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« Dover documentary | Main | More Flew peculiarities »

Hello, Stan Palmer!

Category: AdministrativeKooksPersonal
Posted on: November 8, 2007 4:31 PM, by PZ Myers

Hi, Stan. You're new here, like a whole lot of people. You've just shown up, and here's your very first comment.

I noticed that this blog is in the running for a Best Science Blog award.

I've looked over the site. Cna someone point out where the science is on it. I have looked but I can't find any.

Let me introduce myself. My name is PZ Myers. I'm an associate professor of biology at a small liberal arts university in the upper midwest. I make no grand claims for myself, but I have been exceptionally busy lately, with lots of travel and lectures, and it's all on top of teaching two courses, one of which is both new to me and a new course in our discipline, so I'm writing lectures at a frantic pace and trying to keep up with 80 students. I'm also working on a book and have a magazine column to write, in addition to other irregular writing jobs. I'm stretched very, very thin right now, I'm a bit frustrated myself that I haven't had much spare time for the blog, and I'm feeling extremely cranky.

Welcome, Stan Palmer, I'm going to unload on you as a proxy for all your fellow denialist idiots!

First, though, I'll help you out. Look on the left sidebard, for A Taste of Pharyngula. If that's not enough, there's an archive of my Seed columns. You didn't seem to look very hard before leaping to your rather clueless indictment; I suspect you were directed here by one of those right-wing sites and came here with preconceptions. I daresay you probably didn't look at all, but instead simply scampered over here to toss off your petty, ignorant comment.

And then, of course, what's bringing you and your fellow naive whiners here is the need to defend the climate change denialist, McIntyre — so many of you, after carping that I'm not meeting your demands, are protesting that he's not a denialist, and you aren't denialists, and you're all here in the cause of good science.

Bullshit.

My expertise is not in climate, but in biology, and I'm familiar with his type — it's a common strategy among creationists, who do dearly love to collect complaints. There are people who put together a coherent picture of a scientific issue, who review lots of evidence and assemble a rational synthesis. They're called scientists. Then there are the myopic little nitpickers, people who scurry about seeking little bits of garbage in the fabric of science (and of course, there are such flaws everywhere), and when they find some scrap of rot, they squeak triumphantly and hold it high and declare that the science everywhere is similarly corrupt. They lack perspective. They ignore everything that doesn't fit their search criterion, and of course, they're focused only on putrescence. They aren't scientists, they're more like rats.

And the worst of the rats are the sanctimonious ones that declare that they're just 'policing' science. They aren't. They're just providing fodder for their fellow denialists, and like them all, have nothing of value to contribute to advance the conversation. You can quit whining that you and McIntyre are finding valid errors; it doesn't matter, since you're simultaneously spreading a plague of lies and ignorance as you go.

So bugger off, denialists. I am not impressed.

Everyone else, please do vote for Bad Astronomy. Real scientists can see the big picture and understand that the real power of science lies in the explanations, not the pettifoggery with statistics — not that I expect the right-wing gomers at the Weblog Awards who nominated the purveyors of junk science for their award to to know that, or for the swarms of freepers and limbots to care.

Oh, and the next clueless ass to whine at me that they can't find any science here will be disemvoweled. I'm feeling peevish, so it's not a good time to prod.

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Comments

#1

Posted by: ike | November 8, 2007 4:38 PM

PZ calm down, have a beer.

#2

Posted by: Donalbain | November 8, 2007 4:42 PM

Hy, PZ
Whrs th scnc? Why n scnc. W wnt t s th scnc. Shw s th scnc!
nd nywy, cphlpds sck!

#3

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 4:43 PM

I'm planning to. I'm going to use this trip to DC to sleep in late (7am, maybe, if I'm feeling hedonistic), take some walks on the mall, get some seafood, and drink a Bubble Me Blue martini.


#4

Posted by: David Wilford | November 8, 2007 4:45 PM

Awards can be useful things, but this latest interwebby awards contest is pretty lame, IMO. The selection of nominees seems rather ad hoc to me, and the voting less about the science than about the politics of it all. Bah, humbug!

#5

Posted by: per | November 8, 2007 4:47 PM

an interesting perspective, and of course, really rather light on any data that suggests that McIntyre is a "denialist". But then, why let facts get in the way of a good unload ?

It is probably worth mentioning that the National Academy of Science empanelled an NRC group to pronounce on the statistical analysis that McIntyre did. The NRC group - of leading climate scientists- pretty much agreed with McIntyre's conclusions. Wegman, a leading statistician, also did a report that agreed with the NRC report, and criticised the statistics in the "hockey-stick" analysis.

Maybe PZ is suggesting all these people are liars, or somehow right wing, or denialist, because of their science ?

You make the analogy with creationists. Well who here is insisting that we ignore well-founded science ?

#6

Posted by: Ted D | November 8, 2007 4:48 PM

This post just gave me a warm, fuzzy feeling inside. It exactly expressed my own feelings after having read all these comments on yours and the BA's blog for the last few days. Thank you! And thank you for a great science blog.
/unrepentant fanboy mode off

#7

Posted by: Freddy | November 8, 2007 5:00 PM

...My expertise is not in climate, but in biology, and I'm familiar with his type -- it's a common strategy among creationists, who do dearly love to collect complaints....

You don't understand the maths, but your hatred will guide you nonetheless. You silly fellow.

#8

Posted by: Bronze Dog | November 8, 2007 5:03 PM

Denialists of all stripes use the same tactics. Doesn't take a science degree of any kind to spot them.

#9

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 8, 2007 5:04 PM

and criticised the statistics in the "hockey-stick" analysis.

As I told you folks yesterday: fuck the hockey stick, fuck Mann, and look. Make sure to read all the fine print.

Acting as if science had, like, somehow just stopped in 1998 is diagnostic of 1) ignorance and 2) the stupidity of believing everyone is as ignorant as oneself.

#10

Posted by: cbone | November 8, 2007 5:06 PM

"You didn't seem to look very hard before leaping to your rather clueless indictment;"

From your comments about Steve, it is also obvious that you are guilty of the same behavior.

#11

Posted by: BS Naysayer | November 8, 2007 5:06 PM

PZ Myrs sn't gdd by htrd. H s mstrbtng frsly. Tht s blgy t y.

PS Whr s th scnc n ths blg?

#12

Posted by: j1 | November 8, 2007 5:09 PM

Poor PZ, losing so badly to "denialists," he has to huff into his lukewarm tea. Better luck next year.

#13

Posted by: Tristram shandy | November 8, 2007 5:09 PM

First time I've see a grown man unhinged by a stupid question.

#14

Posted by: Kate | November 8, 2007 5:11 PM

I'm with Stan. This blog would have been better suited to the Religion category.

#15

Posted by: Johnny Vector | November 8, 2007 5:12 PM

Man, they sure show up fast, don't they?

It is probably worth mentioning that the National Academy of Science empanelled an NRC group to pronounce on the statistical analysis that McIntyre did. The NRC group - of leading climate scientists- pretty much agreed with McIntyre's conclusions.

Um, let's see, this would be the report that is summarized at the NAS website thusly?

There is sufficient evidence from tree rings, retreating glaciers, and other "proxies" to say with confidence that the last few decades of the 20th century were warmer than any comparable period in the last 400 years, according to a new National Research Council report.

You use that word "agreed". I do not think it means what you think it means.

#16

Posted by: harold | November 8, 2007 5:15 PM

P.Z. has spoken

Amen.

And it is undeniable that there are some very
nasty and foolish posts in the Webblog thread.

#17

Posted by: Freddy | November 8, 2007 5:16 PM

Re : David Marjanović
... fuck the hockey stick, fuck Mann, and look. ...

Well, I looked, and I saw another hockey stick and a weak argument that contained the words "...and if paleoclimatology is right about anything, we're likely heading towards disaster...."

In science, first you have to prove that paleoclimatology is right. Which they have entirely failed to do.

#18

Posted by: JD | November 8, 2007 5:16 PM

Either there's a denialist invasion in full swing, or some people are posting under multiple different names.

#19

Posted by: idlex | November 8, 2007 5:16 PM

PZ sure is one sore loser. And what kind of real scientist ever tells people who disagree with him to 'fuck off'?

#20

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 8, 2007 5:17 PM

Can we just call them Freepers? They whine and pout just like em.

#21

Posted by: Disgusted in St. Louis | November 8, 2007 5:18 PM

Wish I was able to write a 'bugger off' post half as well as this one!

#22

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 8, 2007 5:22 PM

It's an invasion of assholes. They come over here and cry about being called denialists and PZ is the baby? Grow thicker skins.

PZ made it clear last week he didn't want the top science blog award, that's the only reason CA may win it. He may regret it, because now we have you assholes shouting victory when PZ was trying to throw it to a blog he respects and likes.

#23

Posted by: student_b | November 8, 2007 5:23 PM

Since I haven't followed the whole Molly award thingy that extensively, did David Marjanović, OM ever got one?

If no, he really should receive one for his comments in this and other blogs. :)

As for the topic, nice analysis of the type of people they're over at Climate Audit.

#24

Posted by: dzd | November 8, 2007 5:23 PM

Geez, you'd think someone had disparaged Ron Paul, as quickly as the Astroturf Response Squad has mobilized.

#25

Posted by: Josh | November 8, 2007 5:23 PM

In science, first you have to prove that paleoclimatology is right. Which they have entirely failed to do.

Yeah...wow...that's just not really how science works at all.

#26

Posted by: remy | November 8, 2007 5:25 PM

"And what kind of real scientist ever tells people who disagree with him to 'fuck off'?"

One who has had to deal with far too many idiots.

#27

Posted by: per | November 8, 2007 5:27 PM

Dear Johnny Vector
as far as I am aware, McIntyre has never disagreed with

There is sufficient evidence from tree rings, retreating glaciers, and other "proxies" to say with confidence that the last few decades of the 20th century were warmer than any comparable period in the last 400 years, according to a new National Research Council report.

The NRC does agree with McIntyre's specific criticisms of the statistics used by MBH'98, and it explicitly disavows use of several of the proxies that MBH'98 used.

#28

Posted by: Onias | November 8, 2007 5:27 PM

Oh my God, Kate's a laugh riot, ha ha ha. Because, you know, that's the first time PZ has been accused of being a religionist by a right-wing moron. It's so original, you know?

#29

Posted by: AtheistAcolyte | November 8, 2007 5:30 PM

Right on, PZ!

per-
An admittedly brief search through McIntyre's site finds no reference to the phrase "I am not a denialist" by McIntyre.

A similar look at his site shows perfunctory analysis and lukewarm criticism (if any at all) of The Great Global Warming Swindle, while the recent readjustment in GISS's data is trumpeted from here to high heaven.

Please cite the post where McIntyre states, in no uncertain terms, that he is not a denialist and does consider global warming to be happening.

Please also explain how a man who claims to be impartial and anti-anti-science can find no rage for a clearly and self-admittedly one-sided "documentary" which is on par with "Expelled".

#30

Posted by: Jolly Bloger | November 8, 2007 5:31 PM

Can I just point out again that right wing does not equal creationist denialist nutjob? Some of us are very pro-science atheists. Thanks, and I feel your pain PZ.

#31

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 5:31 PM

More rats. Rats with their moldy flecks of rotting garbage. You guys don't get it, do you?

#32

Posted by: synapse | November 8, 2007 5:32 PM

Are you sure he's one of the denialists? I agree with you about almost everything you post, but I also wish that there was "more science" on this blog, since I enjoy your analysis of development papers. There are way more posts on religion and atheism that there are on any other topic. Your regular readers are fine with that, but the guy who comes here once from the award website expecting this "science blog" to have science in every post is going to be confused.

#33

Posted by: B. Dewhirst | November 8, 2007 5:33 PM

Your challenge is not to find some peer-reviewed work that was a little sloppy... your challenge is to fund peer-reviewed work that actually supports your fucking proposition.

You can't do that because you're wrong.

You wouldn't know science if it bit you.

#34

Posted by: B. Dewhirst | November 8, 2007 5:35 PM

Either there's a denialist invasion in full swing, or some people are posting under multiple different names.

I agree... sock-puppet city.

#35

Posted by: harold | November 8, 2007 5:36 PM

All this fuss over a silly Webblog competition.

Have a nice flight P.Z. and go easy on the martini's.

#36

Posted by: Sili | November 8, 2007 5:37 PM

PZed,

Why do you hate rats so? Rats can be lovely and cuddly. I'm offended on behalf of rat-kind.


student_b,

Dottore Marjanović has indeed been awarded the Order of Molly - hence the to postnominal "OM".

Unless of course I'm mistaken, and he is in fact a British subject. Perhaps in due time he will be and then he might end up "OM2".

#37

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 8, 2007 5:40 PM

Typical. He tries to do something nice and denialists take advantage of it.

#38

Posted by: harold | November 8, 2007 5:44 PM

"Typical. He tries to do something nice and denialists take advantage of it."

Huh? He tells denialists to bugger off. Lol

#39

Posted by: darwinfinch | November 8, 2007 5:47 PM

Looks like a surpriZe attack by some broom-up-the-ass humans from some likely truly constipated blog.
Fellow humans, swarming in with the same rubber/glue posts! Shame on you (and BTW you should learn the proper use of shame)

I'd rather vote Republican than be a part of such horseshit dishonesty as the faux-thinkers pouring in on this thread.

#40

Posted by: Theo Richel | November 8, 2007 5:47 PM

AtheistAcolyte. This is McIntyres position towards GW:

Does your work disprove global warming?

We have not made such a claim. There is considerable evidence that in many locations the late 20th century was generally warmer than the mid-19th century. However, there is also considerable evidence that in parts of the Northern Hemisphere, the mid-19th century was exceptionally cold. We think that a more interesting issue is whether the late 20th century was warmer than periods of similar length in the 11th century. We ourselves do not opine on this matter, other than to say that the MBH results relied upon so heavily by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its 2001 report are invalid. (From: http://www.climateaudit.org/?page_id=1002 )


#41

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 5:51 PM

That isn't a position. That's obfuscatory bafflegab calculated to encourage deniability.

#42

Posted by: tomh | November 8, 2007 5:52 PM

Geez, I come back after a few days off and the place is full of wingnuts.

#43

Posted by: Shnakepup | November 8, 2007 5:56 PM

I didn't want to say anything in the previous thread about CA, but I have to agree that there seems to be a lot of sockpuppetry going on here. Then again, it could just be a ton of rabid CA fans coming over here to defend their champion nitpicker, McIntyre. I dunno. I'm leaning toward sockpuppets. I know you probably don't care PZ, but have you looked into this?

I checked out CA...ugh. It's an entire blog seemingly devoted to the hockey stick. That's all. That's it. And although McIntyre never explicity states that he doubts AGW in general, he's definately doing it a disservice by focusing so narrow-mindedly on some errors in a study that don't even significantly effect the outcome of said study! Furthermore, he seems to have a lot of paranoia and anger about climatologists in general. Lots of snark, whine, and victim-playing over there. Yeesh.

#44

Posted by: Ford | November 8, 2007 5:57 PM

Well, there's egg, sausage, Spam and bacon. That hasn't got much Spam.

#45

Posted by: gg | November 8, 2007 5:58 PM

remy wrote: ""And what kind of real scientist ever tells people who disagree with him to 'fuck off'?"

One who has had to deal with far too many idiots. "

It's not just that they're idiots -- I can deal with simple idiots. It's that they're self-righteous, ignorant, idiots. Kind of like trying to have a discussion with Ted Stevens about the internets.

#46

Posted by: obscured by clouds | November 8, 2007 6:02 PM

"PZ sure is one sore loser. And what kind of real scientist ever tells people who disagree with him to 'fuck off'?"

"What's happening in science is the most interesting thing in the world, and if you don't agree with me just fuck off, because I'm not interested in talking to you" - Alun Anderson, Editor-in-Chief of New Scientist

Ahem from a real scientist ;)~

#47

Posted by: G | November 8, 2007 6:03 PM

Damn, and I left my wingnut fumigant at home today...

#48

Posted by: AtheistAcolyte | November 8, 2007 6:04 PM

Theo Richel -
Thanks for the reply. However, not all replies are answers. The quote you present makes no reference to evidence for global warming. That is to say, the mean annual temperature has risen by statistically significant amounts over the last 100 years.

To repeat:
Please cite the post where McIntyre states, in no uncertain terms, that he is not a denialist and does consider global warming to be happening.

#49

Posted by: Stogoe | November 8, 2007 6:05 PM

Please help me, conservative atheists. I can't seem to find anything in the right-wing platform that could be called rational or evidence-based.

School vouchers? nothing more than religious payola.
Trickle down economics? Doesn't work. Nothing trickles down.
Deregulation? Corruption and the raping of consumers have run rampant.
Lower taxes for the rich? Consolidates power and wealth in the hands of the few without creating economic opportunities for others.

In fact, it seems that when conservatives aren't forcing a fascist, dominionist theocracy on Americans, they're consolidating wealth and power for the rich, white males who already have it.

#50

Posted by: gg | November 8, 2007 6:06 PM

Shnakepup wrote: "And although McIntyre never explicity states that he doubts AGW in general, he's definitely doing it a disservice by focusing so narrow-mindedly on some errors in a study that don't even significantly effect the outcome of said study!"

The 17th century version of such an attitude: "Ohmygod, Isaac Newton believed in alchemy! The whole theory of gravitation must be wrong!

#51

Posted by: Adam | November 8, 2007 6:08 PM

Wow, invasion. Pretty deft, PZ, making a nest for them to foul and leading them to it. Lemme get some popcorn.

#52

Posted by: per | November 8, 2007 6:11 PM

And although McIntyre never explicity states that he doubts AGW in general, he's definately doing it a disservice ...

you know, this is a funny argument you produce, like somehow getting the proper answer from a science experiment is bad. Have a look at:
http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=2327

I think the point is well made. You want to have a well-founded scientific view on climate; not one that relies on information that is wrong.

some errors in a study that don't even significantly effect the outcome of said study
well this isn't true. If you take the bristlecones out of MBH'98, you lose the statistical significance. If you take out the erroneous PCA method, the hockey-stick is no longer the dominant component of variance. The NAS panel said that you shouldn't rely on bristlecones, and they concluded that temperature reconstructions have unknown reliability.

These are significant issues, and they do make a difference.

And by the way, one of the ways science works is by holding out your work, your hypotheses, to critical examination. It is when you work survives that critical examination that it is good science.

#53

Posted by: factician | November 8, 2007 6:12 PM

"And what kind of real scientist ever tells people who disagree with him to 'fuck off'?"

I dunno. I'm a real scientist and I tell people to fuck off on a nearly daily basis...

...Don't you?

#54

Posted by: AtheistAcolyte | November 8, 2007 6:14 PM

My current theory is that McIntyre's perceived non-denialist stance is an artifact of cognitive dissonance and groupthink. You'll note that everyone will leap up with "He's not a denialist, he's said so many times," but no one can come up with a quote from him where he clarifies such a position unambiguously. We shall see if my theory holds against what I'm sure will be the flood of data.

#55

Posted by: Theo Richel | November 8, 2007 6:17 PM

AtheistAcolyte: Well no. He makes no statements about it and rightly so, because he only makes a statement about something that he checked thoroughly. So he doesnt deny it nor confirm it. If that makes him a denialist then you have an easy day, otherwise I suggest you prove him to be a denialist. Or go to his site if you dare and ask him personally.

#56

Posted by: Brian English | November 8, 2007 6:19 PM

One of the things I've always liked about PZ is his correct usage of non-americanisms. I could be wrong but bugger is a typically Kiwi-aussie word. Everything is buggered down this way (read into that what you will). Sweet.

#57

Posted by: tomh | November 8, 2007 6:20 PM

Theo Richel wrote:
Or go to his site if you dare

Is it scary there?

#58

Posted by: Siamang | November 8, 2007 6:20 PM

Doesn't matter if a scientist tells someone to fuck off or not. It's immaterial to the science.

Why is it denialists of all stripes would rather argue about manners than science? Is it because they know their science is shit?

Excuse me. Poo-poo?

#59

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 6:23 PM

Sorry, but the sanctimonious assholes who have charged over here to make accusations, and the fact that he's got the support of the junk science king, Milloy, gives me no cause to doubt my impressions of McIntyre, and I'm not at all interested in visiting his site.

#60

Posted by: AtheistAcolyte | November 8, 2007 6:23 PM

So then Theo, you agree that he has NOT said so? So all those people who say "He's not a denialist, he said so many times" are all wrong?

Thanks.

#61

Posted by: ennui | November 8, 2007 6:24 PM

PZed ~ I'm sorry I can't make it tonight for the delicious geekiness. But I am having a gas watching all of this greenhouse carnage unfold. Have one/two/ten of those fizzy lifting drinks for all of us who would be there if we could!

And, bugger off all of you denialist muppets!

#62

Posted by: Kamehameha the Great | November 8, 2007 6:25 PM

"Oh, and the next clueless ass to whine at me that they can't find any science here will be disemvoweled. I'm feeling peevish, so it's not a good time to prod.

At risk of being characterized as a "clueless ass", I will post a thought that aspires to rise above the insipidness and banality that offends and presents a perspective that may be worth considering:

"Science and religion are two windows that people look through, trying to understand the big universe outside, trying to understand why we are here. The two windows give different views, but they look out at the same universe. Both views are one-sided, neither is complete. Both leave out essential features of the real world. And both are worthy of respect.

Trouble arises when either science or religion claims universal jurisdiction, when either religious dogma or scientific dogma claims to be infallible. Religious creationists and scientific materialists are equally dogmatic and insensitive. By their arrogance they bring both science and religion into disrepute. The media exaggerate their numbers and importance. The media rarely mention the fact that the great majority of religious people belong to moderate denominations that treat science with respect, or the fact that the great majority of scientists treat religion with respect so long as religion does not claim jurisdiction over scientific questions.:- Freeman Dyson

#63

Posted by: John A | November 8, 2007 6:27 PM

So PZ, you're not bitter are you? Tell how you REALLY feel.

#64

Posted by: harold | November 8, 2007 6:31 PM

@ Atheist

I suppose you are referring to research by Dr Norbert Schwartz

http://sitemaker.umich.edu/norbert.schwarz/files/07_aep_schwarz_et_al_setting-people-straight.pdf

Climateaudit is interested in Data and not Theories,
but you are a step ahead of them I see.

#65

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 6:34 PM

Oh, no, I am bitter, John A. I'm greatly irritated that the average intelligence of the commenters here has plummeted since you and your lying ilk have been diluting the threads here.

You can go away now.

#66

Posted by: dogmeatib | November 8, 2007 6:35 PM

and it's all on top of teaching two courses, one of which is both new to me and a new course in our discipline, so I'm writing lectures at a frantic pace and trying to keep up with 80 students

Sorry, I had to chuckle at this PZ, 80 students? Two classes? WOW ... not. ;o)

I am currently teaching four different classes plus overseeing a student project. One I've never taught before, another that I hadn't taught for two years. I have slightly less than 200 students.

Just snarking. ;o)

By the way, shame to see, Bad Astronomy didn't win. :o(

#67

Posted by: Chris Christner | November 8, 2007 6:36 PM

PZ Myers:

Victim: "I'm a bit frustrated myself that I haven't had much spare time for the blog, and I'm feeling extremely cranky"

Rude guy: "Welcome, Stan Palmer, I'm going to unload on you as a proxy for all your fellow denialist idiots!"

With all that going for him, he also manages to squeeze in time to be a hypocritical fool! He chews out Stan for coming to his site, checking it out and opining that there's not much science to be seen. PZ grants this (he's been really busy though!), then slams Stan for not scanning for science in the fine print in the left column.

Meanwhile, our intrepid ass. professor has the gall to berate McIntyre's site and his politics even though he's never been there!!

#68

Posted by: G | November 8, 2007 6:36 PM

@John A

Your last name wouldn't happen to be Davison, would it?

#69

Posted by: AtheistAcolyte | November 8, 2007 6:36 PM

Actually, I had no idea of Dr. Schwartz's research. As psychology is my wife's department, I'll read it some other time.

I do not plan on presenting my theory to ClimateAudit, nor any reputable (or disreputable, for that matter) scientific journal. It's merely an observation that would seem to fall in line with what little I know of cognitive psychology. I'm more than open to evidence to disprove this.

#70

Posted by: Jon Strong | November 8, 2007 6:37 PM

Science is like a window, or maybe more aptly, a lens to properly perceive the world. Religion is more like a wooden door or a carnival fun house mirror.

You'll find counter-arguments to all of Dyson's points littered across this site. Posting a quote from a seemingly wise authority without backing any of it up is a poor way to argue.

#71

Posted by: harold | November 8, 2007 6:38 PM

My belief is that the average I.Q. here has gone up,
but maybe this is because your posters got so
emotional

#72

Posted by: Who Cares | November 8, 2007 6:39 PM

@tomh (post #42):
Great or what? [/sarcasm]

@Theo Richel (post (#41):
He dismisses research in the piece you posted because his opinion, without any research to back it up, is that it is wrong. He is not even trying to reinterpret the data or get another hypothesis that encompasses both the data and a reason why the current theory might be wrong, no he just states from opinion that the theory is wrong.
And then people like you wonder why he gets laughed at by people who do research.

#73

Posted by: per | November 8, 2007 6:40 PM

PZM wrote

the climate change denialist, McIntyre

hmm, that looks like a pretty direct charge that McIntyre is a denialist; though a charge that PZM does not substantiate.

AtheistAcolyte:

Please cite the post where McIntyre states, in no uncertain terms, that he is not a denialist...

so now McIntyre has to deny that he is a denialist, or he is one ? And you know, the funny thing is that McIntyre has n't denied that he is an axe-murderer, a mad arsonist, or a genocidal maniac; and I guess with that logic, he must be all three !

Again, the amusing thing is that you can go over to his website, and actually look at the analysis he does, which is actual analysis, rather than denial. This link (http://www.climateaudit.org/index.php?p=27) gives some indication as to why he thinks it is important to check out data sets.

Needless to say, it is rather amusing that PZM has made amazingly vitriolic comments, and that he won't visit climateaudit to see what it says. What more could you ask for by way of scientific method ?

#74

Posted by: AtheistAcolyte | November 8, 2007 6:40 PM

PZ, allow me.

Fuck off.

I really do enjoy the feel of that. Let's make that the rationalist rallying cry. Could we get that whole quote printed on the backs of our OUT campaign shirts?

#75

Posted by: John A | November 8, 2007 6:41 PM

Well PZ at least you're not bitter. There's nothing worse than a bitter academic.

#76

Posted by: Jon Strong | November 8, 2007 6:44 PM

PZ isn't going to waste his time reading CA because he fundamentally disagrees with their approach towards science. The content McIntyre posts is irrelevant. DUH.

#77

Posted by: harold | November 8, 2007 6:46 PM

#69 Atheist

Thank you for your reply.
It is an interesting read, and shows how hard it is
to change opinions, whatever side you are on. :-)

#78

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 6:47 PM

Sanctimonious, ignorant, and illiterate, John A? I see you're incapable of even reading a single comment by me.

Now, like I said, you can go away.

#79

Posted by: Verde S | November 8, 2007 6:49 PM

As much as I like this blog, but I think Stan has a point. Most of the posts are not about science or are at most tangentially about science. Most of them are about belief systems. Maybe this is why I like this blog. But you have definitely over-reacted to Stan and some of the other commenters. I think you should apologize.

FYI, I'm atheist and consider evolution a true scientific theory.

#80

Posted by: James Taylor | November 8, 2007 6:50 PM

Hang tough PZ.

Denialist appears to be a naughty, naughty word. So much so that a legion of drones is dispatched to deny the denialist label.

The theory of GW is based on such fundamental chemistry that even a ninth grader can derive a conclusion as to the result of an ongoing open experiment where unregulated combustion and exhaust is vented continuously into the atmosphere. Denying the inevitable outcome is dishonest, regressive and self-destructive. It must be hard to live in denial with oneself and it certainly isn't healthy.

#81

Posted by: AtheistAcolyte | November 8, 2007 6:50 PM

Should he not be a denialist, it should be relatively easy for him to refute. We're just talking a few words here. Why is everyone battling so hard on this?

#82

Posted by: _Jim | November 8, 2007 6:51 PM

PZ, both you and horse you rode in on you are absolutely pathetic.

You and a select crowd of posters here have come up short in repeated attempts to falsely label and impugn the honest efforts and genuinely scientific pursuits of a great many individuals from CA; you haven't been able to defend nor support any lame accusation, false assertion, or innuendo.

In short, you have failed and you ahve been beaten, baffled, bested, circumvented, conquered, cowed, crushed, disappointed, discomfited, disheartened, frustrated, humbled, licked, mastered, overcome, overpowered, overthrown, overwhelmed, routed, ruined, subjugated, surmounted, thwarted, trounced, undone, vanquished, worsted, formed, hammered, milled, pounded, rolled, shaped, stamped, tamped, tramped, tramped down, trodden,
worked, aerated, blended, bubbly, churned, creamy, foamy, frothy, meringued, stirred, whipped, whisked and broken, conquered, dashed, destroyed, doomed, finished, foiled, ruined, through, undone, vanquished, washed-up, wrecked.

That is all.

'Waco'/ATF _Jim (formerly of FR)

#83

Posted by: Christianjb | November 8, 2007 6:52 PM

I also feel somewhat inclined to defend both rats and nitpickers. There's a place for both of them in the grand ecology of science.

Even people who are wrong can be useful in helping us form coherent explanations as to why we think we're right. Even honest creationists have helped science progress, as they have given the impetus for scientists to come up with better and better arguments.

(Yes- I know that's controversial! I don't think it's possible to be an honest creationist in this day and age- the evidence is so overwhelmingly against. I suspect that there was a healthy debate in the years following Darwin's publications, in which scientists who genuinely believed in creationism gave it their best shot and failed.)

The question is whether climate change 'denialists' are honestly trying to help science along by questioning the received wisdom- or are they all dishonest liars who manipulate the science in order to promote a false position?

I'm inclined to be somewhat more generous than PZ here. I don't know who SP is, but I'm sure there are a lot of 'deniers' who are genuinely confused, mistaken, or in some cases have valid criticisms to make. By the same token, I'm quite sure that all Holocaust deniers are dishonest and that creationists are either willfully ignorant, liars or stupid. I'm uncertain about the race-IQ advocates. I just don't know enough about the science to tell how much of their position is due to a racist agenda.

I'm a physicist- and I don't really understand global warming and I'd be at a complete loss to explain the mathematics of any of the computer models. I form my opinions from reading blogs like Bad Astronomy and RealClimate, written by people who know much more than me about this subject. It's also pretty convincing evidence when you see that the Arctic ice-cap has pretty much vaporized this year. However, I'm happy for a small number of scientists working on the fringes to constantly criticize the data (as long as they get past peer review).

(BTW- don't bite me for this post! I'm more than willing to be wrong, but I don't need to get into another heated argument right now. If I'm wrong, then point out my mistakes, but there's no need to slaughter me.)

#84

Posted by: Who Cares | November 8, 2007 6:53 PM

@Per (post #73):
@Jon Strong (Post #76):
Does McIntyre have any other outlet then his blog for his research? If not then there is no reason to assume anything on the blog is correct. It is a harsh stance but if you want scientific credibility you better have your research scrutinized by scientists who do the same type of research (you know, the thing called peer review) for flaws. If you can't make that cut you are not doing valid science.

#85

Posted by: harold | November 8, 2007 6:53 PM

Ooh dear the propietor is getting even more vexed.
Goodbye fellow atheists, I will also bugger off.

#86

Posted by: GDwarf | November 8, 2007 6:54 PM

Would people please stop feeding the trolls? I mean, sure, you stop the insults and they can then get the last word, but at least then they'll be gone.

Though I myself can't resist at least one shot:

There was a chance, however slim, that I'd go to this other blog, read it, and actually become impressed, or at least get to do some thinking about the issues.

However, seeing how readers of that blog are acting here, I have suddenly lost all interest to read the blog they come from. I mean, if they're like this, the site must be nothing but lies and ad-hominems.

No-doubt they won't care, but they might want to consider the fact that they have proclaimed themselves diplomats, and have then proceeded to hurl insults. It certainly doesn't reflect well on the one they represent.

#87

Posted by: Brian English | November 8, 2007 6:54 PM

FYI, I'm atheist and consider evolution a true scientific theory
Oh dear, what does this mean? That the theory, has some truth logically? Or that the theory is supported by evidence and hasn't been falsified yet?

#88

Posted by: Tyler DiPietro | November 8, 2007 6:54 PM

Sometimes I regret the fact that thesauruses were ever invented.

#89

Posted by: AtheistAcolyte | November 8, 2007 6:56 PM

so now McIntyre has to deny that he is a denialist, or he is one ? And you know, the funny thing is that McIntyre has n't denied that he is an axe-murderer, a mad arsonist, or a genocidal maniac; and I guess with that logic, he must be all three !Wow, strawman, red herring AND false analogy! A triple play! Thanks for playing!

Seriously, though, of course it doesn't make him a denialist. However, others have made the accusation based on what's in his blog. It would take only a few keystrokes to do a fair amount of dispelling here.

#90

Posted by: cbone | November 8, 2007 6:57 PM

In the for what its worth category Dr. Judith Curry had some kind words for Steve.

http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=2323#comment-157795

(For those of you too afraid to go over there here is what she said: "WOW. I've been following the weblog contest, and even voted. Congrats to Steve and the Climateauditors! CA definitely deserved to win, this is by far the most dynamic science blog on the web."

Steve: Thanks, Judith.)


#91

Posted by: Francois O | November 8, 2007 6:58 PM

Dear PZ

Somehow I feel insulted by your post. First because I admire Climate Audit and Steve McIntyre, second because I don't consider myself a "denialist" (whatever that means), and third because I am myself a scientist (Ph. D. in physics and quite a few publications and so on and so on). And I'm all for good science. Like you, I'm not a climatologist, although I would argue that a physics background is more useful than a biology background to understand the climate change issue.

But I know your type. You're a young ambitious scientist on his way to making a career writing about science and fighting the endless war against creationists, something that always pays well, as Dawkins, Gould and a host of others have figured out, and which this blog's popularity exemplifies. If you want to make it in the media, you have to be good at myth-making. Good versus evil, environmentalists versus denialists, evolutionists versus creationists. Thus the myth of the infallible scientific method that will save the world, thanks to peer review. Who would disagree?

But in my relatively brief scientific carreer, I've learned something different. Or maybe I was always like that. What I know is that to make good science, it doesn't pay to accept as gospel what you read in the "peer-reviewed" papers. In fact, the best strategy is to always disbelieve what you read. Always ask yourself what could be wrong with those results, and how could you do better. I've had colleagues whom I admired a lot while I was doing my Ph.D. I thought their thesis work was way better than mine. Yet I've had a relatively more (albeit modestly) successful carreer than many of them, because I had something they didn't have, apparently. That something is called originality. I'm no genius, but it's amazing how far you can go if you have the slightest amount of it. But you only get it if you always, always question everything you read. A lot of scientists just copy each other and do boring stuff. Of course they're always right. But boring. 95% of the "peer reviewed" papers are like that (maybe 99% is a better figure).

After a few years doing science, I was myself bored, and tired of the childish bickering about who has cited your papers, who rejected your manuscript and all that crap. That's all scientists think and talk about all day. You'll realize yourself how little time there is to do good science. So I started a company and did all sorts of other stuff to get a taste of the "real world".

And now I have time for myself and to study one of my other interests, that is sociology of science. That's why I'm interested in the climate change issue, but also in the evolution debate. But you know what? I find the evolutionist-creationist debate boring. In fact, despite a lot of criticisms I have towards science studies, I find myself siding with Steve Fuller on that one. All this hysteria about creationism may just be a diversion, preventing the public from looking at the flaws of the scientific institution. When things are bad at home, create an enemy. Thus the creationists, the climate denialists, and so on. Peer review will save us, despite all its flaws. And, errhh... we also need more budget for science, don't we?

Good luck with you blog and your career. Sorry that you lost this contest, but hey, it's because of the right wing nuts! Personnally, I prefer John Hawks, if you don't mind. More science, less politics. Ah, and funnier too.

#92

Posted by: Jason Crammer | November 8, 2007 6:58 PM

Go kick the shit out of a jesus freak. You'll feel better.

#93

Posted by: G | November 8, 2007 6:59 PM

@_Jim,

Wow, did you get that from here?

good work! you can cut and paste! Sadly, Jimmy, it's time for your nap with the rest of the kindergarteners.

#94

Posted by: efrique | November 8, 2007 7:00 PM

PZ,

I tried and tried to vote for BadAstronomy (I like Phils blog!). For a couple of days it just kept timing out (load issues maybe?). Then a few hours back I finally got it to load. I click BadAstronomy, and the site says "you last voted less than 24 hours ago". Is that referring to the vote I just did then, or is it claiming I voted earlier?

I think Phil is going to come second, narrowly. It galls me that it's to such a lame denialist. I worry about America (how did you guys ever get people on the moon?), and as a result I worry for us all.

#95

Posted by: Master Mahan | November 8, 2007 7:00 PM

If one denies being a denialist, what does that make them, I wonder?

#96

Posted by: Lurchgs | November 8, 2007 7:01 PM

I think I must have missed something..

All I see is Stan coming to the site and not using his eyes - or, possibly expecting all the actuall posts and conversations to be strictly about science. In one post.

And for this he gets labeled "denialist" and accused of being a troll for the enemy?

I *MUST* have missed something. Yes, he comes across as a little rude - but the little bit of this story I see suggests that a simple "Look in the left=hand column" might have been a more suitable answer than a rather vituperative tirade (and a then horde of apologists for the enemy frothign at the mouth)

As for "the Enemy" - I'm not a climatologist, and I've not gone over his site or papers in any great detail. But it looks to me as though he's not picking a side (there is or is not a human component to global warming). It seems to ME that he's just being persnickety and demaning that the models and numbers be apropriate and accurate.

But I'll try to read more when I get home from work

#97

Posted by: AtheistAcolyte | November 8, 2007 7:02 PM

Damn my poor editing skills. That'll teach,advise, brief, catechize, coach, communicate, cram, demonstrate, develop, direct, discipline, drill, edify, enlighten, exercise, explain, expound, fit, form, give instruction, give lessons, ground, guide, illustrate, imbue, impart, implant, improve mind, inculcate, indoctrinate, inform, initiate, instruct, interpret, lecture, nurture, open eyes, polish up, pound into, prepare, profess, rear, school, sharpen, show, supply-teach, train, tutor me to preview before posting.

#98

Posted by: Christianjb | November 8, 2007 7:03 PM

Oh- and commiserations to the Bad Astronomer. He's really an excellent blogger, who deserved to win. At the very least I hope these awards get more people reading his fine blog.

#99

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 7:05 PM

"Sorry that I lost the contest"? Are you kidding? I wasn't even trying, and from teh beginning was telling everyone to vote for other blogs. The issue is the freakish hypocrites and denialist kooks now infesting this blog.

Like people who side with Steve Fuller. Good grief.

#100

Posted by: efrique | November 8, 2007 7:08 PM

#95:

The Messiah!

#101

Posted by: CJO | November 8, 2007 7:09 PM

In short...
followed by half the thesaurus. Idiot.

Don't you dumbfucks have a football team to get all sweaty and bothered about? It was a stupid Webby award, or what the-f ever.

...subjugated, surmounted...
Oh, and your true colors were showing, there. Cover up, man.

#102

Posted by: Bride of Shrek | November 8, 2007 7:10 PM

Excuse me if I'm wrong but isn't it PZ's site? Can't he write about whatever the hell he wants to and if you aren't happy about that piss off and clog up someone elses blog.

Oh, and I'm a scientist -"fuck off". No truly, just fuck,fuck,fuck right off.

Mr Shrek, who isn't a scientist, also says fuck off for good measure.

#103

Posted by: tomh | November 8, 2007 7:12 PM

Lurchgs wrote:
All I see is Stan coming to the site and not using his eyes ... for this he gets labeled "denialist" and accused of being a troll for the enemy?

Did you happen to notice all the trolls that followed him here? What a coincidence!

#104

Posted by: Lee Morrison | November 8, 2007 7:13 PM

PZ : Ths s my frst vst t yr rvltng st, nd hv n qstn. Hw dd nyn s nrrw mndd, nrsnbl nd jst pln bnxs vr bcm n ssct prfssr t pst scndry nstttn, lbt, s y sy, " smll lbrl rts nvrsty"?

Y my hv scntfc crdntls bt y cm crss lk Cttn Mthr. Prhps y rnd yr dctrt t " smll lbrl rts nvrsty" r bght t vr th ntrnt. Hvn hlp yr cptv stdnts.

#105

Posted by: Ryan Egesdahl | November 8, 2007 7:14 PM

O.O
Geez, PZ...I mean...
Go have a drink, buddy, and relax a bit, ok? Seems like this rant was a long time coming, though.

#106

Posted by: Spook | November 8, 2007 7:17 PM

Wow. There isn't enough asbestos in the world for this mess.

What bothers me is that if PZ simply shut off comments (since they aren't forming any actual discussion) the cranks would start screaming that he's "censoring everyone with a different viewpoint" or whatever.

Oh well. I'm just going to pop some corn and watch the knuckledraggers for a bit.

#107

Posted by: John A | November 8, 2007 7:19 PM

Then there are the myopic little nitpickers, people who scurry about seeking little bits of garbage in the fabric of science (and of course, there are such flaws everywhere), and when they find some scrap of rot, they squeak triumphantly and hold it high and declare that the science everywhere is similarly corrupt. They lack perspective. They ignore everything that doesn't fit their search criterion, and of course, they're focused only on putrescence. They aren't scientists, they're more like rats.

I wonder if Dr Hwang woo Suk had the same views about those pesky bloggers who brought his scientific career crashing down?

#108

Posted by: Tim Lambert | November 8, 2007 7:19 PM

per says: "The NRC group - of leading climate scientists- pretty much agreed with McIntyre's conclusions."

Oddly enough, that's not what the NRC group said. (Though according to McIntyre fans they didn't mean want they said and really agreed with McIntyre.)

My roundup of comments and link to NRC report.

#109

Posted by: James McGrath | November 8, 2007 7:22 PM

Hi PZ (and everyone). Perhaps this will lighten the mood. Someone just pointed out to me that a post I wrote complaining about censorship was posted on the Expelled movie web page.

The irony? I was complaining about my being banned from commenting on the Uncommon Descent blog! :)

http://exploringourmatrix.blogspot.com/2007/11/ironically-not-expelled-from-expelled.html

#110

Posted by: andy | November 8, 2007 7:23 PM

Wow, this is a really good reflection on the community over at whatever blog it was that these people came from. Surely the entire commenting community can't be a bunch of trolls, illiterates and whiners, can it? Because that's all we've seen here.

There must be someone over there who could put a reasoned case together, without resorting to insults and stuff like that.

I mean, it would really be a pity to see the award go to a blog whose community's interaction with other websites is as negative as what we've seen here.

#111

Posted by: Moses | November 8, 2007 7:28 PM

It is probably worth mentioning that the National Academy of Science empanelled an NRC group to pronounce on the statistical analysis that McIntyre did. The NRC group - of leading climate scientists- pretty much agreed with McIntyre's conclusions. Wegman, a leading statistician, also did a report that agreed with the NRC report, and criticised the statistics in the "hockey-stick" analysis.

Maybe PZ is suggesting all these people are liars, or somehow right wing, or denialist, because of their science ?

You make the analogy with creationists. Well who here is insisting that we ignore well-founded science ?

Posted by: per | November 8, 2007 4:47 PM

Because you stupid fuck, the NAS also said the errors, in the big picture, didn't mean a damn thing in the big context that AGW is a fact and that Mann was right, only off slightly in magnitude. Yet you think we're stupid and don't know this.

And, you come back with the same trivial fuck-wit arguments, just like the creationists and over-play minor errors while ignoring you're just effing wrong.

#112

Posted by: cbone | November 8, 2007 7:30 PM

"Wow, this is a really good reflection on the community over at whatever blog it was that these people came from."

No, actually it is a very sad reflection of the community here. Lets see, ya'll have told people to fuck off, called them assholes, wingnuts, knuckledraggers, dumbfucks, and many others. One other commenter thought it would be a good idea to go "kick the shit out of a Jesus freak." If that is the standard of commentary that this site maintains, then perhaps it should have been nominated in the 'hate site' category. Honestly, in the last few days thats all I have seen here.

#113

Posted by: per | November 8, 2007 7:32 PM

Seriously, though, of course it doesn't make him a denialist. However, others have made the accusation based on what's in his blog. It would take only a few keystrokes to do a fair amount of dispelling here.
you have been shown a quote that says he doesn't take a position. You have seen completely unsubstantiated ad hominem attack that he is a denialist.

yet your stance is that McIntyre has an obligation to deny being a denialist. He doesn't deny science; he does analysis. He has a whole web site full of analysis, and commentary on scientific issues. He even has peer-reviewed papers, and his work was scrutinised by an NRC panel. You can go look at the NRC report, the Wegman report, or the web-site if you want.

but if you are determined to believe unsubstantiated allegations, it is your choice.
For the meantime, here is a fairly readable link to the NRC and Wegman review of the science that McIntyre did
http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=2322

#114

Posted by: sky frog | November 8, 2007 7:32 PM

Wow. You comport yourself rather poorly in this post. Bitter? You need to read some of McIntyre's work before you try to label him. "My expertise is not in climate, but in biology." Stick to biology then. Leave statistics and climate science to those with expertise in those fields. And leave pointless catfights to the political blogs.

#115

Posted by: Rich | November 8, 2007 7:33 PM

Wingnuts, come here:

http://www.antievolution.org/cgi-bin/ikonboard/ikonboard.cgi?act=SF;f=14

I wish to laugh at you and poke you with my reason stick*


*they might take this as homoerotic, which they *secretly* love...

#116

Posted by: Science Should be Based On Reality | November 8, 2007 7:34 PM

Wow! PZ is one sore loser and hardly appears to have any notion of what science is about given his behaviour. Typical of the alarmists who are the real deniers (of the facts!!!):

- Unadjusted temperature records (HADCRUT3) show that temperatures peaked 10 years ago and are on a downward trend (note particularly those of the southern hemisphere!)
- Adjusting for cooling caused by the eruption of El Chichon in 1982 and Pinatubo in 1991, shows little or no warming trend for 25 years!
- Solar activity over the last few cycles has been at levels not seen in 8,000 years!
- Solar activity is now declining and is predicted to drop to levels not seen in centuries over the next 2 cycles (25 years)
- Ocean current changes (AMDO, PDO/Pacific Climate Shift) play a key role in some of the temperature swings that have been observed through the 20th century. Alarmists seem to completely ignore this!!

This nonsense should get settled over the next 5 years as temperatures continue to decline!!

#117

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 7:35 PM

I have to second Tim Lambert's recommendation to read that roundup -- it contains the typical behavior I've been seeing for some time. The climate scientists produce an assessment that supports the global warming argument, McIntyre babbles and pretends the report casts doubt on global warming, and the denialists chime in to declare up is down. In particular, though, read this comment which validates exactly what I've been saying about these denialists.

As for the bozos that are now claiming I never looked at McIntyre...nonsense. I've been reading RealClimate since it first appeared on the web, I've seen McIntyre's blather several times before (and been bored by it), and read through chunks of it several days ago when this noise came up. When I said I see no point in reading his site now, it does not mean I'm completely ignorant of the contents.

But of course that kind of idiotic inference is par for the course with the denialists.

#118

Posted by: Moses | November 8, 2007 7:35 PM

PZ sure is one sore loser. And what kind of real scientist ever tells people who disagree with him to 'fuck off'?

Posted by: idlex | November 8, 2007 5:16 PM

Lots dip-shit, lots. That you have some idiotic preconceived notions is laughable.

#119

Posted by: tomh | November 8, 2007 7:36 PM

cbone wrote [#112}: A lot of nonsense.

Wow, PZ must be at the top of a list somewhere, they just keep coming.

#120

Posted by: harold | November 8, 2007 7:37 PM

#99

"Sorry that I lost the contest"? Are you kidding? I wasn't even trying, and from teh beginning was telling everyone to vote for other blogs. The issue is the freakish hypocrites and denialist kooks now infesting this blog....

Ahem...
your hatred of certain blogs led to the plea:
Vote that one ... X has to be eliminated.

Then your advise was (when you where in 3rd position)
vote BA

Finally you whined:
the real power of science lies in the explanations, not the pettifoggery with statistics -- not that I expect the right-wing gomers at the Weblog Awards who nominated the purveyors of junk science for their award to to know that
vote

Jeez what a bad loser.

#121

Posted by: andy | November 8, 2007 7:38 PM

No, actually it is a very sad reflection of the community here.
Yes, because this community was the one that launched the troll spamfest onto someone else's blog. My mistake.
#122

Posted by: kevin | November 8, 2007 7:38 PM

Wow. Invasion. It's like locusts. What happened?

#123

Posted by: kristen in montreal | November 8, 2007 7:39 PM

I haven't been commenting here much, but I've been visiting frequently... I enjoy this blog very much, but is it just me, or is all the seething and venom getting to be a real drag? I wish PZ would do a few more science-related posts and maybe downplay the drama and the ranting and raving at the "creationists" and "denialists."

What's so scary is that the way PZ is acting I half-expect him to come yelling at me for making this small suggestion.

#124

Posted by: Declan Odea | November 8, 2007 7:40 PM

What an unbelievable tirade, from someone who purports to be a scientist! The author of it clearly has spent no time at all actually reading Steve McIntyre's work or views on climate matters. Quite a disgraceful personal attack, really. Totally unjustified.

#125

Posted by: cbone | November 8, 2007 7:41 PM

PZ:"I've been reading RealClimate since it first appeared on the web"

You do realize that RealClimate is a shill for the environmentalist PR firm Fenton Media, don't you? It is hardly a balanced view of the science.

#126

Posted by: per | November 8, 2007 7:41 PM

Because you stupid fuck, the NAS also said the errors, in the big picture, didn't mean a damn thing in the big context that AGW is a fact and that Mann was right, only off slightly in magnitude. Yet you think we're stupid and don't know this.

hmm. McIntyre doesn't have a position on AGW, and the NRC report wasn't empanelled to look at AGW, but to look at surface temperature reconstructions. So we are not disagreeing on that.

If you can justify your claim that the NAS report says Mann was right, only off slightly in magnitude, I would be interested to see that quote. I think you won't be able to. I seem to recall that the NAS report described MBH's reconstruction as "plausible"; which seems to be very different from "right". I also recall clearly that the report also said that reconstructions from before 400 years ago had unquantifiable uncertainty. That is a long way from the clearly defined 95% error bars in MBH'98.

hey, these are just little details (some people call it science), and they certainly shouldn't distract you from calling names.

#127

Posted by: Johan i Kanada | November 8, 2007 7:41 PM

Ths s my frst tm hr nd, ndlss t sy, m nt trrbly mprssd.
rn't scntsts sppsd t s ctl rgmnts?
n ny cs, hv fn wth yr nrrw mndd nm cllng, PZ, wll nt bthr cmng bck.

#128

Posted by: tomh | November 8, 2007 7:42 PM

kristen in montreal wrote:
What's so scary is that the way PZ is acting I half-expect him to come yelling at me

Don't be scared, dear, he can't really hurt you.

#129

Posted by: Dustin | November 8, 2007 7:43 PM

Wow. Invasion. It's like locusts. What happened?

My bad. I shaved my head and made fun of Heston's man boobs.

#130

Posted by: Dan | November 8, 2007 7:43 PM

This is the first thread since Conservapedia invaded that I've actually stopped following because it was too trite.

Way to go!

#131

Posted by: cbone | November 8, 2007 7:45 PM

"Yes, because this community was the one that launched the troll spamfest onto someone else's blog."

Actually, yes. The scurrilous unfounded attacks against Steve McIntyre by the host of this blog are the reason that people have come here to defend him (Steve). For a site that claims to be 'scientific' the arguments against Steve are extremely childish and definitely unscientific.

#132

Posted by: Lycosid | November 8, 2007 7:47 PM

Climate change is simple. Look at Venus. The temperature on the surface can melt lead because high CO2 concentrations trap heat. Based on this, what do you think increasing the CO2 concentration in Earth's atmosphere does?

#133

Posted by: trevor | November 8, 2007 7:53 PM

ntrstng.... n f th grt bnfts f th cmpttn s tht w lrn bt blgs tht w nvr hrd f.

My vst hr tlls m lt?: "By thr frts y shll knw thm"

#134

Posted by: Kate | November 8, 2007 7:55 PM

Kate's a laugh riot, ha ha ha. Because, you know, that's the first time PZ has been accused of being a religionist by a right-wing moron. It's so original, you know?

As "Kate" is a first time visitor, I have no knowledge of prior accusations. So, perhaps the word "observant" would be more appropriate. What I see written here is short on science, long on belief system.

Scream, rant and insult all you wish - but it doesn't change the evidence before me.


#135

Posted by: eewolf | November 8, 2007 7:55 PM

Thanks Dustin. LMAO Not a cure for this infection here, but did ease the smell a little.

Now how am I going to get this shit off my shoes? This thread needs a warning sign.

#136

Posted by: Moses | November 8, 2007 7:55 PM

I wonder if Dr Hwang woo Suk had the same views about those pesky bloggers who brought his scientific career crashing down?

Posted by: John A | November 8, 2007 7:19 PM


From what I understand it wasn't bloggers. One of his collaborators, Gerald Schatten, quit starting a chain of events that ended with Suk's University discovering the scientific fraud.

This was totally within science, and not a bunch of idiotic bloggers thinking they've dis proven global warming.

#137

Posted by: Azkyroth | November 8, 2007 7:57 PM

Just out of curiosity, PZ, how many IP addresses are all these puerile little whines coming from?

#138

Posted by: Anymouse | November 8, 2007 8:00 PM

To PZ: Sheesh...grow up, professor.

To Lycosid: Climate change is not simple. It's only simple to people who are not involved in atmospheric science.

#139

Posted by: Joseph Addams | November 8, 2007 8:00 PM

None of the stuff dude does is about climate itself, it's the maths behind it.

How about this; the IPCC says it's warming and it's CO2 and land use changes, right? You want a quote from dude?

I've said on many occasions that, if I had a big policy job, I would be guided by the views expressed by large institutions.

Clear enough for you? Or you wanna nit pick it some more with spin? Go sit on a melting iceberg and hug a polar bear for Jesus and don't forget the nuns and penguins.

And this is from a pro-choice, pro-war, Libertarian agnostic who's for legalizing drugs, don't care who or what you screw, thinks Rush is a funny little clown, is for the death penalty and don't even bother to vote. When I go into the national parks, I camp out my garbage. My carbon footprint is more like a little toeprint.

So F yeah the temp is goin up and people cause it. So F'in what.

#140

Posted by: Craig | November 8, 2007 8:01 PM

My second comment ever - the first was on "show yourself" day a few months back.

I read you every day, PZ, but feel like I have nothing to add to the comment section. The commentary is mostly above my unscientific head. Sometimes I find the comments fawning and chorus-like.

But this, this is a comment section! Keep checking back, small-minded denialists!

Sic 'em, scientists!!

#141

Posted by: Steve Reynolds | November 8, 2007 8:01 PM

I'm gld I knw nd rspct qt fw scntsts. Othrws, jdgng by th cmmnts f mst f th rglrs hr, I wld cncld tht scntsts n gnrl r nt wrthy f rspct. I hp ths s vry smll slf slctd mnrty.

#142

Posted by: Fabius Maximus | November 8, 2007 8:02 PM

"I'm going to unload on you as a proxy for all your fellow denialist idiots!"

Thnks fr bng s clr n yr pstn. Yr s f strng lblng nd nd prsnl ttcks svs lt f tm whch wld hv bn thrws spnt rdng yr blg.

#143

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 8, 2007 8:04 PM

and look [link]. Make sure to read all the fine print.

Sorry. That one is way outdated -- I should have noticed. Instead, follow the three links from here. (If I posted the 3 links again, my comment would be held for moderation again...)

--------

Since I haven't followed the whole Molly award thingy that extensively, did David Marjanović, OM ever got one?

What do you think ", OM" means? :-) On the top of the page, click on "Commenters".

Unless of course I'm mistaken, and he is in fact a British subject.

No, and I'm only starting my PhD thesis, too.

-----------

We think that a more interesting issue is whether the late 20th century was warmer than periods of similar length in the 11th century. We ourselves do not opine on this matter,

Comment 41 in other words.

other than to say that the MBH results relied upon so heavily by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its 2001 report are invalid.

Then forget the 2001 report. Two more have been issued since. :-|

------------

In fact, it seems that when conservatives aren't forcing a fascist, dominionist theocracy on Americans, they're consolidating wealth and power for the rich, white males who already have it.

To be fair, few of these would be called "conservative" outside the USA. By European standards, for example, the conservative candidate in the presidential election of 2004 was Kerry.

----------

Comment 62 sounds great, except that for one of the windows, we can test if what we see through it actually exists. With the other window we can't do that. That doesn't prove the window is a wallpaper, but it fails to disprove it, too...

----------

I have slightly less than 200 students.

Just snarking. ;o)

Introductory lectures into biology have several hundred students in Vienna...

---------

Dear PZ

[...]

But I know your type. You're a young ambitious scientist on his way to making a career writing about science

Ehem. Near the top left corner of this page, there's a headline saying "Profile". Explore.

---------

or, possibly expecting all the actuall posts and conversations to be strictly about science.

To be fair, such ScienceBlogs exist. Tetrapod Zoology is one. Great posts, strictly about science... and only one post every few days. :-(

----------

There must be someone over there who could put a reasoned case together

Yes, against the hockey stick -- and nothing else.

#144

Posted by: gg | November 8, 2007 8:04 PM

#91 wrote: "...because I am myself a scientist (Ph. D. in physics and quite a few publications and so on and so on)....What I know is that to make good science, it doesn't pay to accept as gospel what you read in the "peer-reviewed" papers. In fact, the best strategy is to always disbelieve what you read."

I hate to jump back in here, but I REALLY doubt you're a real scientist, maybe a 'scientist'. Your attitude towards the peer-review process makes me think that maybe you're a guy whose 'quite a few publications' have been rejected quite a few times. You know, most scientists are aware of the limitations of the peer-review process. Sadly, though, those that complain about it the most never have any alternative process, other than "PAY ATTENTION TO MY WORK!!1!"

The best strategy is always to disbelieve what you read? No, going in with any preconceived notions is a very unscientific attitude. Scientists are taught to treat results with a critical eye.

"Like you, I'm not a climatologist, although I would argue that a physics background is more useful than a biology background to understand the climate change issue."

PZ, I'm also jumping in because I don't want you to think that all physicists have this idiotic smug superior attitude (again, I have my doubts about him being a physicist).

"Sorry that you lost this contest, but hey, it's because of the right wing nuts!"

What on Earth contest are you talking about? The ad hominem attacks on this thread? Was that even a contest? You certainly can't be talking about the climate science, because scientific consensus ("NO! IGNORE THE CONSENSUS! PAY ATTENTION TO MY WORK!1!!") says human-caused climate change is occurring. The consensus is so absolute at this point, that those who claim, "Gosh, we need more evidence, I'm still not convinced," are denialists by default.

Yeesh. Enjoy your drinks, PZ! I'm off...

#145

Posted by: Moses | November 8, 2007 8:04 PM

Wow. You comport yourself rather poorly in this post. Bitter? You need to read some of McIntyre's work before you try to label him. "My expertise is not in climate, but in biology." Stick to biology then. Leave statistics and climate science to those with expertise in those fields. And leave pointless catfights to the political blogs.

Posted by: sky frog | November 8, 2007 7:32 PM

But McIntyre's not even a scientist. In fact, he's an oil-man. Therefore, by your piss-poor logic, he has nothing to say about Mann's work. So much for that...

:::::

As far as the 'denialist' charges, McIntyre spends his time debunking AGW. That makes him a denialist. Just like people who rail against the Theory of Evolution are creationists, even if they don't claim so.

Doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure that one out...

:::::

BTW, we treat you like the fuck-tards you are because we're tired of fuck-tards like you. Thousands upon thousands died from smoking because of liars like you. Thousands upon thousands die of preventable diseases because of liars like you. Thousands upon thousand have died unneccesarily for all kinds of evils because you want to make money, don't want to change or don't have the sense God gave a goose.

Now you want to kill our planet so you can make a buck and you think we're going to "respect" you? How fucking stupid and insane are you?

#146

Posted by: gospel disbeliever | November 8, 2007 8:06 PM

Francois (#91) says: What I know is that to make good science, it doesn't pay to accept as gospel what you read in the "peer-reviewed" papers. In fact, the best strategy is to always disbelieve what you read. Always ask yourself what could be wrong with those results, and how could you do better.

Hey Fran, what world are you from? Just because an article is peer-reviewed doesn't mean that the report is taken as gospel....especially in the Life Sciences. Maybe it's different in the world of physics.

#147

Posted by: Judith Curry | November 8, 2007 8:07 PM

Well I came over here to to see what this site was all about. Didn't get past this first thread, but this thread would certainly seem to vindicate climateaudit's win. Steve McIntyre goes out of his way to to welcome everyone to his site (including climate scientists of the "warmer" persuasion such as myself). Climateaudit is somewhat short on physical processes and insights, but strong on statistics and has been a force for auditing the quality of data and the transparency of metadata. SteveM has two feathers in his cap, in terms of identifying problems with the statistical analysis of the paleoclimate data (hockeystick) and in identifying a few problems with the historical climate record of surface temperature. These are bonafide contributions.

Scientific theories need to pass three tests:
1. Survive scrutiny and debate, including attacks by skeptics
2. Be the best existing explanation (both physically and statistically)
3. Demonstrate predictive capability

The difference between denialists and skeptics is that skeptics actually do work (analyses). SteveM is a bonafide skeptic not a denialist. He tends to neglect the physics and focus on the statistics, but then most of us scientists focus on the physics and do a poor job on the statistics. The Climateauditors tend to be too quick to throw away the whole puzzle if they identify a problem with one of the pieces (they tend to have trouble grasping the big picture).

But as a blog, climateaudit is truly a phenomenon in my opinion. It is a dynamic exchange of educated but mostly "freelance" scientists that has developed quite a following.

#148

Posted by: SaulOhio | November 8, 2007 8:08 PM

Hey Johnny Vector: The dispute isn't over warming in the last 400 years. Nobody is disputing that. In fact, the "deniers" insist that the Earth has been warming since the Little Ice age. Its what has happened in the last 1000 that is controversial. Pay attention to what people are actually saying.

Stogoe: Trickle down economics is a strawman. No free market economist has ever proposed any theory that he called "trickle down". The real theory is that free markets allow people to create wealth for themselves, not get it "trickled down" to them from the rich. And thats not the topic, anyway.

Both of these usefull idiots demonstrate common alarmist tactics: Strawman arguments and diverting the discussion with irrelevancies.

And Stogoe reinforces the theory that most environmentalists are refugees who need a new religion since socialism was discredited. They are the kind that hate the prosperity that capitalism has created. Their concern about inequality, what they see as a problem, is not that there are poor, or the suffering of the poor, but that there are people who aren't poor, who aren't suffering.

#149

Posted by: Alex | November 8, 2007 8:10 PM

Pharyngula is getting trolled. :P

#150

Posted by: jeh | November 8, 2007 8:10 PM

"A lot of scientists just copy each other and do boring stuff. Of course they're always right. But boring. 95% of the "peer reviewed" papers are like that (maybe 99% is a better figure)."

You know this be true? Where's the evidence?

"So I started a company and did all sorts of other stuff to get a taste of the "real world"

Please enlighten us as to the nature of your now more authentic life. All of us practicing scientists would like to know what we're missing.

#151

Posted by: Joseph Addams | November 8, 2007 8:11 PM

Lycosid, man, you need to get out more to the wiki, CO2 is the least of the worries of Venus. Place ain't even got a magnetic field or any water or any oxygen and the clouds are sulfer.

Yo, Moses, bro, he's a retired mineral mining guy with a math degree. The guys at nasa are the people that run the stuff that have climate backgrounds. Whatever.

#152

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 8, 2007 8:19 PM

What an unbelievable tirade, from someone who purports to be a scientist!

Shock horror! How dare a scientist be impolite! That makes all his publications burst into flames instantly!!!1!

"Polite" and "scientific" are orthogonal.

You do realize that RealClimate is a shill for the environmentalist PR firm Fenton Media, don't you?

1) Evidence, please.
2) Evidence that whatever ties they might have influence what they write.

It is hardly a balanced view of the science.

Science is never balanced. Science is about what the evidence says. Go ahead, disprove a single post on realclimate.org, if you can.

#153

Posted by: Janine | November 8, 2007 8:19 PM

Thank you sweet visitors. Thanks to your efforts, I am no longer on of the main instigators of the silliest long thread.

#154

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 8, 2007 8:20 PM

"They are the kind that hate the prosperity that capitalism has created."

