This has nothing to do with climatology, or science in general, but I can't resist sharing it with you. From the instructions to our new DTV antenna, which until the Great Ice Storm of 2010 damaged its transformer-coaxial connection, brought in more watchable channels than expanded basic cable or satellite:
For those that might have trouble reading the scanned text, which appears at the bottom of the instructions page in 6-point type, it says:
WARNING Do not attempt to install if drunk or pregnant or both. Do not throw antenna at spouse.
I do hope that no one at Antennas Direct gets in trouble for this.
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Awesome.
http://www.antennasdirect.com/pdf/generic_instructions.pdf
ROTFL!!!
They left out "Do not hit self on head with antenna." Call the lawyers!
Label on chainsaw along the lines of: 'Do not start while holding between legs'.
Evidently someone held it between their knees and when the saw started the heavier parts, and the handles, were behind their knees and ...
You, out of the gene pool ... the hard way.
Hard to specify and exclude every variation of foolishness. Humor should be encouraged. Even if the legal department takes a grim view of it.
You don't get out much do you?
I once gave a friend a Lava Lamp as a gag birthday gift. It had a ring of plastic flowers at its base.
Under the fake flowers was a sticker that said.
"Artificial flowers. DO NOT water."
Thereâs a new paper out by Dr. Edward Long that does some interesting comparisons to NCDCâs raw data (prior to adjustments) that compares rural and urban station data, both raw and adjusted in the CONUS.
The paper is titled Contiguous U.S. Temperature Trends Using NCDC Raw and Adjusted Data for One-Per-State Rural and Urban Station Sets. In it, Dr. Edward Long states:
âThe problem would seem to be the methodologies engendered in treatment for a mix of urban and rural locations; that the âadjustmentâ protocol appears to accent to a warming effect rather than eliminate it. This, if correct, leaves serious doubt for whether the rate of increase in temperature found from the adjusted data is due to natural warming trends or warming because of another reason, such as erroneous consideration of the effects of urban warming.â
Here is the comparison of raw rural and urban data:
And here is the comparison of adjusted rural and urban data:
Note that even adjusted urban data has as much as a 0.2 offset from adjusted rural data.
Dr. Long suggests that NCDCâs adjustments eradicated the difference between rural and urban environments, thus hiding urban heating. The consequence:
ââ¦is a five-fold increase in the rural temperature rate of increase and a slight decrease in the rate of increase of the urban temperature.â
The analysis concludes that NCDC ââ¦has taken liberty to alter the actual rural measured valuesâ.
Thus the adjusted rural values are a systematic increase from the raw values, more and more back into time and a decrease for the more current years. At the same time the urban temperatures were little, or not, adjusted from their raw values. The results is an implication of warming that has not occurred in nature, but indeed has occurred in urban surroundings as people gathered more into cities and cities grew in size and became more industrial in nature. So, in recognizing this aspect, one has to say there has been warming due to man, but it is an urban warming. The temperatures due to nature itself, at least within the Contiguous U. S., have increased at a non-significant rate and do not appear to have any correspondence to the presence or lack of presence of carbon dioxide.
The paperâs summary reads:
Both raw and adjusted data from the NCDC has been examined for a selected Contiguous U. S. set of rural and urban stations, 48 each or one per State. The raw data provides 0.13 and 0.79 oC/century temperature increase for the rural and urban environments. The adjusted data provides 0.64 and 0.77 oC/century respectively. The rates for the raw data appear to correspond to the historical change of rural and urban U. S. populations and indicate warming is due to urban warming. Comparison of the adjusted data for the rural set to that of the raw data shows a systematic treatment that causes the rural adjusted setâs temperature rate of increase to be 5-fold more than that of the raw data. The adjusted urban data setâs and raw urban data setâs rates of temperature increase are the same. This suggests the consequence of the NCDCâs protocol for adjusting the data is to cause historical data to take on the time-line characteristics of urban data. The consequence intended or not, is to report a false rate of temperature increase for the Contiguous U. S.
The full paper may be found here: Contiguous U.S. Temperature Trends Using NCDC Raw and Adjusted Data for One-Per-State Rural and Urban Station Sets (PDF) and is freely available for viewing and distribution.
Dr. Long also recently wrote a column for The American Thinker titled: A Pending American Temperaturegate
Ah, Edward Long "selected" certain stations. And the paper is published where exactly? Ah, it isn't. I'm guessing E&E will be jumping on it soon, though.
Of course, Menne et al already thoroughly thrashed the whole idea. But I see that after attacking GISTEMP and HADCRU, NCDC is now to be attacked. I think we may need to contact JMA and warn them that they also will be attacked soon. And then the satellite records are next in line. That Long's analysis is bound to be wrong doesn't matter, all the deniosphere needs to do is to point to "questions" directed at the procedures of the various groups, and confusion is bound to stick to some people.
