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The Island of Doubt

An irregular exploration of the struggle between the power of rational discourse and the scientific method on one hand, and the forces of superstition and dogma on the other. Mostly regarding climate change, though.

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me-fergus.jpg James Hrynyshyn is a freelance science journalist based in western North Carolina, where he tries to put degrees in marine biology and journalism to good use.

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The Demon-Haunted World:
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Add to Technorati Favorites! Penetrating so many secrets, we cease to believe in the unknowable. But there it sits nevertheless, calmly licking its chops.
--- H. L. Mencken

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"There is no need to sally forth, for it remains true that those things which make us human are, curiously enough, always close at hand. Resolve, then, that on this very ground, with small flags waving, and tiny blasts of tinny trumpets, we have met the enemy, and not only may he be ours, he may be us."
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« Dissin' Yoga: You can almost hear the gnashing of teeth | Main | Nuclear power: the bottom line »

Nobel Peace Prize favorites: IPCC and Gore?

Category: climate
Posted on: October 10, 2007 9:12 AM, by James Hrynyshyn

It was only three years ago that an environmentalist, Wangari Muta Maathai, won the Nobel Peace Prize. Is the Nobel committee prepared to award this year's prize to another champion of the environment? Betsafe.com, a live-betting site, is giving the best odds to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (3.25 to 1) and Al Gore (3.35 to 1). In third place at 4 to 1 is Sheila Watt-Cloutier, a Canadian Inuit who has made drawing the world's attention to the effects of climate change on the Arctic her raison d'être for the last few years.

The best bet on someone who is actually involved in peace-making is Martti Ahtisaari, a UN special envoy for the future of Kosovo, at 5.5 to 1.

Interesting. Climatologists are the favorite for the Nobel Peace Prize. Nice to know that even if your field of scientific expertise doesn't fall into one of the actual science-oriented prizes (Physics, Chemistry, Medicine), you still get a shot at Nobel, which is worth 1,548,603.45 USD at today's exchange rate.

Incidentally, perpetual nominee and one-hit wonder Bob Geldof, and his significantly more successful compatriot Bono, are each running at 50:1. George W. Bush manages is the longest-shot at 1000:1.

UPDATE: A day later Gore has taken the lead at 2.65 to 1. And the IPCC (now more specifically including its head, Rajendra Pachauri, has fallen to 4 to 1. Watt-Cloutier remains at 4 to 1.

Also of note, Al Gore's odds of taking the Democratic Party nomination have risen --slightly -- in the last few days, according to the Slate magazine political futures market.

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1

And its a tie!

Well done, Al Gore!! Take a bow, IPCC!

Posted by: Toby Joyce | October 12, 2007 8:20 AM

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