Archives for September 5, 2017

An excellent idea, you might well have thought. But that leads me to look at the annual Sea Ice Outlook (SIO) aka SIPN. Here are some pix: 2014: 2015: 2016: [2013: everyone underestimated. 2012 was massively low, and everyone overestimated. If you’d just predicted from extrapolating the OLS line-fit, then 2015 and 2016 would have…