Can you really and truly be that stupid?

#155

Posted by: AtheistAcolyte | November 8, 2007 8:21 PM

you have been shown a quote that says he doesn't take a position. You have seen completely unsubstantiated ad hominem attack that he is a denialist.

yet your stance is that McIntyre has an obligation to deny being a denialist. He doesn't deny science; he does analysis. He has a whole web site full of analysis, and commentary on scientific issues. He even has peer-reviewed papers, and his work was scrutinised by an NRC panel. You can go look at the NRC report, the Wegman report, or the web-site if you want

No, I was shown a quote that was offered as him taking a position, yet he never made any specific statement. The closest he got was "We never made that claim." Classic obfuscation.

Why the need for intentionally ambiguous language from someone who's so interested in clarity and transparency?

At any rate, the old canard of "He's not a denialist, he said so himself" is laid to rest quite nicely. He may still not be a denialist, but I have not seen any evidence that he is not.

I have read climate audit for several weeks now (I've been engaged in online debates on global warming), and will most likely continue reading it to keep my arguments honed.

Skepticism is science. Naysaying and nitpicking to inculcate FUD is not. It's astroturf.

#156

Posted by: Graculus | November 8, 2007 8:23 PM

how many IP addresses are all these puerile little whines coming from?

At a guess, all from the same address, but it's a company with 200 computers using someone else's mailserver, that happens to be located in a town with no building larger than a three car garage.

Nothing like this has ever happened before.

#157

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 8:24 PM

I love all the denialists trooping over here one by one to announce, "you aren't a scientist and I'm never going to read your blog again!"

Get over yourselves, people. I don't care. I don't want you here. You're a mob of quacks, and your promises that you won't come back are just sweet nothings whispered in my ear.

#158

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 8:25 PM

These aren't sock puppets -- they have different IPs.

#159

Posted by: Robert | November 8, 2007 8:30 PM

Wow, this place turned into a haven for morons...

PZ: Illegitimi Non Carborundum, err or however it goes!

Just so you know, your blog has been a primary motivator for me in learning biology, and also for becoming less afraid to admit to people that I'm an atheist. Please Keep up the good work.

#160

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 8, 2007 8:32 PM

SteveM has two feathers in his cap, in terms of identifying problems with the statistical analysis of the paleoclimate data (hockeystick)

The hockey stick is so 2nd millennium. Scroll upward a few tens of posts.

and in identifying a few problems with the historical climate record of surface temperature.

All he managed to find out was that the 1930s were not marginally cooler but marginally warmer than the 1990s in the 48 contiguous United States. The resulting correction to the global temperature curve is hardly visible.

A contribution? Yes. A microscopic one, though.

But as a blog, climateaudit is truly a phenomenon in my opinion. It is a dynamic exchange of educated but mostly "freelance" scientists that has developed quite a following.

And?

Stogoe: Trickle down economics is a strawman. No free market economist has ever proposed any theory that he called "trickle down".

That proves it, then. Darwin only used the word "evolution" once near the end of one of his later books, and the term "Big Bang" was supposed to make fun of the theory in question...

The real theory is that free markets allow people to create wealth for themselves, not get it "trickled down" to them from the rich.

The hypothesis is that, if taxed less, corporation owners will invest their extra cash into creating more jobs. Has been tested (Reaganomics) and disproven: instead of using it to create jobs, the rich just bunker the money. Bush insists on repeating the experiment anyway... it's giving the same result again.

and the clouds are sulfer.

That would be harmless. They are sulfuric acid.

#161

Posted by: Chris Christner | November 8, 2007 8:35 PM

PZ, caught by his wild statements, issued this clarification:

"As for the bozos that are now claiming I never looked at McIntyre...nonsense. I've been reading RealClimate since it first appeared on the web, I've seen McIntyre's blather several times before (and been bored by it), and read through chunks of it several days ago when this noise came up. When I said I see no point in reading his site now, it does not mean I'm completely ignorant of the contents."

You might expect more from a man of science than word-splitting exuses, but having seen the professor's childish behavior, his current statements remain in character. I guess he forgot writing this:

"Tim Lambert agrees, and also informs us that Steve Milloy has endorsed the Climate Audit blog--any doubt that it was an undeserving mouthpiece for right-wing hackery has now ended."

and this:

"Sorry, but the sanctimonious assholes who have charged over here to make accusations, and the fact that he's got the support of the junk science king, Milloy, gives me no cause to doubt my impressions of McIntyre, and I'm not at all interested in visiting his site."

We're left with two conclusions: PZ has seen McIntyre's writings several times, but has reading comprehension of a ferret because only someone who's never visited the site could equal PZ's full-on nit-wit appraisal of it.

Or, PZ's lying to us (hey, he's a Leftie) and really formed his opinions of CA by reading what Lambert wrote about it and from the endorsement of Steven Milloy.

Either way, PZ Myers has behaved like a petulant two-year-old: all tantrums and tirades.

Talk about feet of clay! Professor, teach thyself!

#162

Posted by: obscured by clouds | November 8, 2007 8:35 PM

BA is in the LEAD! Narrowly, lets hope he can stay there!

#163

Posted by: cbone | November 8, 2007 8:37 PM

Re: David Marjanović, OM

As you wish:
1) Evidence, please.

Environmental Media Services (EMS) is a Washington, D.C. based nonprofit organization that is "dedicated to expanding media coverage of critical environmental and public health issues". Their primary activities include holding forums that bring scientists knowledgeable in current environmental issues together with journalists, providing web hosting and support for environmental issues sites like RealClimate. EMS is closely allied with Fenton Communications.

Fenton Communications is a public relations firm that was founded by David Fenton in 1982. Their client list includes organizations associated with a diverse array of social issues, but they are most known for their work with liberal causes such as MoveOn.org and Greenpeace.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fenton_Communications
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Environmental_Media_Services

2) Evidence that whatever ties they might have influence what they write.

Guilt by association, the same evidential standard used by alarmists to dismiss anyone who has any association, however tenuous or nonexistent (see the attempt to tie Steve McIntyre to big oil above, a flat out lie), to industry.

#164

Posted by: qedpro | November 8, 2007 8:38 PM

Let him have it PZ - both barrels.
Every once in a while you just get sick of listening to these fucktards.

#165

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 8, 2007 8:39 PM

Three cheers for Michael Mann! He should be given a medal for his work on climate change. A true hero of the field. Thank goodness he is fighting back against the climate change Luddites.

From Scientific American:
More recently, Mann battled back in a 2004 corrigendum in the journal Nature, in which he clarified the presentation of his data. He has also shown how errors on the part of his attackers led to their specific results. For instance, skeptics often cite the Little Ice Age and Medieval Warming Period as pieces of evidence not reflected in the hockey stick, yet these extremes are examples of regional, not global, phenomena. "From an intellectual point of view, these contrarians are pathetic, because there's no scientific validity to their arguments whatsoever," Mann says. "But they're very skilled at deducing what sorts of disingenuous arguments and untruths are likely to be believable to the public that doesn't know better."

#166

Posted by: Brian | November 8, 2007 8:40 PM

Hey I just tried to vote and it says the polls are closed. It seems that Bad Astronomy has squeaked out a victory by 44 votes, although the results are still unofficial

#167

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 8:40 PM

Amazing. Because I previously pointed out Tim Lambert's rejection of McIntyre, and because I pointed out that various nutty sites like Free Republic and Junk Science endorsed McIntyre, it somehow rebuts my assertion that I've read Climate Audit before?

Wacky. But typical. Can you crawl back into your hole now?

#168

Posted by: Alan D. McIntire | November 8, 2007 8:42 PM

Here's a couple of paragraphs from PZ's November 8 column:

"And then, of course, what's bringing you and your fellow naive whiners here is the need to defend the climate change denialist, McIntyre -- so many of you, after carping that I'm not meeting your demands, are protesting that he's not a denialist, and you aren't denialists, and you're all here in the cause of good science.

Bullshit."

And here's one from the November 8 "Climate Audit"

"Prior to this vote, I (and doubtless many CA readers) had been unaware of the Bad Astronomy blog (and other interesting nominees who have undeservedly not attracted the attention that deserved) and I'm sure that this same holds in reverse. I hope that readers of each blog will take the opportunity of this introduction to visit the other site; I've added a link to Bad Astronomy in my very short blogroll. "


I think those two selections leave nothing more to be said-A. McIntire

#169

Posted by: Craig | November 8, 2007 8:44 PM

Let's face it, PZ and his site is anti-religon. What really is the foundation of yur trauma, PZ? Did the preacher lick your ear while penetrating your anus? Is that the source of your pain and anguish? Perhaps the same with your readers? When you lose a competition or do not get your way is that what you sense? The preachers breath? Did it hurt, PZ? Did he make you bleed? Or does it cause you to be attracted to other men when down inside you know that is not you?

#170

Posted by: Stogoe | November 8, 2007 8:45 PM

most environmentalists are refugees who need a new religion since socialism was discredited.

You may need to take a look outside your mom's basement window, shit-for-brains. Take a gander at Europe - socialism works, and it makes life vastly better for most people.

They are the kind that hate the prosperity that capitalism has created.

Prosperity for whom? Oh, that's right. The people who were already obscenely wealthy. Everyone else can go starve in a ditch.

Their concern about inequality, what they see as a problem, is not that there are poor, or the suffering of the poor, but that there are people who aren't poor, who aren't suffering.

Whut.

My concern is that we could reduce suffering for most if not all people, but that selfish assholes would rather shit in a solid gold toilet than make sure everyone has food, shelter, an education, and health care.

These denialist fucktards are more annoying than the Scott Adams acolytes.

Rey Fox said: Can you really and truly be that stupid?
Oh yes. Oh yes. That stupid and much, much more.
#171

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 8, 2007 8:49 PM

I've added a link to Bad Astronomy in my very short blogroll.

Hah!

He currently has one blog on his blogroll: Bad Astronomy.

Obviously holds all blogs other than his own in complete contempt.

What a dickhead.

#172

Posted by: ennui | November 8, 2007 8:50 PM

That link to Bad Astronomy is a bad URL! Investigate!

#173

Posted by: luctoretemergo | November 8, 2007 8:51 PM

PZ,
Just like Judith Curry, I thought I would have a look at the runner-up site. Are we ever not on the same planet as CA...!
For what it's worth, most folks who blog on CA are more or less skeptical as far as AGW is concerned. They are mainly interested in the very substantial holes in the science we are told supports that story, and the increasingly evident cherry picking and overt data tampering that is tarnishing the "Climate Sciences".

All the IPCC/Gore handwaving notwithstanding, the A in AGW and ACC remains unproven. If anyone can provide us with irrifutable proof [not circumstantial evidence] to the contrary, I'll stand corrected. Fact is, best available data increasingly contradicts the basic hypothesis. In line with Judith argument above, as a scientist that is all you should be concerned about. If the data does not support the hypothesis, change your hypothesis, not the data. Science 101, isn't it?

.

#174

Posted by: jen_m | November 8, 2007 8:52 PM

Ah, then you've looked at your referrer logs, Dr. Myers. Which means you are currently wrestling with the temptation to tell us whence the moron-flood. Resist! Resist! For it would be deeply silly to flood their site with Pharyngulites. (I like Rich's approach. Poke them, Rich, poke them firmly and at considerable length!)

Apropos of nothing - if I had not had "mstrbtng" to use for context, I would never have figured out "frsly." Re-vowelling the trolls is hard work.

#175

Posted by: Stogoe | November 8, 2007 8:52 PM

Craig's homophobic crazy
OMGWTFBBQ. The lady doth protest too much.
#177

Posted by: bPer | November 8, 2007 8:53 PM

Stogue @ #170 wrote:

These denialist fucktards are more annoying than the Scott Adams acolytes.

Man, you got that right!

Prof. Myers, you have my sympathy for having to put up with shit like this.

#178

Posted by: woozy | November 8, 2007 8:57 PM

Well, a nice thing about being a visitor to this blog and not the blog owner is I don't have to read all the whiny repetitive comments if I don't feel like it.

Hence I have the luxary of not being cranky and short-tempered as PZ deservedly is.

But from what little I've seen of Stan Palmer's posts, I'm not sure he deserved to be a public whipping boy. Not having read through all the whiny repetitive comments, it didn't occur to me to read Stan's "where's the science" as a climate change denialist dropping a scathing insult and chuckling at his acerbic wit ("Hyuck, hyuck, I said 'where's the science', get it? I implied he's unscientific, hyuck, hyuck"). Instead I saw it as a naive and clueless newbie being stupid and inapropriate. He could be, say, a junior high student looking for answers to his science homework and assuming a "science blog" would just be full of posts saying things like "For today's post I'm going to list the names of the muscles in the hand."

Reading through some of the whiny repetitive comments, I can certainly see how PZ would assume the former, and now I do too (probably, maybe, ... most likely ... oh, I don't know...) but I'm not sure Stan was the best candidate for the post of whipping boy.

... not that I'm going to lose any sleep over it.

Besides, PZ's darned cussedness is part of his charm.

#179

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 8, 2007 8:58 PM

If anyone can provide us with irrifutable proof..

I'm not a scientist, but even I know that statistics can't prove anything.

Gaaaaa!

#180

Posted by: Lar R | November 8, 2007 8:59 PM

"Ww. nvsn. t's lk lcsts. Wht hppnd?"

dn't knw, myb lk m thy wnt t chck t ll th cl scnc blgs p fr rwrd nd wr srprsd tht ths ws jst nthr fr lft-wng pltcl dlg rnt st lk dmcrt ndrgrnd wth n ccsnl scnc pst r lnk thrwn n fr gd msr. gss n sm ppls mnds tht rd-fcd, mth-frthng, ht-flld, cls-mndd, pltcl dtrbs cmng frm scntst qlfs ths s "scnc blg"?

Hpflly yr stdnts hv n pprtnty t lrn sm scnc btwn rnts. (r y r prfssnl ngh t lv th dlg tndncs t th clssrm dr)

#181

Posted by: Onycophora | November 8, 2007 9:00 PM

I never usually comment - as someone else said, the discussions always seem to be over by the time I get there. However, this thread is absolutely hilarious; closet (and not so closet) climate change denialists have found their very own Francis Urquhart - "some might say that there are tiny nitpicky things wrong with this science, I couldn't possibly comment!"

Someone said earlier that McIntyre never confirms his position because he is unsure of the evidence, but I wonder how long it will be until he's backed into a corner.

1:He could turn round and say that all of mainstream climate science is incorrect and that the blogosphere has saved logic and capitalism by proving it wrong!

2:He could come out and say - "yes, climate change is clearly happening, I'm just offering constructive criticism" at which point all the closet deniers will abandon ship.

3:He carries on picking away at the subject, as more and more evidence is accumulated proving his lukewarm position ill-advised at best, until all the sane people stop reading due to the obsessiveness of the stuff he focuses on. Or maybe scenario 3 has already happened? It would explain the crazies coming here.

#182

Posted by: Chris Christner | November 8, 2007 9:02 PM

"Wacky. But typical. Can you crawl back into your hole now?"

Sure, Prof. From experience, I know there'll be nothing of value in what you'll have to say.

Time to go...well what d'you know, I posted three comments that didn't have an F-word in any of them! Of course, my writing suffers for it because it isn't as edgy and earthy as yours!

#183

Posted by: Cuttlefish | November 8, 2007 9:04 PM

I have looked six ways from Sunday, and I hope that maybe one day
I'll discover just the evidence to put him in his place;
'Til that marvelous occasion, I'm contented with invasion--
I can comment in the blogosphere and rub it in his face.
I will taunt that bastard PZ, and I think it should be easy;
I've a strategy, dependent on the form of his reply--
He ignores me, he is yellow; he attacks, why then, the fellow
Who invites me to "fuck off" is not a scientific guy.
I will hold him to my standard, and complain that he has pandered
To his suck-ups who, predictably, will praise his every word.
Though my own world-view is vile, if he disagrees? "Denial!"
(Let's conveniently ignore that my position is absurd.)
I don't mean to be so rude, sir, but no matter what, you're screwed, sir--
Our opinions are in concrete, there's no way that they will change;
Once a world-view is cemented, doesn't matter what's presented,
If you disagree with what I think the truth is, you are strange.
If you stick it out, you're bitter; if you leave, then you're a quitter,
If you claim that you are busy, I will simply roll my eyes.
We all have our weak and strong points, good and bad and right and wrong points--
We all play to our advantage: you know science. I know lies.

#184

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 8, 2007 9:04 PM

I guess in some peoples minds that red-faced, mouth-frothing, hate-filled, close-minded, political diatribes coming from a scientist qualifies this as a "science blog"?

What do you call ranting about hockey sticks on every other post?

Sensible?

#185

Posted by: Lars | November 8, 2007 9:05 PM

Well, if nothing else, this whole thread has shown that for the CA types, truth is determined by how thoroughly you can stuff a ballot box.

God, they stink the joint out.

#186

Posted by: eewolf | November 8, 2007 9:07 PM

A call to all you auditors! The great and powerful Steve McIntyre has just discovered a .01C temperature differential for 1948 in Lithuania. You need to gather back at the hive and praise the Great Precision and pat each other on the back.

There is a "Al Gore is fat" party afterward and free carbonated beverages for everyone.

Ya'll come back now, ya here?

#187

Posted by: Physicalist | November 8, 2007 9:17 PM

Well, I don't have time to read through all the comments to see where things stand, but I just wanted to quickly thank PZ for the main post (thanks PZ): You hit the nail on the head. You've said far better than I could have what I've been thinking ever since I went to check out McIntyre's site.

When is an "auditor" a scientist? When the audit is part of a program to find the best explanation of some phenomenon. When is an "auditor" a denialist? When his goal is to find weaknesses in research merely to crow that he has found weaknesses in research. (And of course, he's all the more a denialist when he's allying himself with a movement that will grab onto any flaw in research -- real or perceived -- to completely reject well-supported scientific results.)

I imagine that McIntyre's badgering can do some good in leading the real scientists to shore up their arguments. I also imagine that Behe's arguments about the flagellum inspired the real scientists to give more thought to how it likely evolved. But from what I've seen on his Climate Audit blog, McIntyre is so fixated on finding any possible missteps by the scientists that the big picture -- i.e., the scientific picture -- is simply absent. To his credit, I take it that this is all he takes himself to be doing (unlike Behe, who has a completely false big picture in mind). But it's also painfully clear that his adoring fan club largely consists of people who believe that the constant focus on research weaknesses (whether real or not) demonstrates that the scientific consensus on this topic is flawed. This is the same sort of denialist crap we see from the creationists.


#188

Posted by: RamblinDude | November 8, 2007 9:21 PM

Cuttlefish: : - )

#189

Posted by: Dustin | November 8, 2007 9:22 PM

I'll tell you when an auditor and his fanboys aren't scientists OR auditors...

...it's when they think Nir Shaviv's statistics are good.

#190

Posted by: Dustin | November 8, 2007 9:24 PM

Prof. Myers, you have my sympathy for having to put up with shit like this.

PZ doesn't have it half as bad as Tara.

#191

Posted by: michelle | November 8, 2007 9:26 PM

Just wanted to compliment you PZ Meyers. One of the finest examples of sour grapes I've ever observed (although my 4 year old in a full blown tantrum could give you a run for your money).
I also wanted to compliment you on your regular contributors. What wit! What maturity! What phenomenal debating skills! (e.g Fuck off asshole).
Is this what atheism does to you? Makes you bitter, angry and hate-filled whilst simultaneously stripping you of the ability for intelligent, rational debate? Maybe I generalise. If so, my apologies to all rational, civil atheists out there.
Finally, I'd like to thank you for making me eternally grateful that I am not now, nor ever will be, one of you.

Bye Bye now!

#192

Posted by: j | November 8, 2007 9:28 PM

Thanks to all the people on this thread who are providing comic relief in spite of the trolls. Y'all are great.

#193

Posted by: Joel | November 8, 2007 9:29 PM

Well, to be fair P.Z did lube the rough end of the pineapple before he inserted it.

#194

Posted by: Who Cares | November 8, 2007 9:29 PM

@Francois O (post #91):
I doubt you are what you claim seeing that you don't understand why that parts of papers which appear in the journals are already known. This is because almost all science builds on previous discoveries and a good scientist explains how he got from A to B.

@(#116):
Ah yes the sun did it defense. Unfortunately the sun was going through a quiet period when the hot end of the century occurred. Then there is the problem of less sunlight reaching the Earth due to other pollutants in the air (part of it reflected, part of it absorbed and re-radiated into space, part of it heating the atmosphere) while the temperature staid fairly constant.

@cbone (#131):
Prove it. All you need to do is show proof that pumping greenhouse gasses into the atmosphere in the amounts humanity has been doing in the last century or so will not cause additional warming.

@Lycosid (#132):
Climate is not simple as the people trying to make the estimations keep finding out. The example cited fails to include other reasons why Venus is hotter, distance to the sun, atmosphere composition, etc.

#195

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 9:30 PM

Well I came over here to to see what this site was all about. Didn't get past this first thread, but this thread would certainly seem to vindicate climateaudit's win.

This thread is the result of an invasion of trolls and is not typical of the content of this blog. What sort of fucking moron comes to a far reaching conclusion based on a single data point, Ms. Curry?

#196

Posted by: cbone | November 8, 2007 9:35 PM

re: truth machine
"What sort of fucking moron comes to a far reaching conclusion based on a single data point, Ms. Curry?"

Actually it is Dr. Curry, and she is a professor at Georgia Tech.

#197

Posted by: Alan Kellogg | November 8, 2007 9:35 PM

#163 cbone,

In other words, Samuel Wilberforce's opposition to evolution renders invalid his father's work to abolish slavery in the British empire?

#198

Posted by: Chris R. | November 8, 2007 9:38 PM

Well this certainly turned into a clusterfuck :)

#199

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 9:39 PM

You know, maybe all the people who accuse me of sour grapes should stop and think for a minute: a) I wasn't trying to win, and was casting my votes for Invasive Species and Bad Astronomy; and b) it seems that one blog I was strongly rooting for, Bad Astronomy, may have won.

Not that making sense is their strong suit, after all...

#200

Posted by: sammy k | November 8, 2007 9:39 PM

myers,
first time visitor to blog...read your take about the blog race...that had to be one of the most pathetic tirades i have heard in awhile...perhaps if you would have studied alittle more geology, you would have a better appreciation for why the A in GW is so suspect...screaming, hollering and stereotyping of individuals that differ from your opinion is typical of someone who cannot argue the facts scientifically and all you have propping your argument is name calling...if your disappointed in the results of the blog voting, perhaps you should look in a mirror...pathetic whining, such as your post, probably did more harm than good...is no wonder your didnt finish where you thought you should have

#201

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 8, 2007 9:41 PM

Finally, I'd like to thank you for making me eternally grateful that I am not now, nor ever will be, one of you.

Thank goodness for that.

It's very satisfying to think that you will remain deluded about religion for the remainder of your ignorant life.

#202

Posted by: melatonin | November 8, 2007 9:41 PM

Heh, these fraudit dudes are grade A tards.

#203

Posted by: David Wilford | November 8, 2007 9:43 PM

All I know is that if P.Z. had swung his own votes for best science blog to Bad Astronomy, we wouldn't even be having this lovely conversation. Well, some of us wouldn't anyway. Eventually the trolls will crawl back under the rocks they slithered from, I'm sure.

I still think the weblog awards this year are so much sound signifying nothing. No offense to P.Z., but a day without checking out Carl Zimmer and Deltoid is like a day without sunshine. I even have a book by Dan Dennett to actually read the old fashioned way waiting for me. So there!

#204

Posted by: chip | November 8, 2007 9:48 PM

"Thr r ppl wh pt tgthr chrnt pctr f scntfc ss, wh rvw lts f vdnc nd ssmbl rtnl synthss. Thy'r clld scntsts. Thn thr r th mypc lttl ntpckrs, ppl wh scrry bt skng lttl bts f grbg n th fbrc f scnc (nd f crs, thr r sch flws vrywhr), nd whn thy fnd sm scrp f rt, thy sqk trmphntly nd hld t hgh nd dclr tht th scnc vrywhr s smlrly crrpt. Thy lck prspctv."

Ths s qt tllng cmmnt. Scntsts, pprntly, r ppl wh "pt tgthr," "rvw" nd "ssmbl" whl mypc ntpckrs r ths wh scrry bt skng bts f grbg.

Th wrtr s clrly tchr nd nt rsrchr, fr th lttr ds lt f ntpckng vr bts f grbg. Tht s th fndtn f gd scnc.

ssmblng nd rvwng s wht brcrts d.

pty yr stdnts.

#205

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 9:49 PM

If anyone can provide us with irrifutable proof [not circumstantial evidence] to the contrary, I'll stand corrected.

There's no such thing as irrefutable proof in science, moron. Science is based on inference to the best explanation, and the best explanation by far for GW is human industrial activity. You idiot "skeptics" and deniers have no grasp of the nature of science and the role of Occam's Razor in theory formation.

#206

Posted by: Alan Kellogg | November 8, 2007 9:50 PM

Update to #197 (Aint this a busy thread? :) )

Samuel Wilberforce's father was one William Wilberforce. Politician, member of Parliament, abolitionist, and Evangelical Christian. Notably, two of his sons converted to the Roman Catholic Church. William Wilberforce was instrumental in getting the ordinances regarding abolition passed in 1833.

He also appears as a character in Naomi Novik's Empire of Ivory, book 4 in the Temeraire series. He agrees to be enlisted in the cause of dragon emancipation in conjunction with human emancipation, seeing that both endeavours have much in common.

#207

Posted by: Who Cares | November 8, 2007 9:51 PM

@Stogoe (#170):
Pure socialism doesn't work well. Just like pure capitalism doesn't work well. What works is a middle road and that is being taken in Europe. Part socialism, part capitalism and so far seems we are doing quite well with doing that.

@Sammy K (#200):
To funny. Been posts here for at least a week now telling people not to vote for PZ since he already won it and doesn't want it again

#208

Posted by: Bert Chadick | November 8, 2007 9:51 PM

Not enough scientists tell idiots to fuck off. PZ is developing a following of wingnut religious stalkers. This is not good, but inevitable. The sock puppets are cowards by their nature, but can be dangerous in packs.

#209

Posted by: student_b | November 8, 2007 9:51 PM

What do you think ", OM" means? :-)

Uh... Overpowered Mollusk? Some abreviation for a country? Order of Molly?

Ok, no I really feel stupid... oh well, at least that's in the spirit of this thread. ;)

#210

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 9:52 PM

Actually it is Dr. Curry, and she is a professor at Georgia Tech.

I know that, moron. If you weren't such a dishonest and stupid fuck, perhaps you could grasp why I left off the title.

#211

Posted by: SueinNM | November 8, 2007 9:56 PM

"Let's face it, PZ and his site is anti-religon. What really is the foundation of yur trauma, PZ? Did the preacher lick your ear while penetrating your anus? Is that the source of your pain and anguish? Perhaps the same with your readers? When you lose a competition or do not get your way is that what you sense? The preachers breath? Did it hurt, PZ? Did he make you bleed? Or does it cause you to be attracted to other men when down inside you know that is not you?"


Wow. A true Christian speaks. Thanks for proving our point.

#212

Posted by: obscured by clouds | November 8, 2007 9:56 PM

Maybe there should be a Sock Puppet Award ;)~

#213

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 9:56 PM

probably did more harm than good

More harm to what?

...is no wonder your didnt finish where you thought you should have

Is being stupid a requirement for being a CA reader? What makes you think PZ didn't finish where he thought he should have?

#214

Posted by: michelle | November 8, 2007 10:00 PM

"Thank goodness for that.

It's very satisfying to think that you will remain deluded about religion for the remainder of your ignorant life."

Like I said, What wit! What maturity! etc etc.

Obviously, when referring to rational, intelligent, civil athiests I was not referring to you.

#215

Posted by: Michelle | November 8, 2007 10:03 PM

"is no wonder your didnt finish where you thought you should have"

...Since you seem to know PZ much better than PZ himself, where did he think he should've finished exactly?

#216

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 8, 2007 10:06 PM

c) That's not really what "sour grapes" are in the first place.

#217

Posted by: Physicalist | November 8, 2007 10:06 PM

Reading through the comments, I'm pleased to find that the non-insane readers of Climate Audit agree with me:

Judith Curry #147:

SteveM is a bonafide skeptic not a denialist. He tends to neglect the physics and focus on the statistics, but then most of us scientists focus on the physics and do a poor job on the statistics. The Climateauditors tend to be too quick to throw away the whole puzzle if they identify a problem with one of the pieces (they tend to have trouble grasping the big picture).

But I'd question whether McIntyre's skepticism even has anything to do with the science, or whether it's just skepticism about particular statistical studies, etc. It's not clear to me that he particularly cares about the science as such -- which is one of the reasons he's not far from the denialist camp.

Certainly I agree with Judith Curry's picture of his fan base: denialists to the core.

#218

Posted by: eewolf | November 8, 2007 10:06 PM

michelle: "...Since you seem to know PZ much better than PZ himself, where did he think he should've finished exactly?"
Maybe she has a reading disorder?
#219

Posted by: firemancarl | November 8, 2007 10:07 PM

Well, these are PZ "fleas" no? After ERV got a full broadside from the wacky YEC and jebus lovers, why not launch a full scale attack against PZ? It makes perfect sense. I think their line of thinking ( YEC etc) goes like this.. deny deny deny, make counter accusations.

#220

Posted by: SueinNM | November 8, 2007 10:08 PM

Michelle,

And we nasty atheists are all so VERY grateful that you came over here, to a blog you never read, just to share your Christian wit, wisdom and maturity with us, instead of actually contributing anything to the conversation.

What was that about removing the log in your own eye first?
Never mind the bit about turning the other cheek.

Ah, those inconvenient Jesus quotes. They always seem to get in the way of a good religious rant.

#221

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 10:09 PM

Didn't get past this first thread, but this thread would certainly seem to vindicate climateaudit's win.

Actually, I'm starting to wonder if this is some troll just pretending to be Judith Curry. I mean, how could a PhD write something that stupid? There are no contributions by Steve McIntyre here, so how could this thread "vindicate" his win? Apparently the Curry-troll's logic is that, if Pharyngula came in behind CA, and Pharyngula sucks, then CA deserved its win. But that kind of leaves out all those other blogs, doesn't it? Not to mention other factors like, um, that PZ wasn't trying to win. It looks like a rather radically fallacious false dichotomy.

#222

Posted by: Richard Anderson | November 8, 2007 10:10 PM

Sorry, but what exactly did you guys expect when you got all het up about a fatuous popularity contest organised by fucking Wizbang?

I cannot believe some of the more decent blogs got sucked into this. And I cannot believe the publicity they've helped generate for this moronic non-event.

#223

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 8, 2007 10:11 PM

Obviously, when referring to rational, intelligent, civil athiests I was not referring to you.

Ouch!

#224

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 10:12 PM

The Climateauditors tend to be too quick to throw away the whole puzzle if they identify a problem with one of the pieces (they tend to have trouble grasping the big picture).

Isn't this exactly what Curry (or some fool posing as Curry) did in characterizing this blog based on one outlier thread?

#225

Posted by: Michelle | November 8, 2007 10:13 PM

What the bloody fuck? DUDE! SueinNM, where did that come from? I read PZ's blog since a few months, been reading the BA's since forever, and for sake, I'm atheist too! Pure good ol' "I'm going to hell" material here.

But wow, talk about being totally uncalled for. What justified that attack?

#226

Posted by: Jim | November 8, 2007 10:14 PM

Oh, this is pure, sweet, entertainment! Much better than your typical pissing contest. I can't wait for these web awards to come around again next year. Thanks everyone!

#227

Posted by: michelle | November 8, 2007 10:16 PM

SueinNM Who says I'm a Christian? You know what they say about people who make assumptions.

#228

Posted by: Ric | November 8, 2007 10:18 PM

So I see the scummy-ass trolls are out in full force. All I have to say is: good post, PZ. Right on the money, as usual.

#229

Posted by: Michelle Rochon | November 8, 2007 10:18 PM

...Oh I get it - I got an evil twin. Sorry Suein. Here, I'll just add my last name from now on.

#230

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 8, 2007 10:22 PM

Big-M Michelle: Susan was referring to little-m michelle when she made that comment. Rest assured, you are not a smug hypocrite.

#231

Posted by: Science Should Be Based On Reality | November 8, 2007 10:23 PM

His intro says PZ Myers is a biologist and associate professor at the University of Minnesota, Morris.

Could have fooled me. He appears to be just a big dink!!

#232

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 10:24 PM

What justified that attack?

It was rather obviously justified by your moronic and dishonest

Is this what atheism does to you? Makes you bitter, angry and hate-filled whilst simultaneously stripping you of the ability for intelligent, rational debate?

If you've been reading this blog "since a few months", you know that PZ hasn't been stripped of any such ability. And if you're talking about this thread -- it's not about God belief, now is it? You would make more sense if you asked "is this what defending AGW does to you?" So you're just another stupid lying troll, even if your game is a little bit hard to make out for being incoherent.

#233

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 10:25 PM

Could have fooled me.

It doesn't take much to fool idiots.

#234

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 8, 2007 10:26 PM

This pretty much sums it up!

McIntyre Unearths Fresh Climate Graph Outrage
24 May 07

Steve McIntyre, who with Ross McKitrick has been the author of the long-running hockey stick controversy, has replotted all of the climate reconstructions recently reported in New Scientist magazine and has discovered - well, he seems to have discovered a whole equipment bag full of hockey sticks (see illustration).

Under McIntrye's careful analysis, some of the climate reconstructions don't extend back fully to 1,000 years and some peter out more recently for lack data. And all have been recalibrated to spend a bit more time above zero. But taken individually or together, they all seem to suggest exactly what the much-debated Mann hockey stick suggested, lo those many Congressional hearings ago: that we are currently enjoying (or enduring) the hottest period on earth in the last 1,000 years.

Thanks, Steve, for clearing that up.

Thanks, Steve!

#235

Posted by: Michelle Rochon | November 8, 2007 10:26 PM

@Rey Fox: Yes, I'm breathing easier now. :P I was pretty confused out of the blue there... I hadn't noticed the presence of that double of mine. Aah, the bad sides of a lack of registration. (which is also convenient.)

#236

Posted by: Clayton | November 8, 2007 10:27 PM

And what kind of real scientist ever tells people who disagree with him to 'fuck off'?

Agreed. If he was a _real_ scientist, he'd send in the giant mutated squids to attack.

#237

Posted by: Robert_W | November 8, 2007 10:27 PM

This is really sad, I used to lurk here and read the (mostly) intelligent comments, but now the whole thread has been infiltrated. I definitely like the idea of making "Fuck off" a rallying cry, I certainly use it enough.

#238

Posted by: Michelle Rochon | November 8, 2007 10:28 PM

Truth Machine: Nono! I'm sorry, I thought suein was talking to me. It was a mistake!

#239

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 10:31 PM

...Oh I get it - I got an evil twin.

Yeah, you have to read in context -- SueinNM was clearly responding to #191 and #214. Then again, I should have realized from #215 that there were two [Mm]ichelles -- oops.

#240

Posted by: kps | November 8, 2007 10:31 PM

I'm a life long atheist, I never voted for any Bush, yet I still find CA interesting as well as RC.

What bothers me is how certain both sides are in knowing just what is going on with an open system. This issue has become quite political, yet science is not a democratic process.

The reality is there aren't that many 'climate scientists' and every other scientist, no matter that they forgot that emistivity and absorptivity can be different if the radiation isn't blackbody - they just know that this is slam dunk science - a computer model told them so.

What gets me is so few in the climate field are talking about the limits of the knowledge. And then scientists outside the field are even more certain they know - no matter which side of the issue they are on.

Hell, if the hockey stick is for real, why is it missing from satellite data? (yeah there is some warming, but it looks pretty linear over time from space). People either seem to "know" AGW is for real or they "know" its BS - what is wrong with not taking a side if you don't know even after reading the papers and looking at raw data? Oh - I know whats wrong - you will get tagged as a denialist.

#241

Posted by: Sivi Volk | November 8, 2007 10:32 PM

Wow. I wonder if they've all swung around here after getting bored at Aetiology. I'm always amazed how patient she is with them.

I haven't seen this much trolling here since... erm, can't remember. A while.

#242

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 10:34 PM

And what kind of real scientist ever tells people who disagree with him to 'fuck off'?

The kind who grasps that there's no inconsistency between being a real scientist and telling stupid arrogant dishonest assholes trolling his blog to fuck off.

#243

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 10:36 PM

I'm a life long atheist, I never voted for any Bush

So effing what?

What bothers me is how certain both sides are in knowing just what is going on with an open system.

You seem pretty certain about something you clearly know almost nothing about -- the state of climate science.

#244

Posted by: Ray Stein | November 8, 2007 10:41 PM

He e-vets temps (a gasp), met Steve eh?

#245

Posted by: papertiger | November 8, 2007 10:46 PM

You don't need a lot of data points to figure out your dealing with an asshole. Like I was out walking my dog and he took a crap on the sidewalk. I carry a paper bag with me for when this happens so I bend down to scoop it up. The lady of the house gets up from her lawn chair and opens her screen door, and from the house emerges her pitbull dog, growling and snapping at me from behind their cyclone fence.
I don't need to know one thing more to tell you that lady is wrong in the head.
Likewise, I don't have need of more information about the proprietor of this blog to tell he is one miserable excuse for a human being.

Is the criteria of his venom the good of mankind or the Earth as he would have you and I believe?
The late Karl Popper wrote;
The more we learn about the world, and the deeper our learning, the more conscious, specific, and articulate will be our knowledge of what we do not know, our knowledge of our ignorance - the fact that our knowledge can be only finite, while our ignorance must be infinite.
Popper held falsifiability as his criterion of demarcation between what is and is not genuinely scientific: a theory should be considered scientific if and only if it is falsifiable.
This truism is denied by people like Mr. Pharyngula.
He calls the people who check the science rats.
The truth is there is no scientific knowledge with out the "rats" and Myers is the worst sort of denialist.
If the world were populated with his sort there would be no hope for scientific progress, because the "rats" perform the same function for science that natural selection performs for biological evolution. They cull the unfit theories and puncture overinflated egos.

Mr. McIntyre has falsified the hockeystick. People like Pharyngula here want to keep walking it around, like the dead guy in Weekend at Bernies just so they won't have to admit they are wrong.

Beware scientists who claim the argument is settled. That's only their ego talking.

#246

Posted by: Who Cares | November 8, 2007 10:47 PM

@kps (#240):
Would be a good research subject about why satellites do not find the same amount of heating.
I am guessing several factors, including (but not limited to) a small change in composition of air compared to the gas mix used to calculate how much of the IR radiation received is reflected from the Earth, heat retention inside the atmosphere, increased reflection in the upper atmosphere of sunlight which doesn't get converted into IR radiation because of this.

#247

Posted by: Kyle Huff | November 8, 2007 10:48 PM

Srsly? WTF?
The non-trolls are worse than the trolls.
Almost makes me ashamed to be an atheist.

Back to BA for me.

#248

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 8, 2007 10:48 PM

People either seem to "know" AGW is for real or they "know" its BS - what is wrong with not taking a side if you don't know even after reading the papers and looking at raw data? Oh - I know whats wrong - you will get tagged as a denialist.

This 2004 WaPo article puts it well:

So why does it seem as if there is major scientific disagreement? Because a few noisy skeptics -- most of whom are not even scientists -- have generated a lot of chatter in the mass media. At the National Press Club recently, Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor Richard Lindzen dismissed the consensus as "religious belief." To be sure, no scientific conclusion can ever be proven, absolutely, but it is no more a "belief" to say that Earth is heating up than it is to say that continents move, that germs cause disease, that DNA carries hereditary information or that quarks are the basic building blocks of subatomic matter. You can always find someone, somewhere, to disagree, but these conclusions represent our best available science, and therefore our best basis for reasoned action.

#249

Posted by: Graculus | November 8, 2007 10:53 PM

Steve McIntyre, who with Ross McKitrick

Ross "I con't tell the difference between a degree and a radian" McKitrick?

Priceless.

#250

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 10:53 PM

You don't need a lot of data points to figure out your dealing with an asshole.

Indeed, we now know that you're asshole. But that doesn't help Ms. Curry any.

Mr. McIntyre has falsified the hockeystick.

No he hasn't, you ignorant jackass. See, for instance, #234. And the hockey stick isn't all there is. From the NAS report (per that link):

Based on the analyses presented in the original papers by Mann et al. and this newer supporting evidence, the committee finds it plausible that the Northern Hemisphere was warmer during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period over the preceding millennium.

[And the part Steve M keeps forgetting to mention is this part]:

Surface temperature reconstructions for periods prior to the industrial era are only one of multiple lines of evidence supporting the conclusion that climatic warming is occurring in response to human activities, and they are not the primary evidence.

The reconstruction produced by Dr. Mann and his colleagues was just one step in a long process of research, and it is not (as sometimes presented) a clinching argument for anthropogenic global warming, but rather one of many independent lines of research on global climate change.

#251

Posted by: Ron | November 8, 2007 10:54 PM

This thread isn't about science folks, it's about manners. We (I say we because I am a member of the group in question, though somewhat ashamed to admit it at he moment) entered Mr. Myer's space and mucked about complaining to his face how we didn't like the smell or the decor or the brand of beer in the refrigerator. Lirttle wonder he wants us out on our ear. If I could apologise for the whole sorry lot I would. Inexcusable.

#252

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 10:58 PM

The non-trolls are worse than the trolls.

The bad thing about the trolls is that they are trolling. Non-trolls can't be worse, as a matter of linguistics.

Almost makes me ashamed to be an atheist.

That's pure trollery. The issue here is AGW, not God belief.

Back to BA for me.

Not to be missed.

#253

Posted by: Who Cares | November 8, 2007 10:58 PM

@245:
People who check? There as skeptics and there are denialists. And from what I've seen PZ dislikes the latter. What are the denialists? the ones who go like this one piece is not completely correct so everything ever used to support the theory that also used this one piece is incorrect and the theory should be discarded as useless. That is the kind of person you are defending.
I've yet to find a denialist (the people and their zombie followers who PZ describes as rats) who successfully punctured a theory with the kind of bloviating they do. Skeptics sometimes manage but they do it by incorporating the existing evidence and data into a framework.

Oh and on the stick, read: http://www8.nationalacademies.org/onpinews/newsitem.aspx?RecordID=11676

#254

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 8, 2007 10:59 PM

Somebody gets it. So does McIntyre have a few hundred comments from my readers giving him grief on his blog?

Right now, I can't say that I'd feel much sympathy for him.

#255

Posted by: Zarquon | November 8, 2007 11:01 PM

hey, Kyle Huff went off in a huff, or maybe a minute and a huff.

#256

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 11:01 PM

We (I say we because I am a member of the group in question, though somewhat ashamed to admit it at he moment) entered Mr. Myer's space and mucked about complaining to his face how we didn't like the smell or the decor or the brand of beer in the refrigerator. Lirttle wonder he wants us out on our ear. If I could apologise for the whole sorry lot I would. Inexcusable.

Hey, apparently the CA folks aren't all dishonest assholes.

#257

Posted by: bybelknap, FCD | November 8, 2007 11:07 PM

How do I vote for Cuttlefish to get another OM? I am weeping tears of joy, envy and gratitude for that poem. I had to wade through nearly 200 posts to get to it - and what an awful journey - my waders are caked with all sorts of filth but there, shining in all it's glory was Cuttlefish's post. Thank you, thank you, thank you.

#258

Posted by: Graculus | November 8, 2007 11:08 PM

If I could apologise for the whole sorry lot I would. Inexcusable.

"The sins that we do two by two, we pay for one by one"

Don't feel responsible for them, they don't feel responsible at all.

Now, how do you feel about tentacles?

#259

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 8, 2007 11:10 PM

Yes, it's Steve McIntyre, ex-businessman

vs.

NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL
Division on Earth and Life Studies
Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate
The Committee on Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years

Gerald R. North (chair)
Distinguished Professor of Meteorology and Oceanography and
Harold J. Haynes Endowed Chair in Geosciences
Texas A&M University
College Station

Franco Biondi
Associate Professor of Physical Geography
University of Nevada
Reno

Peter Bloomfield
Professor of Statistics and of Financial Mathematics
North Carolina State University
Raleigh

John R. Christy
Professor of Atmospheric Science, and
Director
Earth System Science Center
University of Alabama
Huntsville

Kurt M. Cuffey
Professor of Geography
University of California
Berkeley

Robert E. Dickinson1,2
Professor
School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
Georgia Institute of Technology
Atlanta

Ellen R.M. Druffel
Professor of Earth System Science
University of California
Irvine

Douglas Nychka
Senior Scientist
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Boulder, Colo.

Bette Otto-Bliesner
Scientist
Climate and Global Dynamics Division;
Head
Paleoclimate Group; and
Deputy Head
Climate Change Research Section
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Boulder, Colo.

Neil Roberts
Head
School of Geography
University of Plymouth
Plymouth, United Kingdom

Karl K. Turekian1
Sterling Professor of Geology and Geophysics
Yale University
New Haven, Conn.

John M. Wallace1
Professor of Atmospheric Sciences, and
Director
Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean
University of Washington
Seattle

I think I'll go with the conclusions reached by the distinguished scientists from the National Academies.

#260

Posted by: Dustin | November 8, 2007 11:12 PM

So does McIntyre have a few hundred comments from my readers giving him grief on his blog?

Not at all, actually. To quote one of his posters, that shows who the adults are.

His latest thread has, as of comment #82, turned to "ZOMG, teh Nazis were Greenies!" I mean, come on, making fun of these guys is like picking on the poor kid who had to wear a helmet all the time -- it just isn't decent. I'm going to go post some fake comments at UD instead.

#261

Posted by: Garth | November 8, 2007 11:23 PM

259 - "I think I'll go with the conclusions reached by the distinguished scientists from the National Academies."

Even if you are clearly unfamiliar with the actual results.

Certainly the NAS report on climate reconstructions, minus the spin, was another vindication of McIntyre.

#262

Posted by: Garth | November 8, 2007 11:29 PM

"I'm an associate professor of biology at a small liberal arts university in the upper midwest."

Yes, we can see from the "quality" of this post, especially its small-minded and petty spite (go over to Climate Audit to see a generous reaction from somebody who at least has good manners, but also a genuinely scientific approach), why you are at a small liberal arts university in the midwest ;)

#263

Posted by: Janine | November 8, 2007 11:32 PM

Just followed the link that Dustin provided. Did not see one comment by any names I recognize from here. Quite a lot of posts claiming that PZ is unhinged and, oh my, any professor teaching at a small liberal arts college must be bad. To save you the effort of going on over (Not that too many people did.) here is one prime example.

steven mosher says: November 8th, 2007 at 7:31 pm

A while back I talked about
emotional rewards for professions that were disconnected from reality.

Essentially. PZ believes he is better than his students and better than his readers and so
experiences cognitive dissonace.

The secondary reward of winning a contest offered him some hope of reconciling his
view of himself with their view of him.

When that failed, he tried for the terteriary compensation, by throwing his "weight"
behind Bad astronomy. OPPS.

He will take it out on his next class of students.

I wish I could be as wise as Steven Mosher.

#264

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 11:36 PM

To quote one of his posters, that shows who the adults are.

Post #3 says

The posts of the hosts at Phar and BAB have been markedly political with plently of ad homininem. It's nice to see that the host of this blog maintains neutrality and civility.

which is amusing because, like all complaints about "civility", tone, etc., it's ad hominem. And because it ignores important facts ... like that this thread is a response to a horde of rude trolls from CA. As for "maintains neutrality" -- does that mean McIntyre hides his own political views and suppresses those of his commenters? If not, what could it mean? And why would it be a good thing?

#265

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 11:40 PM

Certainly the NAS report on climate reconstructions, minus the spin, was another vindication of McIntyre.

You're a liar.

Yes, we can see from the "quality" of this post, especially its small-minded and petty spite

And an asshole. Go take your "good manners" back under the rock you crawled put from.

#266

Posted by: Dahan | November 8, 2007 11:41 PM

Came really late to this post (had 7 hours of class to teach today), but still gonna toss my 2 cents in.

To start with, amen PZ.

Second, there are some REALLY ignorant people commenting here. All I can think to say is that the opinions of the worthless are worthless. I won't engage the blathering idiots or even bother to name the names of those I'm talking about here, those identities are obvious to all. It's just not worth it. Don't waste time on these people. Water off a duck's ass. That's what it is.

Third, yeah, I voted for Bad Astronomy. Not because PZ asked, but because it was one of the first blogs I ever came across that was worth reading and it still holds great info and entertainment. I love this blog, but think BA could use the award.

Talk to ya all soon.

#267

Posted by: Crudely Wrott | November 8, 2007 11:42 PM

Pettifoggery! Gomers! Freepers and Limbots too! And in just one sentence! Hooo-hAWW!

PZ, you irascible, abrasive, caustic curmudgeon! You heartless, multi-tentacled beast, you! The reach of your evil literacy leaves no place to hide even for the most mindless and inattentive among us. Your perverse dedication to lucidity coupled with your most horrid insight into human nature is a force that is breaking noggins at the four corners of the world and everywhere between.

I love you, you improbable threat; you wondrous spell breaker; you anti saint, you! This scares the shit out of me because it has dawned on me that I've been trying to be just like that for most of my life. Damn! The only thing that bugs me is you've got me by a light year. (damn. I shoulda stayed in school instead of falling in love and going to Florida. But then, where would my children be?)

Enough, now. My sides hurt and I have to stop chortling in order to finish my beer.

Multiple expressions of gratitude delivered in a style that suggests we had already tipped one or two together while engaged in meaningful debate most odious and suspicious to anyone not there at the time.

#268

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 8, 2007 11:48 PM

I've said on many occasions that, if I had a big policy job, I would be guided by the views expressed by large institutions. Unlike some "skeptics", I don't argue that decisions should be deferred pending perfect certainty. I have business experience and know that people make decisions all the time with uncertainty - you have to. At the same time, if you're going to make effective decisions, you need to have the best possible information. And I vehemently disagree that scientists can use the "big picture" as a justification for being careless with their details. People should try their hardest to get the details right as well as the big picture.

He can't even write coherently. What is the point of this long-winded paragraph? What the fuck is he talking about?! The guy's a wind-bag of the first order. Pray that you never end up trapped in a room alone with this idiot.

#269

Posted by: MartinDH | November 8, 2007 11:48 PM

YAY. Phil (and Bad Astronomy) won. There was much rejoicing...

#270

Posted by: Orac | November 8, 2007 11:50 PM

Re: The invasion of anti-AGW wingnuts.

Ack. Coming to this thread, I'm having an acid flashback to the recent invasion of my blog by the same sort of anti-AGW denialists.

So similar, and so many more of them. I don't envy PZ when the wingnuts descend en masse.

#271

Posted by: truth machine | November 8, 2007 11:59 PM

It's nice to see that the host of this blog maintains neutrality and civility.

Ah, I've figured out what "maintains" means ... Tom C posted at CA that he surmised that PZ was short of stature and picked last for athletic teams, and the post was quickly removed. So any appearance of civility among the commenters at CA is illusory.

#272

Posted by: Robin Levett | November 9, 2007 12:02 AM

kps:

Hell, if the hockey stick is for real, why is it missing from satellite data? (yeah there is some warming, but it looks pretty linear over time from space).

(i) The satellite data prior to say 1960 is considered unreliable.

(ii) For the period for which satellite data is reliable, it reflects the instrumentally recorded surface warming.

#273

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 12:02 AM

And as quickly as they had appeared, the denialists were gone....

[chirp, chirp, chirp]

Here's hoping so.

#274

Posted by: papertiger | November 9, 2007 12:04 AM

Then there are the myopic little nitpickers, people who scurry about seeking little bits of garbage in the fabric of science (and of course, there are such flaws everywhere), and when they find some scrap of rot, they squeak triumphantly and hold it high and declare that the science everywhere is similarly corrupt.

Sounds like railing against natural selection to me.

#275

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 12:05 AM

Sounds like railing against natural selection to me.

Who cares what something sounds like to an idiot?

#276

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 12:08 AM

Proof that papertiger is an idiot: it left this dropping at CA:

I left a primer on the scientific method for PZ to study, via a few quotes from Karl Popper. The part about Steve funtioning as natural selection for erroneous scientific dogmas is going to leave a welt - I guarantee
#277

Posted by: sunsettommy | November 9, 2007 12:09 AM

I have never been at this website before.I was directed here from Climate Audit. http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=2327

I have never posted in any form at Climate Audit and have been an infrequent lurker there.

I have read ALL the comments here and at Climate Audit website that pertains to the web awards.

I find quite a contrast in the choice of words between the 2 websites in the comments column.

Here it is smearing,calling people Trolls and namecalling.
There it is absent.

The use of the word DENIALIST against someone who is not a believer in the Hypothized man made warming trend is offensive and disgusting.I see this attitude in many forums I have visited.Where there are no reasonable discussion going on because of the poisoned climate brought on by people who use such discussion killing perjorative words as Denialist,Trolls,A paid writer for Oil companies,Milloy is a shill and so on.

What happened to the idea of constructive criticism?

What happened to the understanding that skepticism is a normal state of mind for people?

What ever happened to the idea of mature discussion of the issue?

I for one do not like the attitude of this commentary thread.It is hostile,Irrational and Divisive.

There is a reason why most Skeptics forums are better.They often expect Civil maturity from anyone who wants to participate.

#278

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 12:11 AM

Phil (and Bad Astronomy) won.

Look at the thread I linked to. The CA trolls are already in there gasping for air and raving about weird poll behavior and possible cheating. Tomorrow, CA will probably "audit" the blog award.

If they do, I'll dump paperclips on their floors and watch them hyperventilate.

#279

Posted by: 386sx :P | November 9, 2007 12:12 AM

OMG I hate Firefox. I'm not kidding why would anybody like that stupid program...

#280

Posted by: Mike from Ottawa | November 9, 2007 12:14 AM

I love all the denialists trooping over here one by one to announce, "you aren't a scientist and I'm never going to read your blog again!"

Especially since their hero, McIntyre certainly isn't a scientist, but is a consultant for an energy company (CGX Energy), something he didn't feel a need to disclose until he got outed for it.

#281

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 12:14 AM

There is a reason why most Skeptics forums are better.They often expect Civil maturity from anyone who wants to participate.

Feel free to go back to the "skeptic forums" where you will get "civil maturity" as a result of aggressive moderation, but you won't get honesty or accuracy or science.

#282

Posted by: papertiger | November 9, 2007 12:17 AM

Re #250

Surface temperature reconstructions for periods prior to the industrial era are only one of multiple lines of evidence supporting the conclusion that climatic warming is occurring in response to human activities, and they are not the primary evidence.

The reconstruction produced by Dr. Mann and his colleagues was just one step in a long process of research, and it is not (as sometimes presented) a clinching argument for anthropogenic global warming, but rather one of many independent lines of research on global climate change.
So let me get this straight. The NAS says you can toss out the thermometer and still prove the temperature went up?
Sure - Everybody knows you don't need a thermometer to measure how hot it is. How silly of me. I guess the NAS wants us to stick a finger out the window.

You think this helps the AGW argument,how?
I'll have to pass that on to my fellow denialists. They could use a good chuckle.

#283

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 12:21 AM

How silly of me.

Yes, you are silly and stupid.

#284

Posted by: Paul S | November 9, 2007 12:26 AM

== Mike from Ottaw said: ==

="Especially since their hero, McIntyre certainly isn't a scientist, but is a consultant for an energy company (CGX Energy), something he didn't feel a need to disclose until he got outed for it."=

That's pretty lame Mike. Does Al Gore publicly report how many millions he is pocketing in speaking fees every year?

#285

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 12:30 AM

The reconstruction produced by Dr. Mann and his colleagues was just one step in a long process of research, and it is not (as sometimes presented) a clinching argument for anthropogenic global warming, but rather one of many independent lines of research on global climate change.

Blah. Blah. Blah.

From the horse's mouth:

Our Nature article established that the warmth of the 1990s was outside the range of variability as indicated in our reconstruction of past Northern Hemisphere temperature variations, taking the uncertainties in the reconstruction into account. The paper also showed, from a statistical point of view, that the recent warming could not be explained in terms of "natural" influences (such as changes in solar output or explosive volcanic activity), but could only be explained in terms of anthropogenic factors (specifically, the increase of greenhouse gas concentrations due to modern industrial activity).

Get your head out of the sand.

#286

Posted by: Paul S | November 9, 2007 12:31 AM

Is there any way to turn off the "truth machine" spambot? ;)

#287

Posted by: 386sx | November 9, 2007 12:36 AM

Is there any way to turn off the "truth machine" spambot? ;)

Sure, just remain logical at all times. No worries!

#288

Posted by: Rick T. | November 9, 2007 12:37 AM

Papertiger,

"I guess the NAS wants us to stick a finger out the window".

You can do that or just look out the window if you can remove your ass hat long enough to do so.
Whatever it takes to see the melting of the polar ice caps. You can play the idiot if you want and say that humans have nothing to do with global warming but wouldn't it be prudent to make an attempt to ameliorate the situation?

It's like arguing over how the fire got started. Why not put it out first then argue later?

#289

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 12:40 AM

Sure, just remain logical at all times. No worries!

That certainly helps. For instance, Paul S wouldn't look like such a moron if he were to learn what spam is.

#290

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 12:42 AM

="Especially since their hero, McIntyre certainly isn't a scientist, but is a consultant for an energy company (CGX Energy), something he didn't feel a need to disclose until he got outed for it."=

That's pretty lame Mike. Does Al Gore publicly report how many millions he is pocketing in speaking fees every year?

No one suggested that McIntyre should disclose his finances, asshole.

#291

Posted by: sunsettommy | November 9, 2007 12:43 AM

Sunsettommy:

"There is a reason why most Skeptics forums are better.They often expect Civil maturity from anyone who wants to participate."

truth machine:

"Feel free to go back to the "skeptic forums" where you will get "civil maturity" as a result of aggressive moderation, but you won't get honesty or accuracy or science.

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 12:14 AM"

LOL,

Some climate forums are not skeptic forums and yet the administrator there expects civil behavior.This is one of them:http://talkclimatechange.com/phpBB3/index.php

The forum I administrate has no current AGW believers in the membership base.The two who were got banned long ago for their..... drumroll..... name calling,smearing and plain get nasty.I was then a simple member who complained about it to the forum owner in a thread.

It is instructive that you ignored my reasonable questions in order to imply that skeptics are unfair in their moderating in forums.

I have been in political forums that had some debate on Global Warming and often it is the AGW people who are the ones doing the name calling,smearing and similar.

Maybe you want to answer them instead.Those questions I have posed you have been silent on.


#292

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 12:51 AM

Where there are no reasonable discussion going on...

Hey, these denialists sound just like the religious nuts who blather on about "fairness" and insist that schools "teach the controversy."

What a load of crap.

#293

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 12:51 AM

Some climate forums are not skeptic forums and yet the administrator there expects civil behavior.

Who the fuck cares?

It is instructive that you ignored my reasonable questions

You mean your rhetorical questions, like "What happened to the idea of constructive criticism?" ? What sort of dishonest asshole would say that failure to respond to such is "instructive"?

in order to imply that skeptics are unfair in their moderating in forums

I implied no such thing, moron. The moderation I referred to is that which preserves your notion of pseudo-mature pseudo-civility. If you think those are better forums, then why are you trolling here, being just another asshole?

#294

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 12:55 AM

I have been in political forums that had some debate on Global Warming and often it is the AGW people who are the ones doing the name calling,smearing and similar.

So the fuck what? Are you too fucking stupid to understand how ad hominem that is? No amount of name calling by "AGW people" will alter the reality of AGW, you fucking cretin.

#295

Posted by: Paul S | November 9, 2007 12:56 AM

== the truth machine spambot said: ==

="No one suggested that McIntyre should disclose his finances, asshole.="

Why the fuss over his consulting work for an energy company then?

#296

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 1:00 AM

Why the fuss over his consulting work for an energy company then?

Are you saying you're too fucking stupid to understand? Really, you would look better if you were just dishonestly pretending not to.

#297

Posted by: Paul S | November 9, 2007 1:03 AM

If you used less expletives and employed intelligence in your comments Mr. Spambot, you might make some sense to posters here. (Breathlessly awaiting your profanity-filled canned response.)

#298

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 1:03 AM

Paul S wouldn't look like such a moron if he were to learn what spam is.

He'd look like less of a moron, yet, if he'd didn't put that fucking winking smiley at the end of his insult. He also isn't the first CA troll to use it in that fashion.

It's a little like those old annoying Catholic aunts we all seem to have, the ones who think that leading off with, "Marty, God bless him," gives them free license to blast the hell out of poor Marty.

Anyway, Paul S, I don't think hanging around here is going to make you or your fellow trolls quite as happy as fellating Martin Durkin or jacking off to some single, statistically insignificant data point seem to make you, so kindly fuck off. ;)

#299

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 1:07 AM

Hey, these denialists sound just like the religious nuts who blather on about "fairness" and insist that schools "teach the controversy."

I'm getting pretty god damned sick of these nauseating and disingenuous appeals to even handedness. Whenever something in science becomes a public argument, the fact finding and argument and reasonable discussion has already been done to such an extent that the scientists are in agreement -- a feat that's rather like herding cats, so there has to be a mountain of evidence.

The denialist then has two options: 1) run against that overwhelming evidence and look like an ass, 2) disingenuously pretend to be "open minded" and fair about interpreting that data by appealing to the public's intellectual vanity while really advancing the opinion that the conclusion which is clearly painted by the data is wrong.

It's hardly any shock that they run with #2.

#300

Posted by: dogmeatib | November 9, 2007 1:08 AM

All I can really say is ... "wow."

These CA guys are this pissed off and their boy won? Imagine how they would be if he'd lost?

#301

Posted by: Paul S | November 9, 2007 1:09 AM

I think I'll hang around for awhile Dustin, just to annoy you and that other inbred, truth machine. ;)

#302

Posted by: DLC | November 9, 2007 1:11 AM

Right... Late again. Congrats to Phil Plait.

I have declined to comment on the climatology, because my comments are too long for a simple reply-button text -- it would take at least one full-blown article to make my points.
However, I would like to remind people that there is a point beyond which criticism becomes nitpickery and crankery.
Legitimate critique is necessary to science, nitpickers and cranks are not.

#303

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 1:12 AM

If you used less expletives and employed intelligence in your comments Mr. Spambot, you might make some sense to posters here. (Breathlessly awaiting your profanity-filled canned response.)

I make plenty of sense to the regular posters here who are not idiot trolls from GW-denier land who have invaded this blog; to people who aren't so stupid as to think that there's any dichotomy between intelligence and calling stupid fucking assholes what they are.

#304

Posted by: Glen Raphael | November 9, 2007 1:14 AM

Regarding the claim that NAS agreed with McIntyre's claims, Johnny Vector wrote (in #15):

Um, let's see, this would be the report that is summarized at the NAS website thusly?

There is sufficient evidence from tree rings, retreating glaciers, and other "proxies" to say with confidence that the last few decades of the 20th century were warmer than any comparable period in the last 400 years, according to a new National Research Council report.

You use that word "agreed". I do not think it means what you think it means.

Yes, that's exactly the study. And I thought the press release/executive summary excerpted above was a truly masterful bit of spin when I saw it in the resulting newspaper headlines.

What makes it spin? It's missing the word only. Because the big news in that paragraph is the conclusion that it's only the last 400 years we can be reasonably confident about. Not a thousand. Not two thousand. Just prior to this study, Mann and the Realclimate gang had been claiming high confidence that we were at a 2000 year high, while McIntyre and various statistical authorities were skeptical. In fact, everyone on all sides of the debate agreed going in that we'd probably been in a warming phase since the little ice age. So 400 years of warming wasn't news, other than in the negative sense of "it's not 2000". Thus, even that summary-of-a-summary was a subtle vindication of McIntyre's views.

#305

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 1:15 AM

I think I'll hang around for awhile Dustin, just to annoy you and that other inbred, truth machine. ;)

Tattooing "troll" on your forehead doesn't annoy me, asshole, it's simply confirmation.

#306

Posted by: Paul S | November 9, 2007 1:16 AM

Tough day at the office, eh?

#307

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 1:17 AM

This guy's a real piece of work.

Here he is trying to draw a parallel between what happened at Enron and what goes on in academia. Or something. The guy loves to make vague insinuations. It's his bread and butter.

A big story today is the guilty verdict on Enron executives Kenneth Lay and Jeffrey Skilling. There are many interesting issues involved in this, but the one that I wish to draw to attention of readers here is that Lay and Skilling were not found guilty of stealing money or looting the treasury, but of dishonesty and withholding the truth.
[...]
I often talk here about the need for full, true and plain disclosure. I don't say this out of any belief that businessmen are more honest than academics. I don't think that at all. All I'm saying is that breaches of the obligation of full, true and plain disclosure are serious and people are being sent to jail for breaching these obligations. Maybe not enough. Withholding the truth, as noted above, is a form of criminal dishonesty just as much as overt lying and was clearly involved in the charges against these two Enron executives. Codes of academic conduct have fairly similar obligations and the omission of adverse results can amount to misconduct, in much the same way that withholding truth from investors can amount to fraud.

