Okay, it is time to get alarmist here. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center just released its latest forecast, and this storm still hasn’t weakened as has been so endlessly predicted. Instead, it is still a strong Category 4–130 knot winds, or almost 150 miles per hour–according to JTWC. And frankly, the automated Advanced Dvorak Technique says the storm is a Category 5 and still intensifying.
This is a nightmare unfolding. The official landfall prediction from JTWC–like we trust them–is 115 knots, or weak Category 4. This is a storm that needs to be evacuated from, but I have no idea whether that is taking place on the ground. And as for weakening–yeah, that may well happen before landfall, but we’re talking about a landfall 24 hours from now. And this storm is whipping up waves of 40 feet or more right now.
This looks bad. Really bad.
And I note that the US Embassy in Bangladesh doesn’t even have a press release up on its website about the storm.