The Intersection

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From the National Hurricane Center:

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO REFLECT THAT SERGIO HAS INTENSIFIED TO 85 KNOTS. THIS IS BASED ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF A PINHOLE EYE AND OBJECTIVE DVORAK-T-NUMBERS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN A CONSERVATIVELY ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY AND THE INITIAL AND 12 HOUR WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED. NO CHANGE IN FORECAST TRACK IS INDICATED.

Sergio is, apparently, a late season rapid intensifier….and a lot of the models suggest that its burst has only begun (it’s currently at Cat2). Yikes.

November 16, 2006, UPDATE: Sergio’s rapid intensification did not ultimatley get much higher than 95 knots, not quite Category 3 strength…and it has now weakened again. False alarm I guess.

Comments

  1. #1 Jason Spaceman
    November 15, 2006

    Off topic, but I thought you might be interested in this. The Fifth Estate (a weekly news magazine program on the CBC here in Canada) aired an episode called The Denial Machine, about the global warming denial movement. I’m not sure if you can get the CBC or CBC Newsworld down there, but if not then you might be able to find the show on BitTorrent or on the CBC’s website.

  2. #2 Steve Bloom
    November 16, 2006

    Jason, the right bar of the page you linked includes a link to watch the program on-line.

  3. #3 Drake Milton
    November 17, 2006

    Chris,

    Am I wrong for expecting to see posts that focus on, “…issues at the intersection of science and politics…” at this blog?

    What’s with all the weather reports? I know that weather (particularly hurricanes and tropical storms) have been discussed in the political arena but this post was just a report from NOAA.

    Where’s the intersection?

  4. #4 mfaerber
    November 17, 2006

    Chris, how come you’re not pimping your Discover Magazine article? Thank you for that, I quite enjoyed it.

  5. #5 Chris Mooney
    November 18, 2006

    Wow. Some odd comments.

    One, I’ve never written for discover magazine.

    Two, I’ve explained in the past not only that the blog is on hiatus now as I finish my hurricane book, but that I *am* doing a hurricane book, and so of course I blog about that subject. There are no rules as to content. I follow my interests.

  6. #6 mfaerber
    November 19, 2006

    oops, sorry chris, I appologize… you may delete my comment if you want (dont’ ask)

  7. #7 llewelly
    November 21, 2006

    Sergio did set two records; strongest November storm in the East Pacific, and longest-lived November storm in the East Pacific. This year the E pac (and C pac) is (are) the only above average basins in the Northern Hemisphere.

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