Give me a fucking break!

#308

Posted by: MrPete | November 9, 2007 1:22 AM

This would be funny if it weren't sad. The "non-trolls" here, including the blog owner, have lost track of what real science is all about. You want good biology? Great. Let's do good biology.

As part of a fun little CA project, my wife (biologist) and I helped update a set of Bristlecone proxies. Why? Because the available data is VERY poor, has not been updated since 1984.

I'd think a Biology prof and his followers would be encouraging of a citizen science project that does a basic good job of properly collecting the data, including environmental context, and makes the results publicly available.

I'd think you would be happy about that no matter WHAT the results show. We don't have all the data back yet, but early returns have already demonstrated a few things:

1) Dendroclimatologists could easily do a much better job of recording and sharing data. (I'm trying very hard to be nice.) Sadly, our "amateur" work is apparently higher quality than is typical. Shouldn't it be the other way around? Shouldn't the pro's be able to do much better than we who have never done this before?

2) We do have some experience understanding trees and environment (my wife, besides her college education and teaching experience, is certified through the Colorado State University extension system.) Apparently, the "real" climate scientists who make the GCM's do not have field experience. Because we're demonstrating some pretty obvious things that are ignored in the proxy studies. Such as: snow pulls branches off trees and strips their bark. And when that happens, apparently the trees respond with extra growth in the remaining live areas. Nothing to do with climate change at all. It's a bit surprising that such things are not considered in all the heated debates "out there."

Does it matter? You bet it does. To know what's causing today's warming, we need scientific research that actually tells us something true. Right now, I don't know that I can trust ANY of the dendro-based studies. And unfortunately, that covers a whole lotta studies.

What else will we learn? I dunno-- hopefully the rest of the data will be back soon. You're welcome to make use of it in your classes, PZ. It's a rather interesting and complete data set. Hopefully within a few days I'll have some more detailed photos ready to post as well (who cares about photos? Anyone who wants to understand the impact of strip bark on dendro growth.)

Well, have fun folks. I hope my little post gives pause for one or two people to stop and think. (I'm not hopeful... too many years in a flame suit to expect more than wasted vitriol. But hey, it was worth a try. Quite a few poeple have been awakened in the last few weeks to recognize that CA really is about Good Science. That's why I am involved. Not for politics. Not for any particular pro/anti view. (My take: we know less than we think we know. We don't even know if proposed solutions will help or hurt! What foolishness. Let's get serious about good science. And let's do it quickly.)

(BTW, if you are actually interested in learning something from any of this rather than continuing your oh-so-smart rants, google Almagre Bristlecones and you'll get plenty of links.)

#309

Posted by: Paul S | November 9, 2007 1:25 AM

= the truth machine said: =

="Tattooing "troll" on your forehead doesn't annoy me, asshole, it's simply confirmation."=

LOL. Ever read what's tattooed on your forehead??

#310

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 1:25 AM

The "non-trolls" here, including the blog owner, have lost track of what real science is all about.

Howe the fuck would you know? This thread is a response to assholes like you who have come here because of some stupid web contest. This isn't a climatology blog, so FUCK OFF.

#311

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 1:26 AM

Ever read what's tattooed on your forehead??

Yes, it says "Tu quoque is a fallacy, asshole".

#312

Posted by: Paul S | November 9, 2007 1:30 AM

Well, one get's bored easily and quickly on this site (and no wonder). Adios.

#313

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 1:30 AM

snow pulls branches off trees and strips their bark

Yeah, it does, but not uniformly across all the trees in the forests. That's why scientists use large samples and statistics.

That was an argument worthy of Ken Ham.

#314

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 1:33 AM

What else will we learn? I dunno-- hopefully the rest of the data will be back soon. You're welcome to make use of it in your classes, PZ.

Wow, PZ's going to be excited about this!

#315

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 1:34 AM

Well, one get's bored easily and quickly on this site (and no wonder).

It's a bit mindboggling how stupid these trolls are.

#316

Posted by: Ariock | November 9, 2007 1:34 AM

PZ.

You are awesome. I enjoyed the battle between you and BA last year. Good humoured, good natured fun, that. I'm sure this is trying right now, but it'll be over soon. Obviously some folks think that the scientific method involves a lot of shouting and bombast.

I've recently dealt with the same kind of issues online. An AGW denier admitted that the globe was warming (apparently because even GWB now admits it), and then immediately started arguing AGAINST GW, by pointing out the growth of a few glaciers in Europe. It was pretty amusing.

oh, the other brilliant bit is when they cry about how they are being silenced by Al Gore and mainstream science! Loudest damn silenced people I ever did hear.

To Sum Up: You, PZ, awesome. BAB, awesome. AGW deniers, hi-larious.

#317

Posted by: Janine | November 9, 2007 1:37 AM

Paul S, truth machine is a regular here. Have seen much of you. I think you would be a closer to being a spambot. And, no, I will not get in a pissing match with you. This is all I have to say to you. Good night.

#318

Posted by: Costard | November 9, 2007 1:44 AM

Incendiary comments tend to attract incendiary replies. This applies to blogs, conversations, anything. So it seems a little disingenuous for the regulars here, and the host, to start a fire and then cry "smoke!".

In my opinion, PZ Myers has done himself a disservice over the past several days with his unabashedly personal attacks on another blog. He sounds neither professional nor academic, whatever his excuses. But since I'm not a regular here, it seems clear to me that my opinion won't mean much - and needless to say, I have no desire to become a regular.

#319

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 1:47 AM

it seems clear to me that my opinion won't mean much - and needless to say, I have no desire to become a regular.

Well, it's a good thing you didn't waste your time by commenting here!

#320

Posted by: sunsettommy | November 9, 2007 1:49 AM

Ah well since the replies to my comments are hostile and irrational.There is no point responding anymore since I do want to waste my time dealing with immature people here.

I will just leave.

Good bye.

#321

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 1:58 AM

I will just leave.

What the fuck do you think the point of the hostility was, moron?

Sheesh but these people are stupid.

#322

Posted by: Michael X | November 9, 2007 2:01 AM

Looks like the trolls are finally getting sleepy and going back under their bridge.

#323

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 2:02 AM

So it seems a little disingenuous for the regulars here, and the host, to start a fire and then cry "smoke!".

Listen, you stupid fuckhead, the fire was started by you moron trolls attacking PZ in his own blog -- that's what this post is about.

In my opinion, PZ Myers has done himself a disservice over the past several days with his unabashedly personal attacks on another blog.

Pot, kettle, black.

But since I'm not a regular here, it seems clear to me that my opinion won't mean much

Indeed, so BUGGER OFF as requested.

#324

Posted by: Warren | November 9, 2007 2:12 AM

Good golly. So many possible Soylie recipients in one day.

I mean, the mind just boggles.

#325

Posted by: Crudely Wrott | November 9, 2007 2:25 AM

truth (ahem) machine said in comment #302:

"I make plenty of sense to the regular posters here who are not idiot trolls from GW-denier land who have invaded this blog; to people who aren't so stupid as to think that there's any dichotomy between intelligence and calling stupid fucking assholes what they are."

Maybe so. Passion is frequently confused with certainty. Experience shows that the two are normally incompatible.

As to the causes of GW, the jury is out and should remain out until such time as all causes are identified and all but one is eliminated. At least within the error bars.

It is instructive to reflect on previous times of major cooling and warming. Life went on even so.

What is so terrible about imagining that life "as we know it (and have come to be very comfortable with)" may be quite different someday? Or soon? With respect to previous cases, we are quite happy to accept the profound changes, the near complete extinctions. What's one more? Or many more? Why should this not be? Is it not evident that some of these events were at least hastened by the metabolisms of previous life forms? Like green algae, for instance? How about the advent of plants that employed sexual reproduction? How about volcanic outflows that covered thousands of square miles of biota with lava?

And what is this idea, shouted endlessly, that a ten-meter rise in sea level means the end of everything? It has happened before, to much greater degree. Humans went through it the last couple of times and survived quite admirably (ignoring superstition) and quite profitably (allowing new survival skills).

If it were not for the natural processes of this planet neither you nor I would have the luxury of addressing the issue yet some consider this the most desirable of outcomes; that our existence is predicated on the total destruction of perfectly good populations on a perfectly good planet. This is small minded and circular thinking. It hinges silently on the unexamined idea that this, our current state of climate and the benefits it engenders, is the very, very best. You put yourself at the center of the cosmos, an idea that has long passed.

Mankind, and the traces of his passing, are not unnatural.

#326

Posted by: grog | November 9, 2007 2:33 AM

Wow... I can't believe I just waded through that entire thread.

Funny how the civility of the comment thread is inversely proportional to the number of concern trolls whining about how uncivil the comments are, and how they're even real live atheists and skeptics who believe that evolution has been "proven" and whatever the hell else they think will resonate with the regulars.

Too bad the random Capitalizations by the self-described Civility Skeptics tend to give Them away...

Am I the only one to think of them as scientific parasites? All we see from them are nit-picking attacks that feed off the body of other, larger work. They don't come with their own theories or their own models or their own peer-reviewed research. They can only survive by nibbling at the edges. They're like bugs.

And the infestation is so thick today that a favorite Mencken quote springs to mind: "Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit upon his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats."

So papertiger, you're gonna be first, matey. Fuck off.

And yes, I say that as a scientist. I've read enough from you to know that you're more interested in the mechanics of arguing than actually trying to get closer to the truth of anything. So kindly go fuck yourself, pack your bag, and take your sorry ass home. You've worn out your welcome, and if I had the power I'd be merrily disemvoweling the lot of you right about now.

#327

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 2:35 AM

Passion is frequently confused with certainty. Experience shows that the two are normally incompatible.

This is a nonsensical non sequitur; the subject was intelligence -- which isn't certainty -- vs. the use of expletives -- which aren't passion. My use of expletives here was calculated to make the trolls feel unwelcome; any assumption of "passion" is unwarranted.

As to the causes of GW, the jury is out and should remain out until such time as all causes are identified and all but one is eliminated.

This is ignorant blather. The only jury that counts has made its verdict clear.

#328

Posted by: Shawn Wilkinson | November 9, 2007 2:39 AM

It seems McIntyre dwells too much on one reconstruction whereas there are other reconsturctions that show the same general pattern of an increase in global temperature in the 20th century compared to previous centuries.

That's my take on the issue. Besides, I think there are more pressing issues to address than a single reconstruction, such as carbon cycle positive feedback.

#329

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 2:42 AM

Funny how the civility of the comment thread is inversely proportional to the number of concern trolls whining about how uncivil the comments are

Yes; I intentionally upped the number of expletives in response to any mention of "civility". I do the same when regulars like azkyroth offer their condescending criticisms of my tone.

#330

Posted by: grog | November 9, 2007 2:44 AM

"Passion is frequently confused with certainty. Experience shows that the two are normally incompatible."

Grog the Pirate sez: "Aarg! What the fuck kind of drivel is this? Who says you can't have the best answer and care about having the best answer, all at the same time?"

Crudely Wrott: (1) first-year humanities grad student, (2) stoned philosophy dropout, or (3) plaintiff's lawyer? You decide.

And while we're deciding, Crudely, fuck off. And go home.

That wasn't too hostile, was it?

#331

Posted by: Richard Wolford | November 9, 2007 2:48 AM

As to the causes of GW, the jury is out and should remain out until such time as all causes are identified and all but one is eliminated. At least within the error bars.

Wow, you really are stupid. Are you seriously so short-sighted as to believe there will only be one contributor to GW? Seriously, are you actually that dense? There are multiple contributors to be sure, as reality is actually a bit more complicated than good/evil, black/white, 1/0 (er, no, forget that last one, I'm a comp sci guy). The problem is that the largest contributor is human activity. The jury is not out, they've rendered the verdict and danced off to DC to have a few martinis.

Please, try a bit harder, 'eh?

BTW, PZ, I love your blog.

#332

Posted by: Jay Currie | November 9, 2007 2:54 AM

Whatever it takes to see the melting of the polar ice caps.

At best, the Arctic icecap. It is this sort of sloppiness which tends to undermine the AGW postion's advocates.

That and the endless use of "fuck, fucktard, shill, denialist" in place of actual argument.

Sloppy and inarticulate: what's not to like?

#333

Posted by: uncle frogy | November 9, 2007 3:04 AM

Mr. Palmer if I might make a suggestion if there is not enough science on this blog for you and that is what you are looking for I would suggest you find a different blog that is what I do. If I go some where that I do not like I do not go there again. Unless it is not science you are looking for? If it is just to argue and start a fight well then go right ahead. Those people who go out of their way to look for trouble usually find it but it might not be the kind they are looking for. Me I am looking for understanding and insight into things I do not have the time to per sue in depth. listening to pointless ignorant arguments that I know make no sense being taken apart be some people who are more articulate then I is very helpful besides being hilarious.

#334

Posted by: grog the pirate | November 9, 2007 3:05 AM

"At best, the Arctic icecap." Um, Larson B?

So by "At best," do you mean that 36 cubic miles of ice per year is what, then, if not melting? Sublimating? Getting turned to pixie dust by the polar ice fairies? Abducted by UFO aliens and getting probed in unnatural ways?

See, it's this sort of sloppiness which tends to make Grog the Pirate start talking in third person and exacerbates his Tourettes. Fucktard! Shill! Denialist!

Fuck off. And go home.

#335

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:09 AM

That and the endless use of "fuck, fucktard, shill, denialist" in place of actual argument.

The arguments go on among scientists; you denialist fucktards are irrelevant and aren't worth the effort to argue with.

#336

Posted by: JR | November 9, 2007 3:12 AM

Interesting post. Where does all the anger come from?

As I cannot find a single coherent argument in this post, I'll take my science interest elsewhere in th future.

#337

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:14 AM

As I cannot find a single coherent argument in this post, I'll take my science interest elsewhere in th future.

See #157, moron.

#338

Posted by: Timothy | November 9, 2007 3:21 AM

When's the book going to be out, PZed?

#339

Posted by: JR | November 9, 2007 3:26 AM

#336:
Nice. I'm interested in science and scientific arguments, not denialist bashing competitions.

You can like or dislike what McIntyre is writing, but this post and comments is overgrown with passionate rant on how stupid he and his readers are. I'm not impressed.

#340

Posted by: grog the pirate | November 9, 2007 3:28 AM

Aarg! Don't let the door hit yer ass on the way out, JR!

(Or on your "science interest" for that matter.)

#341

Posted by: Armchair Dissident | November 9, 2007 3:37 AM

That and the endless use of "fuck, fucktard, shill, denialist" in place of actual argument.

Let's review "argumentum ad hominum" for ignoramuses, shall we? The use of "fuck", "fucktard", "shill" or "denialist" is an ad hominum if and only if that is the sole argument. "X is a fucktard, ergo X's position on Y is invalid" is an argumentum ad hominum.

"X's position on Y is wrong because Z, A, B...W you fucktard" is not only not an argumentum ad hominum, it can also be pretty damn funny. You fucktard.

#342

Posted by: John Phillips | November 9, 2007 3:42 AM

Well that was fun. BTW Cuttlefish, you rock, again :)

#343

Posted by: phat | November 9, 2007 4:02 AM

OK, so this is entertaining. I can't quite explain just how entertaining this thread is.

But I'll say this, I thought the Freeman Dyson quote masquerading as an argument was the funniest thing on this thread until I read this:

"They are the kind that hate the prosperity that capitalism has created."

I couldn't go much further.

Wow.

phat

#344

Posted by: Darwin's Minion | November 9, 2007 4:09 AM

Jesus Christ on a hockey stick (and I leave it up to the individual to disbelieve in any of those or neither), what a mess.

I applaud #251, who seems to be one of the few people who gets what this is all about.
So PZ got angry and blew off some steam. So he has an opinion. So what? That doesn't make him a bad scientist, it only makes him human. ...but then, we can't have that, scientists being humans. Because everybody knows that we're fucking (omg I said a bad word) robots.

I suggest everybody get over themselves, and then get a nice cup of tea. And retire to whatever their favourite blog is. Talking to brick walls isn't going to move them, folks.

#345

Posted by: JohnS | November 9, 2007 4:23 AM

I hear theres a ruck on. I here for this.
No you fuck off, no you fuck off, no you fuck off, no you fuck off......... Hey come over here truff machine, have I got a lubed pineapple for you.
Biology majors from a white trash university lead by a dummy spitting loser. Can't even spell fangia or whatever the name of the blog is. But I must use the ph so, no you phuck off, no you phuck of, no you phuck off... yeh yeh I I hear you truff machine, you wanker
JohnS

#346

Posted by: Tog | November 9, 2007 4:26 AM

My God! You're all such losers! Ignorance piled upon stupidity! And such unmitigated arrogance! Based on what? Like you're all so very proud that you're all so moronic? Sheesh! Never have I seen a performance like this on any blog! You guys take first prize! Dear Lord, this has been unbelievable!

#347

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:30 AM

#336:
Nice. I'm interested in science and scientific arguments,

Did you read #157 like I told you, moron? You said you were taking your interest elsewhere ... so why the fuck are you still here? What part "I don't want you here" don't you understand?

#348

Posted by: Maugrim | November 9, 2007 4:37 AM

My goodness, what a thread to wake up to.

*Ambles back to BA with tea in hand and an expression of mild bemusement*

#349

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:38 AM

And such unmitigated arrogance!

Yes, the unmitigated arrogance of the stream of jackasses like JR who think that anyone cares if they're going to "take their interest elsewhere" when they were never invited here in the first place.

#350

Posted by: Shawn Wilkinson | November 9, 2007 5:45 AM

JohnS, it may behoove you to learn about the commentators of a blog before you assume we are all biology undergraduates. I don't think i've ever been so insulted for my life, except that time someone called me a Ron paul supporter.

The commentors here range from science to non-science. From chemists and physicists to economists, mathematicians, historians. Hell, we probably also have a number of white and blue collar folk lurking.

And surprisingly, some of us do know climatology and statistics and realize McIntyre is making a big fuss about nothing concerning the "hockey stick". So, buzz off before you over-generalize. It only makes you look incompetent.

#351

Posted by: Carpworld | November 9, 2007 6:05 AM

*waits for dust to settle then pokes head out from behind tree*

Is it safe to come out yet?

#352

Posted by: John A | November 9, 2007 6:06 AM

@Moses #136:

From what I understand it wasn't bloggers. One of his collaborators, Gerald Schatten, quit starting a chain of events that ended with Suk's University discovering the scientific fraud.

Isn't it fascinating that you resort to revising history in order to make a false statement?

Schatten didn't expose the scientific fraud. He left because of the problem of the source of the human eggs, but only six weeks after he asked for a half share in Hwang's research.

See http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=476 for the chronology

The scientific fraud was exposed by bloggers - the very people PZ castigates as "rats".

The fraud wasn't disovered by peer review, nor by distinguished scientists but by people interested in the details, and because attempts to replicate Hwang's research had failed.

It's the devil in the details that neither PZ nor the dittoheads seem remotely interested in. All we get is this handwaving dismissal of scientific audit and statistical insight being referred to as "statistical pettifoggery"

So when it comes to whether or not key studies done to supposedly reconstruct past climate have any statistical, mathematical or physical validity that we get, as the bloggers and a lone TV journalist found in Korea, a shitstorm of ad hominem attacks. Until they were proven right.

There is a reason why PZ doesn't take his "complaints" to CA about Steve's supposed "pettifoggery" and it has nothing to do with science. PZ knows that his ignorance of statistics and his over-inflated view of his own importance will make him look an even bigger doofus over there than he's managed on his own weblog.

Then we'll get repetitions of why the Mann Hockey Stick doesn't matter, a snide trick that fools no-one but the gullible and the naive. If that's so, then why the bile? Why the trolling? Why the nasty references to rats and "scrap[s] of rot... focused only on putrescence", a startlingly similar attack I remember seeing in one of the early films of the Nazis used to attack Jews.

Why denialism? Because its easier than actually using the scientific method to investigate what is real and what is delusion. So if PZ isn't interested in the answers, its easier to reach for the Nazi metaphors and references to Holocaust Deniers, creationists and everyone else PZ has contempt for.

And it pays the same, doesn't it PZ?


#353

Posted by: Just-Tex | November 9, 2007 6:14 AM

Yo, PZ, considering your rambling insane rant above, I'm not going to take any more of my time to look over this so called "science blog". But hey, you lost in the web awards fair & square dude. Big time. Now I can easily see why! Oh & PZ, sometimes reality (something you clearly have difficulty recognizing & adjusting too) just sux, huh? At least your childish rant (above) gave me a faily good laugh. So thanks! But since I'm rather easily amused by most idiots & madmen in general, it's for nothing, really... ;-]

#354

Posted by: Steve Massey | November 9, 2007 6:45 AM

Can I suggest that all you guys grab what weapons you may find, and arrange to meet up in a field somewhere and hack away at each other? I think you will find it more cathartic to slay the unbelievers than to waste time in swivel-eyed ranting. Speaking as a drive-by agnostic, who is doing nothing more than looking up high-scoring blogs from the awards, the above is flipping crazy. Is your mental model of the universe really so important that you have do despise people who do not hold it?

#355

Posted by: MonoApe | November 9, 2007 6:51 AM

Bravo!

Well done, PZ (said in British-style - 'Pee Zed') - one of your best 'gloves off' posts. More of the same please.

As much as we all admire Sam Harris, his 'let's be nice to them' style ain't gonna work. Give 'em a good shoeing will.

Bravo.

#356

Posted by: Dave King | November 9, 2007 6:59 AM

PZ, You have made an exhibition of yourself. It was entertaining, but not very pretty. Congratulations.

#357

Posted by: JohnS | November 9, 2007 7:18 AM

Hey Shawn. I'm here for the ruck like the rest of you,not the science, so phuck off. Unlike others who say this blog has become disgusting and moronic, I revel in this white trash, biology- majoring, university dead mind talk you types throw about. And excuse me, but I've been called incompetent by much better people than you, and for far better reasons. Anyone who spells frigia... frigina...fraggle rock, ah phuck, whatever it is, with a ph or can use behoove in a sentence- hey you deserve to come third in a wroggle.. blottal... or whatever it it, beauty contest. Ha ha ha- did I mention you came third- habhaha- now phuck off. Come on truffy, talk dirty to me-phuckwit!
JohnS

#358

Posted by: Boris | November 9, 2007 7:28 AM

a startlingly similar attack I remember seeing in one of the early films of the Nazis used to attack Jews.

This is a huge insult to the memory of those lost in the holocaust. There's a big difference between someone being rude to you and someone exterminating your race. Try to have some perspective and be less of a baby.

#359

Posted by: melatonin | November 9, 2007 7:34 AM

So,I hear the auditors are in for the results...

#360

Posted by: Who Cares | November 9, 2007 7:37 AM

It is almost to funny to see all the people coming out of the woodwork claiming (and complaining) that bad language automatically disqualifies arguments made by the same person.

Steve Massey (#353):
No if people taking potshots at the CA trolls despise anything it is the attitude of: 'I don't want to accept the evidence so I believe that because one piece is not 100% correct all the evidence is wrong'.

#361

Posted by: wildlifer | November 9, 2007 7:37 AM

What part of (paraphrased) "I don't want to win, vote for someone else," do you fucking morons not understand. (eg JohnS)

#362

Posted by: Pleasey | November 9, 2007 7:54 AM

Hey - Suppressed homo-eroticism at its best! Perhaps this site should be called "Phallicgula"? Errr... sorry to stumble in on the harem PZ.

#363

Posted by: Allienne Goddard | November 9, 2007 8:00 AM

Well, that was a terribly entertaining thread. Well done, everyone. I know that each and every one of you put your all into this, and I want you to know that I appreciate it. It is truly inspiring to see what we can accomplish when we all work together. I would just like to add my own minor contribution, so that I, too, may bask in the glory this thread endows. Fuck all y'all. And fuck Slate. I fucking hate Slate.

Yours -- Ally

#364

Posted by: JohnS | November 9, 2007 8:04 AM

The bit that says, wildlifer, with picture of Mr PZ with thought buble above his scone, Phuck, I can't win. And I so wanted to this year. So I'll make empty gesture of telling my phuckwit dead brain followers, who can't spell...ah figral.. figer... ah whatever the name of this blog is, to vote for somebody else. You see, wildlifer, I don't believe him. And I know it pains phuckwits like you. Grow up little boy.
JohnS

#365

Posted by: p-dawg | November 9, 2007 8:08 AM

It seems that it's only ok to insult or attack those who don't agree with PZ. If you DO agree, your behaviour is applauded, no matter what it is. If you don't agree, you are lambasted no matter your behaviour. I have seen this before. I am embarrassed to share the prevailing AGW viewpoint of this blog. I hope that you are not representative of AGW affirmers in general. Although I disagree with Mr. McIntyre, I do not see what makes it okay to insult him or his followers. Tactics like those imply that you are more concerned with scoring points than clarifying or driving a debate. Insults do not contradict or trump reasoned arguments. They have no place in a rational discussion. But then, I've found that the internet is a bad place to look for those.

#366

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 8:22 AM

I am embarrassed to share the prevailing AGW viewpoint of this blog. I hope that you are not representative of AGW affirmers in general.

Go away, you one-note gasbags.

Go back to the land of spaghetti and hockey sticks and plot some data points.

#367

Posted by: James | November 9, 2007 8:23 AM

359

No if people taking potshots at the CA trolls despise anything it is the attitude of: 'I don't want to accept the evidence so I believe that because one piece is not 100% correct all the evidence is wrong'."

That isn't the position at all. The position is more, "why is the peer review process in Climate Science so bad at validating methods?". See the Wegman report for several reasons why this may be the case. Reflect on the fact that the other 99% has yet to be audited.

#368

Posted by: PrimerX | November 9, 2007 8:28 AM

'Climate change is simple. Look at Venus. The temperature on the surface can melt lead because high CO2 concentrations trap heat. Based on this, what do you think increasing the CO2 concentration in Earth's atmosphere does?'

See, idiotic statements like this is why CA needs to be around. CO2 levels have been 10 times higher in earth's past history without any runaway effect. Climate change is not simple.

Btw, Phd physics, publications, academic position here too and I've met plenty of 'skeptics' as irrational and dogmatic in their dismals than the worst of the creationists.

#369

Posted by: minimalist | November 9, 2007 8:31 AM

#351, John A:

Why the nasty references to rats and "scrap[s] of rot... focused only on putrescence", a startlingly similar attack I remember seeing in one of the early films of the Nazis used to attack Jews.

Why denialism? Because its easier than actually using the scientific method to investigate what is real and what is delusion. So if PZ isn't interested in the answers, its easier to reach for the Nazi metaphors and references to Holocaust Deniers, creationists and everyone else PZ has contempt for.

Bahahahaha, the irony, it burns!

The only people I have ever seen using Nazi comparisons have been you bozos, here and at CA. Yet here, and on another thread you nitwits infested, you were the ones accusing US of using comparisons to Nazis.

I didn't think I'd see someone so unhinged and devoid of self-awareness that he'd do both things in the very same post though. Thanks for the laugh.

JohnA's disconnected rambles are great chuckle-fodder too.

(PS: In describing Suk's downfall, you pathetically try to downplay the lack of replicability -- i.e. the role of people who were actually doing research themselves. [Not to mention that the nitpickers actually worked in the area and themselves had a stake in being able to replicate the work.] Leave it to you armchair-"scientists" to overvalue the nitpicking though; it excuses you and your heroes from actually going out and doing your own research to disprove AGW.)

#370

Posted by: demallien | November 9, 2007 8:40 AM

Oh dear, the trolls are back, just when I thought the infestation was abating...

For all of the whinging denialists out there that can't understand why we find McIntyre highly suspect, get over it. If McIntyre is really just saying that we need to make some minor adjustments to the data, but that the current theories of global warming remain correct, then we don't care. No-one cares... Sure, whatever...data's changed...

If on the other hand he is really saying that the adjustments to the data analysis suggest that global warming is wrong, then that is another kettle of fish. With all the stink McIntyre has kicked up, it is natural to suspect that he falls into this second camp, especially when coupled with his refusal to "deny" global warming denial.

If we doubt the guy's intentions, it's only natural. All he has to do to allay those suspicions is to make a clear unambiguous statement of his view. His refusal to do so speaks volumes.

Now, rack off, and go lurk under someone else's bridge. We want our blog back.

#371

Posted by: demallien | November 9, 2007 8:43 AM

CalGeorge,

That was an shameful appeal to authority at #259! I know you know better! :-) We'll put it down to a moment of over-excitement due to the troll attack, shall we?

#372

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 8:47 AM

CO2 levels have been 10 times higher in earth's past history without any runaway effect.

Well, there's a runaway effect now and that's all that matters.

#373

Posted by: Michael Jankowski | November 9, 2007 8:51 AM

Wow, how infantile. How appropos your interest in embryos.

It's always interesting when someone proclaims themself to be a "liberal" and yet acts like a closed-minded and self-righteous bigot.

#374

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 9:03 AM

That was an shameful appeal to authority at #259!

Hey, the Bad Astronomer says we have to rely on experts, so I'm relying on experts!

And there you have it. How do any of us interpret these crucial findings when we are not experts? We have to rely on other experts. In this case, the overwhelming number of experts, truly overwhelming, say that GW is anthropogenic. That doesn't mean they are right, but it does mean it's the way to bet. And I encourage people to look into the studies on both sides of this. Science is all about keeping people honest.

He's so calm, cool and collected! My new hero.

#375

Posted by: Andrew | November 9, 2007 9:06 AM

I grew tired of the idiots* who flocked here to put P.Z in his place - I could not read every post without my brain turning to mush. Please give it up blog rushers. Mostly you have nothing sensible to add.

* No doubt some are intelligent though.

#376

Posted by: Brendan S | November 9, 2007 9:07 AM

This reminds me of High School when two people would get into it and everyone would stand around and chant 'Fight Fight Fight Fight'

#377

Posted by: Stephen Richards | November 9, 2007 9:11 AM

OOOH!!! The baby's thrown his rattle out of the pram !!

It's trully bizarre this liberal, right wing thing. Is it only in US ? I have never thought of having a right wing climate political party or for that matter a left wing one. I thought the whole point of right and left wing was political not scientifique. What does climate have to do with politics? Oh sorry I forgot Big Bad Al.

#378

Posted by: windansea | November 9, 2007 9:13 AM

is this a gay blog? with all the talk of buggering, brooms up the ass, and bubble me blue martinis it obvious,

you should have been nominated for best LGBT blog

#379

Posted by: Monkey's Uncle | November 9, 2007 9:15 AM

Well...I got to the end of the thread.Entertaining, if a little disturbing in places.
Quite apart from the awards thing (a subject that's not really important), why all the anger? I am a regular reader and sometime poster on P-Zed's blog, I come here for enlightenment and entertainment in equal quantities. Speaking for myself, a non-scientific layman but curious as hell about how the world works, I had been aware of this difference of opinion about GW. Yes, it makes sense that Mankind is accelerating the warming process...even a berk like me can see the evidence of my own eyes, but to counter that, I have also read that GW goes in cycles, that we are overdue a cooling period, that before a cooling period it gets warmer, etc etc.
I am not a denialist, I am not really up to date with current thinking on the whole issue, and have no scientific knowledge other than what I read and hear to help me make an opinion.
I can see that there is a 'needle' issue between the two blogs (trans: bad blood or wildly differing opinion) I just want to get to the bottom of the matter. It doesn't stop me from trying to recycle, using energy more efficiently etc, but there seems to be a lack of consensus on GW as a whole. At the risk of getting a textual smack on the back of the head (maybe from a flying tentacle...cool!) Could I remain Skeptical of both sides of the argument until the jury comes back with a verdict? Or does that make me a moron too?!
Other than that, I love this blog, and it's interesting to read viewpoints from the other side of the big watery expanse to our west!

#380

Posted by: dogmeatib | November 9, 2007 9:16 AM

Somebody gets it. So does McIntyre have a few hundred comments from my readers giving him grief on his blog? Right now, I can't say that I'd feel much sympathy for him.

I went over there yesterday (before this thread truly exploded) to check it out. I was curious about the site itself since it was doing so well in the poll, etc. I wasn't impressed, struck me as a fairly standard denialist website with a heavier emphasis on statistical "support" for their arguments. After this thread went crazy I briefly considered going back and comment about how wonderful his readers have been over here. I decided that it was; first, childish; second, a waste of time; and third, childish.

I have to say, I find it amusing that you're accused of "sour grapes," etc., when, I believe, you actually won this award last year, didn't you? I also believe, but this is going by memory which can fail one quite often, that you did (as you said) suggest they vote for another deserving website, obvious signs of someone obsessed with a "popularity prize" award. [/end sarcasm]

Perhaps if we just ignore this thread and, if you have time and aren't already on your trip, we could start a few science threads? ;o)

#381

Posted by: dogmeatib | November 9, 2007 9:16 AM

Somebody gets it. So does McIntyre have a few hundred comments from my readers giving him grief on his blog? Right now, I can't say that I'd feel much sympathy for him.

I went over there yesterday (before this thread truly exploded) to check it out. I was curious about the site itself since it was doing so well in the poll, etc. I wasn't impressed, struck me as a fairly standard denialist website with a heavier emphasis on statistical "support" for their arguments. After this thread went crazy I briefly considered going back and comment about how wonderful his readers have been over here. I decided that it was; first, childish; second, a waste of time; and third, childish.

I have to say, I find it amusing that you're accused of "sour grapes," etc., when, I believe, you actually won this award last year, didn't you? I also believe, but this is going by memory which can fail one quite often, that you did (as you said) suggest they vote for another deserving website, obvious signs of someone obsessed with a "popularity prize" award. [/end sarcasm]

Perhaps if we just ignore this thread and, if you have time and aren't already on your trip, we could start a few science threads? ;o)

#382

Posted by: Charlie | November 9, 2007 9:17 AM

PZ, what an unpleasant rude offensive rant. Maybe you shouldnt post a thread when you are 'feeling extremely cranky'.

#383

Posted by: notanexpert | November 9, 2007 9:17 AM

Wow. PZ, did you intentionally set out to make yourself sound like the epitomy of a right-wing cliche, the arrogant, self-important, liberal professor who puts personal pique before fact-finding and logic? Thank you for this. As of today, I have my proof. When my lefty friends "deny" that you exist, I can just link here.

#384

Posted by: Deepsix | November 9, 2007 9:22 AM

Wow. Throw a firecracker in the cave and all the knuckle-draggers come running out.

#385

Posted by: Mike from Ottawa | November 9, 2007 9:22 AM

That's pretty lame Mike. Does Al Gore publicly report how many millions he is pocketing in speaking fees every year?

It's not lame for two reasons: 1) you denialists griped about PZ's output of science posts, so McIntyre's not being a scientist at all becomes relevant by the standards you denialists have set (don't like it? - gripe to your fellow denialists or point to where you've chided Stan for his post) and 2) Gore's made no secret of giving speeches nor of accepting fees while McIntyre kept quiet about an obviously relevant fact, his consulting for an energy firm, until he got outed.

But thanks for playing. Well, actually, no thanks. Go back to your denialist site where you can pretend to be the rebel you like to think of yourself as, rebelling against 'Big Environment' and taking the side of the poor powerless oppressed oil, coal and gas industries. Hey, I hear Exxon is having a bake sale to raise money to keep going. Dig in.


#386

Posted by: Ashutosh | November 9, 2007 9:25 AM

Bad Astro wins...by a hairsbreadth.

#387

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 9:30 AM

This Michael Mann guy sounds pretty darned reasonable:

As a scientist you never want to say that anything is completely off the table. But I would say it's become extremely difficult to make a plausible argument that the changes in the climate are not in large part due to human influence. Where the legitimate debate now lies is on the sensitivity of the climate--how it responds to an increase in, for example, greenhouse gas concentration. We know that there has been a certain amount of warming, we know that carbon dioxide levels have increased from pre-industrial levels of about 280 parts per million to about 370 parts per million today, and that those levels are unprecedented in the last several hundred thousand years. We know this increase is due to human activity--there is no legitimate scientific argument to indicate otherwise.

Where things get a little less clear is that there is still some uncertainty in how the climate responds to a variety of natural factors such as changes in the sun's intensity and volcanic eruptions. As well, some human influences, such as certain industrial aerosol emissions, can actually have a cooling effect. It can be very difficult to detangle all those factors and to figure out exactly how much warming is due to human influence.

I wish Steve McIntyre expressed himself that well.

#388

Posted by: ZoneWright | November 9, 2007 9:33 AM

Thank you PZ.

#389

Posted by: Moses | November 9, 2007 9:41 AM

But thanks for playing. Well, actually, no thanks. Go back to your denialist site where you can pretend to be the rebel you like to think of yourself as, rebelling against 'Big Environment' and taking the side of the poor powerless oppressed oil, coal and gas industries. Hey, I hear Exxon is having a bake sale to raise money to keep going. Dig in.

Posted by: Mike from Ottawa | November 9, 2007 9:22 AM

The whole rebuttal was wonderful. The paragraph sublime. The punch line, one of the best ever.

Definitely worth a Molly.

#390

Posted by: JePe | November 9, 2007 9:46 AM

Well, well, well, I applaud this blog for debunking creationism and defending evolution, but I have to conclude that considering AGW, PZ Myers and his acolytes behave like creationists.
This time the religion is called "man-made global warming" and expressing doubt about it is obviously 'not done' considering all the name-calling.

It's a shame.


#391

Posted by: Moses | November 9, 2007 9:53 AM

The bit that says, wildlifer, with picture of Mr PZ with thought buble above his scone, Phuck, I can't win. And I so wanted to this year. So I'll make empty gesture of telling my phuckwit dead brain followers, who can't spell...ah figral.. figer... ah whatever the name of this blog is, to vote for somebody else. You see, wildlifer, I don't believe him. And I know it pains phuckwits like you. Grow up little boy. JohnS

Posted by: JohnS | November 9, 2007 8:04 AM


Are you stupid? Pharyngula, being one of the Top 5 (ranked by Nature, not some idiot freepers) Science Blogs in the world doesn't need the award. Pharyngula's won in the past and was winning until Dr. Myers managed to get a lot of people to vote for Bad Astronomy. If he hadn't of done that, he'd be winning now.

#392

Posted by: Jonas Doubts | November 9, 2007 9:54 AM

Got this from a SEO blog I read: http://www.tellinya.com/read/2007/11/09/science-blogs-2007-anatomy-of-a-break-in/ .
Wow...

#393

Posted by: Moses | November 9, 2007 9:57 AM

Well, well, well, I applaud this blog for debunking creationism and defending evolution, but I have to conclude that considering AGW, PZ Myers and his acolytes behave like creationists. This time the religion is called "man-made global warming" and expressing doubt about it is obviously 'not done' considering all the name-calling.

It's a shame.


Posted by: JePe | November 9, 2007 9:46 AM


Oh, look Mom! A concern troll on his high horse beating us about the head with a logical fallacy! Woopee! I've seen the error of treating luddites like the contempable, trolling fools they are! Now to get baptized in the Holy Church of AGW!

Moron.

#394

Posted by: Ryan F Stello | November 9, 2007 10:00 AM

JePe wrote:

Well, well, well, I applaud this blog for debunking creationism and defending evolution, but I have to conclude that considering AGW, PZ Myers and his acolytes behave like creationists.


Oh, burn! You done showed them what-for!
Calling something a spade obviously done make it a spade!


This time the religion is called "man-made global warming"


Don't forget the religion of reason!


and expressing doubt about it is obviously 'not done'


Because doubt without good evidence is totally reasonable!
Plus, you apparently don't have to explain the doubt in order to say you doubt!


considering all the name-calling.


Totally, because they are religious acolytes!
And that can't be called name calling, itself!

Glory!

#395

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 10:00 AM

I'm beginning to think that a denialist is nothing more than a creationist with a calculator.

Not much difference at all.

Orson Scott is a big fan of Steve's.

Birds of a feather...

#396

Posted by: Wicked Lad | November 9, 2007 10:02 AM

John A wrote in #351:

The fraud wasn't disovered by peer review, nor by distinguished scientists but by people interested in the details, and because attempts to replicate Hwang's research had failed.
So are you saying it wasn't scientists, just "people interested in the details" who failed to replicate the results?

#397

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 10:19 AM

Holy shit. I love how PZ criticizes CA and all fucking hell breaks loose... if the CA "science" spoke for itself, they wouldn't have to be over here denying their denials.

I really hope BA won.

Sour grapes? I think Phil is sipping wine tonight.

#398

Posted by: ctenotrish, FCD | November 9, 2007 10:19 AM

With a mere 388 comments as I add my own, I'd like to add my 2 cents worth. I am not quite sure how I originally ended up ready this blog. I started about two-three years ago, well before PZ threw in with ScienceBlogs. I was in the final painful stages of completing my dissertation, and reading the posts here was an entertaining and welcome relief. And bloody well educational! PZ had a summary on jaw evolution that cited a reference I had missed during my own extensive literature searches, and that paper and its conclusions (well summarized here, I might add), strengthened my conclusions about my own data.

Any reader who can't find the science here simply isn't looking, and we really don't need any more willful ignorance in the world. There is plenty of non-personal writing, and the science posts are excellent; many, many are worthy of bookmarks and forwards (anything on Plan B, for example). Now, the non-science posts? Non-regular readers may be surprised that not EVERY post is 'science-y'. There is more to life than science, even for those of us who are scientists! This blog never fails to entertain, educate, challenge, and/or provoke thought. I remain a big fan. I appreciate the science posts, and I appreciate the ID posts, I love the cephalopod posts (!), and if PZ is having a snarly, cranky day, well, I find that those are pretty darn entertaining too.

When I was in College Station (Aggieland, Whoop!) we had a saying about Highway 6 running in two directions . . . if you didn't like it, leave. Same goes here. Don't like Pharyngula? Can't find the science? No worries, mate, just leave. Bye-bye.

#399

Posted by: cbone | November 9, 2007 10:34 AM

Wow the elitist bullshit just keeps on piling up. It is quite amusing to see supposedly educated and intelligent folks left with nothing but juvenile insult and profanity to defend themselves. Bravo...

#400

Posted by: Francois O | November 9, 2007 10:51 AM

Wow, this thread has become totally out of control!

O.K. just to reply to those who doubt that I am a "real" scientist. You must be right. Since we don't share the same opinion on the merits of Climate Audit, I cannot be a "real" scientist. And I don't know anything about peer review. Granted. It was all a lie. After all, I must be a liar since I side with the denialists, and, God forbid, Steve Fuller!

Of course we could have a pissing contest, and I could show you my CV and you could show me yours. What exactly are YOUR original scientific contributions? How many papers have you published? How many citations did they get? And you, PZ?

And about that "real world" outside of academia. Yes, it does exist. There is something else than writing grant proposals, and pretend that you're doing useful and breakthrough science.

See, the nice thing about being a retired former scientist-turned-businessman at 49 is that you finally have time to read about and learn about a lot of topics that are highly interesting, something that you can never do in academia, where you are stuck in your own little sub-sub-sub-field for the rest of your life, thinking it's so, so important. It's also great not to be in academia any more and having been there, because you can see things from the outside that you don't see from the inside.

So, unlike PZ, unlike 99% of the posters here, and also unlike Steve Fuller (that annoying pest who always has an answer to the simplistic arguments about the fool-proof validity of scientific claims), I have actually been there, I've actually been in a lab, I've actually made genuine discoveries. (O.K. PZ has probably done that during his PhD.) Does that qualify me to judge the validity of AGW? Not at all! But at least I know I'm not qualified, whereas the majority of posters here think they are. And I also know that no one is going to convince me of the "truth" of AGW by throwing IPCC reports to my face. That's argument from authority. I said: just disbelieve. Someone said no you mustn't do that. Well I say bullshit. Dig deeper. Find the flaw. AGW, as a theory, is a gigantic house of cards that could collapse if you remove just one of them. From afar, it looks like a solid edifice. Just look closer. I'm not saying it's false. But if you look closer, like Steve McIntyre does, you see the building for what it is: a house of cards. What's amazing is how we can become so enthusiastic about it, because it suits our feeling of guilt at being so rich, and consuming so much.

But it's not the first time that as a society, we become so enthused about a shaky scientific theory that suits our prejudices. Go read the history of eugenics, the similarities are so striking. I know, this was first brought up by the denialist Michael Crichton. but you know what? I didn't believe him, so I went to the source. I've now read three books on the subject, and dug up articles published in the 1920's that are now avalaible on the Web. And guess what? He was right. You find the same self-righteouness about science, the appeal to peer-reviewed papers, the alarmist calls about "race suicide". And those who would question it would be treated as denialists.

Of course now we have 20/20 hindsight. But what will people say about us 100 years from now? How ignorant will they think we were? We don't know what we don't know. Just remember that.

#401

Posted by: Ryan F Stello | November 9, 2007 10:52 AM

cbone done wrote:

the elitist bullshit
vs.
nothing but juvenile insult and profanity to defend themselves.


Man, these whiny folks are self-refuting, eh?

#402

Posted by: Tweedy | November 9, 2007 10:56 AM

I feel dirty and a big let down as a son to my parents. I read here, BA and CA most days.

The only thing I think we can take from this whole experience is how much fun other awards like the Oscars or Emmys would be if they could learn from this episode. I know I'd stay up for the Award for the Best Stitching of a Bodice in a Period Drama if I knew we were to get a good b*tch slapping like that generated by these awards.

Hats off to both BA and CA in ultimately backing slowly out of this war, and perhaps sharing a sherry while they watch their relatives fight with each other.

BTW, the only thing I deny is that TV will ever improve on the show The Wire.

#403

Posted by: RickD | November 9, 2007 10:59 AM

chone:
"Elitist" doesn't mean what you think it means. You cannot wander into a conversation, utter the word "elitist", and expect your opinion to carry as much weight as everybody else's.

Unless, of course, you are a Communist.

ARE YOU A COMMUNIST?

(Dun-dun-DUN?????)

Oh, and for all the concern trolls? It's OK to be pissed off at some things.

I do give you credit for a high ad hominem/word ratio, though.

#404

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 11:00 AM

We have no need to defend ourselves.

We just want your lot to FUCK OFF.

It's not hard to understand.

#405

Posted by: JimC | November 9, 2007 11:14 AM

That doesn't mean they are right, but it does mean it's the way to bet.

I don't know about this. In religion they have all kinds of 'experts' also, I know the difference is the evidence and reality but it's still an argument from authority at the end of the day.

#406

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 11:15 AM

Francois, Francois, Francois.

On Crichton and eugenics:

He argues that scientists who supported the eugenics movement in the early 20th century were politically motivated, and, because there are political issues at stake in climate change, climate science must be mistaken, too.

This argument is both illogical and historically unfounded. The eugenics movement was based on the idea of improving the human race through application of the scientific principles of genetics. In the early 20th century, the new science of genetics had demonstrated that many traits are controlled by heritable elements, which came to be known as genes. Social reformers had meanwhile noted that many social ills -- prostitution, gambling, alcoholism -- seemed to run in families. From this, they concluded that these ills were inherited and sought to do something about it.
[...]
The social program of eugenics is reviled in hindsight, but the science of genetics is not. Moreover, to argue that any particular consensus is mistaken simply because a previous consensus was mistaken is illogical. Scientists revise their views in light of new information: This is to their credit and all of our benefit.

But since no one can predict where new information will emerge, the only relevant question to ask is: Is there any reason to suspect that the current science is mistaken? Crichton claims there is, that the current climate science is "politicized." But here he has got the politics wrong, too. In fact, the shoe is on the other foot. It's no secret that many of those who have been active in climate-change denial have ties to the energy industry, or to politically motivated think tanks. Some live in or work for states that have large fossil-fuel industries, which have not hidden their interest in this issue.

And why should they? The fact that groups or individuals are politically motivated does not mean that they are wrong. The detailed exploration of the deep oceans and sea floor in the 1950s was motivated by the political concerns of the Cold War, particularly the desire to track and monitor prowling Soviet submarines. But the knowledge produced was still reliable, and it led to the plate tectonics revolution.

Crichton is a novelist, and he knows how to write fiction. But he should leave the scientific facts to scientists, the historical facts to historians and the politics to all of us to debate.

Grow up. Discover Google. Learn something.

#407

Posted by: Effeminem | November 9, 2007 11:15 AM

So much anger. Maybe some of yall should take a week off from the blogosphere.

#408

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 11:27 AM

the elitist bullshit

This is just bizarre. Some scientists butt heads with the largest companies in the world, companies that enjoy the benefits of fat tax credits, obscene windfall profits, oligopolistic cartels, waning government oversight, relaxed restriction of emission and pollution requirements, and exploitation of old mining laws that let them snatch up land in Colorado for 40 cents an acre because they have one of their old cartel lords in the White House, and droves of the best zombified dittoheads their advertising dollars can buy all in the face of a steadily declining public research sector in the US... and THE SCIENTISTS ARE THE ELITISTS?

These trolls are either very stupid or very dishonest but, in either case, they're seriously challenging Dembski's previously uncontested title of "World's Biggest Pseudo-Mathematical Wanker".

#409

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 11:28 AM

Crichton ... knows how to write fiction.

That's news to me.

#410

Posted by: mpaul | November 9, 2007 11:43 AM

First, please don't use the term denialists, we prefer that you call us 'blasphemers'.

Mann's math was wrong. Its a simple objective fact. I'm sorry if that upsets your religious views. If any of you are truly open minded, you would seek to understand why Mann's math is flawed. Science is not about blind faith.

#411

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 9, 2007 11:48 AM

Is it just me, or can one easily sniff out the bullshitters in any debate by simply looking for who uses the term "open-minded"?

#412

Posted by: Tog | November 9, 2007 11:49 AM

I see y'all haven't sobered up yet. Well. I had a good nights sleep. May I suggest a twelve-step program, and after you've achieved sobriety, you can begin learning from your bad experiences, such as the bruhaha here last night. Good luck in your recovery, the road back will be tough, and for most here, impossible, but if only one life is saved it will all be worth it. Ask your Higher Power for help.

#413

Posted by: JePe | November 9, 2007 11:49 AM

Remember the "Memory Wars"?

Some quack psychologists 'discovered' that people (mostly women) totally repressed memories of horrific child abuse and satanic ritual abuse. Those who opposed this 'scientific theory' were immediatly branded as child molesters and pedophyles. Ask Elisabeth Loftus.
The repressed memory 'theory' turned out to be total bullshit but it caused hysteria in the USA, Great Britain, the Netherlands and Australia/ New Zealand.

History repeats itself: this time the hysterical focus is AGW. Don't dare to question the AGW hypothesis or be called a denialist or a pawn of industry (or a moron or rat).

The AGW hypothesis is based on sloppy science, as was the 'repressed memory' theory.

Climate Science and Psychology have one thing in common: scientifically there is a hell of a lot unknown. That should have made them humble and cautious. But in both fields alarmists took over. The "repressed memory" theory has already been debunked, the AGW 'theory' will follow.

#414

Posted by: Joseph Addams | November 9, 2007 11:50 AM

David Marjanović, OM

yo dude sulfer clouds don't let heat out man

that venus is one hot lady

#415

Posted by: Ariock | November 9, 2007 12:06 PM

Then we'll get repetitions of why the Mann Hockey Stick doesn't matter, a snide trick that fools no-one but the gullible and the naive. If that's so, then why the bile? Why the trolling? Why the nasty references to rats and "scrap[s] of rot... focused only on putrescence", a startlingly similar attack I remember seeing in one of the early films of the Nazis used to attack Jews.
Posted by: John A | November 9, 2007 6:06 AM "

Godwinned. You Lose.

#416

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 12:08 PM

mpaul, you might want to review the congressional testimony of Michael Mann:

Perhaps the most serious omission in the Wegman report, however, is its failure to acknowledge that its central focus -- the conventions used for centering in the Principal Components Analysis used to represent certain tree-ring proxy data -- has no significant implications on the results of our analysis. The hockey stick pattern derives from the data, not in the PCA. Nonetheless, Wegman's report claims that the PCA centering convention used to represent the North American tree-ring data network in our 1998/1999 studies is responsible for the "hockey stick" shape of our reconstruction. But the report's conclusion does not follow from its premise. Even accepting that certain statistical conventions that were used in our original studies might not be optimal under some circumstances, the use of alternative conventions yields the same "hockey stick" figure.

#417

Posted by: Steverino | November 9, 2007 12:22 PM

WOW!...Who left the lid up???!!!

#418

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 12:22 PM

Is it just me, or can one easily sniff out the bullshitters in any debate by simply looking for who uses the term "open-minded"?

Yeah, it either means that the evidence supporting their conclusion isn't up to snuff, or they're just pomo wankers. Sometimes both. In either case, it's clearly our fault for not being credulous enough.

#419

Posted by: Robert S. | November 9, 2007 12:24 PM

I just realized that PZ is the Gregory House of all Science blogs. (In a good way, of course.)

#420

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 12:24 PM

Mann seems to care very much that his results are tested by other climate scientists (from his testimony again):

The reconstruction work by other scholars like Wahl and Ammann also lay to rest any suggestion that my colleagues and I did not fully disclose our underlying data and therefore hindered replication of our work. Attempts by other climate scientists, such as Wahl and Ammann (2006), have successfully reproduced our results based entirely on our publicly available data and algorithmic descriptions. More significant than this, however, is the fact that numerous studies using different proxy data and methods, or using climate model simulations, have given essentially the same result as our original 1990s work.

Sounds like science is working the way it should.

#421

Posted by: Sven DiMilo | November 9, 2007 12:27 PM

Empirical: increase in atmospheric CO2
Empirical: CO2 absorbs IR radiation, i.e. it's a "greenhouse gas"
Empirical: primary source of increased CO2 the burning of fossil fuels
Empirical: humans are the only species burning fossil fuels

So, sorry, what's the controversial thing about "anthropogenic global warming"...that maybe we haven't really detected the predicted temperature increase yet?
I don't find that very reassuring...
Or that maybe there are poorly understood compensatory processes that might mitigate the predicted warming somewhat?
ditto.

#422

Posted by: Dahan | November 9, 2007 12:32 PM

#410

"Is it just me, or can one easily sniff out the bullshitters in any debate by simply looking for who uses the term "open-minded"?"

Lol! Molly worthy.

#423

Posted by: moondancer | November 9, 2007 12:35 PM

Until this award thing, I didn't realize their was a bush apologist pseudo-science blog. The audit is exactly like the religious creationists, exactly like the bankrupt neo-con ideology sites, exactly like the GOP uber alles sites, long on sophistry, short on facts.
Its laughable to look at the bullshit in their threads that passes as science.

#424

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 12:36 PM

Or that maybe there are poorly understood compensatory processes that might mitigate the predicted warming somewhat?

There are compensatory processes, like particulate emissions, that are blissfully ignored by people who think that drawing lines through data should be the extent of scientific inquiry.

As particulate emissions decrease, the effects caused by greenhouse gasses will become much more pronounced unless gas emissions are decreased at the same time. Of course, that won't mean anything to the denialists... they'll crow in triumph: "See we reduced pollution and it's still getting warmer!"

#425

Posted by: Theo Richel | November 9, 2007 12:37 PM

Science according to Calgeorge:

Professor says: I did a very good job

Calgeorge thinks: Wow, he must be doing a very good job!

That's it, science settled, no further evidence needed.

Is that your general approach to the problems of this worl Cal? Find a professor who thinks he's right and who has ideas like you?

#426

Posted by: Dahan | November 9, 2007 12:46 PM

It's got to be so tiresome arguing with idiots like Theo Richel and Francois. Why are you all still bothering? Fuck em.

#427

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 12:46 PM

Yeah,

If you completely ignore what Cal posted.

#428

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 12:47 PM

Professor says: I did a very good job...

I believe the exact opposite. It doesn't matter what the individual scientist thinks. It's the independent testing and retesting of the scientist's results that give weight to his/her conclusions.

What more do you want? The guy's work has been independently confirmed - over and over again.

Hockey sticks are here to stay.

#429

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 12:47 PM

Here, Theo, I'll fix that comment for you:

Science according to Calgeorge:
Professor says: I did a very good job.
Other scientists say: We've independently reproduced his results, he did in fact do a very good job.
CalGeorge says: Wow, he must be doing a very good job!

Or did you miss the part of the post that said:

More significant than this, however, is the fact that numerous studies using different proxy data and methods, or using climate model simulations, have given essentially the same result as our original 1990s work.

#430

Posted by: cbone | November 9, 2007 12:52 PM

re: RickD ""Elitist" doesn't mean what you think it means. You cannot wander into a conversation, utter the word "elitist", and expect your opinion to carry as much weight as everybody else's."

Well lets see.. elitism: The belief that certain persons or members of certain classes or groups deserve favored treatment by virtue of their perceived superiority, as in intellect, social status, or financial resources.

I would say the moniker is appropriate, thank you for providing a concise illustration of a perceived superiority (totally without basis I might add) to prove my point for me. Thanks for playing.

#431

Posted by: JePe | November 9, 2007 1:00 PM

Re 428 (Dustin)

If the Hockey stick graph is still relevant, why is there not even one reference to it in the latest IPCC report?

#432

Posted by: Francois O | November 9, 2007 1:03 PM

Cal, Cal, Cal,

So you know all about eugenics after a quick Google search? wow! That brilliant newspaper article by Naomi Oreskes should have been enough. I've got so much to learn... I'm still reading books, amazing isn't it? I've got to catch up with modern technology.

Just let me give you a quote from the foreword to G.K. Chesterton's book, "Eugenics and other evils" published in 1923 (foreword by Michael Perry written in 2000).

" As a writer he stood virtually alone against a juggernaut that threatened to sweep all before it. In 1924, a eugenist could speak proudly of a scholarly bibliography listing thousands of articles on eugenic-related topics. (...) Apart from him, almost no one of importance spoke out against it."

Sounds familiar? So how do you know that THIS TIME, we are right? Did we really learn from our mistakes? You tell me. I find it great that you are so sure of yourself. I'm not.

Funny that you bring up continental drift and plate tectonics, as it's a brilliant example of (1) how hard it is to overthrow a "consensus", and (2) how scientists can be good at rewriting history when it makes them look stupid. Naomi Oreskes has become an expert at that (yes, I have read her book. You know, those things with so many pages that existed before Google).

A final quote on peer review:

"The peer review system in grant making and in academic advancement has the major disadvantage of creating conformity of thoughts and values. It's a modern equivalent of a Middle Ages guild, where you have to sing a particular way to get grants, promotions and tenure. The pressure to conform means you lose the people who want to get up and go in a different direction. There is no place for the wild ducks. The result is more sameness and less innovation. What we need is a cultural revolution in the research community, academic and non-academic. We need to give wild ducks the opportunity to emerge and quack their way to success."

Whoever said that must be another right wing nut. I'll let you guess. The thing is, peer review is good when you're within the system. It is what gives structure and hierarchy to the scientific community. That's what you use to climb up the ladder. Nobody wants to get rid of it. Scientists thrive on recognition, and this is how they get it. But when you're outside the system, you realize how pathetic it has become. Sure, good science is still done. But it's always done despite the system, not because of it. It's not a simple issue that we can resolve here, but the thing is, if peer review is no guarantee of truth or quality, why, why, why is it always, always, always brought up as an argument whenever AGW is discussed? You can't have it both ways.

I would love to see a discussion of the AGW theory that goes beyond the usual "IPCC said it, so it's true". I would like someone to explain to me how we are so sure about climate feedbacks, how we can feel so confident about our temperature measurements, how well we understand the glacial ages, or the Sun's influence on the climate, and how much confidence we can put in GCM's. I've read "peer-reviewed" papers on all those subjects, and I'm still unconvinced. We know a lot, that's for sure, but there's a lot we don't know. And the worst attitude is to pretend that we know everything.

#433

Posted by: David | November 9, 2007 1:04 PM

The truth about consensus science:

1. Handed out death sentences to many, many women by recommending hormone therapy, giving them breast cancer.

2. Recommended margarine over butter for years. Now they are banning trans fats in NYC due to health concerns.

3. Told us all for decades not to be overweight, then here recently we get a study about how slightly overweight people live longer.

Now they are telling us that releasing water vapor through our tail pipe is better than releasing CO2, ignoring the fact that water vapor is a bigger player when it comes to trapping heat. CO2 is a trace element (

Here are the questions that I ask:

1. Why does the communist party call itself the "Green Party"?
2. Why are WWF, Sierra Club, and Greenpeace all left wing organizations?
3. Who established "Earth Day?"
4. Who was behind the movie "An Inconvenient Truth"?
5. Who makes up the majority of the main stream media?
6. Is it fine for scientists to be activists about their own work? How about a reporter/journalist?

#434

Posted by: wildlifer | November 9, 2007 1:07 PM

The bit that says, wildlifer, with picture of Mr PZ with thought buble above his scone, Phuck, I can't win. And I so wanted to this year. So I'll make empty gesture of telling my phuckwit dead brain followers, who can't spell...ah figral.. figer... ah whatever the name of this blog is, to vote for somebody else. You see, wildlifer, I don't believe him. And I know it pains phuckwits like you. Grow up little boy. JohnS

Who the hell cares what you believe? Most of us have been around long enough to know if PZ says something, he means it. But I spent enough time to learn the majority of the folks at CA are nothing but conspiracy-theorist-creationists in climate drag, so you're used to tweasing gods out of the gaps. Or in this case, plucking irrelevent nonsense from inbetween the lines. After only a couple of days readings in one or two threads, you think you know PZ's mind better than anyone who's spent years reading PZ's blogs.
Well, you're wrong. So why don't you take your punk ass back to your make-believe lab and your make-believe science at CA, as you're obvious poorly equipped to post around here - little boy.

#435

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 1:07 PM

If the Hockey stick graph is still relevant, why is there not even one reference to it in the latest IPCC report?

You aren't good at paying attention, are you?

#436

Posted by: Josh | November 9, 2007 1:13 PM

and (2) how scientists can be good at rewriting history when it makes them look stupid.

Which of the major holdouts during the "tectonic revolution" have been revisionist when looking back at their part in the history of that time?

But when you're outside the system, you realize how pathetic it has become.

I'm confused here. How has peer review become pathetic? You're suggesting that no review is a better system?

#437

Posted by: shiftlessbum | November 9, 2007 1:16 PM

Jepe #430

I am not sure what you mean by "latest" report, but on the IPCC webpage, the latest report they have available that discusses paleoclimate reconstructions (The Physical Science Basis report from Feb of this year- several other reports were follow-ons that discussed, among other things, impacts and mitigation) does indeed discuss the "hockey stick", including McIntyre contributions.
See page 34 from
http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/Report/AR4WG1_Print_Ch06.pdf

Was there some other report you are referring to? Can you please post a link to it? thnx.

#438

Posted by: Ryan F Stello | November 9, 2007 1:17 PM

"The peer review system in grant making and in academic advancement has the major disadvantage of creating conformity of thoughts and values"....Whoever said that must be another right wing nut.

At the risk of getting any freeper vomit on my shoes, that's from Andy Grove. If you bothered, PZ already had a post about his drivel.

As I indicated at that time, that's the result of a conspiratorial nonsense (no justification was given for making the comment, or in the notion that the medical community is not just being cautious).

So, It's at least half of the Republican wingnut equation.

#439

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 9, 2007 1:17 PM

"You're suggesting that no review is a better system?"

I believe he's suggesting that review by businessmen is necessary. Also, wild quacks.

#440

Posted by: Scholar | November 9, 2007 1:22 PM

"Wow the elitist bullshit just keeps on piling up. It is quite amusing to see supposedly educated and intelligent folks left with nothing but juvenile insult and profanity to defend themselves. Bravo..."

You are right that the folks from Climate Audit are elitists. However, you are wrong in that that nobody here is supposing that they are educated OR intelligent.

#441

Posted by: molecanthro | November 9, 2007 1:22 PM

Oh, no, I am bitter, John A. I'm greatly irritated that the average intelligence of the commenters here has plummeted since you and your lying ilk have been diluting the threads here.

You can go away now.

I agree...I'm very surprised by the amount of crap on this and a few other recent threads!! I've been reading your blog for a few years now and have always found wonderfully written articles...many of which have very interesting takes on recent scientific research. People like you, PZ, give me hope. Knowing that there are intelligent, motivated people out there fighting to defend science against the barbarians at the gate makes me feel that, contrary to my normally pessimistic nature, we are going to effectively stop them from their goal of destroying science...or, rather, redefining science so that it meets their preconceived conservative/fundamentalist world views. You make people like me motivated to start PhD programmes (like I just have). So to hell with them. Be happy that you're reaching people like me!!

mark.

