factor(avg)= 22.3

    July
    Average kWh/month= 1029
    Standard Deviation= 47
    Coefficient of Variation=4.5%
    % demand from PV=70%
    Capacity Factor(avg)= 26.5

    October
    Average kWh/month= 760
    Standard Deviation= 35
    Coefficient of Variation= 5%
    % demand from PV=50%
    Capacity Factor(avg)=18.6

    Our system was installed in the days before internet conductivity for inverters. The meter from our service provider is Smart in that it collects usage (kWh) into different time bins that match up to our TOU rate schedule, but it does not have conductivity (internet) either. I have daily records in written format. I transfer the data to an electronic file that I summarizes into monthly data.

    Sorry for the really long delay in answering your question………….. There is a lot of daily data, binned into 24 intervals, available at the CASIO web link noted in an earlier comment. I used that data base a few months ago to get a feel if the utility scale PV generators in the state have a smaller hour variability (over at least 30 days) than the CSP facilities feeding the CA grid. We have a lot more utility scale PV spread throughout the state then CSP facilities which may be why CSP’s Coefficient of variation for any particular hours generation was much larger than the variation in output from the PV generation sites.

  139. #139 Wow
    April 17, 2017

    ” It took 3 days for the snow and ice to melt off the panels”

    Last winter there were several streets and even entire (OK, small, but still the entire village) out of power completely for as long as that because of winter storms taking out the electric lines.

    So having even a worldwide grid and massive nuke or coal or gas providing “dependable” power doesn’t solve that problem of a few days out of power when there’s been a storm.

  140. #140 zebra
    April 18, 2017

    Mark,

    Thanks, great info. Getting 37% during January is a nice example of why Nirvana Fallacy is a Fallacy.

  141. #141 Wow
    April 18, 2017

    That;s 37% of max, though, not 37% of demand.

    And as I said before, with the current mix there’s no financial incentive to work to even out supply because it’s more profitable at the moment to steal the old systems’ lunch and sell peak power at peak price times than to supply what’s wanted.

  142. #142 zebra
    April 18, 2017

    Wow,

    ??

    He said “37% of demand”.

  143. #143 Wow
    April 18, 2017

    He sized it to produce what he’d used in the summer, it’s the second post he made (IIRC, but you can pop back and see it),so, to an extent, yes, it’s not “max”, but the “maximum he’d bought to supply”.

    The point is somewhat along the lines of what you’d ended on, regarding the perfection fallacy.

    We don’t have a perfect one now.

    My addition was that we won’t see the problems in what we currently see, since the system is built in the ecosystem we currently have, and not in one where it’s carbon free.

    It’s why your idea of an open (as opposed to free, given the political implications of that term) market might work. It is probably why nukes *won’t* work, since they’re not able to adapt, even as a project, because of the timelines and the sunk costs at the beginning, which is IMO why BBD is so set against it being declared unworkable: nukes work if they’re backed up by a non-profit paradigm and/or government edict.

    But an open market will, potentially, be able to move to either fill an emergent gap or avoid an opening pitfall. Kinda sucks to be the one who fell in where nobody knew there was a problem, mind, but that’s a societal thing to discuss outside energy production paradigms.

    But go back and look at the figures.

    Winter, half the power usage, half the “capacity factor”, but still gives “demand from PV” as half the summer.

    It’s “demand from PV” compared to nominal spec, not usage. Else one of those figures at least is out by a factor of two.

    I would presume it’s from the wording of his supplier and a lack of either thinking it through or not considering it as potentially confusing that leaves the wording as it is.

  144. #144 Wow
    April 18, 2017

    Or, possibly, that there is no mention of the demand of power he has for each month, in which case he looks to be using as much in winter as summer, which for his location shows he’s wastefully profligate and he can fix most of his problems by not throwing money away in wasted power.

  145. #145 BBD
    April 18, 2017

    Mark,

    Thanks, great info. Getting 37% during January is a nice example of why Nirvana Fallacy is a Fallacy.

    It’s a perfect example of why you are going to need a bigger grid.

    And you are *still* muddling up the domestic sector with the total market. This is 37% of 30%, not 37% of 100%.

    But go on wittering on about supposed Nirvana fallacies and pretending that there is no difference between necessary and sufficient.

  146. #146 Wow
    April 18, 2017

    See earlier post, BBD. Read it first before making such stupid claims. Because if you haven’t read them, the post you just did wasn’t stupid, just uninformed, but if you had read it, then that was definitely stupid.

    We currently need a grid that supplies twice the power we use, because we only produce 50-ish percent of the capability. And renewables are cheaper, so even if you have to build more MW (which we don’t, at least it’s not provably necessary, merely a possible requirement), it will still be cheaper to build and run than other ideas.

    “This is 37% of 30%,”

    That is 37% of what was built up to provide. And with 12-year-old tech, in a process that is still improving efficiency at Moore’s Law rates.

    Moreover, that’s 37% of a system built not to be a sole replacement, for a person who either got that figure wrong (see my previous post, remember) or is dumping a shitload of unnecessary power out, therefore could dump that 37% to 74% no problem.

    Not forgetting that ice on his roof from a storm is equivalent to a downed line or fubar’d station transformer, both of which have seen streets and even whole areas without power for days.

    Ask the USians in Tornado Ally what that feels like. Local generation there is done because it’s needed, not because they’re wanting to replace their power use.

    “But go on wittering on about supposed Nirvana fallacies ”

    You’re doing it right there, dumbass.

    “Oh, it’s not perfect, so it’s really really BAAAAADDDD!!!!!”.

  147. #147 BBD
    April 18, 2017

    Wow, the fuckwit’s fuckwit.

  148. #148 Wow
    April 18, 2017

    Buddy, bloody dumbass.

    Bullshit, Bollocks and Denial.

  149. #149 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    So. Germany. 85% power production from renwables. Near 20 years earlier than planned.

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    Apparently that 20% figure that was bandied about, what, 2011? thereabouts anyway, for safe renewable penetration looks to have been a *tad* off.

  150. #150 BBD
    May 12, 2017

    And when its dark / winter? And low wind conditions?

    Where does the energy come from then?

    A total alternative reserve equal to the total national demand.

    What might provide such a reserve? You are adamant that no backup is required, so presumably, unicorn farts.

    These kinds of headlines are misleading and dangerous. They create an entirely false impression that there is some sort of meaningful energy transition actually underway.

    Fake news for useful idiots.

  151. #151 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    What about it?

    Tell me, what % of energy was the renewable system currently built out supposed to handle?

    Something under 40%.

    Now, tell me, what happens when your nuke plant blows up?

    What happens when your smokestack for the coal generator cracks and falls?

    What happens when your transformer station is set aflame?

    JAQing off really doesn’t do anything other than show desperation.

  152. #152 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Oh, and Germany has night. And it has winter too.

    So what happened was they managed just fine.

  153. #153 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    “These kinds of headlines are misleading and dangerous”

    Nope. Unless you mean “leading away from the narrative I prefer” and “dangerous to my ideology”.

  154. #154 Mark
    CA
    May 12, 2017

    BBD and Wow,

    It appears that the German government would like to evaluate ways to improve the ability of their forecaster to match supply with demand:

    RTE Day-ahead Load Forecasting Competition 2017:

    http://blog.drhongtao.com/

    ….”In this context of increasing flexibility and market rule harmonisation at the European level, RTE wants to conduct a review of current forecasting methods and assess the performance of new dynamic and adaptive approaches brought by Data Science.

    The first challenge will focus on the deterministic short-term forecast of national and 12 regional electricity demands, a second one will focus on a forecast with associated uncertainty.

    RTE will launch its first international public challenge in Data Science mid-May, running till mid-July. The second challenge will take place during winter 2017-2018.”

    I wonder if Dr. Hansen is following how RTE is doing. I’d like to know if he still feels the current approach to addressing things might be a bit off target:

    http://energyskeptic.com/2013/james-hansen-says-belief-in-renewable-energy-same-as-believing-in-the-easter-bunny-or-tooth-fairy/

  155. #155 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    OK, so what does your text have to do with your link?

    You DO know why appeal to authority is a fallacy, right? That anyone can be wrong and that saying “this person is an expert” is a shorthand for those who cannot work with the information that this expert had to hand to arrive at their conclusion that this issue HAS been looked at, but that if you can, you will and should always point to the data and information that led that expert to their conclusion, because it’s the validity of the data and its support or not for the conclusion that actually shows the conclusion is right or wrong.

    Dr Wakefield is, or rather was, a real doctor.

    His ability to discern the truth from the facts in evidence was 100% supported.

    He lied and faked however.

    Hence if your audience can handle the data, you show them the data. If they can’t, then your claim to mercury leading to autism based on Dr Wakefield’s career choice is an appeal to authority.

    Of course, if he’d been right, the appeal would have been immaterial as to whether mercury causes autism. The appeal is, really, orthogonal to the claim’s veracity. It can only ever be used if you point to where that authority got THEIR data and information from. And then argument can ignore who said it, and move into what proves it.

  156. #156 BBD
    May 12, 2017

    Here’s what a blip in wind and solar looks like (this is the April 30 blip when German electricity generation peaked at 85% renewables between 1300 – 1500hrs.

  157. #157 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    And this is what a coal power blip looks like

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/damian-carrington-blog/2014/oct/20/while-didcot-b-burned-renewable-energy-powered-on

    And one power station is so big that the HVDC links need to be massively upgraded so that we can cope with its intermittency.

    Strange how this is not a problem for the fluffers….

  158. #158 BBD
    May 12, 2017

    “These kinds of headlines are misleading and dangerous”

    Nope. Unless you mean “leading away from the narrative I prefer” and “dangerous to my ideology”.

    No, I meant what I said. Energy industry misinformation is dangerous whenever it is used to lull the public into believing that:

    a/ GW isn’t really a problem

    or:

    b/ It’s all going to be okay because renewables

    But it’s all energy industry misinformation and it’s all pernicious. Useful idiots on both sides dance to their respective pipers. All will end up in the river in due course.

  159. #159 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Also is your complaint that they saved so much cost of unburnt fuel? Is not burning coal a problem?

  160. #160 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    “No, I meant what I said. ”

    OK, so what you said was intentionally meaningless.

    “b/ It’s all going to be okay because renewables”

    Ah, that would be the same number of people who are leftists and proclaim we need a NWO to control the planet, as many deniers proclaim.

    I.e. nobody.

  161. #161 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    “These kinds of headlines are misleading”

    So what was misleading???? Be specific and back it up with reality, not your imaginings.

  162. #162 BBD
    May 12, 2017

    Classic useful idiocy from Carrington, who tries on a feeble false equivalence between a fire at a single power station and the national-scale variability in wind during anticyclonic conditions or solar during night / widespread cloud / winter. It’s just stupid. Yet it gets published, along with the crap by deniers in the right wing press. It’s all misinformation.

  163. #163 BBD
    May 12, 2017

    “These kinds of headlines are misleading”

    – It was the May Day holiday long weekend: industrial demand was unusually low.

    – It was a blip – a day – when unusually windy and sunny weather coincided.

    – Electricity is not total primary energy and it’s not okay to blur that distinction.

    You don’t understand this stuff well enough to argue about it Wow.

  164. #164 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Ah, classic denial form nuke fluffer. Can’t argue the case, argues the speaker.

    So useful, that fluffer. Earns every penny he does!

  165. #165 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    “– It was the May Day holiday long weekend:”

    So what is misleading? The headline said they got 85% from renewables. Whether it was May day or not. The headline didn’t say “On a heavy load day…”.

    Remember, I asked for reality, not your imaginations.

    “– It was a blip – a day ”

    So what is misleading? They got 85%. The headline didn’t say “For a full year!”

    I want reality, not what you imagined.

    “– Electricity is not total primary energy ”

    So where did the headline say all total primary energy? And how does running a solar panel produce Natural gas for burning????

    I wanted reality, not your shibboleth imagingings.

    What was misleading?

  166. #166 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Is it not misleading to claim that 85% of demand is misleading?

    Is it not misleading to complain that there are winters and nights when the discussion is about how much electricity was produced compare to the demand?

    Is it not misleading to complain about things that were not claimed in the goddamned report itself???

    Is it not misleading to harp on about intermittency when every source is intermittent?

    Is it not misleading to complain about Carrington for being himself and ignoring that Didcot DID go titsup and produce NO POWER while the renewables continued going? The facts wouldn’t change if it were Coco the Clown or even Trumpanzee saying it.

    Is it not misleading to claim it’s misleading when you have to pretend things not there to be misled about?

    Is it not misleading to complain about misleading people when you’re busy doing just that?

  167. #167 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    So to protect against another didcot burning down, we have to build two. And admit to building two of everything in case that one thing burns down. And in case we can’t get coal, we have to plant enough trees that we can use charcoal from the trees permanently, else we would have potentially a lack of power from coal imports being blocked.

    And to hold up against uranium being unavailable, we have to relocate the UK to some place with a lot of uranium resources we can mine for the next 10,000 years, because we might be blockaded from having nuclear fuel!

  168. #168 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Indeed if we forested enough to supply our energy needs through charcoal

    a) it’s carbon neutral
    b) the mass of trees would draw down some of the carbon

    Meaning it’s far better to do that than bother with nuclear energy, because we can be embargoed imports but we can’t be embargoed the trees growing on our land.

    So we find our perfect BBD solution: Charcoal power!

  169. #169 BBD
    May 12, 2017

    Is it not misleading to harp on about intermittency when every source is intermittent?

    The Carrington lie again, despite debunking just upthread. You aren’t even a useful idiot.

  170. #170 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    What lie? Are you saying Carrington doesn’t exist? Or that Didcot never was on fire????

    WHAT debunking? Debunking WHAT? EVERY SOURCE IS INTERMITTENT.

    You’re not even a dumbass. Dumbasses are looking at you all ;-^ and wondering what is wrong with your head.

  171. #171 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Oooh! Oooh! I think I got it, you think that being a power station that produces power by burning stuff, that when it was on fire it was producing EVEN MORE POWAH!

    Amirite?

    Hey, when we run out of gas because Russia turns off the supply to Europe, what do you do, hmm?

    What do you do when there’s a huge lull in the weather, it’s night time, we have no gas supply? Have you built up enough extra nuke power to cover all that loss? If not, then you have to include in the cost of nuke power the cost of supplying 100% of total primary power production entirely by nukes with over-build!

    But what happens when you discover a design flaw in the station? You therefore need to build an entire second replication of that overbuilt programme with a completey different design in the

  172. #172 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    (fucking touch sensitive laptop mouse equivalent)… You therefore need to build an entire second replication of that overbuilt programme with a completely different design in the hope that the design flaw is not common to both designs! But what if it IS in both!?!?!?! OMG! We need four, completely new designs of enough nuke power to supply all primary production, else BBD will insist it is misleading!!!!

    Of course, coal power will also need to be replicated 400% of maximum demand in three different designs in case we find that imports of uranium are blocked.

    We wouldn’t want to be “misleading” BBD, would we!

    Oh, and NOBODY say anything about whether anything we do to mitigate or counter AGW or CO2 levels because it would be misleading to imply that there is no problem because we’ve found a way to stop it. m’kay. That’s just misleading the poor retard.

  173. #173 BBD
    May 12, 2017

    We wouldn’t want to be “misleading” BBD, would we!

    Of course not. But it was you who brought up the misleading news splash about ‘85%’ blah. So, look at the mirror instead of berating me. Ditto on parroting Carrington’s nonsense. Neophyte / useful idiot errors both.

  174. #174 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    “But it was you who brought up the misleading news splash about ‘85%’ ”

    But you haven’t actually found anything misleading about it. You’ve imagined what you want to whine about. You’re the one misleading people, dumbass.

    “Ditto on parroting Carrington’s nonsense.”

    Ah, so you DO claim that Didcot never burned down!

    Welp, you’re a lying sack of dick-covers, then dumdum.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-oxfordshire-35641766

    Oooh, but maybe the BBC is ALSO misleading people!!!!!

    THEY’RE ALL IN ON THE CONSPIRACY!!!!!111!!!!ONEONE!!1!!

    INCLUDING the owners!

  175. #175 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Oh, and so as not to mislead anyone, care to show us a month where there was zero wind across the entire UK, with 8 Octas of cloud cover?

    You wouldn’t want to compare a local, temporary weather event changing a small area’s output slightly with a nationwide synoptic scale long term failure, would you?

    Heck, I’ll let you off and allow you to pick another country. How about USA?

  176. #176 David Whitlock
    May 12, 2017

    A good energy storage method is to use compressed air to run gas turbines.

    Normally gas turbines use a substantial fraction of the power they produce to compress air to operate the turbine. The compressed air is heated by burning natural gas, then the hot air plus combustion products are expanded, and the net power (expansion power minus compression power) is used to generate electricity.

    It is a relatively minor modification to run compressors with electricity and store that compressed air underground and then use that compressed air during periods of peak energy demand. This is a way to shift off-peak power to peak power. There are some losses, but the price differential between peak and off-peak are so large that it would be worth doing.

    Those natural gas powered turbines can also be made carbon-free by sequestering the CO2 they produce.

    This would be a lot cheaper and more effective than the “moving rocks uphill idea” (which is going to be too expensive).

  177. #177 BBD
    May 12, 2017

    Oh, and so as not to mislead anyone, care to show us a month where there was zero wind across the entire UK, with 8 Octas of cloud cover?

    Demand for impossible (and irrelevant) standard of proof.

    We were talking about Germany, which is bigger than the UK, and the data are available. Here’s Sunday 15 Jan – Sunday 22 Jan this year.

    Solar is at its seasonal low end, but Mon Tue Wed were very low so cloudy over most of Germany. A bit less cloud on Thurs, Fri, and a bit less on Sat, Sun but solar low all week.

    Wind – very low, all week.

    You can see coal and gas doing the heavy lifting, with pumped hydro for peaking. But the coal and gas have to go. According to you we aren’t allowed backup and we aren’t allowed HVDC interconnections.

    So, what next?

  178. #178 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    “Demand for impossible ”

    Yes, that, for any sane human intellect, would have been obvious as to why I asked. To point out that you demand impossible perfection or you’ll whinge like holy shit that some corner case is imperfect, therefore misleading to even discuss the overall process.

    But I get it, you’re not a sane human.

    Much like “dick” and his “CO2 sensitivity is only measured in doublings from 280ppm!!

    “We were talking about Germany,”

    YOU were not in 162

    But I comprehend: NOOOOO! LOOK! SQUIRREL!!!!

    All you have left with your arse in tatters.

    “We were talking about Germany, which is bigger than the UK, and the data are available. ”

    Ah, so misleading. Talking about data as if it proves the headline wrong when it shows the headline was correct and factually accurate.

    So sad. So misleading of you dumdum.

    None of that sad and pathetic bullshit disavows the FACT that Germany got 85% of its electrical power from renewables as reported here:

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    Dang, that reality just won’t play ball with your insanity bubble,will it, bubbles.

    No, the fact it was sized to cover a much smaller fraction of demand is, to you, a failure because it doesn’t cover a much higher than designed load for all time.

    Tell us the last time any “conventional” power supply supplied more than twice the rated load for any time at all.

    And explain why, if doing so with renewables for any time at all is a failure, why conventional power sources aren’t a worse failure?

  179. #179 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Dai, we already have GW of backup. In other power stations and sources that are left untapped.

    Why must they be scrapped or not used in a totally renewable future?

    And if the use of non-renewable for the rare occasion where there’s insufficient supply to demand, why isn’t the cost of renewables added to the cost of conventional systems when the renewables are used to shore up “conventional” sources when they flatline?

  180. #180 BBD
    May 12, 2017

    Ignore the data. Avoid the question. Rant on.

  181. #181 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    ” According to you we aren’t allowed backup ”

    Oh dear, more hallucinatory babbling from the local dumbass.

    According to you only renewables have problems, all other sources of power are perfect.

    And before you whine and whinge and demand I show where you said that, look above at the quote of you I made, you ignorant fucknut.

  182. #182 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Ignore the data, ignore the facts, ignore the reality, just keep complaining about imaginary problems and claims, dumbass.

  183. #183 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Oh, and what’s this “we” bit, dumdum?

    Weren’t WE talking about GERMANY????

    We’re not germans.

    Oh, dear, your squirrel is nailed to the tree for all to see as stuffed.

    Rebuttal of “We’re talking about X” when you yourself will include Non-X in your talking points is no rebuttal but blatantly obvious distraction tactics.

  184. #184 BBD
    May 12, 2017

    According to you only renewables have problems, all other sources of power are perfect.

    Nope, you made that up.

  185. #185 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    And before you whine and whinge and demand I show where you said that, look above at the quote of you I made, you ignorant fucknut.

    Well, you were exactly as incompetent as I suspected, dumdum.

  186. #186 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Shall we count what you made up, dumdum?

    “the headline is misleading”
    “Carrington is wrong about Didcot catching fire”
    “according to [me] we aren’t allowed backup”
    “WE were talking about GERMANY”

    And others that really don’t need adding to the list. It’s long enough to prove the point.

    You are a useless idiot.

  187. #187 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Usain Bolt does not set new world record for the 100m, says BBD! “Misleading because he walked to the starting line” claims internet idiot!

  188. #188 Wow
    May 12, 2017

    Dumdum, if we take all your gloomongering as valid, so what?

    If the UK is open to a remote risk of being becalmed by a nationwide lack of all wind power for weeks in midwinter, so what? Instead of content free and effectless whining, what then?

  189. #189 BBD
    May 12, 2017

    Dumdum, if we take all your gloomongering as valid, so what?

    If the UK is open to a remote risk of being becalmed by a nationwide lack of all wind power for weeks in midwinter, so what? Instead of content free and effectless whining, what then?

    It’s not a remote risk – like Germany, it happens once or twice a year.

    As for what then? that was what I asked you. Given your antipathy to backup and HVDC interconnectors.

    So?

  190. #190 MikeN
    May 13, 2017

    BBD, how much value do you think there is in having hybrid cars and electrics used as grid storage, to give back to the grid?

  191. #191 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “It’s not a remote risk”

    So what? If it happens every year, so what?

    “As for what then? that was what I asked you.”

    That’s what I’m asking YOU. So what?

    We’ll cope is what I say. I’ve said it MANY times before. You never fucking listened, preferring to shout and scream at imaginary problems instead.

    What do you say? If it happens, so what?

  192. #192 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    ” Given your antipathy to backup and HVDC interconnectors. ”

    Oh, another claim you made up, dumdum.

    And completely ignorant of the question. So what? Are you saying we use the HVDC connection to Europe?

    I’ve said that. Yet here you are, still complaining.

  193. #193 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    Dumdum, if we don’t have generation capacity to supply enough power, we won’t have sufficient power.

    So I’ve answered it.

    So what?

  194. #194 Li D
    Australia
    May 13, 2017

    #60
    “When you plug in your Volt in your garage, … ”
    The sheer normality that Americans consider their wealth
    with never ceases to surprise. I think thats part of the energy
    issue.
    A bloody house especially made for a bloody motorcar!!!
    Thats some high level living right there.
    Maybe if you all toned down the living like a millionaire thing a
    bit.

  195. #195 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    Well, currently you have “your” car and you pay for “your petrol” so you don’t want “your stuff” used by someone else, therefore you put it in a locked room so people can’t use your car or take your petrol.

    But if we have widespread EV charging and the cost of your commute charge is paid for by making your EV available when not driven for the grid power system, then it’s not “your electricity” you’re using, so no need to keep it locked away and only using “your” electricity.

    And when they’re mostly self-driving cars, why would you have a car at all?

    And if you need a longer range, you rent a car. Or take public transport.

  196. #196 Li D
    Australia
    May 13, 2017

    #195
    “But if we have widespread EV charging”

    Mmmm yes. I was reading that India has
    plans to push this in a very big way. And
    quickly.

  197. #197 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    #105 MikeN

    BBD, how much value do you think there is in having hybrid cars and electrics used as grid storage, to give back to the grid?

    Buys you about 12 hours. So massively over-hyped and misrepresented as a hedge against more than brief periods of low W&S output when W&S are major components of the energy mix.

  198. #198 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    Oh, another claim you made up, dumdum.

    You spent an entire, very long thread backing up the idiot zebra against me on exactly this point.

    So either you are a brazen liar (and you are, and we know it from past experience) or you are so utterly confused you don’t even know what you are arguing for and against. Or maybe a bit of both.

  199. #199 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    So what? If it happens every year, so what?

    You get a national-scale blackout that lasts for several days.

  200. #200 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “Buys you about 12 hours.”

    So?

    “You spent an entire, very long thread backing up the idiot zebra against me on exactly this point.”

    And yet another claim you made up, dumdum.

    “You get a national-scale blackout that lasts for several days.”

    So?

    All I’m hearing is you complaining.

    Got anything else?

  201. #201 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    Have you saying we’ll have blackouts if we don’t generate enough electricity to meet demand.

    OK.

    So what?

  202. #202 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    And yet another claim you made up, dumdum.

    Lying again. You will say anything at all. It’s sickening.

    Dumdum, if we don’t have generation capacity to supply enough power, we won’t have sufficient power.

    So I’ve answered it.

    So what?

    How can anyone be this stupid?

    It’s a national catastrophe. Everything stops working. Industrial output ceases. Electrified transport cannot charge so nobody can travel anywhere except on foot. Backup generators run out of fuel. People die.

    We’ll cope is what I say.

    Talk is cheap.

    ” According to you we aren’t allowed backup ”

    Oh dear, more hallucinatory babbling from the local dumbass.

    You are a shameless liar. You *always* argue that there is no need for backup for renewables. And now, confronted with your own idiocy, you start lying, as you always do when cornered.

  203. #203 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    Have you saying we’ll have blackouts if we don’t generate enough electricity to meet demand.

    OK.

    So what?

    The electorate will NEVER forgive this. Bigger energy bills and disastrous national blackouts are political toxin. If you want to make absolutely sure that renewable are a dead end and we end up with gas and nuclear, that is the attitude to take.

  204. #204 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “Lying again.”

    Another claim you made up, dumdum.

    “It’s a national catastrophe.”

    OK, so a nation wide blackout is a catastrophe.

    So what? All I see is you complaining still.

    “Everything stops working. Industrial output ceases. ”

    Well, you’ve not demonstrated that, but why bother so far. OK, when we have a nationwide blackout, everything stops working, and industrial output ceases.

    So what?

    “Talk is cheap. ”

    And?

    “You *always* argue that there is no need for backup for renewables”

    Oh dear, we have yet another made up claim from you dumdum.

    So we still have you telling us that if we don’t produce enough energy to meet demand, we will have blackouts and they are bad.

    So?

  205. #205 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “The electorate will NEVER forgive this. ”

    And so what?

  206. #206 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    1. Power generation may be insufficient to demand
    2. If that happens, we will have blackouts
    3. Blackouts are bad
    4. Electorates will never forgive that happening

    Therefore?

  207. #207 MikeN
    May 13, 2017

    BBD, I think the deal with the electric car storage, is that they shift production from peak to non peak. I always felt it was a religious zeal than any real value. It is one thing to promote electric cars, but I didn’t get why people are so excited about selling back to the grid.

  208. #208 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “Mike”, why are you against selling electricity?

  209. #209 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    BBD, I think the deal with the electric car storage, is that they shift production from peak to non peak.

    The idea is that they provide a storage mechanism for excess renewables generation (above demand) which can ‘later’ be fed back into the grid when renewables generation is lower than demand. The obvious application is solar. It all works fine until you get a week like 15 – 22 Jan 2017 in Germany when both wind and solar output is extremely low. Then you end up with a national fleet of EVs with flat batteries and no vehicle-to-grid reserve either.

  210. #210 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    “The electorate will NEVER forgive this. ”

    And so what?

    You remove the policy space for renewables expansion. It’s dead in the water, overnight.

  211. #211 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “when both wind and solar output is extremely low”

    And demand low too.

    “Then you end up with a national fleet of EVs with flat batteries and no vehicle-to-grid reserve either.”

    But That never happened in Germany 15-22 Jan 2017. They didn’t have a national fleet of EVs with flat batteries and no vehicle to grid reserve. The carried on without a qualm.

    So clearly your claim is not one of reality.

    Again.

  212. #212 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    Oh dear, we have yet another made up claim from you dumdum.

    Nope, your standard rant is that there’s no need to back up renewables. You want me to produce a long list of quotes as I have done in the past when you lie like this?

    So we still have you telling us that if we don’t produce enough energy to meet demand, we will have blackouts and they are bad.

    Yes, Wow. Well done!

  213. #213 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “You remove the policy space for renewables expansion.”

    So your suggestion is that if there can be blackouts, we must abandon any use of that power source.

