Seed Media Group

The Island of Doubt

An irregular exploration of the struggle between the power of rational discourse and the scientific method on one hand, and the forces of superstition and dogma on the other.

Search this blog

Profile

me-fergus.jpg James Hrynyshyn is a freelance science journalist based in western North Carolina, where he tries to put degrees in marine biology and journalism to good use.

Recent Posts

   xml.gifrss.gif


Recent Comments

award1-blog.gif
for 9 July 2007

Archives

Other Doubtful Blogs

Inspiration

The Demon-Haunted World:
Science as a Candle
in the Dark, by Carl Sagan
(A review)

The Doubter's Companion:
by John Ralston Saul (Excerpts)

Skeptic Magazine: www.skeptic.com

Committee for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal: www.csicop.org

A poem by Yehuda Amichai:
The Place
Where We Are Right


The Meaning of the
Island of Doubt


Author's site: cyamid.net


Add to Technorati Favorites! Penetrating so many secrets, we cease to believe in the unknowable. But there it sits nevertheless, calmly licking its chops.
--- H. L. Mencken

By doubting we come to inquiry; and through inquiry we perceive truth.
--- Peter Abelard

Undisguised clarity is easily mistaken for arrogance.
-- Richard Dawkins

As for evolution, it happened. Deal with it.
-- Michael Shermer.

More blogs about island of doubt.

climate:

Gambling on the climate

Is putting real money on something as consequential as a computer model of climate trends consistent with the professional detachment that's supposed to accompany honest research?

Why should we care about the polar bear?

This is all angels-on-pinhead philosophy. The real question is, would are the real consequences of an ESA listing?

Polar bears to be listed

Word is the U.S. Interior Department, after much delay, is going to list the polar bear (Ursus maritimus) "as a threatened species because of declining Arctic sea ice," according to major news service alert. Marvelous. Now all we have to...

McCain's McClimate plan

The free market is no more capable of reorganizing the industrial engines of civilization — which is what an effective response to the climate crisis will require — than is McDonald's capable of supplying a healthy diet to the billions and billions it serves.

Yet more Republicans in denial

Fewer than half of those who aren't embarrassed enough by the current president's record to hide their party affiliation believe the bloody obvious.

A little game for Monday morning

Got the Monday blues? Then find five minutes to brighten your day by playing what I call spot-the-slander on the Heartland Institute's list of "500 Scientists Whose Research Contradicts Man-Made Global Warming." The rules are simple:...

Why climate change is so tricky to cover

Climatologists probably need to take a stiff drink before they open the papers (or fire up their web browsers) the morning after their studies appear in print or online. Two if the studies involved say anything interesting about global warming....

It's the end of the world as we know it

By 2008 what we were uncertain about wasn't whether the climate was changing for the worse, but just how bad things were.

Is there really 200 years worth of coal left?

Just how much of the stuff is left may be irrelevant.

It's 1984 at the Wall Street Journal

It is hard to think of a better example of doublespeak. Yesterday's Wall Street Journal editorial on George W's climate change speech and came to the exact opposite conclusion of what really happened. I know the WSJ editorial page has...

Enough already! You're both right!

I don't see as how anyone can rationally argue against a plan that calls for both immediate implementation of existing technology and radically increased spending on research and development of new technology.

16-year-old libels James Hansen

I'm sure James Hansen has better things to do with his NASA paycheck than hire a lawyer to sue a 16-year-old over a libelous statement on her website. Give the amount of time he's spent crafting public letters to governors,...

Now this is interesting...

"It is hoped that the debate is over."

The story of the Hurricane: Rethinking the climate change connection

Once Kerry Emmanuel was the go-to guy for the notion that global warming is making hurricanes worse. Three years later, he's the one warning that may not be true.

At last: Al Gore gets it

"It's important to change the light bulbs, but we also have to change the laws."

New York City blows it big time

Sooner or later, every major city will have downtown traffic toll. We all know that.

Essential reading on carbon emissions targets

The fundamental question facing climate crisis activists is how to go about convincing the world to change its energy production and consumption habits. I still haven't found good answer to that. But Joe Romm has produced a magnificent primer on...