#442

Posted by: Dahan | November 9, 2007 1:23 PM

David says:
Here are the questions that I ask:

1. Why does the communist party call itself the "Green Party"?
2. Why are WWF, Sierra Club, and Greenpeace all left wing organizations?
3. Who established "Earth Day?"
4. Who was behind the movie "An Inconvenient Truth"?
5. Who makes up the majority of the main stream media?
6. Is it fine for scientists to be activists about their own work? How about a reporter/journalist?

Well golly David, there are answers for all of those things. Why don't you go do some research and find out? Or do you expect all of us here to take the time to enlighten you?

I'll give you a place to start with answering at least one of your questions. You asked who makes up the majority of the main stream media. Check this link out to begin.

http://wotmedia.blogspot.com/2006/11/nsf-funded-study-finds-newspaper-slant.html

While you're doing some research on your questions, think on this. We all understand that one of the easiest way to try to act like your winning an argument is to throw out a shit load of questions that require detailed answers. Then to repeat this over and over to make it look like there's some sort of real controversy. Don't be an ass. Doing that on a blog like this just makes you look stupid.

#443

Posted by: guthrie | November 9, 2007 1:37 PM

Francois O, post 431- assuming you in fact sincere in wanting to actually discuss climate science, your best bet is to go to www.realclimate.org and talk to people there.

But be warned- although there are many helpful people there, it is not enough to wait and be spoon fed. Read and learn.

#444

Posted by: themann1086 | November 9, 2007 1:42 PM

This thread and the latest one invaded by Ron Paul's supporters over at David Neiwert's place are quickly becoming my two favorite threads, EVAH.

Keep it up guys, I'm gonna go make some popcorn.

#445

Posted by: Theo Richel | November 9, 2007 1:47 PM

Thanks Dustin, you are right, I wasnt complete

Professor says: And all my friends have used the same material and came to the same conclusions: I did a good lob!

Calgeorge and Dustin think: Wow, his friends agree with him! We want to be friends too, so lets agree with him!

Your ball

#446

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 1:53 PM

Fucking hell. Yeah because all scientists are friends with each other.
They just form a gangstyle Kabal that supresses "real" science.

They are soooo like the cool kids in high school.

Whateeeeeever.

#447

Posted by: JePe | November 9, 2007 1:55 PM

@ shiftlessbum (#436)

My bad, I should have been more careful in choosing words. The hockeystick graph was the (God given?) posterboy for the IPCC, but lost that function in the latest report. I wonder why.

#448

Posted by: cbone | November 9, 2007 2:01 PM

Re: guthrie "assuming you in fact sincere in wanting to actually discuss climate science, your best bet is to go to www.realclimate.org and talk to people there."

Thanks for the good belly laugh. RC is an AGW spin zone run by the same PR firm that represents moveon.org and greenpeace. It is hardly an unbiased source of climate information.

#449

Posted by: melatonin | November 9, 2007 2:01 PM

Because there are newer climate reconstructions that show almost the exact same results as Mann's early work...

#450

Posted by: shiftlessbum | November 9, 2007 2:02 PM

Jepe #446 wrote; "My bad, I should have been more careful in choosing words. The hockeystick graph was the (God given?) posterboy for the IPCC, but lost that function in the latest report. I wonder why."

Thanks for your response, but I'm still confused. Not only is the "hockey stick" discussed (And the supporting data as well as criticisms cited) but there are at least three graphs showing a variety of models, all of which have the "hockey stick" shape to them, referenced in the text and following on the next page.

See again
http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/Report/AR4WG1_Print_Ch06.pdf

Pages 34-36 and references.

I am at a loss in understanding what you mean. Can you please cite the report you are referring to?

thanks

#451

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 9, 2007 2:05 PM

That's right, folks, it's the Underpants Gnome Envirofascist Plot!

1. Spread dire warnings about impending climate/ecological upheaval unless we reduce our emissions/consumption.

2. ???

3. Profit!

#452

Posted by: cbone | November 9, 2007 2:07 PM

Re: Scholar "You are right that the folks from Climate Audit are elitists. However, you are wrong in that that nobody here is supposing that they are educated OR intelligent."


Wow, the old playground tactic of regurgitating back a criticism on the commenter. I can't say I expected any better, but it is typical of those on the left. Strip away the hate and vitriol and all you have left is a little playground whiner with no orignal thoughts of their own.

#453

Posted by: melatonin | November 9, 2007 2:07 PM

The problem, shiftless, is that the IPCC is no longer using the early Mann data as the 'poster boy'. There are now several large scale multi-proxy reconstructions.

They are pissed because the IPCC report doesn't rely on Mann's data alone anymore. If it did, then they feel their inane ramblings might actually be meaningful.

#454

Posted by: Francois O | November 9, 2007 2:08 PM

Of course Andy Grove is a right wing nut. The fact that he's one of the main reasons you can write this on your computer doesn't count. You know better than him and that's enough. Why listen to these guys?

So, about rewriting history, or just writing it. Oreskes claims, for example, that continental drift was rejected because it didn't fit the way the geologists of the time were doing science. And for her, that's a good enough excuse. But she doesn't really dwell on HOW it was rejected. How "drifters" were labeled as nuts, and how the slightest perception that you might consider the hypothesis as worthy of investigation was enough to stop your academic carreer. It's the "how" that is important. How peer pressure acts through the publication and funding system. Geologists of the 1920's knew full well how to conduct science. They lived in a world where physics was in the middle of a revolution, with relativity and quantum theory. But "how" those who controlled the major publications and grant agencies succeeded in not only rejecting continental drift, but making sure no one would dare bring it back again for 30 years, that's what is relevant here. You can reconstruct and say anything you want, for example claim that the data at the time were not good enough, and so on and so on. But the fact remains that Wegener was right, and the fixists were wrong. That in itself is not worrying. YOu have the right to be wrong in science. What is worrying is that the fixists won for 30 years, and they won by silencing the opposition through control of the publication and funding system.

How is dissent treated? Can the publication system, combined with social reprobation, act in a way as to silence dissenters, by threatening to not publish anything they write, and cutting their funding? Can it, or not? And if so, is it the case now with AGW? Is there so much intimidation and peer pressure that no one dares publishing dissenting results? That's the real question. How come it took Steve McIntyre and a blog to reveal the mistakes in Mann's papers and other reconstructions? Why is it so hard to acknowledge that an error was made? Is that symptomatic of something or not? If there are major flaws in the AGW hypothesis, will we know about them, or will we have to wait 30 years to see someone having the guts to publish about them?

#455

Posted by: mpaul | November 9, 2007 2:09 PM

#415 CalGeorge, Mann is not a statistician. Wegman is one of the world's most eminent and decorated statisticians. This debate is about statistically techniques. Mann's response indicates that his grasp of statistics is so poor as to not even comprehend the issue at hand. Wegman was very clear -- Mann's math is defective and his conclusion is defective. Mann doesn't like that. Its embarrassing to be called wrong on such a fundamental point. But that doesn't change the fact that Mann's work is defective.

#456

Posted by: Vitis01 | November 9, 2007 2:11 PM

I wanna answer David! *raise hand REALLY high*

1. They don't.
2. Because you and your ilk have labeled them as such.
3. Humans.
4. Humans.
5. Humans (but I'm less sure about this one).
6. Yes, sometimes it is required, although I think "advocate" is a better word.

#457

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 2:15 PM

They are soooo like the cool kids in high school.

So now Theo is deploying the "Mean Girls" defense too. Behe has created a monster!

#458

Posted by: Apparently an "elitist" | November 9, 2007 2:16 PM

Re: 412 comparing the denialists to the scientists in the "Memory Wars":

JePe, I know Loftus. Beth Loftus and I published a paper together. JePe, you're no Beth Loftus.

#459

Posted by: Theo Richel | November 9, 2007 2:19 PM

Stevie_C
I disagree, not all scientists are friends with each other. In science all sorts of points of view can be found, climatewise. Those who think CO2 raises temperature dangerously and those who think otherwise and all sorts of variations. But within IPCC only one point of view is allowed. It is called the consensus view and a scientist that doesnt adhere to the consensus simply isnt considered a scientist anymore, and not listened to. That is a church. That is not strange: when the IPCC was established it was already 'known' that the climate was in danger, because of CO2, which is emitted because we are all egoistic fossil fuel burners. The IPCC was established to show THAT (not find out IF) there was a climate problem and THAT CO2 (not find out IF) was the culprit.
And now a guy named Steve McIntyre is doing dull statistical work to find out whether this so called proof deserves the name proof. And you are exteremely affraid of him!

#460

Posted by: Dustin | November 9, 2007 2:19 PM

Well, my killfile is getting lethargic from its endless buffet of fresh trollmeat, so I'll let this be the final word.

Peace out, freepers.

#461

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 2:22 PM

Problem: I've just gone and insulted another blog ("I'm in the running with a couple of conservative junk science blogs") and now all their fans have come round to complain. I don't like it. What can we do to make them go away?

Hypothesis: If we insult them enough and use the word "fuck" lots of times, they'll not want to comment here any more.

Alternative hypothesis: if we insult them they'll be even more determined to complain.

Prediction: When we try it, the number of AGW sceptics should go down.

Experimental setup: a post with plenty of ad hominems and no science, telling them to bugger off.

Experimental result: 429 comments and counting.

Perhaps the problem is you didn't insult them enough? Tell you what, insult them even more and see if that works.

As a result of this thread, I'd like you to know that I plan to stay for a while. If you're this easy to wind up, and this incapable of defending your position with science rather than invective, you should be enormous fun!

How does that work for your hypothesis?

#462

Posted by: cbone | November 9, 2007 2:23 PM

Re: Dustin "Peace out, freepers."

What is a freeper?

#463

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 2:24 PM

Union of Concerned Scientists:

Is there legitimate scientific debate about the accuracy of the hockey stick graph?

Yes, but mainly about the details, not the essential point. Temperature fluctuations that predate written records are preserved in natural archives (e.g., tree rings, ice cores, boreholes) with various time periods (e.g., seasonal, annual, decadal). The scientific discussion has focused on the best statistical method for combining these various records to accurately capture temperature fluctuations for the Northern Hemisphere. As is typical of the scientific process, independent teams of researchers have worked to reproduce the results of the "hockey stick" by using their own approaches and even by using slightly different data. These studies sometimes produce slightly higher temperature fluctuations in the past compared with the initial study. But despite their differences, they still yield the same essential conclusion: the past 10- to 20-year period was likely the warmest of the past millennium.

How much does our understanding of global warming depend on the hockey stick graph?

The short answer is "very little." The hockey stick graph constitutes only one among literally thousands of pieces of evidence that have contributed to the present scientific consensus on the human influence on global warming. In 2001, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded in its authoritative third assessment report that "there is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities." As one climate expert observed: The IPCC report Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis is 881 pages in length. It weighs 5.5 pounds and contains over 200 figures and 80 tables. It would be absurd to think that the weight of its conclusions rests on any one figure or table; rather it paints a convincing picture in the totality of its science, as noted succinctly in its title."

Works for me. A little sanity in a denialist world that refuses to see the forest for the trees.

#464

Posted by: Theo Richel | November 9, 2007 2:25 PM

No melatonin, we are not pissed because of that, we are pissed because of the fact that the lot of this other material is largely the same stuff that the Mann stuff was made of. Sure, new journals, new titles, but the same unaudited, unarchived material.
Its simple: if you are a scientist and trust your own findings then there is no problem showing other people your stuff. You are confident arent you? You were honest werent you?

But the hockeyteam behaves like a second hand car salesman that doesnt allow you to look under the hood. Now that's good for confidence!

#465

Posted by: Apparently an "elitist" | November 9, 2007 2:28 PM

Theo Richel (458), the only thing I'm "exteremely affraid" of right now are people invading the comments thread with conspiracy theories about the IPCC, lionizing McIntyre as some sort of cult underdog hero, repeating the tired of comparison between scientific consensus view and a "church," and all the while spelling like LOLcats.

OH NOES!!1! THEIR IN YUR BLOG, HIJAKING YUR THREDZ!!

#466

Posted by: Ryan F Stello | November 9, 2007 2:29 PM

From 453,

The fact that he's one of the main reasons you can write this on your computer doesn't count.

The fact that he's brilliant at computer chips has no relevancy when it comes to medical science.
And even so, he gave no justification for his comments that would indicate he has a good understanding of how medical research progresses.

But hey, I can see why you ignore that.


You know better than him and that's enough.

Not really. You shouldn't project so much. It's elitist.


Why listen to these guys?

Exactly! Why do you listen to ignorant and conspiratorial lunatics? Other than the fact that you are one?

#467

Posted by: melatonin | November 9, 2007 2:30 PM

Theo, people like you bore me, that's why it was not addressed to you.

Cheers

#468

Posted by: cbone | November 9, 2007 2:30 PM

Re: CalGeorge "Works for me. A little sanity in a denialist world that refuses to see the forest for the trees."

That explains quite a bit. To think that a press release from the UCS represents balance and sanity. You really have been hitting the Kool Aid pretty hard.

#469

Posted by: JePe | November 9, 2007 2:33 PM

@ Apparently an "elitist" (#457)

Neither are you. The only point I was making is that holding an politically incorrect opinion can cost you dearly, even in the scientific world.

AGW is the UFO of climate science, as was repressed memory (Dissociative Identity Disorder) for Psychology and Psychiatry.

#470

Posted by: shiftlessbum | November 9, 2007 2:34 PM

Re the comment in #463

I am not very familiar with the denialist position, but if I have read this particular post rightly, one such position is that researchers who've made models that result in the "hockey stick" have not let anyone see the data on which they based their models.

Can anyone say if this is an accurate description? Can someone point me to any evidence this is true? If it is, it is an egregious violation of the very basis of scientific inquiry...which is why I am deeply skeptical of the claim.

Anyone? Denialists? Freepers?

I will try to find this on my own, but some assistance would be greatly appreciated

#471

Posted by: Ray C. | November 9, 2007 2:41 PM

#461 cbone: What is a freeper?

Strictly, a denizen of the Free Republic blog. More broadly, right-wing loons wherever they may be found.

#472

Posted by: Jay Hovah | November 9, 2007 2:45 PM

The trolls are so hard at work that it's become difficult to post comments.

#473

Posted by: Francois O | November 9, 2007 2:47 PM

Cal, Cal, Cal,

You've done it again: throw me the IPCC report!

If your opinion on the temperature reconstructions is based on what the Union of concerned scientists says, good for you! If you want to dig deeper, and really understand the finer points of it, not whether AGW is true or not, just understand the finer points about how those reconstructions were made, then I recommend that you read Climate Audit, and of course the published papers themselves. Add to this the NAS report and the Wegman report. When you have read all of this, then maybe you can claim to have a more educated opinion on the subject. Of course, it's not as good as a quick Google search...

As for Andy Grove, he's entitled to his opinion. I only quoted what he said on peer review. And I think his achievements make his opinion worthy of consideration. It's all right if you disagree. On the subject of peer review, I agree with him. Do you? And if not, why?

#474

Posted by: Jay Hovah | November 9, 2007 2:49 PM

Srsly? WTF?
The non-trolls are worse than the trolls.
Almost makes me ashamed to be an atheist.

Back to BA for me.

Posted by: Kyle Huff | November 8, 2007 10:48 PM
------------------

You must have missed comment #169...

#475

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 2:52 PM

I do not see what makes it okay to insult him or his followers. Tactics like those imply that you are more concerned with scoring points than clarifying or driving a debate. Insults do not contradict or trump reasoned arguments. They have no place in a rational discussion. But then, I've found that the internet is a bad place to look for those.

You people are completely utterly fucking stupid. This one thread isn't for debate or reasoned arguments or rational discussion, its to tell a bunch of trolls from another blog who came here to insult PZ to FUCK OFF.

#476

Posted by: Apparently an "elitist" | November 9, 2007 2:53 PM

JePe (468): You claim that "AGW is the UFO of climate science, as was repressed memory."

Yet the UFO conspiracy theorists and the beads-and-crystals advocates of "repressed memory" were the ones who lived almost exclusively in the popular literature and media while the peer-reviewed science piled up on the other side.

I think you've got your analogy backwards.

Besides, whether or not this fair, anyone who uses the term "politically incorrect" in an argument nowadays becomes instantly suspect in my eyes. It smacks of mythical thinking that creationists and right-winger like to indulge in. You know -- how they're an oppressed minority with the revealed Truth, struggling nobly against a cruel and hostile world.

Care to try again? We're almost to 500 now...

#477

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 2:58 PM

Then we'll get repetitions of why the Mann Hockey Stick doesn't matter, a snide trick that fools no-one but the gullible and the naive. If that's so, then why the bile? Why the trolling?

That's the question -- why are you trolling? This isn't a climate change blog, fuckhead; you climate changeheads weren't invited here; go the fuck away.

#478

Posted by: Francois O | November 9, 2007 2:58 PM

#469

Go read Climate Audit. There are no "models" based on hockey sticks. There are temperature reconstructions based on tree ring measurements. It is a very complex issue and there is no simple answer. The point is: how valid can such reconstructions be, given that we only have a few samples of trees here and there? Can we really reconstruct the past average temperature of the entire Northern hemisphere for the past 1000 years to within a half of a degree? Can we then just splice such a reconstruction with actual temperature data? Is it not extremely dangerous to do that? And what if one set of trees in one location was enough to bias the final result and give it a hockey stick shape? What if the computer algorithm used will give a hockey stick whatever you feed it, even numerical noise?

What if the scientist who produced such a dubious reconstruction has been named a visionary by Scientific American? What if it was used prominently in the IPCC Summary for policy makers? What do you make of that? Is he going to back off and admit that he made a mistake? What about his career? His freshly obtained tenure position, his editorial positions in journals? We all want to believe it's only about science, glorious science, but is it?

#479

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:02 PM

Wow, how infantile. How appropos your interest in embryos.

It's always interesting when someone proclaims themself to be a "liberal" and yet acts like a closed-minded and self-righteous bigot.


That's right, we're all infantile, phony liberals, close-minded and self-righteous bigots. We're terrible people and this is a terrible blog.

SO WHY THE FUCK ARE YOU HERE???

Fucking trolls.

#480

Posted by: Ryan F Stello | November 9, 2007 3:03 PM

As for Andy Grove, he's entitled to his opinion.

I agree wholeheartedly.

I only quoted what he said on peer review. And I think his achievements make his opinion worthy of consideration.

And it was by me when his comments first appeared.
Considered, and then noted that he had no justification.

His 'achievements' however, are irrelevant if they aren't have bearing on his statement.

On the subject of peer review, I agree with him.

Of course you do! You're both delusional when it comes to big 'ol, meany Mr. science!

Do you? And if not, why?

Nope. Why? Because he himself is looking for 'conformity of thought' when it comes to Parkinson's research. I disagree because his statement self-contradicting.


#481

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:09 PM

Well...I got to the end of the thread.Entertaining, if a little disturbing in places.
Quite apart from the awards thing (a subject that's not really important), why all the anger? I am a regular reader and sometime poster on P-Zed's blog, I come here for enlightenment and entertainment in equal quantities. Speaking for myself, a non-scientific layman but curious as hell about how the world works, I had been aware of this difference of opinion about GW.

If you read the whole thread, then why are you so clueless as to what went on here? You can't put it "apart from the awards thing", that's what it's all about -- a bunch of trolls showing up from another blog that thought it was in competition with PZ for some stupid award that he couldn't care less about. All the anger, real and feigned (hint hint), is directed at these trolls. It's not about a difference of opinion about GW -- this isn't a climatology blog.

#482

Posted by: Doug Rozell | November 9, 2007 3:11 PM

Dear me! Mildly entertaining, but hardly edifying, in any sense. To all visitors who have thought better never to visit Pharyngula again, please reconsider. This thread has been, in my experience, utterly novel on this site for its AGW trolls and vitriol (on both sides). PZed is wonderfully curmudeonly when it comes to the stupidly ignorant (Stan started it all when he said he couldn't find any science here), and PZed, obviously feeling unnusually out of sorts, whacked him, justifiably, but without his usual wit. No science? Good grief, this place is loaded with science. First order factual science in evo-devo biology, second order explanatory and predictive science, and third order explication of what good science is. (Popper's falsifiability is not the only criterion: there are also predictive power, explanatory coherence, parismony, consilience of inductions, historical continuity ...). In good measure, PZ's labours also constitute a stirring, robust defence of science and science education, which is why, for many of us I am sure, it is so much fun to visit regularly to read his posts in the categories of kooks and creationism. So please don't take this thread as typical of the site.

As for honest ignorance, I am confident that PZed is patient to explain. For example, what the H-E-double-hockey sticks are "freepers" and "limbots"?

Doug Rozell, Beachville, Canada

#483

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 3:12 PM

These troll don't even understand how science works.

One fucking scientist does not matter. Unless findings are supported by independant data, and other studies, one scientists findings are unimportant.

I wonder how many of these guys (CA trolls) drive SUVs.

#484

Posted by: James | November 9, 2007 3:16 PM

And the worst of the rats are the sanctimonious ones that declare that they're just 'policing' science. They aren't. They're just providing fodder for their fellow denialists, and like them all, have nothing of value to contribute to advance the conversation. You can quit whining that you and McIntyre are finding valid errors; it doesn't matter, since you're simultaneously spreading a plague of lies and ignorance as you go.

476, if that wasn't an invite to reply, I don't know what is. If you value the scientific method (which I'm sure you do), you will applaud Steves efforts to replicate many of these studies which your government (and mine) intend to use to make policy decisions that could affect the very foundations of our modern societies. Whether or not those changes are good in themselves is a secondary issue in my opinion; something for the Philosophers and Technologists among us to ponder. But the fact is if you want to inform debate and bring the world along with you, it's better you do it with good science, not dodgy statistics.

The "spreading of a plauge of lies" is rather overstating the case. Although I am sure there are many who do, I'm equally sure that Steve McIntyre is not one of them. So please don't tar us all with the same brush of "denialist" or "kook" because a lot of us are just interested in science, rather than pushing a particular political agenda.

#485

Posted by: Doug Rozell | November 9, 2007 3:18 PM

Forgot to mention: people who post exclusively in IM text should go doodle themselves. Whatever you have to say, you are not communicating it, as it is simply too much bother to wade through your laziness with the Queen's English.

Doug Rozell, Beachville, Canada

#486

Posted by: Jaye | November 9, 2007 3:20 PM

Wow, you folks are pretty amazing...childish comes to mind, ad hoc also, definitely rude. Are these the "shouting down" techniques that your profs taught you in school? You have learned those lessons well. No need to say "fuck" or call me an "evil wingnut" cause I won't be back. However, the Third Reich would have loved to have assimilated the lot of you. Again, wow. You do understand that personal attacks in response to something like "...well you see BCP's aren't a good proxy for temperature, the HS depends on them for its HS-ness, therefore the HS is probably not an accurate estimate of the average global temps for the last 1K years or so"...is a logical fallacy and tacit admission to being ignorant about the issue?

#487

Posted by: JePe | November 9, 2007 3:22 PM

@ Apparently an "elitist" (#475)

You wrote:
"Yet the UFO conspiracy theorists and the beads-and-crystals advocates of "repressed memory" were the ones who lived almost exclusively in the popular literature and media while the peer-reviewed science piled up on the other side.

I think you've got your analogy backwards."


If that would be true, please explain to me why "DID" is still a legitimate disorder according to the DSM.

You wrote:
"Besides, whether or not this fair, anyone who uses the term "politically incorrect" in an argument nowadays becomes instantly suspect in my eyes. It smacks of mythical thinking that creationists and right-winger like to indulge in."

I really don't care if I am suspect in your eyes. There is a lot of politically correct bullshit in science (Oops I said it again), especially in psychology and climate science.

#488

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:24 PM

Wow the elitist bullshit just keeps on piling up. It is quite amusing to see supposedly educated and intelligent folks left with nothing but juvenile insult and profanity to defend themselves. Bravo...

These guys just love showing what fucking morons they are. This blog is only "left with nothing" for those cretins who "can't find the science" because all they are interested in is climate change and hockey sticks, which isn't what this blog is about. The ones defending themselves here are the moron trolls who have infested this thread like a pack of vermin. Once again, if we are "left with nothing", then why are you here?

#489

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:28 PM

So much anger. Maybe some of yall should take a week off from the blogosphere.

All we ask is that all you trolls take forever off from this blog, the one you've never been to before and only came to because of some stupid web contest.

#490

Posted by: irony_bob | November 9, 2007 3:28 PM

Isn't life ironic?

No matter what side you come down on the raging debates presented in this blog site, you cannot disagree with the universality of the question when you search any level of your consciousness. No ask your self: How's your comfort level with life irony? From my perspective the answer does not come from your particular point of view, but rather the tone you elicit in your argument against the opposition. So choosing to respond with zealous judgment will never be a sign of strength, only a naked discomfort with irony and ambiguity.

Yet the fundamental tenants of both scientific and religious doctrine teach the entire spectrum of followers to embrace both. History has sided with the religious embracers thus far, comforting us with the faith that the answers are far beyond the limits of humankind's collective past, present, and, future consciousness; hence they are solely the domain of an infinite God, to which we will be elevated at the time of our personal or collective Armageddon.

So what is science's equivalent? Ah, how we live such interesting times. Even the most atheistic of scientist should take heart in a rapidly approaching event that by its definition will raise the collective consciousness of humankind's past, present, and future. Of course what I am referring to is the Singularity (http://www.singularity.org/). If you are a true believer in pure science, it would hardly be compatible with being a Singularity denialist.

Now what an irony it would be if the Singularity proved God's existence?

In the interest of full disclosure, my bet (i.e. Belief, Baptism, and Belonging) is that it will. If I am right I will have gained everything, if I am wrong I will only be guilty of loving my fellow man. A definite win-win in my eyes.

Insulting and taunting your opponent only strengthens their resolve. It takes far more courage and to be comfortable with the ambiguities of your argument, and intellect to demonstrate such, than to attack the character of its detractors.

Attitude is everything.

Peace.

#491

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 3:30 PM

What about FUCK OFF, do you guys not understand?

If we wanted to "debate" your denialism, we would go trolling over at CA.

Your rightwing bullshit and tactics is well known here, except it's usually coming from social conservatives and jesus freaks.

Next you'll be telling us about the rapture and how Iraq is a success.

#492

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:30 PM

First, please don't use the term denialists, we prefer that you call us 'blasphemers'.

Mann's math was wrong. Its a simple objective fact.

Great; go discuss it over at CA, moron.

#493

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 3:30 PM

McKitrick basically throws the entire peer-review process into question in his paper, Science and Environmental Policy-Making: Bias-Proofing the Assessment Process.

Scientific assessment panels are playing increasingly influential roles in national and international policy formation. Although they typically appeal to the standard of journal peer review as their quality control criterion, there seems to be confusion about what peer review actually does. It is, at best, a necessary condition of reliability, but not a sufficient condition. There is also the problem that assessment panels may be biased in favor of one side or another when evaluating areas in which the science is
unclear. In this paper I argue that additional checks and balances are needed on the information going into scientific assessment reports when it will be used to justify major policy investments. I propose two new mechanisms to bias-proof the outcome: an Audit Panel and a Counterweight Panel. The need for such mechanisms is discussed with reference to the "hockey stick" debate in climate change.

A Counterweight panel!

Sounds like he has a pretty big chip on his shoulders.

FYI, this article, published in December 2005, has been cited O (zero) times.

#494

Posted by: Pablo | November 9, 2007 3:30 PM

JePe asked,

"If the Hockey stick graph is still relevant, why is there not even one reference to it in the latest IPCC report?"

Factual error aside, shouldn't one ask that, if the Hockey stick graph were so irrelevant, then why do deniers think that discrediting it is so important?

If the IPCC can write a report that concludes AGW without using the Hockey stick graph as claimed, then apparently the Hockey stick graph is not an important part of the case and it matters not one lick whether the Hockey stick graph is correct or not.

You can't have it both ways. You can't claim that discrediting the Hockey stick graph is a blow to AGW while at the same time claiming that scientists don't consider the Hockey stick graph to be relevant.

#495

Posted by: Brian Macker | November 9, 2007 3:34 PM

Dustin, #299

"I'm getting pretty god damned sick of these nauseating and disingenuous appeals to even handedness."

It's not about even handedness. It's about getting one's facts straight, and not being a bunch of alarmists.

As far as I can tell the temperature data was fudged.

If the evolutionary community was screaming that the world would come to an end unless we quickly institute eugenics then you can be sure I'd be poking holes in their claims also. Especially if there were bogus studies showing the collective IQ had dropped.

As I've said before when you move from climate to policy you have jumped into the realm of economics. I don't hear any good science from the AGW crowd in that realm. It's pretty much quackery.

"Whenever something in science becomes a public argument, the fact finding and argument and reasonable discussion has already been done to such an extent that the scientists are in agreement -- a feat that's rather like herding cats, so there has to be a mountain of evidence."

Yeah, right. So the whole public Gould/Dawkins fight never happened. Or are you going to respond that one or the other doesn't do science? I'll laugh if you do that.

#496

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 3:34 PM

Ahhh fucking hell. Irony_bob... go fuck your singularity.

Go take your qunatum woo to Deepak Chopra's website.

#497

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:35 PM

Is it just me, or can one easily sniff out the bullshitters in any debate by simply looking for who uses the term "open-minded"?

It rarely fails, especially when they couple it with absolutes like "Its a simple objective fact".

#498

Posted by: David | November 9, 2007 3:36 PM

Here's a run down:

The right wingers that I know:

1. Care about the environment, but want to see free market solutions.
2. Notice that many green movements are really socialist or Liberal movements in disguise.
3. Really get skeptical when Orwellian terms start getting thrown around such as "Deniers," etc.

The left wingers that I know:

1. Care about the environment and see government control over our lives as the solution.
2. See green movements as just a means to an end that they agree with.
3. Throw around Orwellian terms and willingly adopt political correctness.
4. Vulgarly cuss at people who don't agree with them.

#499

Posted by: James | November 9, 2007 3:37 PM

487 this post is about "kooks" and "denialists" even if the blog generally isn't, so I think it's very fair of PZ to let us respond ;).

To answer the question as to why we are here at this page imparticular, it's because we are attempting to refute a personal attack on us as a group. I get the impression that perhaps a few have soiled this blog who might rightly be called "kooks" and that the resulting bile was deserved for them imparticular, but to generalise it to all those who are skeptical is not a particularly intelligent response.

#500

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:37 PM

The "repressed memory" theory has already been debunked, the AGW 'theory' will follow.

You just reaped 25 points on the crackpot index.

#501

Posted by: David | November 9, 2007 3:39 PM

"A broad minded person is someone who is too lazy to form an opinion". -- Will Rogers

#502

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:42 PM

I just realized that PZ is the Gregory House of all Science blogs. (In a good way, of course.)

Not a bad analogy. All these pathetic concern trolls with their early toilet training have stuck in their heads the fallacious ad hominem belief that there's some connection between polite and right or ornery and wrong.

#503

Posted by: JePe | November 9, 2007 3:45 PM

@ Pablo (# 493)

As even the IPCC abandoned the hockeystick graph (their former poster-boy), one should wonder why they did so if there is nothing wrong with it.

#504

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 3:45 PM

David.

You're a fucking paranoid idiot.

At least you got #4 right.

#505

Posted by: irony_bob | November 9, 2007 3:45 PM

Indeed, you have strengthened my resolve Steve_C. Thank you,

Peace be with you brother!

IB

#506

Posted by: Geral | November 9, 2007 3:46 PM

500th comment? Nice, I've never seen one this big.

#507

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:47 PM

Find a professor who thinks he's right and who has ideas like you?

That seems to be the thing with these wankers; they did poorly in college and blame the "professors". We see the same attitude over at UD.

#508

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 3:49 PM

I'm so happy for you Bob. Keep up the good woo.

#509

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 3:50 PM

McKitrick again (Science and Environmental Policy-Making: Bias-Proofing the Assessment Process, Dec. 2005)

He's a nut:

Counterweight Panel
As for the Counterweight Panel, in the climate context I envision an IPCC Working Group 4 assembled from among the expert community to publish, under the imprimatur of the IPCC, the case against the conclusions presented by the other IPCC Working Groups, primarily Working Group I. Such a panel would have to deal with both economic and scientific aspects of the IPCC's work since the emission scenarios are intrinsic to the Working Group I conclusions. It would be ideal to have the other IPCC Working Groups prepare a response, to which Working Group 4 would then prepare a reply.

So, IPCC is supposed to form a group to reach conclusions that contradict IPCC findings! Coming soon: a Counter-Counterweight Panel. This group will critique the work of groups 1 and 4 and recall all copies of whichever group offends them most.

This guy is living in la-la land.

#510

Posted by: James | November 9, 2007 3:51 PM

belief that there's some connection between polite and right or ornery and wrong

Not really 501. It's just that it's so much easier to argue politely than to do so while ranting and raving. It is also much more dignified and more in the spirit of the scientific method. Arguing with expletives almost always ends up generating more heat than light.

#511

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 9, 2007 3:51 PM

Now you've done it, Stevie. Bob (who doesn't have Clue One as to what irony really is) is gonna drown us all in treacle.

#512

Posted by: Francois O | November 9, 2007 3:53 PM

Ryan,

thanks for keeping the debate on a civilized level. Amazing the foul language here!

But we read criticisms of peer review everywhere, so there must be something wrong with it? Are you a scientist? Have you written papers? Have you reviewed any? I don't claim to be right because I've done both, but I can claim to have some experience with the system. Gee, even after ten years out of academia, they still send me papers to review, you just can't escape!

If I were to disagree with Grove, it's that peer review does not so much prevent innovative ideas from being published as it allows a humongous amount of poor quality (boring) science to be published. How do you find the innovative idea in all the noise? You can get anything published these days. Do you know that there are over 1 million papers published every year?

I have sat on grant committees, and I can tell you how hard it was to get funds given to the young innovative applicants, when they have to compete with established scientists who know how to play the game. How many brilliant scientists do we lose because of that? Because you can write 20 insignificant papers a year, and it's worth more than one single innovative paper. You can have a lab full of graduate students doing the same boring stuff year after year, hitting the same nail on the head, and it's a self-perpetuating business.

And consider how hard it is to get out of your field and start another research thread. You need to refurbish your lab, you enter a field where you are an unknown, you need to have the grant agencies accept that. It is almost impossible, or if you still go ahead, you're in for a good 5 years or more of struggling.

There's no easy fix, but I know one thing. The anonymous peer review as we know it will not easily be replaced because it benefits a lot of people who are already in the system.

#513

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 3:54 PM

Well lets see.. elitism: The belief that certain persons or members of certain classes or groups deserve favored treatment by virtue of their perceived superiority, as in intellect, social status, or financial resources.

I would say the moniker is appropriate, thank you for providing a concise illustration of a perceived superiority (totally without basis I might add) to prove my point for me. Thanks for playing.

Ya gotta love it when established morons say "I think" or "I would say" and then follow it with something utterly retarded.

Ok, cbone, fine, we all groundlessly think we we're smarter, more successful, and richer, than you -- we must, because you say so. And so we've lost the game. Hey, you're a winner! So, WHY THE FUCK ARE YOU STILL HERE?

#514

Posted by: irony_bob | November 9, 2007 3:55 PM

Right back at ya Steve...

#515

Posted by: melior | November 9, 2007 3:56 PM

The right wingers that I know:

1. Care about the environment, but want to see free market solutions.

I find it uproariously hilarious that denialists such as this think all their years of prior claims have simply disappeared from the public records, and that their new amnesia about their absolute certainty and faith in those beliefs means they never happened at all!

But really, who can forget what wonderful denialist hits they were spouting as gospel waaay back oh a couple years ago: Global warming is just not happening, sure global warming is happening but has nothing to with humans, trees cause pollution (Saint Raygun!), the evil "tree huggers" don't care about the naturally superior place of humans in the world...

This new found fake skepticism mixed with woo, tree hugging, and ignorance of statistics is also teh funny, so I hope they don't stop keeping us amused.

#516

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 3:57 PM

There's a difference between an argument and asking someone to get the fuck out.

We're cursing because we DON'T CARE. We didn't ask for you CA trolls to come over and defend you're goofiness. We don't ask creationists to come here and explain how god created the earth 10,000 years ago. Or Scott Adams fans to come here to defend his "humor". Or Hovind fans to defend that nut job either.

Buncha boring conspiracy theorists. You make Ufologists look fun.

#517

Posted by: Josh | November 9, 2007 3:57 PM

Okay, well, Francois, your comment #453 doesn't really seem to answer my question:

Which of the major holdouts during the "tectonic revolution" have been revisionist when looking back at their part in the history of that time?

which is what I interpreted your comment: ...and (2) how scientists can be good at rewriting history when it makes them look stupid.

to be saying.

But regardless, your characterization of how tectonic theory came about doesn't seem to jive with what I recall being taught in structural geology. The guy who taught me structure was a late player in the "revolution" but a player nonetheless, having gotten his PhD under Harry Hess and his MS under Ernst Cloos. He was pretty seriously into the history of it all and we spent a fair amount of time wallowing through the early literature. As I understand it, Wegner wasn't really supported initially because he lacked a compelling mechanism for causing it and much of what he said about how the continents moved around made little sense. The basic ideas were already out there based on continental margin shapes and paleontological data. It already had some supporters. Wegner brought it all together under an umbrella term, but none of them had much evidence to back the theory up at that time. Despite that, work was done...a lot of attention was paid to the theory before 1930 even and there doesn't seem to be any 30 year black hole in publications. Symposia were held specifically to discuss the theory. The geologists of the 1920s absolutely did know how to do science, you're correct...and they did what they were supposed to do. They pissed all over the theory...probing it for weaknesses...and there were many. It is like the snowball earth hypothesis, which is turning into a theory right before our eyes (magnificent to watch it happen). What do people do? Piss on snowball earth, trying to disprove it...or...doing science. Was tectonics contested? Yes, hotly...but before Hess did his stuff it was weak. Sorry, but it was. Still, I don't know where the conspiracy theory about suppressing drift is coming from. If there were suppression going on, it doesn't appear to have been very effective since I haven't seen any break in publications on the subject. Hess's work during World War II formed the basis of the mechanism and once that finally got published, people started to come around immediately. Were there holdouts? Yes, for a long time. Cloos almost went to his grave as a holdout. I would have been surprised if people accepted it quickly. As scientists, we're supposed to be skeptical as you well know. And this was a big deal...tectonic theory. Bigger than AGW I would wager. The globe warms, the globe cools...it's what it seems to do. That's not really in dispute. Whether anthropogenic greenhouse emissions are affecting the process at one tiny little sliver of geologic time to me seems like a far smaller thing than if the earth's crust is divided up tectonic plates that move around, recycling rocks and driving much of the climate system. So I'm not at all surprised that a bunch of people got their panties in a wad over tectonic theory. People are basically dickheads after all. Would I support the notion that there was an active campaign of suppression? No. Does that mean there wasn't? No. Structure/tectonics...not the stuff I publish on...I certainly could be wrong, but it didn't look that way when we were ready the early papers on the subject.

#518

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:02 PM

Whoever said that must be another right wing nut.

Close enough, moron.

http://pipeline.corante.com/archives/2007/11/06/andy_grove_rich_famous_smart_and_wrong.php

#519

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 4:04 PM

Your. Damn it.

#520

Posted by: Nick Sullivan | November 9, 2007 4:07 PM

Fuck, the trolls haven't been this bad since the libertarian thread...

To the care trolls, go defenestrate yourselves, to the Climate Audit trolls, likewise.

And to Francis O whining about the IPCC report being an argument from authority, it's only a logical fallacy if the authority is a false authority dipshit.

Once more, you're a festering moronic "science" concern fucktard troll.

If the Hockey stick graph is still relevant, why is there not even one reference to it in the latest IPCC report?
I don't know Jepe, maybe they had say more fucking accurate models? Scientists tend to look for better data and models most of the time, it's part of the whole process which keeps grad students busy and under-paid.
#521

Posted by: Pablo | November 9, 2007 4:08 PM

"As even the IPCC abandoned the hockeystick graph (their former poster-boy), one should wonder why they did so if there is nothing wrong with it. "

Assuming the claim that they abandoned it is true (although others have disputed you), perhaps the reason is because they don't need it to make a clearcut case for AGW? That additional evidence that has come out since it was originally released is even more compelling?

It's like a creationist complaining that a report on evolution doesn't contain anything about Lucy.

#522

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:11 PM

Professor says: And all my friends have used the same material and came to the same conclusions: I did a good lob!

Calgeorge and Dustin think: Wow, his friends agree with him! We want to be friends too, so lets agree with him!

Funny how the trolls insist that they're just skeptics and then proceed to blatantly lie before our very eyes.

#523

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:13 PM

Thanks for the good belly laugh. RC is an AGW spin zone run by the same PR firm that represents moveon.org and greenpeace. It is hardly an unbiased source of climate information.

Ah, so instead you come here ... yeah, that makes sense.

What a fucking turd.

#524

Posted by: irony_bob | November 9, 2007 4:15 PM

Hey Rey,

You are right, I don't have the foggiest idea about what irony is. But that does not bother me one iota, hence I have nothing to fear.

As far as gushing treacle on the debate; I loathe to think that would be the ultimate outcome of my participation here. However, I'd much rather prefer to a put pint of ale in everyones hand to take the edge off.

Cheers!

#525

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:15 PM

Wow, the old playground tactic of regurgitating back a criticism on the commenter. I can't say I expected any better, but it is typical of those on the left. Strip away the hate and vitriol and all you have left is a little playground whiner with no orignal thoughts of their own.

That's right, we have no original thoughts of out own. SO WHY ARE YOU STILL HERE, FUCKWAD?

#526

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:18 PM

Of course Andy Grove is a right wing nut. The fact that he's one of the main reasons you can write this on your computer doesn't count. You know better than him and that's enough. Why listen to these guys?

Explain to me who anyone who isn't completely retarded would use such a ridiculous argument from authority?

#527

Posted by: Nick Sullivan | November 9, 2007 4:22 PM

If I were to disagree with Grove, it's that peer review does not so much prevent innovative ideas from being published as it allows a humongous amount of poor quality (boring) science to be published. How do you find the innovative idea in all the noise? You can get anything published these days. Do you know that there are over 1 million papers published every year?
And you call yourself a scientist... The point of peer review ultimately is to publish solid, correct data and analysis, innovation is a side effect and something that doesn't come all to often when there's a crap load of monotonous work to get through to give us the ground work. And finding interesting stuff? Perhaps this new-fangled device called a "search engine" might help you there, or possibly skipping down to your local university library for a skim through the major journals?
#528

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:23 PM

As a result of this thread, I'd like you to know that I plan to stay for a while. If you're this easy to wind up, and this incapable of defending your position with science rather than invective, you should be enormous fun!

How does that work for your hypothesis?

It validates my position that you and all your buddies are troll assholes. It also established that you personally are a moron, because you don't have a clue what's going on here.

#529

Posted by: Lee | November 9, 2007 4:25 PM

I have lurked here for awhile because I thought that it might be entertaining to read the views of a few warmists "at home".

Bad mistake. Instead of being entertained by PZ and his defenders, I've been disgusted to the point of regurgitation. I've heard more rational discourse on the subject of AGW in Vancouver bars at 2:00 AM.

If you ignorant barberians are representative of the state of science in the U.S.A., America is doomed and so, by extension, are we all.

Maybe you're just a bunch of undergraduates, and therefore harmless, but I doubt that, and it makes me afraid, very afraid.

#530

Posted by: JR | November 9, 2007 4:28 PM

Although I jumped to conclusions in my earlier post, I couldn't help myself. I had to have a second look.

And hey, it turns out there has been interesting discussions here---especially the discussion between Francois O and CalGeorge among others.

#531

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:30 PM

Wow, you folks are pretty amazing...childish comes to mind, ad hoc also, definitely rude.

Yes, we are. We're childish rude nasty meanies,not worth your time ... so why are you spending it here?

#532

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:35 PM

To answer the question as to why we are here at this page imparticular, it's because we are attempting to refute a personal attack on us as a group.

That's a lie, and a rather stupid one.

#533

Posted by: Brian Macker | November 9, 2007 4:36 PM

I'll start worrying about comparisons to Venus when our atmosphere becomes 90 times denser, and is composed mostly of carbon dioxide, 96.5%. Earth's is only 0.037%. So Venus has around 234729 times the C02.

Venus also has an incredibly slow rotation rate. There are just under two days per year. Hardly a "sister planet" for the purposes of an experiment in runaway greenhouse effects.


#534

Posted by: Francois O | November 9, 2007 4:36 PM

Well boys and girls, I give up. I've tried to stay civil and polite and reasonable. Time to move on.

PZ maybe you should stop this thread.

#535

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:38 PM

Bad mistake. Instead of being entertained by PZ and his defenders, I've been disgusted to the point of regurgitation. I've heard more rational discourse on the subject of AGW in Vancouver bars at 2:00 AM.

Great, so go hang out that the bar. Why would you be here if it makes you barf? Try reading #157.

#536

Posted by: Josh | November 9, 2007 4:39 PM

I think you succeeded in being polite, actually

#537

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 9, 2007 4:40 PM

Yes, this is the perfect encapsulation of The Debate, right here on this bit of HTML. And if you can't handle it, then it's off to the monastery with you where the sturm und drang won't reach for peaceful meditation.
[/sarcasm]

Look fellows, this is a blog, not a bloody symposium. A blog that has had a rather cranky host as of late. It's been rude and uncivil from the post that started it (and it's rarely this bad), but realize that anyone who has read this far and is still actively posting really doesn't care about any admonitions from the peanut gallery. Wading into the morass gets mud on YOU too, no matter how noble your intentions.

#538

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:40 PM

Time to move on.

Gee, only 377 posts after PZ explicitly told you "I don't want you here. You're a mob of quacks, and your promises that you won't come back are just sweet nothings whispered in my ear."

#539

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 4:42 PM

PZ maybe you should stop this thread.

There was a thread on demented fuckwits that got close to 1,000 comments.

http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2006/07/rapture_rubbish_and_apocalypti.php

We have a lot of stamina.

#540

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 4:43 PM

Lee. There was no interest in debate. We were acting like assholes because we wanted them to go away.

But feel free to take your concern elsewhere.

#541

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:44 PM

I have lurked here for awhile because I thought that it might be entertaining to read the views of a few warmists "at home".

This isn't a climatology blog, moron, so you're in the wrong place for that.

#542

Posted by: JR | November 9, 2007 4:44 PM

I have a single observation:
truth machine wakes up and starts posting and Francois O gives up.

Sad.

#543

Posted by: Jay Hovah | November 9, 2007 4:48 PM

"Yes, we are. We're childish rude nasty meanies,not worth your time ... so why are you spending it here?"

They get off on being concern trolls, etc?

It certainly seems to keep them occupied, maybe we can thank Zod that this might keep them from fucking up something important.

#544

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:49 PM

If you ignorant barberians are representative of the state of science in the U.S.A., America is doomed and so, by extension, are we all.

Isn't it funny how so many of these trolls shares the same sort of stupidity? As I wrote back in #195, "This thread is the result of an invasion of trolls and is not typical of the content of this blog. What sort of fucking moron comes to a far reaching conclusion based on a single data point ...?"

#545

Posted by: curious_bob | November 9, 2007 4:49 PM

Mr. Machine..

Is there anyone on who presents an opposing view point to your own you feel is more intelligent than yourself; or at the very least feel any modicum respect for?

Just curious...

#546

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:52 PM

I have a single observation:
truth machine wakes up and starts posting and Francois O gives up.

Sad.

Yes, it is sad that you are such a moron. Once again, back in #157 PZ said that quacks like F.O. aren't wanted here.

#547

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 4:53 PM

Hi truth machine!

"It validates my position that you and all your buddies are troll assholes. It also established that you personally are a moron, because you don't have a clue what's going on here."

False generalisation!

But you already knew that. I want you to know, that insult just earned you another few comments from me. Want to try for more? It was an interesting hypothesis, this idea that telling people to "just fuck off" would work, but at what point do you conclude the hypothesis falsified? When it gets to a thousand comments? Ten thousand? Ever?

Because, you see, every time you ad hom, it adds more evidence to my case. Why would I ever want to stop, when you keep helping me out like this? I suspect PZ will eventually have to shut comments down to get it to stop (and by so doing lose the argument), because you'll never be able to collectively admit to yourselves that it's your insults that are triggering the "trolling", and that another approach is called for. That is, if you aren't secretly enjoying the fight and wanting it to continue, that is. If so, happy to oblige.

#548

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:53 PM

Mr. Machine..

Is there anyone on who presents an opposing view point to your own you feel is more intelligent than yourself; or at the very least feel any modicum respect for?

Yes, there are many such people, moron.

#549

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:56 PM

you'll never be able to collectively admit to yourselves that it's your insults that are triggering the "trolling"

I have no trouble admitting that. It makes some trolls go away, and it causes others, like you, to firmly assert that they are assholes. As I said, you haven't a clue what is going on here. (Hint: a lot of it is about social status.)

#550

Posted by: Peter | November 9, 2007 4:58 PM

Re. #547 "I suspect PZ will eventually have to shut comments down to get it to stop (and by so doing lose the argument)"

What argument?

#551

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 4:59 PM

and by so doing lose the argument

OMG, PZ will lose an argument!

What you and your fellow troll assholes can't seem to grasp is that there is no argument for PZ to lose, and even if there were, he doesn't care.

#552

Posted by: curious_bob | November 9, 2007 4:59 PM

Mr. Machine,

"Yes, there are many such people, moron"

Please name five. Surely you have the courage to elaborate.


#553

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 9, 2007 5:01 PM

"and by so doing lose the argument"

This is an argument?

#554

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 5:03 PM

Steve today at Climate Audit:

In 2003, Thompson took a new ice core at Bona Churchill. We haven't heard anything about it. On previous occasions, e.g. here , I've predicted that 20th century values at this site would be lower than 19th century values - using the mining promotion philosophy that if Thompson had had "good" results, we'd have heard about them.

Basically insinuates (becasue that's what he excels at) that this scientist Thompson is hiding data.

Steve is a nasty piece of work.

Let's consider Dr. Thompson's career (as provided by Wikipedia). Does someone achieve this level of success by being a liar and a data destroyer? Have any of his research assistants come forward to say that Thompson is a lying, data-destroying fraud? No. Just Steve.

2001: Thompson was featured among eighteen scientists and researchers as "America's Best" by CNN and Time Magazine.

2002: Thompson was awarded the Dr A.H. Heineken Prize for Environmental Sciences by the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences.

2002: Thompson was awarded the Vega Medal by the Swedish Society for Anthropology and Geography.

2005: Thompson was elected to the National Academy of Science.

November, 2005: Thompson was featured in a "Rolling Stone" article, "The Ice Hunter"

2005: Thompson was awarded the prestigious Tyler Prize for Environmental Achievement, an honor often regarded as the environmental science equivalent to the Nobel Prize.

February, 2007: Mosley-Thompson and Thompson were jointly awarded the Roy Chapman Andrews Society Distinguished Explorer Award at Beloit College, Beloit, WI.

May, 2007: Thompson is named to receive the National Medal of Science. This honor is the highest the United States can bestow upon an American scientist. It will be presented to Thompson by President Bush sometime in July

#555

Posted by: Peter | November 9, 2007 5:04 PM

Dammit. I finally have something to contribute and three other people make the same point.

#556

Posted by: Jake Boyman | November 9, 2007 5:04 PM

What argument?

"LIBRULS SUCK", would be my guess.

#557

Posted by: Theo Richel | November 9, 2007 5:04 PM

Stevie_C: It must be a burden to be clairvoyant but I do not think that the war in Iraq is a success, its a disaster. And a right winger I am not, they expect far more from government than I do. As do leftists

Apparently an "elitist": You've corrected me rightly. Spelling error! Well as I am from the Netherlands ( see www.richel.org/resume ) maybe you will excuse me.

And in general, as to why we are all here, I guess it has to do with your LEADER (I mean, that is the way you look at these things don't you, he leads and you follow and he is always right). He started this thread with some remarks that most of us couldnt resist.
And I think it is really a pity, because both he and Steve McIntyre adhere to the scientific method, and I think he (as your LEADER!) is probably the only one who will realise that one of these days. And what that means for the future of this 'science-blog' only God - who I do not believe in - knows.

Some here have whined about us asking for an 'open mind' on your site. I will not, an open mind is often an open sink in which you can throw anything. I go for the ultimate skepticism, for the realisation that once a science (stem cells, climate) is in the news, on the government agenda, there is all the more reason to check it a bit extra. But all that is wasted on people (sheeple? ) like you with your follow the leaders mentality.

Btw. it now appears that the original tpoll - which got us all 'together' - was as leaky as a basket, so there may never be a real winner that everybody agrees on.
Goodbye to you all, it was fun and answered all expectations!

#558

Posted by: les | November 9, 2007 5:05 PM

Who knew there were so many latter day Diogenes, wandering the intertoobs in search of civility? More to the point, why do they think anyone cares that they failed again, and won't be coming back? It's almost as entertaining as the Auditors; they must get a lot of rejection, to think that "get the fuck out, you're boring" is an attempt to argue the "merits" of their position...and what the hell is a blue bubbler martini, or whatever BA favors? Yeah, I know, I should do my own homework.

#559

Posted by: Brownian, OM | November 9, 2007 5:06 PM

I have a single observation: truth machine wakes up and starts posting and Francois O gives up.

Sad.

No, that's an observation and an emotional response.

#560

Posted by: Brownian, OM | November 9, 2007 5:08 PM

Goodbye to you all, it was fun and answered all expectations!

What, no parting shot about we really don't understand science?

Well, thanks at least for admitting you came here with your mind already made up.

#561

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 5:08 PM

They get off on being concern trolls, etc?

It really goes to their base psychology; it's the same thing that drives them to be denialists in the first place. Witness GallileoWasADenier's (25 points on the crackpot scale right there) talk about "lose the argument" -- it's all about their precious egos, which is why they came here in droves to "defend" CA from the evil PZ who called it "conservative junk science". The nature of their response certainly tends to support his characterization.

#562

Posted by: Lar R | November 9, 2007 5:10 PM

After the initial shock at the original post, much to my surprise, this thread actually turned out to be great entertainment. This is the professional wrestling match of the "science" blogosphere. The "Truth Machine" kid was the best though. He is the chubby 12 year old that finally gets a chance to bully someone else for a change and is riding it for all its worth. It's almost cute in a pathetic kind of way. Great job all!

Now if we could only set up a match between the wingnuts on FR and the moonbats on DU. Then again, that might be too much hilarity for any one person to take.

#563

Posted by: phat | November 9, 2007 5:12 PM

Francois O:

What kind of funding did you lose out on? Did that grant application for the perpetual motion machine get denied? Is that why you're so angry about the system?

phat

#564

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 5:14 PM

Please name five. Surely you have the courage to elaborate.

Sorry, but not playing your stupid game doesn't make me a coward.

#565

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 5:15 PM

The "Truth Machine" kid was the best though. He is the chubby 12 year old that finally gets a chance to bully someone else for a change and is riding it for all its worth.

You obviously aren't a regular here. Which is what this is all about.

#566

Posted by: tomh | November 9, 2007 5:17 PM

Francois O wrote: PZ maybe you should stop this thread.

Someone is forcing you to view this thread? Your only hope is if it gets stopped? You're an even bigger idiot than you first appeared to be.

#567

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 5:18 PM

Who knew there were so many latter day Diogenes, wandering the intertoobs in search of civility? More to the point, why do they think anyone cares that they failed again, and won't be coming back? It's almost as entertaining as the Auditors; they must get a lot of rejection, to think that "get the fuck out, you're boring" is an attempt to argue the "merits" of their position.

Entertaining ... yes, there's some delectable schadenfreude to be had.

#568

Posted by: JR | November 9, 2007 5:19 PM

#559

True.

#569

Posted by: Pierce R. Butler | November 9, 2007 5:21 PM

Janine @ 235 - That "steven mosher" is almost as sad a case as this one.

For those tempted to follow that link - it's offered in the spirit of the-stupid-it-burns, the raison d'etre of this sanity-forsaken thread.

Now I'll be able to tell my grandchildren I'm a veteran of the legendary Pharyngula Stan Palmer Flame War! (unlike, apparently, Stan Palmer himself...)

#570

Posted by: Zog | November 9, 2007 5:26 PM

Re: 554

" Does someone achieve this level of success by being a liar and a data destroyer?"

Well actually, yes, and you just proved it with your extensive list of honors that the enviro-charlatan has won.
Also, refer to the fame accorded to Hansen and Mann.

#571

Posted by: David | November 9, 2007 5:26 PM

This thread is full of vulgar juveniles.

Steve_C: If one believes in the many worlds theory (what can exist, does exist), then one should not rule out the existence of God. If there is the possibility of a creator God, then there should also be the possibility that the creator God could have created things to be older than they are. It is also possible that people read the Bible too literally, of course. Either way, you sound like a classic bigot.

Dahan: The questions that I asked were meant for others to ask themselves. Be careful not to miss an opportunity to put other people down though.

Now excuse me for a while, I've gotta go drive my extra large gas guzzling SUV over some polar bears. I'm waiting for these tires in my backyard bonfire to burn down though. They sure do take a while.

#572

Posted by: SaulOhio | November 9, 2007 5:29 PM

"Denialists of all stripes use the same tactics. Doesn't take a science degree of any kind to spot them."

"Either there's a denialist invasion in full swing, or some people are posting under multiple different names."

"More rats. Rats with their moldy flecks of rotting garbage. You guys don't get it, do you?"

"You wouldn't know science if it bit you."

"Denying the inevitable outcome is dishonest, regressive and self-destructive. It must be hard to live in denial with oneself and it certainly isn't healthy."

"You're a liar."
"And an asshole. Go take your "good manners" back under the rock you crawled put from."

"Sorry, but the sanctimonious assholes who have charged over here to make accusations, and the fact that he's got the support of the junk science king, Milloy, gives me no cause to doubt my impressions of McIntyre, and I'm not at all interested in visiting his site."

So much of this sounds like "Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain!"

#573

Posted by: Heterocronie | November 9, 2007 5:29 PM

I wish there was a Pharyngula B that just contained science postings so I wouldn't get sucked into pissing away hours of my life reading, and occasionally contributing, to this kind of junk. All I really want is to check out PZ's normally-excellent summaries of recent bio papers - which sadly are becoming rare.

#574

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 5:30 PM

This is my favorite Steve M. post so far:

Dendroclimatologists Answer Back
By Steve McIntyre
This thread is dedicated to dendroclimatologists who are seeking for a way to answer alleged "misinformation" at climateaudit without having to defend themselves against dozens of follow-up posts. Any posts on this thread from non-dendroclimatologists seeking to argue or contest these comments will be deleted, although posters, including myself, will be free to discuss these pearls on other threads. Given the allegations against us, I'm sure that this will be the most active thread in our history.

Or maybe you just want to give information on site selection or resolving mixed temperature and precipitation signals in the tree ring data. Over to you, dendroclimatologists.

One brave soul responded to the challenge:

My response to this post is that I think you will get few, if any, responses from dendroclimatologists - for what I'll call 'sociological' reasons rather than scientific reasons. Underscoring my hypothesis are the responses to Peter Brown's post. If any of you knew Peter, you'd know that he is an honest, sincere and hard-working scientist, like Rob Wilson. Yet, the majority of responses to Peter and Rob are so accusatory [or worse] that it is completely a waste of their time to bother corresponding on this site. Only a small portion of what is happening here is of academic or scientific value.

I've read this blog for ~6 months now and have been offended by the discourse and personal attacks against many of the scientists discussed. What is most offensive is that few, if any, of the readers here know: 1) how hard-working most of the scientists slammed are, 2) the difficulties of academia [for example, NSF funding rates in paleoclimatology have dropped from somewhere near 20% in the 1980s to nearly 5% in recent years, despite an increase in the number of scientists in the field. On top of this, there are more stringent requirements about reporting preliminary results related, etc. these days; and this does not include the need for and competitive nature required to publish a new finding or idea. Free time is evaporating in the life of academics; most of the people you talk about work 6+ days/week and sleep much less than they should.], and 3) many of the scientists who are accused of being on 'the team' do not get along as well as is assumed here: many have extremely competitive personalities. To think that this science and its results is a collusion is a delusion. The discussion of people on this blog is uncivil and uninformed.

Why would anyone come here to defend their methods when the same battles are occurring within the science? There are many other time-consuming tasks to deal with on a day-to-day basis within the science that super cede posting here. Several, of the top scientists in dendro do not even subscribe [or rarely post] to the dendro listserv because they do not have the time.

The science is self-corrective as all science is. There has been some significant improvement in methods over the last 20 yrs. Is it complete? Nope. But which science is?

And, finally Steve M, though you are more civil than most here, you cherry-pick pretty well in making your arguments. One case in point - the quotes you copied from the discussion on the dendro listserv. A second case in point is the broad 'Project for the Dendro Truth Squad' stone you hurled up on this page. Those in the know, who really know the science, know not to use that chronology and know who still use that chronology. The work that uses that chronology for a temperature reconstruction is less-respected than others. Please, do not cast the whole field as deceitful or ignorant of this. You state that it is not your intention to slander the whole science, but why post the picture of that tree and make [b]road statements, make a separate post about it and string a long list of papers that use that chronology if you are not trying to undermine the science? Why not post the longer string of papers that DO NOT use that one site? The final point, you and others are beating some extremely dead horses. The people and papers you 'audit' is very selective. You ignore more recent work that surpasses others.

I know this post is futile, but I had to write it. Tear away.

Awesome.

#575

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 5:31 PM

This thread is full of vulgar juveniles.

Yes! Yes! We are vulgar juveniles! This is an awful place and you really don't want to be here!

Now excuse me for a while, I've gotta go drive my extra large gas guzzling SUV over some polar bears.

We're all so sad to see you go -- just ask JR.

#576

Posted by: curious_bob | November 9, 2007 5:32 PM

Mr. Machine.

"Sorry, but not playing your stupid game doesn't make me a coward."

...just thought I'd give you the opportunity to demonstrate that, indeed, you possess at least a measure of humility. Although your response curiously begs the question of what actually would make you a coward?

#577

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 5:37 PM

Peter,
"Dammit. I finally have something to contribute and three other people make the same point."

Of course. It's a very predictable point.

What argument? Why, that filling a post and a subsequent comment thread with ever more vitriolic insult is a good way to persuade people that you really are a scientific blog committed to fighting fallacy and pseudoscience, and that you're opinion on AGW is correct.

If you don't want to discuss climate science, do not even mention climate science blogs or AGW sceptics or any associated topic. Especially do not devote entire posts to insulting particular climate science blogs and their readers. If you don't want an argument with someone, don't insult them. If you don't want an argument, don't keep on arguing with everything they say. It clearly doesn't work. Pass over the topic in silence. Refuse to debate or answer any further. Resist the temptation to get the last word.

I'm confident you won't be able to.

#578

Posted by: Peter | November 9, 2007 5:38 PM

#576 "Although your response curiously begs the question of what actually would make you a coward?"

On an entirely unrelated matter, the increasingly common misuse of the exprssion "begs the question" drives me batty. Thanks for listening.

#579

Posted by: Tog | November 9, 2007 5:39 PM

"Lee. There was no interest in debate. We were acting like assholes because we wanted them to go away.

But feel free to take your concern elsewhere."

You were acting like assholes because you are. Believe me, that's no act! As for "interest in debate", it is to laugh! None of you are capable of debate. You maligned a whole group of people, and then became disconcerted when they came here to set you straight. Many tried to help you understand, but did anyone listen? Umm....no?
I'll be back!

#580

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 5:40 PM

I wish there was a Pharyngula B that just contained science postings so I wouldn't get sucked into pissing away hours of my life reading, and occasionally contributing, to this kind of junk. All I really want is to check out PZ's normally-excellent summaries of recent bio papers - which sadly are becoming rare.

Sigh. Why are so many people so helpless? Go to http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/archives.php and check out "By Category". Hint: don't click "Kooks".

#581

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 5:42 PM

You were acting like assholes because you are.

That's right! We are! We're assholes! You've won the argument! Congratulations!

So, why are you still here?

#582

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 5:43 PM

Crap.

We are announcing a tie between Bad Astronomy Blog and Climate Audit, so there will be two winners in this category. Both blogs agree with this decision. We thank them both for helping resolve the issues that affected this poll as voting closed Thursday.

Next year, I go back to cheating and I'm casting all my votes for Pharyngula.

#583

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 5:44 PM

..just thought I'd give you the opportunity to demonstrate that, indeed, you possess at least a measure of humility.

I don't need you to give me opportunities, asshole.

Although your response curiously begs the question of what actually would make you a coward?

Uh, no, it doesn't, either by the correct use of that expression or by your misuse of it.

#584

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 5:45 PM

I love when creationists call me a bigot. Warms my heart.

Creationists are such clueless godbots.