    “It’s dead in the water, overnight.”

    So that is your suggestion? We dump renewables overnight and scrap it all? Or just let it age and be removed?

  214. #214 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “your standard rant is that there’s no need to back up renewables.”

    And yet another made up claim from your dumdum.

    “You want me to produce a long list of quotes”

    Go ahead.

    ” as I have done in the past ”

    Yet more made up claims from you, dumdum.

    “when you lie like this?”

    Goodness! Three made up claims in one sentence!

    “Yes, Wow. Well done!”

    OK, so what?

  215. #215 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    “when both wind and solar output is extremely low”

    And demand low too.

    No, another of your standard mistakes that you keep repeating.

    W&S typically flatline simultaneously in winter in N Europe – when demand is highest.

    I recall correcting you on this several times in the past.

  216. #216 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    ” And demand low too.

    No,”

    Yes.

    “another of your standard mistakes that you keep repeating.”

    And another claim from you you made up.

    “W&S typically flatline simultaneously in winter in N Europe – when demand is highest.”

    So you keep saying. Has nothing to do with 15-22nd Jan 2017 in Germany.

  217. #217 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “I recall correcting you on this several times in the past.”

    Well, yes, your hallucinatory recollections are well noted, dumdum.

    But, so far we have your idea is that we drop renewables overnight.

    Right. What next?

  218. #218 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    But That never happened in Germany 15-22 Jan 2017. They didn’t have a national fleet of EVs with flat batteries and no vehicle to grid reserve. The carried on without a qualm.

    So clearly your claim is not one of reality.

    Again.

    WHAT?!

    You nutter. There’s no national EV fleet YET in Germany. No national VtG infrastructure YET in Germany.

    Lunatic.

  219. #219 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    But, so far we have your idea is that we drop renewables overnight.

    No, nutter. That’s what will happen if lunatics like you get your way and renewables are built out without adequate hedge against intermittency.

    Enough of this madness. It’s Saturday afternoon FFS.

  220. #220 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “There’s no national EV fleet YET in Germany. ”

    So you admit your claim that there would be was based on fiction, dumdum. Yet somehow I’m the nutter?!??!?

    OK, so you’ve imagined that the fleet that never existed is out of power at a time that actually happened. I remain unimpressed at the idea of a nonexistent fleet being out of power, since it was always out of power. And existence.

    So, we have from you

    1. Power generation may be insufficient to demand
    2. If that happens, we will have blackouts
    3. Blackouts are bad
    4. Electorates will never forgive that happening
    5. Blackouts will happen if there’s not enough storage.

    Therefore?

  221. #221 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “That’s what will happen if lunatics like you get your way”

    No, I asked YOU: So what?

    I didn’t ask you to answer FOR me.

  222. #222 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “lunatic.”

    And another empty and false claim from you dumdum.

    Unless you were signing off…?

  223. #223 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    But, hey, maybe this works on dumdum here.

    Lunatics like you are why nuke fluffing has gotten nowhere and all the arguments you and your ilk make against renewables is the maniac frothing of the eminently ignorable lunatic fringe and serves only to show how vacant and ignorant nuke fluffers like you are.

    We have from you:

    1. Power generation may be insufficient to demand
    2. If that happens, we will have blackouts
    3. Blackouts are bad
    4. Electorates will never forgive that happening
    5. Blackouts will happen if there’s not enough storage.

    Which so far is all Captain Obvious stuff.

    You’ve also tried to claim that people will run to nuke and gas power. Except

    1) Power generation may be insufficient to supply the demand
    2) They will have blackouts.
    3) Blackouts are bad.
    4) Electorate will never forgive this
    5) Blackouts will happen if there’s not enough storage

    So they will run to…? Coal? But if that is insufficient to demand…….

    So they will run to…? And when that has blackouts, where next?

  224. #224 Mark
    May 13, 2017

    BBD,

    Thanks for keeping the lights on.

    It sounds like you have read a few of Carl Sagans works-

    http://www.collective-evolution.com/2013/12/19/carl-sagans-two-warnings-for-humanity-in-his-very-last-interview-you-might-want-to-hear-this/

  225. #225 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    “W&S typically flatline simultaneously in winter in N Europe – when demand is highest.”

    So you keep saying. Has nothing to do with 15-22nd Jan 2017 in Germany.

    Yup, total insanity.

    W&S output was *extremely* low all the week of 15 – 22nd Jan in Germany. This is a perfect example of W&S dropping out for days at a time during… N European winter. Just. Like. I. Said.

    Wow, you have completely lost the plot. And I do mean completely.

  226. #226 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    1. Power generation may be insufficient to demand
    2. If that happens, we will have blackouts
    3. Blackouts are bad
    4. Electorates will never forgive that happening
    5. Blackouts will happen if there’s not enough storage.

    Therefore?

    Very large scale investment in HVDC grid interconnections and massive utility-scale storage (which may not even be possible given cost, technology and engineering constraints). No more rubbish about ; ‘cheap’ renewables or fantasy free market energy transitions painlessly wafted in by invisible hands. No more complacency. No more lies.

    The challenges posed by the necessary energy transition are staggering, humbling and may not be surmountable. Tell the public the truth or store up the most ruinous, toxic political blowback you can imagine when all the puffery and rhetoric fall flat and the lights go out.

  227. #227 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “Yup, total insanity. ”

    So stop being nuts, then.

    “W&S output was *extremely* low all the week of 15 – 22nd Jan in Germany. ”

    Yes.

    “This is a perfect example of W&S dropping out for days at a time during… N European winter. Just. Like. I. Said. ”

    Nope, you said:

    “when both wind and solar output is extremely low”

    And demand low too.

    No, another of your standard mistakes that you keep repeating.

    W&S typically flatline simultaneously in winter in N Europe – when demand is highest.

    What W&S typically do and when demand is typically highest does NOT mean “No” to “and demand low”.

    But you cannot comprehend logic, can you dumdum.

    “Wow, you have completely lost the plot. And I do mean completely.”

    Yes, because you keep bleating on in a neverending cascade of avoidance.

    Try being coherent.

    You’ll be followed then.

  228. #228 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “Very large scale investment in HVDC grid interconnections and massive utility-scale storage ”

    We already have that. So we’re done?

    “which may not even be possible given cost, technology and engineering constraints”

    Uh, we already have that. Seems to be no problem with historical costs, technology and engineering constraints.

    “No more rubbish about ; ‘cheap’ renewables”

    Renewables ARE cheap, though.

    That’s a fact.

    They’re cheaper than conventional. Coal is more expensive than either if you add the externalities of coal into the cost.

    And both require very large investment in HVDC (it’s why we have it) and massive utility-scale storage (which is why we have that too).

    “Tell the public the truth”

    WHAT truth???? Not lied once.

    Unlike you, with your massive lies of omission and avoidance.

    “the lights go out.”

    That’s never happened any other time the lights went out.

    You DO know we have massive blackouts, right? Already.

  229. #229 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    “Thanks for keeping the lights on. ”

    How? The lights may be “on” in there, but there’s nobody home.

  230. #230 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Grid_Reserve_Service

    VERY misleading of you to pretend that this doesn’t exist.

    How about this elsewhere in the world?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_energy_storage_projects

    Pretending that there needs to be this new stuff built up is just one of the many reasons why your insanity is laughably moronic, dumdum.

  231. #231 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_power_outages

    Care to tell us all where people ran to when the lights went off, dumdum?

    For your whining and whinging and constant complaining about others lying because they’re not agreeing with your insane dribblings you really should avoid fucking lying to people, you retard.

    All it does is prime people to ignore your raving lunacy even if you happened on some wild and whacky coincidence be right.

  232. #232 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    And who knew (obviously not you, you trump of the electrical argument) that power would be expensive to build:

    …putting cables through a tunnel measuring about 22km under Morecambe Bay to avoid the south part of the national park at a cost of £1.2 billion; removing many of the existing pylons owned by Electricity North West (ENW) and replacing them with fewer, taller pylons of its own operating at a greater voltage; and replacing the low voltage line in the area around the Hadrian’s Wall UNESCO World Heritage Site with underground cables.M

    http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NN-UK-National-Grid-updates-plans-for-new-nuclear-plants-25101601.html

    “Oh noes, building stuff is expensive!!!!!!”.

    You retard.

  233. #233 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    Yet still we get back to this fact: Renewables penetrated stably far further into the actual generation characteristcs of a grid and far faster than the moronic herds of nuke fluffers like dumdum here thought.

    Which is why THIS link:

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    got the shitstorming baboon so riled up. His fave Nuke and Gas aren’t winning, so he has to drag every other option into the same boat, even if it doesn’t damn well go in there.

  234. #234 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    And we’re all still waiting on those quotes you were to supply, dumdum.

  235. #235 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    And, hey, if germany were so badly off for power, why the hell was there exports in Jan, dumdum?

    Misleading to claim that Germany is in trouble with wind and solar when there’s exports going on. Misleading to whine and whinge and bitch and moan about wind and solar when the graph you supplied indicates that the renewables were doing fine producing power. Misleading to complain about wind and solar as if they were the only renewables.

    But that’s how you fluff for the nuke industry, isn’t it, dumdum.

    Lie about renewables to fit your agenda of denial of a reality you don’t wish to confront.

    Like the one about W&S being low 15-22nd Jan in Germany:

    https://www.energy-charts.de/power.htm?year=2017&source=all-sources&week=3

    Click off Oil, Coal, Uranium, Gas. About 35% of demand supplied by renewables.

    And it’s not even designed to do that yet.

  236. #236 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    Lie about renewables to fit your agenda of denial of a reality you don’t wish to confront.

    Like the one about W&S being low 15-22nd Jan in Germany:

    https://www.energy-charts.de/power.htm?year=2017&source=all-sources&week=3

    Click off Oil, Coal, Uranium, Gas. About 35% of demand supplied by renewables.

    And it’s not even designed to do that yet.

    W&S daytime generation peaks were between ~5GW – 12GW that week. Weekday peak total was ~80GW.

    So W&S was contributing between 6% and 15%, not 35%.

  237. #237 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    Aaand you’re still misleading, dumdum.

    “So W&S was contributing between 6% and 15%, not 35%.”

    Wrong.

    Exports were 2-10GW. Take that off the 60-80GW average. Renewables produced 12-24GW.

    So again you’re a lying toerag on a subject you desperately need renewables to be shit or your love for nuke and gas power will remain buried.

    AAaaaaawww.

  238. #238 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    So, renwewables were producing about 35%. Not 6% not 15%.

  239. #239 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    Oh, you could put “about 30” if you like. Still a long way higher than your claim of no more than 15.

  240. #240 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    Renewables produced 12-24GW.

    When?

    Wind and solar, 15 – 22 Jan

    Minimum W&S was 16/01 5.5GW at 12:00

    Max W&S was 19/01 11.77 GW at 1:00

    Your numbers: 12 – 24 GW

    Data: 5.5 – 11.7GW

    This is the problem.

  241. #241 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    ” Renewables produced 12-24GW.

    When?”

    Jan 2017, dumbass, in Germany.

    Too dumb to read?

  242. #242 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    This is the problem with you. You don’t know what you’re talking about, so you avoid talking about it.

  243. #243 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    So your problem is

    a) Need HVDC.
    – Already have HVDC
    b) Need grid storage
    – Already have grid storage
    c) It will cost money
    – Already costs money
    d) Blackouts
    – Already happen
    e) No clue
    – Can’t help. Sorry.

    Tell us all what energy future doesn’t benefit from HVDC?

    You got nothing, dumbass.

    Tell us all what energy future doesn’t require grid storage?

    You still got nothing, dumdum.

    Tell us all what energy future won’t result in blackouts when buildout is insufficient?

    Still complaining about what every option has.

    Tell us what BETTER system would be made that makes ANY power grid system NOT have the above problems?

    If you can’t, then your complaints are that

    a) it costs money

    Yeah, really don’t know why this is a problem if we go renewables.

  244. #244 BBD
    May 13, 2017

    Too dumb to read?

    ?

    German wind and solar, 15 – 22 Jan

    Minimum W&S was 16/01 5.5GW at 12:00

    Max W&S was 19/01 11.77 GW at 1:00

    Your numbers: 12 – 24 GW

    Data: 5.5 – 11.7GW

    You are now flatly denying evidence. In public.

  245. #245 Wow
    May 13, 2017

    Still bullshitting, dumdum?

    Renewables produced 12+GW. They produced around 30% of the power used in Germany for the month.

    So you’re really set on misleading people.

    Again.

    But I get it, you know you’re talking big hairy bollocks and that your complaint basically boils down to “Power production costs money! WAAAAHH!” because you need nukes to get it all.

    So you didn’t have any other alternative that didn’t have exactly the same problem of blackouts, cost, HVDC and storage.

    Just as you’ve failed every single time before you’ve tried this lying bullshit raving lunacy.

    https://www.energy-charts.de/power.htm?year=2017&source=all-sources&week=3

    Click off Oil, Coal, Uranium, Gas. About 35% of demand supplied by renewables.

    And it’s not even designed to do that yet.

    But to you, dumdum, doing better than expected by a long shot is a failure. Because you can’t handle renewables being any sort of success when nukes are failing so badly.

    Aaaaw.

  246. #246 MikeN
    May 13, 2017

    He’s throwing in other items into renewables while you are talking about wind and solar. He’s not doing it by accident as he calls you a liar for saying wind and solar are low in #235 and #237.
    I went thru this with the upside-down Mann discussion where he posted incorrect code, and he made similar diversions.

  247. #247 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Hey, dumdu, for soneone who got pissed off at “Dick” for saying “ECS *could* be less than 1.5C!” and “Oh, it’s misleading to say that renewables produced 85% because, um, I may make up something!”, you really REALLY don’t care about misleading or making up a fake and already unproven future claim, do you.

    “It could be too costly to run HVDC lines!!!!” Well , German already has them. That’s how they net exported 50TWh last year. They also used non HVDC lines. Because, you know, AC lines still carry electricity. Some people understand this. You don’t.

    And you mislead people with your claim that production = demand. But Germany exported a net of 4.5TWh in January. CLEARLY the production was higher than demand.

    And your mathematical incompetence extends to simple arithmetic, too. When you claimed the fictional EV fleet of Germany would last 12 hours, you were completely making that shit up. I get, even if it had to supply 100% of the power and there were no interconnects (remember, they do have them dumbfuck), it lasts 2 days. Given that renewables managed about a third of demand, it would actually last about 3 days. And if they cut back a little, as everyone has to manage when the systems we currently have don’t produce (see Didcot burning down, something else you claimed to be “misleading” – leading people away from your nuke future more like!), then that could be extended four or more days. And if they imported, well, they could manage indefinitely.

    No, you only care, as “Dick” did that your preferred fictional future be kept alive and will do so even when you’re proven wrong by mere wish and hope.

    You lying duplicitious fuckwit.

  248. #248 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Yes, “Mike”, and you make that shit up and proclaimed Mann was a fraud too. Except reality and evidence were against you.

    Funny how you manage to keep doing the same thing and expect everyone to think that maybe this time you got it right.

  249. #249 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “He’s throwing in other items into renewables”

    Such as hydropower? Seasonal production (mostly stuff like river runoff generation)? Biomass? Pumped storage? Other, such as tidal (though I don’t see any “Other” in there, it’s so small)..

    Weird. There’s me considering them to be renewables. Like they are. Seasons keep returning, no need to dig up another winter. Pumped storage is pumped storage. You know, stuff generated from whatever you use to generate the power at excess.

    But I guess it’s better vision than dumdum has. He can’t even see that he’s lying to people about what renewables are doing. You just “see” me including stuff that is more than the two dumbass there insists in calling “renewables”.

    Oh, and tell me if all the pumped storage were used up, and all the hydropower exhausted. Because if generation was more than sufficient for demand, there would be no need or desire to use up storage or hydropower, since they could be kept for emergency need if left alone, and therefore only excess water in the resevior would be used.

    Meaning that there was spare capactiy there just among the renewables.

    Rather misleading to pretend that somehow all generation was used up.

    But dumdum, like yourself, don’t care for the convenient lies, the lies that help your pathetic cause.

  250. #250 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Hey, here’s a fun maths fact, too.

    If 85% of demand was met by renewables, then conventional power production only managed 15%!

    Fuck me! You need to build out 6x as much conventional power to ensure you get 100% of demand with the current system!!!!!!

  251. #251 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    And look! 3rd Jan, Uranium manged only 7..5% of the power!!!

    Man, you need to build out 13x as much nuclear! DAMN that shit is expensive! CLEARLY you nuke fluffers need to stop lying and deceiving the public or they’ll rise up in their millions and crucify you and burn down all nuclear power plants!!!!!!

  252. #252 Li D
    Australia
    May 14, 2017

    If demand is a bit of an issue,
    up the bloody price of energy. Its cheap as for yanks anyway.
    Oh what should we do today? Oh lets go for a drive and have
    a lovely picnic in the countryside.
    Oh we couldnt do that! Petrols too expensive, said no american ever.
    If mains power was dear, yas wouldnt watch shit TV.
    Up the price. Reduce demand.
    Stop pissing in the pool.

  253. #253 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    #246 MikeN

    He’s throwing in other items into renewables while you are talking about wind and solar. He’s not doing it by accident as he calls you a liar for saying wind and solar are low in #235 and #237.

    I know, because I know the numbers I presented, clearly marked and linked wind and solar are correct.

    I know that Wow is utterly dishonest. My concern here is only to make sure that everybody else does to.

  254. #254 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    And nuke power only managed 7.3% of power early on 3rd Jan, dumdum.

    Dayum, you need to build that out nearly 14-fold to make it work!!!! LOL!

  255. #255 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    And ni, dumdum, you dont get t complain about lying when you lied so very VERY often here.

    Where are those quotes you said you’d get, hmm?

    How about the mismatch between the over 3 days and the less than 12 hours you claimed the EV fleet would operate for?

    Oh, and the lie about renewables only being 6%?

    Not forgetting the lie about HVDC being nonexistent and likely impossible to be built.

    No, dumdum, you don’t get to complain about lies. Even if there were any.

  256. #256 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    We’re talking about RENEWABLES here, dumdum.

    And you lied.

    Lied damn hard.

    All to prop up your failing nuke fetish.

    Just making sure people know how big a fat-faced dick-header moronic liar you are.

  257. #257 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Click off Oil, Coal, Uranium, Gas. About 35% of demand supplied by renewables.

    Not only are your numbers completely wrong, you can’t even do that kind of source deselection on the Fraunhofer data viewer.

    You are literally making shit up as you go along. And your numbers are wrong.

  258. #258 MikeN
    May 14, 2017

    Wow, if you want to make a point about renewables vs wind and solar you could have done so. Instead you took what you knew to be true and declared it a lie.

  259. #259 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    How about the mismatch between the over 3 days and the less than 12 hours you claimed the EV fleet would operate for?

    As VtG backup during low wind winter nights. I’m not lying – you don’t understand the topic.

    Oh, and the lie about renewables only being 6%?

    Okay, you got me there. Minimum W&S was 5.5GW on 16/01.

    Not forgetting the lie about HVDC being nonexistent and likely impossible to be built.

    You just made that up. So that would be you lying, not me. Or maybe you are just so clueless that you don’t know that existing HVDC interconnectors are a tiny fraction of what is required for a high renewables energy mix to actually work.

  260. #260 MikeN
    May 14, 2017

    BBD, your complaint about infrastructure not being good enough to handle supply variation and the need for lines, is this a national issue or a local one?
    For example, suppose San Diego had wind and solar arrays nearby, along with nuclear and coal and hydro and gas plants, and enough backup supply to handle darkness and low wind(simultaneously). Is there another issue they have to deal with on the grid?

  261. #261 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Wow, if you want to make a point about renewables vs wind and solar you could have done so.”

    I did fuckwit.

    germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    IF you wanted to read, you could have, but you, like dumdum dumbass here, did not like the results so did not, COULD not, read.

  262. #262 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “BBD, your complaint about infrastructure not being good enough to handle supply variation and the need for lines, is this a national issue or a local one?”

    It’s an ignorant one.

    Because fuckwits like buddy dumdum here “think” that we don’t have HVDC, we don’t have the capability to send electricity hundreds of miles, that there is, currently, no backup generation or storage.

    If it weren’t for the fact that the moron works for a nuke generation company, I’d say he was just uninformed.

  263. #263 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “As VtG backup during low wind winter nights. I’m not lying”

    Oh yes you are, moron.

    How many cars in Germany?

    Now, give them a 70kwh battery. Quite small for a EV today, never mind when they’re part of the future of an all electric fleet.

    And they use up 60-80GW.

    Anyone smart can do the maths easily.

    Anyone dumb can do the mths with a small effort.

    But to claim 12 hours is the result of the maths requires a liar with no compunction or care.

    “Okay, you got me there.”

    It’s about 30% if you do the maths, from an eyeball guess I made “a third” and rounded off.

    “Oh you got me there”, but where do you change your tune? You don’t. Kinda meaningless.

    “You just made that up. ”

    Nope.Want the quote? ‘cos unlike you, I’ll provide it.

    #226: which may not even be possible given cost, technology and engineering constraints

    Where are the quotes of me saying that I’m against backup? Or refuse HVDC?

    You’re a lying fuckwit just as deluded and corrupt as “Dick”.

    “you don’t know that existing HVDC interconnectors are a tiny fraction”

    YOU don’t know that.

    AT ALL.

    Just like your lie about the EV fleet lasting 12 hours you lying little toerag.

    You and dick are absolutely the same sort of corrupt pile of moral garbage. You just choose different things to be corrupt over.

  264. #264 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    re: 260, you must remember on this he’s the same as you in your AGW denial.

    He doesn’t do solutions, only complains about any other solution, it’s a rhetorical trick called “poisoning the well” and is a very stale and corrupt tactic to make people choose what you want to force them to choose without being overt.

    Psy ops for the PR fluff boys of nukes. Buddy dumdum, here.

  265. #265 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Not only are your numbers completely wrong,”

    For your ideology?

    Because they’re right, dumdum.

    Remember, Germany is exporting all the while, between 2 and 10GW.

  266. #266 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Hey, dumdum, how about the pointlessness of nuke power? 7.3% in the early hours 3rd Jan, 2017 in Germany.

    Piss poor, innit.

    But you’ll NEVER hear nuke fluffers tell you how much it will REALLY cost you, they know that once you’ve sunk enough time and money in the scam to find out, they’ve already cashed in and run off, and in any case, you may just have to suck it at that point, since it’s now too late to do anything about it, and then they’ll just get to scam yet more cash.

    Damn. Even I’m surprised that nukes only managed 7.3%.

  267. #267 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Nope.Want the quote? ‘cos unlike you, I’ll provide it.

    #226: which may not even be possible given cost, technology and engineering constraints

    Ah, you can’t read, Wow. Because you are an idiot.

    You said that I said this:

    Not forgetting the lie about HVDC being nonexistent and likely impossible to be built.

    But I didn’t. The cost, technology and engineering constraints were specific to massive utility-scale storage.

    But you quoted out of context, dishonestly, to try to score a cheap point:

    Very large scale investment in HVDC grid interconnections and massive utility-scale storage (which may not even be possible given cost, technology and engineering constraints).

  268. #268 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Hey, dumdum, how about the pointlessness of nuke power? 7.3% in the early hours 3rd Jan, 2017 in Germany.

    Piss poor, innit.

    In Germany, they’re doing this thing called the Energiewende which involves phasing out nuclear.

    Ever heard of it?

    Idiot.

  269. #269 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    “Not only are your numbers completely wrong,”

    For your ideology?

    Because they’re right, dumdum.

    Remember, Germany is exporting all the while, between 2 and 10GW.

    Oh, that doesn’t even begin to get you off the hook.

    Your numbers are completely wrong and either you are too dishonest or too stupid to admit it.

    Shall we go through it, day by day?

    Reminds me of that time at Eli’s when we went through surface insolation, country by country, demonstrating that your numbers were completely wrong. Remember that?

  270. #270 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Ah, you can’t read”

    Ah, but I can buddy dumdum.

    What you said was

    which may not even be possible given cost, technology and engineering constraints

    “You said that I said this:”

    Yes.

    And you did. Or you misled people into thinking so. Because since we already have HVDC, your comment should have been about how it needed to be increased, not how building it could be impossible.

    Not my fault if your misleading comments misled.

    This is the problem for you nuke fluffers, you mislead and then howl over the “injustice” when nobody believes your lies because you’ve misled people so very many times before.

    “The cost, technology and engineering constraints were specific to massive utility-scale storage.”

    Yes. Which is what I said you “thought”: that there WAS no HVDC or grid scale storage, but this was a lie.

    “But you quoted out of context,”

    No context said “expansion” or “increase in…”.

    You’re pretending there’s a context that never existed, dumdum.

    Yet more dishonesty from you.

    Still waiting for the quotes you said you would slam me down with and “prove” me a liar.

  271. #271 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Oh, that doesn’t even begin to get you off the hook. ”

    Not necessary. I’m not on the hook for lying and deceiving and misleading people, dumdum, you are. If I’m not on the hook, there’s no way to get me off the hook I’m not on. It’s a logical impossiblity. You may not like logic, though. It doesn’t really takes sides, and you need that partisanship.

    “Your numbers are completely wrong”

    And another claim you made up but can’t seem to get off from.

    Nope. They’re right. I did the numbers (from eyecrometer) in 237.

    And where are the quotes you promised in 212????

    Oh, that’s right, you were lying.

    LOL.

    And nukes. Huh. barely over 7%. Totally unworkable. Dead and buried.

  272. #272 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    ” Remember that?”

    No, nobody does, because that’s another lie you’ve done, retardo.

    Remember over at Eli’s when you claimed we’d still need 40% fossil fuels?

    Of course you’ll mislead YOURSELF and justify this not being the case because you “merely” pointed to someone who said that when I and Bernard asked you what YOU thought the mix should be for the future.

    Because like any good denier, you never come up with something yourself, only lame excuses why the answers you don’t want picked can’t be done.

  273. #273 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “which involves phasing out nuclear.”

    No wonder. It barely scraped 7% of demand in January, the most demandingest time of the year, generally, in Northern Europe.

    A power source that can’t manage better than that is meaningless and should be thrown out as the unusable bondogle it is, unless you’re willing to put the stupendous time, effort, resources and cash into making that horrendously ineffective white elephant work as a viable power source.

    But you nuke fluffers don’t EVER mention the TRUE cost of your industry, do you.

    Not even 10%. How pathetic. Really, nuke is dead, and its loss will not be missed. NOBODY misses a power source that’s less than the net export of energy. Just shutting that pointless thing down won’t even put them below demand!

  274. #274 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    And where are the quotes you promised in 212????

    Interested parties can start here. There are hundreds more examples of your lies and stupidity at Eli’s. And hundreds more here – which unfortunate regulars may already be familiar with.

    ” Remember that?”

    No, nobody does, because that’s another lie you’ve done, retardo.

    Pants on fire, Wow. It starts right here. at 11/9/15 2:12pm.

    “Your numbers are completely wrong”

    And another claim you made up but can’t seem to get off from.

    Nope. They’re right. I did the numbers (from eyecrometer) in 237.

    Lies, Wow. Lies.

    Let’s skewer the lies before they go any further.

    Going back to German electricty generation, 15 – 22 Jan

    Let’s look at the approximate percentage of daily peak generation (demand) represented by W&S combined:

    16/01
    Peak GW total/time: 78.13 / 17:00

    S: 0
    W: 3.46

    W&S as % of peak total generation: 4%

    17/01
    Peak GW total/time: 78.44 / 16:00

    S: 0
    W: 3.84

    W&S as % of peak total generation: 5%

    18/01
    Peak GW total/time: 80.65 / 09:00

    S: 2.94
    W: 6.05

    W&S as % of peak total generation: 11%

    19/01
    Peak GW total/time: 80.16 / 11:00

    S: 8.39
    W: 4.06

    W&S as % of peak total generation: 15%

    20/01
    Peak GW total/time: 80.23 / 09:00

    S: 5.4
    W: 4.27

    W&S as % of peak total generation: 12%

    21/01
    Peak GW total/time: 71.86 / 11:00

    S: 9.93
    W: 1.07

    W&S as % of peak total generation: 15%

    22/01
    Peak GW total/time: 68.59 / 17:00

    S: 0
    W: 1.37

    W&S as % of peak total generation: 2%

    So W&S share of peak generation (demand) for that week was 2% – 15%.

  275. #275 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Interested parties can start here. ”

    Oh,so when you complained about me lying and you said you’d get quotes, you were, in fact, lying when you accused

    Nope, your standard rant is that there’s no need to back up renewables.