I did not post this. No rules against masquerading as other posters here?
Time for weird Al to get cuffed and perp-walked.
Because we donât want scientists who are advocates. Weâre not interested in scientists who donât mention their doubts. Weâre sick of your inane âsimplified dramatic statementsâ. We laugh when you cry wolf with your scary scenarios. Call us crazy, but we want scientists who are honest, not scientists who balance honesty and effectiveness. You want trust? Get honest, kick out the scoundrels, and for goodness sakes, get a clue about humility.
Because the truth is, climate science is one of the newest sciences. The truth is, we know little about the climate, weâve only been studying it intensely for a couple decades. The truth is, we canât project the climate of the next decade, much less that of the next century. The truth is, we have no general theory of climate. The truth is, we donât know if an average temperature rise of a couple degrees will be a net benefit or a net loss. The truth is, all of us are human, and our knowledge of the climate is in its infancy. And I donât appreciate being lectured by infants. I donât appreciate being told that I should be put in the dock in a Nuremberg style trial for disagreeing with infants. You want to restore trust? Come down off your pedestals, forsake your ivory towers, and admit your limitations.
And through all of this, be aware that you have a long, long, long climb back up to where we will trust you. As Lincoln warned, you have forfeited the confidence of your fellow citizens, and you will be damn lucky if you ever get it back
-W
FROM NYT - January 26, 1989
This is why it was necessary to start faking up the US Temp data. Get that little hockey stick thing working. Makes perfect sense now.
U.S. Data Since 1895 Fail To Show Warming Trend
By PHILIP SHABECOFF, Special to the New York Times
Correction Appended
WASHINGTON, Jan. 25â After examining climate data extending back nearly 100 years, a team of Government scientists has concluded that there has been no significant change in average temperatures or rainfall in the United States over that entire period.
While the nation's weather in individual years or even for periods of years has been hotter or cooler and drier or wetter than in other periods, the new study shows that over the last century there has been no trend in one direction or another.
The study, made by scientists for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration was published in the current issue of Geophysical Research Letters. It is based on temperature and precipitation readings taken at weather stations around the country from 1895 to 1987.
Dr. Kirby Hanson, the meteorologist who led the study, said in a telephone interview that the findings concerning the United States do not necessarily ''cast doubt'' on previous findings of a worldwide trend toward warmer temperatures, nor do they have a bearing one way or another on the theory that a buildup of pollutants is acting like a greenhouse and causing global warming. He said that the United States occupies only a small percentage of Earth's surface and that the new findings may be the result of regional variations.
Readings taken by other scientists have suggested a significant warming worldwide over the last 100 years. Dr. James E. Hansen, director of National Aeronautic and Space Administration's Institute for Space Studies in Manhattan, has reported that average global temperatures have risen by nearly 1 degree Fahrenheit in this century and that the average temperatures in the 1980's are the highest on record.
Dr. Hansen and other scientists have said that that there is a high degree of probability that this warming trend is associated with the atmospheric buildup of carbon dioxide and other industrial gases that absorb and retain radiation.
But other scientists, while agreeing with this basic theory of a greenhouse effect, say there is no convincing evidence that a pollution-induced warming has already begun.
Dr. Michael E. Schlesinger, an atmospheric scientist at Oregon State University who studies climate models, said there is no inconsistency between the data presented by the NOAA team and the greenhouse theory. But he said he regarded the new data as inconsistent with assumptions that such an effect is already detectable. More Droughts Predicted
Many of the computer models that predict global warming also predict that certain areas, including the Midwest in the United States, would suffer more frequent droughts.
Dr. Hanson of NOAA said today that the new study does not in any way contradict the findings reported by the NASA scientists and others. He said that his study, in which he was joined by George A. Maul and Thomas A. Karl, also of NOAA, looked at only the 48 contiguous states.
Dr. Hanson said that global warming caused by the greenhouse effect might have been countered by some cooling phenomenon that has not yet been identified and that the readings in his study recorded the net effect.
''We have to be careful about interpreting things like this,'' he said. What About Urbanization? One aspect of the study that Dr. Hanson said was interesting was the finding that the urbanization of the United States has apparently not had a statistically significant effect on average temperature readings. A number of scientists have theorized that the replacement of forests and pastures by asphalt streets and concrete buildings, which retain heat, is an important cause of rising temperatures.
Dr. Hansen of NASA said today that he had ''no quarrel'' with the findings in the new study. He noted that the United States covered only 1.5 percent of Earth. ''If you have only one degree warming on a global average, how much do you get at random'' when taking measurements in such a relatively small area, he asked rhetorically.
''We are just arguing now about whether the global warming effect is large enough to see,'' he added. ''It is not suprising we are not seeing it in a region that covers only 1.5 percent of the globe.''
