Climate Change and the Integrity of Science redux

This discussion is so little, comes so late, and misses the vital point that the impact of unbridled global human population growth is the proverbial 'mother' of all human-driven global threats to future human well being and environmental health on our watch. This challenge must be acknowledged. For knowledgeable elders to continue to deny extant science is a breach of duty both to science and humanity. Scientists in large numbers have got to become more vocal and active in the public domain now. Their silence is a huge problem.

Many too many scientists have unassumed responsibilities to accept and unfulfilled duties to perform when they refuse to report on all extant research of critical subjects like human population dynamics and human overpopulation. The mainstream media is full of preternatural thought and ideological idiocy that is presented as if such thinking and theorizing had the support of the best available science with regard to the skyrocketing growth of the human species in our time. The failure of so many self-proclaimed experts on matters regarding the human population to skillfully examine, carefully interpret, objectively evaluate, and openly share data is unforgiveable. How about joining me by acknowledging this problem and then doing something to overcome it....fast? Perhaps Pogo was right after all, 'We have met the enemy and we are it.' The continuing denial of Pogo's understanding is proving ruinous of all we claim to be protecting and preserving.

A note from a friend regarding the failures of scientists to respond ably to the challenges of our time..... " -- They feel like they have done important science, and they leave it to the public and politicians to react.

-- They roughly agree that about half of their colleagues have just checked out - they see what is coming, see little to do about it and are resigned to doing their job and disengage from the issue.

-- researchers are keenly aware that US climate research funding is sadly below what other nations are doing (academic, satellite, computational).

-- And sadly that US governments agencies are squabbling factions of inefficiency.

The deadline of known predictions of climate change events - such as sea level rise are proving correct. There are laws of thermodynamics rather than "theory" of melting ice. "

The problem appears to be that inevitable physical climate changes will unfold sooner than human evolutionary thinking and acting can mobilize to mitigate the changes. Just a theory

Questions from a friend for scientists:

1.Why are we driving our numbers and activity levels relentlessly towards the moon, in the face of clear and present dangers that should be obvious to everyone?

2.Why is humanity as a global whole so impervious to behavior change when new knowledge is presented? Is there something about this particular set of behaviors that make us especially resistant to changing them?

3.Why are we apparently so afraid of stopping (let alone reversing) our growth?

4.Why does all of accessible human history, and the history of life and the universe itself, display constantly growing elaboration of structure, and why can we not prevent that elaboration from appearing within human culture, despite its deleterious effects?

The ecological science of human population dynamics and human overpopulation of the Earth is remarkably simple. For too long a time human population growth has been comfortably and pseudoscientifically viewed by politicians, economists and demographers as somehow outside the course of nature, somehow disconnected from the population dynamics of other evolved species on Earth. The possible causes of human population growth have seemed to them so complex, obscure and numerous, so they have said for too many years, that an adequate understanding of the cause of human population growth, much less a strategy to address the emerging and converging ecological problems posed by the unbridled growth of the human species, has been assumed to be unapproachable. Their preternatural grasp of human population dynamics has lead to widely varied forecasts of human population growth. Some forecasting data indicate the end to human population growth soon. Other data suggest the rapid and continuous increase of human numbers ad infinitum, and like the endless expansion of the global economy, without adverse impacts. Can any thinking person even imagine ‘endless growth’ of human numbers or the global political economy in the world we inhabit? How about the Second Law of Thermodynamics? The dogmatic adherence of so many politically correct experts to erroneous, unscientific theory regarding automatic population stabilization around the midpoint of Century XXI and a benign demographic transition to a good life for the human community at large cannot be accepted any longer as if it is based upon the best available evidence. This thinking is absurd on its face.