    Oh dear. For anyone else, near enough, they’d have tried to avoid proving themselves a liar. Only dick is just as dumb as you and willing to do that.

    Damn, you’re hellaciously dumb, buddy dumdum.

    ” It starts right here. at 11/9/15 2:12pm.”

    Which really doesn’t support your claims. Dear o deary me.

    “Let’s look at the approximate percentage of daily peak generation (demand)”

    Aaaawwwww. And you YET AGAIN lie.

    BEcause, this time, you are incompetent.

    See the hollow circle labeled “Import”? Click on that.

    You than then read the DEMAND, the SEPARATED EXPORT and therefore, with a tiny amount of maths, the GENERATION.

    You’re so dumb! LOL!

    “Peak GW total/time: 80”

    Which isn’t DEMAND.

    But, yeah, your complaints about the headline being misleading was not merely wrong, it was pure unadulterated projection.

    Absolute lies.

    From an absolute dumbass.

    You’re not going to get a good box marking and you may lose your job at the plant, dumdum. They don’t like failures.

    But, yeah, also less than 7% of power generated by nukes. As you say, it’s totally unworkable and should be berated for their lying misleading of the public that will only end in yet more catastrophe.

    You know, when the dicks and mikes of the world complain that it’s all a scare tactic to get unearned cash, you’re the one they point to as proof, dumdum.

    And though this doesn’t prove AGW is false, they’re not wrong that *you* push AGW as a scare tactic to push people to your scam.

  276. #276 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Go back and add up renewables.

    When renewables did 85% of power, all conventional and nuclear power generation COULD NOT MANAGE more than 15%. Because that’s all that’s left.

    Dumdum’s “maths” and “logic” would therefore PROVE that conventional power does not work.

    Kinda proves dumdum’s wrong, really.

  277. #277 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    PS if there WERE any interested parties, don’t click the link he gives here

    “Interested parties can start here. ”

    Because he hasn’t actually given any quote, nor even the link to any post that he’d quote. He wants you to be punished for not just taking the nutcase’s word on it by having to trawl through 700 posts, page by page, and THEN work out what the fuck he was thinking of, thereby doing all the work and, if you don’t get the answer he wants, he can claim you missed it or misread it or are just lying.

    You see when dumdum gives a quote that he knows he can’t find, he wants to make sure you can’t be absolutely certain he’s talking out of his shit-eating piehole.

  278. #278 MikeN
    May 14, 2017

    Brown coal, hard coal, gas look like a lot more than 15% here.

    https://www.energy-charts.de/power.htm?year=2017&source=all-sources&week=3

  279. #279 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    #275 Wow

    You are getting horribly muddled. Total generation (demand) is the sum of domestic and export demand. That’s why I used it.

  280. #280 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Just in case that isn’t clear enough for you Wow, meeting total aggregate demand is what this is all about.

    So analysing the percentage contribution of W&S to total generation (demand) is the correct approach.

    God knows, this is wasted on you.

  281. #281 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Brown coal, hard coal, gas look like a lot more than 15% here”

    Looks a lot like 15% here, though, “mike”:

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    But I can understand you not wanting to see it. It’s probably triggering you badly..

    But, hey, at least you’re agreeing with the logic that proves conventional power stations are worthless!

  282. #282 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Just in case that isn’t clear enough for you Wow, meeting total aggregate demand”

    Nope, it’s about the fact that you found the headline misleading for no reason other than you hated renewables in a good light. It’s about how you lie and mislead. It’s about how you make up scare stories to push people away from renewables and push AGW scare scenarios if they don’t go for nuclear. It’s about your lies and misrepresentations, it’s about your hypocrisy, it’s about the facts that you refuse to even see exist.

    It’s about how you leap off and when you lose you insist that the entire conversation be moved where you haven’t been losing recently to distract from your utter failure of late, but you will also, and this gets back to the hypocrisy, gladly weave anything “off topic” yourself.

    Such as your BSing about another date where renewables weren’t doing 85% of demand in a conversation about a time where renewables did cover 85% of demand.

    It’s about how you want to move conversations but when you can’t win, want them “back” to one random place you decided you aren’t losing on.

    It’s about you lying, dumdum.

  283. #283 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    ” Total generation (demand) ”

    Total generation is not demand.

    Stop lying.

  284. #284 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Wow, the problem here is exactly that W&S can swing from 85% to 2%. All well and good at 85% but WTF powers the nation when W&S are below 10%?

  285. #285 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Indeed if total generation were equal to demand, then wind gets 100% of demand. So does solar.

    Because at night total generation (demand) is zero watts for solar.

    And when nukes are offline, total generation (demand) is zero watts .

    And when didcot was on fire, its total generation (demand) is zero watts.

    Your maths failures are part of your inability to tell the truth. Like “dick” you insist on not understanding maths because it doesn’t give you the answer you like.

    And you’re ALL about the answer you like, no matter if you haven’t a clue about why that answer is so.

    It’s why you fail so very VERY badly.

  286. #286 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Total generation is not demand.

    Stop lying.

    Of course it is. If you try to feed more electricity into the grid than is being taken from it by demand, you get line overvolts and breakers trip and that leads to more line overvolts and more breakers tripping and before you know it, you have a regional-scale blackout.

    Generation (supply) MUST equal demand. Learn your basics before calling people liars.

  287. #287 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Your maths failures

    Stop lying Wow.

  288. #288 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Nope, it’s about the fact that you found the headline misleading for no reason other than you hated renewables in a good light.

    No, what I dislike is misrepresentation. Specifically, all the puff pieces like this that imply – misleadingly – that we are well on the way to a successful energy transition when we fucking well are not.

  289. #289 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Wow, the problem here is ”

    That you’re lying.

    Renewables managed 30% or thereabouts for the very VERY cherry picked time you selected.

    The problem you are having is that it varies from 30% to 85% and this good news for renewables and the planet is bad news for nuclear.

    And the problem for nuclear is that you’re arguing it’s a valueless and overpriced white elephant, barely scraping past 7% of generation.

    But only applying it to the situation you hate above all else: renewable power.

    You’re shit scared of losing your job, and you are desperate to justify yourself as rational when the problem here is you’re irrational and lying.

    The problem here is you’re misleading and have never once managed otherwise when it comes to nuclear or renewables.

  290. #290 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “No, what I dislike is misrepresentation.”

    Specifically when it’s not in favour of nuclear power, or done by other than yourself. You mislead and revel in it because you have no other way to defend your job.

    And you try to project your lies onto others, even if that means you have to contort some fantasy into what MIGHT be misinterpreted from words not there.

    There was ZERO thing misleading about the report that showed renewables managed 85% of demand.

    It is 100% misleading to whine about HVDC and storage for renewables when nuclear requires more of those things.

    It is misleading to claim demand is generation when it clearly is exporting. But I KNOW that if Germany were IMporting (and it did in 2016 for a few days in the year), you’d be pointing to the lack of generation and failure to meet demand.

    And if I pointed out you said total generation WAS demand, you’d ignore that, as you do every time someone points out to you that your whines against renewables are invalid because they apply to all forms of power generation.

    You don’t hate misrepresentation.

    You LOVE misrepresenting things.

    You just complain about misrepresentation like some closet homosexual fundie priest railing against the evils of homosexuality.

    Shouting as loud as you can so people won’t notice the problem is a lot closer to home for you.

  291. #291 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Stop lying Wow.”

    And another made up claim from you.

    Go on, do the maths.

    Number of cars in Germany?

    Size of battery for an EV 70kwh.

    How long will that last when renewables generated about 30% of the power demand, leaving something around 35GW of generation to supply.

    Will it be 12 hours or less as you claim, or about three days as I do?

    Which of us is lying?

    Talk is cheap you pipsqueak, you mental midget, but can you do the maths?

  292. #292 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Renewables managed 30% or thereabouts for the very VERY cherry picked time you selected.

    No, they didn’t. Why don’t you just check the numbers properly? Like I did.

  293. #293 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “when we fucking well are not.”

    How the fuck do you know?

    As far as you’re concerned, producing 85% of the power demand means it’s failed.

    Because it’s done by renewables, and that, to you, is absolutely and irredeemably a bad thing. Because it’s not nukes doing it.

    You don’t even care, though, do you.

    You’ll bring out the excuses like “the generation of nuclear is not supposed to supply more than 10%!”, yet you will ignore and not even wonder what % renewables are meant to provide.

    And then lie about them not providing power when they do. About a third. Even on the cherry picked worst day you could find.

    And when I posted a link about didcot, which was a terrible day for conventional power production, you didn’t do as an *honest* person would and agree that this was a failure of the current system, but complained about the reporter who reported.

    Talk about ad hom!

    Wouldn’t matter if it was Dave Lee Travis saying it. Didcot burned down. Produced no power.

    We don’t have, according to your standards, a working power system today.

    Oh noes, fixing that isn’t free!!!!!

    Nukes just fail utterly.

    Sad day for you, but I don’t care. I only care about the wellbeing of honest people, not lying scumbags like you.

  294. #294 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Size of battery for an EV 70kwh.

    Um, a fundamental constraint on VtG is that it does not deplete all the grid-connected batteries. Or in the morning your car won’t get you to work. So VtG only takes a small fraction of each grid-connected battery. Someone as blisteringly smart as you will instantly realise that this means that any calculation base on total battery capacity per EV is going to be horribly wrong.

  295. #295 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    ” Renewables managed 30% or thereabouts for the very VERY cherry picked time you selected.

    No, they didn’t. ”

    Yes they did.

    “Why don’t you just check the numbers properly?”

    I did.

    You didn’t.

    You lied. How do I know? Because the very simple maths was too simple for you not to get. And you were told precisely what you were lying about.

  296. #296 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    How the fuck do you know?

    As far as you’re concerned, producing 85% of the power demand means it’s failed.

    No, it fails when W&S are meeting only a modest percentage of demand and a lack of very large scale storage and sufficient very large wide-area HVDC transmission capacity result in a supply shortfall.

  297. #297 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    ” Size of battery for an EV 70kwh.

    Um, a fundamental constraint on VtG ”

    Um, that isn’t maths.

    That you go dallying off into irrelevant is why I know you know you’re lying.

    “it does not deplete all the grid-connected batteries”

    It won’t.

    “So VtG only takes a small fraction of each grid-connected battery.”

    Still false, and still not maths.

    “any calculation base on total battery capacity per EV is ”

    More than you did. You didn’t even do one, and still refuse to do so.

    you DO know that it doesn’t have to be 70kwh, right?

    you DO know that if there was a real problem, they’ll ignore the guidelines? YOU hould know that, since three summers running EdF had to get special dispensation to break the law or they would have had to shut off too much of their nuclear power production facilities and EdF would have been immediately bankrupt, requiring another government taxpayer bailout.

    So they were allowed to take water from rivers that were too low and too warm, and break the law.

    But, yeah, lawbreaking for the nuke industry: totally fine to you, you billious fartknocker. Because it’s your employment. But nobody else is allowed! Even if it’s absolutely safe.

    “your car won’t get you to work.”

    What? For three days it will. The fourth you may run out.

    But it’s a truth that it;s not 12 hours and you, me and anyone still reading will know that it’s not 12 hours. And we will all know you know it too.

    Which is why you’re 100% identical to the idiotic liar dick.

  298. #298 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “No, it fails when W&S are meeting only a modest percentage of demand ”

    Do you have ANY power production sytem that doesn’t fail if it only manages to meet a modest percentage of demand?

    Where is this perpetual motion machine you have invented, retardo extramungo?

  299. #299 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “No, it fails when W&S are meeting only a modest percentage of demand ”

    So we’re inagreement, then, renewables are working and not failing.

    I know we’re not, because your arguments only apply in the direction you want them to.

    Because you are incapable of honesty when it comes to either treating renewables fairly or nuclear power honestly.

  300. #300 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    ““your car won’t get you to work.”

    What? For three days it will. The fourth you may run out.”

    In fact you will last much much longer than that.

  301. #301 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Renewables managed 30% or thereabouts for the very VERY cherry picked time you selected.

    You asked me to provide an example of sustained low output from W&S. So I did. And now you accuse me of cherry-picking. There’s no pleasing some people.

    And no, the W&S contribution wasn’t 30%. How could it be when at maximum W&S never exceeded 15% of peak generation?

    Run the mouse along the horizontal axis and look at the output data in the pop up. Because I’m not using dishonest tricks to try and score rhetorical points, I used the combined daytime values for wind *and* solar to get the highest minimum and maximum values possible. These are:

    Minimum: 16/01 12:00 5.5GW

    Maximum: 19/01 11:30 11.77GW

    Not ’12 – 24GW’. Those numbers are incorrect. So the 30% figure is incorrect.

  302. #302 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Data link for wind and solar output.

  303. #303 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “You asked me to provide an example of sustained low output from W&S.”

    Aaand another made up claim from you, dumbass.

    No. YOU wanted to mislead, and so you cherry picked the worst case then ignore most of the renewables and then lie about demand.

    You just flat out lied.

    Because you cannot stand renewables doing four times better than nuclear even in the cherry picked worst case, and were all butthurt and complaining about how it did 85% of demand because you didn’t like that news.

    “And no, the W&S contribution wasn’t 30%”

    Oh it was a lot higher than that.

    And no, renewables were nowhere near as low as 15% at any time in the past year, not even when you cherry picked the lowest area, and even while complaining about me selecting uranium, which didn’t even manage 8% of demand.

    “How could it be when at maximum W&S never exceeded 15% of peak generation?”

    It exceeded that a hell of a lot more.

    But even in the period you chose, the worst case for wind and solar, renewables managed 30%.

    And that was even without exploiting all of it, since it wasn’t necessary: they were exporting 2-10GW all that time.

    But you can’t help lying, can you dumdum?

    Renewables managed three or four times what nuclear did. And they’ve mangaged 85%, which likely was mostly filled up with nuclear, but not entirely, which would make it something like 8x the level of production of nuclear power in germany.

    How can you claim a method fails when it did up to 8 times better, and even at worst case 3 or 4 times better than nuclear did?

  304. #304 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Not ’12 – 24GW’. ”

    Yes 12-24GW. and demand was around 40-70GW

    CAN you do maths?

    “Those numbers are incorrect. ”

    Nope, your numbers are wrong and you even spell out that they’re wrong.

    But you know this and this is why you are lying.

  305. #305 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Data link for renewables output.

    https://www.energy-charts.de/power.htm?year=2017&source=all-sources&week=3

    Don’t let dumdum lie to you.

  306. #306 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Minimum: 16/01 12:00

    Demand: 72.6GW
    Export: 3GW.
    Renewables (not totally utilised): 15GW.

    i make that a minimum of over 20%.

    Meanwhile, it gives a maximum of 85% on a different date:

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    So sad for the nuke fluffers. No pay for them soon!

  307. #307 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Mind you even in your cherry pick for “maximum”, it’s 21GW for renewables, 6GW export and 74GW for demand.

    That’d be…. 28%.

    Oooooh! Sooo variable!

    28/21= 33% variation between min and max.

    Meanwhile uranium varied from 7.3% of the mix to 13.5% of the mix.

    13.5/7.3= 83% variation between min and max.

    I guess nukes are just too variable to be usable even at sub-10% utility rates, there just needs to be too much load balancing to solve the problems of it’s wild variations in output…!

  308. #308 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Okay, let’s look at the data another way.

    Pick Month = January, Week = 3.

    Weekly generation average for 16-22 Jan:

    Solar: 0.255 GW

    Wind: 0.676 GW

    Combined W&S: 0.931

    Conventional: 8.899 GW

    Total: 9.83 GW

    So average W&S as a percentage of total generation that week was:

    0.931/(9.83/100) = 9.47%

  309. #309 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    And when it comes to misleading people, why have i never heard about this report from you, dumdum?

    In 2016, the European Commission assessed that France’s nuclear decommissioning liabilities were seriously underfunded, with only 23 billion euros of earmarked assets to cover 74.1 billion euros of expected decommissioning costs.

  310. #310 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Okay, let’s look at the data another way.”

    I already did.
    Unless your other way is a trumpian way. In which case, no, we won’t look at it another way,

    Weekly generation average for 16-22 Jan.

    What was the generation of renewables, dumfuck?

    We’re talking about renewables here. And remember your whining about storage and HVDC?

    Are you telling me that it’s not allowed to run??!?!?

    You’re a lying little turdface, buddy dumdudm.

    In March 2017 40% of power demand in Germany was supplied by renewables.

  311. #311 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Conventional: 8.899 GW”

    So managed less than 1/7th of the demand?!?!?!?

    Fuck, that’s terrible.

  312. #312 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    #308 Sorry – ‘average’ should be ‘total’ and units should be TWh.

    No change to the 9.47% result.

  313. #313 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    What was the generation of renewables, dumfuck?

    0.931 TWh.

  314. #314 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “#308 Sorry – ‘average’ should be ‘total’ and units should be TWh.”

    Yeah, still doesn’t change the fact that renewables did about 30%. Compared to nuclear’s 13%.

    Aaaaw. Failing nuclear.

    ” What was the generation of renewables, dumfuck?

    0.931 TWh.”

    Lie!

    https://www.energy-charts.de/power.htm?year=2017&source=all-sources&week=3

    You really can do maths, can you? This really is just you lying your little lying puke of a heart out here, isn’t it?

    You know, dick levels of “Climate sensitivity is only for a doubling of CO2” level of lying your fucking heart out, right?

  315. #315 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    https://www.energy-charts.de/index.htm

    In total, renewable energy sources – solar, wind, hydropower, and biomass – produced approximately 190 TWh of electricity in 2015, 30 TWh more than in 2014, equivalent to a 20% increase. Renewables thus made up around 35% of public net power supply. The share in gross power supply – including power plants in the processing sector, the mining sector, quarries, and excavation – is around 32.5%.

  316. #316 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Remember, too, that not all renewable and storage was utilised in any given period because when you overproduce, there’s no need to use it all up.

    So when you add storage into the mix, there’s untapped reserve.

    And when you add in the current HVDC grid that is able to easily supply 30% of peak demand, and the AC interconnects able to manage a similar level on top, along with renewables able to manage 30%, if it really came balls-to-the-wall emergency and they only had their current renewables infrastructure, they could keep going indefinitely at dumdum’s minimum alarmism rate indefinitely, with only losing 10% or so off the peak supply available.

    Hardly enough to collapse industry, unlike your fatuous fantasy created solely to scare people into running for the unwise investment into the white elephant of nuclear power.

  317. #317 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Germany imported electricity from France, mainly in order to pass it on to neighboring countries.
    In power trading so far only numbers from January to October 2015 are available. During this period, 29.7 TWh were imported to a value of 1.27 billion euros. The export amounted to 67.4 TWh and a value of 2.88 billion euros. In balance, the resulting export surplus was 37.6 TWh and revenues worth 1.6 billion euros.

    Just in case you want to try the moronic claim of how germany’s anti-nuke program is causing havoc and their reliance on renewables causing them to have to import power.

  318. #318 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    https://www.energy-charts.de/energy_pie.htm

    Total renewables: 38+12+8+19 TWh = 77TWh.
    Total nonrenewable:: 38+19+22+51 TWh = 130TWh.
    Total: 207TWh.

    Renewables 37% of total.
    Nonrenewables: 63% of total

  319. #319 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    See also for January above link.
    Total renewables 15TWh (29.1%)
    Total nonrenewables 36TWh (70.9%)

  320. #320 MikeN
    May 14, 2017

    BBD, you keep getting tripped up at W&S vs renewable.

    >Renewables managed 30% or thereabouts for the very VERY cherry picked time you

    Before you were saying it was 85%. Now it turns out that was for a different time period of a weekend. Stop lying.

  321. #321 MikeN
    May 14, 2017

    BBD, Germany doesn’t have to export. So if the wind and solar etc can meet the domestic demand, that is good enough right?

  322. #322 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “Before you were saying it was 85%”

    Indeed I was.

    “Now it turns out that was for a different time period of a weekend.”

    Uh, that is all in the link:

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    Not my fault if you didn’t read it, “mike”.

    “Stop lying.”

    About what?

  323. #323 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    ” So if the wind and solar etc can meet the domestic demand, that is good enough right?”

    WTF?

    Are you trying to get buddy dumdum here to accept that the demand for power in Germany is not going to be exported?

    Because

    a) that’s well unclear
    b) he doesn’t want to comprehend. You know, like you and Mann’s work.

  324. #324 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Hell, the reason for HVDC and all the other HVAC links between regions, states and countries are so that private companies generating power can, instead of selling them cheap locally, can sell it at market rates elsewhere if those rates are higher.

  325. #325 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    We’re talking about renewables here. And remember your whining about storage and HVDC?

    Are you telling me that it’s not allowed to run??!?!?

    No, of course not. But the more W&S there is in the energy mix, the *more* storage and interconnections are necessary.

    You’re a lying little turdface, buddy dumdudm.

    In March 2017 40% of power demand in Germany was supplied by renewables.

    When did I lie about March? And why have we shifted from a week in January to the whole month of March?

    And as usual, your numbers are wrong.

    March 2017:

    TWh
    Conventional: 28.16
    Wind: 9.43
    Solar: 3.52
    W&S: 12.95
    Total: 41.8

    That’s 31.5% W&S. You are over-estimating by 27%.

    * * *

    Fossil fuels are a nightmare, nuclear is problematic and on its arse as an industry so W&S are going to have to work. All the heavy lifting of rapid decarbonisation is falling on them by default. Getting this to work will be immensely challenging. What hacks me off is that saying so is a trigger for so many people. It shouldn’t be.

  326. #326 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    MikeN #320

    BBD, you keep getting tripped up at W&S vs renewable.

    >Renewables managed 30% or thereabouts for the very VERY cherry picked time you

    Before you were saying it was 85%. Now it turns out that was for a different time period of a weekend. Stop lying.

    Um, confused.

  327. #327 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    ” We’re talking about renewables here. And remember your whining about storage and HVDC?

    Are you telling me that it’s not allowed to run??!?!?

    No, of course not.”

    You’re just going to ignore it and pretend, then? Sure, but that’s merely lying by omission.

    “But the more W&S there is in the energy mix, the *more* storage and interconnections are necessary.”

    WRONG!

    “When did I lie about March? ”

    When did I say you lied about March? YET ANOTHER made up claim from you!

    “And as usual, your numbers are wrong. ”

    And as usual, you’re absolutely wrong.

    https://www.energy-charts.de/energy_pie.htm

    Total Nonrenewables: 28.14TWh (58.6%)
    Total renewables: 19.83TWh (41.4%)

    You lying little shitstain, dumdum.

  328. #328 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    “What hacks me off is that saying so is a trigger for so many people. It shouldn’t be.”

    So you think is triggering to say its challenging? That ain’t it you lying fuckwit.

    It should be a worry for anyone when a lie is told with no compunction or care for the truth or that the lie is patent and obvious, yet still ignored.

    If you’d just left it to “challenging”, I would have asked “Got one that isn’t?”

    DO YOU HAVE ONE THAT ISN’T?

    But you didn’t leave it at that, you had to, HAD. TO. Lie and bullshit to scare people into running to nuke power to pad your resume and keep you in employment.

  329. #329 BBD
    May 14, 2017

    Without further comment:

    So you think is triggering to say its challenging? That ain’t it you lying fuckwit.

    It should be a worry for anyone when a lie is told with no compunction or care for the truth or that the lie is patent and obvious, yet still ignored.

  330. #330 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    Yeah, though that;s kinda your thing, like with any other denier: don’t say anything, but post as if you had.

    No comment because you think it doesn’t apply to you.

    Sorry dumbass, it does.

    https://www.energy-charts.de/energy_pie.htm

    Total Nonrenewables: 28.14TWh (58.6%)
    Total renewables: 19.83TWh (41.4%)

    When YOU claimed it was 27% less than that.

  331. #331 Wow
    May 14, 2017

    And no comment on whether you have a national scale energy system plan that isn’t challenging?

  332. #332 Li D
    Australia
    May 14, 2017

    #330 “denier”
    Er, i honestly was not aware BBD
    was one of the denier loons.
    There is some posting history that
    indicates otherwise.
    Im open to being wrong.
    Its easy to settle though.
    BBD, are you one of those denier loons?

  333. #333 Li D
    Australia
    May 14, 2017

    #325 “Fossil fuels are a nightmare, nuclear is problematic and on its arse as an industry so W&S are going to have to work. All the heavy lifting of rapid decarbonisation is falling on them by default. Getting this to work will be immensely challenging. ”

    This seems eloquent and reasonable and its hard to disagree.

  334. #334 MikeN
    May 14, 2017

    #326, BBD, the second part is a reference to Wow’s lies.
    Wow’s numbers are renewables is X, and you are countering with you’re wrong, wind + solar is Y,<X.

  335. #335 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “This seems eloquent and reasonable and its hard to disagree.”

    Which is why it was said.

    But why was all the other crap said? Because that last bit there you quoted was not what dudmdum thinks.

    “#326, BBD, the second part is a reference to Wow’s lies.”

    Which ones where “mike”?

  336. #336 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “Mike”,rememeber I posted the link to 85% renewables supplied in Germany report. Dated 17 May. It’s news. And if you read it, even the summary says it was over a weekend.

    It was dumdum who went “Huh, but what about thisweek in january, huh?!??!?!?!”.

    If you want to complain about liars talking about a different time period, that was dumdum.

  337. #337 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    LiD, think of this, if dumdum here really thought we’d have to go renewables no matter what because it’s the best option out of all the possible ones we know the technology for (so no zero point energy generation discoveries), what does it mean to be “challenging”? How can it matter, when we’re going to do it anyway? What complaint can be made it will “cost more”? More than what? It can’t cost more than it costs, whatever it costs, since that is what it costs. And it doesn’t matter if it costs more since it’s still supposedly the best option, and all the others unworkable.

    This is, of course, given that the claim you quoted that seemed inarguable was genuine. Indeed if it were inarguable, how come dumdum keeps arguing about it, and only it?

    And in purely mathematical terms, what does “It will cost more” mean when there’s no answer coming to “So how much more?” and “More than what?”.

    Why complain that there will be more HVDC when there’s no answer to the queries “More than what? How much more?”. Indeed I’ve also tried to point out that no matter what generation we go with, we’re using HVDC now and we’re increasing HVDC and adding HVDC makes any grid system more profitable, more efficient and reduces redundancy when it protects against rare events.

    More HVDC than what? What OTHER plan is there that wouldn’t? What plan for renewables would it require more HVDC and what plan for renewables are you complaining doesn’t have enough HVDC?

    When you notice this you notice how buddy dumdum here is lying out of his ass and decieving you with claims “Oh, nuke is bad, coal is bad, gas is bad, we have to go with renewables” because his arguments are null and void and their only purpose is one of two things:

    1) FUD about changing things, keep the status quo, delay delay delay.

    2) FUD about renewables, point to AGW as urgent and overwhelming need to remove fossil fuels, but renewables can’t do it. Never mention nukes in a bad light. Never SAY “use nukes”, just make sure every other option is shouted down as too expensive, possibly impossible to do.

    And over at Eli’s, #2 was 100% dumdum’s line. Continually claimed he’d “never said” that we couldn’t use renewables. Continued to claim it was far more expensive than claimed, possibly impossible to implement. Continued to claim he’d never said renewables were unworkable.

    Remember?

    “renewables possibly impossible to implement”
    “renewables unworkable”

    Oh, sure, unworkable isn’t in the first sentence.

    Oh, and if you did try to push his quotes back at him there, he’d insist either the precise word claimed was not there (see above) or ignore it completely, wasting all your work looking through the blog for the evidence he demanded.

  338. #338 Li D
    Australia
    May 15, 2017

    Nuke sux dogs balls.
    Thats my position as eloquently as i wish to make it.
    Renewable is the only way forward.
    Coal is for fuckwits.
    Renewable is a challenge. Not overwhelming.
    But challenging.
    Sorta like if ya on a boat and it sinks
    a couple kms from shore.
    Theres no choice. Ya gotta swim. Its challenging.
    But ya gunna make it.
    Thats sorta how i stay positive. Its a couple km swim.
    Luckily we are about 1/4 way there already!
    We got some existing tech. Theres heaps of research.
    Heaps of public interest and goodwill.
    Carmichael mines on the nose.
    But its still gunna be a slog, with waves and rips and
    the odd denier jellyfish blobbing about, being annoying.
    What would sorta help is that people swam together instead
    of endless petty bullshit.

