Archives for March, 2007

More boring

Following my previous post there has been discussion in the comments on “which graph to believe”. Sadly this becomes ideological, for some. I think the major point is that the HPS ’97 graph (the one here) just isn’t used anymore by anyone, except the septics who want to see a MWP. The graph has never…

The borehole mystery

In 1998, there appears Climate Change Record in Subsurface Temperatures: A Global Perspective (Science 9 October 1998: 279-281) (subs req: sorry; abstract probably free) by Henry N. Pollack, Shaopeng Huang, Po-Yu Shen. The take-home message from that paper is pretty much the graph from http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/borehole/core.html, which I’ll inline here (and its the same as used…

UK budget

Today Broon delivered the 2007 budget. Listening to the news, it seems like mostly a nullity: just about everyone has had some taxes raised and others lowered (though we may gain a few hundred from tax changes). Fiddling because you need to be seen to be doing something; and aimed more at looking good and…

I have an “opinion piece” in Scitizen. Its called… “Lack of Errors in the IPCC Statement for Policymakers”… :-)

Guest post on TGGWS

I have a guest post over at Ellee Seymour‘s blog. Its an attempt at explaining TGGWS for more political type folks. Meanwhile The Independent has an article on the faked graphs; sadly the online version hasn’t got the pix.

Spot the difference!

TGGWS was rebroadcast on Monday. I didn’t see it, but B did, and his eagle eyes spotted at least one figure that has changed: see if you can see the differences (LHS:new; RHS:old): Yes, thats right: they have put it onto the proper time scale; removed the attribution; and deleted the arrows on the RHS.…

Even more T/CO2 lags

OK, so we’re back to the question of whether T leads CO2 in the ice cores, the skepics favourite talking point. The std.answer is “OK, so there is a lead (maybe) but…” (Stoat passim). The “but” is a good enough answer, and I suspect most people skip over the (maybe). But its important, because the…

Yet more T/CO2 lags

Guest posting by (or rather, ripped from) Eric Wolff. It is indeed a very fundamental question about whether the CO2 leads or lags the temperature. If there was somewhere in the ice core record where CO2 increases and temperature does not, then our understanding of the greenhouse effect must be faulty. However, so far we…

More TGGWS fakery

Someone who probably wishes to remain anonymous has suggested a possible source for the rather odd “120 year temperature” plot that TGGWS used. Which is: its land-only data, 5y smoothed, from 1878 to 1988, replotted onto an 1880-2000 axis. This would explain a couple of mysteries about the original: why the warming at the end…

Well thats what RP Sr sez. Although he immeadiately gets cold feet and adds “Or, At Best Cherrypicking”. I think he should make up his mind – if he is going to throw around a rather hard term like “errors” in the title he shouldn’t wimp out to “or at best…” a moment later. So,…