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An irregular exploration of the struggle between the power of rational discourse and the scientific method on one hand, and the forces of superstition and dogma on the other. Mostly regarding climate change, though.

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me-fergus.jpg James Hrynyshyn is a freelance science journalist based in western North Carolina, where he tries to put degrees in marine biology and journalism to good use.

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Add to Technorati Favorites! Penetrating so many secrets, we cease to believe in the unknowable. But there it sits nevertheless, calmly licking its chops.
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« Framing Science or Dumbing it Down | Main | I don't care what frakkin' sign Neko Case is born under! »

Watered down: the unedited IPCC scientific draft

Category: climate
Posted on: April 8, 2007 1:13 PM, by James Hrynyshyn

Those who really care about the process behind the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports will probably want to grab this. It's a draft of Working Group II's Summary for Policymakers before the final editing session stripped it of some of the more dramatic (alarmist?) language following objections from China and Saudi Arabia. You know it's the earlier version because it has "The content of this draft should not be cited or quoted, and is embargoed from news coverage" on the cover page.

Thanks to Rick Piltz, who managed to get a hold of the draft posted it at his Climate Science Watch blog. You can compare it, line by line, with the official version, available at the IPCC website.

The changes are easy to find. For example, here's a line from page 2:

Many natural systems, on all continents and in some oceans, are being affected by regional climate changes, particularly temperature increases [very high confidence].
And here's how it reads afterwards the big bad bureaucrats have had their say:
Observational evidence from all continents and most oceans shows that many natural systems are being affected by regional climate changes, particularly high temperatures.
Subsequent edits change "very high confidence" to merely "high confidence" or, in the case of the anthropogenic causes of climate change, just as in the example above, any reference to degree of certainty (high confidence) was removed entirely, which reportedly was a compromise suggested by U.S. delegates.

Overall, the effects of these final edits are usually subtle, but almost always unnecessary and serve only to introduce in the reader's mind more doubt that actually exists among the scientific authors. But I suppose it could have been worse. And now the scientific report is out.

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Comments

1

I suspect that these bureaucrats were going to have to report back to their sponsors, what changes they were able to make, and why their sponsors money was well spent.

Posted by: bigTom | April 8, 2007 2:44 PM

2

It looks like either you got the url wrong or else it's already been pulled from the site - it;s coming up a 404 and I don't see a link to it from the main site.

Posted by: Doug Alder | April 8, 2007 10:43 PM

3

I just saved it, so it is up now.

Posted by: Monado | April 11, 2007 2:51 PM

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