  339. #339 Li D
    Australia
    May 15, 2017

    Wanna look at another positive?
    Theres gas as a helplful transition tool.
    Its far from perfect. But it exists.
    What there was no such thing as gas? Shit
    would be way more challenging then.
    But we got it! Yay!
    I cant say im a fan of fracking overly on farmland.
    Another damn good thing some countries have
    is a baseload of hydro . Thats a big plus.
    Its subject to climate change issues of course.
    And there is horrible ecological damage from the dams.

  340. #340 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    Hydro is also renewable energy…

    As is biomass.

    Know another thing that’s renewable? Synthfuel from excess wind or solar. Or hydrogen cells from wind/tide/solar/geothermal/…

    Know what we can do with them?

    Store them up in those big tanks we reserve for fossil fuels like gas and petroleum and burn them like they’re gas or oil.

    But, remember, as long as someone wants to slow down changing from the status quo or push you to an expensive bondoogle that will delay doing anything other than spend massive amounts on infrastructure we may find out in 20 years is entirely unusable in the changed climate we have already dealt for ourselves in our collective denial and timewasting, you can only “store” in new build storage.

    And in a blogpost that talks about the perfection fallacy to proclaim that 100% will be hard and then ignore the existence of cold backup plants which could be coal fired or nukes or anything that we currently have producing a massive fraction of what we currently need (most of the time, but they’re not absolutely reliable), just to make sure that we delay and avoid renewables for as long as possible, is rather ironically ridiculous.

    So if we leave all current generation there and replace normal operation with 100% planned capacity of renewables, on the rare occasion germany and all its neighbours are under thick cloud and a MASSIVE high pressure zone, they can use the mothballed stations and produce not 100% renewable but 30% renewable and 70% fossil fuels for 0.1% of the time, making it 99.3% renewables on average, somehow this will still be, to denier morons like dumdum here, a failure to bring up and constantly whine and whinge about as a failure, because only renewables have to be perfect.

  341. #341 Li D
    Australia
    May 15, 2017

    Agree. Theres alot of bullshit about 100% anything.

  342. #342 BBD
    May 15, 2017

    Li D

    BBD, are you one of those denier loons?

    No.

  343. #343 BBD
    May 15, 2017

    Sorry dumbass, it does.

    https://www.energy-charts.de/energy_pie.htm

    Total Nonrenewables: 28.14TWh (58.6%)
    Total renewables: 19.83TWh (41.4%)

    When YOU claimed it was 27% less than that.

    Oh boy.

    Wow – those are ANNUAL figures. We were discussing THE WEEK OF 15 – 22 JANUARY and your numbers are incorrect. You have over-estimated by 27%:

    March 2017:

    TWh
    Conventional: 28.16
    Wind: 9.43
    Solar: 3.52
    W&S: 12.95
    Total: 41.8

    That’s 31.5% W&S. You are over-estimating by 27%.

    Please, get it straight.

  344. #344 BBD
    May 15, 2017

    ” What was the generation of renewables, dumfuck?

    0.931 TWh.”

    Lie!

    The only liar here is you, Wow. You are the one trying to pretend that a discussion about expanding wind and solar should use figures for hydro.

    These are the relevant data.

    Total W&S for the week in question was 0.931 TWh.

    As I keep showing you. You can deny it all you like, but the numbers will not change:

    Use this link for weekly generation totals for 16-22 Jan:

    Pick Month = January, Week = 3.

    Weekly generation for 16-22 Jan:

    Solar: 0.255 GW

    Wind: 0.676 GW

    Combined W&S: 0.931

    Conventional: 8.899 GW

    Total: 9.83 GW

    So W&S as a percentage of total generation that week was:

    0.931/(9.83/100) = 9.47%

  345. #345 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “” BBD, are you one of those denier loons?”

    No.”

    Then again, when do you remember last a denier answering yes to that question? But he is a denier. Remember, there’s not just AGW denial.

    “That’s 31.5% W&S. You are over-estimating by 27%.

    Please, get it straight.”

    WRONG!

    It’s 41.4%, 1.4% HIGHER than I said.

    “0.931/(9.83/100) = 9.47%”

    Yup, but the 0.931 is a lie form you buthurt wangfiddler.

  346. #346 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “Use this link for weekly generation totals for 16-22 Jan:”

    https://www.energy-charts.de/energy_pie.htm

    2.33 TWh renewables = 19.9%

    Look too at the totals for March:

    19.83 TWh renewables = 41.4%

    Look too at the lies dumbass fuckwit here spews.

  347. #347 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    Look at it for the totals for 2016:

    181.46TWh renewables = 33.4%

    And for 2015:

    182.60 TWh renewables = 33.4%

  348. #348 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    And so far for 2017:

    77.97TWh renewables = 37.0%.

  349. #349 BBD
    May 15, 2017

    It’s 41.4%, 1.4% HIGHER than I said.

    Wow, you are *still* conflating biomass and hydro with wind and solar – something I was careful *not* to do from the very outset. This discussion was always about highly variable wind and solar, NOT biomass and hydro, which are pretty stable and which do not have much potential for growth – unlike W&S – which will be the heavy lifters in the evolving energy transition.

    * * *

    Another of your misleading tricks is the use of partial 2017 annual data. Charitably, I’ll ascribe this to incompetence rather than intent, although every single number you have given so far has been a substantial over-estimate, which suggests I’m being too kind to you. Anyway, NB: you can’t use partial data to make a strong claim (>40% !!!) as you are doing. It’s incorrect. It’s misleading.

    If we look at 2016 – for which there are complete data – we see that wind = 14.3% and solar = 6.9% of total generation. So that’s 21.2% of total generation by W&S. In 2015, it was 21.6%. These are correct annual percentages and these are what you should be quoting.

    https://www.energy-charts.de/energy_pie.htm

  350. #350 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “You are the one trying to pretend that a discussion about expanding wind and solar”

    And yet another made up claim from you, dumbfuck.

    Take a look at the URL:

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    FROM RENEWABLES.

    Take a look at the topic [post of the thread:

    download

    I just read an interesting piece on the widely influential VOX, by David Roberts, called “A beginner’s guide to the debate over 100% renewable energy.”

  351. #351 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “you can’t use partial data to make a strong claim (>40% !!!) ”

    YOU want to use partial data to make a strong claim (<10%!!!!)?

    Or is it projection again, you flatulent blowhard moron?

  352. #352 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “. These are correct annual percentages and these are what you should be quoting”

    I did:

    And so far for 2017:

    77.97TWh renewables = 37.0%.

    Look at it for the totals for 2016:

    181.46TWh renewables = 33.4%

    And for 2015:

    182.60 TWh renewables = 33.4%

    All from:

    https://www.energy-charts.de/energy_pie.htm

  353. #353 BBD
    May 15, 2017

    And you continue without a blink to mislead by conflating hydro and biomass with wind and solar.

    So, you are dishonest to the point where talking to you is a waste of time.

    People like you do more harm to the public perception of renewables than the FF brigade. Everyone sees the total disregard for the truth in your comments and it confirms their darker suspicions that the energy industry is lying to them. As I said upthread, you aren’t even a useful idiot.

  354. #354 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “And you continue without a blink to mislead by conflating hydro and biomass with wind and solar. ”

    Nope. More bullshit claim from you, retardo.

    WRONG. AGAIN.

    “So, you are dishonest to the point where talking to you is a waste of time. ”

    No, your dishonesty is a waste of time but you can’t let it lie, you have to lie for it.

    “People like you do more harm to the public perception of renewables”

    Shall I bold and italicise that for you?

    renewables

    And

    mislead… conflating hydro and biomass with wind and solar.

    The only, and I mean ONLY way this can be said is if you’re EVEN LESS CAPABLE OF REALITY THAN DICK.

    EVEN TRUMP will be going “That dude some stupid fuck!”

    “As I said upthread, you aren’t even a useful idiot.”

    Yup, and it has only gotten even more incomprehensibly stupid to say it.

    You HAVE to, HAVE. TO. Lie like your nuts are at risk if you tell the truth.

  355. #355 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    So you lie and know you lie about whatthe conversation is about and lie and know you lie when you claim I’m wrong, you lie and know you lie when you complain that others are misleading, you lie AND KNOW YOU’RE LYING when you say you are annoyed with the public being mislead.

    Because the only leading you want to happen is away from renewables in fear and uncertainty and doubt it will work.

    A plain old nuke worker shilling for their PR cheque.

  356. #356 BBD
    May 15, 2017

    Wow

    The transient 85% generation peak on April 30 between 13:00 – and 15:00 was not caused by a sudden spike in biomass generation. Nor did it result from a sudden output surge from hydro.

    It was produced by unusually widespread windy conditions on a sunny day – which happened to be on a holiday weekend when industrial demand (so national demand) was unusually low.

    Wind and solar variability produced the headline. So the ensuing conversation was about wind and solar variability and its implications. Or at least, the honest side of it was. Only a peddler of misleading industry PR such as yourself would try to conflate an event arising from wind and solar variability with biomass and hydro. It’s just dishonest.

  357. #357 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    JEZUSFUKINGCRIST!

    DO YOU HEAR YOURSELF?!?!?!?!?

    See the problem is you have FUCK ALL to say that is in ANY WAY honest or real or even fucking SANE.

    ONLY YOU would take an event that is fully explained and then WHINE ABOUT IT BEING EXPLAINED.

    You are the exact same as dick and his “Climate sensitivity is per doubling of CO2!!!!”.

    The event was renewables produced 85% of the power needed in germany to which YOU whined that it was “misleading” for reasons that clearly became more and more outlandish.

    Then you whine about how nonexistent claims of nonexistent renewables would cause nonexistent problems for nonexistent futures that you thought were bad.

    So you have lurched from one complete clusterfuck of lies and ignorance and deception into the next screaming fake outrage and bullshit claims every single dfrigging step of the way.

    Remember when you wanted dick banned for being a complete and utter unprepentant liar?

    DID YOU FEAR THE COMPETITION YOU FUCKWIT????

    Germany got 85% of their demand from renewables. They got over 40% in march, last year got 33% and 31% the year before that.

    ITS A FACT.

    But you have to run round in circles screaming “MIsLEAD MisLEAD MIsLEAD!!!!”.

    Fuck you’re a retard.

    And then you go complaining “you’re not even worth talking to”.

    Fuck off.

    Just fuck right off.

    Where the fuck do you live and we’ll get in touch and I;ll fucking sort you out.

    And don’t worry about “I don’t want to hit a woman”, ‘cos I sure as shit don’t give a fuck about restraining myself hitting you and wiping you out.

    Put up your town of residence, mine is Exeter, and tell Greg that it’s OK to pass on your email address to me and we’ll arrange a day to meet up where I will send you a fucking message you will NOT ignore.

    Fucking deal you moron?

  358. #358 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “Oh, it was only 85% for a very special and odd occasion where the wind and sun were appropriate!!!!”

    Earlier from you, you fucking lying streak of shit:

    “Oh, what about when all of Germany is under a lull in wind for weeks, and there’s no sunlight because of the cloud cover, huh? HUH?”

    YOU FUCKING DID IT.

    TWAT.

  359. #359 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    So we give up on the “unusual conditions”.

    Renewables 2016 in Germany: 33%.

  360. #360 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    BBD said…

    8c

    You are in denial. Get a grip. Look at the bloody numbers FFS. Anti-nuclear activism is a luxury we can no longer indulge ourselves with. Time has run out.
    10/3/16 11:22 AM

    https://rabett.blogspot.co.uk/2016/03/the-lancaster-exception.html?m=0

  361. #361 BBD
    May 15, 2017

    When you wave about a headline shouting 85%! and it turns out that the story is about W&S variability – not hydro, not biomass – W&S variability, then wind and solar variability is the proper focus of the discussion. Anyone trying to make it about biomass and hydro is being misleading and dishonest.

    I pointed out that wind and solar variability is huge – 85% one Sunday afternoon in April and 2% on Sunday Jan 22. That kind of variability has to be addressed by non-FF backup and grid interconnections (something deeply stalled in Germany right now). It’s a problem, not something to be crowing to the newspapers about. That’s why this kind of PR bullshit is so reprehensible.

    * * *

    You have a tell that I really have to warn you about.

    When you get caught out lying, as above, you GO ALL CAPS and frothingly insane. You do it every time and it’s a bit obvious. Mind you, I’m pretty sure everybody knows what a shameless liar you are by now.

  362. #362 RickA
    United States
    May 15, 2017

    BBD:

    I admire your patience in dealing with Wow.

    His name calling has gotten even worse lately.

    I tend to ignore his posts now.

  363. #363 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “When you wave about a headline shouting 85%! ”

    When it does.

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    “and it turns out that the story is about W&S variability ”

    Except it doesn’t. It’s about how renewables managed 85%.

    “wind and solar variability is the proper focus of the discussion. ”

    No it isn’t retardo.

    Now you going to step up and back your bullshit or are you going to fuck off and leave this blog to the at least marginally sane like “Mike”?

    Because you’re even worse than dick in your insanity and incapacity to tell anything even vaguely the truth.

    In 149 I gave that link.

    Here’s what you said in 150:

    And when its dark / winter? And low wind conditions?

    And then HERE is what you said

    “It was produced by unusually widespread windy conditions on a sunny day – which happened to be on a holiday weekend when industrial demand (so national demand) was unusually low. ”

    Surely if it was ONLY “windy conditions on a sunny day”, then” industrial demand (so national demand) was unusually low.” would be FICTION.

    Fucking moron.

    Oh noes! RENEWABLES DID MORE THAN DOUBLE!!!!! IT FAAAAIIILLLLLDDDD!

    THIS is how moronic you are.

    A system that has been managing 30+% and increasing that year on year get a time when they do more than twice that AND YOU SCREAM “FAILURE!!!!”.

    You’re a fucking paid hack.

  364. #364 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “His name calling has gotten even worse lately.”

    How the fuck would you know, knobmunch? You ignore my posts now.

    And yes, calling fuckwits names is worse when there are fuckwits than when there aren’t.

    Who’daguessed?!?!?!?

    Fucking moron.

  365. #365 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    And “his” again? You could have said “Her” and if I’d asked about how you figured that said “Well you’ve said you don’t like “him””.

    But no, you have to try and bring up the same old tired “gender” argument again because you really REALLY can’t handle people as people rather than as whatever dangles between their legs.

    Which is the beginning and end of the entirety of sexism.

  366. #366 BBD
    May 15, 2017

    Er Greg…

    Where the fuck do you live and we’ll get in touch and I;ll fucking sort you out.

    I’m not happy about this at all.

  367. #367 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “I’m not happy about this at all.”

    Join the frigging club, retard.

    Want to try honety, or at least avoid DIShonesty?

    Oh and instead of running off crying about meanies, you COULD, like any fucking adult and go “No, I’m not willing to participate”.

  368. #368 Li D
    Australia
    May 15, 2017

    #342
    Ok that sorts that out. Cheers.

  369. #369 Patrick W
    May 15, 2017

    So, apparently “Wow” is a woman in her mid-40’s who writes like a deranged 9-year-old boy. Unhinged. Honest to the point of recklessness, self-centered to the extreme. Looking for a fight like a school kid who had their feelings hurt once too many. Derailing every conversation “she” participates in with no regard for truth or honest discussion. Fascinating, sad and disturbing all at once.

    Who knew? Though nothing new. Just a different venue.

    Greg, I’m surprised you tolerate it though, frankly, I’m glad you do. Very entertaining to see that side of the human mind displayed. At length.

  370. #370 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    And how does that “appear”?

    Patrick is “apparently” an ignorant knuckledragger who only comes out of the woodwork when they think they can play hero.

    Unfortunately, lacking any method by which to argue a point, they utterly fail their crusade for, well, whatever the hell they’re trying to pursue in the last five minutes. It’s not like HE cares, is it.

  371. #371 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “with no regard for truth or honest discussion.”

    Ah, some proof would be handy.

    Well patmcgroin?

  372. #372 Patrick W
    May 15, 2017

    Too funny. Hero? “Wow”, you’re right, I don’t give a shit. I find you entertaining and certainly not in the way you would want.

    As for proof? Gee, I don’t know. How about virtually every comment above? Or we can go to numerous other sites for more–the defunct asylum of Deltoid being a personal favorite. Of course I would have to have the time and inclination to do that. And I don’t.

    Was merely a comment pointing out who you seem to have identified yourself as–a deranged, insecure 40-something woman. I was surprised. At least about the woman part. And it “appears” that way because you have made it so idiot.

    Yes I am a man. You are an assclown nutter. Neither will change.

  373. #373 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    “I don’t give a shit.”

    Ah, clearly you don’t care about honesty, then.

    Kinda explains your earlier claims, too.

    Warrior away, retard.

  374. #374 Li D
    Australia
    May 15, 2017

    #372
    ” asylum of Deltoid”
    Get stuffed. Deltoid is a great blog.

  375. #375 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    It did get killed by batshit betty and StuPid. Hence batshit is roving and trying to get more disruption here.

  376. #376 MikeN
    May 15, 2017

    Looks like we can award the victory to BBD with this neutral scorecard.

    http://blog.dilbert.com/post/160696999931/how-to-know-you-won-a-political-debate-on-the

    Rick, ignoring Wow is what I try to do as well, but other posts get missed.

    BBD, will you answer #260?

  377. #377 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    No. Sorry.

    Well, clearly you CAN, but it is unsupportable by any logic reason or reality.

    Oh, and I guess it explains how you still don’t understand either Mann’s work or the work from the IPCC given your love of sticking your fingers in your ears and going “LALALA! CAN’T HEAR”.

    Not forgetting the ludicrous claims given that if you don’t read my posts, you can’t actually have any information about them.

    You’re not the sharpest knife in the sock drawer, are you, “mike”.

  378. #378 Wow
    May 15, 2017

    It;s enlightening to how you perceive things when you link to a blogroll with the URL title:

    how-to-know-you-won-a-political-debate

    When it ought to be clear this SHOULD have been apolitical and based on provable facts, not political stance.

    Clearly even you see that dumdum is not arguing reality, but partisanship.

  379. #379 Patrick W
    May 15, 2017

    “Warrior?” What does that even mean? Oh, I know. It’s your attempt at some sort of slight. I guess. Shame it makes no sense. But that is by no means unusual for you.

    You really don’t have a life away from these pages, do you “Wow?” It would be sad if it weren’t so amusing.

    Nah, it’s still sad…

    “Wow” proclaims…”Ah, clearly you don’t care about honesty, then.”

    I don’t? What would give you that idea? I honestly believe you are raging idiot with too much time on “her” hands. One who claims knowledge on any number of topics which you clearly do not possess. And I honestly find you endlessly entertaining but, again, not for the reasons I’m certain you would prefer. So, do, please, keep it going. Provided, of course, you don’t get banned. Though given your latest work I suspect it is but a matter of time. And you likely won’t get your own little padded cell like other venues–see Eli.

    Li D–“Get stuffed. Deltoid is a great blog.”

    It’s not a blog at all anymore, and really hasn’t been for many years. Perhaps 10 years ago you’d have been correct. But I do thank you for your suggestion.

  380. #380 BBD
    May 16, 2017

    MikeN re #260:

    BBD, your complaint about infrastructure not being good enough to handle supply variation and the need for lines, is this a national issue or a local one?

    The problem with large-scale renewables is that the prime resource locations tend to be geographically distant from the major demand centres. So you need lots of new long distance transmission capacity linking the prime renewable resources to their potential markets. Typically, this will mean lots more HVDC, which is a slow, painful process because of all the land rights issues it incurs. There’s a good explainer here. You can see why the US isn’t looking likely to make a successful energy transion to a high renewables mix unless there is hard-edged federal intervention and soon. And we know teh Donald is really on-side with that.

    For example, suppose San Diego had wind and solar arrays nearby, along with nuclear and coal and hydro and gas plants, and enough backup supply to handle darkness and low wind(simultaneously). Is there another issue they have to deal with on the grid?

    With all that lot (assuming ‘enough backup’ really does mean enough backup) then broad strokes, SD would have partially decarbonised its electricity supply. Important to remember that decarbonising electricity generation is just the first – and easiest – step along the much harder road to full decarbonisation of total primary energy (TPE). But decarbonisation of TPE is what has to be achieved if atmospheric CO2 levels are eventually to be reduced.

  381. #381 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    “The problem with large-scale renewables is that the prime resource locations tend to be geographically distant from the major demand centres”

    The problem with your asinine claim is that we have roofs. We put them on the places that are major demand centers.

    “With all that lot (assuming ‘enough backup’ really does mean enough backup)”

    Oh, dear, because if there isn’t enough, there’s only the magical pixie dust of nuclear that we put right in the middle of our demand centers that never has a problem with being not enough. Just one gramme of uranium will ALWAYS be enough!!!

    “Important to remember that decarbonising electricity generation is just the first – and easiest – step along the much harder road to full decarbonisation of total primary energy (TPE)”

    So what? WHAT CHANGES if it’s hard or easy? If it’s REALLY REALLY hard, do we just not bother and roast or sit at home and do nothing?

    And when robots are doing all the work and teleconferencing is all that the jobs left require, the demand for transit to work is gone.

    Sounds like transitioning to TPE is easy then.

    You’re a fucking retard, dumdum.

  382. #382 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    Hey, wanckchat, you don’t appear to have anything to do but post BS about a thing you claim you don’t give a shit about.

    How retarded is that?

  383. #383 BBD
    May 16, 2017

    The problem with you, Wow, is that you have almost no idea at all what you are talking about but you never shut up.

    Let’s take this bit of cretinousness:

    The problem with your asinine claim is that we have roofs. We put them on the places that are major demand centers.

    But the primary solar resources are far away from the primary demand centres. You have forgotten that solar irradiance at the surface varies with latitude. To generate enough electricity you need to build the large-scale solar plant where solar irradiance is highest.

    In your own words:

    You’re a fucking retard

    Why Greg allows you to carry on is increasingly puzzling.

  384. #384 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    Ah, yet more projection an dbollocks form you.

    And what is this about “you never shut up”? What about the moron who said “It’s not even worth talking to you”? Yet here you are, still trying to talk over me.

    That, by the way was incredible stupidity you said.

    “Why Greg allows you to carry on is increasingly puzzling.”

    Because he needs to have someone willing to go up against your pro-nuke insane bumblings and he’s quite aware of how mindbogglingly infuriating a retard like yourself is when they’re desperately trying to rubbish the competition.

    Kinda simple. Not as simple as you are, you moronic fuckwit, but that’s practically “absolute stupid”. Even trump is going “that dumdum fella is fucking stupid, isn’t he.”.

    The fact is that all your complaints about renewables are manufactured failures you’re promoting to scare people off and rush them into buying nuclear. Not one of them, even the very few valid points, are of any value whatsoever because even the valid ones are valid for ALL OTHER GENERATION.

    And you keep whining about how challenging it will be to no purpose.

    Got anything that isn’t challenging? No? Then you’re only whining about how it’s not money going to pay for worthless nukes.

    If you wonder why nobody wants nukes or believes the BS about their safety, your lies and horrendous arguments against renewables is why.

    You have screwed over the industry in your insane rantings devoid of reality against renewables.

    Wonderful own goal dumbass.

  385. #385 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    “But the primary solar resources are far away from the primary demand centres”

    No, they’re everywhere.

    Or are you secretly a moleman? A molech? Some sort of cave-dwelling troll? We have humans here and we work above ground mostly, and the few underground jobs are apart from deep seam mining, all absent any great power demands.

    And without coal and uranium, we won’t need much mining.

  386. #386 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    And where are the major sources of uranium? Coal? Right under the major cities?

    Nope.

  387. #387 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    “To generate enough electricity you need to build the large-scale solar plant where solar irradiance is highest. ”

    Wrong. It’s cheaper to build large scale solar plants where the sun is strongest.

    Germany isn’t where the sun is strongest, yet it managed 85% of demand from renewables.

  388. #388 BBD
    May 16, 2017

    “But the primary solar resources are far away from the primary demand centres”

    No, they’re everywhere.

    In which Wow denies that surface solar irradiance varies with latitude.

    Wonderful own goal dumbass.

  389. #389 BBD
    May 16, 2017

    Germany isn’t where the sun is strongest, yet it managed 85% of demand from renewables.

    For three hours on a Sunday afternoon. But it can go down to 2% on a different Sunday afternoon, as the data show.

    Looking at individual days is potentially misleading, hence the misleading PR we see regurgitated by they press every so often. Let’s avoid that sort of error and concentrate on annual data.

    Total solar was 7.1% in 2015 and 6.9% in 2016. That puts things a bit more into perspective.

    https://www.energy-charts.de/energy_pie.htm

  390. #390 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    “For three hours on a Sunday afternoon”

    But according to your screed this is impossible, because Germany is where the big industrial powerhouse of Europe is, and you insist that we only have sufficient power in distant places and therefore have to have lots of HVDC.

    “But it can go down to 2% on a different Sunday afternoon, as the data show. ”

    No, the data shows that is a load of bollocks. Another fake trumpian claim from you, dumdum. Tell me do you have ridiculous “real hair” too? Offensively long ties?

    “Looking at individual days is potentially misleading”

    Yet you keep bleating on about individual days whenever you whine and whinge about renewables being too expensive to possibly work.

    You really don’t care what bullshit you spew, do you?

    “Let’s avoid that sort of error and concentrate on annual data.”

    YOU were the one bleating about “What about this short period possibly??!?!?!?!”

    Annual data for Germany, hardly a place with a clear sky desert climate today:

    And so far for 2017:

    77.97TWh renewables = 37.0%.

    Look at it for the totals for 2016:

    181.46TWh renewables = 33.4%

    And for 2015:

    182.60 TWh renewables = 33.4%

    All from:

    https://www.energy-charts.de/energy_pie.htm

    Your claims are just fakery and the exact reason why nukes will NEVER be acceptable to the educated and educable, since your lies and bullshit are entirely fictions to drive people to your white elephant money grab scam.

  391. #391 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    And the renewables are so plentiful that Germany is increasing year on year the exports the do to the rest of Europe.

    Making the figures above EVEN BETTER, since they include overgeneration that is sold for profit elsewhere. Generation ABOVE demand.

  392. #392 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    “In which Wow denies that surface solar irradiance varies with latitude. ”

    and another fake claim from you, you retard.

  393. #393 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    “To generate enough electricity you need to build the large-scale solar plant where solar irradiance is highest. ”

    Where buddy dumdum insists that it’s eternal night in Germany.

  394. #394 BBD
    May 16, 2017

    “For three hours on a Sunday afternoon”

    But according to your screed this is impossible, because Germany is where the big industrial powerhouse of Europe is, and you insist that we only have sufficient power in distant places and therefore have to have lots of HVDC.

    It was the Sunday of the May Day holiday long weekend. As has been pointed out repeatedly, industrial demand was at unusually low levels.

    “But it can go down to 2% on a different Sunday afternoon, as the data show. ”

    No, the data shows that is a load of bollocks. Another fake trumpian claim from you, dumdum.

    Learn to read a graph. German electricty generation, 15 – 22 Jan:

    22/01
    Peak GW total/time: 68.59 / 17:00

    S: 0
    W: 1.37

    W&S as % of peak total generation: 2%

  395. #395 BBD
    May 16, 2017

    YOU were the one bleating about “What about this short period possibly??!?!?!?!”

    Because you peddled the industry PR puff about Germany’s ‘record-breaking’ 85% renewables blah on this thread. For three hours on a Sunday afternoon.

  396. #396 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    “It was the Sunday of the May Day holiday long weekend”

    So when you claimed that solar had to be built in distant places far from the demand, you had the unstated coda “unless it’s a Sunday May Day Holiday!”????

    Fucking liar.

    “Learn to read a graph. German electricty generation, 15 – 22 Jan:”

    I can.

    Total Renewables: 2.33TWh, 19.9%.

    Nearly 10x what you’re claiming.

    And weren;t you whining about not taking some short atypical time period and we had to use annual averages?!?!?!?

    Oh, yes, you were.

    Seems like hypocrit is still a hypocrit.

    If you ever wondered why dick still gets to post, you are the reason why. If he sacked dick he’d have to get rid of you first.

  397. #397 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    “Because you peddled the industry PR puff about Germany’s ‘record-breaking’ 85% renewables ”

    IOW you scream “FAKE NEWS!!!!”.

    No, it really did break the record, it’s a fact, it;s reality, it;s what really really happened. Renewables manged 85% of power demand in Germany. A fact you cannot face so bury under your bullshit.

  398. #398 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    O, and more lies too.

    YOU were the one bleating about “What about this short period possibly??!?!?!?!”

    Because you peddled the industry PR puff about Germany’s ‘record-breaking’ 85% renewables blah on this thread

    Wjen you posted this at post 95:

    Over 48 hours of low regional windspeed?

    Was that BEFORE or AFTER my post at 149:

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    ?

    Was 95 a response to a LATER post, dumfuck?

