Hurricane

Category archives for Hurricane

Boom: Julia; Karl?

Update (Mid day Wed): The disturbance in the eastern Atlantic is now a depression, and it is reasonably likely that it will be a named storm by mid day tomorrow, Thursday. The predictions for the next several days do not have this storm turning into a hurricane any time soon; it should remain a storm…

Wed AM Update: Meranti passed near the southern tip of Taiwan, and apparently it was pretty windy and nasty there. But, Taiwan has invested heavily in infrastructure with the idea of being hit with giant typhoons now and then, so things were not as bad as they could have been. apparently Meranti is now a…

Update: Mid Day Monday: Ian is no longer a glimmer in the eyes of NWS forecasters. Ian is now a tropical storm. However, Ian is about to head north over unfavorable waters, will likely never develop hurricane strength, and is not expected to hit anything big. (See map above.) Nothing else is really happening in…

Hermine more serene?

Update (Sunday PM): Hermine is still a big storm and will affect eastern regions to some degree, but the storm never reformed as a hurricane, and is not not expected to do so. Also, the storm has jinked out to the east more than expected and will likely move farther east. So, there will be…

Update (Noonish Friday): Lester is going to skim along to the north of the Hawaiian Islands. This is an estimate of the probability of the distribution of 50mph winds: Surf’s up, it will be stormy, but the significant threat is moderate. Update (Noonish Thursday): Madeline sort of hit Hawaii, but it also did a funny…

Original Post: The Atlantic storms are getting interesting. Two different systems are poised to become named storms, but it is not clear which one will be awarded the name Hermine, and which one Ian. If the storm recently near Cuba develops as expected, it could become a weak hurricane before making landfall along Florida’s Gulf…

A quick note about the current Atlantic hurricane season. With resect to just the US, we’ve had a fairly low level season, and it is easy to become complacent about this time, but in fact, the risks from Atlantic hurricanes rise about this time of year, so pay attention. Watch for Hermine. More on that…

Super Typhoon Nepartak

This is a huge hurricane/typhoon heading quickly, and imminently, towards taiwan. The storm itself is roughly as wide as the island nation is long, so very little will be left unaffected. The storm is at the very high end of the range of storms in size, strength, etc. It is currently equivalent to a Category…

Hurricane Agatha? Nope.

Monday, June 6, 9:00 PM CT Nope. For the second time in a row, what might have been a named Eastern Pacific tropical storm will probably never amount to more than a depression and a big wet spot in Mexico. Monday, June 6, 2:00 PM CT The first named tropical storm in the Eastern Pacific…

… may or may not form over the next several days. There is a disturbance that has a 60% chance of forming into a tropical storm some time between now and the middle of next week. This will head out to the wet and not menace the US mainland, as is typical (but not inevitable)…