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chris_sheril%20small.JPG Chris Mooney is a freelance writer and the author of two books, The Republican War on Science and Storm World. For more information see his bio, events, articles, or visit him on Wikipedia and YouTube.

Sheril Kirshenbaum is a marine biologist at the Nicholas Institute for Environmental Policy Solutions at Duke. Sometimes she's a classicist, radio jock, or congressional staffer. Never sure what's next, she continues to enjoy the journey...

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« My MSNBC Interview About Cyclone Nargis | Main | Science And The New Media at AAAS »

Did Nargis Kill 100,000?

Category: Hurricanes
Posted on: May 7, 2008 2:54 PM, by Chris C. Mooney

That's what CNN is suggesting. This puts the catastrophe at tsunami scale. And it suggests that Nargis could rank among the top three or four most deadly cyclones of modern times.

My god.

Courtesy of Weather Underground, the deadliest cyclones list:

1. Great Bhola Cyclone, Bangladesh, 1970, 550,000
2. Hooghly River Cyclone, India and Bangladesh, 1737, 350,000
3. Haiphong Typhoon, Vietnam, 1881, 300,000
4. Coringa, India, 1839, 300,000
5. Backerganj Cyclone, Bangladesh, 1584, 200,000
6. Great Backerganj Cyclone, Bangladesh, 1876, 200,000
7. Chittagong, Bangladesh, 1897, 175,000
8. Super Typhoon Nina, China, 1975, 171,000
9. Cyclone 02B, Bangladesh, 1991, 140,000
10. Great Bombay Cyclone, India, 1882, 100,000

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Comments

I wonder how accurate the casualty estimates are for the early events.

Posted by: Mark P | May 7, 2008 4:30 PM

It's also important to remember that the dramatic surge in population during the last half century will inevitably lead to tragedies of a larger magnitude.

Good work in chronicling Nargis, Chris.

Eric

Posted by: Eric Berger | May 7, 2008 5:03 PM

I am frustrated that this has seemingly only become an issue in America after this week's primaries have passed. For all this weekend, CNN featured banner displays on Hillary's chances in North Carolina, et al. Only today is it getting enormous headlines on CNN. Of course, if the issue of Obama's lapel pin arose again, I'm sure it would push Nargis to the sidebar. Just sad.

Posted by: Mac Wilson | May 7, 2008 5:28 PM

Even more sad is that while it is hard to get people interested in the cyclone tragedy, hundreds of thousands or millions of Burmese have died of starvation or malnutrition, as political prisoners, in direct combat, or as refugees since the junta took power. People just forgot about Burma, even though the junta were so crazy they moved the entire capital north for astrological reasons. http://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/14/international/asia/14burma.html

Posted by: Molly | May 7, 2008 8:17 PM

hot dog; b-desh most-def punches above its demographic weight!

Posted by: razib | May 7, 2008 9:45 PM

I wonder how accurate the numbers might be, given that they are coming from an isolationist and often untruthful regime - there are numerous potential reasons for both exaggerating and low balling the casualty and damage numbers. We may never be able to really understand the impact of this storm.

Posted by: Emily | May 7, 2008 9:49 PM

The number 100'000 didn't come from the regime, it was the guesstimate by the US charge d'affaires.

Still, in the end it will be too low. The problems have just started. People will die also due to secondary effects like malnutrition, dirty water, and epidemics.

Posted by: Lassi Hippeläinen | May 8, 2008 12:22 AM

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