Every so often you will come across somebody who has a "killer" list of "problems" with the Big Bang. While there remain unknowns and questions about the Big Bang— just as there do with biological evolution— the basic picture of the Big Bang is rock solid— just like evolution.
Nearly two months ago, I received a query from somebody who found my name through the Clergy Letter Project "expert database" regarding one of the websites that lists these objects. I've been through quite a number of life changes in the last 6-8 weeks, and my blogging rate has suffered as a result. However, I'm finally getting to it. Nearly all of the things I will respond to here are generic responses, as these "objections" to the Big Bang are frequently brought up, but for reference I will link to the site that was given to me: Dr. Tom van Flandern's Top 30 Problems with the Big Bang. Nearly all of these objects are either a misunderstanding of the Big Bang, or an objection that is out of date. I won't address all 30 individually, but I will hit some of the highlights. The fact that I don't address a given objection should not be taken as evidence that I'm ceding the point!
Objection 1 : Bad Fits to Data
The first objection I will quote in its entirety, because not only does it contain false information, but it contains a more general canard that is often used when objecting to scientific theories:
(1) Static universe models fit observational data better than expanding universe models.
Static universe models match most observations with no adjustable parameters. The Big Bang can match each of the critical observations, but only with adjustable parameters, one of which (the cosmic deceleration parameter) requires mutually exclusive values to match different tests. [[2],[3]] Without ad hoc theorizing, this point alone falsifies the Big Bang. Even if the discrepancy could be explained, Occam's razor favors the model with fewer adjustable parameters [than] the static universe model.
This is incorrect on several fronts. First of all, we get very good and precise fits from the Big Bang model. Additionally, the "cosmic deceleration parameter" turns out to be negative. It was true 10 years ago that different lines of reasoning suggested different values for this parameter, but the truth was that we really hadn't been able to make a good measurement of it. Now we have, and the acceleration of the Universe fits with sundry lines of reasoning— so much so that now have what is frequently called "standard model" of cosmology, or a "concordance cosmology", with the various parameters (expansion rate, overall density, dark energy density, age of the Universe, etc.) measured each to within 5%. This agreement is now nearly a decade old; here is a link to a 1999 Science abstract about the concordance, and here is a link to a preprint site that has the full text.
This objection also points out something that I will probably devote an entire post to in the future: a misuse of Occam's Razor. Too often people object to a scientific theory on the basis that they have a "simpler" theory which must be favored because of Occam's Razor.
Objections 2 and 3: the CMB and Element Abundances aren't fit well
Both of these are quite wrong. Indeed, the cosmic microwave background is well-fit in detail in the Big Bang model; consider, for example, the recent(ish) WMAP 3-year results (paper, press release and pretty pictures.) Likewise, we do achieve consistency in Big Bang Nucleosynthesis models with observed element abundances, given uncertainties in the measurements. The number of adjustable parameters needed to match this consistency is in fact not very large, but I'll address that later.
Objections 4: Too much large-scale structure
In fact, detailed structure formation models starting from the perturbations seen from the Cosmic Microwave Background (which is 300-400 thousand years after the Big Bang) and propagating forward to today do an amazingly good job of predicting the very largest scale structure. We do have filaments and voids. Both of the two new astronomy professors at Vanderbilt, Kelly Holley-Bochelmann and Andreas Berlind, are experts on this. It was, I believe, in Andreas' job talk where he showed us two maps: one was an astronomical survey, the other was from calculations. He challenged us to tell him which was the data, which was the model; of course, we couldn't.
Objection 6: The ages of globular clusters appear older than the universe.
This objection is simply 10 years out of date. Yes, it was true 10 years ago that there was a cosmological "age crisis." The most plausible models of the Universe seemed to favor a Universe that was less than 10 billion years old, whereas the oldest globular clusters were observed to be 12-13 billion years old.
Today, there is no conflict. The major change was the discovery of the accelerating Universe. The addition of dark energy affects the age estimates we get in the Big Bang model, and now we have a measurement of the age of the Universe that is 13.6 billion years, good to about 5%... and no longer in any conflict with age data from globular clusters.
Objection 8: Invisible dark matter of an unknown but non-baryonic nature must be the dominant ingredient of the entire universe.
And?
I mean, yes, this is true. This is one of the big mysteries in cosmology (and, perhaps particle physics) right now. What is Dark Matter? The fact that it is there (and, we know it is there; see also these slides from a talk I gave back at an astronomy journal club back when I was still a professor at Vanderbilt).
The website brings up Milgrom's "MOND", which was originally put forward as an alternative to dark matter to explain galaxy dynamics. However, the aforelinked results from the Bullet Cluster have shown beyond a doubt that there is matter in the Universe that is not where baryonic matter is. Exotic Dark Matter exists. We know that, independent of any considerations involving modelling the Big Bang.
Objection 10: The open Universe requires extreme fine tuning
This one has gone away, but the whole issue of "cosmological fine tuning" hasn't; that remains an outstanding question in the Big Bang.
However, once again this website is about 10 years out of date by referring to the "open" Universe. Current cosmic microwave background data favors a flat Universe, and has since about 1998 or 1999. What's more, the most recent WMAP results linked above provide support for the "inflation" scenario that explains why the Universe should be so close to exactly the critical density needed to make it flat.
Etc.