    Come on, which is earlier in the number sequence: 95 or 149?

  399. #399 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    Does Scott have “When they have to make up reality to prove you wrong, that proves you’re right” in his description of how you can tell you’ve won an argument “Mike”?

  400. #400 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    And since industrial demand is so significant, why do you keep whining about out-of-office-hours lack of solar? There’s very little industry running at night. So low industrial (therefore low national demand) would have the same effect as a May Day Bank Holiday Weekend Sunday.

  401. #401 BBD
    May 16, 2017

    Blah blah blah.

    I don’t think anyone reads you bollocks anymore.

  402. #402 BBD
    May 16, 2017

    22/01
    Peak GW total/time: 68.59 / 17:00

    S: 0
    W: 1.37

    W&S as % of peak total generation: 2%

    Fact. Deal with facts.

  403. #403 BBD
    May 16, 2017

    Total Renewables: 2.33TWh, 19.9%.

    Nearly 10x what you’re claiming.

    Because a WEEK isn’t the same as a day, idiot.

    You keep ondoing this. Are you stupid or simply dishonest?

    Do tell.

  404. #404 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    “Blah blah blah.

    I don’t think”

    True, dumdum.

    ” Nearly 10x what you’re claiming.

    Because a WEEK isn’t the same as a day, idiot. ”

    But one day is not the same as “German electricty generation, 15 – 22 Jan.” That happens to be one week, moron.

    And what does % have to do with the difference between one day and one week.

    More maths fail from the dribbling buffoon nuke fluffer.

  405. #405 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    ” Are you stupid or simply dishonest?”

    You are both.

    “Fact. Deal with facts.”

    Hey, you’re the one whining about facts and insisting they’re PR.

    And is it a FACT that 95 comes after 146, moronico?

    Or are you just terminally incapable of thought?

    Do tell.

  406. #406 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    “https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables”

    Fact.

    Deal with it.
    German electricty generation, 15 – 22 Jan:

    Total Renewables: 2.33TWh, 19.9%.

    Fact. Deal with it.

    #95 was BEFORE #146

    FACT.

    Deal with it, morondo.

  407. #407 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    “Fact. Deal with facts.”

    Facts like renewables managed 85% of demand in Germany? No, you can’t deal with facts. Only fluffery.

    Does radioactive knob taste nice?

  408. #408 MikeN
    May 16, 2017

    OK, BBD, I had misunderstood your objections in previous thread, and thought you were saying the variation of wind and solar was a technical challenge. Instead your argument is that the wind and solar local supply is not enough, and you need transmission lines to utilize the national supply?

  409. #409 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    He doesn’t know what the challenges are, he knows he has to keep harping on about them.

    National grids, for example, are mostly AC. There’s nothing about HVDC that makes them necessary, they only make it cheaper to run, having the possiblity of lower loss than HVAC of the same power capacity because of capacitative losses. It’s currently used where it makes it cheaper to move electricity now. And it will be used no matter what the future power grid will be, because long distance catchments allow more market exploitation.

  410. #410 MikeN
    May 16, 2017

    >He doesn’t know what the challenges are, he knows he has to keep harping on about them.

    You are an expert on keep harping on without knowing the details.

  411. #411 Wow
    May 16, 2017

    Yes, that’s his probem all right.

    I’m an expert and he doesn’t know what the hell he’s talking about and NOBODY knows “the” details, because there aren’t any.

    Hell, when I asked you “About what?” when you told me “stop lying”, YOU didn’t know any more details than you’d asked me to stop lying.

    You didn’t know the details of the content of the link and got the detail that HE’D waddled off about some OTHER period of time and appeared to think it was me (which is why dumdum thought you were telling THEM to stop lying, THAT is how out of detail you were).

    I will demonstrate your lack of knowing what “the details” are by asking you again right here: what details, and where are they to have been missed?

  412. #412 MikeN
    May 16, 2017

    You posted that BBD was lying with #235:

    “Lie about renewables to fit your agenda of denial of a reality you don’t wish to confront.

    Like the one about W&S being low 15-22nd Jan in Germany:”

    This is a lie by you.

  413. #413 BBD
    May 17, 2017

    MikeN

    OK, BBD, I had misunderstood your objections in previous thread, and thought you were saying the variation of wind and solar was a technical challenge. Instead your argument is that the wind and solar local supply is not enough, and you need transmission lines to utilize the national supply?

    Well, that’s two sides of the same coin, really. Whenever W&S variability causes local supply to fall below local* demand there’s a problem. It might be that local wind and solar resources are not that good or it might be that it’s dark and windspeeds are low or a combination of both. Doesn’t matter – there’s a supply shortfall.

    Small, transient supply shortfalls can be managed with demand-side management but longer and larger shortfalls need extra energy inputs. These can come from utility-scale storage or long-distance transmission or both. But they have to come from somewhere or the lights go out.

    It looks likely that a combination of both will eventually be used, with HVDC links to the big wind resources in the N and big solar in the SW as essential parts of the US grid infrastructure. The results would look something like this (red circles indicate imports, blue indicate exports). Note that the source is NREL – generally considered impeccable in RE discussions.

    *’Local’ in this context can mean ‘NYC’ or ‘the Eastern Seaboard’. Not just Littleburg, VA.

  414. #414 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    “You posted that BBD was lying with #235:

    “Lie about renewables to fit your agenda of denial of a reality you don’t wish to confront.

    Like the one about W&S being low 15-22nd Jan in Germany:”

    This is a lie by you.”

    Nope, retard, this is where you told me I was lying:

    Before you were saying it was 85%. Now it turns out that was for a different time period of a weekend. Stop lying.

    What was I lying about?

  415. #415 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    “Small, transient supply shortfalls can be managed with demand-side management but longer and larger shortfalls need extra energy inputs…But they have to come from somewhere or the lights go out. ”

    So tell me your power supply where this would not be the case that if there is insuffucient power produced the shortfallnhas to come from somewhere or the ligths go out?

    “These can come from utility-scale storage or long-distance transmission or both.”

    And, yes power has to come from somewhere, but it DOESN’T have to come from utility scale storage or long distance, or both.

    That is a lie.

  416. #416 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    “Whenever W&S variability causes local supply to fall below local* demand there’s a problem.”

    Wherever nuclear variability causes local supply to fall below local demand, there’s a problem.

    So what magical power source do you have that this is NOT the case?

  417. #417 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    “Like the one about W&S being low 15-22nd Jan in Germany:”

    IS a lie.

    Retard bum dumb destroyed was lying about renewables producing less than 10% in that time period WHICH WAS WHAT HE WAS ASKED TO ANSWER: how much renewables produced to demand.

    And lied about how much DEMAND was when he kept bleating on about how much GENERATION was and CLAIMED it was demand.

    Even you tried to correct him on his deliberate “confusion” most recently in 324.

  418. #418 BBD
    May 17, 2017

    “These can come from utility-scale storage or long-distance transmission or both.”

    And, yes power has to come from somewhere, but it DOESN’T have to come from utility scale storage or long distance, or both.

    That is a lie.

    No, it’s a fact. Deal with facts.

    Retard bum dumb destroyed was lying about renewables producing less than 10% in that time period WHICH WAS WHAT HE WAS ASKED TO ANSWER: how much renewables produced to demand.

    Wind and solar produced 9.47% during the week 15 – 22 Jan.

    Fact. Deal with facts.

    another way. Here are the weekly generation figures for 16-22 Jan:

    Solar: 0.255 GW

    Wind: 0.676 GW

    Combined W&S: 0.931

    Conventional: 8.899 GW

    Total: 9.83 GW

    So W&S as a percentage of total generation that week was:

    0.931/(9.83/100) = 9.47%

    Not 30%.

  419. #419 BBD
    May 17, 2017

    And lied about how much DEMAND was when he kept bleating on about how much GENERATION was and CLAIMED it was demand.

    But it is demand. If generation exceeds demand, then the grid breaks. Already explained this to you.

    There’s no difference between domestic (German) demand and export demand – electrons don’t care, they just have to *go* somewhere. So generation must = total aggregate demand (domestic + export).

    Your topic knowledge is appalling.

  420. #420 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    “No, it’s a fact. Deal with facts. ”

    No, it’s a lie, and I deal with liars like you by treating them with the same disdain and abuse they give reality.

    “https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables”

    Fact.

    Deal with it.
    German electricty generation, 15 – 22 Jan:

    Total Renewables: 2.33TWh, 19.9%.

    Fact. Deal with it.

    #95 was BEFORE #146

    FACT.

    Deal with it, morondomookfuck.

  421. #421 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    “But it is demand.”

    No it isn’t. It’s supply.

    Fucking moron has no clue what reality is.

    “There’s no difference between domestic (German) demand and export demand ”

    So Germany is the entire world? Or Germany exports to Germany?????

    Fucking idiot.

  422. #423 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    DEAL WITH FACTS.

    Germany manged 85% of power demand being supplied by renewables. They did not require HVDC to provide it, they did not even use all storage to provide it.

    There was nothing misleading about the story.

    There is no power supply that will not result in power outages if there is insufficient power supplied.

    There is no idea from you on how to avoid your claims of problems.

    You do not know what generation, demand, supply or export means.

    You have only ever whined about renewables as being challenging, and only care about pointing out how insufficient supply is a problem if we don’t build enough power generation.

    You have lied and made shit up. This too is a fact.

    You then go and complain when I make blank assertions from claims that you made when I do them RIGHT AFTER YOU MAKE THE BS CLAIM.

    You have proclaimed you would provide a list showing how I insist there should be no HVDC or backup with renewables, yet not one location did you find it.

    I have provided one direct quote of you to support MY claim about your lies.

    You are a partisan hack trying to stop renewables from being pushed out by proclaiming unspecified catastrophe if we do a thing nobody has shown we should do and given no method of avoiding that catastrophe you claim could exist.

    Facts? YOU CAN’T HANDLE THE FACTS.

  423. #424 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    More facts: the anti-green brigade and pro-nuke fluffers and the AGW denialists have all insisted that renewable penetration would cause catastrophe much past 20% of total average generation because of “intermittent” supply.

    Germany has manged over 30% just fine. And this build out was not produced to the expectation of covering that volume. NOT ONE OF YOU MORONS have actually stated how much the build-out of renewables in Germany was intended to supply (given your claims of its capacity factor compared to nukes and other fake-dispatchable suppliers). It’s definitely not 40% and last I actually heard the plans for Germany was a while ago when it was “We will get to 20% or more renewables by 2020”.

    So you deniers and corporate shills and hacks complain that in a scenario where it isn’t expected to cover 40% that it somehow has failed when producing 85% because it hasn’t done it for a long stretch of time????

    HOW THE HELL IS THAT A FAIL?

  424. #425 BBD
    May 17, 2017

    So Germany is the entire world? Or Germany exports to Germany?????

    You fucked this up earlier when you tried to pretend that the export wasn’t demand:

    #247

    And you mislead people with your claim that production = demand. But Germany exported a net of 4.5TWh in January. CLEARLY the production was higher than demand.

    And at #265:

    Remember, Germany is exporting all the while, between 2 and 10GW.

    You were wrong then and you are wriggling now.

    Own your faceplants and bullshit.

    God but you need banning.

  425. #426 BBD
    May 17, 2017

    Germany manged 85% of power demand being supplied by renewables. They did not require HVDC to provide it, they did not even use all storage to provide it.

    There was nothing misleading about the story.

    For an eyeblink. That is what is misleading about this story. Sometimes the variable renewables wind and solar which produced the 85% blip can drop to >10% for an entire week.

    The lack of meaningful progress in dealing with it is the real story. But it is the one you will not allow to be discussed, preferring instead to peddle misleading industry PR.

  426. #427 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    “You fucked this up earlier when you tried to pretend that the export wasn’t demand:”

    And another fake claim from the moron of the year.

    “You were wrong then”

    Really? O was wrong? WHERE? EVERY SINGLE VALUE IS CORRECT

    “Germany exported a net of 4.5TWh in January”

    Is that not CLEARLY supply exceeded demand?

    Fuck off you lying little streak of weak piss. Just because you hate reality doesn’t mean I have to be banned you fucking retard trumpnutmuncher.

    ESPECIALLY when you’re too shit scared to solve this like humans, face to face.

    You chickenshit liar.

  427. #428 BBD
    May 17, 2017

    “Germany exported a net of 4.5TWh in January”

    Is that not CLEARLY supply exceeded demand?

    NO! Jesus you idiot!

    Read. The. Words:

    But it is demand. If generation exceeds demand, then the grid breaks. Already explained this to you.

    There’s no difference between domestic (German) demand and export demand – electrons don’t care, they just have to *go* somewhere. So generation must = total aggregate demand (domestic + export).

    Can’t you even begin to understand the basics?

  428. #429 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    “For an eyeblink. That is what is misleading about this story. Sometimes the variable renewables wind and solar which produced the 85% ”

    IS NOT MISLEADING IN THE STORY!

    Do you know what is misleading about you and your idiotic screed?

    The nuclear explosion in Fukushima has caused trillions in damage and YOU HAVE IGNORED IT.

  429. #430 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    Greg, you will, if you have the patience, see that dumbfuck retard here’s MO is to go full retard and rile the shit out of people who DARE to say that renewables might work so that they can keep fucking lying.

    He’s a 100% fucking troll and if you want reality to even have a chance you either have to completely and permanently drop all reports of anything about renewables in a good light OR ban that fuckwit trollidiot from the blog.

    That shitstorm sea of sewage calling itself “BBD” will REFUSE to let renewables be seen as anything other than a complete failure and unworkable idea.

  430. #431 MikeN
    May 17, 2017

    I pointed out your lie to you, and then you switched to another statement. Then you strangely repeat your lie in #417, while trying to say it’s a lie that wind and solar is low because renewables. If you want to say that ‘wind and solar is low’ is a lie, then you have to demonstrate that ‘wind and solar is not low.’ Repeating your statements about renewables cannot make ‘wind and solar is low’ a lie. That you say this statement is a lie while knowing there is a difference between renewables and ‘wind and solar’ is why I call you a liar.

  431. #432 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    “I pointed out your lie to you, ”

    Ah.so when you said:

    Before you were saying it was 85%. Now it turns out that was for a different time period of a weekend. Stop lying.

    You were lying, it had NOTHING to do with “a different time period”. If you’d said “*a* lie”, that would have been different, but youve just said this was *the* lie, the lie you were talking about there.

    “and then you switched to another statement. ”

    Nope, I stayed on the statement YOU had made, I had not switched statement, just like, it now appears, you admit to lying about when claiming I had switched to another time period (indeed it was dumfuck wallyfeaturs who did that).

    So that is a second lie from you.

    Not doing bad. do you also whine about your own duplicities like you do everyone else’s, or are you endemically corrupt and hypocritical “mike”?

    “Then you strangely repeat your lie in #417”

    WHAT lie in 417?

    “Like the one about W&S being low 15-22nd Jan in Germany:”

    IS a lie. Because it was buttfuck mcstupidarse’s use of the “low W&S” to “prove” I was wrong about renewables being about 30% of demand. Since W&S is not “renewables”, bleating on about it is NOT proof of error in, or counter to, my claim about renewables.

    THEREFORE his claim was a lie.

    But you dont know what anything means, you only hope to take advandage of your own confusion and pretend that you’re somehow right and someone who has been a thorn in your side is wrong.

    Sorry, cupcake, you’re entirely wrong.

    And that’s if it’s just pure stupidity rather than active lying going on there, “mike”.

    “That you say this statement is a lie while knowing there is a difference between renewables and ‘wind and solar’ ”

    The point is that either YOU don’t know or YOU DON’T CARE.

    Because it’s sure as shit that turdbreath monkeynutfeatures doesn’t care that he’s getting it wrong, he has a corporate cheque to cash in, and lies to promote to earn it.

    When he was asked what renewables were, HE was the one who claimed the solar plus wind totals and then continued to proclaim I was “wrong” because renewables are NOT the same as wind and solar.

    He didn’t care because he’s a useless shitstain of a human being.

    Why didn’t you care about it, monkeynuts?

    Too complex for you, didn’t CARE, or know you’re talking bullshit?

  432. #433 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    Moreover, the statement you claim is a lie and was repeated in 417 was NOT in any of the posts you complained about.

    Go back to badbraindumdump’s post at 292, “mike”.

    Oh, and as predicted in 411 when I said

    I will demonstrate your lack of knowing what “the details” are by asking you again right here: what details, and where are they to have been missed?

    To your post at 410 when you proclaimed:

    You are an expert on keep harping on without knowing the details.

    Since you failed to provide any of the details nor where they were to be “not got” by me.

    Sadface, cryface.

  433. #434 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    And when you swallowed dumdum’s liquid load claim of “Buys you about 12 hours”, did you miss the details like, oh, say, the complete lack of any calculation for that figure, especially when it is quite easy to work out if it’s even near?

    Seems like you love to not get details and complain about them.

    Currently dumdum is helping sow doubt about the feasibility of doing anything about AGW and promoting the “do nothing” agenda of AGW denial, so you’re really up for helping him, and all of a sudden, you’re not so worried about asking him where he gets his data from or detail the working and proofs of his claims.

    When you like them, you will just let the pass, even though you were awful insistent on “PROOF DAMMIT!” when he wasn’t helping delay doing anything about AGW.

    For all dumdum’s whining about how people saying “we can do 100% renewables” are, somehow, because he’s not given any proof this is actually reality, pushing people to stick with fossil fuels by not proclaiming renewables possibly too hard to even do.

    And you haven’t noted any lack of evidence of this claim even existing.

  434. #435 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    “W&S can swing from 85% to 2%.”

    Notice that “mike”? Or did you not care? When you complained

    That you say this statement is a lie while knowing there is a difference between renewables and ‘wind and solar’

    Had you actually read the thread you were complaining about, or had you merely read enough to confirm what you wanted to see?

    Do you want to post that to dumdum? Call HIM a liar? Or do you wish not to undermine someone working toward the FUD and delay tactics of not doing anything “because it may be really really hard, like” that you prefer to see “win” in the political arguments you’re stuck in?

  435. #436 Wow
    May 17, 2017

    And if you DO go back and see how your expectations changed the evidence you “saw” (as in that was all you saw), you NOW know why the scientific method is there and how it doesn’t just apply to things you do in a lab or science class, it really does need applying everywhere in life when your aim is to describe reality as it is.

    And how the lack of such scientific scepticism really does nullify any claims, no matter if they are “honestly held” or not, because the evidence is not what is real but what is presented.

  436. #437 Li D
    Australia
    May 17, 2017

    #436 “…method is there and how it doesn’t just apply to things you do in a lab or science class, it really does need applying everywhere …”
    Mmmm yes. Shit boils down to this really. What works and how do we know?
    The thing that ( off topicly ) came to mind reading your post
    was this. Does tax lowering for corporations assist growth and
    employment? Its almost a forgone conclusive thought for many.
    But is it valid? Theres no shortage of data to examine.

  437. #438 Li D
    Australia
    May 17, 2017

    #430 jeezuz!
    No wow. Just no. Thats my view anyhow.
    Batty on the other hand…

  438. #439 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    “W&S can swing from 85% to 2%.”

    Notice that “mike”? Or did you not care? When you complained

    Whoops. That was a typo.

    W&S on April 30 was 65% of total peak generation / demand. On Jan 22, it was 2%.

    * * *

    Li D

    Thanks for your kind words.

  439. #440 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “Does tax lowering for corporations assist growth and
    employment?”

    Well, no.

    For a very simple reason: they don’t have to employ more people if they can increase profits by government handouts or tax breaks. Normally it would require more workers to produce more goods to produce more revenue to produce more profits.

    If you’re going to get more profit because the government hands you cash or free services, there’s no need to go to the risk of employing someone new.

    “No wow. Just no. Thats my view anyhow.”

    I didn’t give a view, lid. I have given the parameters of consequence.

  440. #441 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    ” “W&S can swing from 85% to 2%.”

    Notice that “mike”? Or did you not care? When you complained

    Whoops. That was a typo. ”

    Ah, shall I correct your typo?

    “whoops. that was incriminating.”

    You KNEW you were talking BS. You keep claiming, for example 8 posts later, that you argue wind and solar === all renewables. EVEN “MIKE” tried to make you see your fallacy. Though they were attempting to make it my fault.

    “W&S on April 30 was 65% of total peak generation”

    So what was renewables? And 15-22nd Jan, what was renewables? And what is the topic of this thread as written specifically in the text Greg gave and the content of the publication he quoted?

    And while you’re avoiding those questions, here are more you need to avoid:

    How much untapped storage was there from current storage systems that are not an additional cost for renewables, but a requirement for a modern stable national grid intended to be reliable?

    How much untapped interstate power was available?

    If Morocco has an excess of Solar and Germany a lack, does the electrons produced have to go all the way from Morocco to Germany?

    When you cry fake tears at how complex and challenging renewable power is, do you have any plan that is less challenging?

    When you cry your fake tears at how insufficient supply would cause power shortages, what plan do you have that doesn’t have that problem?

    When you cry your fake tears at misdirections, when will you stop misdirecting others by claiming bullshit equality between “W&S” and renewables?

    When you scream fake outrage at plans of 100% renewables and insist it will “cost more”, HOW much more? and how much more than WHAT? Where is this plan you’re crying about and what’s your alternative that avoids the pitfalls you proclaim?

    PS why aren’t you thanking “mike”? He’s taking everything you emit here and guzzling it down like a pornhub amateur.

  441. #442 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    And don’t you mean 55%, dungus?

    And isn’t that mostly due to turning off gas, coal and oil? If they were all kept on, what % would “wind and solar” be? And if the renewables managed 20% of the demand, then isn’t it the fact that when there’s the “perfect storm” of no sun and no wind, renewables managed 20+% not your “only 2%!”?

    Out of the 30% they nominally produce, that gives a “wide variation” of 22/30=73% of nominal when still untapped hydro and storage of currently applicable ratios of HVDC and storage to generation are built out.

    Oh noes, it could go and drop by 27% from expected!!!! For a few hours!!!! For which we’d have to use up maybe 4% of our EV fleet’s battery storage!!!!!! END OF WORLD!!!!!!!!!!!!

  442. #443 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    You KNEW you were talking BS. You keep claiming, for example 8 posts later, that you argue wind and solar === all renewables.

    Nope, lies on both counts. I acknowledged the typo the instant it was pointed out and I have repeatedly made the point that since the entire discussion is about wind and solar variability then it is *misleading* to conflate biomass and hydro with W&S. Which, of course, is why I didn’t do so and you did.

    And don’t you mean 55%, dungus?

    And isn’t that mostly due to turning off gas, coal and oil? If they were all kept on, what % would “wind and solar” be?

    W&S would be exactly the same. Germany curtails fossil fuel plant in favour of W&S. You can see this instantly from the weekly data. But clearly you don’t care about the facts.

    Back to the numbers for 30/04:

    Peak generation / demand was 75.55GW at 11:00.
    Solar: 29.76
    Wind:16.75
    W&S: 46.51
    W&S % of total gen = 46.5/(75.5/100) = 65%

    Peak generation / demand was 68.17GW at 13:00.
    Solar: 28.94
    Wind: 15.66
    W&S: 44.6
    W&S % of total gen = 44.6/(68.2/100) = 65%

    Peak generation / demand was 66.72GW at 14:00.
    Solar: 26.32
    Wind: 16.78
    W&S: 43.1
    W&S % of total gen = 43.1/(66.72/100) = 65%

    Peak generation / demand was 64.34GW at 15:00.
    Solar: 21.55
    Wind: 18.77
    W&S: 40.32
    W&S % of total gen = 40.32/(64.34/100) = 63%

  443. #444 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    When you scream fake outrage at plans of 100% renewables

    And yet again, you are making shit up.

    What I object to is the incessant barrage of industry PR (lies, really) about ‘cheap’ renewables and the misleading presentation of W&S variability (85%!!) as if it was a benefit rather than a profound systemic problem.

    All I care about is efficient decarbonisation. Anything that gets in the way, from anti-nuclear activism to misleading presentations of renewables potential, is the problem.

  444. #445 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    You KNEW you were talking BS. You keep claiming, for example 8 posts later, that you argue wind and solar === all renewables.

    Nope, lies on both counts.

    OK, you were lying on both counts, dumdum.

    since the entire discussion is about wind and solar variability

    And another lie. It’s about renewables. Not wind and solar variability.

    You LOVE the lies, don’t you? Can’t prevent yourself diving right into them. Because the truth is devastating to your checking account.

    W&S would be exactly the same

    Ah, and another lie from you, retard.

    No. If it were supposed to be 100% renewables,then there would be no normally operating nuke or coal or oil or gas plants producing power.

    You are INCREDIBLY stupid to think that ANYONE would buy your bullshit claims. Yet still you bullshit.

    Germany curtails fossil fuel plant in favour of W&S. You can see this instantly from the weekly data.

    Therefore that 55% was not due to wind or solar variability, was it you pointless waste of oxygen? It was due to not bothering with that useless nuke or coal or gas or oil.

    But your bank account can’t handle that so you keep pretending your idiotic ranting is somehow believable.

    . You can see this instantly from the weekly data.

    I can. So can everyone else. Which is why your idiotic claims are so trumpianly stupid to make. It’s so easy to show you are talking complete and utter bullshit.

    Peak generation / demand was 75.55GW at 11:00.

    Lie. It was less than that. 13.4 GW was exported and not part of demand.

    And so far for 2017:

    77.97TWh renewables = 37.0%.

    Look at it for the totals for 2016:

    181.46TWh renewables = 33.4%

    And for 2015:

    182.60 TWh renewables = 33.4%

    All from:

    https://www.energy-charts.de/energy_pie.htm

    Facts. Deal with them, you blundering dunderheaded idiot.

  445. #446 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    When you scream fake outrage at plans of 100% renewables

    And yet again, you are making shit up.

    Nope, 100% of that was an accurate and apt description, you screaming frothing maniac.

    All I care about is efficient decarbonisation.

    Now THERE is a lie.

    No, you only care about your paycheck and job at the nuclear industry PR firm you inhabit. You would prefer to go back to 100% smog producing coal than let renewables work.

    the entire discussion is about wind and solar variability

    OK, so what is your plan for renewables to be as variable as you claim, you lying streak of shit?

  446. #447 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    And see, lid, how with this batshit crazy moron bullshitting that any blog that dares talk about renewables will be as broken as deltoid with batshit betty on it, because BBD is 100% identically equivalently insane on nukes as batshit is about how AGW is a scam.

    Sure, keep the retard and let them post their bullshit, but no discussion will be allowed that shows renewables could work without dumb idiots ranting and railing against renewables being impossible like Bloody Boring Dumbass shitting all over it in their insane crusade against reality.

  447. #448 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    So still no actual evidence of any catastrophe from BBD.

    Still no plan that will work better.

    Still no plan that he’s complaining about.

    Still just 100% content free insanity from the pro nuke shill going batshit.

  448. #449 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    Misleading to proclaim it’s about wind and solar variability when it’s all about when “conventional plants” were turned off, varying the output to zero. Misleading to claim it’s all about wind and solar variability when it’s all about demand variability dropping at weekends.

    Misleading will be you whining about how it’s “NOT only conventional plant variability, that’s a LIE!” when the truth is that is PRECISELY how you caricature the situation, just choosing a target of the variation to focus solely on that does not help and indeed punctures your political and financial ideology against the FUD promotion about renewables you crusade about on every single thread on every single blog where you do not get 100% your own way to scare the shit out of people into paying massive inflated costs and take on incredibly stupid risks of nuclear power.

    And incredibly misleading to pretend that you are never doing this, only the opponent who is fighting your insanity in public.

  449. #450 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    Nukes in the two periods BBD provided to “prove” wind and solar were unusable varied 45%. Yet renewables varied 15%. But somehow this is not about nuke variability.

    Demand varied from 35GW to 75GW over that entire week 3 in 2017 in Germany, yet somehow this is not about demand variability.

    Supplies from “non renewable” sources varied from 42 to 60GW, yet somehow this is not about conventional supply variability.

    April 30th, conventional varied from 15GW to 49GW. Yet still this is not about conventional power variability.

    The subject of the thread above the line is about renewables. Not “Wind and solar” never mind “wind and solar variability”. The URL said RENEWABLES, not “wind and solar” never mind “wind and solar variability”, my questions have been about renewables, my figures have been for renewables.

    And this was, apparently supposed to be about GERMANY (post 177), yet you talked about US grid, which last time I looked was not built in Germany.

    You bullshit and scream your insanity at the skies and when it fails insist on going somewhere else. But only when “rebutting” a claim you cannot handle.