Dr. Hansen said there were several ways to look at the temperature readings for the United States, including as a ''statistical fluke.'' Possibililty of Countereffects
Another possibility, he said, was that there were special conditions in the United States that would tend to offset a warming trend. For example, industrial activity produces dust and other solid particles that help form liquid droplets in the atmosphere. These droplets reflect radiation away from Earth and thus have a cooling influence.
Dr. Hansen suggested that at some point there could be a jump in temperature readings in the United States if the measurements in the new study were a statistical aberration or the result of atmospheric pollutants reflecting heat away from Earth. He noted that anti-pollution efforts are reducing the amount of these particles and thus reducing the reflection of heat.
Several computer models have projected that the greenhouse effect would cause average global temperatures to rise between 3 and 8 degrees Fahrenheit in the next century. But scientists concede that reactions set off by the warming trend itself could upset these predictions and produce unanticipated changes in climate patterns. Legislative Action Sought
Coincidentally with the new report, legislation was introduced in the Senate today prescribing actions for addressing the threat of global warming. Senator Al Gore, Democrat of Tennessee, introduced a bill that calls for creating a Council on World Environmental Policy to replace the White House's Council on Environmental Quality. This change would emphasize the international aspects of environmental issues.
The bill would also require a ban on industrial chemicals that not only are depleting the atmosphere's ozone layer, which blocks harmful ultraviolet radiation, but are believed to be contributing to the warming trend. It would also require stricter fuel-economy standards for automobiles to reduce the consumption of gasoline to reduce carbon dioxide.
graphs of temperatures and rainfall from 1895 to 1987 (Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Hey - how come this site doesn't have one of those cool "blog of the year" emblems? Just askin.
Shorter Pete:
I have no sense of humour.
When Phil Jones suggested that if folks didnât like his surface temperature reconstructions, then perhaps they should do their own, he was right. The SPPI analysis of rural versus urban trends demonstrates the nature of the overall problem. It does not, however, go into sufficient detail. A close examination of the data suggests three areas needing address. Two involve the adjustments made by NCDC (NOAA) and by GISS (NASA). Each made their own adjustments and typically these are serial, the GISS done on top of the NCDC. The third problem is organic to the raw data and has been highlighted by Anthony Watts in his Surface Stations project. That involves the âmicro-climateâ biases in the raw data.
As Watts points out, while there are far too many biased weather station locations, there remain some properly sited ones. Examination of the data representing those stations provides a clean basis by which to demonstrate the peculiarities in the 'adjustments' made by NCDC and GISS.
Bottom Line. Temperature does NOT track with a 3 ppm of contribution of Plant food. Never has. Unless of course, you write a computer program and fudge the data to FORCE it to happen on paper.
-D
The almost 1 deg C negative bias for pre 1990 temp records by the NCDC is common and the almost 1.5 deg C negative bias for pre 1900 temp records by the GISS is common. The whole stupid claim of AGW is nothing but a red herring. Now that that is established, we simply follow the money to find and prosecute the crooks & their enablers.
As for you believer sheep baa baa (sheep talk for bye bye)
Right. The first are adjustments for things like station moves, time of observation.
My understanding is that the GISS adjustments are for UHI.
This would seem the right order in which to make the adjustments.
Which has been shown by several people, now, to make no difference.
Notice that Watts and D'Aleo, on their latest attack on the station data, dropped the "micro-climate" bias crap and shifted to an entirely new tactic, fewer stations are included in more recent years.
Tamino, a professional statistician, has ripped up their so-called analysis (actually done by the incompetent supposed "computer expert" EM Smith who I, an actually expert, wouldn't hire to hit the reboot button on a server, if he's incompetent as his blog makes him appear). Station drop-out makes no difference. He'll be publishing his work in a professional journal.
There's also the new CRN, designed especially to gather data with a precision needed for climate monitoring. This has been compared with existing data from the historical weather station network. Matches nicely. Analysis has been done only using Watts' "good stations". Matches nicely. Analysis has been done using "bad stations" using modern, computerized sensors which are known to have a slight bias. Matches nicely. Adjust for the bias ... slightly higher warming trend.
Watts has promised an analysis for the last year or so, and nothing's forthcoming. He's not competent to do an analysis in the first place, but no matter. He's not doing any analysis. Other people are. He's complaining "but they're using my published data!". Tough. You're not going to do analysis, you're putting data out there, other people will step up. And ... nothing. GISTEMP does a great job.
James, could you do something about this fake dhogaza stalking the real dhogaza? It's really sad, but it appears someone has no life.
I'm doing my best to ban the relevant IP addresses and deleting the comments. But I can only devote so much time, I'm afraid. -- jh
In my opinion, simplicity, objectivity, and repeatability should be of paramount importance. Once one starts making subjective adjustments of individual stationsâ data, the ability to replicate work becomes almost impossible.
