OK, not really a betting pool, as there will be no cash wagered. This is strictly for amusement.
The projected arrival date for FutureBaby is July 28th, which is two weeks from tomorrow. Of course, the actual arrival date could be any day in the next month or so. We also don't know the sex of FutureBaby-- our doctors do, thanks to our adventure with the first-trimester screening test, but we asked not to be told.
Thus, this a perfect topic for a blog contest:
Guess the delivery date and sex of FutureBaby, win a prize.
Eligible dates are between July 14th and August 11th, inclusive. Eligible sexes are "male" or "female." (It seems silly to have to specify that, but this is the Internet...). That makes 58 unique possible guesses. If two or more people choose the correct date and sex, the winner will be the person who chose it first (based on comment timestamps).
The winner gets bragging rights, plus their choice of something small and tacky from Japan, or the right to dictate one post topic for the blog (that is, you name the topic, I'll write about it, while sleep-deprived from having a new baby in the house. Fun for the whole family!). Leave your guesses in the comments.
(One date per comment, one comment per person. Void where prohibited by the laws of physics. Doctors who have access to Kate's medical files (or members of their families) are not eligible.)
Comments
# 1 | mollishka | July 13, 2008 12:19 PM
I'll go for my grandfather's birthday (iirc) of July 31, and say female.
Hope you're stocking up on sleep :)
# 2 | Tara C. Smith | July 13, 2008 12:31 PM
My daughter was 5 days past her due date, so I'll say Aug 2 for the date. Having both a boy and a girl, my son was *really* obvious on the ultrasound, so if you're still in the dark, I'll wager FutureBaby will also be female. Hope Kate's doing well...
# 3 | scottyk | July 13, 2008 12:39 PM
August 1 and female
# 4 | tcmJOE | July 13, 2008 12:47 PM
July 30th. Female.
# 5 | Jim T | July 13, 2008 12:55 PM
July 28th (hey, *someone* has to make the guess that it'll be the actual due date), female.
I am not a member of the family of any of the medical files.
# 6 | Steve T. | July 13, 2008 1:01 PM
Aug 4, female.
# 7 | Natalia | July 13, 2008 1:40 PM
August 9th, female.
# 8 | Chad Orzel | July 13, 2008 3:17 PM
My daughter was 5 days past her due date, so I'll say Aug 2 for the date. Having both a boy and a girl, my son was *really* obvious on the ultrasound, so if you're still in the dark, I'll wager FutureBaby will also be female. Hope Kate's doing well...
Kate is doing fine. Everything has gone very smoothly since the first-trimester drama.
Regarding the obviousness, I should note that the ultrasound tech deliberately did not look at the relevant area. She said that's her usual practice unless parents specifically ask her to check the sex, because people kept finding out more than they wanted to know.
Amusingly, people we've talked to in person about this have overwhelmingly guessed that FutureBaby will be male, while Internet voting is running overwhelmingly in favor of female.
In case you'd like to use some appearance-based bit of folk wisdom, to guess the sex, here's the link to the pregnancy mug shot gallery, up through last week.
# 9 | Uncle Al | July 13, 2008 3:40 PM
0300 hrs 26 July, male, 500 quatloos.
# 10 | LindseyG | July 13, 2008 3:49 PM
july 23rd. Male.
# 11 | chezjake | July 13, 2008 3:58 PM
July 27th, female.
# 12 | Josh Rosenau | July 13, 2008 4:02 PM
July 26th, male.
# 13 | magista | July 13, 2008 4:16 PM
I'll go for an outlier: August 10th, before noon, male.
# 14 | Tony Zbaraschuk | July 13, 2008 4:30 PM
August 2nd, female.
# 15 | John Dilick | July 13, 2008 4:41 PM
August 1st, male.
# 16 | kgus | July 13, 2008 4:49 PM
July 28, male.
# 17 | Christopher Davis | July 13, 2008 4:51 PM
August 3, male.
# 18 | Ron | July 13, 2008 4:57 PM
August 9th, male.