  450. #451 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    I posted FACTS showing that nukes varied from 7.3-13.5GW and that it barely managed to get over 8% for much of the period in question, yet when this pitiful amount was shown, dumdum here whined “But they’re closing down nukes! You can’t use that!”, yet when I point out that the 55% of production was a result of shutting down white elephants of fossil fuel production therefore you could not use it compared to 100% of the production but the 30% of production that renewables were generally getting, of which 2/3rds was not wind and solar but still absolutely renewabeles, suddenly it was “MISLEADING” to take into account shutting down plants and shutting down those plants anyway shows how variable renewables are!?!?!?!!

    And not one of the whiners complaining about me care.

    Do you, morons.

    Which is why your complaints are rebutted but your concerns discarded. I may defend myself against attack but I don’t have to worry about your good opinion of me. Or, indeed your opinion AT ALL.

    If you had displayed any sense of actual care about reality, I would find it much harder to discard your whining as anything other than partisan idiocy and glee at finding someone to attack in safety. Because it really REALLY is only the cheapest and most cowardly bullying you’re doing. Wait for someone to come along who you can attack without worrying about having to defend yourself.

    Pure, unadulterated cowardice.

    And therefore your “concerns” can be dismissed as entirely fake. They never bothered you before, with ample justification to be bothered if you were honestly worried about your points.

  451. #452 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    Why the hell did I bother?

  452. #453 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    Because your paycheck relies on it. Of course, being unsuccessful means no bonus pay for you.

    Not that you HAVE bothered.

    Still no actual evidence of any catastrophe from you.

    Still no plan that will work better.

    Still no plan that you are complaining about.

    How much untapped interstate power was available?

    If Morocco has an excess of Solar and Germany a lack, does the electrons produced have to go all the way from Morocco to Germany?

    When you cry fake tears at how complex and challenging renewable power is, do you have any plan that is less challenging?

    When you cry your fake tears at how insufficient supply would cause power shortages, what plan do you have that doesn’t have that problem?

    When you cry your fake tears at misdirections, when will you stop misdirecting others by claiming bullshit equality between “W&S” and renewables?

    When you scream fake outrage at plans of 100% renewables and insist it will “cost more”, HOW much more? and how much more than WHAT? Where is this plan you’re crying about and what’s your alternative that avoids the pitfalls you proclaim?

    So what was renewables? And 15-22nd Jan, what was renewables? And what is the topic of this thread as written specifically in the text Greg gave and the content of the publication he quoted?

    Where are the quotes you said you’d bring down on my head proving I am against HVDCs and backup for renewables?

  453. #454 RickA
    United States
    May 18, 2017

    BBD #452:

    I was asking myself the same question.

  454. #455 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    But that means nothing. Actually nothing. No information, no progress, no reasoning, nothing.

    So ask yourself this question: why are you pointless?

  455. #456 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    For example, I ask why dumdum keeps making such bullshit and easily destroyed claims and whinges.

    So I can take it that you feel the same way, right?

    If not, then why did you not realise you actually said nothing there? If you do, ask yourself why I had to assume?

  456. #457 Mark
    May 18, 2017

    BBD,

    I received a paper this week from a principle planner who has been dealing with defining the assumptions that are going into mobility plans being developed for a large county (1). Richard indicated that a lot of his efforts are spent coming up with communication plans. Being well seasoned, or over the hill depending on how you look at things, he stressed that his objective or goal is to provide context to the assumptions in the plans- or as Richard stressed “the goal is to minimize distorted thinking and see the world more accurately.”

    The EIA had a recent post on how the state of CA is doing in regards to reducing natural gas this spring:

    https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=31252

    “….So far in 2017, increased hydroelectric generation and solar power generation in California have contributed to lower natural gas-fired power generation in the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) region, the electric system operator for much of the state”…

    Genentech media noted the slowdown in residential capacity additions this spring vs last recently as well:

    https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/residential-solar-capacity-down-17-year-over-year-for-q1

    …”The decline is even more pronounced on a year-over-year basis, dropping by 31 percent from 284 megawatts (DC) in the first quarter of 2016, to 196 megawatts (DC) in the first quarter of 2017”….

    (1) https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2015/09/the-coddling-of-the-american-mind/399356/

  457. #458 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “Genentech media noted the slowdown in residential capacity additions this spring vs last recently as well: ”

    Which would be because the current owners of the white house are trying to kill renewables. And increased capacity is still increased capacity. You know, in case you were confused. It’s not like they took down 88MW of solar, is it. They still added just shy of 200MW.

    Moreover, what does this do about Germany where the private homeowner solar cells aren’t counted. Not even counted by dumdum as Zebra pointed out in post #88..

  458. #459 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “I received a paper this week…

    (1) https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2015/09…”

    Hmmm.

  459. #460 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    Mark

    Thanks, interesting market data. I didn’t realise just how badly SoCalGas’s storage capacity has been hit by and since the Aliso canyon leak.

    But as you see, it’s no use dealing in facts when people cannot handle too much reality.

    Wow

    Because your paycheck relies on it.

    I retired several years ago and now live on an investment income. Nobody pays me to say anything nor ever will.

  460. #461 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “I didn’t realise just how badly SoCalGas’s storage capacity has been hit by and since the Aliso canyon leak. ”

    Is that why you only complain about storage for wind and solar, dumdum? I guess you now know that it was a fake problem with solar and wind because ALL generation has problems with it.

    “it’s no use dealing in facts when people cannot handle too much reality. ”

    Too true. Why do you hate facts so much, dumdum?

    “I retired several years ago”

    From a nuke plant marketing position.

    ” and now live on an investment income.”

    Which requires that the companies keep bringing in the ROI that means dividends.

    “Nobody pays me to say anything nor ever will.”

    And another fake claim from you. Nobody SHOULD pay you. You need to visit reality sometime and stop worrying about your stock portfolio crashing when renewables change things about.

    They certainly don’t pay you to talk about what plan it is you’re complaining about. Nor what plan avoids your claimed problem.

    How much untapped interstate power was available?

    If Morocco has an excess of Solar and Germany a lack, does the electrons produced have to go all the way from Morocco to Germany?

    When you cry fake tears at how complex and challenging renewable power is, do you have any plan that is less challenging?

    When you cry your fake tears at how insufficient supply would cause power shortages, what plan do you have that doesn’t have that problem?

    When you cry your fake tears at misdirections, when will you stop misdirecting others by claiming bullshit equality between “W&S” and renewables?

    When you scream fake outrage at plans of 100% renewables and insist it will “cost more”, HOW much more? and how much more than WHAT? Where is this plan you’re crying about and what’s your alternative that avoids the pitfalls you proclaim?

    So what was renewables? And 15-22nd Jan, what was renewables? And what is the topic of this thread as written specifically in the text Greg gave and the content of the publication he quoted?

    Where are the quotes you said you’d bring down on my head proving I am against HVDCs and backup for renewables?

    All of them unanswered.

    No profit in actually having a substantive point, much easier to whine for you, isn’t it.

  461. #462 Betula
    May 18, 2017

    Wow,
    Why don’t you tell us what the last quarterly profit was at Westmill Wind Farm….. also known as Wind Over Westmill or (Wow)….

    And then tell us how “corrupt” it is for distributing a percent of the profits to it’s shareholders…which includes you.

    Thanks.

  462. #463 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    Ah, so by “also known as” you mean “not at all known as”, batshit. So sacked from your tree pruning work for the council, betty? Stole from your customers, eh? Nicked any little boys’ underwear you found was it?

    Oh, and swindon is not devon, dumbass.

    Life’s a birch and then you die.

  463. #464 Betula
    May 18, 2017

    Yes Wow, I did notice you forgot to tell us how “corrupt” Westmill is for distributing it’s profits to it’s shareholders, which includes you.

    Please, in detail…

  464. #465 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    Which includes who? You don’t even know what the company you named is known as. But as well as being incompetent at geography as well as tree pruning, you also admit to having a fetish for collecting little boys underwear.

    When there’s a community project it pays to the people in the community. Which are people in the area. Ask a grown up for what all the words mean. And, no, I’m not an owner of that wind farm. Because it’s a community project and I’m not in Swindon.

    But you do have a problem now you’re unemployed and on the KP watchlist.

  465. #466 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    Oh, and glad to hear that you discard utterly the free market and capitalism as corrupt, batshit! Well done for meeting reality and getting rid of that ridiculous faith of yours.

    Next time John comes on I’ll let him know you’re changing your mind on economic policies and are discarding the corrupt and unworkable free market capitalism. It’s not much of a change because you’re still as clueless as ever, but it’s SOMETHING.

  466. #467 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    So who is pushing vested interests here, Wow?

  467. #468 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    “I retired several years ago”

    From a nuke plant marketing position.

    No, I had my own business. For over 20 years. I will categorically state that I have never worked for the nuclear industry directly or indirectly in any capacity whatsoever.

    You are lying again. Surprise.

  468. #469 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “So who is pushing vested interests here, Wow?”

    You, dumdum. Already said that. Alzheimers gotten to the optic nerve?

    “No, I had my own business.”

    SURE you did. As a PR fluffer for the nuke industry, right?

    “For over 20 years. I will categorically state that I have never worked for the nuclear industry directly or indirectly in any capacity whatsoever. ”

    Yeah, Pat Michaels said the same thing to Congress.

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2011/jan/25/michaels-climate-sceptic-misled-congress

  469. #470 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    You, dumdum. Already said that. Alzheimers gotten to the optic nerve?

    “No, I had my own business.”

    SURE you did. As a PR fluffer for the nuke industry, right?

    Lies the first time around, so no change.

    Now I think about it, I recall you saying that you were a major shareholder in a solar project as well, presumably the one associated with the above-mentioned wind farm.

    Go on, deny it.

  470. #471 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “Lies the first time around, so no change. ”

    Lying again. As usual.

    ” the one associated with the above-mentioned wind farm. ”

    LOL! Now THAT I gotta tell John! You believe batshit! LOL!

    And you had insisted I was lying about being a shareholder of a community solar farm! ROFL! But though batshit perv here is from Australia therefore doesn’t know where Exeter is can be sort of understood, you claim to be from the UK.

    Dayum! You’re making TRUMPO look smart!

  471. #472 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    And you had insisted I was lying about being a shareholder of a community solar farm!

    No, I don’t recall even mentioning it at the time.

    I think you are projecting like a poisoned dog.

  472. #473 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “No, I don’t recall even mentioning it at the time. ”

    Aaaw. The weasel wording of the moron who knows what will happen if they make a concrete statement.

    LOL!

    Must be bitter for you, hmm, having to suck up to the dumbest AGW deniers around to help your case!

    PS if your feet get cold, ask betty,they have so many socks they manage to turn each other in accidentally.

    So did M2, oddly enough. AND he spent several posts proclaiming that he was honest and used consistent names. AND another moron denier on Barry Bickmore’s blog tried to defend him.

    But eventually the evidence was irrefutable, being as it was all on the same page, and he gave up and said he was using the wrong account because he got confused about which tab was open for which webblog.

    But, hey, plenty of socks is how deniers think it’s REALLY warming.

    You just want to cash in before you cash out.

  473. #474 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    Aaaw. The weasel wording of the moron who knows what will happen if they make a concrete statement.

    Quote me, then.

    The *truth* is that you are making money out of the solar industry and I am not being paid by the nuclear industry and never have been.

    That thing with facts again, Wow.

    They matter, at least they do to honest people.

  474. #475 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “Quote me, then. ”

    Then what?

    What do I get for doing that? You will piss off and never come here again?

    “The *truth* is that you are making money out of the solar industry ”

    Actually, that’s what batshit betty claims. And you believe it.

    And go read up on community projects for solar. Renewable community plants were most usefully used in the Hebredians because they were getting fucked over in charges to get power, so they chipped together and bought their own wind turbines to power the small village and that saved them money.

    Most community projects don’t make profit, they sell their generation to the grid, but it’s there to power the community, hence the term. The community gets paid for it by reductions in payments for power, NOT by profiting.

    But it’s no surprise you don’t know any of this.

    So, I go and get that quote of you and you do what?

    Oh, and while you mull that over, please peruse this list of pertinent questions for your shill paycheck to cover:

    Some actual evidence of any catastrophe from you.

    Your plan that will work better.

    The plan that you are complaining about.

    How much untapped interstate power was available?

    If Morocco has an excess of Solar and Germany a lack, does the electrons produced have to go all the way from Morocco to Germany?

    When you cry fake tears at how complex and challenging renewable power is, do you have any plan that is less challenging?

    When you cry your fake tears at how insufficient supply would cause power shortages, what plan do you have that doesn’t have that problem?

    When you cry your fake tears at misdirections, when will you stop misdirecting others by claiming bullshit equality between “W&S” and renewables?

    When you scream fake outrage at plans of 100% renewables and insist it will “cost more”, HOW much more? and how much more than WHAT? Where is this plan you’re crying about and what’s your alternative that avoids the pitfalls you proclaim?

    So what was renewables? And 15-22nd Jan, what was renewables? And what is the topic of this thread as written specifically in the text Greg gave and the content of the publication he quoted?

    Where are the quotes you said you’d bring down on my head proving I am against HVDCs and backup for renewables?

  475. #476 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “They matter, at least they do to honest people.”

    Ah, that explains your abhorrence of facts, then, dumdum. Dracula doesn’t faint at the sight of crosses faster than you faint at the horrible truths you can’t bear to see in print.

  476. #477 Betula
    May 18, 2017

    Wow – “When there’s a community project it pays to the people in the community. Which are people in the area.”

    And it also distributes profits to it’s shareholders, like the Westmill Solar Co-operative you are part of….

    So why would you be part of a “corrupt” operation…”corrupt” according to you, because it earns a profit…

    C’mon Wow, let’s see some honesty here, your hypocrisy has already been exposed, what do you have to lose?

  477. #478 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    Hey, dumdum, in the meantime, please go through the “thought” process that led to this claim from you:

    presumably the one associated with the above-mentioned wind farm.

    I could do with a bit of a giggle to cheer me up!

  478. #479 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    So, betty, because I say profit is corruption as far as you caricature it, you are of the opinion that if something is criticised, it must be being engaged in, correct?

  479. #480 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    Oh, and yes, according to the free market ideology, profit shows that the market is corrupted. Which I assume you did not know because you think that free market capitalism is a load of bullshit.

  480. #481 Betula
    May 18, 2017

    Wow – “glad to hear that you discard utterly the free market and capitalism as corrupt”

    As usual, you are arguing with yourself…

    Wow – “No, a business corporation is organised and carried on primarily to sell to customers and exchange the customer money for the businesses’ goods or service.
    That is all. All else is political dogma and hidden corruption”

  481. #482 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “As usual, you are arguing with yourself…”

    Oh, so you weren’t posting as far as you recall. Fair enough, I’ll assume you’re denying your own posts too.

  482. #483 Betula
    May 18, 2017

    Wow – “So, betty, because I say profit is corruption as far as you caricature it, you are of the opinion that if something is criticised, it must be being engaged in, correct?”

    Nope – it’s because you told me you owned it.

  483. #484 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    The community gets paid for it by reductions in payments for power, NOT by profiting.

    There’s no difference between investing in solar and getting a £500 dividend and being part of an energy co-op and paying £500 a year less for your electricity. Call it profit or call it material benefit or whatever; it’s all the same: there’s £500 in your bank account that would not be there otherwise.

  484. #485 Betula
    May 18, 2017

    Wow,
    Still waiting for you to explain why you are part of a “corrupt” profit making operation…

    It’s a simple question which you seem to have a hard time answering…

  485. #486 MikeN
    May 18, 2017

    #452, at least I got an opportunity to clarify the issue. I thought you were claiming the grid itself locally can’t handle the variability even if there is excess supply to cover the drop in wind and solar. I have seen this argued elsewhere, but you don’t think that’s an issue.

  486. #487 MikeN
    May 18, 2017

    Betula, basic microeconomics argues that profits will be zero in a competitive environment.

  487. #488 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “There’s no difference between … getting a £500 dividend and … paying £500 a year less for your electricity.”

    Yes there is, dumbass. It’s the same damn thing as getting free food money handouts or growing your own veg in the garden meaning a smaller shopping bill, you retard. But you’re well sold into the PR fluffery of your nuke cheque and therefore don’t want to think there’s any difference, do you.

    Now, where’s the answer to any of MY questions you lazy lying fuckwit?

  488. #489 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    Oh, and I suppose we can now take it as given you were employed by the nuclear industry.

  489. #490 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    #487 it’s called “marginal cost”. But batshit betty really doesn’t care. Oh, and apparently you’re going to be arguing with yourself because not even betty wants to read their own posts. Just an FYI.

  490. #491 BBD
    May 18, 2017

    Yes there is, dumbass. It’s the same damn thing as getting free food money handouts

    From who?

    or growing your own veg in the garden meaning a smaller shopping bill, you retard.

    The analogy breaks if the energy co-op is grid-connected and sells energy to the grid and / or receives any kind of external subsidy.

    Now, where’s the answer to any of MY questions you lazy lying fuckwit?

    You don’t start well:

    Some actual evidence of any catastrophe from you.

    Just as deniers say ‘where’s the catastrophe then?’ when the actual argument is that current behaviour will lead to increasingly negative impacts in the future.

  491. #492 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    ” sells energy to the grid ”

    Wrong.

    ” and / or receives any kind of external subsidy. ”

    That would.

    Now, comeon, what “thought” process led to your claim:

    ” presumably the one associated with the above-mentioned wind farm. ”

    Love to hear it, but you hate to actually support your blatant bullshit, it so often leads to your humiliation.

    Not to mention all the other bullshit you have claimed, been asked to answer (and you are the only one who CAN answer since they pertain to your complaints that you have internally held to with religious zeal).

    Come on, stop fucking about and start explaining yourself. Until you do, I’ll just leave the assertion of your ridiculous wrongness to blank assertion, since this seems to be entirely acceptable to you.

    And yes, your tacit agreement that you WERE a nuke employee has been noted.

  492. #493 Wow
    May 18, 2017

    “You don’t start well:”

    Ah, so the plan you are complaining about is me not starting well…. Got it. You’re complaining about nothing.

    YOU claimed that the people would riot if the lights went out, but we have had the lights going out and society is still here.

    We’ve HAD the catastrophe you cried about, but there was the miniscule possiblity that you were thinking of something specific.

    But you weren’t thinking at all.

    So next?

  493. #494 Betula
    May 18, 2017

    The Hypocrisy of Wow….

    Wow – “Profit is unnecessary. All the bills are paid before profit. Everyone gets paid what they need. And if anyone has money in the business, they still have that business asset as collateral and to sell.”

    Wow – “ZERO profit is all a business needs. Less than that and the business will eventually fail. And more than that is merely evidence of a failure of the market to find the fair market price, and is a drag on the economy, making it inefficient”

    Wow – “a business corporation is organised and carried on primarily to sell to customers and exchange the customer money for the businesses’ goods or service.
    That is all.
    All else is political dogma and hidden corruption.”

    Yet, you are part owner of a business that not only profits, but distributes part of those profits to it’s shareholders….

    So why do you choose to be part owner of a business that overcharges for it’s product and is corrupt? And why shouldn’t you be viewed as anything other than the arrogant jackass hypocrite that you are?

    Thanks.

  494. #495 Patrick W
    May 18, 2017

    Days later and still the entertainment continues.

    From madam “Wow”…”…you screaming frothing maniac.”

    More ironic words have never been written.

    Betula…” And why shouldn’t you be viewed as anything other than the arrogant jackass hypocrite that you are?”

    “She” shouldn’t be. And isn’t.

  495. #496 Li D
    Australia
    May 18, 2017

    Batty. Piss off under your rock. You are
    fair dinkum the most trollish crap artist muppet
    who only exacerbates tension and never contributes
    to the topic at hand.
    Energy transition can and is and will happen.
    Its a reasonable thing to highlight issues that need
    looking at so that they can be rectified.
    Its a reasonable thing to think they will.
    Its not fucking reasonable for people with the same
    goals to carry on like porkchops.
    Save the abuse for denier scum whos motive is, well,
    they are so fucking incoherent in their arguments, its hard
    to work out a motive. Certainly isnt healthy scepticism.
    Certainly isnt advancement of science. Certainly isnt a healthy
    biosphere.

  496. #497 Betula
    May 18, 2017

    Li D – “who only exacerbates tension”

    Right, because there was very little tension within the 461 comments before I entered the discussion. It was the act of exposing Wow for the hypocrite that he is that resulted in diverting the relatively calm, reasonable, understanding nature of the conversation to a more tense one…

    Yes, you’re a genius.

  497. #498 Li D
    Australia
    May 18, 2017

    Anyone got any thoughts on the cella hydrogen storage idea?
    Ive always been ambivialant about hydrogen cuz its so dangerous, but this cella shit looks interesting.

  498. #499 MikeN
    May 18, 2017

    Li, it is not promising when the first link in a web search is broken. That said, the dangerousness is considerably reduced perhaps. There is still the issue of hydrogen production. Using solar and wind to produce the hydrogen might work.

  499. #500 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    Synthfuel is possibly a better option at the mo given current infrastructure and systems.

    PS oi, patwanker, before you were enraged at my posts but now you’re claiming them entertaining? Get your story to silence me straight, moron.

  500. #501 BBD
    May 19, 2017

    Li D

    Energy transition can and is and will happen.
    Its a reasonable thing to highlight issues that need
    looking at so that they can be rectified.
    Its a reasonable thing to think they will.
    Its not fucking reasonable for people with the same
    goals to carry on like porkchops.

    I think you’ve nailed it. Wow doesn’t share the same goal with the rest of us. We are trying to talk about making decarbonisation work fast enough to avoid the worst climate impacts. Wow’s agenda is simply anti-nuclear, full stop. He doesn’t really give a shit about decarbonisation. He doesn’t get that far.

    As always with single-issue obsessive nutters, sensible conversation is impossible.

  501. #502 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    “Wow’s agenda is simply anti-nuclear, full stop”

    And your agenda is anti-renewables full stop. You do not and never have cared about decarbonisation, only as far as it can scare people into helping your pension payouts and additional incomes.

    “As always with single-issue obsessive nutters, sensible conversation is impossible.”

    See, pat, THAT was irony.

    As well as part of a post full of bullshit and lies.

    When you whine about being anti-nuke, do you want to give a stab at saying why it’s bad? After all, I’m anti-racism and anti-child porn too. Are you going to insist these are bad things and you are only concerned that everyone gets to have sex with the thing they prefer, whether it’s consenting or not?

  502. #503 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    But you have failed to convince anyone other than the openly venal and corrupt that your “concerns” are valid. So you’re trying to lie about me to get the story rerouted to a different topic that can let your ego regain its breath.

  503. #504 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    And part of the reason why I can claim with as much confidence in accuracy and truth that you’re a pro-nuke anti-renewables shill is because you keep avoiding the questions that would show up your partisan ideology or be concrete claims of a problem with renewables that could be contested in realities and solid evidence rather than “it could”, which is 100% the identical BS “method” “Dick” uses to claim that ECS could be under 1.5C per doubling: “It’s not doubled yet and it’s still not over 1.5C so it might NOT be as high as 1.5!”.

    Some actual evidence of any catastrophe from you.

    You have though now admitted that this was merely wishful thinking and fearmongering based on no evidence and contrary to the evidence we currently have

    Your plan that will work better.

    The plan that you are complaining about.

    How much untapped interstate power was available?

    If Morocco has an excess of Solar and Germany a lack, does the electrons produced have to go all the way from Morocco to Germany?

    When you cry fake tears at how complex and challenging renewable power is, do you have any plan that is less challenging?

    When you cry your fake tears at how insufficient supply would cause power shortages, what plan do you have that doesn’t have that problem?

    When you cry your fake tears at misdirections, when will you stop misdirecting others by claiming bullshit equality between “W&S” and renewables?

    When you scream fake outrage at plans of 100% renewables and insist it will “cost more”, HOW much more? and how much more than WHAT? Where is this plan you’re crying about and what’s your alternative that avoids the pitfalls you proclaim?

    So what was renewables? And 15-22nd Jan, what was renewables? And what is the topic of this thread as written specifically in the text Greg gave and the content of the publication he quoted?

    Where are the quotes you said you’d bring down on my head proving I am against HVDCs and backup for renewables?

    Someone not trying to pretend to be not-a-nuke-shill-honest because the crowd is not amenable to shilling for nukes would actually say “Well, if it turns out to be impossible, we’ll need nuke power”. Only someone who wants to hide their actual agenda because they can’t defend that position would avoid being open about it.

  504. #505 Betula
    May 19, 2017

    Yep, no tension to be seen here, move along now…

  505. #506 Betula
    May 19, 2017

    Wow,
    I realize you haven’t addressed all the corruption going on at Westmill Solar, but I am curious, what is the return on your investment at Westmill….6-7%?
    Will you be attending the meeting tomorrow?

    If I’m creating a lot of tension with such questions, I apologize to all the melting snowflakes…

  506. #507 BBD
    May 19, 2017

    And your agenda is anti-renewables full stop.

    No, it’s anti-bullshit. Whenever I hear bullshit about renewables – or nuclear – I object to it.

    You are full of both, so we have a problem.

    >Some actual evidence of any catastrophe from you.

    Answered at #491. You are engaging is denialist rhetoric and have now doubled down on it. Stupd.

    >Your plan that will work better.

    Don’t throw the nuclear tools out of the box when we will need everything we’ve got.

    >The plan that you are complaining about.

    Throwing the nuclear tools out of the box when they will be desperately needed further down the line.

    >How much untapped interstate power was available?

    No idea, you tell me, but it doesn’t matter if there’s not enough high-voltage transmission capacity in the form of grid interconnections.

    >If Morocco has an excess of Solar and Germany a lack, does the electrons produced have to go all the way from Morocco to Germany?

    There’s no high voltage transmission link between Morocco and Germany so one needs to be built before large amounts of electricity can be sent from M to G. If you try to shove 10,000MW across standard transmission lines. They melt. Learn the basics.

    >When you cry fake tears at how complex and challenging renewable power is, do you have any plan that is less challenging?

    No crying of fake tears (lies again, Wow), just objections to bullshitters like you and bullshit industry PR that obscures the problems.

    >When you cry your fake tears at how insufficient supply would cause power shortages, what plan do you have that doesn’t have that problem?

    No crying of fake tears (lies again, Wow).

    >When you cry your fake tears at misdirections, when will you stop misdirecting others by claiming bullshit equality between “W&S” and renewables?

    When you scream fake outrage at plans of 100% renewables and insist it will “cost more”, HOW much more? and how much more than WHAT? Where is this plan you’re crying about and what’s your alternative that avoids the pitfalls you proclaim?

    No screaming; no fake outrage (more lies, Wow). I object to the ‘cheap renewables’ meme. It’s misleading bullshit and it will backfire eventually as bullshitting the public always does.

    >So what was renewables? And 15-22nd Jan, what was renewables? And what is the topic of this thread as written specifically in the text Greg gave and the content of the publication he quoted?

    Dealt with upthread. Learn difference between variable renewables (W&S) and dispatchable renewables (biomass & hydro) and understand which ones are problematic at scale. Learn the basics.

    >Where are the quotes you said you’d bring down on my head proving I am against HVDCs and backup for renewables?

    Answered upthread and still you bullshit about it.

  507. #508 BBD
    May 19, 2017

    Someone not trying to pretend to be not-a-nuke-shill-honest because the crowd is not amenable to shilling for nukes would actually say “Well, if it turns out to be impossible, we’ll need nuke power”. Only someone who wants to hide their actual agenda because they can’t defend that position would avoid being open about it.

    I have always been clear that nuclear should be included in the toolkit of low carbon technologies. I’ve said so over and over again, here, at Eli’s, at ATTP’s and elsewhere. I could not have been more open or consistent if I tried. Your claim is as dishonest as it is nutty.

  508. #509 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    No, it’s anti-bullshit.

    No, it’s anti-renewables, pro-nuke fluffing, full-stop, dumdum.

    You are full of both,

    And another lie from you, dumdum.

    so we have a problem.

    Yes, you can’t win with the BS you spout and can’t stop and can’t stop complaining about how you’re so put upon by having to not stop because you won’t stop. You know, standard “Oh woe is me” self-pity.

    >Some actual evidence of any catastrophe from you.

    Answered at #491

    Yes, which was that there was no evidence because it hadn’t happened yet, but an avoidance of the evidence of the times we lost power and didn’t have mass riots and reversion to the previous era of power generation showed your position was made up fairy tales to scare children.

    And I’m a grown up. YMMV.

    Throwing the nuclear tools out of the box when they will be desperately needed further down the line.

