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sidebar3.jpg Chris Mooney is a visiting associate in the Center for Collaborative History at Princeton University and the author of three books, The Republican War on Science, Storm World, and Unscientific America.

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« South Africa Dispatch: A Photo Tour | Main | Storm World News: Forecast Earth, YouTube, Climate Audit, Guest Blogging at Political Animal »

Cyclone Warfare Between India and Pakistan?

Category: Hurricanes
Posted on: June 28, 2007 4:38 PM, by Chris C. Mooney

Yeymin.jpg

Cyclone 03B (or Yemyin) making landfall in Pakistan on Tuesday. Note the well defined structure, including a cloud filled central eye region.

When do international politics interfere with protecting vulnerable people from hurricanes? Possibly when India has to provide storm warnings for Pakistan.

Jeff Masters and Margie Kieper are blogging about an unfolding scandcal concerning cyclone 03B (or Yemyin), which regenerated earlier this week in the Arabian Sea, intensified, and went on to strike Pakistan. The storm's floods left 250,000 homeless, and guess what: The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which has been given forecasting responsibility for this area by the World Meteorological Organization, didn't even bother to give it a name or forecast it properly. As Masters puts it:

Cyclone 03B was at least a strong tropical storm when it hit Pakistan, and was probably a Category 1 hurricane....Yet IMD never even gave the storm a name, and merely classified it as a a "deep depression," with winds less than tropical storm force (39 mph). At 00 GMT June 26, two hours before landfall, the position of Cyclone 03B given by IMD was probably in error by at least 60 miles. One hour later, at 01 GMT, with landfall just one hour away, the IMD shipping advisory said that landfall was still 12 hours away. The IMD website, with the warnings, was offline and not available for approximately twelve hours beginning with the landfall period. It's important not to judge IMD before all the facts are known, but I can't fathom any excuse that can account for what appears, at best, to be criminal incompetence.

And we all know what kind of history India and Pakistan have.

Meanwhile, there's now another storm in the Indian Ocean, technically 04B, and the question is whether the Indian Meteorological Department will try to call it Yemyin--a name the Pakistanis already unofficially chose for 03B--instead of going on to the next storm on the list.....

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Comments

1

And what kind of history do India and Pakistan have?

I wouldn't expect the people in the IMD (who earn roughly $250 to $500 per month before taxes) to spend sleepless nights trying to save either country from natural disasters. Nor do I expect the IMD to waste precious electricity keeping their computers alive 24 hours a day when the rest of the country faces severe power shortfalls. Just like in other walks of life (e.g. restaurants in the US), if you want a service you will have to directly pay the persons involved. Does India name the cyclones that hit its shores? What was the name of the last big cyclone that killed thousands in easter n India?

Posted by: AnonymousCoward1 | June 28, 2007 6:23 PM

2

AC1, India's agreements with the WMO require it to name all tropical cyclones in its region estimated at 34 kts or greater intensity, whether they strike its shores or not.

Posted by: llewelly | June 29, 2007 2:31 AM

3

It is atrocious that the so called land of Gandhi would not warn fellow human being about impending disaster. The UN shoudl censor India and Of course the Pakistanis will set up their own warning stations.

The people of Baluchistan should note the corcodile tears from India on this and other matters.

Another example of the ruthless nature of the Indian government.

Posted by: Allison Philip Bayson | June 30, 2007 11:30 AM

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