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sidebar3.jpg Chris Mooney is a freelance writer and the author of two books, The Republican War on Science and Storm World. For more information see his bio, events, articles, or visit him on Wikipedia and YouTube.

Sheril Kirshenbaum is a marine biologist at Duke University. Sometimes she's a classicist, radio jock, or congressional staffer. Never sure what's next, she continues to enjoy the journey...

Chris & Sheril have a sound track and are currently working on ScienceDebate2008, which they just described in:

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« Best Of: Call for a Presidential Science Debate | Main | The Standing of Science in America »

Time to Worry about Gustav

Category: Hurricanes
Posted on: August 27, 2008 2:10 PM, by Chris C. Mooney

gustav

[Tropical Storm Gustav coming off Haiti and reorganizing.]

It has been almost three full years since a major hurricane hit the United States. The last one was 2005's Wilma.

We aren't really used to this any more. 2004 and 2005 are slipping deeper and deeper into our memories...but they shouldn't.

Now, unfortunately, the current Tropical Storm Gustav may remind us of what it's like. The storm has got a whole lot of hot water ahead of it, and a track that looks pretty certain to bring it straight into the Gulf of Mexico. After that, who knows precisely where landfall will occur, but as Jeff Masters puts it: "Gustav will likely be a major Category 3 or 4 hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico, and make landfall in the U.S. as a major hurricane."

Get ready.

Comments

The projected track doesn't look good. It actually looks quite troubling. If anyone is in NOLA, please take the utmost caution. We don't want a repeat of Katrina or Rita.

http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_07.gif

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/203214.shtml?5day#contents

http://www.drudgereport.com/gt.jpg

Posted by: Stephen Berg | August 27, 2008 4:40 PM

And just as a reminder, a slow moving tropical storm like Fay can do a lot of damage without becoming a hurricane. The news reports show Gustav moving slowly across Haiti.

Posted by: Wes Rolley | August 27, 2008 5:49 PM

Ack.

I don't want to open class with an image of a hurricane threatening New Orleans again.

Posted by: Kim | August 28, 2008 12:01 AM

Is this the I or II.... could be good to know...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gustavus_Adolphus_of_Sweden

Posted by: Magnus W | August 28, 2008 8:15 AM

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