I'm a vulgar juvenile! Spank me. Pretty please... with a crucifix... while wearing a naughty nun's costume in latex... please.

#585

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 9, 2007 5:46 PM

Hey, Saul, you forgot "Can you really and truly be that stupid?"

#586

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 5:48 PM

What argument? Why, that filling a post and a subsequent comment thread with ever more vitriolic insult is a good way to persuade people that you really are a scientific blog committed to fighting fallacy and pseudoscience, and that you're opinion on AGW is correct.

That's not a claim that anyone has made, moron.

I'm confident you won't be able to.

No one gives a fuck what some cretin is confident about.

#587

Posted by: curious_bob | November 9, 2007 5:50 PM

Touché Peter.

"On an entirely unrelated matter, the increasingly common misuse of the exprssion "begs the question" drives me batty. Thanks for listening."

Indeed, I felt quite low in the misuse of an actual logical fallacy (oh the irony) as soon as clicked the "Post" button. But hey, look around...When in Rome...

Personal apologies to you Sir.

#588

Posted by: wildlifer | November 9, 2007 5:51 PM

David says: Here are the questions that I ask:

1. Why does the communist party call itself the "Green Party"?

They're godless?
2. Why are WWF, Sierra Club, and Greenpeace all left wing organizations?
They're godless?
3. Who established "Earth Day?"
The godless?
4. Who was behind the movie "An Inconvenient Truth"?
The godless?
5. Who makes up the majority of the main stream media?
The godless? The mind boggles, you're right, it's a godless conspiracy.
6. Is it fine for scientists to be activists about their own work? How about a reporter/journalist?
Well, in the current Bush-infused anti-science state of affairs, it's become incumbent upon scientists to be activists, rather than have their work white-washed over by the corporatists, Bush et al.
Would you just rather let the politicians redact everything they found, let's say, unpleasant?
#589

Posted by: Hank Roberts | November 9, 2007 5:51 PM

> dendro thread

Thanks for the excerpt and pointer, CalGeorge.

#590

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 9, 2007 5:52 PM

Is saying "fuck off" over and over, feeding the trolls?
I didn't think it was. And didn't PZ even ask them to bugger off?
Yet they keep coming. I don't get it.

Do they think we just tell everyone to fuck off who's not a regular?

This is a special circumstance. It's just for you thick denialists specifically.

Usually we have fun for a while with our trolls. And we have a 3 post rule.

But with these guys... there was never a reason to hold back.

#591

Posted by: JR | November 9, 2007 5:53 PM

CalGeorge:

Like I said earlier, I liked the discussion you had with Francois O.

I think your dendroclimatologists on CA has many good points. I too think he is a brave soul to take on the whole lot at CA. That is a one-against-may situation. However, I would say that the same can easily be found in this thread or over on RealClimate.

As for the dendroclimatology---there is one passage that stands out

"Those in the know, who really know the science, know not to use that chronology and know who still use that chronology. The work that uses that chronology for a temperature reconstruction is less-respected than others. Please, do not cast the whole field as deceitful or ignorant of this. "

Isn't this the core of the problem in dendroclimatology: what chronologies can we trust?

#592

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 9, 2007 5:56 PM

A final quote on peer review:

"The peer review system in grant making and in academic advancement has the major disadvantage of creating conformity of thoughts and values. It's a modern equivalent of a Middle Ages guild, where you have to sing a particular way to get grants, promotions and tenure. The pressure to conform means you lose the people who want to get up and go in a different direction. There is no place for the wild ducks. The result is more sameness and less innovation.

Then why did the two peer-reviews of my thesis advisor's & my soon-to-be-resubmitted article praise it for its innovative approach?

I have seen glaring failures of peer-review published, several times. But it's like how democracy is the best of all bad forms of government: there is no better way in sight for preventing mistakes from getting published. Papers that are not peer-reviewed tend to have major flaws over and over; I can think of a recent example of an invited paper that certainly wouldn't have passed peer-review in the form in which it was published.

(And there were mistakes in the math and an unclear figure caption in our paper, and the reviewers did point that out.)

#593

Posted by: Lar R | November 9, 2007 5:56 PM

Truth Machine: "You obviously aren't a regular here. Which is what this is all about."

Come on, don't get all rational on me here. Where is my little red-faced bully yelling "Fuck you Go away!"?

#594

Posted by: Ktesibios | November 9, 2007 5:57 PM

I got as far as #128 before I saw where the data from this thread was leading. I'd just like to share an observation:

Notice how many variants on "you're a sore loser" the whinger horde has indulged in? In particular, the guy up near the top who took the time to assemble a list of words ("beaten, baffled, bested, circumvented, conquered, cowed, crushed...") that read like the Merenptah Stela?

That shows something very clearly: for our unwelcome visitors, the issue isn't anything remotely resembling science, good or bad, or about any of the technical aspects of climatology. For them, it's all about winning, and the psychological need to beat up on those they see as their enemies. Their "leaders" having told them that they've "won", they pile over here in a mob to take out their anger on what they think is a defenseless target.

This is something which anyone familiar with recent work on authoritarian personalities will recognize as classic authoritarian-follower behavior., i.e., authoritarian aggression (against PZ and the regular commenters) andauthoritarian submission (demonstrated towards the CA blogger). The high conventionality isn't so obvious, but it's most likely in there somewhere.

It's impossible to reason with people suffering from this personality defect. "Piss the fucking Hell off" is therefore a highly appropriate response.

In the meantime, I think I'll spend a little time having yet another "can we please do the decent thing and go extinct now before our species humiliates itself any further" moment, something which having my face rubbed in the vileness of RWA behavior invariably triggers.

#595

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 5:58 PM

a good way to persuade people that you really are a scientific blog committed to fighting fallacy and pseudoscience

What these moron trolls with their stupid contests aren't able to grasp is that PZ Myers never set out to persuade anyone about what his blog is or isn't, he simply posts what he posts and, as a result, has a very successful science/atheist/liberal/cephalopod/etc. blog with a large following. Some people appreciate what he writes and some don't; c'est la vie. What's really kind of funny is all these trolls who are addressing PZ here, who most likely is no longer reading this thread, having moved on to other things as he does constantly.

#596

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 6:02 PM

For them, it's all about winning, and the psychological need to beat up on those they see as their enemies.

Yes, I noted the same thing at #561

It's impossible to reason with people suffering from this personality defect. "Piss the fucking Hell off" is therefore a highly appropriate response.

Right on.

#597

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 6:04 PM

Come on, don't get all rational on me here. Where is my little red-faced bully yelling "Fuck you Go away!"?

See #595 for why that too is rational.

#598

Posted by: curious_bob | November 9, 2007 6:06 PM

Mr. Machine,

Do you honestly believe you will ever vanquish the Hydra of Dissent on the Internet, or more specifically in your little corner of it?

Feeling a tad quixotic yet?

#599

Posted by: CJO | November 9, 2007 6:07 PM

I believe tm already said this, but it bears repeating; morons often benefit from hearing simple concepts explained multiple times.

An ad hominem is a fallacious argument taking the form of "X is an asshole, therefore what X says is wrong."

Calling X an asshole when X (and Y and Z and several Cyrillic characters as well, since we long ago ran out of asshole tokens) is behaving like an asshole is just calling X an asshole. Like it or not, agree or disagree.

But don't use Latin to feebly try to obscure the fact that logic is not, well, your strong suit, let's say.

#600

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 6:13 PM

Is saying "fuck off" over and over, feeding the trolls?

It feeds a few like GallileoWasADenier (bonus crackpot points for incorporating a crackpot list item in his handle) who think they're oh so clever to claim that it feeds them. Most of the trolls are drive-bys who haven't read the other comments and are unaware of their fellow dittoheads. And there are a few of the crackpots like F.O. who somehow think this is a place to have a serious discussion about climate change, who get all offended when not everyone takes them seriously.

But the bottom line is that, as Ktesibios notes, telling them to fuck off is the appropriate response -- regardless of whether they do or not.

#601

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 6:15 PM

Feeling a tad quixotic yet?

Feeling a tad like a concern troll, asshole?

#602

Posted by: wildlifer | November 9, 2007 6:16 PM

GallileoWasADenier

As a result of this thread, I'd like you to know that I plan to stay for a while. If you're this easy to wind up, and this incapable of defending your position with science rather than invective, you should be enormous fun!

How does that work for your hypothesis?

You fuckwits just don't get it. The majority of us aren't interested in discussing your "science" with you. This thread isn't about science, it's about an arrogant dickwad who waltzed in here and spouted off.
As it has been repeatedly stated, if we gave a shit about your opinions, we would come to CA. Now FUCK OFF.

And unless it's not been addressed. Gallileo wasn't a denier, he, as are the climate scientists, was trying to break the back of the established, dominant view. IOWs, Mann et al = Gallileo.

#603

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 6:21 PM

Indeed, I felt quite low in the misuse of an actual logical fallacy (oh the irony) as soon as clicked the "Post" button. But hey, look around...When in Rome...

Ah, but apparently you live in Rome, and are just visiting here.

#604

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 9, 2007 6:25 PM

Environmental Media Services (EMS) is a Washington, D.C. based nonprofit organization that is "dedicated to expanding media coverage of critical environmental and public health issues". Their primary activities include holding forums that bring scientists knowledgeable in current environmental issues together with journalists, providing web hosting and support for environmental issues sites like RealClimate. EMS is closely allied with Fenton Communications.

Fenton Communications is a public relations firm that was founded by David Fenton in 1982. Their client list includes organizations associated with a diverse array of social issues, but they are most known for their work with liberal causes such as MoveOn.org and Greenpeace.

Ooh. You used the word "liberal". How scary.

2) Evidence that whatever ties they might have influence what they write.

Guilt by association, the same evidential standard used by alarmists to dismiss anyone who has any association, however tenuous or nonexistent (see the attempt to tie Steve McIntyre to big oil above, a flat out lie), to industry.

Ah, no. If correct, that would be the tu quoque fallacy. But it isn't. Pointing out oil ties (no idea if McIntyre has any) serves as an a posteriori explanation of why they seem to have overlooked so many important papers and why there are such large holes in their logic. It also increases the general level of skepticism... I thought that was a good thing?

Now, please go over to realclimate.org and disprove one of their articles.

----------

Why are WWF, Sierra Club, and Greenpeace all left wing organizations?

They are left-wing by US standards because the center in the USA is so far to the right. Remember: the conservative candidate in the presidential election of 2004, by all standards I know except the US one, was Kerry.

#605

Posted by: JohnS | November 9, 2007 6:29 PM

Hey great the ruck continued. Truffer is right, this is a phuck fight on this franger...fraght.. or whatever this phucken blog site is called. Did I mention you lost..hahaha. Cal George, truffer, dustin, stevie c great stuff go on phuck off, phuck off, phuck off. Science discussed on this site- hahaha- and did I say you lost- hahaha, phuck off, phuck off, phuck off
JohnS

#606

Posted by: Brian Macker | November 9, 2007 6:33 PM

No comments by Stan other then these:

"I noticed that this blog is in the running for a Best Science Blog award. I've looked over the site. Cna someone point out where the science is on it. I have looked but I can't find any."

"Have you read Wegman's report?"

"I'm Stan"

Notice the economy of words and the effect it's had. I'm in awe. That plus he's probably some twelve year old kid who was just trying to figure out global warming for himself.

#607

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 6:33 PM

Science discussed on this site

Indeed, science has been discussed in a half dozen threads posted since this troll-bait was put up.

#608

Posted by: darwinfinch | November 9, 2007 6:36 PM

Not that I have the time to wade through the sterile muck of them all (I followed this thread, scrolling more and more rapidly, until about #150 and then jumped to here), but no one who cites a certain truthy sciency site that PZ referred to will ever command even a rebuttal for what they think in the future. Such things do make life easier.

Oh, and if the troll "truth machine" turns up on other threads and is not sent to Dungeon immediately, I won't bother following whatever threads he derails. What a maroon tool that chump is!

#609

Posted by: curious_bob | November 9, 2007 6:37 PM

"Feeling a tad like a concern troll, asshole?"

LOL...not in the least.

Here's a prediction with an incredible grasp of the obvious: It's just gonna keep comin' and there ain't anything you can do about it. Unless, of course, you create a password protected message board to tickle each other on all day. I am not sure what makes you believe your attitude is productive in a forum that is ultimately public. You are simply past the point no return. It will give me guilty pleasure the day some script kiddy decides to mess with this blog you just for the sheer fun maniacal of it.

Best wishes and warmest regards! Peace out.

#610

Posted by: Ike | November 9, 2007 6:38 PM

I come to this site because it is rational and calming. I started this thread and I hearby end the torture.

#611

Posted by: curious_bob | November 9, 2007 6:43 PM

Oops...bad form...especially for a farewell post...hence I offer the following correction

It will give me guilty pleasure the day some script kiddie decides to mess with this blog just for the sheer maniacal fun of it.

Have fun with your unproductive GOAT Flames.

Very Truly Yours,

Bob

#612

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 9, 2007 6:47 PM

JohnS: Please stop huffing butane before you post.

#613

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 6:51 PM

"You fuckwits just don't get it. The majority of us aren't interested in discussing your "science" with you."

Except that you have been discussing it, by saying it's rubbish.


"This thread isn't about science, it's about an arrogant dickwad who waltzed in here and spouted off."

In response to another one who spouted off about a blog that he later admitted not to understand.

"As it has been repeatedly stated, if we gave a shit about your opinions, we would come to CA. Now FUCK OFF."

Ah! How sweet! Still doesn't work. Try a different approach.

"And unless it's not been addressed. Gallileo wasn't a denier, he, as are the climate scientists, was trying to break the back of the established, dominant view. IOWs, Mann et al = Gallileo.""

The established, dominant view changes all the time. At one time Mann was indeed challenging the scientific consensus at the time - for which I commend him. Now that he has succeeded, somebody else is. The entire point of science's history of never-ending revolutions is that consensus is never an infallible guide to truth. I will grant you, that according to Von Storch's survey of professional climate scientists, it was something like 55% in favour of AGW to 30% against a few years ago, and that does indeed mean there is a majority and a consensus in favour at present, but it is far too soon to declare the matter settled. Science doesn't work like that.

#614

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 6:56 PM

"Feeling a tad like a concern troll, asshole?"

LOL...not in the least.

Odd that you don't feel like what you are, and then follow up with two paragraphs of concern trolling. Snore.

#615

Posted by: JohnS | November 9, 2007 6:56 PM

Hey Rey Fox, I know you're a tad upset that I didn't include you as one of troll lancers, but you know what you can do so phuck off, phuck off phuck off. Hey truffer no science on ongoing threads, just less of a presence of phuckwits like you, but phuck off, phuck off phuck off. Did I say you lost- hahaha, phuck off, phuck off, phuck off
JohnS

#616

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 6:59 PM

Still doesn't work.

"Fuck off" is an indication of contempt; it works to convey it, and it works as social cohesion.

#617

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 7:01 PM

no science on ongoing threads

Factually incorrect.

#618

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 7:01 PM

Isn't this the core of the problem in dendroclimatology: what chronologies can we trust?

Gaaaa! He said the later ones were more trustworthy!

You can't claim that it's all untrustworthy just because there are problems with one chornology.

You either respect the scientific process or you don't.

If you think it's a politicized, bogus enterprise, you are going to get called a nut.

If you think that some climate scientists have a hidden political agenda, you need to explain why you think that is so, provide evidence for it, and provide solid evidence of how they have distorted their findings to achieve their political ends.

I just read a paper by Lonnie Thompson. The conclusion was full of words like "may" and "suggest" and "likely":

Implications
The recent, rapid, and accelerating retreat of glaciers on a near-global scale suggests that the current increase in the Earth's globally averaged temperature (Fig. 6D; refs. 49 and 50) may now have prematurely interrupted the natural progression of cooling in the late Holocene. These observations suggest that within a century human activities may have nudged global-scale climate conditions closer to those that prevailed before 5,000 yr ago, during the early Holocene. If this is the case, then Earth's currently retreating glaciers may signal that the climate system has exceeded a critical threshold and that most low-latitude, high-altitude glaciers are likely to disappear in the near future.

These aren't climate dogmatists. They are scientists, trying to figure stuff out.

#619

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 7:06 PM

The entire point of science's history of never-ending revolutions is that consensus is never an infallible guide to truth.

Silly strawmen like these is a source of much of the contempt.

it is far too soon to declare the matter settled. Science doesn't work like that.

You have no idea of how science works. As Myers said above, "There are people who put together a coherent picture of a scientific issue, who review lots of evidence and assemble a rational synthesis. They're called scientists."

#620

Posted by: curious_bob | November 9, 2007 7:10 PM

Aw Shucks Mr Machine,

I can only leave you with the sentiment I clipped from the wit of another poster of my alleged ilk:

I am so sorry that you doomed to carry the burden of Clairvoyance.

Indeed, I'll pray for your soul brother.

#621

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 9, 2007 7:11 PM

In comment 285, I don't see how the two quotes contradict each other. So Mann et al. were the first to establish the connection... that doesn't mean they have been the only ones ever since, and in fact they weren't, as the first quote says.

yo dude sulfer clouds don't let heat out man

Huh?

Sulfuric acid clouds reflect light, which has the effect of not letting heat in. Very little energy from the sun reaches Venus; Venus stays hot because, due to the carbon dioxide that absorbs the IR radiation from the ground, just as little energy leaves Venus as reaches it.

I have lurked here for awhile because I thought that it might be entertaining to read the views of a few warmists "at home".

Wow. Has apparently never heard of realclimate.org. :-o

In particular, the guy up near the top who took the time to assemble a list of words ("beaten, baffled, bested, circumvented, conquered, cowed, crushed...") that read like the Merenptah Stela?

ROTFL!!! :-D :-D :-D

GallileoWasADenier (bonus crackpot points for incorporating a crackpot list item in his handle)

And extra points for misspelling the good man. In Italian, double-spelled consonants are pronounced as at least twice as long as simple ones; Galileo (who, incidentally, had a surname, too: Galilei) wouldn't recognize himself.

#622

Posted by: maquina verdad | November 9, 2007 7:14 PM

¿Quien es mas macho?

¿truth machine o Maquina Verdad?

Get your mexican wrestling mask ready!

#623

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 7:19 PM

"This thread isn't about science, it's about an arrogant dickwad who waltzed in here and spouted off."

In response to another one who spouted off about a blog that he later admitted not to understand.

Even if, for the sake of argument, that were true, how does it justify some moron coming here and saying he can't find any science? He simply proclaimed himself to be stupid to those who spend time here and have seen great amounts of science, science you can readily click on from this page. Regardless of whether PZ was wrongly dismissive of CA, those who have come here from CA have, over and over again, provided justification for the dismissal, whether it's Palmer who can't see any science or David who blathers about the Sierra Club being a left wing organization or you with your "Gallileo was right when he disagreed with the church so I must be right when I disagree with the scientific community" crackpot idiocy. It is you who are trying to win an argument about CA not being "junk science", but you have failed to convince anyone reading here.

#624

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 7:22 PM

And extra points for misspelling the good man.

I figured it would be petty to mention it. :-)

#625

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 7:26 PM

I'll pray for your soul brother.

You really are an idiot.

#626

Posted by: curious_bob | November 9, 2007 7:29 PM

"You really are an idiot."

:-)

#627

Posted by: Sam Urbinto | November 9, 2007 7:30 PM

If you're over here from CA, or any of the other environment hating, right wing, non-scientific and creationist moron sites where they speak of nothing of substance, I would suggest not wasting your worthless time posting here any more. It's quite clear nothing you'll say is going to be discussed at any sort of adult level in a rational manner, so just go back to your fucktard ass hat fearless leader.

#628

Posted by: Jay Hovah | November 9, 2007 7:36 PM

JohnS - By all means keep up the trolling, Dr Myers will eventually either disenvowel your posts and or ban you.

Have a nice day.

#629

Posted by: Jay Hovah | November 9, 2007 7:37 PM

Wow, now even I am not goodly with da Engrish glammer...but I'm sure you get the message.

#630

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 9, 2007 7:39 PM

I just read a paper by Lonnie Thompson. The conclusion was full of words like "may" and "suggest" and "likely":

Implications
The recent, rapid, and accelerating retreat of glaciers on a near-global scale suggests that the current increase in the Earth's globally averaged temperature (Fig. 6D; refs. 49 and 50) may now have prematurely interrupted the natural progression of cooling in the late Holocene.

Science! At last!

Let me just mention that, according to what I've read, there is no "natural progression of cooling in the late Holocene". The beginning of the next ice age is scheduled for 50,000 years from now, and the next glacial maximum for 100,000 years from now. (...We may be preventing the whole ice age, but that's another story.)

A. Berger & M. F. Loutre: An exceptionally long interglacial ahead?, Science 297, 1287 -- 1288 (23 August 2002)

(Talks about Milanković cycles. Right now, "the amplitude of insolation variation is too small to drive the climate system", so greenhouse gas concentrations become much more important than they would be, say, during the beginning or end of an ice age.)

I figured it would be petty to mention it. :-)

You of all people! :-D Just goes to show I have a few Asperger "symptoms", too. :-)

#631

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 7:40 PM

"Silly strawmen like these is a source of much of the contempt."

The natural philosophic consensus in Gallileo's time was that the Sun revolved about the Earth. Gallileo denied it. That does not, of course, mean that all who denied a consensus of their peers is a Gallileo, but it does demonstrate the lesson that had to be drummed in over and over, that a consensus of experts is not infallible. If you're prepared to accept that the current AGW consensus might be wrong, and that they might be overstating their confidence grossly, then we would be in full agreement. Since we're not, I can only conclude it isn't a strawman.

"You have no idea of how science works."

A brave assertion without evidence.

"As Myers said above, "There are people who put together a coherent picture of a scientific issue, who review lots of evidence and assemble a rational synthesis. They're called scientists.""

Agreed, that's part of what they do, although it does reminds me of the decadent collapse in Asimov's Foundation series.

We're not saying they haven't put together a rational synthesis, we're saying we think they've done it wrong. And that's normal and perfectly OK as part of the scientific process, up until the point where they refuse to either acknowledge or correct their errors, and try to label those who disagree with them as kooks and deniers. Scientists assemble their synthesis, and then other scientists try to knock it down, and if all attempts to do so fail, the hypothesis gains in credibility. After surviving the onslaught for fifty or a hundred years without substantial change, it approaches being an established theory. Natural selection in action. Even if you don't accept the validity of a particular attempts to knock it down, you can't argue against honest attempts without denying the scientific method.

#632

Posted by: Owlmirror | November 9, 2007 7:53 PM

That does not, of course, mean that all who denied a consensus of their peers is a Gallileo
That's for damn sure.

In this case, Galileo had the data. He performed experiments. He used old tools (ramps, balls, pendulums) in a new way. He used new tools (telescopes) to bolster his findings. He did the math. He published his work.

He didn't deny on a friggen whim.

but it does demonstrate the lesson that had to be drummed in over and over, that a consensus of experts is not infallible.

Bullshit. Galieleo was the expert, because he did the damn work.

Those he was refuting were not experts. They were ideological morons who did no work, performed no experiments, used no tools, published no data, and had no evidence.

Just like the ideological morons who "deny" the scientific consensus on global climate change.

#633

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 7:54 PM

The natural philosophic consensus in Gallileo's time was that the Sun revolved about the Earth. Gallileo denied it.

If you're prepared to accept that the current AGW consensus might be wrong, and that they might be overstating their confidence grossly, then we would be in full agreement. Since we're not

Who says I'm not prepared to accept that? I actually understand scientific epistemology. But we are in disagreement about much else.

I can only conclude it isn't a strawman.

It's a contemptible strawman regardless of what I accept or don't accept, moron.

A brave assertion without evidence.

You also don't understand what evidence is.

you can't argue against honest attempts

No, I argue with dishonesty, which we've seen plenty of here.

#634

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 7:57 PM

Oops, I edited out part of my response:

The natural philosophic consensus in Gallileo's time was that the Sun revolved about the Earth. Gallileo denied it.

You don't know the history of science; there's a reason that it's called the Copernican Revolution, not the Galilean Revolution.

#635

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 9, 2007 7:58 PM

the hypothesis gains in credibility. After surviving the onslaught for fifty or a hundred years without substantial change, it approaches being an established theory.

If it ever was large enough to be a theory.

you can't argue against honest attempts without denying the scientific method.

Indeed not. We're just saying those who have tried so far have exhibited a lack of knowledge of important data -- and acted as if everyone were just as ignorant as them.

#636

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 8:05 PM

To be a little more specific:

The natural philosophic consensus in Gallileo's time was that the Sun revolved about the Earth. Gallileo denied it.

No, Galileo's astronomical discoveries and arguments were well received by natural philosophers. Rather it was his challenge to the biblical passages stating that the world cannot be moved that got him in trouble. It isn't natural philosophers who put him on trial.

#637

Posted by: phat | November 9, 2007 8:06 PM

The references to Robert Altemeyer's research on right-wing authoritarians was spot on by the way. These denialists are perfect examples.

phat

#638

Posted by: infatuated | November 9, 2007 8:07 PM

truth machine,

what is not to LOVE about you?

#639

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 8:10 PM

After surviving the onslaught for fifty or a hundred years without substantial change, it approaches being an established theory.

If it ever was large enough to be a theory.

Aside from the fact that this is a completely incorrect characterization of scientific theory formation. The theory of evolution, for instance, has undergone substantial change throughout its history, and numerous scientific theories have become well established in far less than 50 years. It isn't time or failure to change that matters, it's supporting evidence and predictive capability.

#640

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 8:11 PM

what is not to LOVE about you?

I can think of a few things.

#641

Posted by: Ozymandias | November 9, 2007 8:18 PM

You should really get off the whole Galileo thing by now. Obviously, the screen name was meant to be an ironic metaphor, albeit a poor one, clearly a point that's been made well enough. Move on.

#642

Posted by: Ktesibios | November 9, 2007 8:19 PM

At one time I thought that PZ, Tara and Orac could have a contest to see who could draw the greatest quantity of idiot trolls to a single post- PZ would post something about religion, Tara about HIV and Orac about anti-vaccination nutbars, and after a set period of time the comments would be counted up and the winner declared.

I gave up on that idea a couple of weeks ago when one of Tara's posts on HIV denialists drew over a thousand comments. I really couldn't envisage anyone ever topping that.

Now, however, I'm not so sure. Perhaps the contest wouldn't be completely one-sided after all.

#643

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 8:20 PM

You should really get off the whole Galileo thing by now. Obviously, the screen name was meant to be an ironic metaphor, albeit a poor one, clearly a point that's been made well enough. Move on.

Fuck off.

#644

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 8:23 PM

I gave up on that idea a couple of weeks ago when one of Tara's posts on HIV denialists drew over a thousand comments.

How long did it take? I'll be too busy this weekend to continue my steady stream of troll bashing; it's been fun, but after a while shooting ducks in a barrel loses its appeal.

#645

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 8:24 PM

"Even if, for the sake of argument, that were true, how does it justify some moron coming here and saying he can't find any science?"

I think he probably looked at what was up on the front page, and noted that virtually all of it was political commentary or trivia. At the moment, I see a comment on a paper about synesthesia which probably wasn't actually synesthesia, and a picture of an octopus with teeth. Yes, if you look through the archives you can find much better, and the comment was over hasty and probably a bit bad tempered, but compared to CA, where roughly every other post is doing some sort of analysis or discussion of technical papers, there isn't really a lot of science going on here. It was a bit of a tu quoque back against the claims made against CA, and not something I really approve of, but I understand why it was made.

"He simply proclaimed himself to be stupid to those who spend time here and have seen great amounts of science, science you can readily click on from this page."

Good! Well done! So why not just point him to the science, and get on with it? Why make such an extended point of calling him stupid?

"Regardless of whether PZ was wrongly dismissive of CA,..."

Thanks. That's the nearest I've seen to any graciousness on this. For that, I'll drop a few comments I was planning to hang around and make.

"... those who have come here from CA have, over and over again, provided justification for the dismissal, whether it's Palmer who can't see any science or David who blathers about the Sierra Club being a left wing organization..."

Some people, who are probably not actually from CA so much as fans of it, haven't made the best of points. To be fair to them, this was often in response to provocation, but I won't excuse it. But by the same token, an extended series of comments telling people to "fuck off" in capital letters doesn't speak too well for Pharyngula, does it?

In my experience, you either maintain the moral high ground and discuss the science with them, or you ignore them. Insult never work.

"... or you with your "Gallileo was right when he disagreed with the church so I must be right when I disagree with the scientific community" crackpot idiocy."

I neither said nor implied that. I said that no consensus of learned experts is infallible. That doesn't mean that anyone who argues against such a consensus is a new Gallileo, most are not, but it does mean that arguing against the consensus is not necessarily crackpottery, and it does mean that arguing from peer reviewed authority is still a fallacy.

I do not claim to be Gallileo, but I do claim that Gallileo's lesson is still of value. Gallileo was a denier, and was right to be so whether he was ultimately right about the sun/Earth thing or not. What matters is not consensus, but evidence.

"It is you who are trying to win an argument about CA not being "junk science", but you have failed to convince anyone reading here."

Some people tried that early on, but it soon became clear that no amount of reasonable arguments would be able to budge people. Failure to convince is not evidence of being junk science. (You would have to show a failure to follow scientific method.)

But my intention wasn't to convince you about CA, but to suggest that your tactics were counterproductive. The more you insulted CA and its readers, the more complaints you got. It was obvious to me that the insults were driving the "trolls" as you called them. Classic runaway positive feedback. In a way, I hoped to help you out by breaking the loop, but I also wanted to make the point that you had brought it on yourselves with your attitude. Nobody is asking you to necessarily agree with CA, it would be a sad world indeed if everyone had to agree to everything, but we'd be ever so grateful if you could manage to disagree with us without using all the insults. At least, not until you had tried to interact with us on a civilised level for long enough for us to have deserved them.

#646

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 9, 2007 8:28 PM

How long did it take? I'll be too busy this weekend to continue my steady stream of troll bashing; it's been fun, but after a while shooting ducks in a barrel loses its appeal.

I'm done, too. These people have nothing interesting to say.

#647

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 8:31 PM

Insult never work.

They work to show contempt, moron.

in capital letters doesn't speak too well for Pharyngula, does it?

We don't care, you stupid fucking moron. PZ speaks for himself in what he writes; if you don't like it, you welcome to go away, fuck off, and die.

#648

Posted by: infatuated | November 9, 2007 8:31 PM

"I can think of a few things."

i can't. i've been reading you all day lover boy, and i'm pretty sure it's you. you might not remember me, but i have always had a thing for you. got to go.

sweet dreams! XOXO

#649

Posted by: phat | November 9, 2007 8:32 PM

You've completely missed the point of Galileo haven't you?

He didn't deny anything insofar as he observed things that forced him to deny the consensus. That consensus was not a scientific consensus. It was an ideological and theological consensus. There is nothing remotely comparable between the AGW denialists and Galileo and it's pure ego that makes anybody who thinks otherwise.

phat

#650

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 8:42 PM

I'm done, too. These people have nothing interesting to say.

Indeed. GallileoWasADenier's moronic concern trolling above is just a repetition of the same themes that have been over and over: we're rude, we're not productive, reasonable arguments don't budge us, blah blah blah ... none of which can be concluded from a response to an invasion by a horde of troll assholes. The control troll morons are so arrogant, they actually think they are telling us something novel or subtle, something we don't already know, just because we aren't engaging them is some deep intellectual conversation. This thread is troll bait, a vehicle for troll bashing, not a place to have a serious discussion about climatology, the philosophy of science, or the ins and outs of social etiquette. The only really insightful thing said by any of the CA folks was #251.

#651

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 8:44 PM

you might not remember me

I wouldn't know, since I don't know who you are.

#652

Posted by: JohnS | November 9, 2007 8:46 PM

Hey truffy you got it wrong again. Shooting blanks, at ducks or in life has been your your single claim to fame here. And you're starting to screech some pretend science-what sort of phuckwit are you, little bovver boy. And Jay Hovah, I don't give a phuck about PZ banning me-only proves who can and cannot take the heat, phuckwit. Joke Science at the other threads- factually correct truffer phuckwit. Phuckoff, phuck off, phuck off
JohnS

#653

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 8:47 PM

At least, not until you had tried to interact with us on a civilised level for long enough for us to have deserved them.

But we don't care about you; you're trolls, invaders from another space.

#654

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 8:48 PM

JohnS, even your friends think you need to take your meds.

#655

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 8:49 PM

"In this case, Galileo had the data. He performed experiments. He used old tools (ramps, balls, pendulums) in a new way. He used new tools (telescopes) to bolster his findings. He did the math. He published his work."

Yep. And CA has the data (where it's been published), performs experiments (from experiments in data processing, to Stevenson screen paint IR absorption, to collecting tree cores), uses old tools (standard statistical techniques) in new ways (applying it to climate data properly). They certainly do the maths. They publish the results on the web, where peers and all comers can review it to their hearts content. And do.

"He didn't deny on a friggen whim."

Quite right too. Wouldn't think of it. And in fact, the word denier is inaccurate. Many of us don't deny AGW - if there are indeed a bunch of unknown positive feedbacks in the climate system that triple the CO2 sensitivity, it might even be true - but we do consider it unsupported by the evidence. The proper term is "sceptic".

"Bullshit. Galieleo was the expert, because he did the damn work."

Yes, but many people at the time thought Aristotle was the expert. Or the Church.

"Those he was refuting were not experts. They were ideological morons who did no work, performed no experiments, used no tools, published no data, and had no evidence."

No they did lots of work, reams of textual analysis and interpretation, a coherent synthesis of the classics. But it was all wrong, because they relied on authority and consensus over going out and looking at the evidence. They were considered to be the experts at the time.

It wasn't the climatologists who went out to look at the monitoring stations to check they were OK, it was the sceptics over at surfacestations. McIntyre and Watt publish all their data and working. The professional climatologists often do not.

Your analysis is most apt, just not the way you think it is.

"Just like the ideological morons who "deny" the scientific consensus on global climate change."

Will you please stop talking about consensus - 55% is nothing to get that excited about anyway - and talk about the scientific evidence instead. Do you even know what the evidence actually is? And yes, I'm well aware of the absorption properties of CO2, and just as well aware that they're not the issue.

#656

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 8:57 PM

"He didn't deny anything insofar as he observed things that forced him to deny the consensus. That consensus was not a scientific consensus. It was an ideological and theological consensus."

The popular opinion was that the Earth could not be moving at a thousand miles an hour because people would feel it if it were. Under Aristotle's idea of physics, they'd be thrown off. That's a scientific opinion, just a wrong one.

The current AGW "consensus" is also, to some degree, an ideological one. Yes, there's a certain amount of science in it too, but not very good science.

#657

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 8:58 PM

But my intention wasn't to convince you about CA, but to suggest that your tactics were counterproductive.

Counterproductive at what? Why do you repeat the same nonsense when we've already been over it? See above about getting this thread over 1000 posts; it would be an achievement. Of course, it would also be an achievement if all you trolls really did fuck off and go away, but it doesn't matter one way or the other, really.

The more you insulted CA and its readers, the more complaints you got.

So what? Why should anyone care about getting complaints? What do you suppose your complaints achieve? You're idiot troll assholes, you complain, it's in your nature. Big deal.

#658

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 9:00 PM

The current AGW "consensus" is also, to some degree, an ideological one. Yes, there's a certain amount of science in it too, but not very good science.

Crackpot.

#659

Posted by: phat | November 9, 2007 9:01 PM

Can you find me a specific instance that shows that the AGW consensus is inspired by ideology? Can you find me some evidence of this?

You may be able to find some evidence that it's junk science, although I don't expect you to find that either. But do us a favor and find the evidence of ideological bias.

phat

#660

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 9:02 PM

"We don't care, you stupid fucking moron. PZ speaks for himself in what he writes; if you don't like it, you welcome to go away, fuck off, and die."

If you really don't care, why do you keep replying? Why do you keep using language that befouls Pharyngula's reputation as a place of science? Why do you do exactly the things that I've told you will ensure I hang around even longer, if you really want to be rid of me?

Like I said, if you don't want an argument, don't argue.

#661

Posted by: qubit | November 9, 2007 9:04 PM

Wow, 650 comments, mostly from dumbass cranks and trolls. I'm feeling a bit ornery at the moment (helping my geologist friend on his research on spectroscopic dating of fluorite crystals is driving me up the walls), so I figure why not take my frustration out on some deserving targets?

Francois O (if you're still reading -- if not, well, tough, I'll talk much deserved shit about you anyway):

it's that peer review does not so much prevent innovative ideas from being published as it allows a humongous amount of poor quality (boring) science to be published.

Are you sure you're a scientist? Because if you are, you're a piss-poor one, and I'm glad to read that you left... what? Particle physics? Geochemistry? Botany? Molecular biology? (I'm always suspicious of someone who proclaims to be a "scientist" without specifying what they work on, since in my experience that's always the coolest. thing. EVAR!!! to a real scientist.) Whatever it was, if anything, good riddance. I'm sure my whole field (spectroscopy of cataclysmic variable stars -- yes, I'm a little disturbed myself at how specialized I'm already becoming) is "poor quality (boring) science" by your standards. I'm sure most people here would consider the stuff I do boring, and you know what? I'm okay with that. I'm *not* okay with someone equating that, or the boring gathering of reams of detailed data that allows for breakthroughs, with "poor quality".

To consummate moron Brian Macker:

I'll start worrying about comparisons to Venus when our atmosphere becomes 90 times denser, and is composed mostly of carbon dioxide, 96.5%. Earth's is only 0.037%. So Venus has around 234729 times the C02.

Venus also has an incredibly slow rotation rate. There are just under two days per year. Hardly a "sister planet" for the purposes of an experiment in runaway greenhouse effects.

Fine, you don't want to look at an extreme case as an example. Fair enough. Care to argue against basic radiative transfer equations instead? Oh, wait... you don't understand those? Just know how to pull factoids off Wikipedia? Awww, too bad. (For non-physicists out there who are actually interested in learning, the radiative transfer equations describe how light interacts with matter it passes through. CO2 is basically opaque in large chunks of the infrared, where the peak emission is for Earth and Venus radiating heat from the surface, so it absorbs that light, heating the atmosphere.) Also, your meaningless arithmetic is wrong -- you forgot to take account of the different scale heights and volumes of Earth's and Venus' atmospheres, and the fact that you're using mass abundance not number abundance.

Also, re: #495, academic fraud like that is a very serious accusation. Care to give one piece of evidence for it? Which data specifically? I really don't feel like plowing through the whole AR4 again to count the number of independent datasets on this, but its certainly in the dozens. Oh, wait, that's right, the whole international leftist conspiracy is in on it. Guess what: we're also working with the Illuminati and Freemasons. Yeah, you're totally screwed.

BTW, care to point me to any economics or policy prescriptions in the AR4? What's that? There aren't any? That's what I thought. Now STFU and RTFM.

JePe (and really all the cranks):

As even the IPCC abandoned the hockeystick graph (their former poster-boy), one should wonder why they did so if there is nothing wrong with it.

Page 135. I see what looks a hell of a lot like not one, but three hockey sticks: CO2, CH4, and N2O abundances. Page 448. Another three hockey sticks (actually, that's being generous -- more like cliffs), this time of radiative forcings. Page 242. A sharp rise in late 20th century global temperature that, if you scaled it to include paleoclimate data from the past 1000 years, would look a hell of a lot like a hockey stick. Yeah, so none of these are "The" hockey stick, but that's how science works -- you get better data and revise your conclusions. You don't pick a conclusion and stick to it regardless. Deal with it. Now, all of you idiots: read the fucking AR4 before you make claims about what is and isn't in it, and what it does and doesn't rely upon. What, 940 pages (plus appendices and errata) too much for you? Boo fucking hoo. If you want to make claims about what's in it, that's the price of admission. But none of you could even be bothered to read the SPM apparently.

David (#498),

Fuck you. I say this not because I disagree with you, but because you're a simplistic, lying sack of shit. (Cf. all the cranks here denying anthropogenic global warming -- or even any global warming -- instead of arguing over the right solutions.)

G-WAD (#645),

Yup, evidence is what matters. So show me some. Any. Just to pick an example, what is your explanation for the global temperature increase, what is your evidence for that explanation, and why is this a better explanation that what's in the AR4? As for reasonable arguments, I inflicted reading this thread on myself, and I have yet to see actual arguments from you or any of your ilk, just lots of broad accusations, high-school debate rhetoric, and self-righteous posturing over civility. Oh, and the rejection of whole fields of scientific inquiry.

Really, if you actually want to debate AGW, and you have given me no reason to believe you actually do, first state exactly what your position is (be specific), how this differs from the AR4 or what specific criticisms you have of the AR4 (and there are legitimate criticisms, but I've yet to see one from the trolls here or at CA), and what evidence and/or theoretical basis you have for this (again, be specific). I want numbers, equations, and models. The AR4 and its referenced papers give this. You don't. The CA people sometimes do, but often with hilariously bad reasoning, obvious selection bias in the data, or clear evidence of fabrication of results left in their code (McKitrick's cosablat code is so obviously leftover from fudging the equations until they give the desired result that I'm willing to accuse him of bad faith on that).

Peter (#550),

What argument?
"I came here for a good argument."
"No you didn't; no, you came here for an argument."


Gah. Why couldn't once, just once, there be an actual discussion of solutions to a problem with overwhelming evidence or of the actual science (I'd really like to see / participate in a debate - an actual debate - over the relative merits of fines vs. cap-and-trade, or which projections are most accurate, or why radiative forcings appear to be linearly additive... anything) instead of dealing with anti-scientific cranks. Times like this, I feel like John Rogers: I miss Republicans.

Added on preview:
Can you cranks get off the whole "theory of anthropogenic global warming" schtick for once? AGW is a conclusion derived from a combination of empirical data and well-established scientific theories.

There's 20 minutes of writing down the drain.

</rant>

#662

Posted by: Nick Sullivan | November 9, 2007 9:08 PM

Science discussed on this site- hahaha- and did I say you lost- hahaha, phuck off, phuck off, phuck off JohnS
Oh joy, not only are you selectively blind to both PZ's science posts, which are awesome, but you also fail to notice the fairly fucking obvious statement that PZ didn't care about wining you moronic wannabe troll.

GallileoWasADenier, fuck up. This thread is pure troll bait, perhaps so we can gleefully fill our kill-files or more likely just to make fun of the morons it attracts. And your knowledge of the history of science? It's shit.

#663

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 9:15 PM

If you really don't care, why do you keep replying?

To show contempt, as I have said more than once.

Why do you keep using language that befouls Pharyngula's reputation as a place of science?

Why are you too fucking stupid to grasp what I just wrote about the irrelevance of "reputation"?

Why do you do exactly the things that I've told you will ensure I hang around even longer, if you really want to be rid of me?

Why are you too fucking stupid to understand "it would be an achievement" to reach 1000 posts?

Like I said, if you don't want an argument, don't argue.

"You're a stupid fucking asshole troll" isn't an argument, cretin.

#664

Posted by: JohnS | November 9, 2007 9:23 PM

Truffy comes because he lost. Big bro FZ got dudded by his mates who couldn't rig the woggle contest, so FZ cracks the shits. Truffy tells people to go away from big bro site as wankers want to cry alone. Did I say you lost.. francid... fryburg or whatever the name of the site is. Hahaha At least phat spells his own name correctly. O yeah, phuck off
JohnS

#665

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 9:27 PM

GallileoWasADenier says, in essence, that he keeps coming back here to demonstrate to me that, as long as I keep insulting him, he'll keep coming back here. Could anything be more stupid than that? He can't get it through his head that I don't really care; if he keeps trolling, I'll keep insulting him (except that even my available time isn't infinite and I'm about to run out), if he doesn't, I won't. And the reputation of Pharyngula as a place of science is irrelevant to me; it's not my blog, one would have to be an idiot to judge it by my posts, especially in this thread, and its reputation as a place of science is a function of the science that PZ posts here -- biological science, not climatology, which isn't his field -- which is plentiful. It's somewhat bizarre that someone so concerned about the science of climatology and AGW would keep coming back to a blog that simply isn't a player in that arena.

#666

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 9:28 PM

"Can you find me a specific instance that shows that the AGW consensus is inspired by ideology? Can you find me some evidence of this?"

Excellent question! Polite, too. Exactly the sort of approach you ought to take. (And as a reward, I think I might go to bed soon.)

It's hard to come up with a brief case, a lot of it is the accumulation of many minor events that all seem to go one way, but how about this?

"On the one hand, as scientists we are ethically bound to the scientific method, in effect promising to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but -- which means that we must include all the doubts, the caveats, the ifs, ands, and buts. On the other hand, we are not just scientists but human beings as well. And like most people we'd like to see the world a better place, which in this context translates into our working to reduce the risk of potentially disastrous climatic change. To do that we need to get some broadbased support, to capture the public's imagination. That, of course, entails getting loads of media coverage. So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might have. This 'double ethical bind' we frequently find ourselves in cannot be solved by any formula. Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest. I hope that means being both." (Quoted in Discover, pp. 45-48, Oct. 1989, see also American Physical Society, APS News August/September 1996.)

You might also be interested in this one. Here's the NOAA on climate reconstructions.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/globalwarming/paleolast.html
First look at the first graph and pay particular attention to the Briffa 2001 series up at the right hand end. Now click on the link to Briffa 2001 below, scroll down to plate 3, and look at how the graph ends. Why the difference? And why does a study done in 2001 end its reconstruction in 1960? I can assure you they have data from after that, but they didn't publish the result. See if you can find out why.

And while you're at it, find out why all the other reconstructions have endpoint errors all in the same direction. A one in thirty two coincidence?

Seriously, I'd be quite interested if you can find a good explanation. I know what the sceptics say, but have been unable to find a good "official" justification.

#667

Posted by: David | November 9, 2007 9:30 PM

Steve_C: You share a lot in common with Creationists from what I can tell. You believe in the Universe being created out of nothingness, and you worship a god. It might be the god of secularism, science and technology, environmentalism, and/or money, but a god nonetheless. Everyone worships something. You should not judge others so harshly.

I'll say it again: Consensus science sent THOUSANDS of women to their DEATHS by recommending hormone therapy and giving these women breast cancer. So while you were all out there wearing your pink ribbons, marching in parades, looking down on others, and worshiping at the alter of science and technology, it was your god who was killing these people.

#668

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 9:31 PM

But at least GallileoWasADenier is somewhat more effective in making an impression (I would be a lot more gracious, GWAD, if this weren't a troll-bait/bash thread) than that JohnS wanker who appears to be truly mentally defective.

#669

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 9:38 PM

Exactly the sort of approach you ought to take.

Ought, if the aim is what, moron?

Quoted in Discover

WHO is quoted? And this doesn't show what was asked for, moron -- that the AGW consensus is inspired by ideology. What it shows is someone who already accepts the consensus is seeking ways to communicate that consensus to the public, given the urgency of doing so.

Not just a troll asshole, but a stupid one.

#670

Posted by: phat | November 9, 2007 9:39 PM

That quote you use is not evidence of ideological bias. It's a quote of someone trying to articulate the problems of discussing science in modern times.

you might be inferring some sort of bias based on a disagreement you have with AGW. That's not evidence of anything but your bias.

phat

#671

Posted by: JohnS | November 9, 2007 9:40 PM

And what truffy, you are the peak of decorum. Hahaha. You got 666 items above yours to read what phuckwits you and your mates were.

JohnS

#672

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 9:46 PM

P.S. If you're going to offer evidence to show that the AGW consensus is inspired by ideology, you ought to at least make it clear what ideology you're referring to. In the quote you gave, the closest I can find is wanting to see the world a better place, wanting to reduce the risk of potential disaster, wanting to be effective -- not the sort of thing one usually thinks of as pejorative when talking about inspiration.

#673

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 9:47 PM

Meds, JohnS, meds.

#674

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 9:47 PM

TM,

It wasn't inspired by ideology, it was inspired primarily by the low resolution analysis of the Vostok ice core and a few other bits and pieces, before they knew which way round the peaks were.

I said the current consensus was to some degree an ideological one. That's as a result of the early (and perfectly sensible and scientific) results and ideas being taken on by the save-the-world ideology that then kept it going in the face of weakening evidence. They have their doubts, but they portray it as a more solid consensus than it is for political reasons.

#675

Posted by: phat | November 9, 2007 9:49 PM

You say they have doubts but won't portray these doubts for political reasons.

I have two questions.

1) Show me the evidence of this.

2) Show me the political reasons.

phat

#676

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 9:50 PM

That quote you use is not evidence of ideological bias. It's a quote of someone trying to articulate the problems of discussing science in modern times.

Indeed. Funny how the "polite" request led to the sort of bullshit that we already expected, from experience with the denier types that PZ discussed way way above.

#677

Posted by: phat | November 9, 2007 9:59 PM

Yep, I'm not surprised.

Altemeyer strikes again.

phat

#678

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 9, 2007 10:01 PM

What sort of evidence would you accept, if you won't take a leading pro-AGW scientist saying it was appropriate to put forward scary scenarios and play down scientific doubts for the sake of getting the public to take action?

The political goal is to get the world to take action: to cut fossil fuel emissions primarily. The pro-AGW political groups are not monolithic, and push the need for urgent action for many different reasons. In any case, their reasons are not germane, except for ad hominem arguments which I'm not interested in. What happened to the end of that Briffa data? The evidence, not the motives.

Anyway, I'm taking a break now. I'll be back later if you haven't broken the 1000 mark by the time I get up.

#679

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 10:02 PM

It wasn't inspired by ideology

Hey, asshole, you were asked ""Can you find me a specific instance that shows that the AGW consensus is inspired by ideology? Can you find me some evidence of this?" and that's what you offered up. So you're just another run-of-the-mill liar.

They have their doubts, but they portray it as a more solid consensus than it is for political reasons.

There are always doubts -- that's the nature of scientific epistemology -- but the significance of the doubts get twisted, as ExxonMobil does day in and day out, so yes of course there are political reasons for toning down doubts as part of the communication process, but that doesn't make the consensus any less solid. You're mixing up different things, stupidly and dishonestly.

the save-the-world ideology

Ah, I suppose from a certain thuggish conservative ideological standpoint, wanting to address threats to society is an ideology. But it's the same ideology that inspires a great deal of science, and there's only good to be said of such inspiration.

#680

Posted by: Mena | November 9, 2007 10:12 PM

Why does it seem like whenever there are more than two or three hundred messages in a thread we always find that it's a couple of people nit picking semantics or listing mistakes in logic at the end of it? It's not worth it guys, really. Take some nice deep breaths and go visit the nice toothed octopus thread instead. It's Friday, maybe even have an adult beverage or two.

#681

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 10:12 PM

What sort of evidence would you accept

Evidence that actually supports the claim, moron.

if you won't take a leading pro-AGW scientist saying it was appropriate to put forward scary scenarios and play down scientific doubts for the sake of getting the public to take action?

No, I won't take that as AGW being ideologically inspired, because it obviously isn't. Why would anyone want the public to take action on something that they didn't genuinely believe, for independent reasons? Your taking this as "ideologically inspired" is circular.

The sort of ideological inspiration that we do see is people who believe in free markets and unfettered corporations denying global warming because dealing with it would involve applying restraints -- facts are denied because they don't like the consequences of them being true (we see the same thing with evolution); and a number of those people, like Milloy, are heavily funded by economic players who have a lot to lose if such restraints are applied. On the other side, you would have to show that AGW is being upheld because, say, people dislike corporations and want to see their power limited. There are such folks who are ideologically driven, but you have failed to show that any of the science is a result of such ideology.

#682

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 10:14 PM

It's not worth it guys, really.

Troll troll concern troll.

#683

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 10:19 PM

kept it going in the face of weakening evidence

From "skeptic" to denier in one easy step. The evidence for AGW, as a whole, has only strengthened over time.

#684

Posted by: phat | November 9, 2007 10:24 PM

I'm working, partaking in an adult beverage and as my computer crunches numbers I check out websites.

Besides, this isn't semantics. If you think expecting evidence is anything but a plea for science, well...

I'm also having a little bit of fun baiting the troll. I don't do that too often.

phat

#685

Posted by: Brian Macker | November 9, 2007 10:41 PM

Like I said, if you don't want an argument, don't argue.

"You're a stupid fucking asshole troll" isn't an argument, cretin.

This sounds like a Monti Python skit.

Meanwhile he's arguing global warming.

#686

Posted by: wildlifer | November 9, 2007 10:44 PM

"You fuckwits just don't get it. The majority of us aren't interested in discussing your "science" with you."

Except that you have been discussing it, by saying it's rubbish.


"This thread isn't about science, it's about an arrogant dickwad who waltzed in here and spouted off."

In response to another one who spouted off about a blog that he later admitted not to understand.

This is your justification? Two wrongs (alleged) make a right?

"As it has been repeatedly stated, if we gave a shit about your opinions, we would come to CA. Now FUCK OFF."

Ah! How sweet! Still doesn't work. Try a different approach.

Funny, I thought it worked just fine.

"And unless it's not been addressed. Gallileo wasn't a denier, he, as are the climate scientists, was trying to break the back of the established, dominant view. IOWs, Mann et al = Gallileo.""

The established, dominant view changes all the time. At one time Mann was indeed challenging the scientific consensus at the time - for which I commend him. Now that he has succeeded, somebody else is. The entire point of science's history of never-ending revolutions is that consensus is never an infallible guide to truth. I will grant you, that according to Von Storch's survey of professional climate scientists, it was something like 55% in favour of AGW to 30% against a few years ago, and that does indeed mean there is a majority and a consensus in favour at present, but it is far too soon to declare the matter settled. Science doesn't work like that.

I disagree. AGW's never been the dominant view. The concept's been fought since the possibilities were first proposed in the late 19th Century. When all the "old-timers" die (Gray et al), is usually when there's a paradigm shift.
Until them and the creationists give up on the idea God created the climate for them, and there's nothing they can do to screw it up, the new paradigm will never take hold.

#687

Posted by: truth machine | November 9, 2007 10:47 PM

Meanwhile he's arguing global warming.

Yeah, I'm a bad bad person, sometimes arguing and sometimes not.

#688

Posted by: Zog | November 9, 2007 10:47 PM

Where do knuckle draggers like "truth machine" breed and multiply? Oh well, he's a tad more out of it than the typical warmist lobotomate but, nevertheless, he is illustrative of the species. I'll be linking this thread to as many blogs as possible so that a few rational people can get a glimpse of what conversion to apocalyptic warmist theology leads to.

I've lingered here too long, so I'm off to remove the warmist contagion in a very hot shower.

#689

Posted by: tomh | November 9, 2007 10:55 PM

Zog wrote: I've lingered here too long, so I'm off ...

This is the 79th troll to announce a departure yet they just keep coming.

#690

Posted by: phat | November 9, 2007 11:05 PM

"Warmist"

That gives me a chuckle.

Is "warmist" the new "commie"?

phat

#691

Posted by: JohnS | November 9, 2007 11:10 PM

Nothing required truffy, keep them all for yourself, but I'mutraged that you are starting to sound even a teeney bit sound of mind- a phuckwit joke yes, you must be tied, yes. I thought you were shooting blanks tonight or tomorrow, or whenever. Come on- we got the 1000 to make. Wildflower- running- petal has returned, dropping phuckwit paradigms everywhere. You kids are wonderful, big bro PZ goes away and because you all failed miserably in the beauty contest vote rig, you puff chests out and stamp feet.
JohnS

#692

Posted by: octopod | November 9, 2007 11:46 PM

Oh man, PZ, you've got a moron infestation! You should call the exterminators, or disemvowelers, or something. Because although this is pretty funny to watch, my only worry is that some poorly-informed highschool student might actually believe one of these unfortunate little denialists.

It's like the Diggtard coalition got in here or something. The funny part is what they're saying...the sad part is that they actually probably believe it. How can people be so easily led by what they wih twas true?

#693

Posted by: octopod | November 9, 2007 11:48 PM

*wish was true. Sorry, typing drunk.

#694

Posted by: ChemBob | November 10, 2007 12:33 AM

Wow, I continue to be pissed off that all these denier wankers think we're all still undergraduates! Not that there would be anything wrong with that; it's just not even close to true.

If you weren't merely ideologue trolls with strong corporate, neoconservative, and "Daddy in the Sky" predilections arguing here incessantly due to your authoritarian subservience to your hockey stick idol, perhaps you could each post one of your journal publications that have contributed to environmental science. How about it?

Francis O (or whatever your moniker was) are you still out there? Because you are claiming a moderate amount of scientific and academic accomplishment for yourself while, at the same time, saying lots of things that sound like something you just heard or read somewhere about the entire scientific endeavor.

I've peer-reviewed a butt-load of journal articles and reports and have not been hesitant whatsoever to trash the work of colleagues who I knew and liked in the interest of good science and I always enjoyed it (masochist?), appreciated it anyway, when they did the same to me. Your statements about grant applications eliminating the talented and innovative young researchers (or however you put it, that was several hundred posts or so ago) is utter rubbish. I've seen many proposals from departments where a student's potential results could damage the hypotheses under which his/her professors had been operating for years.

I've said my piece. Good luck with these one-trick ponies Truth Machine. My condolences to you PZ on having to host this lot; except this might drive your blog traffic rating even higher in Minnesota. If I didn't know better....hmmm

#695

Posted by: tihson | November 10, 2007 12:53 AM

truth machine, I applaud your tenacity. How about changing your moniker to PZ's pitbull? Good work...

#696

Posted by: David | November 10, 2007 1:13 AM

Those who adopt Orwellian tactics such as calling people "deniers" and changing the lexicon to fit their purposes are little more than fascists. They throw out politically correct terms and make up words that start with "eco". Talk about being mindless robots.

Global warming does exist, it just isn't human induced. 0.038% of the atmosphere is CO2, which does reflect some heat back to the surface, but:

1. It also reflects heat away from the earth in equal amounts. This cancels much of the trapping effect out.
2. Heat flows from hot to cold. Ocean currents carry much of the heat to colder parts of the earth (say the side not facing the sun, or depths where the sun does not reach, or to the poles, etc.)
3. Water vapor makes up a larger part of the atmosphere (around 1%), and it is a much greater greenhouse gas. The hotter the earth gets, the more water vapor, the more clouds, the more reflected heat, the more cooling evaporation, etc.

Greenland used to be green and England used to be known for its wine. This hasn't happened again. Even if it does, why should we worry about it? It is not in our control.

Does this mean that we should continue to dump stuff into our environment? No. Does it mean that we should adopt socialistic policies and cry that the sky is falling and blame Capitalism and "Neocons" for it? No.

#697

Posted by: Zarquon | November 10, 2007 1:37 AM

Global warming does exist, it just isn't human induced. 0.038% of the atmosphere is CO2, which does reflect some heat back to the surface, but:

1. It also reflects heat away from the earth in equal amounts. This cancels much of the trapping effect out.

CO2 is transparent to visible light that's why it's a greenhouse gas, and why the effect doesn't cancel out. If you don't understand this basic bit of the argument you're just a moron.

#698

Posted by: JohnS | November 10, 2007 1:57 AM

Hey the phuckwits decrease and clowns arrive. Chembob as peer reviewer- classic, outright fib, but classic. Typical almost- biology major, he's one of the PZ students trying to suck his way through to degree. And he criticises Francis for only reading about the process. Octopod warning highschoolers- laughable- its the high school answers by truffy that brings them here and gives them a chance to cuss and such when if they did that to their betters they would get a clip on the ear. Juice running out around the 700 mark. You silly buggars can't even rig this response number.
JohnS

#699

Posted by: Michael Ralston | November 10, 2007 2:04 AM

1. It also reflects heat away from the earth in equal amounts. This cancels much of the trapping effect out.
Which is why we can't see the sun when there's a lot of CO2 out! ... wait.
2. Heat flows from hot to cold. Ocean currents carry much of the heat to colder parts of the earth (say the side not facing the sun, or depths where the sun does not reach, or to the poles, etc.)
Yes, this *actually* is why it is called GLOBAL warming, as opposed to "industrialized-area warming".
3. Water vapor makes up a larger part of the atmosphere (around 1%), and it is a much greater greenhouse gas. The hotter the earth gets, the more water vapor, the more clouds, the more reflected heat, the more cooling evaporation, etc.
If water is a "much greater greenhouse gas" it can't be a negative feedback loop. You just contradicted yourself.
Greenland used to be green and England used to be known for its wine. This hasn't happened again. Even if it does, why should we worry about it? It is not in our control.
And here we have the real reason for the AGW denialism: they want to feel helpless, because if we weren't helpless, we might actually have to do something.
#700

Posted by: MB | November 10, 2007 2:06 AM

God I love this site! I can remember when a troll was something a gay man didn't want to pick up in a bar - but I guess it still is...

Thanks, PZ, for a great blog!

By the way, I'm a liberal atheist scientist who would really like your site if you didn't allow obscenities and people were nicer and agreed with me and treated me with respect no matter what I posted.

#701

Posted by: Zarquon | November 10, 2007 2:15 AM

Oh, piss off.

#702

Posted by: MB | November 10, 2007 2:38 AM

Zarquon, you stupid fuck - go fuck yourself. Dumbass. Hey, that's kind of fun, even if the shithead hasn't been a troll until telling me to piss off... Ok, maybe not a troll, but a... fucktard? Yeah, go fuck yourself you stupid fuck fucktard, Zarquon. If you don't understand this basic bit of the argument you're just a moron.

Now I can see how much fun truth machine had in this thread... and if the piss off wasn't directed at me, never mind!

#703

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 10, 2007 3:18 AM

"It might be the god of secularism, science and technology, environmentalism, and/or money, but a god nonetheless. Everyone worships something. "

You might want to drop the projection there, Dave. I worship nothing. Worship debases both the worshiper and the worshipee. I will have no part of such behavior.

"So while you were all out there wearing your pink ribbons, marching in parades, looking down on others, and worshiping at the alter of science and technology, it was your god who was killing these people."

So if we project and anthropomorphize everything we don't happen to like into gods or godlike beings that are "worshipped" by those who support them, then we can make all of life into some sort of warped morality play. I'm glad I don't live in your head, it sounds like a scary place.

#704

Posted by: JohnS | November 10, 2007 3:18 AM

hey truffer, thats not bad. Call yourself MB and Zarquon, you get three responses, I make it four and you're on your way over the 700 mark. MB says nice words about you, nothing like self congratulation, Now thats what I call rigging. Good effort. Come on Cal George, Dustbin, rigging standard has been set. Dicks to the grindstone boyos.

JohnS

#705

Posted by: MB | November 10, 2007 3:35 AM

must be some West Coast trolls - or maybe the midwestern crank trolls - usually no one's on after overtime in the west coast hockey games...

#706

Posted by: Michael X | November 10, 2007 3:36 AM

Yes, JohnS, thank you, bad paraody noted. Though as Truth Machine has repeatedly and vulgarly mentioned, we're all regulars here, you don't happen to be one. So you have quite the task up to you. We'll still be here tomorrow reading and commenting like we always do, and you'll have to spend alot of time teasing Truth Machine for being a jerk that you could be using on other things you normally do. You do see the advantage we have, yes? Whatever fun you're having badly attemting to tease someone who holds not but contempt for you, you can't be dim enough to realize that sooner ot later you'll have to leave and that we'll be here regardless. So unless you're making the ill informed choice to become a regular, then I'd advise you to retire, otherwise you'll only allow Truth Machine to reach 1000 posts. And how does that benefit you?

And Rey you beat me to the "everyone worships something" line. I do hate to argue from the dictionary, but damn. Understand your words people! Diluting the word worship not only makes us all polytheists, but hey theists, it also degrades the word worship. Not that I mind or you understand...

#707

Posted by: MB | November 10, 2007 3:39 AM

Ducks 3 Sharks 2 in a shootout - I know, I know, nobody gives a shit. But please do continue, science weenies, to fight the good fight against the freepers, wingnuts, theocrats and trolls... and provide late night entertainment.

#708

Posted by: JohnS | November 10, 2007 3:56 AM

But Michael X, very mysterious designation too, good boy, I look forward to you reaching 1000 posts. Great for the CV- frisulus... fregal.. or whatever this blog is called, we defended the PZ honour by wacking trolls in 1000 messages, unfortunately, proving what phuckwits we were by not making same effort in rigging the beauty contest that PZ wanted to win this year. Yes I know he said he didn't want it, but boyo, read between the lines. Hint- Dummy spit straight after realising he hadn't a hope.

As I said in my first post, I'm here for the ruck. I thought when all you boys went home, there may have been a few cold beers in the fridge. Found you were all kids drinking low alcohol beer- what a bugger.

Anyway Michael Y, we moved it along a few more numbers. Truffy will be proud. Common-you're not truffy are you playing a little joke again. You jokers at this site, ah you kill me.