    So why were you taking what, 400 posts to say that, dumdum? CLEARLY you thought this was untenable and should not be said.

    But here’s your problem: nobody says we throw out nuclear IF it turns out to be desperately needed further down the line.

    NO BODY.

    >How much untapped interstate power was available?

    No idea, you tell me,

    But you claimed that we needed more storage and HVDC, which requires that you know it is insufficient today therefore how much is there today. If you do not know then you made the claim based on your personal incredulity:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argument_from_ignorance

    Which is a fallacy.

    No crying of fake tears

    And another lie from you dumdum. Along with an avoidance of the question. You hate answering, don’t you, because then you have to defend your ideas and you’re just not equipped ideologically or intellectually for that.

    I object to the ‘cheap renewables’ meme

    Why? It’s cheaper than any other option on the table and set to become cheaper still while the other options are set to become more expensive. The only reason you can have for hating it is because you don’t want renewables used, you want nukes pushed at the expense of an actually usable product that is cheaper (never mind safer) than your nukes.

    So its cheap. If you have any plan that is cheaper, come up with it.

    It’s misleading bullshit

    And again with the fake claim of “misleading!!!” when it isn’t. Cheap is what it is. Got something cheaper? Come up with it. Lets hear your cheaper alternative.

    and it will backfire eventually as bullshitting the public always does

    And we’re back to the fake catastrophe claims, still in contrary to the evidence we DO have and only brought out from your own imagination like any retarded denier would do to support a claim they have no idea about.

    It never has done. Even if it hadn’t done so merely once would be enough to show the lie to your asinine claim “ALWAYS DOES”. It is easily avoidable by not using absolutes like that when you have no support for it and evidence against it, but you do it anyway because your aim is to mislead and bullshit against renewables and the more alarm and fear you can generate and the more absolutist your asinine claims are, the more you get what you want: a reduction in renewables and a fluffing of your nuclear pet project, which plumps up your comfy retirement from the nuke industry you are now shilling for.

    It’s bullshit and misleading FUD in other words.

    Learn difference between variable renewables

    I have, You haven’t. As demonstrated throughout this thread and pointed to you time and time again, even by “mike” who saw your failure and tried to inform you of it.

    And when you claim:

    “No screaming; no fake outrage (more lies, Wow).”

    You are again not answering the question and you have no plan you are complaining against, therefore no basis for the complaint, and no better plan, therefore even if your claims were correct, it is unavoidable and there is no alternative.

    >Where are the quotes you said you’d bring down on my head proving I am against HVDCs and backup for renewables?

    Answered upthread

    Where? You didn’t give a single quote to support your asinine and lying claims, dumbass.

  509. #510 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    I have always been clear that nuclear should be included in the toolkit of low carbon technologies

    LIE.

    I advocate for a massive build-out of W&S plus the necessary grid architecture upgrade to integrate them

    I advocate for a massive build-out of W&S plus the necessary grid architecture upgrade to integrate them

  510. #511 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    Yes, the nuclear industry is in a mess. No, the future doesn’t look too bright for it at the moment.

    http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2017/03/29/nuclear-industry-suffers-meltdown/#comment-645707

  511. #512 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    Mind you, duplicity and hypicrisy isn’t uncommon for you.

    Like when you said this to Zebra:

    “Nobody has to provide you with a detailed policy roadmap – that’s just you trying on a cheap rhetorical trick.”
    Nuclear Industry Suffers Meltdown #61, April 3

    “What you propose won’t get from here to where we need to be so it isn’t much of a plan. ”
    Why fossil fuel corporations killed us #100, March 31.

    (PS there should have been a link rather than a copy of the quote from dumdum, the link is http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2017/03/28/why-fossil-fuel-corporations-killed-us/#comment-645751 )

  512. #513 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    “Where is this plan you’re crying about and what’s your alternative that avoids the pitfalls you proclaim?”

    Plus you avoided this one too. So we seem to have that you want “nuclear” in your plan. How much, what does it do and how much will it cost? And is that cheaper than the plan without nuclear you think so bad, especially since you continue to claim it needs more storage and HVDC than is in that plan.

  513. #514 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    And when you say in 491, which is no argument FOR your claim, only against having to defend it:

    “Just as deniers say ‘where’s the catastrophe then?’ when the actual argument is that current behaviour will lead to increasingly negative impacts in the future.”

    And just like deniers who claim that if we try to apply a carbon tax or replace fossil fuels with renewable energy that abandonment of fossil fuels will lead to increasingly negative impacts in the future.

    Yet when they are asked for evidence that supports their claims of catastrophe if we avoid AGW by acting now, they whine about how they don’t have to.

    The fact that I can mirror your stupidity to puncture your claims is why so many of these arguments you use are inadequate even though you believe with all your heart (certainly your head isn’t in on the deal) that they are knock-down, drag-out argument winners.

  514. #515 BBD
    May 19, 2017

    Your Gish Gallop is answered, Wow. Yards of word salad from you = yawn.

  515. #516 BBD
    May 19, 2017

    The fact that I can mirror your stupidity to puncture your claims

    Except you don’t.

  516. #517 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    Ah, right, so when you answer questions but they don’t work, you proclaim them invalid as a gish gallop, indicating both your inability to argue the point AND that you don’t know what the term means.

    Which is yet more proof your whining is invalid and your claims busted.

    Sorry,poopsie, you lose.

  517. #518 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    Dumdum paraphrased: Don’t counter all my points or I’ll claim it’s a gish gallop! And don’t you DARE reply in detail because I’ll claim it a yawn fest!

    (and earlier complained that others hadn’t supplied any detail…)

  518. #519 MikeN
    May 19, 2017

    >You do not and never have cared about decarbonisation,

    I think he uses the nick because that is people’s reaction to his idiotic comments.

  519. #520 MikeN
    May 19, 2017

    Has Wow labeled Greg Laden a denier yet?

  520. #521 BBD
    May 19, 2017

    Pretty much done with this crap, but let’s skewer another Wow lie before curtains:

    “I have always been clear that nuclear should be included in the toolkit of low carbon technologies”

    LIE.

    From #7, my first comment on this thread, emphasis added:

    (I’m fed up with arguing about nuclear because all you ever get is the anti-nuke brigade twisting it into a ‘nukes vs renewables’ pissing match when is is actually an argument about the unwisdom of throwing out a proven low-carbon technology right at the beginning of the decarbonisation process. There is a non-trivial possibility that renewables will not deliver the rapid, deep decarbonisation so urgently needed. Binning nuclear now is to bet the world on something that has never been attempted before as if it was a dead certainty. That is a troublingly cavalier attitude to risk.)

    This thread illustrates how Wow renders functional discussion impossible by flinging shit and making everything about his own anti-nuclear agenda. Absent moderation, he gets away with it.

  521. #522 MikeN
    May 19, 2017

    “I have always been clear that nuclear should be included in the toolkit of low carbon technologies”

    LIE.

    I don’t even see a purpose beyond declaring people liars. Wasn’t his whole point that you promote nuclear? Now he says it’s a lie for you to say that you promote nuclear.

  522. #523 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    “I have always been clear that nuclear should be included in the toolkit of low carbon technologies”

    LIE.

    From #7, my first comment on this thread

    Which does not refute your lie here:

    I advocate for a massive build-out of W&S plus the necessary grid architecture upgrade to integrate them
    from here:
    http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2017/03/28/why-fossil-fuel-corporations-killed-us/#comment-645751

    “skewered”???? Like hell, dumdum.

    This thread demonstrates ow you are on a crusade to paint renewables in as bad a light as you think you can get away with and have absolutely no care about anything that gets in the way of that, such as honesty, truth or even sanity.

  523. #524 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    “I don’t even see a purpose beyond declaring people liars.”

    Oh, you do, but you get hit by it too often to like it “mike”.

  524. #525 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    “Wasn’t his whole point that you promote nuclear? Now he says it’s a lie for you to say that you promote nuclear.”

    No, “mike”, but comprehension of English was never your strong point. The point is that his claim to have always been clear he supported nuclear is a lie. You know, the bit I quoted was an untruth. You know what they are very well indeed.

  525. #526 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    And you are still getting a pass on assuming “he” is the right gender because apparently you can’t ever learn. Don’t care to, it appears.

  526. #527 Wow
    May 19, 2017

    April 7, 2017

    All you nuke fluffers get when you BS about nukes is so devastating to your desires that you have to complain about it being “anti-nuke” rather than pro-reality.

  527. #528 Betula
    May 19, 2017

    Should be any moment now that Li D will tell us about the great “advancement of science” that has taken place within the last 15 or so comments.
    Very enlightening.

  528. #529 Betula
    May 19, 2017

    Wow,
    Just wondering, what do you do with your share of the profits from Westmill Solar?

    Do you feel guilty?

  529. #530 Patrick W
    May 19, 2017

    “Wow” @500…”PS oi, patwanker, before you were enraged at my posts but now you’re claiming them entertaining? Get your story to silence me straight, moron.”

    Where to start? What is it with the 3rd grade name calling/changing I wonder? I would ask but I’m certain I will get no answer. But it’s pathological and an interesting trait. Then, there’s the obvious inability for honesty in reading. Or just confusion since I have never even remotely been “enraged” much less even angry or bothered. Always amused and genuinely intrigued by the state of mind shown by “Madam Wow”, the most super omnipotent blogger commentator of all time. Or a disturbed and, unhinged–clearly female–individual. Could be both? Who knows?

    Frankly, I’m shocked more by your host and his allowance of terms like “retard”, used at length–and by at length I mean several hundred times in this thread alone–when that particular term is beyond offensive. And you are the sole user of that word. I would think Greg would have friends if not family for whom mental retardation is no joke. Perhaps not.

    But, of course, you don’t care “Wow”, do you? A “lady” like yourself knows better than to use such language lightly after all. You must have a reason and no doubt it’s the best reason ever. It must be. After all, it’s your reason. And your reasons are always the best.

  530. #531 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    So more from someone who says they don’t care….

    Right.

  531. #532 Li D
    Australia
    May 20, 2017

    One idea for Australia to export energy.

    https://www.theguardian.com/discussion/p/6fvjp

  532. #533 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    Hell, the change could be that manufacturing industry goes where the sunlight is rather than as it did in the early days where the water was and then where the coal was after that.

    No need to piss about exporting energy when the bits that need the most energy are nearby.

  533. #534 Betula
    May 20, 2017

    Wow – “the change could be that manufacturing industry goes where the sunlight is”

    Looks like someone is pushing for the profits of Solar…

    Are you going to the Westmill Solar meeting today Wow?….they will be discussing the distribution of profits to the shareholders.

    What do you think the return on your investment will be?

  534. #535 Li D
    Australia
    May 20, 2017

    And that indeed is one of the things that
    may need to happen. A movement of some manufacturing.
    Cant quite see that happening in Australia cuz we are so
    small by population and far away from lots of people.
    Although very close to enormous Indonesia.

    I dont like the ineffeciencies in the liquid hydogen idea
    for moving energy around. But at least people are thinking
    about it.

  535. #536 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    Uh, robots. Almost all jobs in the USA are doomed under trump’s promises NOT because they’re idiotic or merely rhetoric for public consumption but because most of the jobs that he’s preaching about are automated away.

    Aluminium smelting uses a shit-ton of enectricity. It uses almost nobody to do it. Not many people can hold and mould molten aluminium..!

    So the number of people is increasingly pointless in the first world and in the third world, they have such a low standard of living that it is only currently cheaper to “employ” in sweatshop conditions people to do work that could have been automated.

    The number of people really is disappearing as much as when the farming revolution made 99.8% of farm workers unemployed but produced more and yet more food.

    Yeah, they bought big machines and chemicals and that employed some more people, but it was a lot less than were chucked aside and those jobs are disappearing too as it becomes cheaper to automate and use AI to replace them.

    Bauxite ore + Power + robotic lathes = Aluminium machined parts for export.

  536. #537 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    Hydrogen fuel cells and synthfuel and even just “not burning stuff elsewhere” are all “storage” solutions that are ignored in the crusade against renewables. And if it costs zero to produce 100GWh excess it doesn’t matter if it’s only 10% efficient to make it into some fuel cells and turn back into power, it’s still 10GWh of power you were not expecting,not relying on, didn’t need and cost you nothing.

  537. #538 MikeN
    May 20, 2017

    There will be more automation as people raise the minimum wage.

  538. #539 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    There will be more automation as politicians at the behest of the wealthy remove the minimum wage. Why bother hiring people when getting a tax break from the government nets more profits without trying?

  539. #540 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    Heard recently that if the USA had kept up with inflation, the minimum wage would be over $20/hr. That it is less than that hasn’t stopped automation.

  540. #541 Betula
    May 20, 2017

    Wow – “Heard recently that if the USA had kept up with inflation, the minimum wage would be over $20/hr”

    Now that would depend on the base year, wouldn’t it genius?

    Wow – “That it is less than that hasn’t stopped automation”

    I see, but according to you, getting rid of it would increase automation…

    Stick to your Westmill Solar profits Wow, they will let you know what your “corrupt” distribution payment will be during todays meeting…

  541. #542 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    The problem with paying only a “minimum wage” is that if you steal from your workers like that, you only steal from yourself.

    If you don’t pay your workers enough, they can’t buy as much food, so the farmers can’t sell as much food and they can’t afford the machine parts you sell and don’t need it as often either, since there’s less wear and tear on their equipment.

    So when you short-change your workers, you only cut your own profit.

  542. #543 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    Who made the minimum wage law?
    — President Franklin Delano Roosevelt, 1933, Statement on National Industrial Recovery Act. In the United States, statutory minimum wages were first introduced nationally in 1938. The Fair Minimum Wage Act of 2007 is the current federal minimum wage law of the United States.

    Batshit betty revels in ignorance.

  543. #544 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    And it is weird when someone proclaims the fucking obvious.

    Yes, it depends on the starting point. And the rate of inflation. What measure of inlfation you use, state or federal law, along with the current year too.

    It’s what the entire statement of “that if the USA had kept up with inflation, the minimum wage would be over $20/hr” says.

    It’s just ignorance to think that it was somehow meaningful to ask that shit.

    “The total depends on the numbers you add up to get the figure1!!!!11!!”

    ?

  544. #545 RickA
    United States
    May 20, 2017

    I do recall that BBD has always said nuclear should be part of the solution. BBD is also pro-wind and solar (at least that is my understanding). What BBD has done is to point out that the current grid cannot handle to much intermittent power (which wind and solar are).

    My grade:

    BBD A.
    Wow D-

    Wow does make conversation difficult.

    And the name calling is so tedious, I find myself just skipping over most Wow posts.

  545. #546 BBD
    May 20, 2017

    I do recall that BBD has always said nuclear should be part of the solution. BBD is also pro-wind and solar (at least that is my understanding).

    And it is exactly correct.

  546. #547 BBD
    May 20, 2017

    Which does not refute your lie here:

    I advocate for a massive build-out of W&S plus the necessary grid architecture upgrade to integrate them
    from here:
    http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2017/03/28/why-fossil-fuel-corporations-killed-us/#comment-645751

    What lie? I stand by every word. This isn’t incompatible with arguing that nuclear should also be part of the future energy mix. Are you desperate or something?

    “skewered”???? Like hell, dumdum.

    Desperate it is, then.

    This thread demonstrates ow you are on a crusade to paint renewables in as bad a light as you think you can get away with and have absolutely no care about anything that gets in the way of that, such as honesty, truth or even sanity.

    Desperate and insane.

  547. #548 Betula
    May 20, 2017

    Wow – “statutory minimum wages were first introduced nationally in 1938.”

    Wow – “Yes, it depends on the starting point. And the rate of inflation”

    Only the starting point you use to reach a $20 figure is 1968…so not only are you a lying sniveling hypocrite, but now we can add disingenuous to the list.

    Speaking of your hypocrisy…. did Westmill Solar announce your “corrupt” profit sharing distribution today? You are awfully quite on this subject.
    Guilt? Embarrassment? Hiding?

    I can still see you.

  548. #549 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    “I do recall that BBD has always said nuclear should be part of the solution”

    Irrelevant. The claim was he always made it clear yet he spent that post trying to pretend he only wanted wind and solar, making the claim a lie. “All swans are white” is wrong even if 99 out of 100 swans were white.

    Moreover he tried for 20 posts to avoid saying what HIS plan was, yet again to pretend he was pro-renewables therefore his complaints were fake even-handedness.

  549. #550 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    “And it is exactly correct.”

    But you still lied in your claim, and I pointed it out and called it the lie it is.

    ESPECIALLY from a retard who cried “MISLEADING” when a headline didn’t include the entire body of the text therefore leaving out some of what the situation as described in the body unsaid.

    Which is complete bullshit.

    “Desperate it is, then.”

    Irrelevant bollocks from you, then.

    “What lie? I stand by every word”

    So you claim

    I have always been clear that nuclear should be included in the toolkit of low carbon technologies

    is proven a lie.

    “Desperate and insane.”

    Yes, you clearly are both, dumdum.

  550. #551 BBD
    May 20, 2017

    But you still lied in your claim, and I pointed it out and called it the lie it is.

    Reading comprehension problems again, Wow. Plus desperation and insanity.

    You carry on arguing with an imaginary version of me if you like. Everybody else can read and understand what I actually wrote, so you are ranting in the mirror again.

  551. #552 BBD
    May 20, 2017

    The claim was he always made it clear yet he spent that post trying to pretend he only wanted wind and solar, making the claim a lie

    Your reading comprehension is embarrassing.

    “I advocate for a massive build-out of W&S plus the necessary grid architecture upgrade to integrate them”

    No ‘lie’ here, except in your fevered imaginings. This statement isfully compatible with arguing that nuclear should also be part of the future energy mix.

    But hey, when skewered, just keep on flinging shit.

    So you claim

    I have always been clear that nuclear should be included in the toolkit of low carbon technologies

    is proven a lie.

    Rubbish. See #7 and again at # 521

    The problem is *you*. In a failed and probably naive attemtp to avoid your lunatic anti-nuclear raving I tried to steer clear of any discussion of nukes – because it triggers your shitflinging and raving, which are bad enough as it is.

    But like all single-issue obsessive nutters, you forced your rant back into the conversation anyway, proving that you don’t care about decarbonisation at all. For you, anti-nuclear raving is the beginning, middle and end.

  552. #553 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    “Reading comprehension problems again,”

    Well I can’t put it any simpler for you, dumdum. Your claim you always made it clear was a lie because you didn’t.

    “No ‘lie’ here, except in your fevered imaginings.”

    See, THERE is your reading comprehension fail dumfuck, and you’re doing the same bullshit that every denier on the planet resorts to.

    The lie was ” I have always been clear that nuclear should be included in the toolkit of low carbon technologies”, and you quotemine to pretend you’re not insane and lying your little weasel arse off.

    “Rubbish. See #7 and again at # 521”

    Bullshit. See the entire thread.

    “I tried to steer clear of any discussion of nukes ”

    So AGAIN you prove yourself that your claim was a lie. But you can’t steer clear because it’s part of your “plan” and avoiding it merely misleads.

    Remember that word, arse-lick?

    “But like all single-issue obsessive nutters”

    Projection again, you nuke fluffing moron. But you gotta protect your pension and your investments. Hard to do that if the cash doesn’t funnel to nukes, though.

  553. #554 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    “You carry on arguing with an imaginary version of me”

    Nope, I’m arguing with the real version of you, not the fake front you put on.

    And you carry on arguing with strawmen constructed from quotemines, dumdum. It won’t work, but it’ll make you “feel” like you’re winning.

  554. #555 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    So to sum up, the headline wasn’t misleading

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    There’s no plan that works better.

    There’s no plan that is cheaper.

    There’s no plan that is easier.

    There’s no plan that isn’t challenging.

  555. #556 MikeN
    May 20, 2017

    I can’t stand social promotion.

  556. #557 MikeN
    May 20, 2017

    The real minimum wage is zero. Companies are not forced to hire, and automation makes it even easier to not hire. Once McDonalds puts in those ordering kiosks and machines that make hundreds of burgers per hour, they are not going back.

  557. #558 Betula
    May 20, 2017

    Wow – “So to sum up, the headline wasn’t misleading”

    It’s not misleading if you’re a fucking retard, however, anyone with a brain can see how misleading it is…

    Headline you linked – “Germany Sets New National Record With 85 Percent of Its Electricity Sourced From Renewables ”

    Article – “Germany was able to set a new national record for the last weekend of April”

    Seems the “Headline” somehow forgot to mention the word “weekend”

    Also from the article – “However, while the end-of-April weekend was an aberration”

    An aberration Wow…. like your brain.

  558. #559 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    “I can’t stand social promotion.”

    Don’t get promoted, then.

    “The real minimum wage is zero.”

    Wrong.

  559. #560 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    “Once McDonalds puts in those ordering kiosks and machines that make hundreds of burgers per hour, they are not going back.”

    So you agree your claim in #538 was bollocks, then.

  560. #561 MikeN
    May 20, 2017

    Betula, BBD is saying it’s even the whole weekend, but a few hours on Sunday.

  561. #562 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    The link says it’s a few hours on sunday.

    “Usain Bolt breaks the world record for the 100m sprint” is not misleading because he didn’t break it on the walk to the starting line.

  562. #563 Betula
    May 20, 2017

    Can anyone find information on the amount of “corrupt” profit to be distributed to Wow and other shareholders of Westmill Solar?

    They had a meeting today, but currently, there is no update..

    Wow, you hear anything yet?

  563. #564 BBD
    May 20, 2017

    And you carry on arguing with strawmen constructed from quotemines, dumdum. It won’t work, but it’ll make you “feel” like you’re winning.

    We’re gonna need a bigger irony meter.

  564. #565 Wow
    May 20, 2017

    There’s no such thing as an irony meter. Do you mean a steel ruler?

    Oh, and stop with the BS claptrap of quotemining and misleading people. ESPECIALLY the BSing about you hating misleading statements you two-faced idiot.

  565. #566 Li D
    Australia
    May 20, 2017

    Live readout of Australian generation sources.
    I find it interesting.

    http://www.energymatters.com.au/energy-efficiency/australian-electricity-statistics/

  566. #567 Li D
    Australia
    May 20, 2017

    Storage ideas. Lets hear em!

  567. #568 MikeN
    May 20, 2017

    >no such thing as an irony meter.

    There are irony meters, iridiumy meters, and more.

  568. #569 Li D
    Australia
    May 20, 2017

    Pumped hydro makes alot of sense.

    Bearing in mind how flat Australia is too.

    http://www.anu.edu.au/news/all-news/hydro-storage-can-secure-100-renewable-electricity

    The end is coming you coal mining arseholes.

  569. #570 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    No, mike, they’re all, like your claims about Mann and the IPCC, figments of your idiocy.

  570. #571 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    Hydro is usually used as storage for cold backup, Lid, especially for quick-failing large sources such as nuclear, and as such really only needs a large drop.

    That drop doesn’t have to be down the middle of a mountain, however.

    And compressed gas storage is usually done in underground chambers.

    And with a million tons of rock around them, flywheels are a lot safer if they fail.

  571. #572 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    Before electric lighting we used to work to the rhythms of life, so we worked long hours when it was summer and there was plenty of sunshine and worked less in winter when there was little light.

    So another way to do “storage” is to do more of the work when there’s power and use the results when there’s not enough.

  572. #573 Li D
    Australia
    May 21, 2017

    “So another way to do “storage” is to do more of the work when there’s power and use the results when there’s not enough.”
    Yes indeed. Thats another way to look at things that
    has validity and something for policy makers to consider.

  573. #574 Li D
    Australia
    May 21, 2017

    “Before electric lighting we used to work to the rhythms of life”
    Yes. Very much political work towards Federation in Australia
    was held at meetings around full moon time because
    travel after the meetings by horseback was made
    possible by the moonlight. Or so i have read.

  574. #575 Li D
    Australia
    May 21, 2017

    ” … worked long hours … ”
    Just seen this. Spose it could work 24 hours a day.
    Probably for a few litres of diesel powering it.

    https://youtu.be/UaL3UxUclKY

  575. #576 BBD
    May 21, 2017

    Li D

    Pumped hydro makes alot of sense.

    It’s actually the only existing technology capable of the storage capacity necessary to back up large-scale renewables.

    But it is the scale that people generally don’t appreciate. A q

  576. #577 BBD
    May 21, 2017

    [cont] A quick example: a UK wind fleet with 33GW nameplate capacity delivering ~10GW (capacity factor 30%) would need 1200GWh of backup capacity to cope with a 5 day lull such as occurs from time to time during winter anticyclonic conditions:

    10GW x (5 x 24h) = 1200GWh

    The UK’s largest pumped hydro installation at Dinorwig in Wales has a 9GWh capacity. So to back up 33GW of wind (and or solar) we would need to build 130 Dinorwigs. That is a gargantuan engineering project indeed. I’m not saying that it’s impossible but it would be very, very expensive, it would take decades to build, it would be very ecologically damaging to the upland wildnerness in Scotland and or N Wales where the terrain is suitable for building it and… nobody ever talks about such things. They don’t suit the narrative of ‘cheap renewables’ and a ‘just keep adding more W&S and bob’s your energy transition’ etc.

  577. #578 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    “It’s actually the only existing technology capable of the storage capacity necessary to back up large-scale renewables. ”

    Vapid bullshit backed up by fuck all.

    “A quick example: a UK wind fleet with 33GW nameplate capacity…”

    So your plan is shit. All you’re proving is you’re crap at planning when it comes to rolling out power.

    “would need 1200GWh of backup capacity ”

    Nope, absolutely false. that is merely one way and the only way YOU can consider doing it because you want to amp up and crash out renewables because you love nukes.

    But the problem with them is they’re fucking dangerous:

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/21/0046230/possible-radioactive-leak-investigated-at-washington-nuclear-site

    And when Dungeness B22 went down for 4.5 months, it required 1.8TWh backup.

    It wasn’t the only outage:

    http://uk.reuters.com/article/britain-edf-nuclear-idUKL6E7NC10M20111212

  578. #579 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    Actually, off by three orders of magnitude:

    1,800 TWh.

    Forgot I used Dungeoness in TW.

  579. #580 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    An 400GW nuclear facility could be out of action for five years if there is a flaw found in the critical safety systems. That would require about 18,000,000GWh of backup. That would be 2MILLION Dinworigs!!!!

    Not impossible, but we’d have to flood the entirety of scotland and scandanavia.

  580. #581 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    Not forgetting that Germany manages to export nearly 10GW when they produce “no W&S” according to dumdum. 10GW being what you claim the shortfall is.

    Germany could have manged it just fine.

    We already have 2GW with france and another 1.4GW with Norway and plans to double that with the Hinckley C plant plans to cover it having to be turned off or going offline unexpectedly.

    And we still have all the other renewables and sunlight and hydro and tide and biomass and so forth.

  581. #582 BBD
    May 21, 2017

    Vapid bullshit backed up by fuck all.

    Feel free to list the storage technologies capable of matching pumped hydro for capacity and ramp-up times.

    >“would need 1200GWh of backup capacity ”

    Nope, absolutely false.

    Where is the error in the calculation?

    10GW x (5 x 24h) = 1200GWh

    And you are continuing to thump your anti-nuclear tub, demonstrating (redundantly at this point) that you are a single issue nutter.

    Not forgetting that Germany manages to export nearly 10GW when they produce “no W&S” according to dumdum. 10GW being what you claim the shortfall is.

    Export from fossil fuel generation, not renewables, which were very low in week 3.

  582. #583 BBD
    May 21, 2017

    Germany could have manged it just fine.

    Germany did manage just fine – by burning lots of FFs.

    The point of these exchanges is (supposed to be): what happens when FF plant is phased out? *That’s* the issue that needs a light shone on it and that’s the issue that you refuse to allow to be discussed.

  583. #584 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    “and ramp-up times. ”

    Yeah, we don’t have any power stations that can ramp up over 5 days, that’s just impossible for anything other than hydro.

    Fuckwit.

    “Feel free to list the storage technologies capable of matching pumped hydro”

    Biomass. Fuel cells. Synthfuel. Biodiesel. Everyone else could read me having already said all this, but not you because you’re a moron.

    “Where is the error in the calculation?”

    This bit: “would need 1200GWh of backup capacity”, dumbass.

    “And you are continuing to thump your anti-nuclear tub”

    Hey, YOU started thumping your anti-renewable tub.Just returning the favour, shithead. What? Only YOU allowed to go anti-? Nope, wrong.

    “Export from fossil fuel generation”

    Who does? Nope, Germany managed to export 10GW while they were producing “so little W&S”. So THEY have infrastruture already that manages your scenario WITHOUT storage.

