I have been sufficiently out of it that I didn’t realize the Nobel Prizes were due to be announced this coming week. Which means there’s only a small amount of time to get my traditional betting pool set up…
So, here are the rules:
1) To enter, leave a comment to this post specifying the Prize category and the winner(s). For example, you might write “Physics, to Lee Smolin and Lubos Motl,” or “Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, to Larry Summers and John Lott.”
2) One entry per person per prize. That is, you can pick one and only one winner for the Physics prize, but you are allowed to pick winners for both Physics and Chemistry. You can’t hedge your bets by making multiple entries for the Physics prize.
3) Nominations close at midnight Eastern (US) time of the day before the official announcement date on the Nobel website, so, for example, bets on the Physiology or Medicine prize have to be in by midnight Sunday. The exception is the Literature prize, because the people who award it are too artsy to commit to a date; bets on the Literature prize thus have to be in by midnight Wednesday, October 5.
4) If you correctly predict the winner of a Nobel, you are entitled to your choice of either one guest post on this blog (subject to restrictions below the fold), one post written by me on a topic of your choosing (subject to restrictions below the fold), or a copy of How to Teach Physics to Your Dog in the language of your choice (provided you choice is one of Chinese, Czech, US English, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Portuguese, Spanish, or Turkish). One book per winning commenter, though if you correctly guess multiple nominees, you can claim one blog post per correctly predicted winner.
5) In the event that two or more people choose the correct winner for a given prize category, the tie will be broken based on the time stamp of the comments, so get your guesses in early.
Betting opens, well, now. Go to it.
Restrictions: This contest is not open to members of the Swedish academies that choose the winners, nor their employees or immediately relatives. (As if that’s likely to come up…)
Winners of guest posts will be asked to send an article suitable for posting to me. If I deem the content of the post to be problematic in some way, I will ask for revisions or a new article on a different topic. I will not post anything excessively inflammatory, insensitive, or impolitic in ways that might get me in trouble.
Winners of specific topic requests will be asked to send me the topic on which they would like a post. I will commit to writing a response of some sort within one week of receiving the question; however, I reserve the right to write a flippant, blow-off answer should I deem the topic problematic in some way.
Decisions on what is suitable for posting, as always, are mine and mine alone. If you don’t like it, well, there are lots of other blogs out there, or you could start your own.