The CEI is still at it -- fighting reason

It's important to call out the CEI whenever they engage in such mendacious behavior.

Al Gore is part of the problem -- new survey

It cannot be comforting to the researchers in the scientific community that the more trust people have in them as scientists, the less concerned they are about their findings

They're either liars or...

It is simply not credible to argue that the CEI team did not know about the discrepancy between their ad's claim and the truth.

We're running out of time

If their calculations are correct we have 10 years to start chopping emissions by a mere 1 percent each year. Any further delay, and we're doomed.

The difference between philosophy and science

Let's not equate the scientists who have devoted their lives to understanding an incredibly complex and challenging with those who get their news from Rush Limbaugh.

Throwing cold water on climate change pseudoskepticism

Further to recent chatter about how silly it is to mistake blasts of cold weather for a reversal of long-term climate change, here's the latest missive from James Hansen:...

The climatologist survey

Even those who have made non-CO2 forcings their focus aren't necessarily willing to state that the IPCC overstates the threat posed by climate change.

The snow job of Kilimanjaro

Even the travel writer, who actually walked on the tell-tale evidence himself, knew better than to equate the current weather conditions on the mountain with long-term trends in global temperature averages

The end of the climate "consensus"?

The IPCC consensus is not particularly useful to those hoping to draw attention to the actual severity of the problem, but it's still useful in drawing attention to the existence of a consensus, which is very real.

General Motors vice chairman: cunning genius or blathering idiot?

One of the most unambiguous denunciations of an entire body of scientific knowledge ever uttered by an American corporate executive.

Is a carbon tax on the way?

Significant progress remains before such a tax leads to more investment in clean alternatives.

The simplest way to address the climate crisis

It's kind of like sneaking a climate change program through the back door of wildlife conservation

What's in a name (frame)? Describing the climate thing

I see no reason not to start referring to the climate crisis instead of mere climate change or global warming

North Carolina's mystery energy source

Yet another example of a politician putting the cart before the horse.

Tipping points: we know enough to know better

What I find fascinating are the authors' references to shortcomings in the IPCC reports, and their ability to generate their predictions anyway.

I HATE Fahrenheit ... and its link to presidential elections

We need a candidate for the White House who understands both the nature of the challenge of climate change and the opportunity it presents.

The "authority" argument

It's not academic credentials and expertise that matter in the debate. It's the evidence.

The seven signs of pseudoscience: testing climatology

Speculation is waste of time. Running sophisticated climate models on supercomputers is better use of same.

Shell says 7 years before oil demand outstrips supply

The CEO of Royal Dutch Shell says "after 2015 supplies of easy-to-access oil and gas will no longer keep up with demand." This in an email from Jeroen van der Veer to his staff. Hmmm....

Few hurricanes for the United States?

Will a warmer world mean fewer hurricanes hitting American soil? Nobody really knows. But a study just published in Geophysical Research Letters is bound to provide fodder for those who enjoy heralding every little morsel of evidence to support their...

Trust, skepticism and the value of blogging

"Trust no one" makes for a fine motto if you're Fox Mulder. But in the real world, it would be suicide.

A lump of coal for breakfast

The only way you're going to survive is if you manage to pull a rabbit out of the hat in the next few years and find a way to cheaply and efficiently capture and store the CO2 you pump out.

Clouds over Big Sky Country

So, there's this town in Montana, see. Name of Choteau. And seems that science ain't so popular in those parts......

2008: The Forecast

2008 or possibly 2009 could the last year for a while in which we enjoy a break from rising temperatures.

Antarctic meltdown? Don't freak out just yet

First, let's see what other observations and other models have to say, and let's see if we can't look a bit further back in time,

Now that's just WRONG! (Or is it?)

When it comes to climate change, the only way we're going to come to a consensus on what to do about it is to ditch the holier-than-thou attitude and play up the win-win scenarios.

Was Bush right? Is switchgrass the solution to climate change?

We may never live it down. The sight of George W. Bush traipsing about his ranch in Texas, extolling the virtues of switchgrass-derived ethanol as a replacement for gasoline generated more than a few chuckles among scientifically literate environmentalists. Yet...