JohnS

#709

Posted by: Michael X | November 10, 2007 4:15 AM

And thus ends my reasonable approach.
JohnS you seem to have no drive but an idiots one. I already explained as to why your looking for a ruck will only exhaust you, and not us. My handle was suggested to me by other commenters by the way, because Michael is such a popular name. Much like john. Though thankfully I don't share that name with you.

As for the contest you people don't really seem to be playing along with reality. PZ has already won this popularity contest once. I don't remember, was CA was even listed that time around?

And no, I'm thankfully not Truth Machine, if only for the reason that I don't often choose deal with your type.

#710

Posted by: truth machine | November 10, 2007 4:31 AM

I'm thankfully not Truth Machine, if only for the reason that I don't often choose deal with your type.

It's quite amusing to me how these fools have allied me with folks I've had run-ins with like you and Marjanović; I'm even being viewed by some as some sort of hero of this blog ("PZ's pitbull"). But I explained that in #616: "social cohesion". A real triumph would be for Azkyroth to show up and applaud my performance. :-)

#711

Posted by: Michael X | November 10, 2007 4:50 AM

Yes, Truth Machine, while we've had our run-ins and I don't envy your position or reputation, we do have our agreements: Mainly, the blockheadedness of the few assholes still hanging around and obviously the existance of particular deities.

I may begrudgingly come to accept the fact that we have anything else in common. Though I'm sure JohnS will give us reason enough to chuckle in unison without having to delve into that morass right now.

As for Azkyroth, lets not be silly.

#712

Posted by: truth machine | November 10, 2007 5:13 AM

I may begrudgingly come to accept the fact that we have anything else in common.

Well, your very first comment to me, IIRC, was an ad hominem slam about me habitually coming late to the party, but (except for #322) you're the late one this time, so that's something in common, sort of.

#713

Posted by: Michael X | November 10, 2007 5:53 AM

Funny, I do remember that comment and still somewhat agree with it. Though lately you've spent more time actually talking to people other than yourself, which I'm only pleased to see.

My comment was of course in reply to your off base misinterpritation of my post. But that is neither here nor there in regards to this thread.

You'll forgive me of course for not jumping into the ruck earlier, I thought this would burn out like most troll infestations do. Though as it hasn't I thought I'd help bat a few around as I tend to be up late. Otherwise, like I mentioned, I don't tend to get mixed up in such forum bar fights.

#714

Posted by: Michael X | November 10, 2007 5:55 AM

What I'm seeing at the moment though make me laugh the most. Our conversation seems to have quited the whole place down.

#715

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 10, 2007 6:18 AM

Only 714? How disappointing!

#716

Posted by: Michael X | November 10, 2007 6:18 AM

In any case 5:15am wins. I'm sure we'll have our time another day. As for you JohnS, your feigned inability to spell "Fuck" or understand a biological term leaves me to laugh. I'll simply tell you to go where you're wanted and appreciated. If such a place exists.

#717

Posted by: Michael X | November 10, 2007 6:19 AM

Stick around my boy, I'm sure someone will stay up to play.

#718

Posted by: JohnS | November 10, 2007 6:29 AM

Boys, Boys, Boys- common, stop putting on the show for me. Back to the trolls. But Michael Y, how do you know I'm not truffer. Seen us in the same room together? Truffer, the question, have you seen Michael Y and me together. Spooky. I felt the disturbance in the force, Luke,came to see, and found the force very disturbed. And now Luke, the last posts are loveins. Well bugger me, and still low alcohol beer!

I'm counting 713 posts. Longs way to go boyos.
JohnS

#719

Posted by: ChemBob | November 10, 2007 7:39 AM

OK, JohnS, where are those environmental publications of yours that I asked about? I don't care what area of environmental science, just some evidence that you have the slightest credibility in science that doesn't flow from only between your own ears, but is considered actual science by others as well. Do you have even one, just one, peer-reviewed journal article?

FYI, I'm 57 and have been a practicing scientist for 30+ years; I'm not saying that as an argument from authority, only to tell you that no, we're not all undergraduates and that many of us are quite experienced at the scientific endeavor and have plenty of experience in recognizing bullshit. I call bullshit on you.

Crap, I thought I "said my piece" before I went to bed. Oh well.

#720

Posted by: firemancarl | November 10, 2007 9:04 AM

Well, PZ musta done something right to get all of these trolls here. I think this maybe the longest amount of comments i've ever seen on here. Thanks trolls, for making this such great reading!

#721

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 10, 2007 9:25 AM

Global warming does exist, it just isn't human induced. 0.038% of the atmosphere is CO2, which does reflect some heat back to the surface, but:

1. It also reflects heat away from the earth in equal amounts. This cancels much of the trapping effect out.
2. Heat flows from hot to cold. Ocean currents carry much of the heat to colder parts of the earth (say the side not facing the sun, or depths where the sun does not reach, or to the poles, etc.)
3. Water vapor makes up a larger part of the atmosphere (around 1%), and it is a much greater greenhouse gas. The hotter the earth gets, the more water vapor, the more clouds, the more reflected heat, the more cooling evaporation, etc.

Greenland used to be green and England used to be known for its wine. This hasn't happened again. Even if it does, why should we worry about it? It is not in our control.

Does this mean that we should continue to dump stuff into our environment? No. Does it mean that we should adopt socialistic policies and cry that the sky is falling and blame Capitalism and "Neocons" for it? No.

You've pretty much summed up the moronic mainstream what-me-worry approach to this whole issue. Thank you for putting it so well.

#722

Posted by: harold | November 10, 2007 10:29 AM

#721

And your point is....?

Here is IMO where the AGW movement looks like a religion:
they never state what positions they hold.

1 The earth has warmed the last 100 years.
2 This warming is unprecendented
3 The warming is caused (in part) by human action.
4 The warming is caused by CO2 emmisions.
5 The warming will increase because CO2 emmissions are
still going on and because of the "Greenhouse effect".
6 The (only) solution is to cut CO2 emmissions (by taxation)
and thereby stopping the forecasted rise in temperature.

Is this the AGW package?

I agree with 1 and 3, and am interested in 2,4 and 5.
Does this make me a denialist?

have a nice weekend


#723

Posted by: ChemBob | November 10, 2007 10:48 AM

Harold, even the questions that you ask betray your ignorance of the science of this issue and of science in general. In your head, any problem that requires people to organize towards a common goal is evidently a "religion." This is probably because you are so effectively brainwashed by religion that you can't understand people coming together for any other reason than to worship bronze-age mythology. Science, properly done, has nothing to do with mythology, bronze-age or otherwise.

Scientists who, based on the preponderance of evidence, have a pretty good level of confidence that global climate change is being caused by human activities, do not have a common "position" that they hold except that the evidence seems to support this contention. Again, we aren't reading a global warming "Holy Book" written by dead shepherds thousands of years ago to get our concepts and solutions to everything.

Your number 6 is the nail that really shows where you are coming from on this issue. Taxes, naturally. Hah, what a wanker.

#724

Posted by: wildlifer | November 10, 2007 11:16 AM

Those who adopt Orwellian tactics such as calling people "deniers" and changing the lexicon to fit their purposes are little more than fascists. They throw out politically correct terms and make up words that start with "eco". Talk about being mindless robots.

So, if you're not a denier, that means you accept AGW then? There are zealots on both sides of the issue, but aligning yourself with the zealots of the "right" because you oppose the zealots of the (godless) "left," is irrational.

Global warming does exist, it just isn't human induced. 0.038% of the atmosphere is CO2, which does reflect some heat back to the surface, but:

1. It also reflects heat away from the earth in equal amounts. This cancels much of the trapping effect out.
2. Heat flows from hot to cold. Ocean currents carry much of the heat to colder parts of the earth (say the side not facing the sun, or depths where the sun does not reach, or to the poles, etc.)

Too funny. The atmosphere reflects 6% of incoming solar radiation, clouds reflect another 20%. The atmosphere and clouds absorb another 19% of incoming radiation. The earth absorbs 51% of incoming solar radiation while it reflects a mere 4% that reaches it. Your little ocean current ditty means what wrt AGW? Nada.
You really should fact check your bull shit.

3. Water vapor makes up a larger part of the atmosphere (around 1%), and it is a much greater greenhouse gas. The hotter the earth gets, the more water vapor, the more clouds, the more reflected heat, the more cooling evaporation, etc.

I can't believe you think that eliminates the forcing quotient of CO2. Water vapor does not cause warming, as you even wrote. It's a feedback. You can't pump water vapor into the frozen atmosphere and cause it to warm. It's basic chemistry.
CO2 on the otherhand absorbs radiation and re-radiates it in all directions, including back to the earth. As CO2 levels increase higher in the atmosphere, the slower the process of radiation escaping back into space.

Greenland used to be green and England used to be known for its wine. This hasn't happened again. Even if it does, why should we worry about it? It is not in our control.

I'm sure the operators of England's wineries will be very disturbed to hear that.
As for Greenland, all the evidence shows that was a regional warm period, not global. You dittoheads keep having to be reminded of that fact.

Does this mean that we should continue to dump stuff into our environment? No. Does it mean that we should adopt socialistic policies and cry that the sky is falling and blame Capitalism and "Neocons" for it? No.

Well, seeing how it's corporatists (facist capitalists) who are the real puppetmasters of our elected officials - on both sides of the aisle - they are to blame for the politicalization and polarization of the problem.
Scare words like "socialism," when they really mean "godlessness" is just more evidence against them.

#725

Posted by: harold | November 10, 2007 11:19 AM

Thank you for replying Chembob,

Do you have a suggestion to lower CO2?
Nuclear power perhaps(or even better a return to the B.A.)?
Or does this also "show where I am coming from" ?
The doubling of CO2 leading to a rise of 2-4% is
an interesting conjecture.I would favour more
real world solutions to upcoming problems
(oops..now i have really blown my cover).

#726

Posted by: JePe | November 10, 2007 11:28 AM

Is CO2 the cause?

An interesting lecture by professor Bob Carter:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FOLkze-9GcI

#727

Posted by: Brian Macker | November 10, 2007 11:38 AM

Qubit,

"Fine, you don't want to look at an extreme case as an example. Fair enough."

Exactly right and I proved my point.

To disprove nonsense doesn't take an exact calculation. It's enough to know they are not analogous.

You didn't mention cloud cover does that make you a "consummate idiot"? You didn't mention distance from the sun, etc. Your goal was far higher than mine and you didn't even do any calculations.

For your information I do have the math background that you assume I don't.

I know all about black body radiation, absorption spectra, and all the other crap that goes with it. I'm also aware of the behavior of light, even the quantum behavior. I understand for instance how holograms work, and that light doesn't really go in a straight line but takes all potential paths, etc.

You are yet another instance of the rude thought police that infest P Z Myers blog.

#728

Posted by: harold | November 10, 2007 11:43 AM

Thanks for posting the lecture JePe,

You know that's what I do not like about science,
you find out things are always more complicated than you expect.
Now ..off to watch part 2.

#729

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 10, 2007 11:45 AM

Steve_C: You share a lot in common with Creationists from what I can tell. You believe in the Universe being created out of nothingness, and you worship a god. It might be the god of secularism, science and technology, environmentalism, and/or money, but a god nonetheless. Everyone worships something.

Except you, I trust.

It wasn't inspired by ideology, it was inspired primarily by the low resolution analysis of the Vostok ice core and a few other bits and pieces, before they knew which way round the peaks were.

Are you alluding to the fact that the temperature changes always lead the greenhouse gas concentration changes in that core?

This is not at all surprising. We are living in the first time in the last few million years when a change in greenhouse gas concentrations happens for a reason other than a temperature change.

This doesn't mean changes in GHG concentrations can't lead to temperature changes. As I mentioned near the beginning of this thread, we've had a few cases in the last few hundred million years where GHG concentrations changed for other reasons than temperature (flood basalt eruptions, large-scale weathering of newly exposed silicates, methane burps), and in all those cases the temperature followed suit.

The effect of GHGs probably explains why glacials and interglacials are as binary as they are, as opposed to being a continuum. The GHGs dampen the influence of small changes in insolation and increase that of large changes.

What sort of evidence would you accept, if you won't take a leading pro-AGW scientist saying it was appropriate to put forward scary scenarios and play down scientific doubts for the sake of getting the public to take action?

Show me that, say, the IPCC agrees with this statement made by one person in 1989.

Where do knuckle draggers like "truth machine" breed and multiply?

Before trolling, take note of the fact that truth machine is unique.

Global warming does exist, it just isn't human induced. 0.038% of the atmosphere is CO2, which does reflect some heat back to the surface, but:

1. It also reflects heat away from the earth in equal amounts. This cancels much of the trapping effect out.

Argument from ignorance. Heat doesn't come in as the kind of long-wave IR that CO2 absorbs. It comes in as light and as short-wave IR, to which it's transparent.

Did you really believe the climatologists don't know that?

2. Heat flows from hot to cold. Ocean currents carry much of the heat to colder parts of the earth (say the side not facing the sun, or depths where the sun does not reach, or to the poles, etc.)

Yes, and? Where's your point?

3. Water vapor makes up a larger part of the atmosphere (around 1%), and it is a much greater greenhouse gas. The hotter the earth gets, the more water vapor, the more clouds, the more reflected heat, the more cooling evaporation, etc.

By that logic, the average global temperature would have had to be completely stable for the last few billion years.

Come on, dude. The hotter the earth gets, the more evaporation happens, the water vapor is transported to cooler latitudes, condenses, which releases the heat the evaporation has taken up, and rains out.

The hotter it gets, the lower are the differences between the tropics and the poles. The tropics have always had more or less the same temperature in at least the last 90 million years; the poles have been much hotter and much colder than today.

Greenland used to be green

The name is a marketing gag. It hasn't been ice-free for over 400,000 years.

and England used to be known for its wine.

That's a plain lie.

You have distorted out of the fact that wine was grown in England in the Medieval Warm Period. The quality was horrible -- nobody would have bothered if drinking water wouldn't have meant getting cholera.

Nowadays, however, growing wine in England starts getting a serious business. Here, read, if you can.

It is not in our control.

Wishful thinking.

Does this mean that we should continue to dump stuff into our environment? No. Does it mean that we should adopt socialistic policies and cry that the sky is falling and blame Capitalism and "Neocons" for it? No.

What socialistic policies?

#730

Posted by: Andrew Wade | November 10, 2007 11:51 AM

If water is a "much greater greenhouse gas" it can't be a negative feedback loop. You just contradicted yourself.

He did indeed. Water vapour is a major greenhouse gas. Unfortunately it's not one we can do much about. (We wouldn't want to get rid of the the greenhouse effect of water vapour--goodness no! Just reducing it slightly would be enough). David is confused about how the greenhouse effect works: the "heat" from the earth is infrared radiation and the "heat" from the sun is (in large part) visible light. The two do not interact with greenhouse gases in the same way.

#731

Posted by: ChemBob | November 10, 2007 11:51 AM

There are no easy answers and there is mounting evidence that it is too late to avert very serious consequences. There are numerous recommendations being made, including the use of more nuclear power which is, unfortunately, only economical when subsidized and you clearly don't like taxes.

Some of these ideas include truly interesting engineering concepts, like huge pipes that float at the surface of the ocean while penetrating its depths and allow the wave action to cause the deeper waters to be pumped to the surface, generate more algae and act as a CO2 sink. There are other innovative ideas for actually reducing the CO2 already present, but I'm no expert on any of these.

I don't even understand most of your last post; e.g., return to B.A.? Doubling CO2 leading to a 2-4% rise in something? It's all out of context to me. At any rate, there are a lot of things we could be doing but most of them are poorly tested or untested (such as atmospheric removal approaches, above), carbon sequestration from power plants, harnessing tidal action to generate energy, wind farms, more solar power, diplomacy with other countries (such as China) to reduce their emissions, etc.

What are your ideas?

BTW, I've got things to do today and, while I might read this thread from my iPhone, I will probably not have the time to comment.

#732

Posted by: Onias | November 10, 2007 11:53 AM

By "socialistic policies" they mean "tax hikes". Petty, small-minded, selfish troglodytes.

#733

Posted by: ChemBob | November 10, 2007 11:58 AM

Oops, my last post should have been addressed to Harold to avoid confusion.

#734

Posted by: harold | November 10, 2007 12:08 PM

Have a nice weekend Chembob

corrections:
- 2-4% = 2-4%C

- B.A. = Bronze Age (joke)

I am not against taxes, but trying to adjust the Earth's
thermostat by controlling a CO2 knob seems like a
wrongheaded and pretentious idea.(I could be wrong)
CO2 has been shown as a greenhouse gas in laboratory
experiments but not in the complex real world.

#735

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 10, 2007 12:09 PM

Does it mean that we should adopt socialistic policies and cry that the sky is falling and blame Capitalism and "Neocons" for it?

I blame Harold and all Harold-like people.

I blame anyone who chooses to ignore our pressing environmental problems, puts all their effort into explaining them away (badly), and think we live in the "best of all possible capitalist worlds" no matter what happens.

Sorry, Harold. "So what?" and "been there, done that" are not adequate responses to the climate crisis.

#736

Posted by: harold | November 10, 2007 12:10 PM

2-4% = 2-4 degrees Centigrade (oops)

#737

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 10, 2007 12:11 PM

1 The earth has warmed the last 100 years.

Undeniable.

2 This warming is unprecendented

What do you mean?

The temperatures it has caused so far are unprecedented within the last 8,000 years or so (and will soon be unprecedented in the last 120,000 years... if we run out of luck, we'll reach temperatures unsurpassed in the last 410,000 years).

The speed of the warming, which is an important factor in how fast anything can cope with it, is unprecedented in the last 11,000 years.

3 The warming is caused (in part) by human action.

Solar activity hasn't increased for decades, so all warming since 1940 or so is manmade.

4 The warming is caused by CO2 emmisions.

Mostly. There's also soot, methane, and laughing-gas.

5 The warming will increase because CO2 emmissions are still going on

Yes.

and because of the "Greenhouse effect".

That's your point 4.

6 The (only) solution is to cut CO2 emmissions (by taxation) and thereby stopping the forecasted rise in temperature.

That's not part of the science, that's politics. Yes, if we want to stop the rise in temperature -- and the alternative is to evacuate Bangladesh --, we have to stop the emissions. The "how" is a different question. Taxation alone clearly won't work, because for a lot of uses there are currently no alternatives to burning fossil fuels; research on alternatives has to go on.

Is this the AGW package?

Why do you ask us evolutionary biologists? Why don't you spend a few hours reading on http://www.realclimate.org?

Is CO2 the cause?

An interesting lecture by professor Bob Carter:

Spare me the lecture, what does Carter say? I bet it's not anything new.

#738

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 10, 2007 12:20 PM

I am not against taxes, but trying to adjust the Earth's thermostat by controlling a CO2 knob seems like a wrongheaded and pretentious idea.

This is precisely what we are doing. We can either try to turn the knob in the other direction or evacuate Bangladesh.

CO2 has been shown as a greenhouse gas in laboratory experiments but not in the complex real world.

This is ridiculous. What reason does anyone have for supposing it might not absorb IR in the real world?!?

BTW, you don't need to press Enter at the end of a line. Line breaks are made automatically when you click "Post". Is this the first time you write on a computer?

#739

Posted by: Lar R | November 10, 2007 12:29 PM

WildLifer: "Scare words like "socialism," when they really mean "godlessness" is just more evidence against them. "

That's ridiculous. Socialism is scary (maybe worrying is a better word) for a lot of reasons, but I doubt religion even ranks in the top 3 or 5. It puts the state above the individual and is an anathema to personal liberty. Socialists, communists, fundamentalists (the far lefties and righties alike) all want state control over peoples lives. The difference is only in degrees. I know leftists think they are enlightened and well intentioned, but they don't realize the rightists feel the same way about themselves. (Not too mention that leftist ideology leads the body count last century by quite a bit) I am sure that todays far lefties and righties think they are different incarnations than the murderers of yore. But with both groups it all eventually leads to the same place.

As Pol Pot used to say: "To keep you is no benefit, to destroy you is no loss"

#740

Posted by: JePe | November 10, 2007 12:43 PM

@David Marjanović(#737)

You said: "Spare me the lecture, what does Carter say? I bet it's not anything new."

I can't read minds, so I can't answer that.

But he talks real science, not the crap type sloppy science that realclimate produces.

#741

Posted by: phat | November 10, 2007 1:05 PM

That's ridiculous. Socialism is scary (maybe worrying is a better word) for a lot of reasons, but I doubt religion even ranks in the top 3 or 5. It puts the state above the individual and is an anathema to personal liberty. Socialists, communists, fundamentalists (the far lefties and righties alike) all want state control over peoples lives. The difference is only in degrees. I know leftists think they are enlightened and well intentioned, but they don't realize the rightists feel the same way about themselves. (Not too mention that leftist ideology leads the body count last century by quite a bit) I am sure that todays far lefties and righties think they are different incarnations than the murderers of yore. But with both groups it all eventually leads to the same place.

As Pol Pot used to say: "To keep you is no benefit, to destroy you is no loss"

That's funny. It's possibly the funniest thing on this thread...

No, the guy who called the Sierra Club commies is still the funniest.

phat

#742

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 10, 2007 1:36 PM

"BTW, you don't need to press Enter at the end of a line. Line breaks are made automatically when you click "Post"."

From my experience on another web site with a fillable form on it, I know that certain browsers (like Safari) sometimes automatically insert the line breaks from the original comment box, regardless of how long the lines are set in the output. I don't see that here very often, but I would guess that the formatting isn't harold's fault.

#743

Posted by: Janine | November 10, 2007 1:52 PM

That's funny. It's possibly the funniest thing on this thread...

No, the guy who called the Sierra Club commies is still the funniest.

phat

Posted by: phat | November 10, 2007 1:05 PM

Calling greens "commies" is a common Limbaugh talking point. It is Rush's contention that after the fall of the Soviet Union, all of the discredited commies moved into the environmental movement.

Makes one wonder, can Theodore Roosevelt retroactively be called a marxist?

#744

Posted by: Steve_C | November 10, 2007 1:58 PM

Anyone who brings up socialism when talking about AGW and reducing pollution is an idiot.

Cleaner fuels, renewable energy, lower CO2 emissions are all such scary worrying things... and all the money making industries spawned by new technology are so socialist.

Al Gore totally wants a socialist state where your right to drive a Hummer to Taco Bell is totally stripped away and everyone has to ride on solar powered sailboards and wear clothes made of hemp.

Buncha babies.


When we're all driving hybrid hondas and toyotas in 15 years and most new buildings are green and fuel efficient won't you all look like whiney little children.

Unfortunately all these denialists are doing is slowing progress down. I'd rather the new technologies were american made rather than in asia or europe.

#745

Posted by: GallileoWasADenier | November 10, 2007 3:15 PM

"The temperatures it has caused so far are unprecedented within the last 8,000 years or so (and will soon be unprecedented in the last 120,000 years... if we run out of luck, we'll reach temperatures unsurpassed in the last 410,000 years)."

Be careful with terminology. Temperatures are far from unprecedented. Global mean temperature anomaly is very likely to be unprecedented in 400 years, and might or might not be unprecedented in a thousand years or longer. It depends how you interpret the error bars and whether you're willing to compare values between different time sources of data for which the conversion factors are uncertain. (And to what extent you think the data has been fiddled with, of course.)

It isn't unprecedented by much, if it is. And it isn't entirely clear what this is supposed to mean. I think the argument goes that the global mean temperature anomaly is unprecedented, and the CO2 levels are unprecedented, therefore the latter causes the former, maybe. That seems to be how it is used by popularisers, anyway.

"The speed of the warming, which is an important factor in how fast anything can cope with it, is unprecedented in the last 11,000 years."

I haven't seen any graphs of that, except those I've plotted myself. Do you have a reference or source? I know it's been said of the northern hemisphere, and if you look at the plot the number does come out a little higher than all the other spikes, but it is by no means exceptional. It's about 2.7SDs above the mean in about 1800 datapoints for Mann's 04 northern hemisphere reconstruction, compared to 2.25SDs for the 1920s-1940s peak which is the next highest. There was a -4.3SDs drop back around 900AD, when it dropped 0.4 degrees in ten years! It obviously depends on what smoothing you apply, and I wasn't particularly careful nor calculated error bars (which I couldn't really do anyway without knowing what Mann did to construct it), but it doesn't seem a very firmly established result.

#746

Posted by: Lar R | November 10, 2007 3:17 PM

Steve C "Cleaner fuels, renewable energy, lower CO2 emissions are all such scary worrying things... and all the money making industries spawned by new technology are so socialist.

Al Gore totally wants a socialist state where your right to drive a Hummer to Taco Bell is totally stripped away and everyone has to ride on solar powered sailboards and wear clothes made of hemp.

Buncha babies.

When we're all driving hybrid hondas and toyotas in 15 years and most new buildings are green and fuel efficient won't you all look like whiney little children.

Unfortunately all these denialists are doing is slowing progress down. I'd rather the new technologies were american made rather than in asia or europe."

I know, you have some righteous utopia that the State needs to impose for the good of us all. Though the transition might be difficult, well all be happy when we achieve it.

We haven't heard that before. (Yes, Yes I am sure this time its different)

Its always fun to argue with ideologues, but the fundies are probably the best. Many of them also have some version of utopia where by State imposition people will go to church and lead a clean moral life. With the virtual elimination of crime, hedonism, family break ups, out of wedlock births, etc the benefits to society would be enormous.

Though you don't recognize it, you are a different face of the same coin. Your goals are no more righteous, or well intentioned then theirs. But the means to those ends are equally as dangerous. (At least in the long run)

#747

Posted by: truth machine | November 10, 2007 3:18 PM

I see the trolls have gotten around to demonstrating that their denial is ideologically based; it was just a matter of time.

#748

Posted by: truth machine | November 10, 2007 3:25 PM

My comment was of course in reply to your off base misinterpritation of my post.

You do understand the difference between a disagreement with a position (even if, as you tendentiously put it, it is an off base misinterpretation) and a stupid ad hominem about posting habits, don't you?

#749

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 10, 2007 3:34 PM

At the L.A. Auto Show, the winner of the 2008 Green Car of the Year is expected to be the Chevy Tahoe Hybrid (winner to be announced on Nov. 15).

This miracle of green technology gets 22 mpg highway, 21 mpg city.

Only in America.

#750

Posted by: Christ Davis | November 10, 2007 4:01 PM

Oy! I got started reading this thread, thought about abandoning it after 30 or so comments and then found myself unaccountably drawn in. I have now read all comments while drinking a pot of coffee and smoking too many cigarettes. I am a tyro on climate change science,so I followed some links that the CA folk mentioned and will read them. I do not post often, here or anywhere, but I read Pharyngula and 8 or 9 other Scienceblogs every day. Not being a scientist myself I have learned to trust the people who consistently demonstrate that they know what they are talking about, whatever that might be.

I am thoroughly bored with the interjection of politics into every discussion, everywhere. I expect to find out that there is a correct position regarding the evolution of jawbones or Zebra fish and that I may be condemned to an eternity of tightening up my backstroke in the Lake of Fire for holding the incorrect position.

On to something more substantive. Thanks everyone for an entertaining afternoon!

#751

Posted by: Steve_C | November 10, 2007 4:23 PM

Wow. Thanks Lar for proving my point.

Yeah, because Europe is so fucking scary... would hate adopt ANY of their ideas.

Grow up.

#752

Posted by: Paradiggm | November 10, 2007 4:32 PM

I would just like to point out that the U.S. Energy Star "climate zones" are being pushed further north for qualifying products. I was just at a conference at ASU and a DoE representative showed us the new maps. The changes are being made because data (yes, data) collected over the last two decades have been showing increased average and maximum temperatures.

Human caused? Maybe. But the trend is definitely toward warming.

Great blog P.Z., weather the trolls.

#753

Posted by: DAV | November 10, 2007 4:44 PM

"An admittedly brief search through McIntyre's site finds no reference to the phrase "I am not a denialist" by McIntyre."

Well for a "science" site I really have to wonder at the reasoning that goes on here.

I'll bet a brief search though McIntyre's site won't turn up phrases like "I am not a murder" or "I am not a child molester" or "I am not a wife beater" either. Does that mean he is one or more of those things? What exactly was your observation supposed to prove?

Isn't it interesting that showing the errors and inconsistencies in an argument automatically makes one a "denier?" Isn't that like calling someone an atheist when they point out errors and inconsistencies in a theist argument? There is absolutely no chance that anyone could just be with an "I don't know one way or other" position or maybe just can't abide by erroneous argument? And if a person does point out a fallacious argument from a theist why would that person suddenly incur an equal-time obligation to point out the fallacies of an atheist?

Hurling epithets is not only a demonstration of low class but a very real demonstration of the lack of intelligent response.

Sure, it might argued that intelligent response is a waste of time. I wouldn't think so but then I've never been here before. After seeing some of the posts I can now see what that might mean.

#754

Posted by: JePe | November 10, 2007 4:58 PM

The Hockey-stick graph is a total fraud, as are all other replica's.
You want prove?
Read this:
http://homepages.tesco.net/~kate-and-david/2007/Holland(2007).pdf

#755

Posted by: Onias | November 10, 2007 5:09 PM

Lar R:

I hope you realise how ironic it is that you're comparing socialists and environmentalists to fundies, considering your less than subtle implication that ALL State intervention is evil, regardless of individual circumstance.

Also, you seem to have little to no knowledge of either socialism or environmentalism. You should read up a little on these topics before you post again because you sound like a total Rush Limbaugh jackass.

#756

Posted by: Steve_C | November 10, 2007 5:12 PM

DAV. Your declaration means nothing. If you want science.. go to a different article. When PZ posts about climate change, feel free to join in with and denials or nondenials but this was never meant to be a debate about AGW. It's about telling CA trolls to fuck off.

So.

Go take a head first dive off a cliff. Bugger off. Kiss my ass. Suck it. Shove it. Eat it.

DAV. Fuck off.

And yes I must be a low class uneducated barbarian. It's just so obvious.


#757

Posted by: truth machine | November 10, 2007 5:14 PM

I've never been here before.

Yes, we know. And your first appearance is in a thread 2 days old, a thread that is troll-bait stemming from a troll attack from another blog due to a stupid web contest that this blog essentially bowed out of. And guess what? This isn't a climatology blog. So why are you even here? You're just another troll drive-by, one of so many.

#758

Posted by: harold | November 10, 2007 5:14 PM

Hello,
just stopped by to say goodbye.
It seems that after a hard (and bitter) fight
the BA and CA votes are tied: 20k vs 20k. :-)

I see truth machine has woken up
(...and not used the F word ... yet!).

I still am puzzled by the sharp divide.
I will leave you with an ("right wing") explanation:

First, what do I mean by global salvationism? The salvationist doctrine has
two main strands, which originally were separate but have long since come
together to form an influential world-wide consensus. The first strand is
developmental salvationism, and relates to the economic fortunes of poor
countries. The second strand is environmental salvationism. In both strands,
two elements are combined. One is a relentlessly dark - not to say alarmist -
picture of recent trends, the present state of the world (or 'the planet'),
and prospects for the future unless prompt and far-reaching changes are made
in official policies. The second is a conviction that known effective remedies
exist for the various ills and threats thus identified, remedies which require
action on the part of governments and 'the international community'. 'Solutions'
are at hand, given wise collective resolves and actions. Global salvationism
thus combines alarmist visions and diagnoses with confidently radical collectivist
prescriptions for the world.
From a speech by David Henderson

http://www.staff.livjm.ac.uk/spsbpeis/David-Henderson.htm

All the best
harold

#759

Posted by: DAV | November 10, 2007 5:40 PM

"DAV. Fuck off."

Yep. Nothing like "intelligent" response to a reasonable observation, Steve_C. You poor thing. Feel better now? Thanks for providing more evidence for what I initially suspected.

#760

Posted by: phat | November 10, 2007 5:55 PM

I know, you have some righteous utopia that the State needs to impose for the good of us all. Though the transition might be difficult, well all be happy when we achieve it.

We haven't heard that before. (Yes, Yes I am sure this time its different)

Its always fun to argue with ideologues, but the fundies are probably the best. Many of them also have some version of utopia where by State imposition people will go to church and lead a clean moral life. With the virtual elimination of crime, hedonism, family break ups, out of wedlock births, etc the benefits to society would be enormous.

Though you don't recognize it, you are a different face of the same coin. Your goals are no more righteous, or well intentioned then theirs. But the means to those ends are equally as dangerous. (At least in the long run)

More with the jokes.

phat

#761

Posted by: DAV | November 10, 2007 6:00 PM

"And guess what? This isn't a climatology blog. So why are you even here? You're just another troll drive-by, one of so many."

Not a climatology blog??!! No kidding??!! Not a science blog either from the looks of it.

Gee I wonder why PZ was referring to "deniers" and expressing his opinion on climate at all. Maybe he just never expected any response because his loyal followers NEVER hold differing opinions? Weird.

As to what I'm doing here is quite simple. The real reason behind the Blog Contest is to provide a kind of advertisement for the various blogs. I've been going around to the various science ones and came across some that I really liked. This one has gotten quite a reputation after the poor loser invectives spewed forth. No need to take my word for it. Go google for some of the sites commenting on the behavior here.

I was kinda hoping they were wrong and decided to see for myself. Seems they were right, though.

Don't worry your little brain over it, sweetie. I'm not sticking around. I really don't need to be stepping in what comes out of your mouths.

Bye, Bye, kids!

#762

Posted by: ChemBob | November 10, 2007 6:20 PM

JePe,

I read the 1st 3 pages of that paper and encountered nothing but an apparently neverending rant against the IPCC with only a mention of the "bad" data. It was nothing but an industry propaganda piece and I'd be stunned if it had ever been impartially peer-reviewed. The author wants to address bias and begins with complete bias on his part. FYI, real scientic journal articles are not written in that format. It was written for people exactly like you, the sort who think that Limbaugh and O'Reilly actually do research and present their viewers with facts. You need to broaden your science reading to include actual science.

#763

Posted by: Steve_C | November 10, 2007 7:14 PM

Woohoo! My potty mouth works!

Crackpot denialists.

#764

Posted by: Jordan | November 10, 2007 8:13 PM

Whoopee!!! We've got to over 750 on this thread.

That's if we ignore the diluation of quality, since as much as 50% appear to be the spambot Machine telling everybody to effoff. Thank god for cut and paste!

On dilution of value, I seem to recall wildlifer's foray into CA in recent months. Wildlifer offered a number of abrasive assertions but nothing of substance. Seems to be the way of things around here.

Great for CA to have won the poll, but on reflection not such a big deal given the level of the competition.

I better effoff before the effin spambot Machine tells me to effoff and adds to the amazing number of posts.

#765

Posted by: Michael X | November 10, 2007 8:25 PM

"You do understand the difference between a disagreement with a position (even if, as you tendentiously put it, it is an off base misinterpretation) and a stupid ad hominem about posting habits, don't you?"

Of course I do. That's why I went on to discuss the matter then at hand in that very same post. I'm sure you of all people can understand such rhetorical schemes as our entire conversation went: A slam and an argument, an argument and a slam, etc.

#766

Posted by: J. Peden | November 10, 2007 8:52 PM

If water is a "much greater greenhouse gas" it can't be a negative feedback loop. You just contradicted yourself.

No,as you say, water vapor is in fact a much greater greenhouse gas - much greater than CO2, given the same molecular/atomic mechanisms, and concentrations. So the more relevant question, perhaps, is why we have not had run-away atmospheric warming due to water vapor physics.

Something is stopping it.

#767

Posted by: Bob Cormack | November 10, 2007 9:14 PM

Posted by: efrique | November 8, 2007 7:00 PM:

"I worry about America (how did you guys ever get people on the moon?), and as a result I worry for us all."

Not to worry -- engineering isn't science, it is much more reality based.

Scientists couldn't have done it (go to the Moon); and they won't be able to do anything about global warming.

For instance, regarding CO2 emissions: an engineer might recommend we put out the coal fires in China and Indonesia. This would be straightforward (technically, and probably politically as well), and would have an order of magnitude more effect than Kyoto (whatever that might be), even if the Kyoto goals were being met (which they aren't). Climate scientists will keep insisting that we must revamp our whole economic system (something else they don't understand -- but hey! If it wasn't in their PhD syllabus, how hard could it be?).

Oh, and keep throwing more money at climate research!

To have a successful career, scientists only have to convince their peers that they are right -- engineers have to be right. Good engineers have attitudes more like Francois O's -- skeptical about all untested claims -- than PZ's -- I'm right, so F.O.! (BTY, would that be the Francois O Bochud who has published in the optical journals?)

#768

Posted by: Onias | November 10, 2007 9:43 PM

Bob Carmack, your post is absurd rubbish and you should be ashamed of yourself. You haven't a clue what you're talking about, do you? Honestly, fess up.

#769

Posted by: Gary | November 10, 2007 10:27 PM

The reason for so many new posts from people who agree with the outdated views of this site is simple.
Links to this site are being all over the net as an illistration of how completely out of touch with reality most AGW cultists have become.
I see what they mean.
People! Its almost 2008. The world has been accepted as round for years now. DDT has been proven harmless, the Ozone hole was found to be natural and the great ice Age never came.
Your religeous devotion to this dying cult is really pathetic.
I will of course post links to here where ever I can to make sure everyone sees the true depth of the AGW cult.

Cheers:

#770

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 10, 2007 10:34 PM

"DDT has been proven harmless"

Not to birds of prey, you clueless twit.

#771

Posted by: ChemBob | November 10, 2007 10:39 PM

Ok, Cormack, so engineering is totally separate from science is it? My God (if you existed), aren't you trolls the most ignorant bunch of verbose crap on whom I've ever wasted my time. All of engineering is merely the application of scientific theories and discoveries, you ignoramuses!

I bet none of you have ever done any actual science, e.g., come up with new and testable ideas and concepts to explain reality and then tested them to see if they or the alternative hypotheses are superior. My guess is that if you've ever done any engineering it was while playing with your toy choo choo trains as children. You've no concept or understanding of anything that you post, you are completely out of touch with any meaningful definition of reality, and yet you think you are intellectual giants of some sort.

It is sad and sickening to me to realize that I have to share a world with intellectually lazy and dishonest dolts like you who have no goals other than hanging on to their chests of gold like they are your Savior while smugly believing you've won arguments when you are not even in the fight. You are truly depressing and serve primarily as individual indictments of the elementary and secondary school systems and the failure of the mass media in this country to provide factual information and impart the ability to think rationally and clearly.

#772

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 10, 2007 10:45 PM

"DDT has been proven harmless"

Rachel Carson is rolling in her grave (metaphorically speaking).

"AGW cultists" -

We are mainstream, you doofus.

YOU are the cultists.

Time Magazine in 2006:
A large majority of Americans -- 85% -- say global warming is probably happening, according to a new TIME magazine/ABC News/Stanford University poll. An even larger percentage (88%) think global warming threatens future generations. More than half (60%) say it threatens them a great deal; 38% feel that global warming is already a serious problem, and 47% feel that it will be in the future.
[..]
Six in ten Americans (62%) think much can be done to curb global warming and 52% favor government mandates. A majority (61%) say they would support a government mandate on lowering power plant emissions, and 87% support tax breaks to develop water, wind and solar power. But 81% oppose higher taxes on electricity, 68% oppose higher gasoline taxes and 56% oppose giving companies tax breaks to build nuclear power plants.

#773

Posted by: phat | November 10, 2007 11:03 PM

This thread is still entertaining. I don't know why!

phat

#774

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 10, 2007 11:13 PM

What do these idiots offer as an explanation for the hockey stick if they don't believe it is the result of our influences on the environment?

Do they think that our industrial society - which has been going full-tilt for more than a century - has no influence on the environment?

I don't understand how they could think that.

It seems they want to discount all that we have done to change our environment - pretend that the earth and atmosphere can absorb all that abuse and remain fundamentally in the same, age-old patterns.

That doesn't seem likely.

What is most scary is that they are hindering positive action on climate change.

That is bound to have a human cost!

#775

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 10, 2007 11:30 PM

Oh, I forgot, "there are public health benefits to climate change."

Any denialists out there want to explain some of the theoretical health and environmental benefits of climate change?

#776

Posted by: Robin Levett | November 10, 2007 11:33 PM

J Peden:

...So the more relevant question, perhaps, is why we have not had run-away atmospheric warming due to water vapor physics.

Something is stopping it.

Rain.

#777

Posted by: phat | November 10, 2007 11:41 PM

Cal:

The thing is about denialists and any sort of human harm is a little bit difficult to figure out.

But I suspect (and Robert Altemeyer's research points to this) that it doesn't much matter to them either way. It strikes me at this point to consider if this climate crisis weren't human influenced. Would they be arguing against mitigating the damage anyway? I suspect so. Given a perfect set of tools that we could use to mitigate the problems caused by this crisis, with some cost of course and the savings of lives and property, I suspect they would chose not to do anything about it.

They either adhere to this perverted obsession with "the market" or an obsession with religious dogma.

None of the potential, and likely, serious human suffering matters to them.

phat

#778

Posted by: phat | November 10, 2007 11:44 PM

Oh, and I forgot to add this. The evidence that shows that human activity is making the situation worse just causes them even more fits. That causes their ideology to get even more tweaked.

phat

#779

Posted by: Gary | November 10, 2007 11:46 PM

Rachel Carson is rolling in her grave....

And well she should. She was an idiot. And very much responsible for millions of deaths in Aftrica from malaria.
(But they don't count do they, they are just africans after all)
And Cult is the correct term. It's just a big cult.
There are going to be a lot of depressed people when this all blows over, (soon) their great noble cause to save the world will be shown to be nothing more than a devious political scam.
Enjoy it while you can. GW will turn to GC soon enough and all this silly nonsense will be laughed at.

Remember the words of the main architect of the Kyoto Protocol (Maurice Strong) in the late 80s:
"Isn't the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn't it our responsibility to bring that about?"

His dream is close to reality. AGW cultists are working hard to make it come true.

#780

Posted by: wildlifer | November 10, 2007 11:48 PM

Before he fucked off, Jordan quipped:

On dilution of value, I seem to recall wildlifer's foray into CA in recent months. Wildlifer offered a number of abrasive assertions but nothing of substance. Seems to be the way of things around here.

Nutjob creationists always find the truth abrasive.

#781

Posted by: ChemBob | November 10, 2007 11:56 PM

CalGeorge,

It seems to me that many of them bring up money, taxes, fear of government, and not wanting anything that might cause them to have to alter their lifestyles (as vapid and unfulfilling as their life-styles appear to be); typical right-wing talking points. Also they seem to suffer from a self-indulgent pretense that they are better educated than they actually are. Not one of the accepted my challenge to show us a peer-reviewed environmental science paper that they authored.

They also are highly subject to finding an "authority" that spouts verbiage that is in coherence with their thoughts on certain issues, no matter how ludicrous they and the authority figure are with respect to evidence and reason (sort of like religion, imho) and appear to be John Dean's authoritarian followers (or however he put it).

We are sadly saddled with the fact that half of the IQs are below average among our fellow persons. However, I can't imagine how far below 100 they have to be to retain the foolish belief systems we've witnessed in this thread (and a few others). I'm sure you noticed, as did I, that no matter the facts or the logic, they could not be persuaded about anything, not one iota. I, on the other hand, not only can be persuaded that there are mistakes in climate change science, I'm certain there are mistakes. However, as we know on this blog, the discovery of mistakes and their correction and refinement of hypotheses are what science is all about. With regard to climate change, although I'm not an expert in the field, it seems pretty apparent that the preponderance of evidence leads to the ineluctable conclusion that it is indeed happening. Our trolls don't seem to even understand the multiple lines of evidence beyond the hockey sticks.

I'm tired and rambling. Goodnight all.

#782

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 12:01 AM

And very much responsible for millions of deaths in Aftrica from malaria.

Oh, fer crying out loud, not this bullshit topic!

You people are sponges for all kinds of wacko theories!

#783

Posted by: Stanton | November 11, 2007 12:02 AM

Gary, if DDT is harmless, then, why is it that ever since DDT was used and manufactured in Southern California, all bald eagles that try to live in the wilds of coastal Southern California die?

Does the giant pool of DDT that lies beneath the waters at the base of the cliffs of Palos Verdes have anything to do with this phenomenon?

#784

Posted by: Stanton | November 11, 2007 12:04 AM

Also, Gary, are you aware that there are several strains of insects, including mosquitoes, that are resistant, and or even immune to the effects of DDT?

#785

Posted by: ChemBob | November 11, 2007 12:07 AM

One more quick thing:

Gary, don't be an idiot. It's not environmental scientists who are destroying the industrial bases of this and several other countries, it's the neoconservative fascists enabled by the sexually-closeted and repressed religious fanatics who want to impose some sort of Religio-Corporate servitude on everyone who's not in their club. I actually work with many industries on their environmental issues. I don't know any of them who are as anti-enviroment as you and your troll squad seem to be. How old are you, 20? You probably don't even remember the burning rivers and the intense city smogs, do you?

You are sickeningly ignorant. Go enroll in a college or a university, I beg of you.

#786

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 12:08 AM

GW will turn to GC soon enough and all this silly nonsense will be laughed at.

How is that going to happen, exactly?

Is Stevie really going to convert the world to his pet theory?

I'm having a hard time envisioning how this great awakening is going to take place?

Will Exxon flood the airwaves with commercials for Steve's "brilliant" deconstructions of Al Gore's presentations?

Give me a break.

#787

Posted by: J. Peden | November 11, 2007 1:10 AM

Will Exxon flood the airwaves with commercials for Steve's "brilliant" deconstructions of Al Gore's presentations?

No one has to be too brilliant to deconstruct Al Gore's presentations.

#788

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 1:39 AM

These denialists people are nutty. They complain mightily about the manipulation of statistics by scientists but they are more than happy to provide their own anecdotal evidence for what is happening to the climate, based on the temperature where they live.

From Climate Science blog:

1) Harold

Here are the results of analysis of the temperature records from the lighthouse at Quatsino, BC, which is located on the West Coast of Vancouver Island

[some data from the beginning and end of the last century]

These data speak for themselves, as they always do, and they say: No change in the mean daily minimum temperature at and around the Spring Equinox at the Quatsino Station for a century.

Absolute truth is in the treasure chests (filling cabinets with temp records) of the lighthouses.

Absolute truth? Really, Harold? Are you going to show the world that global warming is not happening by amassing lots of Canadian light house temperature data?

At least he stopped shot of drawing a conclusion about global warming based on the data he got from that one lighthouse. He deserves credit for that. Maybe there's hope for Harold.

2) Bruce Hall

Although I do not have access to the exact location of the stations reporting the higher readings, I suspect that they are situated such that the late afternoon sun is baking them in a way that significantly raises the temperature readings. In both instances, the maximum temperature difference occurred around 6 p.m. with a bright sun. Right now one of the reporting stations is still 3 degrees higher while the other is one degree higher than my thermometer which suggests that there may be residual heating from pavement or buildings. The one that agreed with my thermometer earlier is about 2 degrees below mine now, but that may be because of the slight residual heat in my porch while the one lower than mine probably is located completely outdoors. Obviously, there may be calibration issues as well, but the directional differences are very obvious.

There's no hope for Bruce. Completely, certifiably nuts!

#789

Posted by: J. Peden | November 11, 2007 2:03 AM

Obviously, nuclear energy is the way to go, that is, if you think the World is going to die otherwise from fossil fuel CO2. So why do the Kyoto Protocols exclude countries containing 5 billion of the the World's 6.5 billion people from having to follow them, thus allowing fossil fuel use - and massive increase - to run ad lib in places like India and China?

You've made your bed, now sleep in it.

#790

Posted by: phat | November 11, 2007 2:12 AM

No one has to be too brilliant to deconstruct Al Gore's presentations.

You should be just the man to do it then.

phat

#791

Posted by: Jordan | November 11, 2007 2:16 AM

Creationist? Not me wildlifer! That's just another example of your abrasive assertions.

So where did you and spambot woof machine get your degrees in Applied Arrogance?

Anyways, I reckon I know what your problem is: you guys have no credibility. And that means no authority.

Go ahead, tell me to effoff if you want. No cred.

#792

Posted by: David | November 11, 2007 2:23 AM

1. Much of the Sun's output is in the Infrared range. More CO2 in our atmosphere means that more infrared gets reflected back into space. I'm sorry that some of you seem to think that the word reflected only applies to visible light.

2. Water vapor overpowers and negates anything that the measly 0.038% of CO2 in our atmosphere can do. If most of the greenhouse effect comes from the visible spectrum, and heat leads to more water vapor, and water vapor reflects visible spectrum back into space, then the earth will cool.

3. My phrase that everyone worships something is true. If you don't understand symbolic analogy, I cannot help you. The line between genius and retarded is very thin for many of you. Get a hold of your Aspergers and take a deep breath.

4. Green movements are mostly socialist movements. This isn't Rush Limbaughisms, this is truth. I'll give examples: The Green Party is as close to a socialist party as one can get. Earth day sprang from the hippie commune movements (commune ~= socialist/communist). The WWF, Sierra Club, and Greenpeace are all far left organizations. IMHO, this is clear as mud when you start looking into who is behind them and what they support.

5. High taxation is only a small part of socialism, nobody has said otherwise that I know of.

#793

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 2:23 AM

Obviously, nuclear energy is the way to go, that is, if you think the World is going to die otherwise from fossil fuel CO2.

How many of them do you want to see built?

In the U.S., a couple hundred of them should do the trick.

Where do you want 'em?

#794

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 2:31 AM

Earth day sprang from the hippie commune movements (commune ~= socialist/communist).

I don't think Gaylord Nelson, U.S. Senator from Wisconsin, was a hippie.

Wikipedia:

The story goes that Earth Day was conceived by Senator Gaylord Nelson after a trip he took to Santa Barbara right after that horrific oil spill off our coast in 1969. He was so outraged by what he saw that he went back to Washington and passed a bill designating April 22 as a national day to celebrate the earth.

Any thoughts about Arbor Day?

#795

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 2:55 AM

Water vapor overpowers and negates anything that the measly 0.038% of CO2 in our atmosphere can do. If most of the greenhouse effect comes from the visible spectrum, and heat leads to more water vapor, and water vapor reflects visible spectrum back into space, then the earth will cool.

Quoting from How to Talk to a Climate Skeptic:

...any artificial perturbation in water vapour concentrations is too short lived to change the climate. Too much in the air will quickly rain out, not enough and the abundant ocean surface will provide the difference via evaporation. But once the air is warmed by other means, H2O concentrations will rise and stay high, thus providing the feedback.

And here's a study that says Water Vapor Feedback Is Rapidly Warming Europe.

#796

Posted by: Zarquon | November 11, 2007 3:12 AM

1. Much of the Sun's output is in the Infrared range. More CO2 in our atmosphere means that more infrared gets reflected back into space. I'm sorry that some of you seem to think that the word reflected only applies to visible light.

Nope:

The spectrum of solar radiation is close to that of a black body with a temperature of about 5800 K. About half of the radiation is in the visible short-wave part of the electromagnetic spectrum.

The Earth's surface absorbs this visible light and re-radiates it as IR. Some of the re-radiated IR heats up the atmosphere due to R absorption by greenhouse gases. You don't seem to understand this basic point.



2. Water vapor overpowers and negates anything that the measly 0.038% of CO2 in our atmosphere can do.

Negates? What does the water do? Give off negative energy? Water and CO2 absorb in different IR bands. That's why there's a positive feedback.

If you don't understand the pretty basic physics of what is happening (and you obviously don't) you should try getting a better education.

#797

Posted by: phat | November 11, 2007 3:24 AM

4. Green movements are mostly socialist movements. This isn't Rush Limbaughisms, this is truth. I'll give examples: The Green Party is as close to a socialist party as one can get. Earth day sprang from the hippie commune movements (commune ~= socialist/communist). The WWF, Sierra Club, and Greenpeace are all far left organizations. IMHO, this is clear as mud when you start looking into who is behind them and what they support.

You're killing me, seriously. Hollywood couldn't write this stuff.

"Clear as mud," that phrase, you use it, but I do not think it means what you think it means.

You're right though, that senator George Perkins was a real socialist. You've got that point going for you.

phat

#798

Posted by: J. Peden | November 11, 2007 3:36 AM

CalGeorge: I'll take a few nuclear plants in my backyard. It's no problem. France has about 1 plant per million. We've got about 1 plant per 3 million. We simply have to go nuclear. I've about given up on alternative energy, although I am probably more energy efficient and alternative than 99.9% of people in the U.S.: I have no electricty in my house in the Summer. I heat with wood in the Winter and Summer, when needed. I can get all my hot water from wood for the major part of the year.

Look, you can't even get people to drive slower, which would conserve energy proportional to v squared. Driving at 50 mph uses 1/2 of the gas compared to driving at 70 mph.

Coal supplies about 50% of our electricity. If you want to get off coal and oil, you have to go nuclear.

Then the environmentalists want to tear down the hydroelectric dams, to save the Salmon, for example.

I say, give it up and go nuclear. I've been hearing and struggling with alt. energy and conservation for nearly 40 years, and I just don't think it's going to work, given energy demands and human nature.

#799

Posted by: Brian Macker | November 11, 2007 8:16 AM

1. Much of the Sun's output is in the Infrared range. More CO2 in our atmosphere means that more infrared gets reflected back into space. I'm sorry that some of you seem to think that the word reflected only applies to visible light.

No, David, CO2 absorbs infrared and at particular bandwidths only.

The different temperatures of the earth and sun mean that their black body radiation is at different frequencies also.

Furthermore, technically reflection occurs a the interface of two different media. If I recall correctly the boundary between space and our atmosphere is not sharp enough in relationship with the wavelengths involved for reflection to occur.

So what happens is that radition does enter the atmosphere and is absorbed by CO2 and reradiated. Half that reradiation continues in an earthward direction. So it does end up warming the atmosphere by some percent.

All that increasing CO2 does is move that net warming upwards in the atmosphere.

2. Water vapor overpowers and negates anything that the measly 0.038% of CO2 in our atmosphere can do. If most of the greenhouse effect comes from the visible spectrum, and heat leads to more water vapor, and water vapor reflects visible spectrum back into space, then the earth will cool.

No, it's additive. Again, no reflection. In the case of visible light no absorption, reradition, or reflection.

3. My phrase that everyone worships something is true.
Oh, please. Not everyone worships something. That's just silly. People may hold their beliefs dogmatically in this area but that doesn't mean they are worshiping them.
If you don't understand symbolic analogy, I cannot help you.
Well I've heard of analogy but why add the qualifier "symbolic". Why can't you help me, you not understand it yourself?
The line between genius and retarded is very thin for many of you. Get a hold of your Aspergers and take a deep breath.
Well you see since I don't believe what you are claiming I'll take it that I'm one of your targets.
4. Green movements are mostly socialist movements. This isn't Rush Limbaughisms, this is truth. I'll give examples: The Green Party is as close to a socialist party as one can get. Earth day sprang from the hippie commune movements (commune ~= socialist/communist). The WWF, Sierra Club, and Greenpeace are all far left organizations. IMHO, this is clear as mud when you start looking into who is behind them and what they support. Most of the original conservationist movements were started on the right. Sure many of the newer environmental organizations are leftist. Doesn't mean they are wrong about the science. Usually means they are wrong on the solutions however, and usually means they overblow the problem in order to justify their policies.

Clear as mud?

5. High taxation is only a small part of socialism, nobody has said otherwise that I know of.
Didn't read all the comments. Don't know if you did. So can't tell if your sentence is true. Yes, taxation is a small part of socialism.
#800

Posted by: ChemBob | November 11, 2007 8:17 AM

J. Peden, I'm neither pro nor antinuclear as many are, there are both good and bad arguments for nuclear, but here are some of my thoughts on what you've mentioned:

Nuclear power is expensive in this country and is currently highly subsidized by the government. What are you willing to pay in increased taxes (because the corporations won't let their subsidies lapse)? Are you willing to have the extremely radioactive waste stored in your back yard too? Fortunately there is some good research (science, wouldn't you know) going on regarding future designs that will fully deplete the radioactivity. Will be ready in perhaps 20-30 years was the estimate I heard.

Heating your house with wood is more harmful to the environment than using the power from natural gas (in particular) and coal-fired electricity (provided the power company is meeting its air emission permit requirements; this will be even more true when carbon sequestration is in place). Don't get me wrong, I'm no lover of coal, but I am a realist. Wood was fine at low world population levels, but not so much at those we have now. Fires, such as those recently in CA, are natural (usually), but also not particularly beneficial to human civilization and health. I must say though that I admire your intent to minimize your personal environmental impact.

With regard to driving, indeed people won't slow down very easily. Plus, do we really want our economy slowed down by delaying people and products? What we need in that regard are at least two things: 1) CAFE standards that force greatly improved fuel economy, 2) much better mass transit both within urban areas and between urban centers, 3) a reduction in urban sprawl to reduce the requisite travel distances; this would be accompanied by increasing the remediation/reuse of Brownfields in blighted and underused urban areas. OK, so I came up with three things rather than two.

Hydroelectric dams can't supply all our electrical needs, but dams can be designed to improve the situation for salmon runs, etc.

We could have bought massive amounts of oil from the middle east, Venezuela, etc., and, in the meantime, been making huge investments in massive solar, wind, tidal power, etc., with the trillion+ dollars we've spent in Iraq on nothing. Then we could have sold our technology to the rest of the world and helped rebuild our industrial/technological base.

Most scientists want to move forward on these and other similar fronts (I could have gone on); it is the Luddites, the neoconservatives, and the radical religiosos who are against change. This is because they fear everything except reality, which they do not understand due to their inane beliefs in phantom powers that rule everything. When one begins to accept such beliefs it damages one's judgment about virtually everything.

#801

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 8:38 AM

I'll take a few nuclear plants in my backyard.

Can we store the waste there, too? (I hope you don't live anywhere near me.)

Is there enough uranium available to power - for the long-term - all of these plants you want to build? I don't think so.

#802

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 9:20 AM

How amusing. Steve McIntyre and crew have one of the most important ideas of the 21st Century well in hand, and you, PZ, make jokes?

Soon, maybe next year, when it is obvious the globe is cooling, Steve will finally get credit.
====================================

#803

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 9:40 AM

Science Daily (Mar. 22, 2007)
Lack Of Fuel May Limit US Nuclear Power Expansion

That shortage of uranium and of processing facilities worldwide leaves a gap between the potential increase in demand for nuclear energy and the ability to supply fuel for it, said Dr. Thomas Neff, a research affiliate at MIT's Center for International Studies.
[...]
Currently, much of the uranium used by the United States is coming from mines in such countries as Australia, Canada, Namibia, and, most recently, Kazakhstan. Small amounts are mined in the western United States, but the United States is largely reliant on overseas supplies. The United States also relies for half its fuel on Russia under a "swords to ploughshares" deal that Neff originated in 1991. This deal is converting about 20,000 Russian nuclear weapons to fuel for U.S. nuclear power plants, but it ends in 2013, leaving a substantial supply gap for the United States.

Further, China, India, and even Russia have plans for massive deployments of nuclear power and are trying to lock up supplies from countries on which the United States has traditionally relied. As a result, the United States could be the "last one to buy, and it could pay the highest prices, if it can get uranium at all," Neff said. "The take-home message is that if we're going to increase use of nuclear power, we need massive new investments in capacity to mine uranium and facilities to process it."

I don't think we should be depending on nuclear to save us.

#804

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 9:49 AM

Soon, maybe next year, when it is obvious the globe is cooling, Steve will finally get credit.

Poor guy. Can't get no respect (except from a bunch of nuts).

I wonder why.

#805

Posted by: ChemBob | November 11, 2007 9:54 AM

Kim, perhaps you'd care to make a bullet point summary in a post explaining McIntyre's "most important ideas of the 21st Century." I'm always open to alternative scientific explanations, provided they are truly scientific and not just repeated talking points and/or propaganda. Then those explanations have to be compared to the other lines of evidence within that same context and examined with respect to current and past measurements and predictability.

If this is merely going to be another "hockey stick was wrong" discussion, please go ahead and post the relevant points (bullets, remember) that are causing you so much aggravation, but you must be aware that there are lots of lines of evidence that have to be examined. Not just that one. Also, don't just start harping on taxes and Socialism; those are not the topics really. Broaden your scientific perspective please, if one certain type of descriptive statistical plot is your sole focus.

#806

Posted by: Brian Macker | November 11, 2007 9:59 AM

"...any artificial perturbation in water vapour concentrations is too short lived to change the climate."
So what? Is anyone claiming that humans are ruining the environment by producing too much water vapor?
Too much in the air will quickly rain out, not enough and the abundant ocean surface will provide the difference via evaporation.

Dubious claims. What is too much and not enough mean? This is also misleading to the uninformed because it makes it sound like natural water vapor is a minor factor. It is not and it doesn't just "rain out". If it did then the claims of the next sentence would be moot.

A very poor attempt at trying to say that human contributions to water vapor don't matter in the extreme long run, which is absolutely true. Of course continuing contributions have an effect but are so tiny that they don't need to be considered.

Of course, no one cares about any of this. No one is talking about artificial water vapor concentrations having any important effect whatsoever. Everyone on the several sides of this issue are talking about natural water vapor, not artificial. So it's a straw man. Why waste our time.

But once the air is warmed by other means, H2O concentrations will rise and stay high, thus providing the feedback.

Well, while it's true that water vapor in the atmosphere is exculsively a greenhouse gas this is only a half truth in that increased water vapor may mean increased cloud cover which does reflect insolation. Water in the atmosphere is better thought of as a buffer gas, like sodium bicarbonate is a buffer for PH.

Of course, increased CO2 is going to cause increased temps all other things being equal. There is no mechanism for it not to. The question is how important human contribution is, and whether the economic hardships caused by any attempt to abate the changes are worth it.

If temps would have increased by 5 degrees anyway and we can change that to 4.98 degrees while destroying our economies then what's the point? Further, if after the 5 degree increase the temperature was due to decrease by 10 degrees as we exited the interglacial then maybe the increased CO2 might be a good thing.

What certain is that superhurricane, mega droughts, and tidal waves aren't going to destroy the country. Like the movie "The Day After Tomorrow". I'm still pissed that this movie got my mom all upset over nothing. She called me because she thought this was based on science. I had to tell her it was nonsense. It required quite a bit of explaining that made certain scientists look quite bad.

Some people seem to think that any lie and any behavior is moral for a good cause. I just happen to think this kind of thinking is foolish.

Yes, it's quite probable that human action is having an upward effect on temperature. No, it's not the end of the world. No, trying to limit our consumption of oil etc. will not reduce oil consumption in total. Simple economic fact. It will merely raise our production costs which will just restructure the economy so that others who don't restrict their consumption will pick up the slack and use the oil instead. Of course, now in a less efficient manner since they are not as capitalized as we are. If you don't understand that then all I can say is get educated.

I don't understand why some people can understand when Dawkins explains mechanisms that undermine group selection, like migration and mutation, but cannot then understand mechanisms that undermine socialistic policy prescriptions. Often to the extent that they are totally ineffectual.

It requires guns and military and economic might to enforce reduced oil consumption on the unwilling. Those things tend to be less effective when you are rolling around on bicycles instead of tanks, and living hand to mouth instead of in prosperity. How do those who advocate reduced consumption plan to force this on the unwilling without increased oil consumption? War is a costly thing, and who's going to police broke energy treaties?

First step is you have to honestly convince people there is such a serious problem, and you've failed at that step. Then you have to overcome human nature, but to try to do so might cause more carbon emmissions than just doing nothing.

#807

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 11, 2007 10:01 AM

I haven't read the last 100 comments... I'm just saying:

http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2007/11/sokald.php

Also, at the present speed of consumption (or rather at the speed of a few years ago), there's enough uranium for the next 60 years, and of course the speed of consumption is supposed to increase drastically. Either people figure out how to make a viable brood reactor, or nuclear energy won't last much longer than the oil.

We need alternatives anyway. We might as well invest real money into the research now.

#808

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 11, 2007 10:11 AM

Of course, increased CO2 is going to cause increased temps all other things being equal. There is no mechanism for it not to. The question is how important human contribution is, and whether the economic hardships caused by any attempt to abate the changes are worth it.

Therein lies the rub. We have no idea on what the "economic hardships" would actually be.

Many of them would be an investment anyway. Better insulation for buildings means lower costs for heating and cooling, with lower CO2 emissions as a nice side effect.

#809

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 10:13 AM

ChemBob, a simple idea, really. That carbon is not the culprit.

Have you read Gerlich and Tscheuschner? Or are you too busy with taxes and socialism?
===========================

#810

Posted by: Brian Macker | November 11, 2007 10:19 AM

David,

A big "So what?". You don't think there are idiot environmentalists out there who are suckers? Remember the "Ban Dihydrogen Monoxide" scam. I'm well aware that Rush Limbaugh is not a source for good science. I abhor his tactics as much as I do those on the left.

#811

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 10:20 AM

Oh, sorry, CB, I note you asked for alternative explanations. It's clouds, my dear man, which are determined by cosmic rays, determined by the earth's magnetic field, determined by that of the sun, determined by the wiggle of the sun around the gravitational center of the solar system. Google Svensmark, and CERN.

