Politics

Category archives for Politics

I’ll combine my post predicting the outcome of today’s Democratic Primary in West Virginia, and my post giving and discussing the results, here. My prediction is on this table, on the left side of the line, and the actual results on the right side, for the last several primaries. Every state is special, and some…

Super Delegates exist for good reasons. In order for them to do their job, which hopefully is never, they need to have two characteristics. These are: 1) The capacity for thoughtful and well informed decision making at the convention, in case something untoward has happened to require this. 2) Independence with respect to whom to…

Bernie does not want his people to disrupt speeches. He’s OK with outside protests. He wants to do everything he can to stop Trump.

Beware Democratic Party Optimism

I’ve seen it said again and again that the Trump nomination will be a debacle for the Republicans. The Republican party will fall apart, become small, become insignificant. Clinton will easily crush trump. We’re done. Ding dong. But this is all wrong. The Republican Party is in power in more state houses than ever, and…

At the beginning of this Rachel Maddow piece, in a new Hillary Clinton ad:

… they made that candidate THE candidate. So, that will be interesting. Yet another of Rachel Maddow’s excellent context rich historically driven missives. She almost lost it a few times while presenting this. You may do the same watching it.

After the Primaries, What Next?

Donald Trump is now the presumed Republican candidate for President of the United States. Prior to Cruz and Kasich dropping out of the race, it was not 100% clear that Trump would achieve enough delegates to “lock” the convention, but he was vey close. I am not sure if Trump will be the only candidate…

Voting is not party involvement. We hear a lot of talk these days about “voters” being repressed in their attempt to be involved in the Democratic primary process. There may be something to that, and it might be nice to make it easier for people to wake up on some (usually) Tuesday morning and go…

I recently noted that a reasonable prediction indicates that Trump could enter the Republican National Convention a mere 8 delegates short of a lock. (See this.) But now, Ted Cruz may have changed that math a bit, by announcing that Carly Fiorina as his vice presidential running mate. She was one of the least popular…

Reports are just coming in, and as if often the case, Trump is already being declared winner in some states. But the Democratic primaries are different … there are actually two candidates who get delegates instead of just one … so it takes a little longer to count up the votes. As a reminder, these…