# 19 | Pam | July 13, 2008 4:58 PM
26 July, girl.
# 20 | Konrad | July 13, 2008 5:13 PM
July 29th, female
# 21 | Michael I | July 13, 2008 5:20 PM
July 29, male
# 22 | Raincitygirl | July 13, 2008 5:23 PM
July 30, female
# 23 | Mary Aileen | July 13, 2008 5:52 PM
August 6, female.
# 24 | Squiddhartha | July 13, 2008 5:58 PM
I'll vote August 8, the night of the next roller derby bout I'll be announcing. As for gender... a flip of the coin says "female." Best wishes!
# 25 | Moony | July 13, 2008 6:01 PM
I'm going to go with July 27, a boy.
>:)
# 26 | beth | July 13, 2008 6:03 PM
Late pregnancy was among my least favorite times, so I'll guess July 14th, a boy.
# 27 | lylebot | July 13, 2008 6:09 PM
July 20th, boy.
# 28 | Rivka | July 13, 2008 6:10 PM
August 5th, a girl.
(I'm laughing at all these people who are predicting early. The average gestation for a first time mother is 41 weeks, 1 day.)
# 29 | ...tom... | July 13, 2008 6:51 PM
...
Wait a minute, have to set up an Excel spreadsheet to find an open spot...
Rivka (#28) seems to know what she is talking about. I will take August 5th, male. I do not think anyone has picked that date yet...
Good luck/health to mom/dad/baby..!!
...tom...
.
# 30 | Kylinn | July 13, 2008 6:59 PM
August 7th, female
# 31 | Yoon Ha Lee | July 13, 2008 7:32 PM
August 2, girl.
I'm glad to hear Kate is doing well. :-)
# 32 | Anne | July 13, 2008 7:43 PM
August 11, Male (in keeping with my own waiting until the last minute boy)
# 33 | Rush-That-Speaks | July 13, 2008 8:18 PM
August 3rd, female.
Hopefully it won't be very hot out, whenever it is...
# 34 | Sherri | July 13, 2008 8:24 PM
I'll pick July 17th, male.
# 35 | Janne | July 13, 2008 8:49 PM
August 5th, boy.
(only because Aug 4 and female was taken)
# 36 | Amplexus | July 13, 2008 9:52 PM
How do we know this isn't rigged and you already know it's going to be sexless/multipenis/octovulva ect?
# 37 | capella | July 13, 2008 10:20 PM
8/4, male
# 38 | Steinn Sigurdsson | July 13, 2008 11:48 PM
Aug 2 - female
# 39 | Kate Nepveu | July 14, 2008 7:10 AM
Amplexus: well, you don't. You just have to take our word that we are quite sure that FutureBaby is either XX or XY, because our doctors would have said if the amnio showed otherwise. And yeah, that doesn't exhaust every possibility, but the odds are such that we're willing to go with "male" or "female" for these purposes . . .
Rivka: The average gestation for a first time mother is 41 weeks, 1 day.
Yeah, but FutureBaby is a baby of the Future!!!! and thus, umm, something.
# 40 | cisko | July 14, 2008 7:48 AM
July 31, male. And full of gumption, I'm sure!
# 41 | Adam Lipkin | July 14, 2008 9:04 AM
August 6, Male.
# 42 | CaptainBooshi | July 14, 2008 9:46 AM
July 15th, male
Since someone's already picked two weeks late and male, the circumstances of my birth, I'll go with the exact date of my birth instead, even though I know there's no real chance of it being this early.
# 43 | Scott Spiegelberg | July 14, 2008 1:59 PM
8/8/08, male.
# 44 | Honu-girl | July 14, 2008 2:05 PM
July 17, male.
I hope it's sooner rather than later - looks like the baby may have "dropped" in the mug-shots, so I'm thinking soon!
Good luck, and best wishes. I'll repeat, stock up on sleep NOW.
# 45 | Ewan | July 15, 2008 10:31 PM
July 31, female. [Albeit my *real* guess is Aug 4th, but I'm coming late to this!]
If it happens to hit July 14, male, and hence emulate me, I'll donate a suitable memento of le quatorze juillet!
# 46 | Ellen | August 2, 2008 2:18 PM
I'm putting in for August 8, male.
# 47 | Aunt Marie | August 7, 2008 10:22 AM
Aug. 8 - definitely a boy!!!!!