I think I've never heard so loud,
The quiet message in a cloud.
=========================

#812

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 10:35 AM

Broaden my perspective. Hah, he wants me to broaden my perspective. Honey, if my perspective were any broader it would be so thin as to disappear.
==================================

#813

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 10:38 AM

And listen, childe, if you continue to sacrifice my virgins for your superstitions, there are gonna be consequences. Everytime the Gorebellied Fool opens his mouth, somewhere something sentient freezes. Not good karma, me boy.
=================================

#814

Posted by: JePe | November 11, 2007 10:57 AM

@Chembob #762

I read the 1st 3 pages of that paper and encountered nothing but an apparently neverending rant against the IPCC with only a mention of the "bad" data. It was nothing but an industry propaganda piece and I'd be stunned if it had ever been impartially peer-reviewed. The author wants to address bias and begins with complete bias on his part. FYI, real scientic journal articles are not written in that format. It was written for people exactly like you, the sort who think that Limbaugh and O'Reilly actually do research and present their viewers with facts. You need to broaden your science reading to include actual science.


In all fairness, you should read the whole paper, instead of starting to rant and dismiss it as a piece of propaganda because it does not fit your believe-system.

Check the references, point out where the author is wrong, substantiate your allegations.

And please refrain from stupid remarks like:
"It was written for people exactly like you, the sort who think that Limbaugh and O'Reilly actually do research and present their viewers with facts. You need to broaden your science reading to include actual science."

It makes you look stupid, not me.


#815

Posted by: Jepe | November 11, 2007 11:13 AM

@Kim #811

I think I've never heard so loud,
The quiet message in a cloud.

GREAT!

#816

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 11:17 AM

What certain is that superhurricane, mega droughts, and tidal waves aren't going to destroy the country.

Water shortages will have a significant impact.

In California, we are going to lose a lot of the storage that happens in the Sierras.

From a California DWR report:
The ability of the SWP and the CVP to meet the water demands of its customers and the environment depends heavily on the accumulation of winter mountain snow melting into spring and summer runoff. A warming planet may reduce this natural water storage mechanism. Projected increases in air temperature may lead to changes in the timing, amount and form of precipitation - rain or snow, changes in runoff timing and volume, sea level rise effects on Delta water quality, and changes in the amount of irrigation water needed due to modified evapotranspiration rates.

I'm thankful that planners in California are working on these climate-related problems so that people will not face shortages in future.

Thank goodness they don't have the cavalier attitude that you bring to the subject of climate change.

#817

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 11, 2007 11:34 AM

Be careful with terminology. Temperatures are far from unprecedented. Global mean temperature anomaly is very likely to be unprecedented in 400 years, and might or might not be unprecedented in a thousand years or longer. It depends how you interpret the error bars and whether you're willing to compare values between different time sources of data for which the conversion factors are uncertain.

What do you mean by "global mean temperature anomaly"? I'm talking about the global mean annual temperature.

For the speed of the warming, I don't have references, because that's the first time I see someone doubting it. But I'm sure a few hours in realclimate.org must find something.

No,as you say, water vapor is in fact a much greater greenhouse gas - much greater than CO2, given the same molecular/atomic mechanisms, and concentrations. So the more relevant question, perhaps, is why we have not had run-away atmospheric warming due to water vapor physics.

Something is stopping it.

Yes, but it isn't your ignorance. It is the fact that water vapor condenses and rains out. CO2 doesn't do that.

If it got so hot that it wouldn't rain anymore, we would have a runaway greenhouse effect. But making it that hot isn't easy. 55 million years ago, the poles had a subtropical climate, and there still was no runaway greenhouse effect.

For instance, regarding CO2 emissions: an engineer might recommend we put out the coal fires in China and Indonesia.

(Ah, Indonesia too?)

Yes, there are lots of huge coal-seam fires in China, and their combined emissions are impressive. I agree they should be put out.

This would be straightforward (technically, and probably politically as well),

Politically it would be, of course. Technically it doesn't seem to be; many are huge. Small ones are being put out in China all the time.

On the other hand, I have yet to see evidence that putting them out alone would have a sufficiently large effect.

I also wonder where your "revamp the whole economic system" strawman comes from. We "merely" need to find a substitute for oil.

To have a successful career, scientists only have to convince their peers that they are right -- engineers have to be right.

Argument form ignorance. Science consists of testing hypotheses. Against what? Against reality.

Ever seen a university from the inside?

Rachel Carson is rolling in her grave....

And well she should. She was an idiot. And very much responsible for millions of deaths in Aftrica from malaria.

Argument from ignorance. The mosquitos were already evolving resistance. Keeping on spraying would have killed the non-resistant ones and would have left the resistant ones to spread completely unchecked. Restricting the spraying made the competitive disadvantages of the resistant ones visible.

Also, never mind the fact that many countries have never outlawed DDT completely. It's still being used in plenty of places, even though not on such large scales. Yet again we have an ignoramus who believes there's no difference between the USA and the world (and can't even read Wikipedia, let alone the sources it cites).

the Ozone hole was found to be natural

Wrong. Go back to reading.

and the great ice Age never came.

You are right on that one. You have overlooked that since the late 80s no serious climatologists believed that the next ice age would come soon. All evidence that ever existed for it was 1) the tiny cooling of the 70s and 80s, which was due to sulfur dioxide emissions, and 2) mistakes about the durations of previous interglacials.

Enjoy it while you can. GW will turn to GC soon enough

No. If the CO2 concentration had never increased above preindustrial values, the next ice age would start in 50,000 years and have a glacial maximum in 100,000 years. I posted the reference about 100 comments above this one.

So why do the Kyoto Protocols exclude countries containing 5 billion of the the World's 6.5 billion people from having to follow them, thus allowing fossil fuel use - and massive increase - to run ad lib in places like India and China?

That's diplomacy for you. "Politics is the art of the feasible".

It's also hypocrisy for you. Coal fires included, the US emissions are still way above those of China.

Incidentally, a few years ago China introduced fuel economy standards for cars that were higher than those the USA had at the same time. I don't know what has changed since... I do know that by European standards a large part of US cars would have to be taken off the road, and yet we still survive on this side of the Big Pond, somehow.

1. Much of the Sun's output is in the Infrared range. More CO2 in our atmosphere means that more infrared gets reflected back into space. I'm sorry that some of you seem to think that the word reflected only applies to visible light.

Hey, look, an argument from ignorance. How unusual!

1) Much of the sun's output is in the short-wave IR range where CO2 doesn't absorb.
2) That's right: it doesn't reflect, it absorbs. In the process it heats up, and then it distributes the heat to neighboring air molecules by ordinary heat conduction.

2. Water vapor overpowers and negates anything that the measly 0.038% of CO2 in our atmosphere can do. If most of the greenhouse effect comes from the visible spectrum, and heat leads to more water vapor, and water vapor reflects visible spectrum back into space, then the earth will cool.

What do you mean "overpowers and negates"? Water vapor is ephemeral. Evaporation and condensation happen all the time, and in different places. CO2 is distributed evenly in space and time -- except that it started increasing over time in the late 19th century and has been doing so at an accelerated rate lately. Water vapor concentrations depend much more on temperature than the other way around.

Water vapor doesn't reflect anything. When it condenses, giving off the heat it took up in evaporation, it forms clouds, and those reflect light and IR. That works in both directions, which means that the effect of clouds on the climate is quite complicated and depends on things like height and time of day. But it is included at apparently sufficient complexity in the latest climate models, including those used in the latest IPCC report.

(commune ~= socialist/communist).

If you don't know the difference between socialism and communism, go read, and then come back...

BTW, I'm not aware of any country with an "Earth Day" other than the USA. And I live in two countries where one of the two biggest parties calls itself "Social-Democratic" and is mighty proud of that.

Dubious claims. What is too much and not enough mean?

For each temperature, air has a certain capacity of water vapor. Stay under it, and there'll be evaporation; reach it, and you'll see condensation. Don't tell me you didn't know that.

Yes, it's quite probable that human action is having an upward effect on temperature. No, it's not the end of the world.

Indeed not. It's only the end of Bangladesh, if it goes far enough. (Never mind southern Florida etc. etc. etc..)

It requires guns and military and economic might to enforce reduced oil consumption on the unwilling.

You wish. The oil is running out anyway, and its market price keeps increasing. In a few decades at the latest we'll need alternatives anyway.

#818

Posted by: Onias | November 11, 2007 11:36 AM

To all the libertarians out there: What would you spend your money on if it wasn't taken for carbon emissions reductions? A bigger car? Some nice jewellery? Seriously, fuck off, you're lucky you have a roof over your head and food on the table, you childish swine.

#819

Posted by: David Marjanović, OM | November 11, 2007 11:45 AM

David,

Which one?

A big "So what?". You don't think there are idiot environmentalists out there who are suckers?

Sure there are. For the record, there are also outright communistic environmentalists (not many, though -- remember that communism was about "the primacy of the economy" and meant heavy industry by "economy"). I just don't see what that tells about the reality of AGW.

Oh, sorry, CB, I note you asked for alternative explanations. It's clouds, my dear man, which are determined by cosmic rays, determined by the earth's magnetic field, determined by that of the sun, determined by the wiggle of the sun around the gravitational center of the solar system. Google Svensmark, and CERN.

Ah yeah. That was a very nice idea. What a shame it was wrong.

(That's not the last word either. Search that blog for "cosmic rays" and you'll find more.)

Everytime the Gorebellied Fool opens his mouth, somewhere something sentient freezes.

So what? What do I care about Gore? I haven't seen his movie -- there's nothing new in it as far as I can tell. No suprise, because Gore isn't a climatologist.

#820

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 11:46 AM

Thank you, jepe. I've been posting that couplet for years, back when I thought water vapor could be both a positive or a negative feedback depending on circumstances, and before I'd even heard about cosmic rays. Your's is the first favorable comment. Perhaps it is a couplet whose time has come.
===============================

#821

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 11:48 AM

DM. please don't give me RealCllimate. That is the echo chamber. And you, my good sir, are out of date about cosmic rays.
=========================

#822

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 11:53 AM

Hint, I suspect that cosmic rays come only in one flavor and energy level at RealClimate. Really.
================================

#823

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 11:54 AM

It requires guns and military and economic might to enforce reduced oil consumption on the unwilling.

Does this means that legislating higher fuel economy standards isn't on your list of possible solutions?

#824

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 11:57 AM

Oh great, Gore is not a climatologist, the Piltdown Mann is not a statistician. So, why the fuck do you believe these guys? The temperature is static for ten years while carbon dioxide rises. Do you not recognize the post hoc, ergo propter hoc fallacy? Might not it be coincidental the late 20th Century rise in temperature with the rise in CO2?

Look at the facts, folks. We are cooling. Explain that with greenhouse warming from carbon dioxide.
=========================

#825

Posted by: Onias | November 11, 2007 12:13 PM

First of all, I don't listen to Al Gore, I listen to climatologists who say the Earth is warming.

Second, the climatologists are using a technique called logical abduction, or inference to the best explaination. Look it up.

Third, you're a stupid troll and you deserve to be shot. Good day.

#826

Posted by: JePe | November 11, 2007 12:48 PM

@Kim #820

Your's is the first favorable comment. Perhaps it is a couplet whose time has come.

From what I have observed here on Pharyngula you won't get much approval from PZ Myers acolytes. In their mindset the science is settled, so all AGW skeptics must be stupid.

And because the science is settled they don't have to examine disproving evidence: they disqualify it beforehand as Chembob illustrated.

That's not a true scientific attitude but a religious one.

#827

Posted by: tomh | November 11, 2007 12:59 PM

JePe wrote: From what I have observed here on Pharyngula you won't get much approval from PZ Myers acolytes.

And yet you keep coming here spouting your ignorant nonsense. Unbelievable.

#828

Posted by: JePe | November 11, 2007 1:11 PM

tomh wrote:
And yet you keep coming here spouting your ignorant nonsense. Unbelievable.

If that's the only reply you can produce, you have proved my point!

#829

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 1:11 PM

Onias, you deserve a look at the evidence. climateaudit.org in case you missed something.
=========================

#830

Posted by: Steve_C | November 11, 2007 1:25 PM

Kim and JePe... Are you kidding me? We have tag teaming trolls now?

Take it to your echo chamber please. CA misses you. We will not.

#831

Posted by: Onias | November 11, 2007 1:25 PM

There's no evidence there, just pedantic quibbling.

#832

Posted by: ChemBob | November 11, 2007 1:28 PM

JePe and Kim,

I don't have time to read the article(s) at this point and trust me when I say that real scientific papers DO NOT begin with the first three pages as a political indictment of those with whom they disagree on the meanings of the data (as per JePe's article).

If you bothered to read my other posts, I stated quite clearly that I'm certain there ARE mistakes in portions of the climate science data and analysis, but those have to be considered in the context of the preponderance of the evidence. That is what science is all about, testing and refining or rejecting hypotheses. It is pointless anyway to argue over this aspect of a cloud or that aspect of a cosmic ray. Our brains (at least mine) can't possibly integrate all the possible combinations of atmospheric circumstances and derive probabilities. That is why real practicing climate scientists are working ceaselessly to develop and refine computer simulations and models of these data. That is why I asked both you and Kim for bullet points salient to your arguments from these papers that you toss about and how those points would overwhelm the data which indicate otherwise.

I just don't have any more time for this, so I will argue from authority knowing full well that is what I'm doing. Sometimes it is better to pay attention to an authority than a layperson and I suspect that is considerably more true when something like 99% of said authorities are in 90% statistical agreement about a topic.

I am a Senior Project Scientist and Project Manager for a corporation (gasp!) that assists other corporations, government agencies, even Native American tribes with environmental issues that they might encounter. My specialty is not climatology but, rather, soils, ground water and surface water, in particular with regard to contaminant transport, fate, and remediation. In prior parts of my career 35 year career I've worked with some of the smartest people imaginable, both at USEPA and within the US national laboratory system (Los Alamos in particular). I don't have the time to waste with you (I've already terribly overdone it) unless you or your heroes have some sort of actual credibility on these issues and, so far, I've seen nothing but misunderstanding, incomplete or just plain incorrect comprehension of the facts, no awareness of how these facts can be assembled into testable models, and arguments from non-authority. In fact, forget it, I just don't have time to spend on you anymore.

If you are really, truly interested in climatology and the intersection of science and politics, I strongly urge both (and the others of you) to go back to school and enroll in graduate programs that will allow you to study and develop theses in these areas of your interest. Perhaps you will change your minds, or perhaps you will confirm what you currently believe and then you can write the real scientific papers that will correct the current wrongs that you perceive; but either way you will learn a lot and you are bound to find it a rewarding experience.

Good luck, good lives, and good bye.

#833

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 1:29 PM

Well, PZ was feeling cranky, but we're just getting cranked up.

The evidence? tinyurl.com/2szwh8 Untechnical enough for those intimidated by the scientific gravitas of climateaudit.org.
=============================

#834

Posted by: gary | November 11, 2007 1:31 PM

Well... that was fun. for a time.
It really reminds me of some aruments I have had with Creationsists only less civil.
But I really don't have time to banter with such closed minds.
I would really suggest that anyone with an open mind do a little broader search for information.
Try researching the history of this little cult movement.
I am old enough to have lived through the begining of it.
What you find will shake your fervent beliefs to their core.
But it won't matter the least in the long run since it is all just about over now anyway.
A couple more years and sanity will again return.
If we can just keep the zealots from blowing the budget on nonsence in the mean time we will be OK.

#835

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 1:32 PM

ChemBob, you argue eloquently for the democratic theory of science. A consensus, you say. Well, if Steve is wrong, why does it take a multitude to show it?
==============================

#836

Posted by: Steve_C | November 11, 2007 1:32 PM

What about "fuck off" do you guys not get?

We don't care about your little denialist quibbling arguments.

#837

Posted by: DAV | November 11, 2007 1:35 PM

"And although McIntyre never explicitly states that he doubts AGW in general, he's definitely doing it a disservice by focusing so narrow-mindedly on some errors in a study that don't even significantly effect the outcome of said study!"

One last comment. I won't be looking here for any replies. If you really have something intelligent to say then e-mail me. I'm sure PZ would be glad to give it to you. For those whose minds still need to be flushed, by all means repeat F-O as often as necessary. Just be aware I won't know it.

There clearly seems to be a great deal of confusion between effect and cause in this blog.

EFFECT: Is there Global Warming (GW)? Sure looks like it. Still the evidence should be examined with caution. Climate is clearly cyclical. It wasn't all that long ago that there were dire warnings of a coming Ice Age (If-We-Continue-As-We-Are-Currently). Sound familiar? That evaporated and the lyrics changed when the temperatures began swinging the other way. There is no reason to not believe this could happen again.

CAUSE: Is Man causing GW (called AGW)? The cute answer is: only if it's spelled "Mann." A more serious answer is: maybe but there doesn't seem to be any evidence.


The reason for continued focus on the HS is largely due to the fact it is continually trotted out as evidence for AGW even though it's been discredited. Why is that?

For example, Al Gore's film used a graphic from Thompson presumably as proof that MBH99 is correct. Funny thing is a) Thompson's graphic used z-score values of an oxygen isotope, which is not normally associated with temperature; b) the title of the graph was changed to "Northern Hemisphere Temperature" but was otherwise unchanged; c) the rightmost part of MBH99 was grafted onto Thompson's; and d) hilarious, but unimportant, the scale of the Y-axis was reversed so the graph was implying severe Global Cooling! For those thinking this little piece of clip-art proves anything, it doesn't. MBH99 is being used to prove the correctness of MBH99.


So, what's wrong with the HS?
1) it contains a serious mathematical error -- top U.S. statisticians concur with this assessment,
2) the error forces the output to a HS shape -- most evident when fed red noise.

In the light of (1) and (2), how exactly then is the result unaffected? (2) in particular says the HS will tend to appear regardless of input. Because of the constant referral to the HS by AGW folks, it is necessary to re-issue that litany of errors. Most everyone I know also regards this as tiresome.

You'd think the AGW proponents would present their BEST evidence. What are they doing? Presenting garbage and keeping the BEST close to their chests awaiting to pounce in the future? C'mon already!

Again I ask, where is the evidence for AGW (as opposed to GW)? Why is it not being used to forward the AGW cause instead of the HS? Occam's Razor leads to believing it doesn't exist.

#838

Posted by: grog the pirate | November 11, 2007 1:40 PM

It's fascinating to see how the minds of trolls like kim and JePe are wired for following people and not ideas or data.

They're here to defend their cult leaders, while squaring off against those they perceive to be leaders in the other tribe like PZ or Al Gore.

They even keep bringing up this science=religion nonsense, which reveals that at the most fundamental level, they just don't get it. They seem incapable of understanding how independent minds can argue and come to conclusions based on observation and data rather than faith and followership.

Thus, every scientific argument gets hopelessly mangled as it passes through the lens of their perception. While this is amusing to watch -- at least for a while -- it's also infuriating. (For example, it's sobering to think that these cretins vote and influence policy.)

But now, they've just become tiring, trying to make up with mouth what they lack in brains, continuously trolling with their insults, high-school debate tactics, and feeble attempts at argument.

Besides, even if they were receptive to argument, they seem incapable of correctly processing it. Their minds operate on a different plane. Their intellectual stimulation comes from the mechanics and tactics of argument, not the knowledge that comes from the correct use of it. Engaging dimwits like JePe and kim on the scientific merits is hopeless.

#839

Posted by: Steve_C | November 11, 2007 1:42 PM

I hope they're disemvoweled soon.

#840

Posted by: j | November 11, 2007 1:43 PM

When I follow threads like these, I always get depressed about the future of our world. I start walking around town and thinking that maybe the person who just passed me is a denialist troll on Pharyngula; sure, the guy looks normal in real life, but what if when he goes home he repeatedly posts spam on science blogs for fun? It's unnerving.

#841

Posted by: grog the pirate | November 11, 2007 1:43 PM

Oh, let me add DAV as Exhibit 3 to my earlier post about the denialist focus on people and authorities rather than data or methodology. Just pick a paragraph at random from 837 and see what you can find...

#842

Posted by: grog the pirate | November 11, 2007 1:47 PM

Steve_C: I'll second that.

#843

Posted by: Janine | November 11, 2007 1:53 PM

The tar pit is still working, I see.

#844

Posted by: Karen Blint | November 11, 2007 2:01 PM

wh dnt ll f th plpl hr jst f 'n d?

stpd fkrs, whnl bbs, whhhh, wnt r mlk?

fgs

N mr srs nt, s m d

And God so loved the world, he fucked them up the ass with stupid ideas of his gay little kid.

Seriously, fuck you.

"I raped God's mom in the mouth, and I read Climate Audit."

Yes, indeed.

You fucking retarded faggots.

Suck dick, eat shit, go to Hell.

Your nonsense will be proven in time, so until then, suck my left tit until the right one gets jealous.

Yours in faith

KB

#845

Posted by: Jordan | November 11, 2007 2:16 PM

Coming back to something mentioned above:

"No,as you say, water vapor is in fact a much greater greenhouse gas - much greater than CO2, given the same molecular/atomic mechanisms, and concentrations. So the more relevant question, perhaps, is why we have not had run-away atmospheric warming due to water vapor physics.
Something is stopping it."

As I understand the way it works, water vapour is not part of direct Enhanced Warming(that is, excluding the proposed feedback mechanisms). The IR bands are pretty well closed in the Troposphere. That is what stops run-away warming due to water vapour as a greenhouse gas.

If there is a direct Enhanced Greenhouse Effect (and I phrase that as a question) it would be due to the accumulation of CO2 in the cold, dry stratosphere.

#846

Posted by: Karen Blint | November 11, 2007 2:19 PM

Water vapor uses a lot of energy to change to a liquid. Fucking so what.

The globe is warming! It's warming and people caused it! Wake up! Get your head of the the sand! We MUST do something about it! We have to SAVE the environment!!

I suggest we drop nuclear weapons on China, India, Iran and Poland, turn them into sheets of glass, and bomb the rain forest for a few months, light that baby on fire, fuck yeah!

Yours in faith

KB

#847

Posted by: grog the pirate | November 11, 2007 2:21 PM

Wow. I wish I could check the referrer logs for this site so I could see where THAT one came from...

#848

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 11, 2007 2:29 PM

"My phrase that everyone worships something is true."

Even granting you the enormous boon of assuming that you know what you're talking about, your "phrase" is still only true in the rhetorical sense (which is apparently all you're good at, what with the way you keep trying to scare us with the socialist bogeyman). And, of course, based on an extremely tortured definition of the term "worship". And when you get right down to it, all you're really saying is that anyone's devotion to anything (science, political movments, justice, etc.) is as blind and stupid and debasing as your devotion to the Phantasm in the Sky. Better be careful with those double-edged swords.

"their great noble cause to save the world will be shown to be nothing more than a devious political scam."

Okay, a scam...for what? Speaking fees? Research funding? Seriously, there are a great many easier ways to scam money out of people that require far less coordination of thousands of colleagues in every part of the world and pay out way more in money and power.

Yeah, bye bye Gary, keep adjusting that tinfoil hat.

#849

Posted by: Gridiron Guru | November 11, 2007 4:57 PM

Does anyone here play NFL Fantasy Football?

Can you believe Westbrook today?

#850

Posted by: Sastra | November 11, 2007 6:01 PM

I wonder if this has become the longest thread on Pharyngula (and this my first and only post on it)?

#851

Posted by: Lazarus Long | November 11, 2007 6:14 PM

"Anyone who cannot cope with mathematics is not fully human. At best he is a tolerable subhuman who has learned to wear shoes, bathe, and not make messes in the house."

#852

Posted by: Arnosium Upinarum | November 11, 2007 6:44 PM

Sastra, I wouldn't be surprised. Looks to me like a semi-coordinated attack, attempted saturation-bombing, coming here just to muck it up. It's got all the hallmarks of an infestation

It's amazing anybody would bother after the first several hundred comments just to root out the rats. Got to wonder if it's tenacity or just folks in search of a life. "Pest and Vermin Control." Honorable living, that. Except that the concentration of feeders draws more of them. What a way to spend precious time.

#853

Posted by: JePe | November 11, 2007 6:54 PM

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.
H. L. Mencken

#854

Posted by: wildlifer | November 11, 2007 8:02 PM

Soon, maybe next year, when it is obvious the globe is cooling, Steve will finally get credit.

Fucking creationists' tune never changes. Maybe it's the irrationalism associated with faith that makes them believe they're prophets?

#855

Posted by: j | November 11, 2007 8:02 PM

Actually, the demented-fuckwit apocalyptic thread was longer than this one. Thanks to the persistent spamming of Alexander Vargas, we managed to get to almost 1000 comments; I think we stopped at 993. It looks like this thread won't break the record though.

#856

Posted by: kim | November 11, 2007 10:03 PM

Tinyurl.com/2szwh8

You got responses like reasoning humans or insults like savages?
================================

#857

Posted by: truth machine | November 11, 2007 10:29 PM

Sure, it might argued that intelligent response is a waste of time. I wouldn't think so but then I've never been here before. After seeing some of the posts I can now see what that might mean.... Thanks for providing more evidence for what I initially suspected....Not a science blog either from the looks of it....I was kinda hoping they were wrong and decided to see for myself. Seems they were right, though.

Don't worry your little brain over it, sweetie. I'm not sticking around. I really don't need to be stepping in what comes out of your mouths.

Bye, Bye, kids!

Oh dear, PZ and the rest of us are all so devastated that yet another clueless moronic arrogant troll showed up, blathered about this not being a science blog, and then departed. (How many is that, now?)

#858

Posted by: truth machine | November 11, 2007 10:42 PM

I won't be looking here for any replies. If you really have something intelligent to say then e-mail me. I'm sure PZ would be glad to give it to you. For those whose minds still need to be flushed, by all means repeat F-O as often as necessary. Just be aware I won't know it.

How do people this stupid get this arrogant?

When he gets no email, will he conclude that it's because no one here has anything intelligent to say? Most likely.

#859

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 10:48 PM

I've come to the conclusion that Steve McIntyre's favorite activity is harassing people.

Every other post is about how he was denied information from someone.

"This the 39th email in my correspondence with Science..."

"After about 26 emails and nearly 10 months, Crowley provided by email..."

"I sent several emails to the Bureau of Meteorology this year..."

"I've requested information through an email (this will be my 3rd request)..."

By now, I bet everyone has him in their spam filter.

#860

Posted by: truth machine | November 11, 2007 10:54 PM

Yes, it's quite probable that human action is having an upward effect on temperature. No, it's not the end of the world. No, trying to limit our consumption of oil etc.

The debate is about AGW; if you concede that you concede everything; talk about how we should respond is a red herring. You're acting no differently from those who complain that evolution leads to eugenics or a godless purposeless world -- the social consequences of the answer to an empirical question have no bearing on the answer.

#861

Posted by: truth machine | November 11, 2007 11:01 PM

Soon, maybe next year, when it is obvious the globe is cooling, Steve will finally get credit.

I wonder if Steve "I've never claimed to be a denialist" McIntyre knows that his moronic fans are representing him as that and then some.

#862

Posted by: truth machine | November 11, 2007 11:14 PM

"And very much responsible for millions of deaths in Aftrica from malaria."

Oh, fer crying out loud, not this bullshit topic!

You people are sponges for all kinds of wacko theories!

Sooner or later these ignorant nutjobs show their true colors. I wonder if McIntyre knows how CA is being represented here. If he did, do you suppose he would "audit" any of their blatant errors?

#863

Posted by: David | November 11, 2007 11:16 PM

1. The sun emits a lot more infrared than visible spectrum. Go look it up. More CO2 would mean more heat emitted back into space.

2. CO2 traps heat, which causes evaporation, which causes clouds to form, which causes visible spectrum to be reflected back into space, which means less visible spectrum to be converted into heat by CO2.

3. I cannot believe that so many smart people on this thread cannot see that everyone has a religion of some sort. Everyone worships something. Think of the term "idolize." Where do you think it comes from? If money drives you more than anything, then you worship money, etc. Who cares if you don't physically go to some literal temple, the result is the same. Quit being bigots.

4. Yes, I know the difference between Communism and Socialism. Hitler was a Socialist, Stalin was a Communist. They both shared a lot in common for being such enemies. My point was that some Hippie communes were Marxist/Maoist, others were more Socialist. And before you start babbling about how Hitler was a Fascist, I must explain that Fascism was nothing more than socialism + dictatorship + strong nationalism. The first earth day was in San Francisco in 1970, if that doesn't tell you enough.

#864

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 11:20 PM

Aha!

Source Watch:
McIntyre does not have an advanced degree and has published two articles in the journal Energy and Environment which has become a venue for skeptics and is not carried in the ISI listing of peer-reviewed journals.

I has a feeling there was something funny going on with those articles I was coming across on the denialist blogs!

Bogus people publishing bogus articles in bogus journals.

#865

Posted by: truth machine | November 11, 2007 11:24 PM

I'm sure you of all people can understand such rhetorical schemes as our entire conversation went: A slam and an argument, an argument and a slam, etc.

I understand that this is a red herring; you said that "My comment was of course in reply to your off base misinterpritation of my post" -- that is, you justified your personal attack as a reply to what was an attack on your position.

#866

Posted by: truth machine | November 11, 2007 11:27 PM

I cannot believe that so many smart people on this thread cannot see that everyone has a religion of some sort.

It's no surprise that a stupid person doesn't understand the thought processes of smart people.

#867

Posted by: truth machine | November 11, 2007 11:31 PM

as much as 50% appear to be the spambot Machine telling everybody to effoff.

And these morons pass themselves off as statisticians?

#868

Posted by: truth machine | November 11, 2007 11:34 PM

P.S.

It's amusing how these moronic trolls can't grasp context; the topic of this thread is: "So bugger off, denialists."

#869

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 11, 2007 11:40 PM

Not a pretty picture (Physorg.com, Oct. 22, 2007):
Human activities are releasing carbon dioxide faster than ever, while the natural processes that normally slow its build up in the atmosphere appear to be weakening. These conclusions are drawn in a new study in the early online edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, October 22-26. The report states that "together, these effects characterize a carbon cycle that is generating stronger-than-expected climate forcing sooner than expected."

Between 2000 to 2006, human activities such as burning fossil fuels, manufacturing cement, and tropical deforestation contributed an average of 4.1 billion metric tons of carbon to the atmosphere each year, yielding an annual growth rate for atmospheric carbon dioxide of 1.93 parts per million (ppm).

"This is the highest since the beginning of continuous monitoring in 1959," states the report. The growth rate of atmospheric carbon dioxide is significantly larger than those for the 1980s and 1990s, which were 1.58 and 1.49 ppm per year, respectively. The present atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide is 381 ppm, the largest concentration in the last 650,000 years, and probably in the last 20 million years.

While the worldwide acceleration in carbon dioxide emissions had been previously noted, the current analysis provides insights into its causes. "The new twist here is the demonstration that weakening land and ocean sinks are contributing to the accelerating growth of atmospheric CO2," says co-author Chris Field, director of the Carnegie Institution's Department of Global Ecology.

Changes in wind patterns over the Southern Ocean resulting from human-induced global warming have brought carbon-rich water toward the surface, reducing the ocean's ability to absorb excess carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. On land, where plant growth is the major mechanism for drawing carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere, large droughts have reduced the uptake of carbon.

Emissions from the burning of fossil fuels constituted the largest source of anthropogenic carbon, releasing an average of 7.6 billion metric tons each year between 2000 and 2006, a significant jump from 6.5 billion tons in the 1990s. Emissions generated by land-use changes such as deforestation have remained constant, but shifted in geographic focus.

#870

Posted by: truth machine | November 11, 2007 11:58 PM

Oh yeah? So why don't they mention the hockey stick?

#871

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 12:01 AM

So, CalGeorge, with the CO2 continuing to rise, why has the temperature not risen for the last ten years?
=====================================

#872

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 12:04 AM

#868, may I paraphrase your characterization of the theme of this thread as 'lalalalalala'?
=====================================================

#873

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 12:23 AM

It isn't up to me how you demonstrate your cluelessness, kim. But lalalalalala is as good a response to your type as any.

#874

Posted by: Sales MAchine | November 12, 2007 12:32 AM

So you are smarter than me. That happens to be the case with geniuses who develop the technology I purvey to the masses. It's never ceases to amaze me how you brainiacs consistently step on you dicks when it comes to closing a deal. If you would just focus your energy on delivering a practical solution while checking your ego at the door, perhaps we may get on with solving this "crisis".

For all the brilliance you profess with self-accolade, the hubris that begets blindness to your severe lack of intuition is glaring. It's as if you are totally unaware that the meathead bouncer letting all hot chicks and the hipster taglongs into the bar ahead of you doesn't sense you are mocking him while you doddle at the velvet ropes in your Members Only jacket.

Emergency or not, we can all benefit from the ultimate result of a workable solution (e.g. alternative sustainable energy taking the place of fossil fuels). So all of you Titans of Science, please stop wasting your gifts and energy conjuring verbal thunderbolts to hurl at us mortals, and go create something useful to save us. At least Chicken Little got of his ass to do something after he rang the alarm bell.

You give something I can sell and I'll do just that...perhaps you'll even get rich saving the planet. There may be hope of getting you in the VIP room yet.

Can you believe Manning with 6 interceptions tonight???...must have been the heat in San Diego. Gotta be global warming.

#875

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 12:32 AM

I noticed. Now read the linked Tinyurl.
=======================

#876

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 12:36 AM

A shocking suggestion, SM. Why would you want to foul up the earth's natural regulatory mechanisms, like the sun, the water, and the wind, by deriving significant amounts of energy from them in untraditional ways? Google Boedelle Depression and contemplate what wind farms in Africa would do to the Amazon Basin.
================================

#877

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 12, 2007 12:41 AM

Temps globally and in the U.S. appear to be going up, up, yp!

Oh, I forgot, the evil people at NASA put this together, never mind.

Please explain what's wrong with this one.

Or this one.

Or this one.

The trends are pretty clear.

All available here: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/

#878

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 12, 2007 12:47 AM

Words don't mean whatever you want them to, David. But if I am to take you at your retarded point, then fine. I worship science and the biota of the planet I live on. You appear to worship the burning of fossil fuels. Big deal.

#879

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 12:50 AM

I cannot believe that so many smart people on this thread cannot see that everyone has a religion of some sort.

It's no surprise that a stupid person doesn't understand the thought processes of smart people.

It was smart of you to understand your own shortcomings. You did not have to point them out to everyone though.

#880

Posted by: Sales Machine | November 12, 2007 12:55 AM

As far as I am concerned your all fiddling while Rome's burning. That's why us salesfolk play so much golf...because we are waiting for the geniuses to deliver something that can actually be sold. We may not have all the brains, but we know when were getting should on by the geniuses who know better. screw you too truth machine. Why don't you shut your pie hole until you can change your moniker to something like reality machine or inventor of the millenium; and do so with straight face.

Now excuse me while I go sell something, that will put food on the table of the employees and secure the pensions of institutional investors (of which many of you will benefit) of my employer.

#881

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 12:58 AM

SM, Pebble Beds. Learn Chinese first.
=======================

#882

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 1:07 AM

It was smart of you to understand your own shortcomings. You did not have to point them out to everyone though.

You are the one who said you couldn't believe that smart people think what they think, moron -- thus they are your self-confessed shortcomings, and you here prove your stupidity yet again.

#883

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 12, 2007 1:07 AM

Gerard Roe, recently:

"Some warming is a virtual certainty, but the amount of that warming is much less certain."

"We already know about as much as we are going to about climate system's response to greenhouse gases. We already have the basis for making the decisions we need to make."

http://www.zmag.org/content/showarticle.cfm?ItemID=14155

End of story!

#884

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 1:10 AM

Sales Machine seems nearly as deranged as JohnS.

#885

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 1:16 AM

End of story!

But he doesn't mention the hockey stick, so there's no global warming, nanananana.

#886

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 1:19 AM

Rey, my point was about bigotry.

I am all for not putting anything excess into the atmosphere or environment if at all possible (or feasible). I just don't agree that man has caused the earth's global temperature to rise. We give ourselves way too much credit. I think that it is an ego thing.

I don't mind government regulation of pollution in general. Neither does anyone who I know. That does not mean that I am for "progressive" solutions. The free market is already developing solutions as we speak. All it needed was the current incentives (higher oil prices, higher customer demand for alternative energy, etc.).

#887

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 1:24 AM

CG, the precautionary principle is a useful precaution, but only if the science stands. Did you read the Tinyurl I referenced, or the G&T article debunking the IPCC's conception of the Greenhouse Gas Effect? Why has the temperature of the earth not risen for the last ten years while the CO2 levels continued to rise?
=============================================

#888

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 1:26 AM


It was smart of you to understand your own shortcomings. You did not have to point them out to everyone though.

You are the one who said you couldn't believe that smart people think what they think, moron -- thus they are your self-confessed shortcomings, and you here prove your stupidity yet again.

I was being figurative, but judging by your statements, you don't know what that is. Either way, you don't have to get your underwear in a bunch just because I turned your statement around on you.

#889

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 1:27 AM

In the middle of laughing my self sick over Sales Machine, I noticed my wallet was empty, and I have no idea what he sold me.
=======================================

#890

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 1:30 AM

I just don't agree that man has caused the earth's global temperature to rise.

It doesn't matter what an obvious ignoramus and idiot thinks.

We give ourselves way too much credit. I think that it is an ego thing.

Which shows what you're a moron you are. It's an empirical science thing. We don't believe that "The present atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide is 381 ppm, the largest concentration in the last 650,000 years" because we give ourselves way too much credit, we believe it because that's what the evidence shows.

#891

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 1:31 AM

I was being figurative

You were being stupid, and you continue to be. Even your fellow denialists think you're an idiot.

#892

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 1:36 AM

You were being stupid, and you continue to be. Even your fellow denialists think you're an idiot.

Wow, you must still be reeling. Sit down and take an aspirin.

#893

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 1:37 AM

Ah, CG, I just noticed your post #877. If you'll look closely at those graphs you'll see a flattening of the curve around ten years ago, which diverges from the continued upward slope of carbon dioxide concentration. That shouldn't happen if CO2 is the culprit.
=============================================

#894

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 1:45 AM

It's an empirical science thing.

Yes, and so was the whole "hormone replacement therapy for hot flashes" thing. How many women were given death sentences? Yes Virginia, your god failed you.

How many times have you been told that being overweight is bad? A recent study just said that being a little overweight is actually good. Now if they cannot even get this right (and they can study people directly), how on earth do you think they are going to get climate science right? Yes Virginia, your god failed you.

Climate science relies heavily on interpretation of proxies, bad statistics, inadequate computer models, thousands of variables, and poor peer review. It is very much in its infancy. I definitely don't put my full trust in the studies, at least not yet.

#895

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 1:59 AM

The warmers will be driven to distraction as the divergence between global temperature and CO2 levels continues to increase, as it does daily.
================

#896

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 2:00 AM

I have to admit that David is even more stupid than I could have imagined.

#897

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 2:01 AM

That shouldn't happen if CO2 is the culprit.

And kim is no brighter.

#898

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 2:03 AM

Ad homs are a sign of a losing argument, tm. What about his last paragraph about the mess in climate science?
===========================

#899

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 2:04 AM

So, Bright One, why does CO2 continue to climb and the temperature stall out around the turn of the century?
===============================

#900

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 12, 2007 2:06 AM

I don't mind government regulation of pollution in general. Neither does anyone who I know. That does not mean that I am for "progressive" solutions. The free market is already developing solutions as we speak. All it needed was the current incentives (higher oil prices, higher customer demand for alternative energy, etc.).

Yeah. Like Green SUVs. Great technology. A whopping 22 mpg for the Chevy Tahoe Hybrid.

Woohoo! Technology! Way to go!

That's real progress.

My Honda got 35 mpg in 1987, but hey, no worries, technology will see us through!

#901

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 2:09 AM

Forget Hondas, CG, what about temperatures? See them flatten? What's next? Global temperature cycles.
=============================================

#902

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 2:13 AM

Ad homs are a sign of a losing argument, tm.

We've been through this many times in this thread, moron. That was an insult, not an ad hominem, and insults aren't any sort of sign about what arguments are valid. Sometimes something is so stupid, such as implying that there's a strict relation between CO2 levels and global temperature, or implying that because someone somewhere said something that isn't true that somehow empirical evidence of CO2 levels is irrelevant, that there is no better response than to ridicule the idiot who offers it. It is obvious to any halfway intelligent person that you and David are idiots; that you think that me saying so somehow loses some argument further demonstrates it -- my written words don't have the power to change the empirical facts.

#903

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 2:16 AM

We have less than 100 to go. With the help of our latest, and perhaps stupidest, trolls kim and David we be able to make the target sometime tomorrow. See ya later.

#904

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 2:30 AM

P.S.

Change in average global temperature, 1987-1997: 0.22 degrees C
Change in average global temperature, 1997-2007: 0.21 degrees C

#905

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 2:30 AM

Thanks for the useful lesson in insults, tm. Now would you care to address the science. It bugs you that CO2 is rising and temps are not, doesn't it? CG at least attempted to bring evidence rather than insults.

I'll alter my previous comment. Insults are a sign of a losing argument.

It's obvious to me that it will take more than a thousand comments to convince some of you. Will a cooling globe convince you? Look around. Carefully. We are no longer heating at the rate from the seventies to the nineties. Why not?
=================================

#906

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 2:33 AM

Did you look at CG's curves, tm? I'm dubious about your figures.
===================================

#907

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 2:40 AM

Yeah. Like Green SUVs. Great technology. A whopping 22 mpg for the Chevy Tahoe Hybrid.

Battery technology has not advanced much because science has not advanced much in this area. Blame it on your god, science. It isn't because people haven't poured money into developing better batter technology either.

my written words don't have the power to change the empirical facts.

Like the medieval warm period was localized? Empirical evidence points towards a global MWP. Like replacement hormone therapy is safe for treating hot flashes? Like being even slightly overweight is bad? Like pseudophedrine is perfectly safe? I'm still confused about whether caffeine is good or bad for me.

I hope you've gotten over your temper tantrum.

#908

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 2:46 AM

I'm dubious that you have an IQ over 95, kim -- you certainly don't demonstrate it.

Of course it will take more than 1000 comments to convince intelligent people of something absurd, especially when your comments are to repeat a false claim over and over.

Now would you care to address the science.

It's already been addressed, you stupid fucking cretin. Global temperature is rising, and did rise .21 degrees C over the last decade; picking out one period when it didn't increase is stupid, because there isn't a strict relationship between CO2 and average global temperature -- there are other factors that vary over time.

I'll alter my previous comment. Insults are a sign of a losing argument.

Once again you demonstrate how stupid you are; insults are a sign of contempt, nothing more.

#909

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 2:47 AM

Post #877 has CG's curves.
================

#910

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 2:49 AM

You want to source your data in #904?
=========================

#911

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 2:50 AM

Wow, what you don't know about insults and arguments.
==================================

#912

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 2:53 AM

my written words don't have the power to change the empirical facts.

Like the medieval warm period was localized?

No, you stupid dickwad, that "The present atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide is 381 ppm, the largest concentration in the last 650,000 years". Whether you or that other moron thinks that CO2 causes global warming, the CO2 increase is something that man caused -- not a matter of giving ourselves way too much credit; that was your stupid claim, which you are apparently too stupid to remember. If you accept that the CO2 rise is human induced but continue to think that attributing global warming to human activity is a matter of ego, then you are not merely stupid but incredibly dishonest.

#913

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 2:54 AM

Historically, there is no relationship between CO2 level and global temperature. Why should there be now?
=======================================

#914

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 2:59 AM

No, tm. It is possible to think that CO2 rise is from burning fossil fuel, without believing global warming is from human activity. All it takes is to believe that CO2 is not the reason the globe warmed in the last quarter of the last century. That is why we are called AGW skeptics.
========================================

#915

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 3:01 AM

Wow, what you don't know about insults and arguments.

If all men are mortal and Socrates was a man, then Socrates was mortal, you stupid fucking moronic cretinous retarded idiot.

#916

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 3:06 AM

No, tm. It is possible to think that CO2 rise is from burning fossil fuel, without believing global warming is from human activity.

I didn't say otherwise. You're clearly too stupid to understand what I did say.

This is getting too boring even for me; at least people like GallileoWasADenier demonstrated a modicum of intelligence. I'll check in again tomorrow to see what other slime goes after this troll-bait thread.

#917

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 3:26 AM

Silly sophistry, my good man. Surely, you said that I would have to be stupid or dishonest to deny anthropogenic global warming if I conceded CO2 rise from fossil fuel burning. I then showed that it would not be dishonest. The charge of 'stupid' might still apply, but why is it you that stoops to stupid insults? If CO2 is not the real cause of warming, then I'm not stupid, either.
====================================

#918

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 3:36 AM

Surely, you said that I would have to be stupid or dishonest to deny anthropogenic global warming if I conceded CO2 rise from fossil fuel burning.

No, I did not say that. I wasn't even addressing you, I was addressing David.

So so so stupid.

#919

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 3:39 AM

While we're at it, do you know the difference between a moron and an idiot?
==============================================

#920

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 3:43 AM

Now I think you are getting a little untruthy. You did refer to me in that post. And what did you mean to say if I have not adequately paraphrased it?
=======================================

#921

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 12, 2007 3:46 AM

People, our god, the great and powerful Sci'enz, has failed us. We must go back to reading chicken entrails now.

#922

Posted by: Tog | November 12, 2007 3:48 AM

Hey Truthbot! I just dropped back in. Most of the posts on here are yours! If you get over 1,000, don't you think that's cheating a little? After all, you're only talking to yourself. What gives?

#923

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 3:48 AM

No, your politicians and your echo-chambered climatologists have failed you. Science is going strong, and busily debunking the Piltdown Mann.
================================

#924

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 3:49 AM

You did refer to me in that post.

The post in question is #912; you are not referred to in it, cretin.

And what did you mean to say if I have not adequately paraphrased it?

What I meant to say is what I did say, idiot.

#925

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 3:53 AM

The post in question is #912; you are not referred to in it, cretin.

Excuse me, but I did refer to you -- as "that other moron" -- but that you were referred to is irrelevant; as I said, it was addressed to David, not you. David, not you, claimed that attribution of global warming to humans was a matter of ego, of giving ourselves "too much credit". My claim about dishonesty applied to David, not you. But my claim about stupidity certainly does apply amply to both of you.

#926

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 3:55 AM

Oh, I'm so sorry. I was sure 'that other moron' in post #912 referred to me. If not me, then who, buster?

And if I did not adequately paraphrase what you said, can you point out my error? How did I mistake your meaning?

You've got to be 'truthy' if you are the genuine 'truth machine'. So far, you are more like the Deus Ex Sophistica.
=========================================

#927

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 3:58 AM

No, your politicians and your echo-chambered climatologists have failed you. Science is going strong,

You stupid stupid stupid fucking moron -- Rey Fox is referring to David's comment "Blame it on your god, science".

Most of the posts on here are yours!

Another innumerate moron. "most" means more than half, but most of the posts are not mine. With such a level of accuracy, it's no wonder you idiots have so many erroneous beliefs.

#928

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 4:03 AM

I was sure 'that other moron' in post #912 referred to me. If not me, then who, buster?

See #925, dumbfuck.

And if I did not adequately paraphrase what you said, can you point out my error? How did I mistake your meaning?

Uh, If I say "1+1 = 2" and you paraphrase it as "5*7 = 99", how should I point out your error other than to note that you're a stupid fuck? Your error is that your "paraphrase" isn't; it doesn't mean the same as what I wrote. That you can't understand what I wrote is because you're stupid, and being that you're stupid, repeating it won't help.

#929

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 4:06 AM

David saying that 'too much credit' is given by humans to their role in warming is structurally analogous to my saying that carbon is not the culprit. You have found an irrelevant, nay sophistical, objection and labelled me stupid because of your finding. Look again at that worm you pulled up in the dark. It is straw.
================================

#930

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 4:06 AM

You've got to be 'truthy' if you are the genuine 'truth machine'.

No, moron, I'm truthful, you're "truthy": http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Truthiness

#931

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 4:08 AM

I'm a dumbfuck because you posted #925 while I was composing #926? In your dreams.
=====================================================

#932

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 4:13 AM

This is amusing. You are raving because I don't interpret Rey Fox's posts the same way you do? How do people ever have a conversation with you?
=======================================

#933

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 4:15 AM

David saying that 'too much credit' is given by humans to their role in warming is structurally analogous to my saying that carbon is not the culprit.

More incredible stupidity; David was talking about ego.

You have found an irrelevant, nay sophistical, objection and labelled me stupid because of your finding.

You're beyond stupid -- you made a claim as to what I meant; you were wrong, and I said so. Your stupidity is in your inability to understand what I did say, and mean, which surely I am a better authority on than you are.

We're getting closer to 1000 posts, but do you think you're getting any closer to convincing anyone of your position? Obviously that's not really what you're here for; you're just trolling, and continuously making PZ's point in his original post.

#934

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 4:18 AM

I'm a dumbfuck because you posted #925 while I was composing #926?

No, you're a dumbfuck for a host of other reasons.

This is amusing. You are raving because I don't interpret Rey Fox's posts the same way you do?

Uh, you mean the way he obviously meant it? Hey, why don't you ask him, idiot?

How do people ever have a conversation with you?

By being smarter than a turnip.

#935

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 4:24 AM

Oh, my. There can be only one legitimate reaction to Rey Fox's post? So just why was David's argument dishonest, and if man isn't causing the temperature to rise, why was it stupid?
=================================

#936

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 4:27 AM

Actually, I think you are making Stan's point. I'm happy to discuss global climate regulation and the state of the art of knowledge about it. You seem to think this is a tutorial on rhetoric and insults.

Where's the beef? What about my Tinyurl?
=====================

#937

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 4:31 AM

I think you are making Stan's point

That proves that you're a cretin. It also would subject you to disemvoweling if the host of this blog still had enough interest in this thread to carry out his threat.

#938

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 4:51 AM

I've talked about science and I've been more respectful than most of my correspondents. Furthermore, I think PZ is still interested in this thread. With any luck he'll look at my tinyurl. It's not difficult. That's Tinyurl.com/2szwh8

That Bob Carter lecture is one not to miss, either.
==============================================

#939

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 4:58 AM

I think PZ is still interested in this thread. With any luck he'll look at my tinyurl.

My word but you are a stupid fuck. PZ's interest, as he originally stated, was to tell you denialist trolls to bugger off. Since then (but 4 days ago), he wrote "More rats. Rats with their moldy flecks of rotting garbage. You guys don't get it, do you?", "I'm greatly irritated that the average intelligence of the commenters here has plummeted since you and your lying ilk have been diluting the threads here. You can go away now.", etc.

#940

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 5:01 AM

I've been more respectful

How so, when you were repeatedly told by the host of this blog that you aren't wanted here?

#941

Posted by: A reminder from RWE | November 12, 2007 5:01 AM

"A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds, adored by little statesmen and philosophers and divines." Ralph Waldo Emerson

Truth Machine,

There only so much name calling you can do before you start to embody the above quotation.

Chicks must really dig you!


#942

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 5:05 AM

There only so much name calling you can do before you start to embody the above quotation.

Aside from the idiocy of that comment, Neither Emerson nor his quote have much to recommend them.

Chicks must really dig you!

Quite a few do, actually.

#943

Posted by: Peter Hunter | November 12, 2007 5:14 AM

Oh, after I've read these comments I got the feeling we got a new church:

"The Holy Church of Climate Change (HCOCC)" providing Mr. Hansen/GISS as Pope and the UN climate council as the conclave. I'm curious when we will watch the first heteric court case and subsequent auto-da-fé of evil devil obsessed denialists. Hey, Mr. PZ Myers, will you apply for the job as the hangman?

I propose instead: please calm down, take a cup of good green chinese tea at your living room window and watch the weather outside; sometimes it is warm, sometimes it is cold, sometimes sunny, sometimes cloudy and finaly please consider then: in 1000 years nobody will recall your fashionable anger.

#944

Posted by: enihcam hturt | November 12, 2007 5:14 AM

TM, what is your honest assessment of your work here on this thread, and what does it say to the world about you, your character and general disposition?

#945

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 5:15 AM

Peter Hunter

Another fucking asshole rat troll.

#946

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 5:16 AM

Read the Tinyurl. I doubt PZ would call that garbage. I'm curious if you do.
=================================

#947

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 5:18 AM

TM, what is your honest assessment of your work here on this thread

See #695

what does it say to the world about you, your character and general disposition?

What does your trolling say of yours?

#948

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 5:25 AM

I doubt PZ would call that garbage.

Again proving you're a cretin.

I'm curious if you do.

See ChemBob's comments in #762

#949

Posted by: enihcam hturt | November 12, 2007 5:30 AM

So you fancy yourself a pitiful? Hmm...very interesting choice.

If you I am as you say "trolling", I'm not really sure I care, do you?

#950

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 5:30 AM

I doubt PZ would call that garbage.

He already stated his position on this sort of thing:

There are people who put together a coherent picture of a scientific issue, who review lots of evidence and assemble a rational synthesis. They're called scientists. Then there are the myopic little nitpickers, people who scurry about seeking little bits of garbage in the fabric of science (and of course, there are such flaws everywhere), and when they find some scrap of rot, they squeak triumphantly and hold it high and declare that the science everywhere is similarly corrupt. They lack perspective. They ignore everything that doesn't fit their search criterion, and of course, they're focused only on putrescence. They aren't scientists, they're more like rats.

And the worst of the rats are the sanctimonious ones that declare that they're just 'policing' science. They aren't. They're just providing fodder for their fellow denialists, and like them all, have nothing of value to contribute to advance the conversation. You can quit whining that you and McIntyre are finding valid errors; it doesn't matter, since you're simultaneously spreading a plague of lies and ignorance as you go.

So bugger off, denialists. I am not impressed.

#951

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 5:32 AM

So you fancy yourself a pitiful?

You need to scrub your eyeglasses or your brain, moron.

#952

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 5:38 AM

Whoa, this still going on?

@Kim:
There is a good reason why TM doesn't bother with the tinyurl. Besides you being way to credelous and accepting something like that PDF as gospel. I'm not going to mention the reason though seems that TM is having to much fun with you.

And now for your url. See post #754 and reactions to it.
First problem you have with E&E is that it is not a peer review journal.
Second it is classed as social science journal not a climate related journal.
Third any peer review journal would have turned the article down since it is based on circular reasoning.
Fourth it would be rejected in any peer reviewed journal since it misses the most important thing in an article. Data instead it replaces that with `I think´ and `I feel´ which are big warning signs that an article is anything but scientific. Simply put if the hockeystick were wrong it should be easy to find counter evidence. Unfortunately for you and the other dittoheads that have invaded, almost 10 years of data gathering after it was published have shown it to be correct (as has been posted to this thread numerous times).
Sixth E&E accepts and keeps papers that other journals have retracted due to bad science (see for example the paper Climate Research by Soon and Ballunias).

I can go on with reasons why E&E has little credibility and anything published in it should be taken with a grain of salt.

#953

Posted by: enihcam hturt | November 12, 2007 5:42 AM

You're the one who directed us to post #695 as some kind of badge of honor.

BTW, Bull Terrier ranks #66 on the intelligence list, coming in right above Chihuahua at #67.


#954

Posted by: enihcam hturt | November 12, 2007 5:53 AM

...from 953...not to mention the #1 pet choice of thugs and criminals.

#955

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 5:55 AM

You're the one who directed us to post #695 as some kind of badge of honor.

Thomas Huxley was referred to as Darwin's pitbull -- it was indeed a badge of honor.

BTW, Bull Terrier ranks #66 on the intelligence list, coming in right above Chihuahua at #67.

And at #999 are folks like you who can't comprehend a metaphor.

#956

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 5:56 AM

Wow, wasn't #762 cogent refutation of all the points in Tinyurl. Can you do any better? Can anyone here?

Tinyurl.com/2szwh8
===========================

#957

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 5:57 AM

not to mention the #1 pet choice of thugs and criminals.

This is one of the better examples I've seen of what I once heard someone refer to as The Fat Cow Fallacy: He who tends fat cows must be fat.

#958

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 5:59 AM

Wow, wasn't #762 cogent refutation of all the points in Tinyurl.

#950 is the refutation.

#959

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 6:02 AM

@Kim:
I would as soon as you can provide me the data on which the article is based.

#960

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 6:05 AM

Do you note, Who Cares, that your entire post #952 is ad hominous? Care to address any scientific points within that tinyurl link?

Perhaps we can get PZ to actually read it.
===================================

#961

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 6:08 AM

#950 is barely coherent let alone a competent refutation. I know he was cranky, but the objective scientist did not show through.
==============================

#962

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 6:08 AM

Perhaps we can get PZ to actually read it.

You are fucking thick.

#963

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 6:10 AM

#950 is barely coherent let alone a competent refutation.

You've repeatedly proved that you're a cretin, so your inability to comprehend something is irrelevant.

I know he was cranky, but the objective scientist did not show through.

So it may seem to someone who knows nothing of science.

#964

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 6:14 AM

You seem to willing to go to any lengths to avoid commenting on that article. Have you read it?
=================================

#965

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 6:17 AM

You seem to willing to go to any lengths to avoid commenting on that article. Have you read it?

Have you read the entirety of the science supporting AGW? You seem willing to go to any length to avoid commenting on it.

Holland's article isn't science, it's politics. Someone should write "Bias and Concealment by David Holland and Energy & Environment".

#966

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 6:17 AM

@Kim:
You need to learn your debating fallacies better. There is one thing that might be classified as an ad hominem, that is my use of the word dittoheads. And even only then if you do not consider that (as read in the urban dictonary) it does cover my opinion of you and your ilk.
As for your request for scientific points. No since there is no science in the article. It is based on circular, I think and I feel reasoning. There is no data to work with. Like I said earlier the article is deficient. The journal it is posted in a joke.

#967

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 6:22 AM

Pitiful. You cannot even address his points?
===========================

#968

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 6:37 AM

@kim:
What point? The I set out to prove that the IPCC is flawed and whoa it turned out to be so. Or the I feel that the IPCC is flawed points?
The first is refuted by seeing that that is circular reasoning. The second that it is mere opinion. Neither has a place in a science article.
Where is the data? Where is the (re)source list? If you have them I'm happy to deconstruct the article. It will take a while though due to source and fact checking.

#969

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 6:43 AM

Pitiful. You cannot even address his points?

It's pitiful that you cannot even address the points of climate scientists. Mr. Holland, OTOH, refers at
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2004/12/co2-in-ice-cores/#comment-87
to his "now somewhat distant scientific education".

This is the strategy of you rats that PZ refers to, as we well know from the evolution denialists; rather than deal with the science, they trot out this or that unrefereed paper by this or that engineer or lawyer, and demand that we respond to its "points", which often turn out to be a series of half-truths or outright lies. What is clear from this paper is that it is a highly biased political polemic aimed at processes and organizations; it has nothing to do with science. Holland says "It is concluded that the IPCC has neither the
structure nor the necessary independence and supervision of its processes to be acceptable as the monopoly authority on climate science", but that's bullpucky; there is no "monopoly authority on climate science", and the IPCC doesn't have any sort of authority at all, as is clear from how their findings are ignored by executive powers.

#970

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 6:43 AM

Can you explain divergence? How about the Barton subcommittee? What about Hansen's code errors? Didn't that make you wonder about the steady upward curve of temperature?
==============================

#971

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 6:50 AM

Oh, TM, the IPCC is without authority? I don't think you know what you have said.

The IPCC has a monopoly on policy papers. And the writers of the policy papers find it convenient to ignore science that doesn't fit the narrative.

At least you've tried to refute a point or two in the article. For that I must give you credit. Tired of insults? I'm not. I'm used to them.
======================

#972

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 6:52 AM

On the authority of IPCC we have Kyoto, and all the tragedies and betrayals that entails.
========================================

#973

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 6:57 AM

Oh boy, TM, can you answer the scientific question Mr. Holland asked in your link?
===========================

#974

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 6:59 AM

@Kim:
No, as someone working daily with mathematics I am not surprised that an extrapolation that passed beyond 1/2 the average distance of datapoints used in this extrapolation behaves like that. I've seen it happen fairly often. However the trend indicated is (usually) useful on it's own.

#975

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:06 AM

So how does the trend look now, with new data points? Surely for something this important there is now new data. We're not just trusting extrapolations here, are we? There are big stakes, no?
========================================

#976

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 7:16 AM

I don't think you know what you have said.

You told me that about insults and arguments, and you were as wrong then as now.

At least you've tried to refute a point or two in the article.

You remain as thick as shit.

24 to go.

#977

Posted by: Bride of Shrek | November 12, 2007 7:20 AM

I'm running a book. We're sitting here in Australia, post dinner party with a few fine glasses of port and reading the thread.
Odds are on Truth Machine for making post # 1000

Don't disappoint me lad!!!

#978

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:20 AM

You still insist the IPCC has no authority and is not a monopoly on climate policy?
======================================

#979

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:22 AM

So what do you think of Bob Carter, BoS?
==========================

#980

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 7:22 AM

BTW, according to http://www.ipcc.ch/about/princ.pdf, "IPCC reports should be neutral with respect to policy".

#981

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 7:23 AM

Still going up. see post #904

#982

Posted by: Bride of Shrek | November 12, 2007 7:24 AM

I've got $20 on you....and my (admittedly in tatters after too many chardonnays) reputation as a microclimatologist. Go get them boyo.

#983

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:25 AM

Yessir. They should be neutral on policy. Are they?
=============================

#984

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 7:26 AM

So what do you think of Bob Carter, BoS?

Why do you think that "Bride of Shrek", running a book in Australia and commenting in a troll-bait thread at a biology/atheism/cephalopod blog knows of or care about Bob Carter?

#985

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:28 AM

#904 is unsourced, but his contention is controversial. I don't think you know what I mean by divergence. I'm talking about the habit of tree ring proxies diverging from the temperature record, quite recently.
===================================

#986

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 7:28 AM

Yessir. They should be neutral on policy. Are they?

You claimed that they have a monopoly on policy papers. It's a pretty stupid claim, unless you can provide extraordinary evidence, when their governing principles direct their reports to be policy neutral.

#987

Posted by: Bride of Shrek | November 12, 2007 7:30 AM

Couldn't give a crap about Bob Carter. Dont' care. Not interested at this point. Just want Truth Machine to be the #1000 dude.

#988

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:31 AM

You presume the Bride is unacquainted with Bob Carter. It's a small world down under.

And you should acquaint yourself with Bob Carter's lecture. Somewhere way up above JePe linked it. I'm sure you can google and find it.
===================================================

#989

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 7:32 AM

#904 is unsourced, but his contention is controversial.

No, the contention is not controversial. But since you insist that the temperature has leveled, feel free to provide data that demonstrates that and that indicates the change in average global temperature over the last two decades.

#990

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:33 AM

Are their reports policy neutral? You've gotten a little absurd lately. Been up all night?

Oh, Bride, ask around. Surely someone in that party cares.
======================

#991

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 7:34 AM

It's a small world down under.

Fuck but you're stupid.

And you should acquaint yourself with Bob Carter's lecture.

You should acquaint yourself with the science supporting AGW.

#992

Posted by: Bride of Shrek | November 12, 2007 7:34 AM

Go Truth Machine. Might not always agree with him but the chap speaks his mind, is honest, truthful and doesn't play crappy mind games. THAT is a scientist!!!!

#993

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 7:35 AM

Are their reports policy neutral?

Look, you fucking asshole, you claimed that they have a monopoly on policy papers; provide some sort of support for your moronic claim.

#994

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:36 AM

Yes, temperature is controversial. How do you measure it?
====================================

#995

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 7:37 AM

Surely someone in that party cares.

No, fuckhead, no one but denialist rats cares who Bob Carter or David Holland (the engineer, not the oceanographer) is.

#996

Posted by: Bride of Shrek | November 12, 2007 7:37 AM

Kim

Fuck off. we're not as stupid in Australia as you seem to presume.

No one here gives a rats arse about Bob Carter's theories.

#997

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 7:37 AM

@kim:
Thanks for clearing up what kind of diverence you meant (there is also several to be found in math).
Since I indeed don't know about that one I spend some time looking it up. Seems that it only happens with density rings and at higher altitudes and it doesn't hamper the multi-proxy approaches. Note that this comes from an article co-auhored by Mann.

#998

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 7:39 AM

Yes, temperature is controversial. How do you measure it?

Hey, you fucking asshole, if you don't know how to measure it, then HOW DO YOU KNOW IT'S LEVELED OFF?

#999

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:40 AM

Who else puts out influential policy papers? Nobody. Hence, they have a monopoly. Any moron can see that.