Recent scientific evidence appears to indicate that the governing dynamics of absolute global human population numbers is knowable as a natural phenomenon. Despite all the misleading, intellectually dishonest and deliberately deceptive ‘scientific’ research to the contrary, Homo sapiens can be shown to be, and now seen, as a species that is a part of and definitely not separate from the natural world we inhabit. Experts in politics, economics and demography have consciously fostered and continue obdurately to countenance a perilous disconnect between ecological science and political economy. Perhaps politics, economics and demography are themselves disciplines that are fundamentally disconnected from science. They appear to have more in common with ideology rather than science. To suggest as many too many politicians, economists and demographers have been conveniently doing that understanding the dynamics of human population numbers does not matter, that the human population problem is not about numbers, or that human population dynamics has so dizzying an array of variables as not to be suitable for scientific investigation, seems wrongheaded and dangerous.

According to research of Russell Hopfenberg, Ph.D., and David Pimentel, Ph.D., global population growth of the human species is a rapidly cycling positive feedback loop in which food availability drives population growth and the recent, skyrocketing growth in absolute global human numbers gives rise to the misconception or mistaken impression that food production needs to be increased even more. Data indicate that the world’s human population grows by approximately 2% per year. All segments of it grow by about two percent. Every year there are more people with brown eyes and more people with blue ones; more people who are tall as well as more short people. It also means that there are more people growing up well fed and more people growing up hungry. The hungry segment of the global population goes up just like the well-fed segment of the population. We may or may not be reducing hunger by increasing food production; however, we are most certainly producing more and more hungry people.

Hopfenberg’s and Pimentel’s research suggests that the spectacularly successful efforts of humankind to increase food production in order to feed a growing population has resulted and continues to result in even greater human population numbers worldwide. The perceived need to increase food production to feed a growing population is a widely shared and consensually validated misperception, a denial both of the physical reality and the space-time dimension, a colossal misunderstanding. If people are starving at a given moment of time, increasing food production and then distributing it cannot help them. Are these starving people supposed to be waiting for sowing, growing and reaping to be completed? Are they supposed to wait for surpluses to reach them? Without food they would die. In such circumstances, increasing food production for people who are starving is like tossing parachutes to people who have already fallen out of the airplane. The produced food arrives too late. Even so, this realization does not mean human starvation is inevitable.

Consider that the population dynamics of humankind is not biologically different from, but essentially common to the population dynamics of other species. Human organisms, non-human organisms and even microorganisms have similar population dynamics. In all cases the governing relationship between food supply and population numbers of any living thing is this: food is independent variable and population numbers is the dependent variable. We do not find hoards of starving roaches, birds, squirrels, alligators, or chimpanzees in the absence of food as we do in many “civilized” human communities today because non-human species and what we call “primitive” human communities are not engaged in food production. Please note that among tribes of people in remote original habitats, we do not find people starving. Like non-human species, primitive human beings live within the carrying capacity of their environment. History is replete with examples of early humans and more remote ancestors of “civilized” people not increasing their food production and distribution capabilities annually, but rather living successfully off the land for thousands upon thousands of years as hunters and gatherers of food. Prior to the Agricultural Revolution and the production of much, much more food than was needed for immediate survival, human numbers supposedly could not grow beyond their environment’s physical capacity to sustain them because human population growth or decline is primarily determined by food availability. Looked at from a global population perspective, more food equals more human organisms; less food equals less human beings; and no food equals no people. The idea that food production must be increased to meet the needs of growing human population has been actually giving rise to skyrocketing human population numbers, not only since the Industrial Revolution but even more recently and intensively with the onset of the Green Revolution that began sixty+ years ago.

Something is happening on Earth that appears to be driven by billions of human beings overconsuming, overproducing and overpopulating.Is that not what everybody is doing to one degree or another?Some overconsume; some overproduce and others overpopulate.And many do all of the above.All of this disntinctly human-induced activity is patently unsustainable on a planet with the size, composition and ecology of Earth.Well established scientific knowledge, human intuition and common sense are in agreement that the unbridled overconsumption, overproduction and overpopulation activities cannot continue much longer, much less indefinitely.

Perhaps necessary behavior changes toward sustainability are in the offing.
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“Truth is not only violated by falsehood; it may be equally outraged by silence.”

Henri-Frederic Amiel

WONDERFUL Post.thanks for share..more wait ..