Therefore, more important than the recently reported âdo-overâ of a global temperature reanalysis proposed by the UKâs Met Office would be other, independent researchers doing their own global temperature analysis. In my experience, better methods of data analysis come from the ideas of individuals, not from the majority rule of a committee.
Of particular interest to me at this point is a simple and objective method for quantifying and removing the spurious warming arising from the urban heat island (UHI) effect. The recent paper by McKitrick and Michaels suggests that a substantial UHI influence continues to infect the GISS and CRU temperature datasets.
In fact, the results for the U.S. I have presented above almost seem to suggest that the Jones CRUTem3 dataset has a UHI adjustment that is in the wrong direction. Coincidentally, this is also the conclusion of a recent post on Anthony Wattsâ blog, discussing a new paper published by SPPI.
It is increasingly apparent that we do not even know how much the world has warmed in recent decades, let alone the reason(s) why. It seems to me we are back to square one.
liar
liar
@Pete,
Is 4 independent groups not enough for you?
GISTEMP (NASA)
HADCRU (UEA/Met office)
NCDC (NOAA)
JMA (Japanese Meteorological Association).
And what "recent" McKitrick&Michaels paper are you referring to? The one where they had to correct their radians/degrees error, essentially invalidating their analysis (although they, of course, did not admit that) ?
Why are the satellites showing similar warming as the land-based measurements, when UHI supposedly is so important?
Or are you just parroting Roy Spencer...?
(ah yes, you are)
There are not 4 "independent" data sets.
Liar
Liar Liar
Everyone ABANDON SHIP!!! BAIL BAIL BAIL!
Every man for himself!!!
-Cheers, Phil
The Goretard surfaces for a moment before going back into hiding....
"It would be an enormous relief if the recent attacks on the science of global warming actually indicated that we do not face an unimaginable calamity requiring large-scale, preventive measures to protect human civilization as we know it."
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHA
You go there psycho religious nutjob warmers! Keep it up. You'll be cuffed and perp-walked right along with your agw religious leaders.
Seven-month-old baby survives shot to chest in parents' murder-suicide pact blamed on global warming fears
BY Ethan Sacks
Monday, March 1st 2010, 10:03 AM
A seven-month-old girl miraculously survived alone for three days after one of her parents shot her in the chest - apparently as part of a bizarre murder-suicide pact blamed on global warming.
The baby was discovered with a bullet casing in her chest and covered with blood by police in the Argentinean city of Goya, near the bodies of her parents and 2-year-old brother, the Latin American Herald reported Saturday.
Police broke into the home after neighbors complained of a stench coming from the house. The boy was found with a gunshot wound in his back, while his parents died from gunshot wounds to the chest.
The parents, 56-year-old Francisco Lotero and 23-year-old Miriam Coletti, are believed to have been spurred by their fears about global climate change, London's Telegraph reported.
A letter was found on a table expressing the couple's anger at the government for not responding to the environmental crisis.
Doctors said the baby's condition has been improving every day, the Herald Tribune reported
Read more: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/world/2010/03/01/2010-03-01_sevenmontho…
Well. It looks like Global Warming actually finally killed someone. The Libtards will be celebrating this major victory for "science" no doubt. U buncha whacko morons.
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/world/2010/03/01/2010-03-01_sevenmontho…
Phil Jones March 1, 2010:
"You're damn right I hid the data"
D'OH!!!!!!
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH
Phil Jones sweats on the hot seat: Head of âClimategateâ research unit admits he hid data â because it was âstandard practiceâ
The scientist at the heart of the fraudlent practices and damning emails associated with the âClimategateâ row over global warming admitted he "hid data because it had become standard practice", it emerged today.
Professor Phil Jones, embattled ex-director of the University of East Angliaâs climatic research unit, today admitted to MPs that the centre withheld raw station data about global temperatures from around the world.
An independent probe is examining the actual activities behind the science that scientists hid, manipulated and deleted data in order to exaggerate the case for "man-made global warming".
Oh oh Bongo!!!!!!!
-Cheers, Phil
âProf Jones today said it was not âstandard practiceâ in climate science to release data and methodology for scientific findings so that other scientists could check and challenge the research.â
And....now we know why.
Step 1. get some data. drop the points you don't like. apply fudge factors with secret code to make it plot the way you want. Call it a "raw dataset".
Step 2. take the fraudlently manipulated data from step 1, and further manipulate it. drop some. add some. adjust some newer data up. adjust some older data down. call it dataset 2.
Step 3. Take dataset 2, and have someone else apply even more bias and manipulation. call it dataset 3.
Step 4. Hide errr.rr.r....um Lose the raw data and codes from step 1 through 3. Save the plots though. Forward them to Al Gore.
Stand back and say - YEP! all the datasets agree.
Brilliant!