The science supporting AGW is an unphysical model of the greenhouse gas effect, the Piltdown Mann's Crook'd Hockey Stick, and inadequate computers modeling a chaotic system. It tells you nothing of the truth.
===============================

#1000

Posted by: truth machine | November 12, 2007 7:41 AM

lalalalalala

1000 and I'm out of here.

Good bye, asshole trolls.

#1001

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:43 AM

There are lots of ways to measure it. I wanted to know how you do it. The varying ways of measuring and calculating a mean global temperature is what leads to the controversies.

MORON
=====

#1002

Posted by: chiwawa | November 12, 2007 7:43 AM

Congratulations with the hottest scienceblog thread on the web!

#1003

Posted by: Bride of Shrek | November 12, 2007 7:46 AM

Truth Machine is a fucking LEGEND!!!! !1000 posts and he stayed true. Woo Hoo,What can be said about such a lad? Awesome. Saw through the trolls. Put them to the test and put them to rest (except for that pissant Kim).

If I'm ever in the States I shall seek you out and buy you a drink my boy.If for no other reason than you can provide the most stimulating, intellectual arguments I've ever heard.

#1004

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:49 AM

I'm sorry, Who Cares, Mann no longer has any credibility. Whether his initial mistake was deliberate or not, his subsequent conduct will forever place him outside the pale of scientists. And where are the data points to make the divergence go away? There is very little recent tree boring. If dendroclimatic proxies are so important, why aren't they updated?

Bride, well you just might be right about that, but you aren't disabusing me of the notion.
=====================================================

#1005

Posted by: JohnS | November 12, 2007 7:53 AM

Proving you got to the 1000, but couldn't rig the beauty contest, Truffy phuckwit. PZ is even more pissed off. As to ChemicalBobby-ha.
JohnS

#1006

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 7:54 AM

Oh Bride, no contest. I was just here for the last part of the thread. He sure was getting flaky at the end though, huh?
================================

#1007

Posted by: Bride of Shrek | November 12, 2007 8:00 AM

It's nighty night time here in the land Kim thinks is so stupid so I'm off but I'd like to leave the following.

a) Truth Machine just made me $80 bucks in the dinnner party sweeps for who made post #1000. I owe him bigtime.

b) The award for the most "In Need Of Therapy" post goes to JohnS.

c)Kim, try and make a point in ONE POST. Trying to make you agrument over several entries with this "=========" crap in between is really fucking irritating when you're trying to read it.

#1008

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 8:01 AM

Oh, my, God. Who Cares, I have a bone to pick with you and if I weren't tired I'd have noticed it immediately. You trash Holland's article like you understand it, then admit you've no idea of the term 'divergence' as he used it.

Who Cares? I do, damnit. Can you not read the article?
===========================

#1009

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 8:03 AM

Bride of Shrek has style criticisms. Well, there is no accounting for it, but the criticism was as cogent as any here.
================================================

#1010

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 8:05 AM

Provide backup to the assertion that Mann is disqualified.
You do realize that you just disqualified every scientist on the planet because Mann was one of several people working on that article, so those would be disqualified as well, which in turn leads to disqualifying the scientists they worked with, which ...
Besides Mann did correct mistakes he made but the mistakes corrected were not in the methods or data used. Oh wait that was checked by the IPCC and you do not accept their research.

And why the proxies aren't updated? Just ran a check on the NCDC and it seems there are 207 updates available just for tree rings after 1999. Oh and another update on temperature by Mann, et al in 2005 using the data available on Volcanic and Solar effects.

#1011

Posted by: JohnS | November 12, 2007 8:15 AM

Hey Shrekables, thanks for your therapy listing. I'm indeed flattered to be counted. After big bro PZ banned me I thought I would be forgotten. I had all my peer reviewed paper lists for ChemicalBobby to check over, and banned, BANNED, most unfair. Anyway now that all you boys have gone, any beer in the fridge- none of that low alcohol stuff, mind. 1000 but couldn't rig a beauty contest, whoda thought it.
JohnS

#1012

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 8:18 AM

I read the article. What I do not understand I generally store as an unknown variable. Normally I'd look up that kind of unkown. However in this case the variable didn't have impact on my responses so I saw no need to do the look up.

#1013

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 8:40 AM

In other words, you were so biased you didn't see the importance of the divergence problem. It speaks to Mann's credibility, you know.
==================================

#1014

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 8:46 AM

Well, Stan, I got insults, fairy tales, and refusal to look at the evidence. And this site was neck and neck with Climate Audit for awhile.

Simply amazing. I'm finished. I'd rather talk to laymen. They are a lot more scientific.
============================================

#1015

Posted by: Goatboy | November 12, 2007 8:47 AM

To Truth Machine,

Sir, I salute your indefatigability.

To The Trolls (and with all due credit to Bill Hicks),

"Shut the fuck up. Your denial is beneath even you and, thanks to the use of hallucinogenic drugs, I see through you.

Ha ha. Have a nice life."

#1016

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 12, 2007 9:20 AM

Kim at #913:
Historically, there is no relationship between CO2 level and global temperature. Why should there be now?

Chew on this post from Jeff Severinghaus, Professor of Geosciences, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego (via RealClimate):

This is an issue that is often misunderstood in the public sphere and media, so it is worth spending some time to explain it and clarify it. At least three careful ice core studies have shown that CO2 starts to rise about 800 years (600-1000 years) after Antarctic temperature during glacial terminations. These terminations are pronounced warming periods that mark the ends of the ice ages that happen every 100,000 years or so.

Does this prove that CO2 doesn't cause global warming? The answer is no.

The reason has to do with the fact that the warmings take about 5000 years to be complete. The lag is only 800 years. All that the lag shows is that CO2 did not cause the first 800 years of warming, out of the 5000 year trend. The other 4200 years of warming could in fact have been caused by CO2, as far as we can tell from this ice core data.

The 4200 years of warming make up about 5/6 of the total warming. So CO2 could have caused the last 5/6 of the warming, but could not have caused the first 1/6 of the warming.

See also his Science article conclusion:

Although the recent CO2 increase has clearly been imposed first, as a result of anthropogenic activities, it naturally takes, at Termination III, some time for CO2 to outgas from the ocean once it starts to react to a climate change that is first felt in the
atmosphere. The sequence of events during this Termination is fully consistent with CO2 participating in the latter 4200 years of the warming. The radiative forcing due to CO2 may serve as an amplifier of initial orbital forcing, which is then further amplified by fast atmospheric feedbacks that are also at work for the presentday and future climate.

The nice thing about this thread is that it exposes the extent of denialist idiocy - all in one handy place. Thanks, folks!

These threads don't go away, you know. Your idiocy will be on display for a very long time!

#1017

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 9:48 AM

Hah, Roger of Ockham should move to La Jolla. Even laymen find that reasoning tortured.
=====================================================

#1018

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 12, 2007 10:00 AM

Doesn't take any time at all for Kim to outgas an opinion and outguess the experts.

#1019

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 10:06 AM

@Kim(#1013):
Yes. I'm biased due to the general tone of the article you try to uphold as sound research. It is not sound, it is trash. It is based on circular reasoning, wishful thinking, distortions and possible selective use of data (which can't be tracked since unlike a sound scientific article there is no reference/source or data list) instead of sound data. Which is one of the reasons I could not be bothered to sacrifice my free time to do look up unknowns.

What is more once I did go after this so called divergence problem I found within about 10 minutes an article explaining where the problem is. And it is not as general as your apologia is trying to make it out as. Further it is a known problem, coping strategies are/have been devised.
Then there is the additional problem of this apologia you are defending being the only article against the data and methods used which means that to defend it you need to ignore stacks of other articles that did not have to be published in a journal of which it is known that the editor will publish just about anything and can't be bothered to see if the article is good science.

Then there is your implicit agreement that scientists are untrustworthy due to the people they worked with or worked for because they are not accepting your delusion of how the world should work.

#1020

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 12, 2007 10:24 AM

What is more once I did go after this so called divergence problem I found within about 10 minutes an article explaining where the problem is.

Yes. Tons of great knowledge is out there, readily available. There are many sound, reasoned responses to every one of their idiotic claims, and yet they refuse to take off their blinders.

#1021

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 10:24 AM

Hehe. Kim is a creationist... she says it can't be proven false.

HAHAHAHAHAHAHA.

AAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHH.

She loves science though. Fuckwit.

#1022

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 10:33 AM

@ stevie_C (#1021)

Hehe. Kim is a creationist... she says it can't be proven false.

Please tell me how in your opinion the AGW-hypothesis empirically could be proven false.

#1023

Posted by: PZ Myers | November 12, 2007 10:39 AM

It's truly stating the obvious, but it's a sad commentary on the denialists' intelligence that I actually have to point this out to them: JohnS, who claims in his comment #1011 that he has been banned, has not been banned. Can we go on for another thousand comments in pointing out that if he had been banned he would not have been able to make comment #1011?


#1024

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 10:40 AM

CG, which is more likely, that CO2 outgassed from the ocean after warming, or that something else started the warming cycle, and CO2 finished it? A simple one for the razor.

Who Cares, why on earth you choose to interpret a persuasive article as some sort of research article is a mystery to me.

So little wonderstruck Stevie, if you can't prove creationism false does that make you a creationist? So prove it false.
====================

#1025

Posted by: nevermind | November 12, 2007 10:43 AM

This is science???

#1026

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 10:45 AM

Easy, JePe, if the earth cools and CO2 continues to rise, voila. You'll know soon enough, one of these mananas.
========================================

#1027

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 10:57 AM

By the way, I don't understand Mann's explanation for the divergence. Would you care to explain it to me, Who Cares? Has it gone away?
================================

#1028

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 10:59 AM

@ #1023

It's truly stating the obvious, but it's a sad commentary on the denialists' intelligence that I actually have to point this out to them

PZ Myers obviously concludes that all "denialists" are by definition stupid?

Intelligent generalisation!

#1029

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 11:02 AM

I don't have to prove it false. The theory of evolution and every other science has shown it to be completely unnecessary. Unless your of the "big bang" goddidit crowd, then you can just say god did evolution too and makes bummble bees fly while he's at it.

Can't "prove" god doesn't exist either. But you can say the same about Zeus, Thor and Gnesh too.

Kim claimed CREATIONSIM can't be proven false. You have a creationist on your side JePe. With friends like that who needs logic.

#1030

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 11:03 AM

Who Cares, why on earth you choose to interpret a persuasive article as some sort of research article is a mystery to me.

Because persuasive articles do not have to be true. Take for example "The Protocols of the Elders of Zion", it was very persuasive but a complete fraud and forgery.
Then there is the use of this article to discredit research without bothering to look up the reasons why your persuasive article is wrong.
And the disingenuous claim that it comes from a scientific journal without pointing out that it is a social sciences journal or that it is known that the editor will publish anything that contradicts AGW because of her upbringing.

In short if you want to discredit research you don't do it with a polemic/apologia but with other research.

#1031

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 11:08 AM

JePe. No. Just you and the stupid denialists that have infested this blog.

We label our denialists on a case by case basis.
Evolution denialists are usually deluded religious sheep.
Walked on the moon denialists, are crackpots or paranoid conspiracy theorists.

#1032

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 11:09 AM

So PZ, what do you think of the circularity of the main signal in Mann's hockey stick coming from strip bark bristlecones more sensitive to CO2 fertilization than to temperature. Do you understand that on that tautology hangs the horror of Kyoto?
=========================================

#1033

Posted by: Sales Machine | November 12, 2007 11:14 AM

If logic ruled the world Stevie C Smartypants, you wouldn't need the likes of me. The world is full of should'ers and do'ers...which one are you? What have you done lately to produce economic value for your fellow man?

If intelligence were the only measure of man, perhaps you would have it made. So you and the rest of the brainiacs around here should get over the copious atomic wedgies you suffered as youths, drop the the act, and get a sense responsibility and make a contribution that would really make a difference.

Get you hands dirty or get out of the way.

#1034

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 11:17 AM

Shall we remind Steve that unnecessary is hardly the same as impossible?
===========================================

#1035

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 11:18 AM

So Kim, are you a Young Earth Creationist, or an Old Earth Creationst?

#1036

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 11:22 AM

I sell drugs Salesman. Lots and lots of drugs.

It's nice that you value humanity one the dividends it pays though... brilliant philosophy.

So big oil are the saints and scientists lepers? Brilliant.

My plan is to get in your way.

#1037

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 11:28 AM

If I'm a creationist because I can't prove creationism false, then surely you are one too, if you can't prove it false. You are stumbling over your first baby steps in logic.
=========================================

#1038

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 11:30 AM

@ Stevie_C (#1031)

Considering the tone of this thread I am ashamed by the lack of civility by fellow atheists.

I don't know if Kim is a creationist, I do know that Al Gore is a Christian Fundamentalist.

Most interesting:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fred_Phelps#Support_for_Al_Gore

#1039

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 11:31 AM

Ethical drug salesmen are bound by law to tell the truth and nothing but the truth, but they are not required to tell the whole truth. Professionally, that is.
============================================

#1040

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 11:36 AM

JePe, I am not a creationist. Steve-C lies deliberately, but ingenuously. Tough that one. Deliberately because he should have read my refutation of creationism on the same thread that he picked the other quote up on. Ingenuously because he really has no clue about my point about falsification.
================================================

#1041

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 11:40 AM

"truth machine" should be renamed "Napoleon complex" (or at the very least, "insult machine"). You are going to feel pretty silly in a few years when people are crying "Global Cooling" again. I'm sure you'll find a way to link the two just to save face. You remind me of that comic book store owner on the Simpson's.

#1042

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 11:42 AM

@Stevie_c:
Off course creationism cannot be disproved. That is because it is setup in such a way that it is unfalsifiable.

#1043

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 11:44 AM

I didn't see your refutation of Creationism. Just that you state it can't prove it to be false. Which I disagree with. I didn't say I was a drug salesman. There's more than one way to sell drugs.

Al Gore is not a christian fundamentalist. That's absurd. Mike Huckabee is.

I'm uncivil to assholes, it doesn't matter if they're atheists.

#1044

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 11:46 AM

Thank you, Who Cares. But who set it up that way?
===============================

#1045

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 11:47 AM

@ Kim (#1040)

I did not think you were a creationist, the regular folks here at Pharyngula specialize in creationists and if you only have a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

#1046

Posted by: Peter Hunter | November 12, 2007 11:47 AM

Dearest Truth Machine,

reading your postings I really get the feeling that you are a kind of Insult Producing Machine (IPM) but if your name refers in any way to science then there is a contradictio in adjecto in your disgusting name: Truth!

By defintion science and truth can't considered as synonymic because every scientific statement and even theory is just a hypothesis about reality and possibly will be falsified one day. Truth(!) is a religious matter. So please just lower your head and pray, ask the LORD for enlightment about climate change; may be HE will help you to boost your little stinking rinky-dinky [TRUTH(?)]-machine. By the way, when you have choosed your name you obviously must have been in a dangerous state of overestimation of your abilities.

After all I find this thread quite funny. I'm a foreigner from old Europe and always interested in new English words. I have learned a lot of interesting swearwords here. Is that the normal way of dialog in the USA? How teachs PZ Myers his scholars? I guess they will become perfect cursers, but what else? Shame on him...
Here him and some other guys appear more like neanderthals than like homo sapiens sapiens.

I'm curious for your reply, dear IPM and for the funny invectives you will provide...

#1047

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 11:49 AM

It's probably #21 at the Kentucky thread, but I'm not going back there. Too many have insulted me while agreeing with me.

Now, I may return for amusement, but for now it palls. It's a small point I had there, but oh did they tussle over it like it was a big bone.
======================================

#1048

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 11:51 AM

It is easy to criticize creationists until you start going into how YOU think something came out of nothing. It usually comes down to the many world's theory, which states that what can exist does exist, but then you have to conclude that this allows for a creator or god. If this is the case, then such a god could have the power to create a consistent physical Universe, one that would throw the unfaithful into an fruitless hunt for what they think is truth.
This is why I think Atheists are bigots. I have more respect for Agnostics, even though they are so broad minded as to be unable to form an opinion.

#1049

Posted by: Jason Salinas | November 12, 2007 11:56 AM

My cat's breath smells like cat food.

#1050

Posted by: Sales Machine | November 12, 2007 11:57 AM

Tetrahydrocannibol and Psylopsybin or Phencyclidine and Benzoylmethyl Ecgonine?


NIce jump in inference with oil v. scientists. Could you step on your dick anymore? Most science minded folk in my opinion lack the social intuition to get anything tangible done on their own; this thread is, indeed, empirical proof of that. The outcasting they (you) deserve is of their (your) own making. Grow up!


PZ lined up two piss buckets for a silly contest; and from the looks of it they started overflowing with urine days ago. Perhaps you enjoy the smell.

#1051

Posted by: Who Cares | November 12, 2007 11:58 AM

@Kim:
I might not be on my best behavior on this thread (seeing that it is a troll/spam trap), have used some underhanded and sneaky debating tricks but I do value truth (biased from how I look at it)

#1052

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 12:01 PM

@ Stevie_C (#1043)

Al Gore is not a christian fundamentalist. That's absurd.

Well, he is a "born again christian".
You should really check Al Gore's political voting behaviour in the past.

#1053

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 12:05 PM

Who Cares, I know, but you were still as honest as any here. Now, merely as an exercise, try reading that paper as a believer.
===============================

#1054

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 12:07 PM

I suspect Gore would reject Phred now in a Washington Moment, but they do have a past.
======================================================

#1055

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 12:14 PM

Perhaps you enjoy it Macheen. You did come in here.
I'm not even a scientist, few in this thread are.
So what evidence are you claiming exists?

Besides that fact that the regulars here want
the AGW denialists to go away.
What evidence do you have?

David, yeah yeah something from nothing, heard it all before,
but then you have to skip the whole "where did gods come from?"
problem. Oh right, they exist outside the universe, laws within
the universe (and logic) don't apply to them.

#1056

Posted by: kim | November 12, 2007 12:20 PM

David, I thought I was an atheist until age fifteen, when I realized I could no more support the belief in no god as I could in God. Since then I have gloried in the twin blessings of curiosity and agnosticism. Several years ago, though, some moron told me about The Everlasting Man, and now I wonder about the limits of skepticism. Probably, I'm just getting old.
===================================================

#1057

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 12, 2007 12:22 PM

By the way, I don't understand Mann's explanation for the divergence. Would you care to explain it to me, Who Cares? Has it gone away?

I wish you all would explain your explanations as well as he does.

Here's an excellent overview article from New Scientist on the topic of this thread, worth quoting extensively:
[snip]
So the politics is nasty, but what about the science? First, the big picture. The rise in temperatures during the 20th century is generally accepted because it is based on direct measurements. What the hockey stick graph shows is that such a sustained and rapid rise is an anomaly in the context of the past thousand years. This is what you would expect if human activity is to blame for the 20th-century warming, but it is suggestive only. The warming might be caused by natural factors.

Evidence of human involvement comes from many other sources, including climate models. The simulations created by these models can be made to match the temperatures measured over the past 140 years only when the increase in greenhouse gases is included. These graphs also appeared in the 2001 IPCC summary.

The hockey stick has been repeatedly misrepresented as the crucial piece of evidence when it comes to industrialisation and global warming. It is not. Even if the hockey stick were shown to be a doodle that Mann did on a napkin during a night out, the evidence that the world is getting warmer, and that this warming is largely due to human activities, would still be overwhelming.

Fraught with danger

Leaving that aside, did Mann get it right? Does the hockey stick accurately reflect northern hemisphere temperatures over the past 1000 years? There is no doubt that reconstructing past temperatures from proxy data is fraught with danger. Take tree ring records. They sometimes reflect rain or drought rather than temperature. They also get smaller as a tree gets older, so annual or even decadal detail is lost. "You lose roughly 40 per cent of the amplitude of changes," says tree ring specialist Gordon Jacoby at Lamont-Doherty.

To reveal the "signal" behind the noise of short-term and random change, a proxy record for one region must be based on as many tree ring records as possible. It must also correlate with direct measurements of local temperature during the period of overlap - which adds another layer of complication, as in some cases human factors such as pollution might have affected recent tree growth.

So the first question is whether the proxy records Mann chose are reliable indicators of temperature. Some have been questioned. "He has a series from central China that we believe is more a moisture signal than a temperature signal," Jacoby says. "He included it because he had a gap. That was a mistake and it made tree-ring people angry."

Mann accepts that some of the measurements he uses do not directly represent temperature change. His argument is that, for instance, coral records showing rainfall levels in the Pacific are proxies for the El Niño cycle and so for changes in ocean temperatures. Jacoby is not convinced. "I'm not slamming what he did overall. It was a great effort, a great step," he acknowledges. "But he got into hot water by defending it too hard in places where he shouldn't."
[...]
Indeed, the proxy records suggest that high temperatures in one region tend to be balanced out by low temperatures in another. The tropical Pacific, for instance, appears to have cooled during the Medieval Warm Period and warmed during the Little Ice Age. "The regional temperature changes in our reconstruction are quite large; it's simply that they tend to average out," Mann says.

Most attacks on the hockey stick, however, focus on Mann's statistical methods. The meta-analysis he pioneered, in which different proxy records are merged, involves sorting and aggregating these signals and smoothing the result. Mann then meshed this proxy synthesis with the instrumental record.

Critics complain that by combining smoothed-out proxy data from past centuries with the recent instrumental measurements, which preserve more short-term trends, Mann created a false impression of anomalous recent change. "To be fair, Mann did correct that later on," Jacoby says. This made the blade shorter, but did not change much else. Mann also points out that he was one of the first to include error bars, which show how much variance is lost due to smoothing.
[...]
The charge from McIntyre and McKitrick, however, is that Mann's computer program does not merely accentuate this shape, but creates it. To make the point, they did their own analysis based on looking for differences from the mean over the past 1000 years instead of from the 20th-century mean. This produced a graph showing an apparent rise in temperatures in the 15th century as great as the warming occurring now. The shaft of the hockey stick had a big kink in it. When this analysis was published last year in Geophysical Research Letters it was hailed by some as a refutation of Mann's study.

McIntyre and McKitrick say that their work is intended to show only that there are problems with Mann's analysis; they do not claim their graph accurately represents past temperatures. "We have repeatedly made it clear that we offer no alternative reconstruction," McIntyre states on his Climate Audit blog.

The obscure statistical arguments were overshadowed in late 2005 when Mann refused to give Congressman Barton his computer code. Mann regarded the code as private property, but his opponents claimed he feared refutation of his findings. Mann did eventually publish the code, but the damage was done.

In the meantime, three groups had been scrutinising the claims of McIntyre and McKitrick. Hans von Storch of the GKSS Research Centre in Geesthacht, Germany, concluded that McIntyre and McKitrick were right that temperatures should be analysed relative to the 1000-year mean, not the 20th-century mean. But he also found that even when this was done it did not have much effect on the result. Peter Huybers of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Massachusetts came to much the same conclusion.

The work of Eugene Wahl of Alfred University, New York, and Caspar Ammann of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, raised serious questions about the methodology of Mann's critics. They found the reason for the kink in the McIntyre and McKitrick graph was nothing to do with their alternative statistical method; instead, it was because they had left out certain proxies, in particular tree-ring studies based on bristlecone pines in the south-west of the US.

"Basically, the McIntyre and McKitrick case boiled down to whether selected North American tree rings should have been included, and not that there was a mathematical flaw in Mann's analysis," Ammann says. The use of the bristlecone pine series has been questioned because of a growth spurt around the end of the 19th century that might reflect higher CO2 levels rather than higher temperatures, and which Mann corrected for.

What counts in science is not a single study, however. It is whether a finding can be replicated by other groups. Here Mann is on a winning streak: upwards of a dozen studies, some using different statistical techniques or different combinations of proxy records (excluding the bristlecone record, for instance), have produced reconstructions more or less similar to the original hockey stick.

CASE CLOSED! And give Fred Pearce an award for excellence in science writing.

#1058

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 12:22 PM

@Stevie_C (#1029)

I don't have to prove it false.

I don't ask you to prove it false, I only want to know what kind of empirical observation could falsify the AGW hypothesis.

#1059

Posted by: Andrew Wade | November 12, 2007 12:27 PM

David @ 863:

1. The sun emits a lot more infrared than visible spectrum. Go look it up.

I did:


Approximately 47% of the incident extraterrestrial solar radiation is in the visible wavelengths from 380 nm to 780 nm. The infrared portion of the spectrum with wavelengths greater than 780 nm account for another 46% of the incident energy ...

http://solardat.uoregon.edu/SolarRadiationBasics.html


The sun does emit many more infrared photons than in the visible range, but in terms of energy, they're about equal.


More CO2 would mean more heat emitted back into space.

True. But this would be due to increased thermal radiation due to a warmer atmosphere.


2. CO2 traps heat, which causes evaporation, which causes clouds to form, which causes visible spectrum to be reflected back into space, ...

To my knowledge, clouds do on the whole cool the earth, and are accounted for in modern climate models.


... which means less visible spectrum to be converted into heat by CO2.

It's not the solar radiation in the visible spectrum that is converted into heat, Nor is it the solar radiation in the near-infrared. The solar flux is very low at the wavelengths that CO2 is strongly absorbing, but the thermal radiation from the Earth is significant at one of the absoption peaks. What is true is that clouds can help cool the Earth by reflecting solar radiation back into space.


3. I cannot believe that so many smart people on this thread cannot see that everyone has a religion of some sort. Everyone worships something.

That's beside the point. Ideology need not be incompatible with empiricism and honesty.

#1060

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 12:34 PM

JePe. I wasn't talking about AGW. I was talking about creationism.

Kim claims she's not a creationist. But I read her posts and she was either claiming that ID is something to teach in science class because it strengthens scientific thinking because it's fallacies are a good lesson to learn. OR she thinks ID is a sound idea to be investigated.

If she thinks ID is a sound idea, she's a creationist.

And she's not too bright if she can be swayed by the religious arguments of a mormon.

Plus she's fallen for the 50/50 fallacy of god versus no god.

#1061

Posted by: Sales Machine | November 12, 2007 12:44 PM

Steve_C

The only evidence I claim exists in regards to this thread is that you and you compadres are a social misfits (a fact embodied the invective posts above). That makes you neither worthless nor pathetic, simply immature. There is a glaring irony (that is, in the classic definition of troll) to the consistent GOAT flames purveyed by you and your ilk.

You called down the thunder. Well, now you got it. -Russell as Earp in Tombstone

..and yet you wonder why it keeps coming. Habitual dick steppers always do.

Take a clue from Who Cares and kim...although they may eschew my endorsement, at least they possess the skill and will to be decent.

Again if the the world/universe abided soley in logic..you would have ceased flaming long ago.

#1062

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 1:12 PM

@ Stevie_C (#1060)

JePe. I wasn't talking about AGW. I was talking about creationism.

Yes, I saw that, but in #1022 I asked you explicitly to name empirical observations that could disprove the AGW hypothesis in your opinion. Until now you avoided to answer that question. Instead you started talking/writing about creationism, which was not the topic.

#1063

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 1:13 PM

Is it my fault you don't get it?

We got flooded by denialists from AC. We told them to bugger off. Yet they kept coming demanding a debate on AGW. One we never wanted or cared to engage. They came here with the insults, cluelessness and bullshit. Do they deserve decency and flowery language? No.

Yes, some have managed the stomach to debate them, or at least try to inform them. But like classic trolls, they just repeat themselves or move the goal posts.

You Macheen? You're just a pompous concern troll.

#1064

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 1:16 PM

Steve C: The government should get out of the child raising and education business. That solves whatever problem you have with what teachers teach. It is funny how many so called "multiculturalists" want to get rid of the most important part of many people's culture. Their multiculturalism is only skin deep. They want the world to look like the "it's a small world" ride, but everyone must be secular, atheist, and believe in economic equality and environmentalism above all else. Yes their two most dastardly sins: Economic inequality and being politically incorrect.

#1065

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 1:16 PM

I don't want to debate AGW. I could give a fuck about CA denialism. Plus, I think many more here are better at making an argument for AGW than I am.

This is an evodevo godless liberal blog. Even says so at the top. When I want to go talk about climate change, I'll go to realclimate.

#1066

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 1:20 PM

Religion is not important or even necessary.
It's a distraction and pointless.

That's why it's kept out of public schools ya big baby.

I want chruches to be taxed actually. Their tax exemption should end.

#1067

Posted by: Jason Salinas | November 12, 2007 2:00 PM

The only problem with most replications of Mann's work is that they use the same data and/or are peer reviewed by the same people. Another issue is the graph sticks the proxy records and measurement records together at the same time. Whatever it is that means.

The issue here is that religion is not logic, it's emotion. It's not facts that can be proven or disproven, because it's faith. I think that's Kim's point, there's no way to prove or disprove it.

The problem with any explanation, scientific or religious, of why we're here (an unimportant question as far as I'm concerned), is that it ultimately hits the same wall; where is the material from? So there's always a point where you have to say that question is unexplainable, unknowable and since we're clearly here, unimportant, since we're here regardless of the answer. Regardless if you use religion or science to explain it, you can't explain where everything came from. You also then have to try and wrap your mind around the idea of infinity; material that goes on forever, or the idea of nothingness; material that stops and has nothing on the other side of where it stops.

So in the end, the debate is meaningless.

#1068

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 2:17 PM

Religion is not important or even necessary.
It's a distraction and pointless.

You have a religion, you are just too blind to see it. The religion of non-religion, of worldly possessions, of worldly pleasure, etc. Benjamin Franklin once said "If mankind is this wicked with religion, imagine what we would be like without it."

#1069

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 12, 2007 2:19 PM

Er...for the record, I was addressing David with my chicken entrails comment. Carry on, everyone, but first, please shed a tear for David's poor, oppressed white Christian male heritage.

#1070

Posted by: JimC | November 12, 2007 2:22 PM

You have a religion, you are just too blind to see it. The religion of non-religion, of worldly possessions, of worldly pleasure, etc. Benjamin Franklin once said "If mankind is this wicked with religion, imagine what we would be like without it."

This is one of the most stupid posts I've read in quite awhile. Using 'religion' in this sense makes the word essentially meaningless and your comment even less so.

Worldly possessions doesn't even make sense as that is all anything is, the same for pleasure. There is nothing of merit in any of the above. And using Ben Franklin - no lover of religion- as your argument from authority is, well, odd.

#1071

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 2:22 PM

Then you have the religion of Athorism and Azeusism.

You just don't know it.

Is there something other than worldly pleasure?
I'm up for unworldly pleasures... what ya got?
Life should be enjoyed, not suffered through worrying about a fictional hell
or an enternity in heaven spent praising the man in the white robe (which sounds alot like my idea of hell).

#1072

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 2:34 PM

@ Stevie_C (#1064)

I don't want to debate AGW.

If you don't want to debate AGW, why the hell did you bother to react on me or Kim or others?

If you are so cocksure of AGW it can't be a problem to define just ONE empirical observation that could falsify the hypothesis.

#1073

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 2:34 PM

If that makes the term "religion" meaningless, then IT IS meaningless. That was my point. You are hypocrites and bigots. Everyone has a religion, a value system, a belief system, gods that they worship.

"
I have lived, Sir, a long time and the longer I live, the more convincing proofs I see of this truth -- that God governs in the affairs of men. And if a sparrow cannot fall to the ground without his notice, is it probable that an empire can rise without his aid? We have been assured, Sir, in the sacred writings that "except the Lord build they labor in vain that build it." I firmly believe this; and I also believe that without his concurring aid we shall succeed in this political building no better than the Builders of Babel:" ...

-- Ben Franklin.

#1074

Posted by: Jason Salinas | November 12, 2007 2:38 PM

Yes, of course, "the lord of this world has blinded the minds of the unbelievers" and everything.

But really, are you seriously trying to compare the faithful belief in a supreme being that has always existed and created everything from the same nothingness it came out of, to paying attention to worldly possessions and the human experience?

I am pretty sure I've never gotten on my knees on a Sunday and prayed to my car. But whatever floats your boat.

#1075

Posted by: JimC | November 12, 2007 2:51 PM

Everyone has a religion, a value system, a belief system, gods that they worship

I try not to participate in flame wars but really: You are a profoundly ignorant human being.

A value system is not a religion. Again your using the word in a way to make it mean nothing. A religion may incorporate a value system or many but they do note make it a religion.

#1076

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 2:53 PM

I am pretty sure I've never gotten on my knees on a Sunday and prayed to my car.

I know a guy who spends so much time polishing his car that he probably could have bought another one with all the time and labor he has put into it so far. Prayer is just a connection.

#1077

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 2:54 PM

Does the phrase "Fuck Off" ring a bell? That's pretty much been the extense of my postings to a great degree.

David. Belief system does not equal religion.

And yes, I agree with you, religion is meaningless.

#1078

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 2:59 PM

Wow. He's managed to downgrade polishing a car to prayer.

At least when you're done polishing a car you've accomplished something.

Prayer, not so much.

#1079

Posted by: JimC | November 12, 2007 3:04 PM

#1076 is just wow weak. So much for this discussion.

#1080

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 12, 2007 3:06 PM

"That was my point."

A point that neatly grasped it's own tail and devoured it until it vanished into nothingness.

#1081

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 3:09 PM

@Stevie_C (#1077)

You don't seem to have an answer, maybe your guru PZ Myers can answer my simple question:

What empirical evidence can falsify the AGW hypothesis?

I doubt if I will get a serious reply.

#1082

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 3:24 PM

Meet me over at CA! Hurry! I'm about to post!

#1083

Posted by: Jason Salinas | November 12, 2007 3:27 PM

In the end, it doesn't really matter if it's warming or not, or what causes our warming. The politicians overall are going to implement what the scientits tell them in a way the politicians want to implement them, however that is finally decided upon. Companies that will make money off of carbon controls will push certain legislation. Other companies that benefit in other ways will push other legislation. Other politicians and other companies that don't benefit or don't see one or would be harmed will fight certain things.

Nobody here has any control over it (basically), so arguing about what climate's doing and why is like arguing about religion or politics.

#1084

Posted by: Ozymandias | November 12, 2007 3:37 PM

JS...gotta love the irony of your typo: scientits. Freudian slip perhaps?

Nonetheless, fine post.

No control, indeed.

#1085

Posted by: Eisnel | November 12, 2007 3:53 PM

This thread is insane! I couldn't resist getting a comment in this 1000+ comment monster.

I'm a regular Pharyngula reader, and I know PZ is fond of using both barrels, which is what I like about this blog. At first I felt that his original post was even harsher than normal; PZ even admitted that he was cranky when he wrote it. But after sampling 1000+ comments (there's no way I'm going to read them all), PZ's original post seems tame in comparison. The pro-CA pit bulls that have been sent to troll here are pretty bad, but I'm sad to say that some of the Pharyngula supporters have also gone a bit too far. It seems to have made everybody cranky. It's strange how the anonymity provided by the internets allows people to say things they'd never say to each other over a beer.

What strikes me is that a lot of the anti-PZ commenters have been suggesting that Steve McIntyre has stayed above the fray by only saying nice and conciliatory things about other blogs. They try to paint McIntyre as the calm one and PZ as the lunatic. First, McIntyre doesn't need to say anything harsh because he's got hordes of vitriolic fans to do it for him. He can let his readers do the dirty work and keep his hands clean. Second, I read McIntyre's article about the voting. While he tries to play the good guy by suggesting that it should be a tie (which was a good idea), he repeatedly suggests that BA's supporters used vote bots. So out of one side of his mouth he suggests that both blogs deserve to win, and it's too close to call, while in the same breath he suggests that his opponent's supporters cheated. Instead of being conciliatory, I think McIntyre is saying that he is the obvious winner, AND he's also so magnanimous as to allow an undeserving runner-up to share the title. So he's not quite so kind as his supporters paint him. This whole debacle has become nasty, on all sides.

#1086

Posted by: Kseniya | November 12, 2007 3:58 PM

"David" must be a David Barton fan.

Franklin was not an atheist (he believed in a creator God) but he wasn't really a Christian (he doubted the divinity of Jesus.) He did not attend church. He supported the separation of church and state. He saw the primary function and benefit of institutional religion as being one of containment:

"Think how great a proportion of Mankind consists of weak and ignorant Men and Women, and of inexperienc'd Youth of both Sexes, who have need of the Motives of Religion to restrain them from Vice, to support their Virtue, and retain them in the Practice of it till it becomes habitual, which is the great Point for its Security."

I don't see how any of that supports the claim that !R = R. David's use of the Franklin quote was a non-sequitur.

#1087

Posted by: Jason Salinas | November 12, 2007 4:15 PM

Many "founding fathers" and many folks back then in the realms of the upper ranks of society were deists.

McIntyre said it wasn't worth the effort or time to find out who won, and that it seemed clear that both sets of votes had been subjected to some kind of automated hack. Once it became political in nature, it might have been (and probably was) people that don't usually even frequent the blogs, but politically motivated people. However, at the close of voting, his site was ahead after all.

Whatever, it's just an Internet poll, who cares.

#1088

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 4:25 PM

The only reason it's even a tie is because PZ sent is votes to two other blogs rather than just BA. If he had known CA was going to even come close to winning he would of never thrown the match. He tried to do something nice and the CA twits benefits.

I'd be bitter too.

#1089

Posted by: Owlmirror | November 12, 2007 4:31 PM

Behold the rain which descends from heaven upon our vineyards; there it enters the roots of the vines, to be changed into wine; a constant proof that God loves us, and loves to see us happy.

I just like that quote.

There's also this:

But I was scarce fifteen, when, after doubting by turns several points as I found them disputed in the different books I read, I began to doubt of the Revelation itself. Some books against Deism fell into my hands; they were said to be the substance of the sermons which had been preached at Boyle's Lectures. It happened that they wrought an effect on me quite contrary to what was intended by them. For the arguments of the Deists, which were quoted to be refuted, appeared to be much stronger than the refutations; in short, I soon became a thorough Deist.

Ben Franklin lived at a time when many were religious, and as a politician, he had to get along with them. Unsurprisingly, his public speeches — "That God governs in the Affairs of Men" was a speech — might not entirely reflect his private thoughts.

#1090

Posted by: Kseniya | November 12, 2007 4:50 PM

Indeed. Franklin wrote these words six weeks before his death, in response to a letter from Yale University president Ezra Stiles. I believe they accurately express his opinions at the time he wrote them:

Here is my creed. I believe in one God, Creator of the universe. That he governs it by his providence. That he ought to be worshipped. That the most acceptable service we render to him is doing good to his other children. That the soul of Man is immortal, and will be treated with justice in another life respecting its conduct in this. These I take to be the fundamental points in all sound religion, and I regard them as you do in whatever sect I meet with them.
As for Jesus of Nazareth, my opinion of whom you particularly desire, I think his system of morals and his religion, as he left them to us, the best the world ever saw or is likely to see; but I apprehend it has received various corrupting changes, and I have, with most of the present dissenters in England, some doubts as to his divinity; though it is a question I do not dogmatize upon, having never studied it, and think it needless to busy myself with now, when I expect soon an opportunity of knowing the truth with less trouble. I see no harm, however, in its being believed, if that belief has the good consequence, as it probably has, of making his doctrines more respected and better observed, especially as I do not perceive that the Supreme takes it amiss, by distinguishing the unbelievers in his government of the world with any particular marks of his displeasure.
#1091

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 5:28 PM

#1088

The only reason it's even a tie is because PZ sent is votes to two other blogs rather than just BA. If he had known CA was going to even come close to winning he would of never thrown the match. He tried to do something nice and the CA twits benefits.

I'd be bitter too.

PZM lost all credibility in this thread. History shows that the type of people who call others rats etc. as mr Myers does, (like Joseph or Adolf) probably don't have good intentions.

Mr. Myers reminds me of Trofim Lysenko (considering AGW).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trofim_Lysenko

#1092

Posted by: David | November 12, 2007 5:29 PM

David. Belief system does not equal religion.

From dictionary.com:

Religion:

1. A set of beliefs ...
2. A specific fundamental set of beliefs and practices ...
3. The body of persons adhering to a particular set of beliefs and practices ...

Pick which definition that you wish. I can give you a symbolic analogy to how you and the other so called non-religious really do have a religion when it comes down to basics.

#1093

Posted by: Dustin | November 12, 2007 5:39 PM

With a PZ = Hitler post followed by a post which not only quotes the dictionary, but also OMITS 75% of the definitions the dumbass is trying to quote, and the longest Pharyngula thread in memory, the Climate Auditors have verified that they are in fact more dishonest and more insane than the creationists.

And that's a feat if I've ever seen one.

#1094

Posted by: Jepe | November 12, 2007 5:53 PM

@Dustin

I don't call people rats, it's your host (Mr. P.Z. Myers) who did. I just observe and remind you that in general people who used this kind of terminology were not friendly to mankind.

#1095

Posted by: Robin Levett | November 12, 2007 5:58 PM

JePe:

What empirical evidence can falsify the AGW hypothesis?

It would be pretty easy to falsify AGW; a couple of thoughts on the evidence that would do so:

1 Evidence that CO2 does not absorb infra-red radiation as climatologists believe it does;

2 Evidence that burning fossil fuels does not release CO2;

3 Evidence that CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere have not increased from 280ppm to 385ppm over the period since the industrial revolution;

Many more similar observations could have falsified AGW; but your problem is that the evidence is in, and it is against you. There is a difference between unfalsifiable and unfalsified - AGW is unfalsified, not unfalsifiable, just like the theory of evolution.

#1096

Posted by: CalGeorge | November 12, 2007 6:04 PM

PZ = Hitler.

Butchering a few Zebrafish is not the equivalent of exterminating the Jews.

Surely you exaggerate, JePe.

#1097

Posted by: JohnS | November 12, 2007 6:09 PM

PZ liez, liez I tell you. Not little fibs but giant enormous fibs. Banned I was. I was too close to the truth that PZ was really pissed with his goons failing the beauty contest rig. Only let me back in after the 1000, which as I said before, rather unfortunately proves what a set of phuckwits his goons really are. Com'on PZ tell us who let you down. Truffer?. He didn't even fill the fridge with beer. You just can't buy good help these days.
JohnS

#1098

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 12, 2007 6:22 PM

If you were banned, why are you here?

Rigged? PZ won last year. And could of won easily this year.

BUT GET THIS THROUGH YOUR THICK FUCKING SKULL.

He told his regulars to vote for a BA after it looked like CA might win it.

He doesn't care about winning... he wanted another good SCIENCE blog to win.


#1099

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 6:26 PM

@ Robin Levett (#1095)

Show me first that CO2 is the culprit of the global warming that took place until 1998. Since 1998 the warming has stabilized, which is incompatible with the growing CO2 in the atmosphere.

#1100

Posted by: Owlmirror | November 12, 2007 6:46 PM

Someone who was banned and yet is still posting here must, obviously, be a morpher.

Who on this list could that possibly be?

http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/plonk.php

#1101

Posted by: JePe | November 12, 2007 6:48 PM

@ Calgeorge (1096)

Whoever calls humans "rats" as PZ. Myers did, places himself in the category of dubious figures.

Hitler used it upon jews/gypies.
Stalin used it upon his adverseries
Meyers used it upon "denialists"

It's a shame!

#1102

Posted by: Robin Levett | November 12, 2007 7:25 PM

JePe:

Show me first that CO2 is the culprit of the global warming that took place until 1998. Since 1998 the warming has stabilized, which is incompatible with the growing CO2 in the atmosphere.

Which, if true, would be extremely worrying. Fortunately, it's not.

However, this is beside the point - do you accept that the evidence I suggested would, if found, falsify AGW?

#1103

Posted by: Badger3k | November 12, 2007 8:33 PM

It took over a thousand posts before a Hitler comparison? Wow. Call the Zombie!

First the denialists are the Galilleo-types, then they are the Jews...what's next? Do we go back in time and they will compare themselves with the "ultimate martyr" (ie - the Christ fellow, unless they go further to, say, Dionysus, or any of the others)? This just keeps getting better and better.

#1104

Posted by: raindogzilla | November 12, 2007 9:41 PM

Just who is this Steve McIntire of whom many here so fawningly speak? Does He not speak Himself or is that act simply beneath Him- and better left to His blind, idiot minions? Is there some sort of Koolaid and Electrodes to the Genitals induction ceremony and is it only after passing that test that Steve's Truth will be revealed? Is His hold on them somehow cyberhypnotic? Does His blog only give the uninitiated browser a throbbing headache, while gently soothing the psyche of the faithful with His carefully arranged symbols and numbers? And is it true that by believing in Him one receives a coupon good for 50 cents off every gallon of gas that one guzzles?

I mean, seriously, PZ, why don't we get some Koolaid?

#1105

Posted by: Stuart Weinstein | November 12, 2007 10:01 PM

Francaois O writes "
So, about rewriting history, or just writing it. Oreskes claims, for example, that continental drift was rejected because it didn't fit the way the geologists of the time were doing science. And for her, that's a good enough excuse. But she doesn't really dwell on HOW it was rejected. How "drifters" were labeled as nuts, and how the slightest perception that you might consider the hypothesis as worthy of investigation was enough to stop your academic carreer. It's the "how" that is important. How peer pressure acts through the publication and funding system. Geologists of the 1920's knew full well how to conduct science."

Thanks for your cartoon version of history. Apparently you and your source left out the facts that perhaps the two greatest geologists of the 20th century, Sir Arthur Holmes and James Dutoit were among the "drifters" or at least anti-fixists.

The problems with Wegener's "Continental Drift" hypothesis are legion, though to a certain extent he was on the right track. Modern Plate Tectonics has little to do with Wegner, but is largely built
on the ideas of Holmes.

In Wegner's model, continentral drift was the motion of the sialic crust through the basalt sea-floor powered by an obscure force arising on rotating oblate spheroids "The Eotvos Effect". Geologists and Physicists were perfectly right to denounce this as the nonsense it was.

Holmes figured out the mechanism, thermal convection in the Earth's mantle, by the 1920's. Holmes and Dutoit tried to get Wegner to listen, but largely failed.

In some sense Wegner deserves a lot of credit for popularizing the issue, but because of a number of geological howlers he committed and his silly mechanism based on the Eotvos effect, he attracted the wrong kind of publicity in the scientific community. They were right to crap on him.

Holmes however persevered. He predicted the existence of subduction zones decades before they were discovered.

It wasn't bloggers or non-scientifically trained pundits who found eveidence for what is now called plate tectonics, but geologists themselves.

Sceince doesn't need the help of self-aggrandizing retards who think they are experts.

#1106

Posted by: Stuart Weinstein | November 12, 2007 11:00 PM

David writes:

"1. The sun emits a lot more infrared than visible spectrum. Go look it up. More CO2 would mean more heat emitted back into space.

2. CO2 traps heat, which causes evaporation, which causes clouds to form, which causes visible spectrum to be reflected back into space, which means less visible spectrum to be converted into heat by CO2."

And how's that been working out for Venus so far?

#1107

Posted by: Michael X | November 13, 2007 12:36 AM

Well I'll be damned. This might be the one thing that I have to actually give Truth Machine credit for. Not his own ability to never let an argument die, but his ability to lure the rest of you suckers in while constantly abusing you, only to reach a goal he made perfectly plain had nothing to do with you.

So he got to abuse you and get his wish.

Though I doubt that those of you still here will admit or even acknowledge to yourself that you've been played.

Let it never be said I don't give credit where credit is due.

#1108

Posted by: Kseniya | November 13, 2007 1:11 AM

David (#1092)

Wow, could you possibly be more dishonest? Or have you made an honest (if jaw-droppingly basic) logic error?

I believe this one is called an Illicit Conversion:

- All A are B, therefore all B are A.

- All dogs are mammals, therefore all mammals are dogs.

- All religions are belief systems, therefore all belief systems are religions.

Wrong, wrong, wrong.

A simple error, or rank dishonesty? Perhaps a little of both? Sadly, your use of ellipses gives you away. I've bolded the parts you left out, for easy identification:

1. a set of beliefs concerning the cause, nature, and purpose of the universe, esp. when considered as the creation of a superhuman agency or agencies, usually involving devotional and ritual observances, and often containing a moral code governing the conduct of human affairs.

2. a specific fundamental set of beliefs and practices generally agreed upon by a number of persons or sects: the Christian religion; the Buddhist religion.

3. the body of persons adhering to a particular set of beliefs and practices: a world council of religions.

Conclusion: Dishonesty.

Holy crumbling shortcake! You really believed you could get away with that kind of crap here?

Speaking of crap, JePe crapped all over whatever was left of his own credibility when he dragged Hitler into the discussion. Pathetic. Also interesting is that an AGW denialist would point to a short-term - and I mean really, really short, less than a decade - alleged discontinuity in the covariance between greenhouse-gas levels and warming trends. Grasping at straws, it seems.

#1109

Posted by: David | November 13, 2007 3:20 AM

And how's that been working out for Venus so far?
Venus is a lot closer to the sun, does not have an ocean, has a lot more CO2, has sulfur in the atmosphere, has slower rotation, etc., etc.

Kseniya: I was not being dishonest. I pointed to the source of the information (dictionary.com) and asked Steve C to pick one. I was emphasizing "set of beliefs," which is the only reason why I left the other stuff off. Assuming that Steve had picked the first one:

1. A set of beliefs concerning the cause, nature, and purpose of the universe.

Atheists believe in the Big Bang (a creation of the universe, when time starts). They believe in a Creation from nothing into something. The only difference is that the Creator is some physical process that has always been there somehow rather than a Creator god that is supernatural (outside the subset).

And before you cry foul, the rest of that definition starts with "usually" and "often" which obviously implies that they are not necessary.

#1110

Posted by: Robin Levett | November 13, 2007 4:03 AM

David (#1109):

So how many religions do you have?

#1111

Posted by: Stuart Weinstein | November 13, 2007 4:22 AM

David writes (in a vain attempt to extricate his head from his posterior cavity)

"And how's that been working out for Venus so far?
Venus is a lot closer to the sun, does not have an ocean, has a lot more CO2, has sulfur in the atmosphere, has slower rotation, etc., etc."

Homework for David. What would be the black-body temperatures of Venus and Earth if neither had atmospheres?

Yes it has a lot more CO2. It also has twice the Albedo too, and that is rather the point, which seems to have sailed right over your head.

SO it has sulfur? And how far down in the Venusian atmosphere is that? And one can only wonder what Venus's rotation rate has to with its mean surface temperature of 460C?

#1112

Posted by: Stuart Weinstein | November 13, 2007 4:35 AM

David writes:

"Atheists believe in the Big Bang (a creation of the universe, when time starts)."

Was George LeMaitre an Atheist? He was only President of the Pontifical Academy of Sciences and along with Gamow, an architect of the Big Bang theory.

"They believe in a Creation from nothing into something."

Ah yes, the comic book version of astrophysics. The Big Bang singularity was not "Nothing".


"The only difference is that the Creator is some physical process that has always been there somehow rather than a Creator god that is supernatural (outside the subset)."

That physical process "Big Bang" can be interrogated with the Scientific method. God can not.

"And before you cry foul, the rest of that definition starts with "usually" and "often" which obviously implies that they are not necessary."

The only thing I'm going to cry foul over is your lack of scientific knowledge and history. It drives you to put your foot in your mouth.

#1113

Posted by: Peter Hunter | November 13, 2007 5:38 AM

It's a pitty that most of the scientists and also the bloggers here aren't able to reflect philosophic matters. Very often they simply collect and interpret data in a system immanent way. In particular in the knowledge of history and philosophic consideration they often are poor and of big ignorance. Furthermore the abilities of rationality itself is extremely overrated by them.

In fact rationality is like a lawyer: always following the interest of a party. When you look at history you will learn that rationality always creates systems which are rational in a closed system of "rational" believes and that the trust in rationality alone leads to mass murder and holocaust.
The "Age of Enlighment" found its terrible awakening in the French Revolution, when Robespierre, Saint Just and others killed thousands in the name of rationality. Later Lenin, Stalin and Hitler did so, too. Georg Buechner, a German revolutionist of the 19th century wrote "Dantons Tod" a play about the death of Danton, one of the leaders of the French revolution of 1792. Saint Just's speech in this play is a shining sample how rationality provides the basic for killing. In this speech he passionately affirms and glorifies the unyielding and inhuman necessity of history, the march of revolution which grinds underfoot whole generations that stand in its way, likening its effects to the irrestible eruption of a volcano or an earthquake. And he points out that it is pure rationality to recognize the essential way of history and to act as a tool of it. As a tool of history you have to forget of moral values, compassion and love, you have to act in the necessary way and you have no personal responsibility for you actions. And so Lenin, Stalin, Mao and Hitler sent out the NKDW, the revolution gards, the SA and SS to kill millions and millions in the name of rationality as each of them understood it.

Obviously human beings are not able to hold on moral values only by rationality. It looks like there must be something else what asks you very personally: "What are you doing? Why do you slaughter your brother?"
If you call this questioner conscience then you have to ask where comes conscience from? If you only consult rationality, rationality will tell you that it is not rational to pamper all those old people suffering from dementia in the homes for the aged, it is not rational not to kill all those thugs in the jails who have no chance for socialize and cost a lot of money and bear a lot of risk for the honest citizens. There is only one entity who says as a fixed point beyond of human scrutinizing and relativization : You shall not murder and you shall honour your father and your mother! In old Shinto and Buddhist Japan the elders often were sent to the mountains to die from starvation. This was very rational because it saved capabilities for the youngsters (but it missed love and compassion).

By the way: to call human beings "rats" is disgusting and reveals a serious lack of education and a limited view on moral values. Last time I've read this in relation to human beings was in a newspaper called "The Stuermer" (The Storm Trooper) a Nazi-magazine from the 30th of the 20th century and it referred to the Jews. So please be carefull with your swearwords, killing starts with killing words which deny someones humanity!

#1114

Posted by: Goatboy | November 13, 2007 7:00 AM

Wow 1113 posts and the concern trolls continue to Godwin.

Peter,

PZ's rat analogy was drawn against a specific type of behaviour.

Now personally, I don't like the analogy, since I have far less fondness for the parade of whining shills that have recently infested this blog than I generally hold for members of the genus rattus.

In fact, it's safe to say in thirty years I've not once encountered a rat that whored itself or its intellectual honesty for corporate interests.

But the behaviour that PZ cited has been evidenced over and over again in this very thread and no tediously sanctimonious post from you, however long, is going to change that.

The CA readership introduced themselves and lo' PZ was vindicated.

In fact, one member of the infestation is currently in another thread claiming ID as science, "because it's not impossible".

Frankly,

You guys are one big old heaped load of fail.

#1115

Posted by: JohnS | November 13, 2007 7:01 AM

Hey Michael- he -of -the- mysterious-X. Truffy did battle manfully. However I'm not sure however who was pulling who here old boyo. Confirmed for me what beauty contest rig failures you all were, although all you PZ goons, in delightful turns of phrase, were always keen to tell that old PZ had no winning intention. Indeed over 1000 posts to defend what was said to be not important. Stretches truth as well as other body parts don't you think, you wankers. Better effort expected next year- of course thats right - PZ is not interested in winning. Hahahahahaha. Did I say you lost. Hahahahaha
JohnS

#1116

Posted by: wildlifer | November 13, 2007 7:36 AM

Why argue with loons who think water vapor, which lasts ~10 days in the atmosphere, is responsible for climate change?

Giggles?

#1117

Posted by: Andrew Wade | November 13, 2007 7:57 AM

Indeed over 1000 posts to defend what was said to be not important.

I don't think us "PZ goons" ever said AGW was not important. What some of us said was that we were not interested in argument, and "the truth machine" has in fact been fairly consistent in supplying abuse instead of argument. What I don't find credible is claims that denialists are unwanted here. It may be true for the blog in general, but with regards to this thread they are wanted--wanted as targets to abuse.

#1118

Posted by: Barn Owl | November 13, 2007 7:59 AM

I think that "JohnS" might be the aneuploid ghost of James Joyce.

O, rocks! she said. Tell us in plain words.

#1119

Posted by: Peter Hunter | November 13, 2007 8:33 AM

Dear Mr. Weinstein,

the big bang theory claims (be aware it's just a claim, it may be wrong, it's a theory - probably we will have a better one some day) that in the moment of the big bang there was a mass with a volume of zero and without the dimension of time. "Before" the big bang there was no time.
Accordingly to definition time is a dimension wherein the phenomena of cause and impact happen. When there is no time then there is no cause and no impact. If the beginning of time itself starts with the big bang, with the beginning of the universe (as stated by space-time-theorem) the cause of the big bang, which happened at a point of not existing time, must be something existing in a "time" dimension completely independent from space and time of our universe. There is no other way to understand the start of the big bang by logical reflection, because: there is nothing without sufficient reason that it is (principium rationis sufficientis - Leibnitz). This means that this "something" is transcendent and is neither inside the universe nor is it the universe itself. Because this something was the cause of the big bang we can call it Creator or God.

Stephen Hawkings suffered a lot by the problem of the not existing time before the big bang and tried to save his idea of a self creating universe by "imaginary time" which should be existent 10 to 43 seconds before the real time began. So our materialistic friends have a lot of problems to solve because a volume of zero and an imaginary time is just another word for "I don't know what is was!" Hawkings claims that his calculations about this imaginary time are correct and work out means nothing. Sir Herbert Dingle refers to the possibility to provide imaginary things as real in mathematics:
"You can tell logical truth and logical lies in mathematics and inside mathematics there is no way to distinguish one from the other. You only can differentiate them via logical reflection and experience outside of mathematics. You have to evaluate the possible relation between mathematical solution and physical execution then."

Hawkings reason to claim an imaginary time was, that he dislikes the original big bang theory because it "indicates a divine creation" and this he denies because he can't believe it.

#1120

Posted by: MartinM | November 13, 2007 8:58 AM

Well, that looks remarkably like reheated Hugh Ross material.

Tell me, Peter, do you actually understand the material you're using, or are you just a mindless parrot?

#1121

Posted by: wildlifer | November 13, 2007 9:36 AM

I'm sorry man, I just can't take anyone named "Peter Hunter" seriously. If that's his real name, just how fucked and cruel up were his parents?

#1122

Posted by: spurge | November 13, 2007 9:38 AM

Better name than Richard Hunter...

#1123

Posted by: truth machine | November 13, 2007 10:06 AM

"the truth machine" has in fact been fairly consistent in supplying abuse instead of argument

That's false. Virtually every one of my posts included argument, even if they included abuse. However, much of the argument was not about AGW, it was about the topic PZ wrote about -- trolling by AGW deniers, and how and why they aren't wanted here. And the abuse was always connected to the point, it wasn't abuse for its own sake.

#1124

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 13, 2007 10:55 AM

I noticed Kim never returned for her/his abuse on ID.

"I'm not a creationist"

Uh huh.

#1125

Posted by: Sales Machine | November 13, 2007 11:09 AM

@TM 1123, that does not change the fact that you are a social misfit, who would rather step on his own dick than close a deal. That is you ultimately value acrimony over harmony.

Like Stevie, this fact neither makes you worthless nor pathetic, simply immature. You may be intelligent, indeed f'n brilliant, but you possess neither the skill nor will to be decent. I sure you think you have many friends and admirers, but I am sure your at large appeal is minimal.

You may not care, but I believe that's what behaviorists call antisocial.

#1126

Posted by: David | November 13, 2007 11:34 AM

So how many religions do you have?

The first Commandment states "thou shalt have no other gods before me". This has never meant just literal gods such as pagan gods, etc. This means that one should not "worship" money, worldly things, lust for the flesh, etc. Christians struggle every day not to have "other gods" before Him. We are not perfect, of course.

Homework for David. What would be the black-body temperatures of Venus and Earth if neither had atmospheres?

If you were to measure the temperature on Venus at one earth atmosphere pressure, you'd find similar temperatures to what we have here on earth.

That physical process "Big Bang" can be interrogated with the Scientific method. God can not.

A thought experiment:

1. Atheist A exists in set of equations X
2. Entity B exists in superset of X labeled Y
3. Atheist A, no matter how hard he or she tries, would never be able to measure Y, as they are limited to the set of equations X.
4. Atheist A spends all his or her time measuring X and disbelieving in Y simply because they cannot measure it.

My point was that even Atheists have a religion. It doesn't matter if it is based on measurable things. Everyone worships something.

#1127

Posted by: MartinM | November 13, 2007 11:53 AM

1. Atheist A exists in set of equations X 2. Entity B exists in superset of X labeled Y 3. Atheist A, no matter how hard he or she tries, would never be able to measure Y, as they are limited to the set of equations X.

That doesn't make much sense. If X is a closed set of equations, of what relevance is Y? Your entity B would never be able to do anything that violated the rules of X. You've just defined God into pointlessness. It can't be measured because it doesn't do anything.

#1128

Posted by: David | November 13, 2007 11:57 AM

If X is a closed set of equations, of what relevance is Y?

I never said it was a closed set. The set of equations themselves in atheists equations X prevent the Atheist from measuring Y.

#1129

Posted by: JimC | November 13, 2007 11:57 AM

The first Commandment states "thou shalt have no other gods before me". This has never meant just literal gods such as pagan gods, etc. This means that one should not "worship" money, worldly things, lust for the flesh, etc. Christians struggle every day not to have "other gods" before Him. We are not perfect, of course.

Again clueless these are not religions.

My point was that even Atheists have a religion. It doesn't matter if it is based on measurable things. Everyone worships something.

As hard as it is to believe you are profoundly incorrect. You start with a bizarre assumption and then put your fingers in your ears.

. Atheist A exists in set of equations X 2. Entity B exists in superset of X labeled Y 3. Atheist A, no matter how hard he or she tries, would never be able to measure Y, as they are limited to the set of equations X. 4. Atheist A spends all his or her time measuring X and disbelieving in Y simply because they cannot measure it.

This is not a thought experiment because it required little thought to make it and even less to see it's flaws.

You have to have evidence that the superset of Y even exists in the first place. This same silly ass experiment could be applied to invisible floating teapots.

And if atheist X can't measure it what makes you think you can measure/feel/know anything about it either? Simply -You can't so stop pretending.

#1130

Posted by: JimC | November 13, 2007 11:59 AM

The set of equations themselves in atheists equations X prevent the Atheist from measuring Y

Really, are you in 5th grade. The 'atheist' is simply a human being. If he can't measure Y then neither can anyone else. Again- no evidence of existence.

There is no set for atheists and theists. It's all the same data.

#1131

Posted by: MartinM | November 13, 2007 12:01 PM

I never said it was a closed set. The set of equations themselves in atheists equations X prevent the Atheist from measuring Y.

That will only be true if Y has no effect on X. Hence, closed set.

#1132

Posted by: Rey Fox | November 13, 2007 12:13 PM

See also Shit, Making Up

#1133

Posted by: Kseniya | November 13, 2007 12:46 PM

I was emphasizing "set of beliefs"

Exactly. At the expense of meaning. That's dishonest. I emphasized the remainders of the definitions you butchered, to adjust for your dishonesty.

David, you cannot arbitrarily assign values to words and the claim the new values prove your points.

Look up "belief". There are four definitions. Only one mentions religion. You have performed an illicit conversion. Your arguments are specious. And you will never see that, let alone admit it. None are so blind as those who will not see.

#1134

Posted by: Stevie_C | November 13, 2007 12:56 PM

I'm not antisocial.

I'm anti fuckwits like yourself Sales Macheen.

You come here from nowhere with your bullshit concern and jockass comments, not knowing any of us and saying you have evidence as to why scientists fail.

You're an ass. I don't have to be nice to you. I have no reason to be. You've shown that you deserve exactly the treatment I gave you.

Fuckoff.

I don't step on my dick. I smack idiots, like you, in the face with it.

#1135

Posted by: David | November 13, 2007 1:09 PM

Exactly. At the expense of meaning. That's dishonest.

No, Steve C said that religion was not a belief system, yet every single definition started with "a set of beliefs". My logic is not flawed, nor was I being dishonest.

The 'atheist' is simply a human being. If he can't measure Y then neither can anyone else. Again- no evidence of existence.

Incorrect. Think of a person living in three dimensional space "interacting" with people living in a subset: two dimensional space. The two dimensional beings would only be able to measure a limited subset of three dimensional space: the intersection with their two dimensions. This is perfectly plausible.

That will only be true if Y has no effect on X. Hence, closed set.

I explained it above.

#1136

Posted by: David | November 13, 2007 1:16 PM

Again clueless these are not religions.

Religion is "a set of beliefs," therefore if you have multiple religions they are really just one religion to you. Set A union set B = Set C.

#1137

Posted by: Jordan | November 13, 2007 1:17 PM

#1000: "1000 and I'm out of here."
Falsified by #1123

#1107: "Though I doubt that those of you still here will admit or even acknowledge to yourself that you've been played."
Also Falsified by #1123

#844: "suck my left tit until the right one gets jealous"
Unfalsifiable, vulgar, but oddly interesting!

#1138

Posted by: CJO | November 13, 2007 1:36 PM

It took over a thousand posts before a Hitler comparison?
Of course not. We're dealing with denialists, remember?
The thread got Godwined back in the 300s, iirc.