A while back I came across a survey that reported more people would not vote for a 72 year-old than for a Mormon (which, given the bigotry against Mormons, is pretty remarkable). So, I wanted to figure out how likely it was that each of the remaining candidates would keel over in office. Who knows? Maybe the public does know something after all.
Using these mortality tables developed by the CDC, I figured out what the probably would be that a given candidate would die in office. Here are their ages upon assuming office for reference:
And here’s the likelihood of croaking:
Huckabee: 6.7% (must be all the Jesus. Not really. Just math, even if he claims he studies miracles, not math).
Obama: 7.9% (see, there really is no difference between them….)
McCain’s the big winner. Given that he’s started using the slogan “Day One” to mean that he can hit the ground running once he’s elected, someone might want to raise the point that the odds aren’t so great he’ll reach Day Two Thousand….