Severe weather

Category archives for Severe weather

Update Friday mid PM: Jacksonville Florida, storm surge has breached the dunes and is inundating the community: This just speaks for itself #JaxBeach #FCNStorm pic.twitter.com/KDzz4ycLot — Katie Jeffries (@Katie_Jeffries) October 7, 2016 Update Friday Mid Day: Matthew has stayed very close to its forecast track since arriving in the vicinity of Florida. But, instead of…

Tropical Storm Nicole

The 14th named storm has just appeared in the Atlantic. The average number of named storms in the Atlantic, based on a fairly long climatology, is about 10.1. An average of 5.9 become hurricanes. So, this year are more than average named storms. But is it more than predicted? On average, the expert forecasts suggested…

LATEST UPDATE IS HERE. CLICK HERE FOR LATEST UPDATE. Update: Wed Mid Day Matthew weakened, strengthened, strengthening Matthew has interacted with land masses in Hispaniola and Cuba to the extent that the storm weakened quite a bit, losing its temporary Category 5 status. But, now Matthew is already showing signs of strengthening, and is likely…

Boom: Julia; Karl?

Update (Mid day Wed): The disturbance in the eastern Atlantic is now a depression, and it is reasonably likely that it will be a named storm by mid day tomorrow, Thursday. The predictions for the next several days do not have this storm turning into a hurricane any time soon; it should remain a storm…

Wed AM Update: Meranti passed near the southern tip of Taiwan, and apparently it was pretty windy and nasty there. But, Taiwan has invested heavily in infrastructure with the idea of being hit with giant typhoons now and then, so things were not as bad as they could have been. apparently Meranti is now a…

Update: Mid Day Monday: Ian is no longer a glimmer in the eyes of NWS forecasters. Ian is now a tropical storm. However, Ian is about to head north over unfavorable waters, will likely never develop hurricane strength, and is not expected to hit anything big. (See map above.) Nothing else is really happening in…

Hurricanes are well defined systems with characteristics that quite literally set them apart from other storms. Large storms such as Nor’Easters are sometimes less well defined and interact more with major troughs, the jet streams, etc. We have come to understand Hurricanes as the worst case scenario, while other storms are less dangerous. But sometimes,…

Hermine more serene?

Update (Sunday PM): Hermine is still a big storm and will affect eastern regions to some degree, but the storm never reformed as a hurricane, and is not not expected to do so. Also, the storm has jinked out to the east more than expected and will likely move farther east. So, there will be…

For the latest post on Hermine GO HERE. Update Thursday PM Hermine has grown in strength, and may even make landfall as a Category 2 storm. At least a strong Category 1. The right front quadrant of the storm is where the main “punch” (of winds) is located. If the storm winds come into an…

Update (Noonish Friday): Lester is going to skim along to the north of the Hawaiian Islands. This is an estimate of the probability of the distribution of 50mph winds: Surf’s up, it will be stormy, but the significant threat is moderate. Update (Noonish Thursday): Madeline sort of hit Hawaii, but it also did a funny…