    So wrong, so clueless, so anti-renewables, so desperate to fluff up nukes, but only able to do so by FUD..

  584. #585 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    “Germany did manage just fine ”

    Yes, because they can import or export 30GW if they need to.

    And funnily enough they did it despite not running on 100% renewables. Odd that, Germany already has what you claim is needed only when building 100% renewable power when they’re not 100% renewables.

  585. #586 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    “by burning lots of FFs.”

    So we could burn fossil fuels for 3 days in the year.

  586. #587 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    Oh, and interconnected imports would be an alternative to storage, dumdum. You know, just in case you missed that.

    “needs storage”????

    WRONG.

  587. #588 Betula
    May 21, 2017

    C’mon Lid, jump in here and tell these two about “exacerbating tension”….you can di it Lid, I have faith in you!

  588. #589 BBD
    May 21, 2017

    Oh, and interconnected imports would be an alternative to storage, dumdum. You know, just in case you missed that.

    “needs storage”????

    WRONG.

    Sigh. See #413 (emphasis added to compensate for poor reading comprehension):

    Small, transient supply shortfalls can be managed with demand-side management but longer and larger shortfalls need extra energy inputs. These can come from utility-scale storage or long-distance transmission or both. But they have to come from somewhere or the lights go out.

    Most favour the ‘or both’ option, which means that in addition to a significant build-out of pumped hydro, a great deal of new long-distance transmission capacity needs to be added within national grids and between them, in the form of interconnectors. Something you and zebra spent a long thread telling me I was wrong to insist is a fundamental requirement for a successful energy transition.

  589. #590 BBD
    May 21, 2017

    Betula

    Please stop trolling. If you have no substantive contribution to make, then just eat your popcorn.

  590. #591 BBD
    May 21, 2017

    Yeah, we don’t have any power stations that can ramp up over 5 days, that’s just impossible for anything other than hydro.

    Fuckwit.

    Literally directly above your comment, I wrote:

    “The point of these exchanges is (supposed to be): what happens when FF plant is phased out? *That’s* the issue that needs a light shone on it and that’s the issue that you refuse to allow to be discussed.”

  591. #592 Betula
    May 21, 2017

    Sure BBD, though I did notice how your “substantive” contributions moved you right into the “Fuckwit” category with Wow the hypocrite…

    Keep up the good work!

  592. #593 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    ” “needs storage”????

    WRONG.

    Sigh. See #413 ”

    Which has you saying you were wrong. So why the big sigh? Worried?

    “Most favour the ‘or both’ option,”

    But you said it MUST come from storage. So you’re saying it TWICE that your claim was wrong, and I’m saying it too. So why the big sigh?

    You see, you were MISLEADING people by insisting it had to be “solved” by multiple dinworigs. You were misleading people and you HATE it when anyone else does something you think can be tortured into doing that, but don’t care and even sigh about it being pointed out when you do it.

    Hypocrite much?

    ” great deal of new long-distance transmission capacity needs to be added”

    WRONG. Germany already has a great deal of long distance transmission capacity. We have lots and will have over 5GW of it in the UK.

    Where do you get this unsourced and asinine claim “new” from, dumdum?

    “Something you and zebra spent a long thread telling me I was wrong to insist is a fundamental requirement for a successful energy transition.”

    WRONG AGAIN. Nope, we never said anything like that. Zebra was saying nothing about it since it was orthogonal,but you LOVE to misrepresent anyone who dares not agree with you, don’t you? Then play the victim when you can’t win.

    And I said that you haven’t shown we need any new such build for renewables. Only that we need it WHATEVER generation we have. So far all you’ve done is BS and be wrong about this claim “new install” was needed for renewables.

    “Literally directly above your comment, I wrote:”

    So what? Literally just above your post of bullcrap I said “So we could burn fossil fuels for 3 days in the year.”

    But you don’t read what you don’t want to acknowledge, such as the 2 million dinworigs needed to back up nuclear if 400GW is found to be dangerously bugged in a critical safety feature, for which it could be out for 5 years straight.

  593. #594 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    “*That’s* the issue that needs a light shone on it ”

    Biomass, synthfuel, biodiesel, fuel cells. The light is shining on it, you just have your head up your arse.

    By they way, what happens when we have coastal flooding therefore have had to shut down and abandon all the nuke power stations?

    Why not shine a little light on that?

  594. #595 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    Other methods:

    Economise power use. Instead of demanding 60GW, use 40. Twice what you are arguing is lost made up at a stroke.

    Cut back on activity. Instead of doing 100% today, to 70% and you’ve saved all and more you are crying off about.

    EV batteries. Germany’s 44 million cars would have 3TWh stored in them if they were current-gen.

  595. #596 BBD
    May 21, 2017

    WRONG. Germany already has a great deal of long distance transmission capacity.

    Not nearly enough.

  596. #597 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    Germany already has a great deal of long distance transmission capacity. Care to explain why they dont have a great deal of it?

    And not enough for what? They have plenty spare for your scenario to be null and void.

    But all you have is doom and gloom and bitching because nukes, frankly, are a dead end for the next two generations of humanity (and that only if we start seriously doing something about AGW).

    Oh, that’s right, doom and gloom isn’t all you have. You also have a shocking lack of reading ability and imagination.

  597. #598 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    Right now, the south of Germany — the heavily industrialized part — is struggling a bit. It receives lots of its energy from those big nuclear plants

    WRONG.

    https://hardware.slashdot.org/story/17/05/11/229217/germany-sets-new-national-record-with-85-percent-of-its-electricity-sourced-from-renewables

    Again. Who is this moron you are parroting, dumdum?

  598. #600 Wow
    May 21, 2017

    Maybe if Germany had more solar in the south or more biomass, or more wind build out, they’d not be running out when the north is generating plenty (and sending it to Denmark et al at a profit).

  599. #601 Li D
    Australia
    May 21, 2017

    #595
    ” Economise power use ”
    Whhhhhaaaatttt!
    But but but nooooooo.
    I want my V8 wankmobile.
    I want my factories making kitchen gadgets and hanggliders
    and home gymnasiums and trailbikes and snowmobiles and christmas lights and carpets with
    elvis pictures on em. We MUST have power to make these things.
    I want to have gas fired heaters outdoors and electric wires on
    my steps to melt snow.
    I want a clothes dryer cuz string and pegs is just to 3rd world.
    What would my neibours think?
    I want a great big house with heat and aircon all over cuz i
    cant be fucked to wear appropriate clothing.
    I want to live waaaay better than Queen Victoria ever did, even
    though i see myself as poor.
    Waaaaaaaa!
    Couldnt give a fuck about the Great Barrier Reef.

  600. #602 Li D
    Australia
    May 21, 2017

    I read somewhere 90% of all boats sold in the world
    are sold in USA. Made me feel quite bitter…

  601. #603 Li D
    Australia
    May 21, 2017
  602. #604 Li D
    Australia
    May 21, 2017

    Its an insightful comment thread under that
    last link I put up.

  603. #605 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    The problem is dumdum’s maths is merely mathturbation. It’s why the counter claimthat nukes need 2 million Dinworigs was ignored, it was showing how little 130 Dinworigs were and shows up how the maths was in a scenario just to get that figure.

    And if there’s not enough generation, not enough distribution, not enough imports, not enough generation, then we’ll have brown-outs and black-outs, just like you get with the current mixed mode system of power generation, long before renewables was a blip on the radar.

    But dumdum wants 100% renewables to be PERFECT.

    Clearly dumdum hasn’t read the title of this thread.

  604. #606 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    That second generation should have been storage.

  605. #607 BBD
    May 22, 2017

    #597 #598

    WRONG

    Read the link I provided at #596. There, you can learn about what is going on in the real world as opposed to the fact-free fantasy land you inhabit.

    The person here who is *wrong* is you. But not only do you have no idea what you are talking about, you refuse to learn. and you deny evidence clearly showing you that you are *wrong*.

    Li D, heads up.

  606. #608 BBD
    May 22, 2017

    The problem is dumdum’s maths is merely mathturbation.

    So where’s the error I asked you to demonstrate at #582?

    You are a liar and a bullshitter.

    But dumdum wants 100% renewables to be PERFECT.

    No, I want decarbonisation to work. As *always*, your attempt at framing is blatantly dishonest.

    As for letting the perfect be the enemy of the good, this glibly assumes that what is going on now is good. But it not good. In fact it’s a fucking shambles and heading for a brick wall. Just adding more and more W&S to a largely unmodified grid will not deliver an energy transition because turbines and panels are only a small part of the system necessary for W&S to work at scale. But that’s what is going on right now because it is cheap and relatively easy and governments do like their greenwash. Meanwhile, the hard problems are being glossed over with misleading industry PR perfectly exemplified by guff like that ‘85% renewables’ piece.

    And vociferous idiots like you do not help. It’s unpleasant watching you, so absolutely convinced of your rectitude, spouting embarrassing bollocks and outright lies, virtue-signalling fit to bust, convinced that you are doing the right thing and actually making the situation that tiny little bit worse.

  607. #609 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    ” WRONG

    Read the link I provided at #596. ”

    I did. That is why I can claim you were wrong. Your link did not disprove the assertion.

    “fact-free fantasy land you inhabit. ”

    And another idiotic and fantasist-built claim from you, dumbass.

    “you refuse to learn. ”

    Yup, I prefer to learn from truth and facts, not bullshit and idiocy. You, clearly, prefer otherwise.

    “snd you deny evidence clearly showing you that you are *wrong*. ”

    LOL! See beginning of your idiotic rant.

  608. #610 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “So where’s the error I asked you to demonstrate at #582?”

    Since you cannot comprehend a post beyond a couple of sentences, it is your claim it must be storage, fuckwit.

  609. #611 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “No, I want decarbonisation to work. ”

    But only if it uses nukes. Because you want the cash to go to nukes and not renewables, you have to continually trash renewables.

    look at all the problems with decarbonising with nukes questions that you have ignored.

    When you only look at problems with one solution, EVERYONE can tell you’re a partisan biased hack. It’s just that some morons want big business to be the only player and ignore your idiotic claims’ idiocy.

  610. #612 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “this glibly assumes that what is going on now is good. ”

    Hell, you’ve ignored every problem you claim is already here. YOU are the one glibly assuming what is going on now is good.

  611. #613 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “only a small part of the system necessary for W&S to work at scale.”

    They are working at scale today. Germany for example.

    And Switzerland is going renewables too.

  612. #614 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “But that’s what is going on right now because it is cheap”

    You insisted it wasn’t. Now you;re admitting it was. Care to withdraw your asinine complaint that it is misrepresenting things to call it cheap?

  613. #615 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “guff like that ‘85% renewables’ piece. ”

    Yes, you hate reality therefore it is misleading.

  614. #616 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    Govenrments love their big business, they pay lots of cash and have non-voting executives boards, which is why they keep trying to kill off renewables, despite the fact that the people who have to pay the taxes that subsidise the nukes and don’t get the executive board positions to profit from it are all clamouring for renewables not nukes.

  615. #617 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    And what’s wrong with going for cheap renewables now? IF there is a problem it will occur as we build out and we can look at what needs doing then. Because, unlike nukes and the other big thermal plants, there’s no huge time lag and investment in rolling out a new plant and then operate to find out how it breaks, and unlike nukes, no requirement for them to operate for two generations to become only one of the most expensive ways to produce electricity.

    And, unlike nukes, if we decide we put the in the wrong place, we can move them and repurpose the ground right afterward.

    We already know what to do with carbon fibre and silicon panels when they reach end of life. We don’t know how to deal with radioactive waste when the nuke plant reaches end of life. The only reason why nukes can be considered less radioactive than coal (fly ash) is if we spend a lot of money on cleaning up.

    We could have cleaned coal up too. But that costs money now and was fought against.

    Nukes only turn out to be a nightmare when most of the money is already invested, and it’s too late to ask for a refund of that pig in a poke then.

    Indeed it is one of the reasons why Switzerland is voting to drop nukes and go renewables: the oldest nuke facility is being abandoned by the owners with the excuse they can’t afford to close it down as promised, so the taxpayer is having to pay to close it down safely. Taxpayers are pissed off and don’t want to build any more and get shot of the current stations before those businesses can sell off to some other company which is just a shell to go bankrupt if asked to close down the nuke plant at the end of its life.

  616. #618 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    Before anyone complains about the number of posts, the problem is dumdum seems to miss comments made inside a longer post, hence his repeats of “what was my error in the maths?” question, despite it being answered twice.

    And if dumdum demands proof again, I’ll just say “already done several times, look upthread”. If someone else wants to know and asks, then I’ll post them the information, but both dumdum and myself know what he’s doing and why he’s so busy gaslighting.

  617. #619 BBD
    May 22, 2017

    Before anyone complains about the number of posts, the problem is dumdum seems to miss comments made inside a longer post, hence his repeats of “what was my error in the maths?” question, despite it being answered twice.

    I think most people here have worked out that what you do is thread bomb to try and cover up your lies, mistakes and evasions – as you are doing here.

    Then you will repeat a falsehood such as the ‘I answered that’ – which refers only to some irrelevant crap or evasion or word salad – and hope that everyone is too exhausted or confused to be bothered to check.

    Nobody is fooled by you Wow. Not by now.

  618. #620 BBD
    May 22, 2017

    # 610

    Since you cannot comprehend a post beyond a couple of sentences, it is your claim it must be storage, fuckwit.

    But I *didn’t* claim that it ‘must’ be storage. That was an example to give LiD a feel for the scale of the backup that will be needed (*). What’s more, in my first comment on this thread at #7 – since repeated because of your persistent mendacity (#413; #589) – I clearly stated that:

    Small, transient supply shortfalls can be managed with demand-side management but longer and larger shortfalls need extra energy inputs. These can come from utility-scale storage or long-distance transmission or both. But they have to come from somewhere or the lights go out.

    Stop. Lying. Wow.

    (*) LiD responded by linking to a blog post entitled World’s biggest-ever pumped storage hydro scheme for Scotland which is nothing if not ambitious in scale, even for a blog post:

    Guinness World Records states that the widest canal in the world is the Cape Cod Canal which is “only” 165 metres wide.

    The Strathdearn Power Canal proposal would be ~170m wide.

    The construction of the Panama Canal required the excavation of a total of 205 million cubic-metres of material but the Strathdearn Power Canal would need more excavating and construction work than Panama did.

    LiD seems to get the bit about scale. Hopefully he too realises that – blog posts aside – no serious engineering proposals to do this exist. Nor are there any serious, advancing engineering proposals that I am aware of to build any of the huge pumped hydro reserve that will fairly soon be needed.

    This is, or should be, worrying.

  619. #621 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    ” to try and cover up your lies, mistakes and evasions”

    And another bullshit claim from you dumdum. What lies, mistakes and evasions am I covering up?

    PS what about “85% wind and solar”, hmm????

  620. #622 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “Then you will repeat a falsehood such as the ‘I answered that'”

    Which I did, twice upthread.

  621. #623 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “But I *didn’t* claim that it ‘must’ be storage.”

    Yes you did. #557

  622. #624 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “Stop. Lying. Wow. ”

    No. A. Lie. Dumbass

  623. #625 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “in my first comment on this thread at #7”

    And that is irrelevant, dumdum. You made more posts than that and the one quoted showed you lied when you claimed you always made it clear you were for nuclear being in the mix.

  624. #626 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “LiD seems to get the bit about scale.”

    It’s a bullshit claim, though. It’s at scale now. It’s working now. Your cries about how it won’t work at scale are bullshit to scare people off doing what we can now and put a waste of money into nuclear to keep your pet project alive.

  625. #627 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    Lid also gets the bit about it doesn’t have to be a shortfall covered by storage.

    Funny how you only acknowledge what they post when you can claim it “supports” you.

    Even when you don’t say how.

    It’s at scale now. Working now. Working well now.

  626. #628 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    Germany’s renewables produced 22% of generation (which was less than demand) at your cherry pick of minimum and 85% at maximum (which you whined about being misleading), from a nominal 35% of generation. A little over 2/3rds.

    Yet YOU claim it goes from 85% to 2%, ergo “DISASTER!!!!!!”.

    You claim that if we go renewables we need more storage. Yet we need more storage if we add nuclear (if we go “use storage to cover unexpected outages” route). And nukes are more expensive and riskier today, and set only to get even more expensive in the future, even if it gets less riskier.

    But you ignore nukes needing storage to operate.

    So your option “needs more storage”, and 100% renewables “needs more storage”.

    But all you can whine about is how renewables “need more storage”.

    Then project and insist I’m biased….

    LOL.

  627. #629 Betula
    May 22, 2017

    Lid,
    I read that there are 1.8 million boats in Australia (1 for every 13 people)…

    Why do these Australians go out of their way to destroy the Great Barrier Reef? And why do they hate Polar Bears?

    I also read that New Zealand has more boats per capita than any country in the world….

    Isn’t it about time you start a campaign to have these people “beaten in the streets”, to help ease that feeling of bitterness you are forced to endure?

  628. #630 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    And why not “thread bomb”, dumdum?

    There’s no information when you’re busy ignoring it and pretending it never appeared, so any lack of utility is moot.

    Moreover, since the same points are covered, why does it matter? If all the posts we made were rolled up into one, it would be unreadable even more than “thread bombed”.

    Your whinge is nothing more than tone trolling, inserting format complaints in the place of actual logical issues and fallacies because, frankly, you have nothing other than FUD to play, and ignorance to protect your bigotries.

  629. #631 Li D
    Australia
    May 22, 2017

    Just quickly, yes i get the drift about scale.
    Quite daunting.
    Not as daunting remotly as dealing with the
    raising temps on an already very compromised
    biosphere. Thats daunting!

  630. #632 Li D
    Australia
    May 22, 2017

    Why dont you fuck off batty ya cockhead.

  631. #633 Betula
    May 22, 2017

    “Why dont you fuck off batty ya cockhead”

    Strange, you sound bitter…and I don’t even own a boat.

  632. #634 Li D
    Australia
    May 22, 2017

    I really think part of the solution is
    stopping energy being wasted on manufacturing bullshit.
    The only biosphere in the universe that we know about is
    fucking up in front of our eyes.

  633. #635 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    But what scale?

    China has 149GW in 2016. Is that scale? If not, why? If it is, how about in 2012 when it was 75GW?

    Without anything about what the hell it means, “scale” is meaningless babble.

  634. #636 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    Yeah, a lot of demand is merely because it’s supplied.

    Look at food waste.

    Which is one reason why dumdum’s claims are bullshit. We don’t necessaraily have to use the same amount of power. Scandanavian countries use less than the UK despite having less sunlight and more cold and less warmth. And the UK use less than the USA or Australia. Who in turn use less than Saudi Arabia. Why the Saudis? Oil power is cheap, even compared to USA.

    The USA has reduced power demand because people are using LED lights instead of incandescents. Norway uses less than the UK on heating because they build better insulated homes.

    Port Talbot cut their power use in the steel factory by 80% merely by changing their factory layout to reduce the cooling of the steel in manufacture.

    EVs will use a quarter of the power of ICEs when widespread and there’s power charging as frequently as petrol stations exist.

    And currently there’s no need to avoid using pumped storage or a different mix of power because it’s not profit efficient to do so. The UK imports its power because it can’t get anything built: nukes aren’t wanted by the populace and wind/solar isn’t wanted by government. Germany exports its power because it can benefit the balance of payments to do so, so optimising for demand is irrelevant. That’s why the south imports power while the north exports it. It’s more profitable to export the power than sell it internally. Exactly that reason is why Iran wanted nuke power: so they can sell the oil rather than burn it at the opportunity cost of selling at peak prices.

  635. #637 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    Building a new nuclear power station is a major undertaking. Because modern nuclear power plant are generally larger than old fossil fuel or nuclear facilities they replace, new reactors often require the construction of new or additional transmission infrastructure to link into the grid. Penny Hitchin looks at the challenges and how they’re being addressed.

    http://www.neimagazine.com/features/featuretransmitting-power-4943271/

    Only dumdum avoids admitting that HVDC is part of the future of any national grid.

  636. #638 Betula
    May 22, 2017

    Wow – “The UK imports its power because it can’t get anything built: nukes aren’t wanted by the populace and wind/solar isn’t wanted by government’

    Yet, the government helped subsidize Westmill Solar, of which you are a shareholder and profit from.

    Oh, the irony…

  637. #639 Li D
    Australia
    May 22, 2017

    Wow, i cant speak for anyone else, but when
    i think of scale, i think of my place ( Australia ) needing
    perhaps 5 times as much high water storage than we
    have now, as a battery. Thats alot.
    Im fully confident of a complex network made of wind, solar hydro, pumped hydro, hamsters on wheels whatever can be done and managed .
    We need to crank up solar farms and wind .
    Crank down coal very fast.
    But we gotta have some backup or fuckwit australians will
    crack the shits if the power stops and they cant watch
    Home and Away.
    We need batteries of some sort right now being planned.
    Pumped hydro makes sense to me.
    We DONT need fucking nuke, thats for damn sure.
    Typically hypocritical, we will sell uranium to any bastard though!
    Really, only one thing matters, and thats coal disappearing quick quick. Or we are all fucked.

  638. #640 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “i think of my place ( Australia ) needing
    perhaps 5 times as much high water storage than we
    have now, as a battery. ”

    Under what plan?

    Because here’s the thing dumdum doesn’t get and you don’t seem to have arrived at: you don’t have to just multiply what you have currently.

    Lets say you cut power usage by 80%. You don’t need any batteries.

    Lets say you pave Australia with 10x the amount needed to run your country. You’ll throw away nearly 90% of your power, but you won’t need batteries.

    Lets say you build out 100% of the amount with renewables and solely solar PV. You see all those coal power stations? Who said to knock them down? Mothball them. No need for batteries OR any new build-out apart from the solar panels.

    Lets say you build out 25% wind, 25% solarPV, 10% thermal solar, 10% biomass and 5% tidal and 25% molten sodium solar generation. How much battery will you need?

    Especially since you still have those coal generators if your plan turns out to have a problem.

    Doubly so if you cut waste.

    If you mothball coal, you’ll need to face off the coal so that you can stop fires starting under there. But you’d need to do that if you never consider digging up and burning any coal ever in the future. Fires still happen.

  639. #641 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “But we gotta have some backup or fuckwit australians will
    crack the shits if the power stops and they cant watch
    Home and Away.”

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_South_Australian_blackout

    The South Australian blackout of 2016 was a widespread power outage in South Australia that occurred as a result of storm damage to electricity transmission infrastructure on 28 September 2016

    Of course, the failures were stated by the government were the result of renewables because dumdum knows that governments LOVE A greenwashing….

    But it looks like blackouts have happened and rioting in the streets was not the result.

    Hell, if you’re operating a private for-profit business, you won’t oversupply because that wastes cash, you’re better off oversupplying only as much as is necessary to keep you from being sued for a huge amount.

    Businesses have to look for profit. It’s government that doesn’t have to care about profit, only cost.

  640. #642 Betula
    May 22, 2017

    Li D must have been ecstatic when the South Australian blackout occurred….the people were finally living like Queen Victoria!

    Wow – “Businesses have to look for profit”

    Speaking of profit, what sort of profit distribution will you be receiving from Wetsmill Solar this quarter Wow? The more the better, correct?

  641. #643 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    Lid, look at deltoid in January to see batshit betty and StuPid pretending to be “honest brokers” and not caring. The moron has a serious mancrush on Jeff too.

  642. #644 Betula
    May 22, 2017

    For some reason, Wow (Adam) doesn’t like it when people point out his hypocrisies and lies…

    Anyway Lid, that would be Deltoid January 2107 in case you are confused….the dead blog that Hardley refused to believe was dying…

    Ah yes, Poor Hardley, it’s all he had to boost his ego….at least he still has the memory of his spider to keep him going.

  643. #645 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    See what I mean about the mancrush?

    Oh, and this is probably kai aka boris aka freddie from over at illconsidered posting too.

  644. #646 Betula
    May 22, 2017

    Wow – “See what I mean about the mancrush?”

    Using your own logic, you obviously have a “mancrush” on BBD….you seem to have a thing for the “fuckwit”.

    Now, back to the topic you would like to go away…

    What came from the Westmill Solar meeting Saturday regarding the distribution of profits?

    Are you making a good return on your “corrupt” investment?

    How much did they have to overcharge that you could receive some of that profit?

  645. #647 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    And I think he’s from your neighbourhood, Lid. Australia.

    We’ve got Mad Monckton, Australia has Batshit Betty.

    USA has a gaggle…

  646. #648 Betula
    May 22, 2017

    Adam – “And I think he’s from your neighbourhood, Lid. Australia”

    Never been there, though I hear there are 1.8 million boaters there that could care less about The Great Barrier Reef. Lid taught me that…

    Westmill Solar Profit?

  647. #649 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    Yeah, Brisbane it was.

  648. #650 MikeN
    May 22, 2017

    > I’ll just say “already done several times, look upthread”.

    In other words, you’ll continue to not answer and make up stuff. Like you did with actual malice before, when the lawyer came in to correct you for all to see, you just kept pretending you were right.

  649. #651 MikeN
    May 22, 2017

    BBD, no need to respond to EVERYTHING wow says. People reading understand.

  650. #652 Jeff Harvey
    May 22, 2017

    I have watched amusingly as the unemployed tree pruner has wormed his way into this blog. I could ignore him without a problem until he dropped this howler, ‘Ah yes, poor Hardley, it’s all he had to boost his ego’.

    Good heavens you sad loser, get a life. How on Earth some poor woman decided to settle down with an insignificant little wimpy twerp like you is one of life’s great mysteries. If anyone has an ego problem, it’s you, probably because your life has been such a vacuous waste. Me? I have a PhD, 182 (and counting) publications in the peer-reviewed literature, almost 5,500 career citations, an h-factor of 43, I have attained a Professorship and I am on the editorial boards of several journals. So whether or not Deltoid is a dead blog really doesn’t really leave a mark on me or my ego. You seem to think that you played a role in its demise. If this boosts what little self-esteem you possess, then by all means revel in this myth. The truth is that Tim Lambert really didn’t want to invest much effort in it anymore, for whatever reason. But if you honestly think that I place that much importance on the life and death of a blog, then you really are in serious need of medical attention.

  651. #653 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    ”In other words, you’ll continue to not answer”

    In other words you read post #578 and are bullshitting like deniers do.

    “would need 1200GWh of backup capacity ”

    Nope, absolutely false. that is merely one way and the only way YOU can consider doing it because you want to amp up and crash out renewables because you love nukes.

    It’s down here again for you, you can’t claim you didn’t read it without showing how vacant your head is.

    PS did you reconsider your idiotic stance when I pointed out in #441?

    Of course not, you’re fine with the build out of nukes because that will delay actually dropping coal and so on, and also give another big business a method to scalp taxpayers and customers.

  652. #654 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    “How on Earth some poor woman decided to settle down ”

    We have no proof any woman did. And plenty of proof no woman would have that low a standard.

  653. #655 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    Poor old mike.

    Heart as big as the whole outdoors, but he don’t have one brain in his poor old head

  654. #656 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    Hell you even pointed out to dumdum his problem.

    Germany for example, didn’t use all the power and exported 10GW. If they fell short abruptly by 10GW, they would not brown-out, only not be able to export, since the domestic demand was 100% of generation.

  655. #657 Wow
    May 22, 2017

    Lastly, “mike”, what about when dingeoness went out for 4.5months? That was 1800TWh loss.

    What do you think happened? 200,000 Dinworigs were emptied?

  656. #658 Betula
    May 22, 2017

    Hardley – “If anyone has an ego problem, it’s you”

    And then follows it with this precious gem…

    Hardley – “Me? I have a PhD, 182 (and counting) publications in the peer-reviewed literature, almost 5,500 career citations, an h-factor of 43, I have attained a Professorship and I am on the editorial boards of several journals”

    Thanks Hardley, for keeping the Deltoid comedy alive..

  657. #659 Betula
    May 22, 2017

    Hey Wow,
    I just read that Westmill Solar may generate up to 13 million in profits over the next 20 years.
    According to your own beliefs (as stated on this blog), can only be the result of corruption…

    So why would you be a shareholder in something you deem to be so corrupt?

    Please explain…help us to understand your genius.

    Thanks.

  658. #660 MikeN
    May 23, 2017

    Socialists tend to be wealthy industrialists. Weird phenomenon.

  659. #661 Wow
    May 23, 2017

    Well that was a load of unsubstantiated bollocks.

    Dismissed.

  660. #662 Li D
    Australia
    May 23, 2017

    Somewhat off topic. Jeeeezuz.Oh man.
    The denialist organ Quadrant has lost the plot
    massivly and obscenly.
    Check your own news sources for info.