Because that’s not been his MO so far. A long-time reader emailed and asked me why I haven’t commented on Libya. Well, it’s simple: as far as I can tell, the U.S. government has a long-standing policy of doing the opposite of what I want when it comes to matters of war and peace. Nonetheless, I really do hope our aimless Libyan ‘kinetic military action’ works out well–I really would like Juan Cole to be right.
But the problem is that I’m old enough to remember when the Libyan War was only supposed to be a no-fly zone. Then it morphed into bombing armor. And now we’re considering arming the rebels (even though we really don’t know who they are–because giving guns to strangers is friendly. Or something).
Since many people are bringing up the Iraq War (part deux, not the first), I will too. The reason I opposed that war from the outset was twofold:
1) The arguments supporting a biological and nuclear weapons were stupid. Physicists repeatedly debunked the notion that the tubes were being used for nuclear weapons manufacture. And I’ve worked with Bacillus and have had biohazard training. The biological evidence was ridiculous.
2) If Bush lied about budget issues (and he did, all the way back to the presidential campaign), then, of course he would
lie about the reasons to go to war mischaracterize the evidence in favor of war. Lying had worked so well for Little Lord Pontchartrain, why would he stop? (Turns out I was right too).
So, if you’re on what passes for the Left, what of Obama’s actions to date convince you that, when it’s all said and done, you’ll get what you want?
The stimulus was too small and too tax cut rich. Healthcare reform gave us Romneycare–and the whole process was handled ineptly. He talks like a Republican regarding Social Security–and his minions are still leaving the door open on Social Security cuts. Days before the Deepwater Horizon catastrophe, he equated environmentalists with global warming denialists. By the way, how did the ‘brain’ trust of Geithner and Summers work out for you? Let’s not forget his reflexive Punching of Dirty Hippies in the Face either. And despite campaign promises to the contrary, we’re still in Iraq (and Obama never wanted to leave Afghanistan in the first place).
So why do you think going to war with him will be any different? The imaginary general in your head is not running this operation, Obama and his advisors are: we’re going to war with the president we have, not the one we wish we had. Obama will do what he wants done, not what you want done.
I hope I’m wrong, but a good outcome will happen only if Obama doesn’t play true to type.
I guess that’s called hope.