There is other misinformation in the article. For instance, it mentions quantized redshifts, which are something that's been suggested by data in the past, but which is no longer believed to be true. Given the filamentary nature of the Universe, if you take a "pencil-beam" survey you will observe what appears to be quantized redshifts, because your pencil beam will go through voids. We now have enough large-area surveys to see the full large-scale structure, and see the shape of those voids (and the aforementioned success in modelling them) to understand why pencil-beam surveys sometimes appeared to indicate quantized redshifts. The First Law of Thermodynamics is mentioned, but just as with almost every other time somebody uses a law of thermodynamics to argue against a well-accepted theory (and you know what I'm talking about here), it represents a misunderstanding of thermodynamics.
For other detailed complaints, where I don't have the answer off of the top of my head, it would take me more work to really address it. However, the major points are addressed above. Overall, the objections in that web page— which summarize most of the objections one usually sees to the Big Bang— are either flatly incorrect, are out of date, or are outstanding questions that remain to be answered but do not invalidate the overall picture of the Big Bang.
Yes, questions remain! That's part of what's exciting about it. But the overall picture of the Big Bang is supported now by a wealth of observations, models, theory, and comparison between the three. As I noted in my classic post "Big Bang" is a terrible name for a great theory, we don't really know anything about the moment of "Bang" itself... hence the name of the theory not being so great. But the overall picture of a homogeneous and isotropic (on large scales) Universe that has expanded from an extremely hot and dense state is what all of the data point to.




Comments
Back with a bang :o)
Nice to see you posting again.
Posted by: Chris' Wills | September 28, 2007 3:39 AM
He makes an interesting point about the phenomenological MOND model being better than the more fundamental dark matter model because the prior doesn't have "fudge factors." Science would be a lot simpler if we replaced these complex, detailed theoretical models that have all sorts of parameters to measure with simple phenomenological models that have few or no parameters to fit! I mean, we may only be able to describe what happens and no longer why and how something happens, but who really cares about details?
Along those lines, I propose a new model of the Sun. I propose that it is basically a hot object, so that it throws off blackbody radiation and looks bright. Also, it emits neutrinos. But since it is a descriptive model and doesn't delve into explanatory details like invoking hydrogen fusion, the CNO cycle, etc., it is immune to all the problems with the Standard Solar Model, like incorrect ratios of neutrinos. By inserting adhoc assertions like neutrinos oscillate (particles with mass? Get real!), the Standard Solar Model gets complicated. By not even addressing neutrino masses, my model doesn't require them to be massive (but it allows for that to be the case), so is much simpler. Therefore, by Occam's Razor, my model is better. I'll now be waiting by the phone for that call from Stockholm.
Seriously, you cannot discount a fundamental model in favor of a phenomenological model simply because it has parameters that must be fit. For all you know, the underlying theoretical model that is the basis for the phenomenological model will have ten times as many parameters to fit.
Posted by: CS | September 28, 2007 11:22 AM
CS -- yeah, good point.
The truth is that even just a few years ago, the observation evidence on galaxies didn't really strongly favor dark matter or MOND. Most scientists preferred dark matter because it fit a lot of other things, and because until Beckenstein, MOND really was purely phenominological.
But, now, yeah, we know there is dark matter. Kinda cool how science can advance :)
Posted by: Rob Knop | September 28, 2007 3:59 PM
Nice to see you back.
So the present thought is that the universe will expand forever as a consequence of flatness, with the "big crunch" idea out of date? (There was a "big crunch" theory at one time, wasn't there, or did I maybe just get that "end of the universe" stuff from watching too many episodes of Dr. Who?)
Posted by: JuliaL | September 29, 2007 12:34 PM
JuliaL -- yes, sort of. The high probability that the Universe will expand forever is in fact not a consequence of flatness, and isn't even linked to that any more.
Before 1998, most cosmology textbooks would draw the connection between geometry and fate. A closed (spatially finite) Universe would recollapse in a Big Crunch, a flat or open Universe would expand forever. However, the connection between these two requires the assumption of no cosmological constant (i.e. no dark energy). With dark energy, it's possible to have a closed Universe that will expand forever.
So, yes, we think that the Universe will expand forever, and there never will be a Big Crunch. But that's not a consequence of flatness, it's a consequence of dark energy. The supernova results themselves pointed towards an accelerating Universe that would expand forever, but didn't provide any constraints at all on open vs. flat vs. closed geometry. The flat geometry constraints were provided by the Cosmic Microwave Background— but at least the first measurements of flatness (from BOOMERANG AND MAXIMA) didn't provide strong constraints on expand forever vs. Big Crunch, at least if you took the possibility of dark energy int account.
Posted by: Rob Knop | September 29, 2007 12:56 PM
What do you feel about the Arp associations?
For example, there is a physical connection between the barred spiral galaxy NGC 4319 and the quasar like object Markarian 205. This connection is between two objects that have vastly different redshift values.
Posted by: Mike | September 29, 2007 6:30 PM
Mike -- that's a whole 'nuther post. ;D One year I will hopefully get to it.
Posted by: Rob Knop | September 29, 2007 9:13 PM
Dark matter is constructed as a hypothetical explanation to help the misinterpretation of the galaxies' rotation curve where the angular velocity is mixed up with the orbital speed.
Big bang is a misinterpretation of the fractional displacement of the radiation that is an entropy-effect which causes the energy to move towards equilibrium.
No dark matter is needed.
No dark energy is needed.
No Big Bang is needed.
Ingvar, Sweden
http://www.theuniphysics.info
Posted by: Ingvar Astrand | October 4, 2007 8:39 PM