Whither the ice caps?

"At the end of the day, you can be 90% confident of something, and all people will hear is that you aren't certain about what you are saying."

Pick a number between 1 and ...?

Instead of debating what's feasible, we're quibbling over just how low CO2 levels needs to be.

Has global warming stopped? I'm glad you asked...

It's is a dangerous and perhaps even disingenous question.

Cross-border climate change concern gap

Matt Nisbet once again points out that nobody in America cares about climate change. With all due respect to the Pew survey gang, I doubt things are really that bad. Consider a recent poll of Canadians that puts the environment...

Adapt! The cry of the coward

To abandon any thought of mitigating climate change, to quit now while we can, at least in theory, head off the worst of what's to come, strikes me as a lazy and cowardly approach

But what do the laws of thermodynamics say?

Roger Pielke Jr. asks why almost every media outlet ignored a new paper in Nature that says "global warming may have a minimal effect on hurricanes" when comparably respectable papers arguing the opposite get oodles of attention. Good question. I'll...

White House science adviser on the climate change challenge

Just how out of touch with science is Bush's science adviser? Ray Pierrehumbert, a University of Chicago climatologist, bring us a report on a speech by John Marburger at the current meeting of the American Geophysical Union. Unfortunately there are...

Dueling temperature records

Get ready for the climate change pseudoskeptics to exploit to their own disingenuous ends the inevitable disagreement among climatologists over just where the latest 12 months falls in the list of warmest years on record. See? they'll argue, the science...

Tell us something we didn't know

I don't know how many hours and dollars were spent by this hot-off-the-presses official government duplication of what Chris Mooney laid out two years ago in The Republican War on Science, but I suppose it's always good to have confirmation...

US Navy study: seven years of north pole summer ice left?

Today we hear about a new study suggesting the north pole's summer ice will be gone within seven years. Not, 40, not 30, not even 13, but seven. I can't find any information from the actual study. All that we...

80 percent by 2050 is not enough

"In order to stay below 2 °C, global emissions must peak and decline in the next 10 to 15 years, so there is no time to lose." -- Bali Climate Declaration

Why Bali will be another missed opportunity

Any scheme that doesn't try to apportion emission rights fairly is doomed to failure because the developing world -- i.e., China -- will ignore it.

So it begins...

Geoengineering is a win-win scenario if there ever was one. If you're a corporate CEO, that is.

Taking on Big Coal: Hansen's holy war

It all makes complete sense. From a Vulcan's point of view.

Worse than terrifying?

Hold on a sec ...

They'll appoint anyone to the House of Lords...

The NZ Business Roundtable would probably find a lecture from his daughter more informative, as Nigella "Domestic Goddess" Lawson at least has experience with the physical effects of real temperatures.

Thursday must read: The Nature of Climate Politics

Nature's editors have written an excellent summary of the state of climate politics in anticipation of the Bali negotiations on a post-Kyoto regime. Despite recapping all the daunting challenges, including the technological hurdles facing those interested in carbon capture and...

The ultimate climate change remedy

If praying for rain actually worked, why not use it for all our weather and climate woes?

Hosed again by that damn metric system!

Anyone who remembers Bob and Doug MacKenzie's attempts on Second City TV to convert two pounds of back bacon into 32 kilos can smile knowingly.

The Not-So-Great Global Warming Denial Paper Hoax of 2007

By now you may of heard of a fictional paper in a fictional peer-reviewed journal that claims to prove that bacteria, not humans, are to blame for climate change. Here's a link to "Carbon dioxide production by benthic bacteria: the...

80 percent by 2050

There are lots of reasons to treat such a goal as wildly unrealistic.

Unrest in the forest, trouble with the trees

They're still needed in the Amazon, of course, but not so much in Ontario.

Uncertainty is here to stay, say climatologists

All those positive feedbacks will accelerate not only global warming, but also increase the uncertainty involved in making predictions about just how warm it will get.

After the Warming: a view from 2050 (via 1989)

"Where they got it really wrong was the argument about whether or not the greenhouse effect was actually happening at the time."